8-1 chapter 8 managing projects © david o’sullivan
TRANSCRIPT
8-1
Chapter 8
Managing Projects
© David O’Sullivan
8-2
Reflections What is creativity? List and explain five graphic-based tools
that can be used for generating ideas. Where do ideas come from? Explain the mind mapping tool. How are failure modes scored in the failure
mode effects analysistechnique? Detail a simple form for capturing critical
data for an idea. Explain the importance of lead users in
generating new ideas.
8-3
Activities
[Discussion of selected student ‘Activities’ from previous chapter]
8-4
Learning Targets Outline the key stages of a project life cycle Understand the types of investments necessary for
projects Explain the importance of risk management in
projects Construct a simple cost–benefit analysis for a project Understand a number of tools for managing projects Understand the six stages of the buyer experience
life cycle Detail a simple form for capturing critical data for a
project
8-5
Projects and Portfolios Project Management
Managing an individual project Managing project resources Achieving project goals
Portfolio Management Managing a group of projects Managing organisational resources Achieving organisational goals
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Semantics Projects Initiatives Actions Tasks
Portfolios Programs Initiatives
8-7
Projects A unique, nonpermanent, goal-centered
activity with a predefined life cycle, constrained by cost and resource availability
Sample projects related to innovation: Installing a new piece of production equipment Developing a new technology or science Restructuring a department Installing a new computer system Developing a preventive maintenance program Building a new plant Developing a new product or service
8-8
Project Characteristics Goal Centered Resources Life Cycle Unique Budgets Responsibilities
8-9
Project Planning A project can represent a large
investment of time, money, and resources
Planning a project effectively can: Maximize contribution to goals Fundamental to the financial
considerations Crucial to scheduling of resources and
the control of progress and costs
Structured Approach
Schedule CostScope of work
8-11
Project Planning Elements Workpackages Tasks Deliverables Gates and milestones Resources
Work Breakdown Structure
WBSO
BS
WP
CBS
Scope of work Schedule Cost estimate
Costaccount
WP
WP
WP
WP
8-13
Sample Work package
8-14
Sample Deliverables
8-15
Project Scheduling
A schedule is the conversion of a project action plan into an operating timetable
Scheduling of people, equipment, information and their interrelationship
Fundamental basis for Understanding project complexity Monitoring and controlling project activity
and budget Tool for the management of projects.
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Worker-Month Allocation
8-17
Gantt Charts
8-18
Project Control
Once operational, control of the project is necessary to: Measure progress Identify deviations Take corrective action (when needed)
Continuous cycles of planning, implementation, and reviewing take place throughout the project lifecycle
8-19
Risks Identification
Which risks are likely to affect the project Quantification
Probability and consequences of risks Mitigation
Methods for the reduction and control of risks Control
Documenting the lessons learned
The Three Dimensions of Risk
Prestudy
Type ofrisk
CommissioningExecutionClose
outPlanning
Level ofdetail
Time
Contextual risk
Project phases
Strategic risk
Operational risk
Communication Risk
Conversation Attribution
Norwegian: How long will it take to finish this report?
Norwegian: I asked him to participate.Venezuelan: His behaviour makes no sense. He is the boss. Why doesn’t he tell me?
Venezuelan: I do not know. How long should it take?
Norwegian: He refuses to take responsibility.Venezuelan: I asked him for an order.
Norwegian: You are in the best position to analyse time requirements
Norwegian: I press him to take responsibility for his own actions.
Venezuelan: What nonsense! I better give him an answer.
Venezuelan: 10 days.
Norwegian: He lacks the ability to estimate time; 10 days is totally inadequate
Conversation Example
Social Risk
Power Individualism Masculinity Uncertainty Avoidance
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Power DistanceSMALL POWER DISTANCE LARGE POWER DISTANCE
Inequalities should be minimized Inequalities expected and desired
Parents treat children as equals Parents teach children obedience
Organizational hierarchies viewed as inequality of roles, established for convenience
Organizational hierarchies reflect existential inequality between higher-ups and lower-downs
Decentralization is popular Centralization is popular
Narrow salary range between top and bottom of organizations
Wide salary range between top and bottom of organizations
The ideal boss is a resourceful democrat The ideal boss is a benevolent autocrat
Privileges and status symbols are frowned upon (or under communicated)
Privileges and status symbols for managers are popular and expected
IndividualismINDIVIDUALISM COLLECTIVISM
Children learn to think in terms of “I” Children learn to think in terms of “we”
Speaking one’s mind Maintaining harmony
Employee-employer relationship a contract Employee-employer relation like family
Management is management of individuals Management is management of groups
Tasks prevail over relationships Relationships prevail over tasks
Masculinity
MASCULINTY FEMININITY
Sympathy for the strong Sympathy for the weak
Money and things are important People and relationships important
Live in order to work Work in order to live
Men should be assertive, ambitious and tough
Everybody is supposed to be modest
Stress on equity, competition and performance among colleagues
Stress on equality, solidarity and quality of life.
Uncertainty Avoidance
WEAK UNCERTAINTY AVOIDANCE STRONG UNCERTAINTY AVOIDANCE
Lenient rules for children on what is dirty and taboo
Tight rules for children on what is dirty and taboo
Uncertainty is a normal feature of lifeUncertainty is seen as a threat which must be fought
Low stress, high well-being High stress, anxiety
Aggression and emotion should not be shownAggression and emotions may be ventilated at proper occasions
Managers and teachers may say “I don’t know”
Managers and teachers are supposed to have all the answers
Comfortable feeling when “lazy”. Hard-working only when required
Emotional need to be busy; inner urge to work hard
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Quantitative Techniques Payback Return on investment (ROI) Net present value (NPV)
Disadvantage with all quantitative techniques in project assessment is that the figures used often are estimates at best and can be incorrect
8-29
Payback Net annual cash flow (NACF)
revenues derived from investment (IC) should pay back investment over a certain payback period (n)
nIC
NACF
8-30
Example Machine costs €85,000 and generates
revenues of €55,000 per year for 7 years. It costs €30,000 to operate machine. At the end of year 7 machine is scrapped.
NACF = 55,000-30,000=25,000IC = 85,000n = 85,000/25,000 = 3.4 years
8-31
Payback
Capital Recurrent Costs Recurrent Revenues
Additional Revenues Cost Avoidance Cost Savings
Payback=(Capital-Costs)/Revenues
Estimate Classification
Type Accuracy Purpose
Proposal ± 50 % Appraisal viability to start feasibility study
Budget ± 20 % Appraisal viability to start systems design
Sanction ± 10 % Appraisal viability to approve project
Control ± 5 % Measure progress, assign resources
Tender ± 2 % Prepare tender
Earned Value ManagementVolume (MHs)
Time
BCWS
TBCWS: Budgeted Cost of Work Scheduled
Cost VarianceACWP
ACWP: Actual Cost of Work Performance
t
BCWP
BCWP: Budgeted Cost of Work Performed
Resourcevariance
Volumevariance
8-34
Qualitative techniques Fit with organizational goals and objectives Fit with competitive necessity for
sustainability Fit with existing product or service range Fit with available resources Fit with existing competencies Fit with desired future competencies Fit relative to competitor direction Fit relative to risk quotient Fit with other innovation projects, ongoing
or planned
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Qualitative Techniques
Criteria Weight Score W.Score
Fit with mission 5 3 15
Impact on objectives 10 4 40
Impact on indicators 10 2 20
Fit with competencies 7 5 35
Fit with skills 5 5 25
Level of Risk 10 4 40
Total Score 175
8-36
Project Innovation
Portfolio and Project Management
Portfolio Management
Project Management
TeamsIndividualsTeamsSkillsLearningReview
GoalsStatementsRequirementsStrategiesMeasures
ResultsStatus ScorecardTrends
InnovationsStimuliCreationsProblemsIdeas
ProjectsSpecificationRankingSchedulesDeployment
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Project Tools
Concurrent engineering Quality function deployment (QFD) Buyer utility mapping Rapid prototyping
8-39
House of Quality
8-40
Buyer Utility Map
8-41
Summary Outline the key stages of a project life cycle Understand the types of investments necessary for
projects Explain the importance of risk management in
projects Construct a simple cost–benefit analysis for a project Understand a number of tools for managing projects Understand the six stages of the buyer experience
life cycle Detail a simple form for capturing critical data for a
project
8-42
Activities
8-43
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