a new proficiency public version 07
TRANSCRIPT
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ANewStandardforProficiency: College
Readiness
ANewStandardforProficiency: College
Readiness
Boardof
Regents
July19,2010
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TheRegentsraisedstandardsadecadeago.Nowthe
Regentsareembarkingonaneweraofreformto
improvestudent
achievement
Curriculumandprofessionaldevelopment
Stateassessments
Teacherpreparationandeffectiveness Schoolturnaround
Increasedgraduation
rates
Schoolleaderpreparationandeffectiveness NYSEDasupportorientedagency Worldclassdatasystem Earlychildhoodlearningopportunities
Curriculumandprofessionaldevelopment
State
assessments Teacherpreparationandeffectiveness Schoolturnaround
Increasedgraduation
rates
Schoolleaderpreparationandeffectiveness NYSEDasupportorientedagency World
class
data
system
Earlychildhoodlearningopportunities
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Highereducationdegreeholdersearnmoreandcontribute
more
to
economic
growth
3Source: Current Population Survey, 2008
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U.S.collegegraduationrateshavestagnatedrelativeto
the
rest
of
the
developed
worldCollegeanduniversitygraduationratesin1995and2006(firsttimegraduation)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Iceland
1
Australia
1
New
Zealand
1
Finland
1
Poland
1
Denmark
1
Netherlands
1
Norway
1
Sweden
1
Italy
Irelan
d
UnitedKingdom
1
Japa
n
OECDaverag
e
Israe
l
UnitedState
s
EU19averag
e
Canada1,
2
SlovakRepublic
1
Portugal1
Spai
n
Hungar
y
Switzerland
1
CzechRepublic
1
Austria
1
Germany
1
Sloveni
a
Greece
1
Turke
y
2006 1995
1.Netgraduationrateiscalculatedbysummingthegraduationratesbysingleyearofagein2006.
2.Yearofreference2005.
Countriesare
ranked
in
descending
order
of
the
graduation
rates
for
tertiary
type
A
education
in
2006.
Source: OECD.TableA3.2See Annex3fornotes(www.oecd.org/edu/eag2008 )
%
15th
2nd
Decline in relative positionof U.S. from 1995 to 2006
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NearlyaquarterofstudentsinallNYStwo
andfouryear
institutions
of
higher
education
take
remedial
courseworkNew York StateFirst-Time Students Taking Remedial Coursework
By Type of Institution, 1998-2007
24%
13%
44%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
4-Year & 2-Year 2-Year 4-Year
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
Year
2-Year Institutions
4-Year InstitutionsAll Institutions
Source: NYSED Administrative Data for all Public, Independent and Proprietary 2- and 4-year institutions of higher education 5
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Studentstakingmoreremedialcoursesintheirfirstyearof
collegearelesslikelytopersistinhighereducation
New York State Fall 2007 to Fall 2008 Persistence
of Full-time, First-time Students
64%60%
55%52%
82%
69% 69%65%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
0 1 2 3 or
More
0 1 2 3 or
More
Number of Remedial Courses Taken
2008
By Amount of Rem edial Work Taken during the Firs t Sem es ter
Associate Programs Bachelor Programs
6Source: NYSED Administrative Data for all Public, Independent and Proprietary 2- and 4-year institutions of higher education
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Studentswhoscorebelowan80ontheirMathRegentshave
amuchgreaterlikelihoodofbeingplacedinaremedial
collegecourse
ArithmeticElementary
AlgebraIntermediate
AlgebraCollegeAlgebra
Pre-Calculus
Calculus
Less than 55 68.3% 29.7% 1.4% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
55 to 64.9 61.4% 33.7% 3.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
65 to 69.9 38.9% 44.7% 9.7% 4.8% 1.8% 0.7%
70 to 79.9 14.7% 24.6% 29.4% 21.3% 8.1% 1.8%
80 to 89.9 0.8% 2.8% 21.6% 30.6% 32.3% 12.0%
Above 90 0.0% 0.2% 3.9% 12.7% 39.2% 44.2%
Totals sum to 100 percent along rows, but not down columns.
Source: CUNY Office of Institutional Research and Assessment, Math A Regents; all CUNY 2- and 4-year institutions7
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Studentswhoscoreabovean80ontheirRegentsexamhave
agoodchanceofearningatleastaCincollegelevelmath
8Source: CUNY Office of Institutional Research and Assessment; all CUNY 2- and 4-year institutions
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Studentswhoscoreatleasta75ontheirEnglishRegentshavea
goodchanceofearningatleastaCinFreshmanCompositionFigure 3
Probability of C or Greater in Freshman Composit ion by Regents English Score*Recent Graduates of New York City Public High Schools Entering CUNY in Fall 2008**
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100Regents English Score
ProbabilityofC
orGreater***
*Analysis based on students enrolled in a course who started but may not have completed the course.
**Graduated within 15 months of entering CUNY as a first-time freshman.
*** Probabilities displayed are limited to those within the range of actual scores. 9Source: CUNY Office of Institutional Research and Assessment; all CUNY 2- and 4-year institutions
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InstitutionsofHigherEducationaroundthestateconsidera
scoreof75to85tobeabareminimumforcollegereadiness
Conversationswithadmissionsdirectorsoftwo
andfouryear
publicandprivatecollegesintheWesternNY,CentralNY,
HudsonRiver,andNewYorkCityregionsindicatethat:
75to85ontheRegentsisconsideredbyselectiveschools(aspartoftheirholisticreviewofapplicants)thelowerthreshold
foradmissions; SUNYcampusesuse85asamarkofsolidcompetence,below75isamarkofinadequatelyprepared;
75onRegentsisathresholdforplacementinremediationforCUNY;and
75onRegentsisconsideredroughlyequivalenttoa500ontheSAT
and
serves
as
a
threshold
for
remediation.
Conversationswithadmissionsdirectorsoftwo
andfouryear
publicandprivatecollegesintheWesternNY,CentralNY,
HudsonRiver,
and
New
York
City
regions
indicate
that:
75to85ontheRegentsisconsideredbyselectiveschools(aspartoftheirholisticreviewofapplicants)thelowerthreshold
foradmissions; SUNYcampusesuse85asamarkofsolidcompetence,below
75isamarkofinadequatelyprepared;
75on
Regents
is
athreshold
for
placement
in
remediation
for
CUNY;and
75onRegentsisconsideredroughlyequivalenttoa500ontheSATandservesasathresholdforremediation.
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Only19%ofstudentswhoscoredbelow75ontheirEnglish
Regentsscoredabove500ontheirSATReading,but53%of
studentswho
scored
above
75
scored
above
500
on
the
SAT
Source: CUNY Office of Institutional Research and Assessment, English Regents; CUNY 4-year institutions 11
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Similarly,28%ofstudentswhoscoredbelow80ontheirMath
Regentsscoredabove500ontheSATMath,but81%who
scoredabove
80
scored
above
500
on
the
SAT
Source: CUNY Office of Institutional Research and Assessment, Math A Regents; CUNY 4-year institutions 12
High levels of achievement on the Regents set students up well
for college readiness and admission
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Stateswithhigherstandardsforproficiencyontheirowntestshave
higherNAEPscores. NewYorksLevel3proficiencythresholdranks
18th amongallstatesfor8th
GradeMath
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics, National Assessment of Educational Progress(NAEP), 2007 Mathematics Assessments. U.S. Department of Education, Office of Planning, Evaluation and Policy Development, EDFactsSY 2006-07, Washington,DC, 2008. The National Longitudinal School-Level State Assessment Score Database (NLSLSASD) 2008.
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AlargerpercentageofNYSstudentsachievedtheLevel3
proficiencystandardin2009thanin2007,butthe2009NYScut
scorewas
11
percentile
points
easier
in
ELA
and
17
percentile
pointseasierinMaththanin2007whenbenchmarkedagainst
NAEPperformance
PercentileranksofNewYorks8th
gradecutscores,NYtestsandnationalNAEP,2007&2009
2007 2009
NYS NAEP NYS NAEP
ELA37
(650)45
30
(650)34
Math41
(650)36
20
(650)19
Source: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics, National Assessment ofEducational Progress (NAEP), 2007 & 2009 Mathematics & Reading Assessments. NYSED Administrative Data
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Since2006,NewYorks8th
gradestudentshaveimprovedsubstantially
onthestatemathtest,buttheirperformanceontheNAEPhas
remainednearly
flat
15
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Chang
einSDs
NYS_Public NY NAEP_Public
Source: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics, National Assessment ofEducational Progress (NAEP), 2005-2009 Mathematics Assessments. NYSED Administrative Data
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In2009,nearly80%of3rd
through8th
gradersscoredatthe
Level3ProficiencystandardoraboveontheELAexam
comparedto
61%
in
2006
16
69.0%
68.6
%
67.1%
60.4
%
56.4
%
49.3
% 61.5
%67.1%
68.0
%
68.1
%
63.2%
57.8
%
57.0
%63.4%70.
1%
71.1
%77.6
%
66.9%
70.0%
56.1
% 68.5
%
7
5.8
%
76.9
%82.2
%
80.9
%
80.3
%
68.5
% 77.4
%
Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5 Grade 6 Grade 7 Grade 8 Grades 3-8
2006 2007 2008 2009
Source: NYSED Administrative Data
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In2009,nearly90%of3rd
through8th
gradersscoredatthe
Level3ProficiencystandardoraboveontheMathematics
examcompared
to
66%
in
2006
17
80.5
%
77.9%
68
.4%
60
.4%
55
.6%
53
.9% 6
5.8
%8
5.2
%
79.9
%
76.1
%
71
.2%
66
.4%
58
.8 %
2.7
%89
.9%
83
.8%
83
.2%
79.4
%
78.9
%
69
.8% 80
.7%9
2.9
%
87
.2%
88
.1%
83
.0%
87
.3%
80.2
%
8
6.4
%
Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5 Grade 6 Grade 7 Grade 8 Grades 3-8
2006 2007 2008 2009
Source: NYSED Administrative Data
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Possiblereasonsforthisdivergenceinclude:
Focusofinstructiononnarrowstrandsofcontent; DifferencesbetweenwhattheNYSassessmentsand
NAEPmeasure; Studentdifficultyintranslatingknowledgeandskills
fromNYSteststodifferentlyformattedNAEP;
IncreasedlearningbystudentsoncontenttestedbyNYStests; Technicalissuesrelatedtohowitemsaredevelopedinfield
tests;
and
Technicalissuesintheequatingofscoresfromyeartoyear.
Focusofinstructiononnarrowstrandsofcontent; DifferencesbetweenwhattheNYSassessmentsand
NAEPmeasure;
StudentdifficultyintranslatingknowledgeandskillsfromNYSteststodifferentlyformattedNAEP;
Increasedlearning
by
students
on
content
tested
by
NYStests;
Technicalissuesrelatedtohowitemsaredevelopedin
fieldtests;
and
Technicalissuesintheequatingofscoresfromyeartoyear.
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StudentsatthecurrentLevel3Proficiencystandardontheir8th
gradeMathexamhavelessthana1in3chanceofearningan80on
their
Math
Regents
Source: NYSED Administrative Data, Math A Regents, 2006-2010 Cohort 19
Currentcutscoreof650givesstudents30%
chanceofscoring80onRegents
Currentcutscoreof650givesstudents30%
chanceofscoring80onRegents
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StudentsinhighneedsdistrictsatthecurrentLevel3Proficiency
standardontheir8th
gradeELAexamhaveabouta5050chanceof
earninga75
on
their
ELA
Regents
Source: NYSED Administrative Data, English Regents, 2006-2010 Cohort 20
Currentcutscoreof650givesstudentsinhighneedsdistricts
57%chance
of
scoring
75onRegents
Currentcutscoreof650givesstudentsinhighneedsdistricts
57%chanceofscoring75onRegents
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Weareimprovingthestateassessments
2010RaisedcutscoresforLevel2andLevel3ProficiencyIncreasedtheunpredictabilityofitemsontheMath
assessment,includingaddingaudititems
Testednewperformanceindicators 2011
2013
IncreaselengthofMathandELAtestsTestnewperformanceindicatorsMake
test
items
more
difficult
to
predict
20142015CommonCoreAssessments
2010RaisedcutscoresforLevel2andLevel3ProficiencyIncreasedtheunpredictabilityofitemsontheMath
assessment,includingaddingaudititems
Testednewperformanceindicators
20112013
IncreaselengthofMathandELAtestsTestnewperformanceindicatorsMake
test
items
more
difficult
to
predict
20142015CommonCoreAssessments
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ANewStandardforProficiency:College
Readiness
ANewStandardforProficiency:CollegeReadiness
Boardof
Regents
July19,2010
22