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A centre of expertise in digital information management http://iwmw.ukoln.ac.uk/iwmw2012/sessions/ jisc-observatory/ Twitter: #iwmw12 #A1 IWMW 2012: Identifying and Responding to Emerging Technologies Brian Kelly UKOLN University of Bath Bath, UK UKOLN is supported by: This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 2.0 licence (but note caveat) Acceptable Use Policy Recording this talk, taking photos, discussing the content using Twitter, blogs, etc. is permitted providing distractions to others is minimised. Twitter: http://twitter.com/ briankelly/ Email: [email protected] Blog: http:// ukwebfocus.wordpress.com/

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Page 1: A centre of expertise in digital information management  Twitter: #iwmw12 #A1

A centre of expertise in digital information management

www.ukoln.ac.uk

http://iwmw.ukoln.ac.uk/iwmw2012/sessions/jisc-observatory/http://iwmw.ukoln.ac.uk/iwmw2012/sessions/jisc-observatory/Twitter:#iwmw12

#A1

IWMW 2012:Identifying and Responding to

Emerging TechnologiesBrian KellyUKOLNUniversity of BathBath, UK

UKOLN is supported by:

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 2.0 licence (but note caveat)

Acceptable Use PolicyRecording this talk, taking photos, discussing the content using Twitter, blogs, etc. is permitted providing distractions to others is minimised.

Acceptable Use PolicyRecording this talk, taking photos, discussing the content using Twitter, blogs, etc. is permitted providing distractions to others is minimised.

Twitter:http://twitter.com/briankelly/

Email:[email protected]:http://ukwebfocus.wordpress.com/

Page 2: A centre of expertise in digital information management  Twitter: #iwmw12 #A1

A centre of expertise in digital information management

www.ukoln.ac.uk

Summary

This session will be facilitated by members of the JISC Observatory team at UKOLN and CETIS.

It will use a mixture of group exercises and discussions to understand potential enablers and disenablers of emerging new technologies.

Having developed a better appreciation of how new technologies may or may not be adopted can help to develop appropriate strategies for preparing institutions for exploiting innovative developments in an appropriate and effective manner.

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Page 3: A centre of expertise in digital information management  Twitter: #iwmw12 #A1

A centre of expertise in digital information management

www.ukoln.ac.uk

Timetable

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Time Content Who

11.00 Introductions BK

11.05 Your interests All

11.15 Detecting, Analysing & Interpreting Trends BK

11.20 Exploring Scenarios All

11.45 The Mobile Scenario MP

11.55 JISC Observatory: Horizon Scanning for the Sector TB

12.10 Getting Involved All

12.25 Final Thoughts All

Page 4: A centre of expertise in digital information management  Twitter: #iwmw12 #A1

A centre of expertise in digital information management

www.ukoln.ac.uk

Introductions

Facilitators:

Brian Kelly, Innovation Support Centre at UKOLN and Communications Manager for the JISC Observatory

Thom Bunting, Innovation Support Centre at UKOLN and JISC Observatory Project Manager

Mark Power, JISC CETIS Innovation Support Centre, contributor to JISC Observatory & author of Delivering Web to Mobile report.

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Page 5: A centre of expertise in digital information management  Twitter: #iwmw12 #A1

A centre of expertise in digital information management

www.ukoln.ac.uk

Your Interests

In small groups:• Introduce yourselves• Describe what you hope to gain from the

session and any particular topics you’d like to see addressed

You will summarise the key points in ~5 minutes

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Page 6: A centre of expertise in digital information management  Twitter: #iwmw12 #A1

A centre of expertise in digital information management

www.ukoln.ac.uk

Analysing Trends

Which would have been the most useful prediction in 2009:

• “Gordon Brown will win the election, overcome the economic difficulties and invest in education, the health service and the environment”

• “The Tories will win the election but have to form a coalition with the Lib Dems. They cut back public investment, increase tuition fees which results in a double-dip recession and 10% reduction in student numbers”

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Planning for future scenarios can be of limited use if we base future scenarios on our wishes rather than reality!

Page 7: A centre of expertise in digital information management  Twitter: #iwmw12 #A1

A centre of expertise in digital information management

www.ukoln.ac.uk

Detecting Trends

Series of evidence-based posts on UK Web Focus blog look at trends which help us to understand today’s environment.

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What might these usage trends tell us?

Page 8: A centre of expertise in digital information management  Twitter: #iwmw12 #A1

A centre of expertise in digital information management

www.ukoln.ac.uk

Analysing Trends

Challenges:• Context• Blips• Lack of a NPOV

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Blekko’s Traffic up by 400%

Is Blekko’s Traffic Really Going Through The Roof? Will It Challenge Google?

Page 9: A centre of expertise in digital information management  Twitter: #iwmw12 #A1

A centre of expertise in digital information management

www.ukoln.ac.uk

Challenge is in:• Interpreting the evidence• Postulating reasons• Speculating on implications• Implementing evidence-based policy decisions

Understanding Trends

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Anscombe's quartet, Wikipedia

“Lies, damned lies and statistics”“Anscombe's quartet comprises four datasets that have nearly identical simple statistical properties, yet

appear very different when graphed”An

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Page 10: A centre of expertise in digital information management  Twitter: #iwmw12 #A1

A centre of expertise in digital information management

www.ukoln.ac.uk

Interpreting Trends

Approaches:• Documenting survey methodology (the ‘paradata’)

e.g. “Data collected using Chrome on 1 Jun 2012”• Providing open access to data where possible (often

using Google Spreadsheets)• Publishing an open commentable summary of the

survey, the methodology, the findings, the implications and inviting discussions

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• Survey of Institutional Use of Facebook• Is Blekko’s Traffic Really Going Through The Roof? Will It

Challenge Google?• Institutional Use of Social Media in China• Profiling Staff and Researcher Use of Cloud Services Across

Russell Group Universities

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A centre of expertise in digital information management

www.ukoln.ac.uk

JIS Observatory process

JIS Observatory process

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A centre of expertise in digital information management

www.ukoln.ac.uk

Group Exercise

Choose one scenario:• Scenario 1: Social Media

Does Social media have a significant role to play across a range of University activities, or is it hype or primarily for personal use?

• Scenario 2: Open DataIs open data really "the new content" which will be of importance to the Web team as well as the University?  Or might it be the latest fashionable term? And in a time of cuts, increased fees and competition for students and research funding, won't institutions be less inclined to provide open access to data, their 'crown jewels'?

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A centre of expertise in digital information management

www.ukoln.ac.uk

Group Exercise

Choose one scenario:• Scenario 3: Structured Metadata For the Web

Will developments such as schema.org provided better searching for structured resources? Should we be implementing it? But didn't we hear promises that Dublin Core metadata in Web pages or use of RDF would deliver this in the past?

• Scenario 4: Online ConferencingWill online conferencing and collaboration tools have an impact on traditional approaches, ranging from conferences, events for practitioners (e.g. IWMW) through to student lectures?  How might, e.g. this affect plans for building a new conference centre and lecture theatre block?

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Page 14: A centre of expertise in digital information management  Twitter: #iwmw12 #A1

A centre of expertise in digital information management

www.ukoln.ac.uk

Group Exercise

Choose one context:• Responding to the institution

The Pro Vice-Chancellor / Head of IT/ Librarian has asked for a report on the scenarios you have chosen. This will be discussed at a forthcoming planning meeting

• Advising the institutionYou have been asked to provide a paper on IT developments which should be considered in planning related to current institutional priorities (threats and opportunities)

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You have 15 minutes to produce a plan for the report, which will describe the processes for gathering & interpreting evidence. Note the SMT want evidence, not speculation and ‘hand-waving’!

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A centre of expertise in digital information management

www.ukoln.ac.uk

Mobile Study Case Study

Mark Power to summarise approaches take in commissioning and writing the Delivering Web to Mobile TechWatch report

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MP

Page 16: A centre of expertise in digital information management  Twitter: #iwmw12 #A1

A centre of expertise in digital information management

www.ukoln.ac.uk

JISC Observatory: Horizon Scanning for the Sector

Thom Bunting to describe:• The role of the JISC Observatory• The approaches it takes• The work it has carried out• Ways in which you can get involved

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TB