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    RISK MANAGEMENT

    MODULE B

    A PRESENTATION

    BY

    K.ESWAR

    ASST GENERAL MANAGER

    CENTRAL BANK OF INDIA.

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    RISK MANAGEMENT

    RISK IN BANKING BUSINESS ?

    WHAT IS RISK ?

    RISK , CAPITAL AND RETURN.

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    VALUATION OF SECURITIES.

    VALUATION OF INVESTMENT PORTOLIOOF BANKS WILL BE

    CLASIFIED AS UNDER :

    HTM: VALUALTION METHOD: Investments classified under

    HTM category need not be marked to market and will be

    carried at acquisition cost unless it more than the face value.

    In such case the premium is amortized over a period of

    remaining maturity. .

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    VALUATION OF SECURITIES

    AFS : VALUATION METHOD : Individual scrip will be

    marked to market at the quarter end . The net

    depreciation under each classification should be

    recognized and fully provided for and any appreciation

    should be ignored. The book value of securities would not

    undergo any change after the revaluation.

    HTM. VALUATION METHOD : The individual scrips in the

    HTM category will be revalued at monthly interval andnet appreciation or deprecation under each classification

    will be recognized in income account. The book value of

    the individual scrip will be changed with revaluation.

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    Liquidity Risk.

    Q Funding risk is :

    A. Un anticipated withdrawal/non renewal of deposit.

    B. Unable to provide funds to Head office of Bank.

    C. Inadequate funds.

    Q. The liquidity risk arising out of non receipt of expected in flow of funds due to accounts turning as NPA isknown as

    a.Time Risk. b. Call Risk.

    c. Operational Risk.

    d. Funding risk.

    Q. The liquidity risk arising out of crystallization of liabilities and conversion of non fund based limits to fundbased limits is known as :

    a. Call risk.

    b. Time risk. c. Operational risk.

    d. Market risk.

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    Interest Rate Risk.

    Gap or Mismatch risk.

    Yield curve risk. Basis Risk.

    Embedded option risk.

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    Market Risk

    Forex Risk.

    Equity price risk.

    Interest rate risk. Mark to Market.

    CREDIT RISK:

    Counter Party risk.OPERATION RISK.

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    MANAGEMENT OF RISK

    RISK IDENTIFICATION.:

    RISK MEASURMENT. Sensitivity, Volatility, Var.

    RISK PRICING. RISK MONITORING.

    RISK MITIGATION.

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    Risk Regulations in Banking Industry.

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    What is the Basel Committee?

    Established at the end of 1974 by Central Bank Governors ofG10 to address cross-border banking issues

    Reports to G10 Governors/Heads of SupervisionMembers are senior bank supervisors from G10, Luxembourgand Spain

    Work undertaken through several working groups

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    11

    Outreach to other countries

    Committee started as a closed shop

    Over time, has developed close ties with non-members

    Committee tries to address issues relevant for alljurisdictions worldwide

    Core Principles Liaison Group (16 non-Committeejurisdictionsincluding Indiaplus IMF, World Bank)

    Working Group on CapitalRegional groups

    International Conference of Banking Supervisors (ICBS)

    Participation in work of the Secretariat

    Training, speeches, consultation

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    The three Cs

    Concordat (and subsequent papers dealing with cross-bordersupervision)

    Core Principles for Effective Banking Supervision

    Capital Adequacy Framework

    Many other topics: risk management, corporate governance,accounting, money laundering, etc, on the Committees website(www.bis.org/bcbs)

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    From Basel I to Basel II

    1988 Capital Accord established minimum capital requirementsfor banks

    In 1998, Committee started revising the 1988 Accord:

    More risk sensitiveMore consistent with current best practice in banks riskmanagement

    Numerator (definition of capital) remains unchanged

    CapitalRisk weighted assets

    8 %Minimum ratio:

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    What are the basic aims of Basel II?

    To deliver a prudent amount of capitalin relation to risk

    To provide the right incentives for sound r isk management

    To maintain a reasonable level playing field

    Basel II is notintended to be neutral between differentbanks/different exposures

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    Three pillars of the Basel II framework

    Credit risk

    Operational risk

    Market risk

    Banks own capital

    strategy

    Supervisors review

    Enhanced disclosure

    Minimum Capital

    Requirements

    Supervisory

    Review ProcessMarket Discipline

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    Market

    Credit

    Operational

    BANKS TYPICALLY FACE THREE KINDS OF

    RISK

    Risk of loss due tounexpected re-pricing ofassets owned by the bank,caused by either

    Exchange ratefluctuation

    Interest ratefluctuations

    Market price ofinvestment fluctuations

    Risk of loss due tounexpected borrower default

    Risk of loss due to a suddenreduction in operationalmargins, caused by eitherinternal or external factors

    Daily pricechange (%)

    Unexpectedprice volatility

    Time

    Time

    Defaultrate (%)

    UnexpecteddefaultAvg. default

    Time

    Monthly change

    of revenue to cost(%)

    Unexpectedlow costutilization

    Example

    Stocks

    Loans with credit rating 3

    Business unit A

    Type of Risk

    OUR

    FOCUS

    TODAY

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    The three pillarsAll three pillars togetherare intended to achieve a level

    of capital commensurate with a banks overall riskprofile

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    Pillar I Credit Risk

    Standardized

    Approach

    Foundation Internal

    Ratings

    Based Approach

    Advanced

    Internal

    Ratings Based

    Approach

    Risk weights are based onassessment by external creditassessment inst i tu t ions

    Banks use internal est imat ions ofprob abil i ty of d efault (PD) to calcu late riskweight s for exposu re classes. Other riskcom pon ents are standardized.

    Banks u se internal est imat ions ofPD, loss giv en default (LGD) andexposure at default (EAD) tocalculate r isk w eights for expos ureclasses

    Pillar 1 Credit Risk stipulates three levels of increasing sophistication. The more

    sophisticated approaches allow a bank to use its internal models to calculate its

    regulatory capital. Banks who move up the ladder are rewarded by a reduced capital

    charge

    Reduce Capital requirements

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    Advantages of capital

    Provides safety and soundness

    Depositor protection

    Limits leveraging

    Cushion against unexpected losses

    Brings in discipline in risk taking

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    The Current Capital Accord

    Focused on credit risk but formula based

    Partially amended in 1996 to includemarket risk

    Operational risk not addressed

    Simple in its application

    Produced an easily comparable and

    verifiable measure of bankssoundness

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    Need for a new frame-work

    Financial innovation and growing complexity of

    transactions

    Categorized banks assets into one of only four

    categories each representing a risk class

    Made no allowance for the effect portfolio diversification

    Requirement of more flexible approaches as opposed to

    onesize fits allApproach

    Requirement of Risk sensitivity as opposed to a broad-

    brush Approach Operational Risk not covered

    B l A d I & II

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    Basle Accord I & II -

    Differences

    Talks of Credit Risk only

    Capital Charge for Credit

    Risk Does not mention

    separate Capital charge

    for Market and

    Operational Risk

    No mention about market

    Discipline

    No effort to quantify

    Market and Operational

    Risk

    Talks of Credit, Marketand Operational Risks

    Capital Charge

    dependant on Risk rating

    of assets Capital Charge to include

    risks arising out of Credit,

    Market and Operational

    risks. Not a broad brushapproach

    Quantitative approach for

    calculation of Market and

    Operational risks as forCredit Risk.

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    Pillar I Minimum Capital

    Requirements

    The new Accord maintains the current definition of total capital and the minimum 8%requirement*

    Total capital = Tier 1 + Tier 2

    Tier 1: Shareholders equity + disclosed reserves

    Tier 2: Supplementary capital (e.g. undisclosed reserves, provisions)

    Total Capital

    Market Risk The risk of losses in trading positions when prices move adversely

    Credit Risk The risk of loss arising from default by a creditor or counterparty

    Operational Risk The risk of loss resulting from inadequate or failed internal processes,people and systems or from external events

    Total capital

    Credit risk + Market risk + Operational risk= Banks capital ratio

    (minimum 9%)

    * The revisions affect the denominator of the capital ratio - with more sophisticated measures for credit risk, and introducing an explicit capital charge foroperational risk

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    Framework

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    Internal Ratings Based Approach

    Exposures in five categories because of

    different risk characteristics

    Sovereigns

    Banks

    Corporates

    Retail NPA

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    Internal Ratings Based Approach

    Internal ratings based (IRB) approach

    Foundation

    Advanced

    Goal: Should contain incentives for migration from standardized

    to IRB approach

    .

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    IRB approach

    Risk componentsPD, LGD, EAD,

    Differentiation between IRB Advanced &Foundation

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    Advanced approaches

    Requires supervisorsapproval

    Increased emphasis on banksinternal assessments

    Banks to meet certain standards

    Capital Management Policy Committee Process to review the quality of risk management &

    control systems

    Appropriateness of the capital level and composition to

    the nature and scale of banksactivities

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    General Market charge

    Captures risk of loss arising from general changes in market

    interest rates / other market variables

    Two Approaches

    Standardized Duration approach.

    Internal risk management models

    RBI adopted Standardized approach

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    Market RiskInternal Models

    BIS requirement:

    1. VaR to be calculated daily

    2. Confidence level of 99%

    3. Holding period 10 days

    4. Historical data for at least one year to be taken andupdated at least once in a quarter

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    Operational Risk

    Explicit charge on capital

    Basic Indicator approach15% of grossincome

    Gross income = net interest income plus net

    non interest income

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    GROSS INCOME

    GROSS INCOME = NET PFORIT+

    PROVISIONS+OPERATING EXPENSES-PROFIT

    ON SALE OF INVSTEMENT-INCOME FROM

    INSURANCE-EXTRA ORDINARY ITEM OFINCOME+ LOSS ON SALE OF INVESTMENT

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    Operational Risk

    Standardised Approach- Capital charge is calculated as a simple summation

    of capital charges across 8 business lines

    Business lines % of gross income

    Corporate finance 18

    Trading & sales 18

    Retail Banking 12

    Commercial Banking 15

    Payment & Settlement 18Agency Services 15

    Asset Management 12

    Retail Brokerage 12

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    Pillar II- Supervisory ReviewPrinciples:

    Banks should have

    (a) process for assessing their Capital adequacyin relation to their Risk Profile and a strategy formaintaining their capital levels

    (b) Supervisors should review these and takeaction if they are not satisfied

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    Pillar II Principles:

    (c) Supervisors should expect banks to operate

    above the minimum CAR and should have theability to require banks to hold capital in excess of

    the minimum

    (d) Supervisors should intervene at an early stage

    to prevent capital from falling below required level

    and initiate rapid remedial action

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    Pillar II

    Risk Based Supervision

    Business risk and control risk

    Prompt Corrective Action CRAR

    Net NPAs

    ROA Structured and discretionary actions

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    Pillar III Sets out disclosure requirements and

    recommendations (core and supplementary)

    Required disclosures on capital, risk exposures,risk assessment (credit risk, market risk,Operational risk etc) and hence the capitaladequacy.

    Allows market participants to assess keyinformation about a banks risk profile and levelof capitalisation

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    MARKET DISCIPLINE

    a. Third Pillar to supplement first two pillars namelyminimum capital requirement and supervisory review.

    b. The aim of this pillar is o encourage market discipline bydeveloping a set of disclosure requirements which allowsmarket participants to assess :

    Scope of application

    Capital

    Risk Exposures

    Risk assessment processes

    Ultimately Capital Adequacy

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    e. Interaction with accounting disclosures :

    Disclosure framework not to conflict with requirementsunder accounting standards.

    f. Scope and frequency of disclosures

    All banks should provide Pillar-III disclosures bothqualitative and quantitative as on March end each yearalong with annual financial statements.

    Banks with capital funds of more than Rs.500 crores andtheir significant subsidiaries must disclosure on quarterlybasis.

    - Tier1 Capital

    - Total Capital- Total required capital

    - Total Capital adequacy ratios

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    g. Validation :

    No need of audit of disclosures as they are either consistent

    with audited financial statements or gone through

    internal assessment/control procedures and systems.

    h. Materially

    Information is regarded as material if its omission or

    misstatement could change or influence the assessment ordecision of a user relying on that information for the

    purpose of making economic decision.

    - RBI will prescribe certain materiality threshold for

    certain limited disclosures to provide greatercomparability among banks.

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    i. Proprietory and Confidential Information

    Proprietory InformationOn products or

    Systems

    Confidential InformationOn customers

    RBI has prescribed in the form of various tables(1-11), a system of disclosures striking a balance

    between the need for meaningful disclosures and

    protection of proprietory and confidential

    information.

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    j. General Disclosure Principle

    Each bank to have formal disclosure policy

    approved by Board.

    Approach for disclosures

    Internal control over disclosure process

    Process to assess appropriateness of its

    disclosures including validation and frequency

    k. Scope of application

    Parent bank need not make disclosures of

    individual banks/entities except disclosure of Tier-Iand total capital of each subsidiary bank.

    All Units to make Pillar-III disclosures.

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    Scope and frequency of disclosures

    Annual disclosuresqualitative & quantitative

    Interim disclosures for banks with capital >100 crore

    Quantitative aspects in websites Quarterly disclosures for banks with capital >

    500 crore

    Tier I capital, Total capital, CRAR and Totalrequired capital (including subsidiaries)

    Banks to have formal disclosure policy

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    New Capital instruments

    Innovative Perpetual Debt Instruments eligiblefor inclusion as Tier 1 capital

    Debt capital instruments eligible for inclusion as

    Upper Tier 2 capital

    Perpetual non-cumulative Preference shareseligible for inclusion as Tier 1 capital

    Redeemable cumulative Preference shareseligible for inclusion as Tier 2 capital

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    Innovative Perpetual Debt

    Instruments for inclusion as Tier 1 capital

    Amount to be raised may be decided by the Board of Directors ofbanks

    Limited to 15 per cent of total Tier 1 capital

    Excess of the above limits shall be eligible for inclusion under Tier 2

    Interest at a fixed rate or at a floating rate referenced to a marketdetermined rupee interest benchmark rate

    Step-up option after 10 years - not more than 100 bps.

    Superior to the claims of investors in equity shares and Subordinatedto the claims of all other creditors

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    One year transition matrix

    19.7964.8611.242.381.300.2200C

    5.204.0783.466.480.430.240.010C+

    1.061.008.8480.537.730.670.140.03B

    0.180.121.175.3086.935.950.330.02B+0.060.010.260.745.5291.052.270.09A

    00.020.140.060.647.7990.650.70A+

    00000.180.688.3390.81A++

    DefaultCC+BB+AA+A++Initial

    Rating

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    Thank You!