a new regional vision aspa conference april 2010 steve heminger, mtc executive director
TRANSCRIPT
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A New Regional VisionASPA Conference
April 2010
Steve Heminger, MTC Executive Director
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Transportation 2035 PlanExpenditures by Function (Total revenues: $218 Billion)
Aging Pains
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Maintenance Needs, Funding, Shortfalls (In billions of escalated dollars)
Aging Pains
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Transit Operating Shortfalls – Deficit As Percent of 25-Year Operating Expense
Aging Pains
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Transit Sustainability Project
• Can we continue to afford to serve the same markets with multiple services?
Examples:• Transbay (AC, BART,
ferries)• Peninsula
(BART, Caltrain,SamTrans)
• East Bay Suburban• Marin/Sonoma
Overlapping Routes and Services
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Transit Sustainability Project
• Can we continue to afford to support two dozen transit operators, especially when the result is so complicated that it discourages ridership?
Night Owl Transit Service
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Transit Sustainability Project• Can we
continue to afford to accommodate inconsistent service policies when simple policy agreements are possible?
Transit OperatorSenior/
Disabled Youth Child
AC Transit 50%50%
(5-17 yrs.)4 and under free (limit 2)
BART 63%63%
(5-12 yrs.)4 and under free
Caltrain 50%50%
(5-17 yrs.)4 and under free (limit 1)
County Connection 66%Same as
adultUnder 6 free
Golden Gate Transit
50%50%
(6-18 yrs.)5 and under free(limit 2)
SamTrans 58%43%
(5-17 yrs.)4 and under free (limit 1)
San Francisco Muni
66%66%
(5-17 yrs.)Under 5 free
Santa Clara VTA 58%15%
(5-17 yrs.)Under 5 free
WestCAT 58%Same as
adultUnder 6 free (limit 2)
Bay Area Discount Fare Policies
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Raise New Operating Revenues
• Even with increased productivity, new revenue sources need to be secured. Options include:
• Restore State Transit Assistance
• Redirect Regional Measure 2 operating funds, if warranted
• Secure voter approval of a regional gas tax
• Seek legislative authority to increase TDA
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Growing Pains
• Nearly 2 million more people
• 1.8 million new jobs
• Need for over 700,000 new homes
• A tripling in freight volumes
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Growth in Interregional Commuting2000–2030
+83%+83%
+64%+64%
++9090%%
+120%+120%
Growing Pains
• Longer commute distances
• Increasing traffic
congestion
103% Increase in Delay, 2000 - 2030
200
400
600
800
2000 2030
Dai
ly D
elay
(00
0s o
f hou
rs)
C H A L L E N G E S
103% Increase in Delay2000–2030
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Change in Motion
$1.6 billion to Freeway Performance Initiative to manage freeway congestion
Investing in ChangeFreeway Performance Initiative
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Change in Motion
Creates an 800 mile High-Occupancy Toll (HOT) Network on Bay Area freeways
Investing in ChangeRegional Express Lane Network
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Change in Motion
$400 million for Lifeline Transportation Program
$1 billion for Regional Bicycle Network
$2.2 billion for Transportation for Livable Communities Program
Investing in ChangeFOCUS
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MTC Resolution
3434• Rail, bus, and ferry
expansions
• New transit hubs in San Francisco and San Jose
• $18 billion cost, 80% funding secured
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California High Speed Rail• First in the
nation
• $43 billion cost for SF-Anaheim
• State and federal funds starting to flow
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Making a Difference• Reduce congestion 20% below today’s levels
Trend
Freeway Operations
2035 Target
Add Pricing and Land Use
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
An
nu
al
Ve
hic
le H
ou
rs o
f D
ela
y p
er
Ca
pit
a
Trend
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Making a DifferenceReduce CO2 40% below 1990 levels
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How do we close the greenhouse gap?• Vehicle emissions
• Increase fuel economy of new vehicles to 54 miles per gallon
• Increase share of zero-emission vehicles to 55%
• Vehicle miles traveled (VMT)• Increase telecommuting from 3% to
10% market share• Other employer strategies like
parking cash-out
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Unfinished Business
1. Address $40B shortfall for highway, transit and local road repair
2. Improve transit performance – smarter service, fewer systems, sustainable funding
3. Reform federal transportation law as recommended by National Surface Transportation Policy and Revenue Study Commission
4. Change begins at home: Self-help and innovation
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Changes in attitude and behavior
• Breakthroughs are possible!
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www.mtc.ca.gov