6may risk management
TRANSCRIPT
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RISK MANAGEMENT
MODULE B
A PRESENTATION
BY
K.ESWAR
ASST GENERAL MANAGER
CENTRAL BANK OF INDIA.
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RISK MANAGEMENT
RISK IN BANKING BUSINESS ?
WHAT IS RISK ?
RISK , CAPITAL AND RETURN.
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VALUATION OF SECURITIES.
VALUATION OF INVESTMENT PORTOLIOOF BANKS WILL BE
CLASIFIED AS UNDER :
HTM: VALUALTION METHOD: Investments classified under
HTM category need not be marked to market and will be
carried at acquisition cost unless it more than the face value.
In such case the premium is amortized over a period of
remaining maturity. .
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VALUATION OF SECURITIES
AFS : VALUATION METHOD : Individual scrip will be
marked to market at the quarter end . The net
depreciation under each classification should be
recognized and fully provided for and any appreciation
should be ignored. The book value of securities would not
undergo any change after the revaluation.
HTM. VALUATION METHOD : The individual scrips in the
HTM category will be revalued at monthly interval andnet appreciation or deprecation under each classification
will be recognized in income account. The book value of
the individual scrip will be changed with revaluation.
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Liquidity Risk.
Q Funding risk is :
A. Un anticipated withdrawal/non renewal of deposit.
B. Unable to provide funds to Head office of Bank.
C. Inadequate funds.
Q. The liquidity risk arising out of non receipt of expected in flow of funds due to accounts turning as NPA isknown as
a.Time Risk. b. Call Risk.
c. Operational Risk.
d. Funding risk.
Q. The liquidity risk arising out of crystallization of liabilities and conversion of non fund based limits to fundbased limits is known as :
a. Call risk.
b. Time risk. c. Operational risk.
d. Market risk.
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Interest Rate Risk.
Gap or Mismatch risk.
Yield curve risk. Basis Risk.
Embedded option risk.
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Market Risk
Forex Risk.
Equity price risk.
Interest rate risk. Mark to Market.
CREDIT RISK:
Counter Party risk.OPERATION RISK.
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MANAGEMENT OF RISK
RISK IDENTIFICATION.:
RISK MEASURMENT. Sensitivity, Volatility, Var.
RISK PRICING. RISK MONITORING.
RISK MITIGATION.
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Risk Regulations in Banking Industry.
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What is the Basel Committee?
Established at the end of 1974 by Central Bank Governors ofG10 to address cross-border banking issues
Reports to G10 Governors/Heads of SupervisionMembers are senior bank supervisors from G10, Luxembourgand Spain
Work undertaken through several working groups
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Outreach to other countries
Committee started as a closed shop
Over time, has developed close ties with non-members
Committee tries to address issues relevant for alljurisdictions worldwide
Core Principles Liaison Group (16 non-Committeejurisdictionsincluding Indiaplus IMF, World Bank)
Working Group on CapitalRegional groups
International Conference of Banking Supervisors (ICBS)
Participation in work of the Secretariat
Training, speeches, consultation
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The three Cs
Concordat (and subsequent papers dealing with cross-bordersupervision)
Core Principles for Effective Banking Supervision
Capital Adequacy Framework
Many other topics: risk management, corporate governance,accounting, money laundering, etc, on the Committees website(www.bis.org/bcbs)
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From Basel I to Basel II
1988 Capital Accord established minimum capital requirementsfor banks
In 1998, Committee started revising the 1988 Accord:
More risk sensitiveMore consistent with current best practice in banks riskmanagement
Numerator (definition of capital) remains unchanged
CapitalRisk weighted assets
8 %Minimum ratio:
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What are the basic aims of Basel II?
To deliver a prudent amount of capitalin relation to risk
To provide the right incentives for sound r isk management
To maintain a reasonable level playing field
Basel II is notintended to be neutral between differentbanks/different exposures
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Three pillars of the Basel II framework
Credit risk
Operational risk
Market risk
Banks own capital
strategy
Supervisors review
Enhanced disclosure
Minimum Capital
Requirements
Supervisory
Review ProcessMarket Discipline
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Market
Credit
Operational
BANKS TYPICALLY FACE THREE KINDS OF
RISK
Risk of loss due tounexpected re-pricing ofassets owned by the bank,caused by either
Exchange ratefluctuation
Interest ratefluctuations
Market price ofinvestment fluctuations
Risk of loss due tounexpected borrower default
Risk of loss due to a suddenreduction in operationalmargins, caused by eitherinternal or external factors
Daily pricechange (%)
Unexpectedprice volatility
Time
Time
Defaultrate (%)
UnexpecteddefaultAvg. default
Time
Monthly change
of revenue to cost(%)
Unexpectedlow costutilization
Example
Stocks
Loans with credit rating 3
Business unit A
Type of Risk
OUR
FOCUS
TODAY
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The three pillarsAll three pillars togetherare intended to achieve a level
of capital commensurate with a banks overall riskprofile
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Pillar I Credit Risk
Standardized
Approach
Foundation Internal
Ratings
Based Approach
Advanced
Internal
Ratings Based
Approach
Risk weights are based onassessment by external creditassessment inst i tu t ions
Banks use internal est imat ions ofprob abil i ty of d efault (PD) to calcu late riskweight s for exposu re classes. Other riskcom pon ents are standardized.
Banks u se internal est imat ions ofPD, loss giv en default (LGD) andexposure at default (EAD) tocalculate r isk w eights for expos ureclasses
Pillar 1 Credit Risk stipulates three levels of increasing sophistication. The more
sophisticated approaches allow a bank to use its internal models to calculate its
regulatory capital. Banks who move up the ladder are rewarded by a reduced capital
charge
Reduce Capital requirements
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Advantages of capital
Provides safety and soundness
Depositor protection
Limits leveraging
Cushion against unexpected losses
Brings in discipline in risk taking
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The Current Capital Accord
Focused on credit risk but formula based
Partially amended in 1996 to includemarket risk
Operational risk not addressed
Simple in its application
Produced an easily comparable and
verifiable measure of bankssoundness
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Need for a new frame-work
Financial innovation and growing complexity of
transactions
Categorized banks assets into one of only four
categories each representing a risk class
Made no allowance for the effect portfolio diversification
Requirement of more flexible approaches as opposed to
onesize fits allApproach
Requirement of Risk sensitivity as opposed to a broad-
brush Approach Operational Risk not covered
B l A d I & II
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Basle Accord I & II -
Differences
Talks of Credit Risk only
Capital Charge for Credit
Risk Does not mention
separate Capital charge
for Market and
Operational Risk
No mention about market
Discipline
No effort to quantify
Market and Operational
Risk
Talks of Credit, Marketand Operational Risks
Capital Charge
dependant on Risk rating
of assets Capital Charge to include
risks arising out of Credit,
Market and Operational
risks. Not a broad brushapproach
Quantitative approach for
calculation of Market and
Operational risks as forCredit Risk.
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Pillar I Minimum Capital
Requirements
The new Accord maintains the current definition of total capital and the minimum 8%requirement*
Total capital = Tier 1 + Tier 2
Tier 1: Shareholders equity + disclosed reserves
Tier 2: Supplementary capital (e.g. undisclosed reserves, provisions)
Total Capital
Market Risk The risk of losses in trading positions when prices move adversely
Credit Risk The risk of loss arising from default by a creditor or counterparty
Operational Risk The risk of loss resulting from inadequate or failed internal processes,people and systems or from external events
Total capital
Credit risk + Market risk + Operational risk= Banks capital ratio
(minimum 9%)
* The revisions affect the denominator of the capital ratio - with more sophisticated measures for credit risk, and introducing an explicit capital charge foroperational risk
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Framework
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Internal Ratings Based Approach
Exposures in five categories because of
different risk characteristics
Sovereigns
Banks
Corporates
Retail NPA
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Internal Ratings Based Approach
Internal ratings based (IRB) approach
Foundation
Advanced
Goal: Should contain incentives for migration from standardized
to IRB approach
.
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IRB approach
Risk componentsPD, LGD, EAD,
Differentiation between IRB Advanced &Foundation
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Advanced approaches
Requires supervisorsapproval
Increased emphasis on banksinternal assessments
Banks to meet certain standards
Capital Management Policy Committee Process to review the quality of risk management &
control systems
Appropriateness of the capital level and composition to
the nature and scale of banksactivities
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General Market charge
Captures risk of loss arising from general changes in market
interest rates / other market variables
Two Approaches
Standardized Duration approach.
Internal risk management models
RBI adopted Standardized approach
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Market RiskInternal Models
BIS requirement:
1. VaR to be calculated daily
2. Confidence level of 99%
3. Holding period 10 days
4. Historical data for at least one year to be taken andupdated at least once in a quarter
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Operational Risk
Explicit charge on capital
Basic Indicator approach15% of grossincome
Gross income = net interest income plus net
non interest income
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GROSS INCOME
GROSS INCOME = NET PFORIT+
PROVISIONS+OPERATING EXPENSES-PROFIT
ON SALE OF INVSTEMENT-INCOME FROM
INSURANCE-EXTRA ORDINARY ITEM OFINCOME+ LOSS ON SALE OF INVESTMENT
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Operational Risk
Standardised Approach- Capital charge is calculated as a simple summation
of capital charges across 8 business lines
Business lines % of gross income
Corporate finance 18
Trading & sales 18
Retail Banking 12
Commercial Banking 15
Payment & Settlement 18Agency Services 15
Asset Management 12
Retail Brokerage 12
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Pillar II- Supervisory ReviewPrinciples:
Banks should have
(a) process for assessing their Capital adequacyin relation to their Risk Profile and a strategy formaintaining their capital levels
(b) Supervisors should review these and takeaction if they are not satisfied
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Pillar II Principles:
(c) Supervisors should expect banks to operate
above the minimum CAR and should have theability to require banks to hold capital in excess of
the minimum
(d) Supervisors should intervene at an early stage
to prevent capital from falling below required level
and initiate rapid remedial action
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Pillar II
Risk Based Supervision
Business risk and control risk
Prompt Corrective Action CRAR
Net NPAs
ROA Structured and discretionary actions
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Pillar III Sets out disclosure requirements and
recommendations (core and supplementary)
Required disclosures on capital, risk exposures,risk assessment (credit risk, market risk,Operational risk etc) and hence the capitaladequacy.
Allows market participants to assess keyinformation about a banks risk profile and levelof capitalisation
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MARKET DISCIPLINE
a. Third Pillar to supplement first two pillars namelyminimum capital requirement and supervisory review.
b. The aim of this pillar is o encourage market discipline bydeveloping a set of disclosure requirements which allowsmarket participants to assess :
Scope of application
Capital
Risk Exposures
Risk assessment processes
Ultimately Capital Adequacy
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e. Interaction with accounting disclosures :
Disclosure framework not to conflict with requirementsunder accounting standards.
f. Scope and frequency of disclosures
All banks should provide Pillar-III disclosures bothqualitative and quantitative as on March end each yearalong with annual financial statements.
Banks with capital funds of more than Rs.500 crores andtheir significant subsidiaries must disclosure on quarterlybasis.
- Tier1 Capital
- Total Capital- Total required capital
- Total Capital adequacy ratios
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g. Validation :
No need of audit of disclosures as they are either consistent
with audited financial statements or gone through
internal assessment/control procedures and systems.
h. Materially
Information is regarded as material if its omission or
misstatement could change or influence the assessment ordecision of a user relying on that information for the
purpose of making economic decision.
- RBI will prescribe certain materiality threshold for
certain limited disclosures to provide greatercomparability among banks.
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i. Proprietory and Confidential Information
Proprietory InformationOn products or
Systems
Confidential InformationOn customers
RBI has prescribed in the form of various tables(1-11), a system of disclosures striking a balance
between the need for meaningful disclosures and
protection of proprietory and confidential
information.
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j. General Disclosure Principle
Each bank to have formal disclosure policy
approved by Board.
Approach for disclosures
Internal control over disclosure process
Process to assess appropriateness of its
disclosures including validation and frequency
k. Scope of application
Parent bank need not make disclosures of
individual banks/entities except disclosure of Tier-Iand total capital of each subsidiary bank.
All Units to make Pillar-III disclosures.
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Scope and frequency of disclosures
Annual disclosuresqualitative & quantitative
Interim disclosures for banks with capital >100 crore
Quantitative aspects in websites Quarterly disclosures for banks with capital >
500 crore
Tier I capital, Total capital, CRAR and Totalrequired capital (including subsidiaries)
Banks to have formal disclosure policy
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New Capital instruments
Innovative Perpetual Debt Instruments eligiblefor inclusion as Tier 1 capital
Debt capital instruments eligible for inclusion as
Upper Tier 2 capital
Perpetual non-cumulative Preference shareseligible for inclusion as Tier 1 capital
Redeemable cumulative Preference shareseligible for inclusion as Tier 2 capital
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Innovative Perpetual Debt
Instruments for inclusion as Tier 1 capital
Amount to be raised may be decided by the Board of Directors ofbanks
Limited to 15 per cent of total Tier 1 capital
Excess of the above limits shall be eligible for inclusion under Tier 2
Interest at a fixed rate or at a floating rate referenced to a marketdetermined rupee interest benchmark rate
Step-up option after 10 years - not more than 100 bps.
Superior to the claims of investors in equity shares and Subordinatedto the claims of all other creditors
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One year transition matrix
19.7964.8611.242.381.300.2200C
5.204.0783.466.480.430.240.010C+
1.061.008.8480.537.730.670.140.03B
0.180.121.175.3086.935.950.330.02B+0.060.010.260.745.5291.052.270.09A
00.020.140.060.647.7990.650.70A+
00000.180.688.3390.81A++
DefaultCC+BB+AA+A++Initial
Rating
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Thank You!