(9 :;. theory and practice of overfisidng: a ......theory and practice of overfishing: a southeast...

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146 (9 :;. THEORY AND PRACTICE OF OVERFISIDNG: A SOUTHEAST ASIAN PERSPECTIVEa) by Daniel Pauly International Center for Living Aquatic Resources Management M.C.P.O. Box 1501, Makati Metro Manila, Philippines ABSTRACT A brief review is given of the demersal and pelagic fisheries of Southeast Asia, with emphasis on biological and socioeconomic factors (such as, for example, the presence of inshore shrimp stocks and mass unemployment, respectively) and which tend to promote over-exploitation of marine fish resources. It is shown that several models routinely used by fishery biologists to assess Southeast Asian fish stocks tend to lead to management advice that is less conservative than warranted. Straightforward remedies exist for the latter set of problems. On the other hand, non-traditional approaches wiII have to be identified to deal with .problems related to resource over-exploitation. Introduction This contribution is an attempt to discuss overfishing, with emphasis on those aspects of the phenomenon that are relevant to Southeast Asia. The following forms of over fishing wiII be discussed: i) growth overfishing, ii) recruitment overfishing, iii) ecosystem overfishing, . iv) economic overfishing. (Conceptual and operational definitions of these four forms of overfishing will be given below). Southeast Asia is extremely diverse, both in terms of its peoples, cultures and natural resources and has therefore frequently been labelled as the "Europe of Asia". This comparison, in the context of the present contribution begs the question as to whether Southeast Asian fisheriesare in a state of overfishingsimilar to that of Northern Europe, whose fisheries have been stated to dissipate a potential rent of about 109 US$ annually (Gulland 1982). The central core of Southeast Asia is formed by the countries forming the Association of Southeast Asian Nations, or ASEAN (i.e., Brunei, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore and Thailand). Closely related to these through cultural, historic and economic ties are Burma to the west, Vietnam, Kampuchea and the southern China coast (including Hong Kong and Taiwan) to the east and Papua New Guinea to the south. As can b~ seen from Table 1 (column E), the economies of these countries differ widely, with GNP per capita ranging from values wellabove US$6,OOOper year for Singapore and Brunei to values of the below USS200 per year. Overall marine landings from the countries listed in Table 1 are of about 6.7 milIion tonnes annually, 01 which about 64% consist of demersal resources(i.e., animal caught near the sea bottom using gears such as otter trawl), which themselves consist of 11.40/0penaeid shrimp. a) ICLARM Contribution No. 356. Prepared for presentation at the 22nd Session of the Indo-Pacific Fishery Commission. Darwin, Australia, 16-26 February 1987.

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146 (9 :;.

THEORY AND PRACTICE OF OVERFISIDNG:A SOUTHEAST ASIAN PERSPECTIVEa)

by

Daniel PaulyInternational Center for Living Aquatic Resources Management

M.C.P.O. Box 1501, Makati

Metro Manila, Philippines

ABSTRACT

A brief review is given of the demersal and pelagic fisheries of Southeast Asia, with emphasison biological and socioeconomic factors (such as, for example, the presence of inshore shrimp stocksand mass unemployment, respectively) and which tend to promote over-exploitation of marine fishresources.

It is shown that several models routinely used by fishery biologists to assess Southeast Asianfish stocks tend to lead to management advice that is less conservative than warranted. Straightforwardremedies exist for the latter set of problems. On the other hand, non-traditional approaches wiIIhave

to be identified to deal with .problems related to resource over-exploitation.

Introduction

This contribution is an attempt to discuss overfishing, with emphasis on those aspects of the phenomenonthat are relevant to Southeast Asia. The following forms of over fishing wiII be discussed:

i) growth overfishing,ii) recruitment overfishing,iii) ecosystem overfishing,

. iv) economic overfishing.(Conceptual and operational definitions of these four forms of overfishing will be given below).

Southeast Asia is extremely diverse, both in terms of its peoples, cultures and natural resources and has

therefore frequently been labelled as the "Europe of Asia". This comparison, in the context of the presentcontribution begs the question as to whether Southeast Asian fisheriesare in a state of overfishingsimilar to that

of Northern Europe, whose fisheries have been stated to dissipate a potential rent of about 109 US$ annually

(Gulland 1982).

The central core of Southeast Asia is formed by the countries forming the Association of Southeast Asian

Nations, or ASEAN (i.e., Brunei, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore and Thailand). Closely related tothese through cultural, historic and economic ties are Burma to the west, Vietnam, Kampuchea and the southernChina coast (including Hong Kong and Taiwan) to the east and Papua New Guinea to the south.

As can b~ seen from Table 1 (column E), the economies of these countries differ widely, with GNP per

capita ranging from values well above US$6,OOOper year for Singapore and Brunei to values of the below USS200per year.

Overall marine landings from the countries listed in Table 1 are of about 6.7 milIion tonnes annually, 01

which about 64% consist of demersal resources(i.e., animal caught near the sea bottom using gears such as ottertrawl), which themselves consist of 11.40/0penaeid shrimp.

a) ICLARM Contribution No. 356. Prepared for presentation at the 22nd Session of the Indo-Pacific Fishery Commission. Darwin,

Australia, 16-26 February 1987.

s.mondoux
Text Box
Pauly, D. 1987. Theory and practice of overfishing: A Southeast Asian perspective, p. 146-163. In: Proceedings of the 22nd Session of the Indo-Pacific Fisheries Commission, Darwin, Australia, 16-26 February 1987. RAPA. Bangkok
s.mondoux
Text Box
.

147

Table 1. Selected statistics relevant to the fisheries of the countries mentioned in this contribution.

A. Country. ASEAN countries are in italics; China is not included, because only its South China Sea coast belongs to'Southeast Asia.

B. Area in km2 x 103, from Anon. (1985, p. 6-7).

C. Coastline length in km, from Marr (1976) except for Burma (from Anon. 1982), and PNG (from Frielink 1983).

D. Population in millions, from Anon. /1985, p. 6-7).

E. Annual per capita income (USS), from Hinton (1985): note large per capita income .for Brunei, due to relatively large oil revenues.

F. Annual marine landings in metric tons x 103, from FAD Statistics for 1983, except for PNG which is from P. Dalzell and A. Wright (PNG

Dept. of Primary Industry, pers. comm.); figure excludes tuna and baitfish, whose fishery essentially stopped in 1981, as well as beche-de-mer

and pearl shells.

O. Demersal component of marine landings in metric tons x 103, from FAD Statistics for 1983, except for PNG which is based on data in

Wright and Richards (1985) and which consists mainly of reef fishes, for Kampuchea whose value of 27 (from Aoyama 1973) refers to

pre-war(1971)trawler catches and for Burma and Vietnam whose demersalcomponent was set at approximately 90070and SOOJoof their total marinecatch, respectively.

H. Penaeid shrimp production in metric tons x 103, from FAD Statistics for 1983 (and including aquaculture production), except for Burma

(Price and Kyaw Htin 1984), Brunei (Currie 1982), Kampuchea (Aoyama 1973) and PNG (Anon. 1979). Note that the latter fishery

conducted in the Gulf of Papua also catches about 7,000 tons of fish per year, all of which is discarded. The figure for Kampuchea (trawler

catch of shrimp in 1971) is dated and is given here to serve as minimum estimate of potential yield.

The latter as will be shown below are extremely important both in terms of their higher value (usuallyabout 10times the value of the demersal fish with which they are caught), and in terms of their nearshore distribution,about which more will be said later. Figure 1 presents a map of the distribution of major shrfmping grounds inSoutheast Asia, along with averaged annual catches in thousand tonnes.

Forms of overfishing occurring in Southeast Asia

Growth overfishing is that aspect of overfishing that is conceptually easiest to grasp, and which is easiest

to theoretically account for. It i~in layman's terms what occurs when-jfish are caught before 'they had "a chanceto grow" (note that growth overfishing has nothing to do with fish reproduction which is dealt with under "recruitmentoverfishing" -see below). The converse of growth over fishing is growth underfishing which is what occurs when

fish are caught at such an advanced age that their death rate (as due to natural causes) exceeds the rate at which

they grow~ The methods most commonly used to identify the level of fishing and associated mesh size whichmaximizethe yield from a given number of young fish (i.e., "recruits") have been developed by Beverton and Holt(1957). Massive growth over fishing occurs in Southeast Asian stocks, as will be discussed further below.

Recruitment overfishing is what occurs when so few adult fish are left in a given exploited stock that theproduction and/or survival of eggs (and larvae) is reduced to the extent that recruitment to a fishery is impaired.

Many of the concepts related to recruitment overfishing have been first formulated by Ricker (1954).

- ----

A B C D E F G H

Brunei 5.80 163 0.2 12,000 3 3 0.5Burma 677 2,800 37 200 443 400 1.0lndonesia 1,919 36,800 169 500 1,600 900 130Kampuchea 181 435 6.2 95 51 27 1.3Malaysia 329 3,400 16 1,800 726 523 76.5Papua New Guinea 462 10,000 3.3 800 13 11.2 1.0

Philippines 300 17,500 57 800 127 704 55.7Singapore 0.62 140 2.6 6,500 191 17.1 0.0Thailand 5.40 2,580 53 700 2,100 1,.770 174Vietnam 330 2,310 61 170 505 250 49.1

49~~" ~24v ~

) ~£~

1300E1000E ~"..00

100N

~ ~O

~

~ ~ c::>

Q~

10°55

c::::>

~O~ ~~ 10°5

1000E 1100E 1200E 1300E

Fig. 1. Major shrimping grounds of Southeast Asia (shaded), with average annual catch (1976-1978) for each area10 tbousaads of metric tODS(from SCSP1981, with figures for Brunei, Burma, Kampuchea and Vietnam addedw__ T 1).

149

Recruitment overfishing is usually harder to detect than growth overfishing, and one of the. few (or theonly?) "stock recruitment" curves so far derived for a Southeast fish stock is shown here as Figure 2.

Fig. 2. Stock-recruitment data of false trevally (Lactarius lactarius)in the Gulf of Thailand, fitted with Rickercurves(GM and AM) (from Pauly 1984a).

Ecosystem overfishing has been defined elsewhere as what takes place in a [ multispeciesJ stock whenthe decline (through fishing) of the originally abundant stocks is not fully compensated for by the contemporaryor subsequent increase of the biomass of other exploitable animals" (pauly 1979). A now exemplery case of ecosystemoverfishing is the Gulf of Thailand, where species (e.g., slipmouths, Fam: Leiognathidae) that were extremelyabundant when the fishery began were partially replaced (e.g., by squids, Loligo spp.) but where this and other

species replacement failed by far to compensate for the enormous drop in overall catch per effort (Table 2).

Economic overfishing occurs when less than maximum economic yield is obtained from a fishery, i.e.,when fishing effort exceeds that needed to maximize the economic rent (or pure profits) from a fishery. It will beshown below that concepts such as this, far from being irrelevant to fishery biologists, are in fact highly compatiblewith biologically sound management, particularly in Southeast Asian waters.

A partial list of overfishing effects on single and multispecies stocks is given in Table 3.

--

350[ rooD300 6,000

::0(I)(')

250 5,000 Eo-+en- ..U) 5'0-

4,000 §)( 200 . 1968- ::;11) en= 0:3 .....

t; 150 1967 3,000CU .a:: c

2.

1001-1 1969'\,(\e./ I '12,000. en-+

01971

Virgin 'stock I 000

(')

50 "e "'"

,

01,000 1,500 2pOO 2,500 3pOO

Spawning stock (XI03f)

Table 1. M,an calch composilion (In kg ptr lrawllng hour) during sUrY,yacODdDcl,dby R/V Pramong1 and R/V Pramong 9 In walen < 50 m or Ih. Cuir or Thanand..

Groups identified 1961b 1963 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 197$ 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982

leiognalhidae $3.00 71.$0 20.02 10.87 14.37 10.$9 10.2$ 2.98 4.86 6.00 1.70 2.$3 (2.64) (2.76) (2.87) (2.98) (3.09) (3.21) 3.32

Carangidae 44.00 19.70 9.89 9.11 9.90 9.2$ 9.08 3.89 3.83 2.8$ 2.62 2.34 1.91 2.22 2.32 2.$2 2.3$ 1.1$ 1.30

Nemiplervs spp. 3$.00 18.40 1$.31 11.78 7.46 7.40 8.61 7.31 4.73 3.20 3.07 $.89 $.7$ $.34 3.99 4.98 4.73 4.39 3.77

Seiaenidae 1.00 18.30 2.60 4.$4 2.68 0.63 1.46 0.61 0.70 0.17 0.1$ 0.12 0.16 0.30 2.$S 0.06 0.40 0.14 0.07Mullidae 1.00 16.10 S.9O 9.74 7.24 6.14 3.77 2.74 1.91 1.96 0.89 1.60 !.S4 1.07 1.22 0.6S 0.78 O.SI 0.37

Rays 114.891 14.80 9.63 4.77 2.17 2.99 2.86 1.3S 1.22 I.S4 O.I 1.14 0.63 0.61 I.IS 0.31 0.17 0.31 0.10

Saurida spp. IS.OO 11.30 $.34 4.$1 S.42 S.29 6.64 3.07 3.32 1.87 . 2.29 1.6S 2.91 3.02 2.76 2.79 3.39 2.70 2.67

Taehysuridae 10.00 7.40 3.S9 2.14 1.79 1.31 1.44 0.98 0.4S 0.61 0.41 0.33 0.29 0.24 0.34 0.27 0.24 0.14 0.00

LoUgo spp. (2.14 ) 6.10 8.04 9,13 10.60 11.61 US 11.03 14.23 9.94 14.28 6.42 9.27 8.31 8.99 6.79 6.98 7.28 8.61

Scolopsis spp. 4.00 7.60 4.74 3.28 2.6S 3.91 2.62 1.91 1.38 0.98 0.71 0.74 0.87 0.72 0.6S 0.37 O.SS O.SS 0.48

Priaeanlhus spp. $.00 S.6O 4.08 7.17 6.22 7.4S 7.38 S.21 1.89 2.43 S.44 2.10 2.87 2.33 3.11 3.87 4.09 4.41 3.78Sharks 12.11 ) 2.10 1.86 1.64 1.04 0.60 0.7$ 0.60 0.S4 0.4S 0.28 0.14 0.21 0.30 O.IS 0.19 O.OS 0.21 0.12

Sphyroena SI'lP. 3.00 2.10 1.74 1.37 0.74 1.14 1.43 0.3S 0.31 O.IS 0.22 0.16 O.IS 0.17 0.36 0.S2 0.29 0.34 0.30

Thenus spp. 3.00 2.00 0.72 0.34 0.3S 0.29 0.19 0.13 0.11 O.OS 0.04 0.03 0.04 0.06 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.12

LUljanidal: 8.00 !.SO 4.76 4.02 3.83 3.01 2.2S 0.99 0.S6 0.S4 0.41 0.43 0.7S 0.20 O.SO 0.77 0.47 0.49 0.89

Plcclorhynchidae 2.00 1.30 1.17 1.37 0.9S 1.09 0.63 0.23 0.14 0.09 0.14 0.11 0.09 0.07 0.09 0.06 0.20 O.OS 0.02

Trichiuridae 10.00 0.90 1.01 1.24 1.46 0.74 0.94 0.69 0.8S 1.02 0.84 2.87 1.86 1.2$ 0.98 2.10 0.39 0.29 0.7SSerranidae 2.00 0.80 1.23 1.37 1.0S 0.9S 0.86 O.SI 0.33 0.33 0.21 0.4S O.SI 0.S9 0.41 0.66 0.63 0.47 0.4SRaslrelliger negleelus (0.96) 0.80 0.19 0.37 0.$1 1.03 I.S4 0.40 0.16 0.22 0.08 0.14 0.09 0.08 0.19 0.41 0.17 0.14 0.2SCrabs (0.84) 0.70 0.92 0.61 0.70 0.86 1.32 I.\S 1.61 0.91 1.60 1.00 0.7$ 0.8S ' 0.87 1.12 1.0S 0.66 0.$1Laelar/us laelarius 2.00 0.60 0.S9 0.19 0.23 0.10 0.02 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Shrimps (0.72) 0.60 0.27 0.12 0.09 0.11 O.IS 0.26 0.22 0.10 0.09 0.16 0.24 0.31 0.24 0.24 0.42 0.29 0.37Pomadas)'s spp. (0.48) 0.40 0.41 0.32 0.21 0.30 0.16 O.OS 0.06 0.08 O.OS 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.00 O.OS

Seomberomorvs spp. 0.20 0.40 0.61 0.47 0.82 1.08 0.S6 0.33 0.38 O.SS 0.44 0.30 0.30 0.27 0.28 0.3S 0.S2 0.18 0.41

Pampus spp. (0.48) 0.40 0.27 0.16 0.19 0.13 0.09 O.OS O.OS 0.04 0.17 0.03 0.01 0.03 0.03 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.02Psellodes erumei (0.48) 0.40 0.99 0.63 0.S8 0.6S 0.S6 0.71 O.SI 0.30 0.2S 0.36 0.24 0.24 0.22 0.16 0.20 0.17 0.09

Chirocenlrvs spp. (0.24) 0.20 0.19 0.13 0.30 0.17 0.23 O.IS 0.10 0.14 0.22 0.13 0.17 0.21 0.23 0.43 0.24 0.22 0.20

Raehycenlron eanadus (0.24) 0.20 0.24 0.33 0.23 0.21 0.22 0.09 0.13 0.08 0.17 0.02 0.10 0.10 0.06 0.12 0.07 O.OS 0.07Lethrinidae 0.30 0.20 0.47 0.86 0.33 0.28 0.2S 0.11 0.16 O.OS O.OS 0.04 0.16 0.11 O.OS 0.09 0.13 0.11 0.04

Muroenesox spp. (0.12) 0.10 0.24 0.16 0.21 0.66 0.26 0.29 0.21 0.12 0.14 0.30 0.18 0.17 0.18 0.08 0.14 0.12 0.12Rhinobatidae (O.S) (1.18) 0.62 0.6S 0.84 0.43 0.40 0.48 0.06 0.11 0.01 0.09 0'.02 0.09 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00

Anadonlosloma spp. (O.SS) (0.46) 0.24 O.IS 0.30 0.36 0.21 0.11 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.03Gerridae (1S.38) (12.86) (6.76) S.93 3.13 3.06 2.SS 1.49 0.8S 0.49 1.41 0.69 1.11 0.80 0.S4 O.OS 0.09 0.06 0.04

Raslrelliger kanogurla (0.96) (0.80) 0.42 0.66 0.63 0.96 0.86 0.47 0.36 0.26 0.26 0.18 0.20 0.28 0.4S 0.40 0.2S 0.20. 0.22Bothidae (1.44) (1.20) 0.63 0.33 0.38 0.36 0.32 0.S2 0.S8 0.26 0.16 0.3S 0,18 0.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00Cynoglossidae (0.28) (0.23) 0.12 0.06 0.04 0.14 0.07 0.24 0.31 0.13 0.06 0.37 0.09 0.10 0.09 0.11 0.14 0.10 0.04

Sepia spp. [1.86 ) (S.32) 2.80 1.87 2.10 2.33 2.62 2.28 2.97 L87 3.10 2.31 2.41 2.39 2.43 2.36 1.84. 1.71 1.27Misc. fish S4.63 14.40 12.37 12.44 13.79 14.77 IS.14 12.S2 13.01 12.02 13.80 11.4S 18.S0 11.24 13.7S IS.80 13.9 8.11 12.4S

TOlal calch (includingmisc. fish) 297.80 248.9$ 130.98 114.84 10S.$4 102.37 97.24 66.31 63.12 $1.92 S7.68 46.99 S7.22 46.98 $1.12 S1.66 48.14 38.77 43.36

No. or hauls 133 200 713 713 719 720 718 720 720 718 S40 480 261 $79 436 23$ 24S IS9. 21S

0 '!Wed on Tkws (196'. 1971)lor 1963.I97JInd on Eiamsa'ird and Dhamnl,om (1979. 1980).Eiamsa.1Id(1981). o..,nprascnpom (1981).Vadhan.akul tf .1. (1985) and MeemcskuJ(1986) lor 1974.1981;values in round brackets are Inter or <X'..pol"ed.\0'Sued onTicws(1962).with'IaluaInroundbracketscxltapolaledusina" In1%3caleh:valuainsquarebrackcuorlainaDrrertrrtd10"sharksand ra)'s"and"ccphalopods"andwereusi,ncd 10lowerWa in rclaLionto theirvaluaIn1963..-1

151

Table 3. Some Effects of Biological and Economic Overfishingin (Multispecies)Stocks

Single Species Fisheries

i) reduction of size (length and weight) of the animals caught, hence:-- usually a reduction in value per unit weight--- usually higher handling, sorting and processing costs per unit weight

ii) reduction of biomass on the ground, hence--- reduction of catch per unit effort (and hence returns) of individual vessels

Hi) reduction of total catch (at high levels of effort), hence--- lowered overall food supply--- increased prices-- need to import substitutesand hence, increased nutritional deficiency among poorer segments of the population.

iv) increased fluctuation of stock due to reduced number of age groups in stock and to reduced "buffering"of recruitment fluctuations, hence .

-- more frequent occurrence of periods with extremely low catches

--increasing risk of occasional recruitment failure, inclusive of total collapse of stock fishery

v) lowered income among fishermen; hence--a multitude of social ills such as violent conflicts between pauperized small-scale fishermen and

their "industrial" competitors

Multispecies Fisheries

i) same as (i) to (v) above, plus:

ii) massive changes in species composition of catch, i.e.--- disappearance of previously important species,__ increase of unmarketable species ("trash fish") and/or squids (see Larkin and Gasey 1982,

Pauly 1985)--- reduction in average value of species mix.

Examples of stock assessment practices that promote overfishing

It is common "knowledge" -at least among fishery biologists -that fishermen, or "politicians" are at

fault when over fishing o~curs, since all that fishery biologists do is give conservative advice which goes unheeded.

However, I shall show in the following paragraphs that a number of models routinely used by fishery

biologists to formulate management advice have the common feature of suggesting management goals that induceoverfishing.

Example I. Using e"oneous techniques for fitting surplus yield models to time series of catch-and-effort data.

The most commonly used models for fishing management are various surplus production models, such as

those proposed by Schaefer (1957) or Fox (1970). Notwithstandin~ their original assumptions (which strictly applyonly to single species stocks), these models are routinely applied to multispecies situations, and "MSY" estimatesand their associated level of effort ( Hf ") proposed as management goals. (Gulland 1983).msy

Numerous authors (notably in contributions to the Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci.) have shown that these

models tend to overestimate both MSY and fmsy when marked annual variations of recruitment occur.

No instance of this point being considered has come to my attention for Southeast Asia, but this is easy to

explain given that the mathematical reasoning presented by these authors is, too obscure to most practioners.

152

On the other hand, no real excuse is available for not heeding Gulland's (1969) straightforward advice of

explicitly accounting for lags in the response of the catch to the change in effort, e.g., by averaging effort over a

period corresponding to the lifespan of the fish in single or multispecies stocks. As can be seen on Fig. 3, this simple

adjustment has the effect of reducing estimatesof MSY and fmsy, i.e., of providing both biologically more correctand also more conservative advice.

.r:::.o-ao

. .. .

c::)Cc«

AM,no lags (I)

AM, lags included (2)

GM,no lags (3)

GM,lags included (4)

Fishing effort

Fig. 3. Schematic representation of the impact of regression type (AM or predictive vs GM or functional) and"lagged" effort (i.e., mean of contemporaryeffort + effort of precedingyear)on a highscatterdata set as typicallyobtained from tropical fisheries (adapted from Fig. 10.3 in Pauly 1984a).Note declinefrom (1) to (4) of "MSY"

and "fmsy" estimates (see text).

In a similar vein, it can only be wondered why authors keep using arithmetic mean (AM) or predictiveregression for their elf vs. effort plots, given that this regression type assumes the data on the abscissa scale, i.e.,effort to be measured without error (Ricker 1973) which is clearly unrealistic.

Rather, one should use a geometric mean (GM) or functional regression, i.e., use instead of

clf = a + b f ...1)

a plot of

clf = a' + b' f

where b' = b/lrl

...2)

...3)

where Irl is the absolute value of the correlation betweenclf and f values and where

a' = (crf - I)/b'

I

...4)I

As may be seen in figure 3, this simple, statistically appropriate, modification automatically accounts for uncertainty I

in the data by "translating" a low value of r into lower estimates of MSY and fmsy

--- - ---

... -- -

153

Example II. Estimating optimum mesh sizesfrom length-per-recruit analyses based on the assumption of knife-edgeselection.

For reasons such as the lack of computers, programmable calculators and the like at the time they developedtheir theory, Beverton and Holt (1957) incorporated in their otherwise rather realistic model the assumption that

meshsize selection by a gear such as trawl is "knife-edged", i.e., all fish below a certain length ("Lc") are assumedto be able to escape through the mesh of the net, while all fish above that length are assumed to be caught. Theseauthors were also able to show, with reference to more extensive computations involving realistic selection ogives

that the assumption of knife-edge selection had little or no impact on their yield per recruit analyses and estimatesof optimum mesh size in relatively large fish such as plaice and other North Sea fishes.

Figure 4 shows the results of incorporating realistic selection ogives into yield per recruit-anaJysis (i.e., inthe method used to estimate optimum mesh sizes), in the small fish typical of Southeast Asian demersal stocks,

as compared to results based on the knife-edge assumption. As might be seen the differences are profound. Allone needs to add here is that to date all estimate s of optimum mesh sizes performed in Southeast Asia and inneighboring areas (e.g., Sainsbury 1984 and Table 3) assumed knife-edg~ selection, and that most textbooks ofstockassessment continue to advocate the knife-edge assumption, even for gillnet selection curve (e.g., Gulland1983).

Example Ill. Continuing the use of Gul/and's equation for potential yield estimates.

Gulland (1970) proposed, as a rule of thumb, that the fishing mortality generating MSY (= Fmsy ) shouldbeapproximately equal to M, the rate of natural mortality in a stock, and used an equation based on this assumption,i.e.,

MSY = 1/2 x M x unexploitedbiomass ...5)

to estimate (potential) MSY in a variety of tropical stocks, including multispecies stocks (for which a mean valueorM is extremely hard to define). The equation continues to be used widely although it has been shown to be grosslymisleadingby a number of authors, notably Francis (1976) and particularly Beddington and Cooke (1983) who

showedthat Fmsy = M, applies only in fisheswith lowvaluesof M, such as, for example,North Sea plaice, andthat Fmsy is much smaller than M when the latter is high -as occursin the small, short -lived species characteristicof tropical waters (Pauly 1980).

Although more could be put forward, these three examples should suffice to illustrate the contention thatfisherybiologists far from being innocent observers of the over fishing scene have contributed to it and continue to10 so -through over optimistic estimation of potential yields (or of sustained yields in exploited fisheries), as wellas through overoptimistic advice as to appropriate levels of fishing effort and mesh size.

[ Lest this last paragraph be misunderstood, I hasten to add here that I do belong to the group of fisherybiologists that is being criticized here. Also, I suspect that fisheries economists commit similar mistakes, e.g., by

not considering all factors, including hidden subsidies when they estimate fishing costs. J

Particular features of Southeast Asian fisheries that make them particularly susceptible to overfishing (adapted In.part from Pauly and Neal 1985)

Item I: 'The co-occurrence of penaeid shrimp and the bulk of the demersal fISh stocks.

In 1980, the price per kg (live weight) of medium quality penaeid shrimp in the Philippines was about 56

pesos(8 Philippine P = lUS$ in 1980). During the same period, the price of medium quality demersal fish wasabout 7 pesos/kg (Anon. 1981). The 8: 1 ratio between these two prices, which is typical of the situation prevailingin Southeast Asia is one of the root causes of a number of biological, technological and social problems besetting

the demersal fisheries of this region. These problems, although they form a continuum may be split into 3 sets,as follows:

154

Assumingknife -edgeselection

-.-2 0.030oQ)'-'-Q)a.

"0

Q)':;'Q)>

0.030 Using a realisticselection ogive

-.QQ)

0::

0.010

Fig. 4. Effect of the "knife-edge assumption" on yield-per-recruit estimates In a single species stock of small fishor shrimp Note that overoptimistic estimates are generated when the unrealistic knife-edge assumption Is made

(Adapted from Pauly and Soriano 1986 ) .

o 0.2 0.4

Exploitation

0.6 0.8

rate (F/Z)

Table 4. Optimum mesh size for the cod-end of Southeast Asian trawlers as estimated using various methods

(present mesh size is usually 2 cm or less).

Area/country Sources and remarks

Southern South China Sea

Malacca Strait

Inner Gulf of Thailand

Brunei

San Miguel Bay,

Philippinesa

San Miguel Bay,Philippinesa

Southern Samar Sea,

Philippines

No. of species (groups)in<;luded in analysis

Optimum cod-end

mesh size (cm)

Sinoda et al. (1979) based onoriginal method derived fromconsiderations in Jones (1976).

Results apply to landed weightsand values.

Meemeskul (1979) based onmethod of Sinoda et al. (1979).

Lindley (1982), based on anapproach suggested by Jones(1976).

Based on landed weight. Smithet al. (1983), using method ofSinoda et al. (1979).

Based on landed value, Smith

et al. (1983), using method ofSinoda et al. (1979).

Silvestre (1986), based on anoriginal model which assumedknife-edge recruitment and/orselection.

44 4.5- 5.5

'One of the 16 groups was "penaeid shrimp"; their inclusion. and their high price had surprisingly liule impact on overaU mesh sizeestimate. .

38 4.5 - 5.5

51 4.5- 5.5

numerous, but emphasison 4 spp. of Leiognathidae

4

16 504

16 5.3

10 3.5

--

155

- problems in assessing the shrimp and associated fish stocks, inclusive of the problems associated withaccounting for the biological interaction between fish and shrimp (Larkin and Gasey 1982, Pauly 1982,1984b);

technological problems arising from the attempts to catch only one part of the exploited shrimp/fishcomplex (e.g., catching shrimp but no fish or vice ver.sa);

- social problems arising from fishing on inshore fishing grounds by trawlers aiming at shrimp concentrations.

As will be noticed, these problems do not include the "bycatch" problem per se, due to the fact that mostfish caught in Southeast Asia are landed even when taken incidentally with shrimp. Exceptions are the demersal

fISheriesof Malaysia, the shrimp fisheries in the Arafura Sea (Naamin 1984)and in the Gulf of Papua (see Table 1).The relatively short duration of fishing trips which is interrelated with the lack of ice usage or the use of too little ice

(Baasch et al. 1976) enables shrimp fishermen to land fish more easily than, e.g., in most shrimp fisheries in thewestern hemisphere. Perhaps more important is the fact that there is typically a ready market for all bycatch inSoutheast Asia for use as human food, fish meal, animal or fish feed or fish sauce. Other than for human food,the bycatch need not be in good condition to be marketed.

All of the above problems occur because shrimp occur in commercially exploitable quantities in SoutheastAsia only in habjtats which are also the habitats of a large number of fish, and often in which the fish occur

predominantly as juveniles.

In fact, the co-occurrence of certain species of shrimp with certain species offish led to some fish speciesbeingreferred to as "shrimp indicators"; such species are, for example, Bombay duck (Harpodon neheros), croakers(Fam:Sciaenidae) and hairtail (Fam: Trichiuridae) (Unar and Naamin 1984). Other indicator species are Leiognathusequulus and Leiognathus splendens (Rapson and McIntosh 1972).

This implies that in Southeast Asia, at least, attempts to. "disentangle" the smaIl-scale inshore fisheries from

the trawl fisheries by classical legislative or adm1nistrative means (exclusive zones, bans on inshore fishing fortrawlers, and others) will generally not work because the offshore stocks, defined roughly as those occurring atdepths greater than 50 m, simply cannot support commercial trawl fisheries. Figure 5 shows the reason why.

The development of gear capable of selectively catching shrimp or at least increasing the proportion of

shrimp in catches was at its onset driven by two considera~ions, neither of them necessarily related to attempts toreduce fish mortality per se. They were:

- to reduce the turtle bycatch,

- to reduce the time spent sorting the shrimp from the overall catch.

The first of these considerations affected mainly the USA segment of the Gulf of Mexico shrimp fishery(Watsonand Seidel 1980), and is related to concerns that are external to the fishery itself (i.e., to conserve turtles).The second consideration is often due to economic considerations within the fishery itself and may in the longtermbe more successful, especially when the reduction of the fish bycatch can be demonstrated to benefit the finfish

fisheries. Figure 6 illustrates schematically some technological approaches to reducing shrimp bycatch (see alsoSternin and Allsopp 1982).

Within Southeast Asia, research on fish-excluding devices on shrimp trawlers has been conducted mainly

in Indonesia, notably in the Arafura Sea. Reports of these experiments have been presented by Sujastani (1984and Figure 6). Some conclusions from these experiments are:

"The application of [ a bycatch excluding device J for shrimping is very useful for fishery management.It conserves fishery resources, saves operational time for sorting and reduces waste. The simultaneous

implementation of (a bycatch excluding device and mesh-size. regulation for (the) shrimping industry inthe Arafura Sea (...) has been an ideal management measure."

The effectiveness of the bycatch excluding device (BED) is reported to stem from the feature that, whilereducing the shrimp catch to an insignificant extent, it reduces the fish catch to a large exte'nt, thus markedly

156

Little exploited stocksAdjusted catch/effort (kg/h) Catch/effort (kglh)

09 1~0 290 390 00 100 200 300

50 50

-E E- -.c 100-CoQ)

o

of: 100c.Q)

o

150. Ph"ili ppines.

(1946-47, all shelf)

150 Burma(1979-'82, aU shelf)

200 200

Fig. 5. Depth distribution of some Southeast Asian demersa

~

stOCkS'as established from trawling surveys using

similar gears, or through appropriate conversion factors. Not similarity of the two little-exploited stocks, and theabsence of the shallow water "bulge" in the exploited stoc s, suggestive of a concentration of trawl effort inshallow waters (graphs based on data in Warfel and Manaco 1950, Pauly et aI. 1984, Saeger 1983, Saeger et al.1976 and Sujastani et al. 1976, respectively).

Strongly explbited stocksCatch/effort (kglh) Cateh/effort (kglh)

09 100 20000

100 200I I

-I I I I 7 I

'-;>

E

-;:50001 J 001

c.Q)

0

lQO Iocr . t 100

Southern Samar Sea Nort Java Coast I Malacca Strait(1979 -aO,phi Iippines) (1-97 ,Indones ia) (1975, Indonesia)

157

BagA

BED~~

I, I'I ,

,~""""- "

"- ""

Reverse barrier

Fig. 6. Schematic representation of various methods to reduce bycatch of turtles and fish in shrimp trawling.. reverse barrier prevents turtles from entering the mouth of the net,. turtle excluder device allows escape of turtles (caught when reverse barrier Is not used),. bycatch excluder device (BED) reduces bycatch of large vertebrates (large fish and turtles caught when reverse

barrier is not used).

Adapted from figures in Watson and Seidel (1980, Fig. 2) and Sujastani (1984, Fig. 1).

increasingthe shrimp/fish ratio in the catch and hence reducing catch sorting time and hence fishing (Sujastani1984)and hence costs.

A discussion such as this can deal only superficiaJIy with the social, political, economic and related

problems caused by or associated with the co-occurrence of shrimp and fish on the richest demersal fishinggroundsof Southeast Asia (Fig. I). However, it should be mentioned here that selectively exploiting shrimp stockswithoutmarkedly reducing the associated fish biomass could increase the predator-prey ratio, and hence endangershrimp fisheries, as suggested in Pauly (1982, 1984) and Pauly and Mathews (1986).

Item II: Socioeconomic disparities as a cause of overj"lShing.

In most ASEAN countries, fish catches, shrimp catches and shrimp exports have all increased steadily

overthe last 20 years. Development funding has been used widely for adding new, larger boats, engines and gearto the trawl fishery.

While resources were under-exploited this expansion of effort was beneficial; however, many Southeast Asiantrawlfisheriesare today over-exploitingthe resources. Nevertheless,a lackof alternativeemploymentopportunities

hasresulted in continuing entry of more fishermen and more gear. Unfortunately, in recent years harvestS have

u __ ....

158

been increasing relatively slowly compared to earlier years and have not kept pace with demand. Kent (1983) hasnoted that in Thailand, Malaysia and the Philippines, seafood exports have expanded sharply while per capitaconsumption of seafood has declined. In Malaysia {or example, per capita availability of fish declined 30070between1967 and 1975. An increasing amount of the fish bycatch consists of small fish, often the juveniles of importantcommercial species (Sinoda et 01. 1978), which are used for animal feed (e.g., for cultured catfish in Thailand).The importance of the fish catch in relation to shrimp fisheries will be examined further below.

Although shrimp fisheries utilizing a variety of gears have existed probably for centuries, the introductionto Southeast Asia of other trawls and the larger vessels used to fish them brought about a major transition. To

fully understand the impact of this transition it must be kept in mind that numbers of small-scale fishermenutilizing other small gears for fish and shrimp were increasing simultaneously. Trawling has created a "trashfisb".industry; as trawling has increased, landings and usage of bycatch have also increased (Sinoda et 01. 1978).

Boonyubol and Pramokchutima (1984) observed that total catch of food fish has increased only slightly since 1963in Thailand; however, the "trashfish" catch has increased dramatically as is demonstrated by the increased numberof fish meal factories from 6 in 1967 to 95 in 1980. The high value of the shrimp taken by trawlers "subsidizes"the harvesting of fish populations at densities lower than would be economical if only the fish were taken.

The net effect of the situation is the conflict between trawl fishermen and small-scale fishermen usingtraditional gears (Fig. 7). It is not surprising that there are fewer fish as a result of shrimp trawling, or thatsmall-scale fishermen catch less than previously, or that the small-scale fishermen recognize the trawlers as one ofthe causes of their problems: Outside of total bans as in Indonesia, efforts to restrict trawling on traditional

, small-scale fishing ground near shore are largely ineffective because these grounds yield the best shrimp catches.The small-scale fishermen have no tenure rights to the resources or the areas fished and' thus tension mountsbetween the many poor fishermen and small number of well-equipped trawl owners and operators. Traditionalfishing and management systems have eroded and few viable alternative systems are in sight, short of radicalmeasures such as the trawling ban implemented in Indonesia (Sardjono 1980).

-Q)::3-

..cOU >

~

° 0U ......

..cOeJ).-o Q)J-3:

c-

...."..... ........... ."...............

G I . ..................... ..........................ea r . ................................

. . ...................................." ..".. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ., ... . . . . ... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. :.:.:.:.:.: .G..~...

(...

)..2. ..:.:.:.:.:.:.:............... . . . .... . . . . . . . .. . .. ... ear s .............. . '...' ' ............ ..... ... . ............. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . .1 1.I.' I.'... '. I.'. ' ' ' '. ........ . . . . . . ,.. . . . . . . . .......................................................................

Outside

Time

Fig. 7. Schematic re.presentation of the basic cause for conflicts between two types of gears exploiting a commol(multispecies) stock with a flat-topped surplus-produCtioncurve. Note that environmental and/or economicfluctuations may trigger off outside intervention ("management"), without being the actual reason why Olltgroup is "squeezed" by the other-which is actually due to gear(s) 2 being economically more efficient-or maRheavily subsidized-than the other. (see Larkin et 01. 1984 for a detailed discussion of this moded).

159

Discussion

The shrimp trawling problem discussed above is an example of the broader, general problem of conflictsbetween large-scale, expansive gear users and the small-scale, poor fishermen. Management agencies havegenerallybeen unable to formulate rational non-contradictory sets of management goals under these circumstances

(Lawson1978and see contributions in Pauly and Murphy 1982). In fact, they are serving two masters and politicalexpediencydictates that stated management goals appear to serve both the interests of the large-scale commercialfishermenand the poor small-scale fishermen. Thus, management goals often simultaneously include increasingtotalsustained harvest, increasing exports, increasing employment, improving distribution of benefits among thefishermenand improving the economic efficiency of the industry.

Among the various pressure groups striving to influence management decisions, the group most likely toprevail is that of the wealthy boat owners and exporters of high-priced fishery products (particularly shrimp)especiallyif the country concerned is "hungry for foreign exchange". Poor fishermen in Southeast Asia faceextremedifficulties in organizing themselves and thus have less opportunity to state their ca'se.

Fishery management schemes which do not address these issues, and especially the crushing povertyexperiencedby most fishermen and their families in Southeast Asia (as well as in other parts of the developing world),arebound to fail.

Acknowledgements

I would like to thank Ms. Matana Boonyubol (Fisheries Department, Bangkok) for providing me the thedataand references used to extend Table 2 beyond 1970.

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