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Page 1: 97'-7)1;=&$17'1'/0'/01)2'18'5)1A#A-:-2'#7;'%#$%$&%F'G ...jnahas/Stat_II_Basic_Theory_V3_4X.pdf3`' • – – •E'' • – – – –! (X=0)= n" # $ % & ')(=" # $ % & )))))+***

© Joseph J. Nahas 2012 10 Dec 2012

!"#$%$&%'(#)"'**'+',#%-&'./01)2''

!"#$%&'!(')*&*#'

+,-.$/#-01'"2')"0/$'3*4$'

3'© Joseph J. Nahas 2012

10 Dec 2012

405#)"607"'18'955:-0;'#7;'<165="#$17#:'>#"/06#$&%'#7;'!"#$%$&%'?9<>!@'

•  9<>!'&1=)%0%'"/#"'6#2'A0'=%08=:'–  9<>!'BCDDCE'()1A#A-:-"2'#7;'!"#$%$&%'

!  97'-7")1;=&$17'"1'"/0'"/01)2'18'5)1A#A-:-"2'#7;'%"#$%$&%F'G-"/'#55:-&#$17%'"1'"/0'&165="0)'%&-07&0%'#7;'07H-700)-7H'

–  9<>!'BCICCE'!"#$%$&#:'>0"/1;%'J'4#"#'97#:2%-%'*'!  *7")1;=&$17'"1'%"#$%$&#:'60"/1;%'G-"/'#7'065/#%-%'17'#7#:2%-%'18';#"#'

B'© Joseph J. Nahas 2012

10 Dec 2012

(15=:#$17'K0)%=%'!#65:0'•  <17%-;0)'L4'M)0%/6#7'!9.'!&1)0%N'

–  O0::';0P70;'515=:#$17'

–  O0'&1=:;'1A"#-7'#::'"/0'3C3B'M)0%/6#7')0&1);%'#7;';0"0)6-70'"/0'%"#$%$&%'81)'"/0'8=::'515=:#$17E'!  Q'R'"/0'>0#7'!9.'%&1)0'

!  S'T''"/0'!"#7;#);'40K-#$17'18'"/0'!9.'%&1)0%'–  O0'&1=:;'1A"#-7'#'%#65:0'18'%#2'UCC'M)0%/6#7')0&1);%'#7;';0"0)6-70'

0%$6#"0%'81)'"/0'%"#$%$&%E''!  6'1)'V'R'W%$6#"0;'>0#7'1)'9K0)#H0'!9.'%&1)0'-7'"/0'%#65:0'

!  %'R'"/0'W%$6#"0'18'"/0'!"#7;#);'40K-#$17'

D'© Joseph J. Nahas 2012

10 Dec 2012

L1"#$17'

>0#%=)0' (15=:#$17'X)00Y'Z0[0)%'

!#65:0'\16#7'Z0[0)%'

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%3'

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%'

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_' !#65:0'<1))0:#$17'<10^&-07"'

)'

Page 2: 97'-7)1;=&$17'1'/0'/01)2'18'5)1A#A-:-2'#7;'%#$%$&%F'G ...jnahas/Stat_II_Basic_Theory_V3_4X.pdf3`' • – – •E'' • – – – –! (X=0)= n" # $ % & ')(=" # $ % & )))))+***

`'© Joseph J. Nahas 2012

10 Dec 2012

!"#$%$&'a=":-70'UE   ,#&YH)1=7;N'

9E   O/2'!"=;2'!"#$%$&%'#7;'!"#$%$&#:'WV50)-607"#:'40%-H7b',E   \080)07&0%'

3E   ,#%-&'!"#$%$&#:'./01)2'9E   ,#%-&'!"#$%$&#:'40P7-$17%'

-E   4-%")-A=$17%'--E   !"#$%$&#:'>0#%=)0%'---E   *7;0507;07&0c40507;07&0'

#E   <1))0:#$17'<10^&-07"'AE   <1))0:#$17'<10^&-07"'#7;']#)-#7&0'&E   <1))0:#$17'WV#65:0'

,E   ,#%-&'4-%")-A=$17%'-E   4-%&)0"0'K%E'<17$7=1=%'4-%")-A=$17%'--E   ,-716-#:'4-%")-A=$17'---E   L1)6#:'4-%")-A=$17'-KE  ./0'<07")#:'Z-6-"'./01)06'

#E   40P7-$17'AE   4-&0'#%'#7'0V#65:0'

I'© Joseph J. Nahas 2012

10 Dec 2012

!"#$%$&'a=":-70'?&17"E@'BE   X)#5/-&#:'4-%5:#2'18'4#"#'

9E   d-%"1H)#6',E   ,1V'(:1"'<E   L1)6#:'()1A#A-:-"2'(:1"'4E   !&#[0)'(:1"'WE   >#"Z#A'(:1e7H'

DE   <17P;07&0'Z-6-"%'#7;'d251"/0%-%'.0%$7H'9E   !"=;07"f%'"'4-%")-A=$17'

-E   O/1'-%'g!"=;07"h'--E   40P7-$17%'

,E   <17P;07&0'Z-6-"%'81)'"/0'>0#7'<E   Wi=-K#:07&0'18'"G1'>0#7%'

I'

j'© Joseph J. Nahas 2012

10 Dec 2012

!"#$%$&'a=":-70'UE   ,#&YH)1=7;N'

9E   O/2'!"=;2'!"#$%$&%'#7;'!"#$%$&#:'WV50)-607"#:'40%-H7b',E   \080)07&0%'

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-E   4-%")-A=$17%'--E   !"#$%$&#:'>0#%=)0%'---E   *7;0507;07&0c40507;07&0'

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#E   40P7-$17'AE   4-&0'#%'#7'0V#65:0'

k'© Joseph J. Nahas 2012

10 Dec 2012

,#%-&'!"#$%$&#:'40P7-$17%'•  4-%")-A=$17N'

–  ./0'5#[0)7'18'K#)-#$17'18'#'K#)-#A:0E''–  *"')0&1);%'1)';0P70%'"/0'7=60)-&#:'K#:=0%'18'"/0'K#)-#A:0'#7;'/1G'

1l07'"/0'K#:=0'1&&=)%E''–  9';-%")-A=$17'&#7'A0';0%&)-A0;'A2'%/#50F'&07"0)F'#7;'%5)0#;E'

•  ]#)-#A:0'R'VN'–  9'&/#)#&"0)-%$&'"/#"'&#7'#%%=60';-m0)07"'K#:=0%E'

•  \#7;16']#)-#A:0N'–  9'8=7&$17'"/#"'#%%-H7%'#'7=60)-&#:'K#:=0'"1'0#&/'51%%-A:0'1="&160'18'

%160'150)#$17c0K07"E'

•  (15=:#$17N'–  ./0'"1"#:'#HH)0H#"0'18'1A%0)K#$17%'"/#"'&17&05"=#::2'6-H/"'1&&=)'#%'#'

)0%=:"'18'50)81)6-7H'#'5#)$&=:#)'150)#$17'-7'#'5#)$&=:#)'G#2E'–  ./0'=7-K0)%0%'18'K#:=0%E'–  M-7-"0'1)'*7P7-"0' P. Nahas

Page 3: 97'-7)1;=&$17'1'/0'/01)2'18'5)1A#A-:-2'#7;'%#$%$&%F'G ...jnahas/Stat_II_Basic_Theory_V3_4X.pdf3`' • – – •E'' • – – – –! (X=0)= n" # $ % & ')(=" # $ % & )))))+***

n'© Joseph J. Nahas 2012

10 Dec 2012

,#%-&'40P7-$17%'?&17"E@'•  !#65:0N'

–  9'&1::0&$17'18'%160'18'"/0'1="&160%F'1A%0)K#$17%F'K#:=0%'8)16'"/0'515=:#$17E'

–  9'%=A%0"'18'"/0'515=:#$17E'•  \#7;16'!#65:0N'

–  W#&/'606A0)'18'"/0'515=:#$17'/#%'#'0i=#:'&/#7&0'18'A0-7H'&/1%07'#%'#'606A0)'18'"/0'%#65:0E'

•  ,-#%N'–  ./0'"07;07&2'"1'8#K1)'"/0'%0:0&$17%'18'=7-"%'G-"/'&0)"#-7'

&/#)#&"0)-%$&%E'•  9&$K0'4#"#'<1::0&$17N'

–  (:#770;';#"#'&1::0&$17'G-"/'%50&-P&'H1#:%'-7'6-7;'"1'6#V-6-o0'"/0'-781)6#$17E'

•  (#%%-K0'4#"#'<1::0&$17N'–  4#"#'"/#"'p=%"'&160%'1=)'G#2'R'"/#"'gp=%"'-%Eh'–  O0';1'71"'#:G#2%'Y71G'/1G'-"'G#%'1A"#-70;E' P. Nahas

UC'© Joseph J. Nahas 2012

10 Dec 2012

,#%-&'40P7-$17%'?&17"E@'•  >0#%=)0607"N'

–  ./0'#%%-H7607"'18'7=60)#:%'"1'1Ap0&"%'#7;'0K07"%'#&&1);-7H'"1')=:0%E'

•  4#"#N'–  <#7'A0'7=60)-&#:'1)'"0V"=#:'-7'81)6E'

–  <#7'A0'%1=)&0%'18'-781)6#$17E'

In God we trust, all others bring data! Stu Hunter

P. Nahas

UU'© Joseph J. Nahas 2012

10 Dec 2012

()1A#A-:-"2'4-%")-A=$17'M=7&$17'•  ()1A#A-:-"2'4-%")-A=$17'M=7&$17%N'

–  40%&)-A0;'A2'"/0'5)1A#A-:-"2';07%-"2'8=7&$17'8?V@'G/0)0'

G/0)0'\'-%'"/0')#7H0'18'VE'!

f (x)dx = 1R"

!

f (x) " 0,x# R

!

P(x" A) = f (x)dxA#

!

P(x = b) = f (s)dx =b

b

" 0

P. Nahas

A

NIST ESH 1.3.6 U3'© Joseph J. Nahas 2012

10 Dec 2012

<=6=:#$K0'4-%")-A=$17'M=7&$17'•  <=6=:#$K0'4-%")-A=$17'M=7&$17'?<4M@'M?V@'G/0)0'

!

limx"#$

F(x) = 0

!

limx"+#

F(x) =1

!

f (x) = " F (x)

P. Nahas

NIST ESH 1.3.6.2

Page 4: 97'-7)1;=&$17'1'/0'/01)2'18'5)1A#A-:-2'#7;'%#$%$&%F'G ...jnahas/Stat_II_Basic_Theory_V3_4X.pdf3`' • – – •E'' • – – – –! (X=0)= n" # $ % & ')(=" # $ % & )))))+***

UB'© Joseph J. Nahas 2012

10 Dec 2012

9'60#%=)0'18'Z1&#$17N'>0#7'•  >0#7'

–  9:%1'Y71G7'#%'./0'M-)%"'>1607"E'

–  ./0'60#7'18'#'%=6'q'"/0'%=6'18'"/0'60#7%E'

–  ./0'60#7'-%'#':-70#)'8=7&$17E'

–  ./0'0%$6#"0'18'"/0'60#7'?%#65:0'#K0)#H0@N'

G/0)0'7'-%'"/0'7=6A0)'18'-"06%'-7'"/0'%#65:0E'

!

µ = E(X) = xf (x)x"R# dx

!

µx+y = µx + µy

!

µa+bx = a + bµx

P. Nahas

!

x =

xii=1

n

"n

NIST ESH 1.3.5.1

!

µ = E(X) = xf (x)x"R#

UD'© Joseph J. Nahas 2012

10 Dec 2012

a"/0)'>0#%=)0%'18'Z1&#$17'•  >0;-#7'

–  ./0'6-;51-7"'18'"/0';-%")-A=$17E'!  ./0)0'#)0'#%'6#72'51-7"'#A1K0'#7;'A0:1G'"/0'60;-#7E'

•  >1;0'–  ./0'50#Y'K#:=0'18'"/0';-%")-A=$17E'

U`'© Joseph J. Nahas 2012

10 Dec 2012

>0#%=)0%'18'!5)0#;'•  ]#)-#7&0'

–  9:%1'Y71G7'#%'./0'!0&17;'>1607"E'

–  *8'#7;'17:2'-8'V'#7;'2'#)0'-7;0507;07"N'

–  %3'-%'"/0'K#)-#7&0'0%$6#"0'?%#65:0'K#)-#7&0@N'

G/0)0'7'-%'"/0'7=6A0)'18'-"06%'-7'"/0'%#65:0E!

•  !"#7;#);'40K-#$17'–  "'-%'"/0'%"#7;#);';0K-#$17E'–  %'-%'"/0'%"#7;#);';0K-#$17'0%$6#"0'?%#65:0'%"#7;#);';0K-#$17@E'

!

" 2 = E[(X # µ)2] = (x # µ)2 f (x)x$ f% dx

!

" x+y2 =" x#y

2 =" x2 +" y

2

P. Nahas !

s2 =

(xii=1

n

" # x)2

n #1

NIST ESH 1.3.5.6 UI'© Joseph J. Nahas 2012

10 Dec 2012

<1))0:#$17'Z0"'r'#7;'s-F'-q'U'"1'7'A0')#7;16'K#)-#A:0%F'#7;'

G/0)0'µ-'-%'"/0'60#7'18's-'#7;'"-3'-%'"/0'K#)-#7&0'18's-'

"/07'"/0'K#)-#7&0'18'2'

G/0)0'#-p'-%'"/0'&1))0:#$17'&10^&-07"'81)'"/0'515=:#$17's-spE'

!

Y = aii=1

n

" Xi

!

= " y2

= E[(Y # µ y )2]

= E[ (aii=1

n

$ xi # aiµi )2]

= ai2

i=1

n

$ " i2 + 2 ai

j$

i< j$ a j% ij" i" j

P. Nahas

Page 5: 97'-7)1;=&$17'1'/0'/01)2'18'5)1A#A-:-2'#7;'%#$%$&%F'G ...jnahas/Stat_II_Basic_Theory_V3_4X.pdf3`' • – – •E'' • – – – –! (X=0)= n" # $ % & ')(=" # $ % & )))))+***

Uj'© Joseph J. Nahas 2012

10 Dec 2012

./0'<1))0:#$17'<10^&-07"'

./0'&1))0:#$17'&10^&-07"'#, -%'#'%"#$%$&#:'61607"'"/#"'H-K0%'#' 60#%=)0' 18' !"#$%&' ($)$#($#*$' A0"G007' "G1' )#7;16'K#)-#A:0%E'*"'-%'$+,-%.$('A2N'

where sx and sy are the square roots of the estimates of the variance of x and y, while sxy is an estimate of the covariance of the two variables and is estimated by:

Poolla & Spanos

!

r =sxysxsy

!

sxy =

(xii=1

n

" # x)(yi # y)

n # 1

Uk'© Joseph J. Nahas 2012

10 Dec 2012

<1))0:#$17'•  *8'_'q'UF'"G1')0#7;16'K#)-#A:0%'#)0'&1))0:#"0;E'

•  *8'_''q'CF'"G1')#7;16'K#)-#A:0%'#)0'71"'&1))0:#"0;E'•  *8'_''q'TUF'"G1')#7;16'K#)-#A:0%'#)0'-7K0)%0:2'&1))0:#"0;E'

•  WV#65:0N'–  ./0'/0-H/"'#7;'G0-H/"'18'#'%#65:0'18'"/0'515=:#$17'18'5015:0E'

!  r1='G1=:;'0V50&"'#'51%-$K0'&1))0:#$17E''

Un'© Joseph J. Nahas 2012

10 Dec 2012

<1))0:#$17'WV#65:0'

Poolla & Spanos

3C'© Joseph J. Nahas 2012

10 Dec 2012

<1))0:#$17'WV#65:0'

Poolla & Spanos

NIST ESH 3.4.2.1

Page 6: 97'-7)1;=&$17'1'/0'/01)2'18'5)1A#A-:-2'#7;'%#$%$&%F'G ...jnahas/Stat_II_Basic_Theory_V3_4X.pdf3`' • – – •E'' • – – – –! (X=0)= n" # $ % & ')(=" # $ % & )))))+***

3U'© Joseph J. Nahas 2012

10 Dec 2012

!"#$%$&'a=":-70'UE   ,#&YH)1=7;N'

9E   O/2'!"=;2'!"#$%$&%'#7;'!"#$%$&#:'WV50)-607"#:'40%-H7b',E   \080)07&0%'

3E   ,#%-&'!"#$%$&#:'./01)2'9E   ,#%-&'!"#$%$&#:'40P7-$17%'

-E   4-%")-A=$17%'--E   !"#$%$&#:'>0#%=)0%'---E   *7;0507;07&0c40507;07&0'

#E   <1))0:#$17'<10^&-07"'AE   <1))0:#$17'WV#65:0'&E   <1))0:#$17'<10^&-07"'#7;']#)-#7&0'

,E   ,#%-&'4-%")-A=$17%'-E   4-%&)0"0'K%E'<17$7=1=%'4-%")-A=$17%'--E   ,-716-#:'4-%")-A=$17'---E   L1)6#:'4-%")-A=$17'-KE  ./0'<07")#:'Z-6-"'./01)06'

#E   40P7-$17'AE   4-&0'#%'#7'0V#65:0'

33'© Joseph J. Nahas 2012

10 Dec 2012

./0'4-%")-A=$17'18'V'

•  <#7'&#:&=:#"0'"/0'5)1A#A-:-"2'18'#')#7;16:2'&/1%07'1A%0)K#$17'18'"/0'515=:#$17'8#::-7H'G-"/-7'#'H-K07')#7H0'R'%1'-"'-%'#'5)1A#A-:-"2';-%")-A=$17E'

•  ]0)$&#:'1);-7#"0F'(?V@'-%'&#::0;'"/0'5)1A#A-:-"2';07%-"2'•  <#7'G0'P7;'#'6#"/06#$&#:'8=7&$17'"1';0%&)-A0'"/0'

5)1A#A-:-"2';-%")-A=$17b'

Discrete Distributions Continuous Distributions Shape = f(x)

Center = mean Spread = variance

Poolla & Spanos

NIST ESH 1.3.6.6

3B'© Joseph J. Nahas 2012

10 Dec 2012

9'4-%&)0"0'4-%")-A=$17'

What discrete distribution is this?

3D'© Joseph J. Nahas 2012

10 Dec 2012

9'4-%&)0"0'4-%")-A=$17N'"/0',-716-#:'•  ./0'A-716-#:';-%")-A=$17'-%'=%0;'G/07'"/0)0'#)0'0V#&":2'"G1'

6="=#::2'0V&:=%-K0'1="&160%'18'#'")-#:E''–  ./0%0'1="&160%'#)0'#55)15)-#"0:2':#A0:0;'t%=&&0%%t'#7;'t8#-:=)0tE''

•  ./0'A-716-#:';-%")-A=$17'-%'=%0;'"1'1A"#-7'"/0'5)1A#A-:-"2'18'1A%0)K-7H'V'%=&&0%%0%'-7'7'")-#:%F'G-"/'"/0'5)1A#A-:-"2'18'%=&&0%%'17'#'%-7H:0'")-#:';071"0;'A2'5E''–  ./0'A-716-#:';-%")-A=$17'#%%=60%'"/#"'5'-%'PV0;'81)'#::'")-#:%E'

NIST ESH 1.3.6.6.18

where:

Mean = np Standard Deviation =

Page 7: 97'-7)1;=&$17'1'/0'/01)2'18'5)1A#A-:-2'#7;'%#$%$&%F'G ...jnahas/Stat_II_Basic_Theory_V3_4X.pdf3`' • – – •E'' • – – – –! (X=0)= n" # $ % & ')(=" # $ % & )))))+***

3`'© Joseph J. Nahas 2012

10 Dec 2012

9'4-%&)0"0'4-%")-A=$17N'"/0',-716-#:'

•  !-65:0'WV#65:0%N'–  L=6A0)'18'/0#;%'-7'UC'&1-7'u-5%N'5'q'CE`F'7'q'UC'

–  L=6A0)'18'170%'-7'`')1::%'18'#';-0N'5'q'UcIF'7'q'`'

Binomial Distribution with p = 0.10 and n=15.

NIST ESH 1.3.6.6.18 3I'© Joseph J. Nahas 2012

10 Dec 2012

WV#65:0N'v%-7H'"/0',-716-#:'4-%")-A=$17'•  ./0'5)1A#A-:-"2'"/#"'#'6061)2'&0::'8#-:%'-%'UCTnE''

•  *7'#'ID'>A-"'6061)2'#))#2'G/#"'-%'"/0''5)1A#A-:-"2'"/#"N'–  9::'&0::%'#)0'awb'–  U'&0::'8#-:0;b'–  `'&0::%'8#-:0;b'–  >1)0'"/#7'`'&0::%'8#-:0;b'

Poolla & Spanos

3j'© Joseph J. Nahas 2012

10 Dec 2012

,-716-#:'!1:=$17'

!

P(X = 0) =nx"

# $ %

& ' px (1( p)n(x

=n0"

# $ %

& ' (10(9)0(1( (10(9))n(0

=1•1• (1( (10(9))n

)1( n(10(9) + * * *

)1( 67•106 •10(9

) 0.933

64 Mb Memory = n = 226 = 6.7E+7

3k'© Joseph J. Nahas 2012

10 Dec 2012

9'<17$7=1=%'4-%")-A=$17N'"/0'L1)6#:'

figure 2-10 Montgomery pp 39

- $ < x < $"

NIST ESH 1.3.6.6.1

Also called a Gaussian Distribution

Notation: x~N(μ,σ)$i.e.: x is Normally Distributed with a mean of μ$

and a standard deviation of σ. $

Page 8: 97'-7)1;=&$17'1'/0'/01)2'18'5)1A#A-:-2'#7;'%#$%$&%F'G ...jnahas/Stat_II_Basic_Theory_V3_4X.pdf3`' • – – •E'' • – – – –! (X=0)= n" # $ % & ')(=" # $ % & )))))+***

3n'© Joseph J. Nahas 2012

10 Dec 2012

!"#7;#);'L1)6#:'4-%")-A=$17'

-%'"/0'!"#7;#);'L1)6#:'4-%")-A=$17N'

%1'-8 ' '''F'"/07'

./0)0'#)0'"#A:0%'18'

!

"(z) =0

z

# e $%2 / 2

2&d%!

z =x " µ#

~ N(0,1)!

z ~ N(0,1)

!

x ~ N(µ," )

P. Nahas

i.e. µ = 0, ! = 1

NIST ESH 1.3.6.7.1

!

f (z) =e " x

2 / 2

2#

BC'© Joseph J. Nahas 2012

10 Dec 2012

L1)6#:'4-%")-A=$17'.#A:0'8)16'W!d'

NIST ESH 1.3.6.7.1

f(z) = f(-z) Note: Area from 0 to +" = 0.5

BU'© Joseph J. Nahas 2012

10 Dec 2012

WV#65:0N'.#A:0'Z11Y=5'81)'L1)6#:'4-%")-A=$17'•  ./0'G#80)T"1TG#80)'"/-&Y70%%'18'#'51:2':#20)'-%';-%")-A="0;'

71)6#::2'#)1=7;'`CC76'G-"/'#'"'18'3C76N'–  '''''''''''''''("/'x'L'?`CC'76F'3C'76@'

•  O/#"'-%'"/0'5)1A#A-:-"2'"/#"'#'H-K07'G#80)'G-::'/#K0'51:2%-:-&17'"/-&Y0)'"/#7'`UC76b'

•  EEE'"/-770)'"/#7'DkC76b'

•  EEE'A0"G007'DnC'#7;'`U`76b'

Poolla & Spanos

NIST ESH 1.3.6.7.1 B3'© Joseph J. Nahas 2012

10 Dec 2012

WV#65:0N'.#A:0'Z11Y=5'81)'L1)6#:'4-%")-A=$17'•  ./0'G#80)T"1TG#80)'"/-&Y70%%'18'#'51:2':#20)'-%';-%")-A="0;'

71)6#::2'#)1=7;'`CC76'G-"/'#'"'18'3C76N'–  '''''''''''''''("/'x'L'?`CC'76F'3C'76@'

•  O/#"'-%'"/0'5)1A#A-:-"2'"/#"'#'H-K07'G#80)'G-::'/#K0'51:2%-:-&17'"/-&Y0)'"/#7'`UC76b'–  `UC'R'`CC'76'q'UC'76'q'CE`'"'8)16'60#7'–  M)16'"#A:0'C'"1'CE`'"'q'CEUn'81)'A0"G007'`CC'#7;'`UC'76E'–  X)0#"0)'"/#7'`UC'76'q'CE`'R'CEUn'q''CEBU'

•  EEE'"/-770)'"/#7'DkC76b'–  `CC'R'DkC'76'q'3C'76'q'U'"'8)16'60#7'–  M)16'"#A:0'C'"1'U'"'q'CEBD'81)'A0"G007'DkC'#7;'`CC'76'–  ./-770)'"/#7'DkC'q'CE`'R'CEBD'q'CE3I'

•  EEE'A0"G007'DnC'#7;'`U`76b'–  `CC'R'DnC'76'q'CE`'"'8)16'60#7y'`U`'R'`CC'q'CEj`'"'8)16'60#7'–  M)16'"#A:0N'CEUn'z'CE3j'q'CEDI'

Poolla & Spanos

NIST ESH 1.3.6.7.1

Page 9: 97'-7)1;=&$17'1'/0'/01)2'18'5)1A#A-:-2'#7;'%#$%$&%F'G ...jnahas/Stat_II_Basic_Theory_V3_4X.pdf3`' • – – •E'' • – – – –! (X=0)= n" # $ % & ')(=" # $ % & )))))+***

BB'© Joseph J. Nahas 2012

10 Dec 2012

L1)6#:'4-%")-A=$17'.#A:0'8)16'W!d'

NIST ESH 1.3.6.7.1 BD'© Joseph J. Nahas 2012

10 Dec 2012

./0'9;;-$K-"2'18']#)-#7&0'•  *M'2'q'#UVUz'#3V3'z'{z#7V7''

–  "/07'Q2'q'#UQUz'#3Q3'z'{z#7Q7''

–  #7;'S23'q'#U3SU3'z'#33S33'z'{z'#73S73''–  ./-%'#55:-0%'#55:-0%'=7;0)'"/0'#%%=65$17'"/#"'"/0'5#)#60"0)%'V-'#)0'

"#($)$#($#.EE'

WV#65:0%N'

•  ./0'"/-&Y70%%'K#)-#7&0'18'#':#20)';0P70;'A2'"G1'&17%0&=$K0'H)1G"/%N'–  Q"'q'QHU'z'QH3''

–  S"3'q'SHU3'z'SH33''•  ./0'"/-&Y70%%'K#)-#7&0'18'#'H)1G"/'%"05'81::1G0;'A2'#7'0"&/'

%"05N'–  Q"'q'QH'+'Q0''

–  S"3'q'SH3'z'S03''

B`'© Joseph J. Nahas 2012

10 Dec 2012

WV#65:0N'd1G'"1'<16A-70'<17%0&=$K0'!"05%'•  ./0'"/-&Y70%%'18'#'!-a3':#20)'-%';-%")-A="0;'71)6#::2'#)1=7;'

ICC76'G-"/'#'"'18'3C76N'–  X1V'x'L'?ICC76F'3C76@'

•  4=)-7H'#'51:2%-:-&17')061K#:'%"05'G-"/':-6-"0;'%0:0&$K-"2F'%160'18'"/0'1V-;0'-%')061K0;E'./0')061K0;'1V-;0'-%N'–  \1V'xL'?`C76F'`76@'

•  O/#"'-%'"/0'5)1A#A-:-"2'"/#"'"/0'P7#:'1V-;0'"/-&Y70%%'-%'A0"G007'`DC'#7;'`IC76b'

Poolla & Spanos

BI'© Joseph J. Nahas 2012

10 Dec 2012

WV#65:0N'd1G'"1'<16A-70'<17%0&=$K0'!"05%'•  ./0'"/-&Y70%%'18'#'!-a3':#20)'-%';-%")-A="0;'71)6#::2'#)1=7;'

ICC76'G-"/'#'"'18'3C76N'–  X1V'x'L'?ICC'76F'3C'76@'

•  4=)-7H'#'51:2%-:-&17')061K#:'%"05'G-"/':-6-"0;'%0:0&$K-"2F'%160'18'"/0'1V-;0'-%')061K0;E'./0')061K0;'1V-;0'-%N'–  \1V'xL'?`C76F'`76@'

•  O/#"'-%'"/0'5)1A#A-:-"2'"/#"'"/0'P7#:'1V-;0'"/-&Y70%%'-%'A0"G007'`DC'#7;'`IC76b'

•  <#:&=:#$17%N'–  QW'q'QX'R'Q\'q'ICC'R'`C'76'q'``C'76'

–  "W3'q'"X

3'z'"\3'q'3C3'z'`3'763'q'D3`'763y'"W'q'3CEI'76'

–  W1V'xL?``C'76F'3CEB'76@'

–  `DC'76'q'QW'R'CEDn'"Wy'`IC'q'QW'z'CEDn'"W''

–  CEUn'z'CEUn'q'CEBk' Poolla & Spanos

Page 10: 97'-7)1;=&$17'1'/0'/01)2'18'5)1A#A-:-2'#7;'%#$%$&%F'G ...jnahas/Stat_II_Basic_Theory_V3_4X.pdf3`' • – – •E'' • – – – –! (X=0)= n" # $ % & ')(=" # $ % & )))))+***

Bj'© Joseph J. Nahas 2012

10 Dec 2012

./0'<07")#:'Z-6-"'./01)06N''•  ./0';-%")-A=$17'18'#'%=6'1)'#K0)#H0'18'6#72')#7;16'K#)-#A:0%'-%'&:1%0'"1'

71)6#:E'–  ./-%'-%'")=0'0K07'-8'"/0'K#)-#A:0'#)0'71"'-7;0507;07"'#7;'0K07'-8'"/02'/#K0'

;-m0)07"';-%")-A=$17%E'

•  >1)0'1A%0)K#$17%'#)0'700;0;'-8'"/0';-%")-A=$17'%/#50'-%'8#)'8)16'71)6#:E'•  L1';-%")-A=$17'%/1=:;'A0';16-7#7"E'

Sum of 5 unif. distr. numbers: Uniformly distributed number

P Nahas and Poolla & Spanos

NIST ESH 1.3.6.6.1 Bk'© Joseph J. Nahas 2012 10 Dec 2012

4-&0'#7;'"/0'<07")#:'Z-6-"'./01)06'

5(675'

5(685'

5(695'

5(6:5'

5(;55'

6' ;' <' =' >' 7'

()1A#A-:-"2'!-7H:0'4-0'

5(555'

5(5>5'

5(655'

5(6>5'

5(;55'

;' =' 7' 9' 65' 6;'

()1A#A-:-"2'.G1'4-0'

5(555'

5(5>5'

5(655'

5(6>5'

5(;55'

<' =' >' 7' 8' 9' :' 65'66'6;'6<'6='6>'67'68'69'

()1A#A-:-"2'./)00'4-0'