9 - john sahlin - sahlin incose sd fall miniconf 2013 ... · 11/9/2013 ·...
TRANSCRIPT
Applica'on*of*Business*Systems*Architectures*
to*DoD*Engineering*Programs*
John P. Sahlin, Ph.D. Chief Technology Officer 619.213.3313 [email protected]
Presenta'on*to*the*INCOSE*San*Diego*18th*
Annual*Region*II*Fall*MiniCConference*
November*02,*2013*
Copyright*©*2013*by*John*P.*Sahlin.**Permission*granted*to*INCOSE*to*publish*and*use.*
Agenda*
• U.S.*Federal*Cloud*Compu'ng*Ini'a've*
• Value*of*Cloud*Compu'ng*
• Challenges*to*Adop'on*• Solu'on:*Systems*Engineer*as*Decision*Coach*
INCOSE*SD*18th*Annual*Region*II*Fall*Mini*Conference* 2*
U.S.*Federal*Cloud**
Compu'ng*Ini'a've*
• All*Federal*agencies*must*consider*op'ons*for*
cloud*compu'ng*before*acquiring*new*IT*
infrastructure.*
• Target*opportunity:*$20*Billion**– 25%*of*Federal*IT*Spending*
“Our*responsibility*in*government*is*to*achieve*
the*significant*cost,*agility*and*innova'on*
benefits*of*cloud*compu'ng*as*quickly*as*
possible.”*
~*Vivek*Kundra,*U.S.*CIO,*2011*
INCOSE*SD*18th*Annual*Region*II*Fall*Mini*Conference* 3*(Kundra,*2011)*
A*Stairway*to*the*Clouds*
(Mell*and*Grance,*2011;*Sahlin,*2013)*
NIST*Defini'on*of*Cloud*Compu'ng*Iden'fies*a*number*of*Cloud*
Compu'ng*Models*and*Technology*Enablers*
INCOSE*SD*18th*Annual*Region*II*Fall*Mini*Conference* 4*
Why*Cloud*Compu'ng?*
Cloud*Compu'ng*is*adrac've*to*commercial*industry*because*it*reduces*Total*Ownership*Costs*(TOC),*which*increases*
PROFIT*
(Rackspace,*2011)*
Problem: 80% IT Expense is NOT spent on CORE Business
But do Business Architectures make sense for Government? INCOSE*SD*18th*Annual*Region*II*Fall*Mini*Conference* 5*
Federal*Adop'on*of*Cloud*
Compu'ng*
• U.S.*federal*government*spending*on*cloud*
compu'ng*will*reach*$1.7*billion*in*2014*and*
is*likely*to*exceed*$7*billion*by*2017*
~IDC*Research,*2013*
• U.S.*Federal*Cloud*Spending*slightly*increased*from*FY2012*to*FY2013*
~U.S.*Office*of*Management*and*Budget,*2013*
INCOSE*SD*18th*Annual*Region*II*Fall*Mini*Conference* 6*(McCarthy,*2013;*McCarthy,*2013a)*
Federal*Adop'on*of*Cloud:*
A*Closer*Look*
Real*growth*in*Federal*Cloud*Compu'ng*is*simply*Data*
Center*Consolida'on*(IaaS)*
Cloud&Model&FY2012&Cloud&Spending&($M)&
FY2013&Cloud&Spending&($M)&
%&Change&
Sokware*as*a*
Service*(SaaS)*$***765* $***740* C*3%*
Plalorm*as*a*
Service*(PaaS)*$***317* $***315* C*1%*
Infrastructure*as*a*
Service*(IaaS)*$1,000* $1,200* +*20%*
Total* $2,082* $2,255* +*8%*
Why is higher-order Cloud Computing declining? INCOSE*SD*18th*Annual*Region*II*Fall*Mini*Conference* 7*
(McCarthy,*2013a)*
Affordable*Care*Act:*
Insurance*Exchanges*
When*the*Affordable*Health*Care*Act*went*into*effect*on*October*1,*
2013,*the*Federal*Heath*Care*Exchange*(HealthCare.gov)*experienced*a*
number*of*issues*regarding*site*performance*and*sokware*problems*
Outsourcing*this*
exchange*to*a*public*
cloud*(e.g.,*Amazon*
Web*Services)*could*
have*allowed*for*onC
demand*resource*
provisioning*to*
support*the*ini'al*
spike*of*ac'vity.*
(Klein,*2013)* INCOSE*SD*18th*Annual*Region*II*Fall*Mini*Conference* 8*
Value*of*Cloud*Compu'ng*
to*Government*
• Efficiency&– Improved*asset*u'liza'on*(server*u'liza'on*>*60C70%)*
– Aggregated*demand*and*accelerated*system*consolida'on*
– Improved*produc'vity*(app*development/management,*network,*endCuser)*
• Agility&– Purchase*“asCaCservice”*vice*major*capital*investment*
– NearCinstantaneous*increases*and*reduc'ons*in*capacity*– More*responsive*to*urgent*agency*needs**
• InnovaBon&– Shik*focus*from*asset*ownership*to*service*management*
– Tap*into*private*sector*innova'on*– Encourages*entrepreneurial*culture*– Beder*linked*to*emerging*technologies*(e.g.,*devices)*
(Kundra,*2011)*
So why aren’t all the cool kids doing it? INCOSE*SD*18th*Annual*Region*II*Fall*Mini*Conference* 9*
Adop'on*Challenge*1:*
Making*the*Business*Case*
• Cloud*Compu'ng*is*fundamentally*a*BUSINESS*
Architecture*designed*to*maximize*profit.*
• Cost*Savings*(without*top*line*revenue*growth)*are*oken*not*realized*for*YEARS.*
• Government*agencies*oken*operate*on*a*zeroC
sum*game*budget;*increases*in*one*area*must*be*
offset*by*reduc'ons*in*another.*
INCOSE*SD*18th*Annual*Region*II*Fall*Mini*Conference* 10*
Adop'on*Challenge*#2:**
Who*Pays*the*Bill?*
Total*Ownership*Cost*(TOC):*of*an*IT*Enterprise*include*SW*
Development,*Procurement,*Staffing,*Facili'es,*Training,*etc.*
Transi'oning*to*a*cloud*will*require*some*ini'al*investment*
Code& N1& N2/N6& N4&
Title*
Manpower,*
Educa'on,*and*
Training*
Informa'on*
Dominance*
Fleet*Readiness*and*
Logis'cs*
Financial*
Responsibility*
• Personnel*/*
Staffing*
• Curricula*
Development*
• Training*Delivery*
• Development*of*IT*
Systems*
• Procurement*of*IT*
Systems*
• Sustainment*of*IT*
Systems*
• Documenta'on*
• Spares*
• Power*
• Facili'es*
• Fuel*
No single bill payer = no incentive for enterprise decisions! INCOSE*SD*18th*Annual*Region*II*Fall*Mini*Conference* 11*
(U.S.*Navy,*2013)*
Adop'on*Challenge*3:*
Zealotry*Makes*Us*Dumb*
In*a*recent*study*by*
Yale*researchers…*
If*a*person*has*a*strong*
poli'cal*posi'on,*he/
she*is*highly*unlikely*to*
correctly*iden'fy*
trends*EVEN*AFTER*
being*shown*data*that*
counters*his/her*ideas.**
Enter the Systems Engineer!
Republicans* Democrats*
INCOSE*SD*18th*Annual*Region*II*Fall*Mini*Conference* 12*(Kahan,*Peters,*Dawson,*and*Slovic,*2013)*
Systems*Engineer*as*
Decision*Coach*
• The*Systems*Engineer*must*take*on*the*role*of*Decision*Coach*
• Filter*through*masses*of*data*
• Iden'fy*ac'onable*informa'on*
• Present*the*informa'on*that:*
– Generates*SYMBOLIC*associa'ons*between*facts*and*risk*
– Ensures*decision*makers*can*take*advantage*of*their*capacity*for*science*comprehension*
Make the data make sense! INCOSE*SD*18th*Annual*Region*II*Fall*Mini*Conference* 13*
The*Infographic:**
Migh'er*than*the*Data!*
Symbols*are*far*more*powerful*than*
raw*data*in*affec'ng*decision*makers*
(especially*when*combayng*
preconceived*no'ons)*
The Systems Engineer is ideally suited to understand which data are relevant and how to communicate them effectively
INCOSE*SD*18th*Annual*Region*II*Fall*Mini*Conference* 14*(Sahlin,*2013)*
Why*the*Systems*
Engineer?*
Systems&engineering:&• integrates)all)the)disciplines)and)specialty)groups)into)a)team)effort.)
• considers)both)the)business)and)the)technical)needs.))
(INCOSE,*2012)*
Systems&Engineer&
Sales&
CEO&/&CFO
&/&CTO
&
Client&Service&/&Help&Desk&
Project&Management&
Engineering&
INCOSE*SD*18th*Annual*Region*II*Fall*Mini*Conference* 15*
About*Cabrillo*
Technologies*
Cabrillo*Technologies*is*a*wholly*owned*subsidiary*of*the*
McKean*Defense*Group.*Our*mission*is*to*apply*the*best*
prac'ces*and*architectures*from*a*variety*of*industries*to*
the*tac'cal*networking*environment.**
Our*subject*mader*experts*balance*experience*in*both-DoD*and*Commercial*best*prac'ces*to*adapt*commercial*
technology*architectures*to*the*challenges*faced*in*military*
tac'cal*environments.*
hdp://www.cabrillotechnologies.com/**… and I’m hiring!
INCOSE*SD*18th*Annual*Region*II*Fall*Mini*Conference* 16*
Publica'on*Opportunity*
Social)Media)and)the)Transforma:on)of)Interac:on)in)Society**
Book’s*Focus:*
• Value*of*Social*Media*beyond*the*typical*no'on*of*Social*Marke'ng*
• Case*studies*of*crea've*uses*of*Social*Media*in*atypical*scenarios*(e.g.,*nonCprofit,*military,*law*enforcement,*etc.)*
Target*for*publica'on:*2015*
*
If*interested*in*contribu'ng*a*chapter,*please*contact*me*at*[email protected]**
INCOSE*SD*18th*Annual*Region*II*Fall*Mini*Conference* 17*
References*
• INCOSE.*(2012).*Systems)engineering)handbook:)A)guide)for)system)life)cycle)processes)and)ac:vi:es,)version)3.2.2.*San*Diego,*
CA,*USA:*Interna'onal*Council*on*Systems*Engineering*(INCOSE),*INCOSECTPC2003C002C03.2.2.*
• Kahan,*D.*M.,*Peters,*E.,*Dawson,*E.*C.,*&*Slovic,*P.*(September*03,*2013).*Mo'vated*numeracy*and*enlightened*selfC
government.*The*Cultural*Cogni'on*Project*working*paper*Number*116.*New*Haven,*CT:*Yale*Law*School.*Available:*hdp://
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2319992*
• Klein,*E.*(October*14,*2013).*Five*thoughts*on*the*Obamacare*disaster.**The*Washington*Post*Wonkblog*(online*edi'on).*
Available*:*hdp://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2013/*10/14/fiveCthoughtsConCtheCobamacareCdisaster/*
• Kundra,*V.*(February*08,*2011).*Federal)Cloud)Compu:ng)Strategy.*Available*:*hdp://www.dhs.gov/*sites/*default/files/
publica'ons/digitalCstrategy/federalCcloudCcompu'ngCstrategy.pdf*
• Mell,*P.,*&*Grance,*T.*(2011).*Special)Publica:on)800H145:)The)NIST)Defini:on)of)Cloud)Compu:ng.*Washington,*D.C.:*Na'onal*
Ins'tute*of*Standards*and*Technology.*
• McCarthy,*S.*(June*07,*2013).*Why*government’s*move*to*the*cloud*has*gone*stagnant.*Available*:*hdp://gcn.com/Ar'cles/
2013/06/07/GovernmentCmoveCtoCcloudCstagnant.aspx?Page=1*
• McCarthy,*S.*(July*2013).*Technology*selec'on:*Government*cloud*spending*by*U.S.*federal*agency*–*growth*and*slight*
contrac'on.*Available*:*hdp://www.idcCgi.com/getdoc.jsp?containerId=GI241746*
• Rackspace,*Inc.*(2011).*“Cloudonomics:*The*economics*of*cloud*compu'ng.”*White*paper*available:*hdp://
www.rackspacecloud.com/cloudu**
• Sahlin,*J.*(2013).*Cloud*compu'ng:*Past,*present,*and*future.*In*X.*Yang,*&*L.*Liu*(Eds.),*Principles,)methodologies,)and)serviceH
oriented)approaches)for)cloud)compu:ng*(pp.*19C50).*Hershey,*PA:*Business*Science*Reference.*doi:
10.4018/978C1C4666C2854C0.ch002*
• U.S.*Navy.*(2013).*U.S.*Navy*organiza'on*–*Office*of*the*Chief*of*Naval*Opera'ons.*Available:*hdp://www.navy.mil/navydata/*
organiza'on/orgCcno.asp*
INCOSE*SD*18th*Annual*Region*II*Fall*Mini*Conference* 18*