63cdce1b0dd2b4d696630b508a8cbb97_intermediate market structures f 13.pptx

Upload: -

Post on 01-Jun-2018

218 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • 8/9/2019 63cdce1b0dd2b4d696630b508a8cbb97_Intermediate Market Structures f 13.pptx

    1/21

    Intermediate Market Structures

    &Game Theory

  • 8/9/2019 63cdce1b0dd2b4d696630b508a8cbb97_Intermediate Market Structures f 13.pptx

    2/21

    Competitive Market

    Market

    You

    Other Firms

    Impersonal Price Taker

    Entry inresponse

    to profit

    potential

  • 8/9/2019 63cdce1b0dd2b4d696630b508a8cbb97_Intermediate Market Structures f 13.pptx

    3/21

    Monopoly Market

    Market

    You

    Barriers to entry Control of price Long term profit potential

  • 8/9/2019 63cdce1b0dd2b4d696630b508a8cbb97_Intermediate Market Structures f 13.pptx

    4/21

    Monopolistic Competitive Market:

    Market

    You

    Other Firms

    Many Competitors

    Free entry & exit Prodct !ariety

  • 8/9/2019 63cdce1b0dd2b4d696630b508a8cbb97_Intermediate Market Structures f 13.pptx

    5/21

    Oligopoly Market

    Market

    You

    Barriers to entry Control of price Long term profit potential Fe" #ellers Inter$dependent

    decisions

    %ey to eha!ior isinter$personal

    reactions'

    (o" do I respond

    to yor actions )or

    do yo potentially

    respond to me*+

  • 8/9/2019 63cdce1b0dd2b4d696630b508a8cbb97_Intermediate Market Structures f 13.pptx

    6/21

    Intermediate Market StructuresMonopolistic Competition

    Many Small uyers

    Many Small Sellers

    !on"homogeneous product

    #$S%T

    Free $ntry & $'it

    #$S%T

    (er)ect In)ormation

    !o uyer market po*er Many alternative vendors Some product loyalty

    EL,#TIC -EM,.-

    Price #etter+must choose price,Impersonal+- graphs"market. )irm,

    Firm price elasticity high

    (ro)its *ill induce entry

    osses *ill induce e'itLong /n Profit 0 1

    !o mistakes

  • 8/9/2019 63cdce1b0dd2b4d696630b508a8cbb97_Intermediate Market Structures f 13.pptx

    7/21

    T/C

    TFC

    Monopolistic Competition

    Indstry

    ike competition. you need t*o graphs0ike Monopoly. 1 is do*n*ard sloping

    P

    2

    -

    #

    P3

    23

    P

    2firm

    ,TC

    MC

    Firm

    23 firm

    ,4C

    -

    M/

    ike Competition. (rice set *here 2S321 ike Monopoly. Set 2)irm*here M#3MC

    Set (rice at ma' ( given 2)irm+on 1,

    (45TC647$ntry +or (85TC687$'it,

    M#8(M# steeper than demand +-',

    P3

    /elati!ely elastic demand

    6

  • 8/9/2019 63cdce1b0dd2b4d696630b508a8cbb97_Intermediate Market Structures f 13.pptx

    8/21

    Intermediate Market Structures9inked 1emand

    Many Small uyers

    Fe* Sellers

    !on"homogeneous product

    #$S%T

    Some arriers

    (er)ect In)ormation

    !o uyer market po*er 5lternative vendors kno*n Some product loyalty

    Competitors respond to each otherPrice #etter+must choose price,

    #ome Parallel eha!ior

    Price #taility o!er time

    (ro)its may induce entry osses may induce e'it

    !o mistakes

  • 8/9/2019 63cdce1b0dd2b4d696630b508a8cbb97_Intermediate Market Structures f 13.pptx

    9/21

  • 8/9/2019 63cdce1b0dd2b4d696630b508a8cbb97_Intermediate Market Structures f 13.pptx

    10/21

    Game Theory

    (layers 5ctors e))ected ;y their o*n actions and those o) others ?hat opponent does a))ects the values o) alternative actions

    Strategies I) you = I *ill = 1epends upon dynamics o) market

    Is decision making se@uential or simultaneousA Is decision making repeatedA

    Is learning possi;leA (ayo))s

    May ;e monetary !eed to @uanti)y

  • 8/9/2019 63cdce1b0dd2b4d696630b508a8cbb97_Intermediate Market Structures f 13.pptx

    11/21

    Bo* Game Theory *orks

    1eals *ith personal competition I) small num;er o) competitors. get to kno* each

    others patterns O*n actions a))ect others actions. *hich. in turn.

    a))ect *hat is ;est strategy

    Individual chooses ;est e'pected payo)) Factor in opponents strategy Factor in importance o) gain and loss Factor in past and potential )uture impact

    !ash $@uili;rium D no incentive to change given competitors strategy

  • 8/9/2019 63cdce1b0dd2b4d696630b508a8cbb97_Intermediate Market Structures f 13.pptx

    12/21

    Firm B

    5dvertise 1ont 5dvertise 0 5dvertise E -7 E " E

    E -7 E 7 E

    E""""""""""""""""""""""""""E""""""""""""""""""""""""""""E 1ont 5dvertise E 7 E E

    E " E E

    I) )irm 5 5dvertises. Firm s ;est strategy is to advertise!otice 5s payo))s depend on s choice0I) )irm 5 1oes not advertise. Firm s ;est strategy is to 5dvertise

    There)ore. Firm has a dominant strategy to advertise0 +;oth arro*s,Firm 5 also has a dominant strategy to advertise0The !ash e@uili;rium is to ;oth advertise0!either has an incentive to change strategy. i) the other does not0This sho*s ;y t*o arro*s into ;o'. and at least one out o) other ;o'es0, Beatifl Mind

    G5M$ TB$O#Y(ayo))s *ith the di))erent strategies

    .

    Firm ,

    http://www.haverford.edu/math/butler/governing.dynamics.htmlhttp://www.haverford.edu/math/butler/governing.dynamics.html
  • 8/9/2019 63cdce1b0dd2b4d696630b508a8cbb97_Intermediate Market Structures f 13.pptx

    13/21

    G5M$ TB$O#YT*o !ash e@uili;ria

    Firm B

    5dvertise 1ont 5dvertise 0

    5dvertise E - E H E

    E - E 7 E

    E""""""""""""""""""""""""""E"""""""""""""""""""""""""""E1ont 5dvertise E 7 E E

    E H E E

    I) )irm 5 5dvertises. Firm s ;est strategy is to not advertise

    I) )irm 5 1oes not advertise. Firm s ;est strategy is to 5dvertiseFirm 5 has the same incentives as Firm

    There are t*o !ash $@uili;ria:

    5ny cell *ith t*o arro* coming in is a !ash $@uili;rium

    Both .ash E6iliria ha!e one firm ad!ertising and the other not

    !

    .

    Firm ,

  • 8/9/2019 63cdce1b0dd2b4d696630b508a8cbb97_Intermediate Market Structures f 13.pptx

    14/21

    G5M$ TB$O#Y(risoners 1ilemma

    Firm B

    5dvertise 1ont 5dvertise

    5dvertise E H E - E

    E H E 7 E

    E""""""""""""""""""""""""""E"""""""""""""""""""""""""""E1ont 5dvertise E 7 E E

    E - E E

    I) )irm 5 5dvertises. Firm s ;est strategy is to advertise

    I) )irm 5 1oes not advertise. Firm s ;est strategy is to 5dvertiseFirm 5 has the same incentives0

    Only one !ash $@uili;rium e'ists:

    oth advertise. even though this costs them

    .

    Firm ,

  • 8/9/2019 63cdce1b0dd2b4d696630b508a8cbb97_Intermediate Market Structures f 13.pptx

    15/21

    (ractical 5pplication o)Game Theory: 5dvertising

    5dvertising Some o) advertising increases total demand

    ;y in)orming customers

    Some o) advertising is destructive as itattempts to take other vendors customers

    The )irst adds to value. the latter destroyssome value as it adds to private value

    This creates a Game Theory situation The payo)) o) my actions depends on others

    actions My actions a))ect the payo))s o) others actions

  • 8/9/2019 63cdce1b0dd2b4d696630b508a8cbb97_Intermediate Market Structures f 13.pptx

    16/21

    $'ample

    #ules:

    0 Simultaneous decisions

    -0 (ayo))s depend upon your and your

    competitors choices

    0 (ayo)) Matri' is symmetrical

    H0 You are either (epsi or Coca Cola

    0 You have to decide *hether to advertise ornot

    J0 In class you have one competitor team

  • 8/9/2019 63cdce1b0dd2b4d696630b508a8cbb97_Intermediate Market Structures f 13.pptx

    17/21

    K

    Coke

    0 1ont 5dvertise 5dvertise 0

    1ont 5dvertise E 7 E 7 EE 7 E -7 E

    E"""""""""""""""""""""""E""""""""""""""""""""""""E5dvertise E -7 E 77 E

    E 7 E 77 E

    $ntries are pro)its. given the com;ination o) choices0You are either Firm 5 or Firm ?hat do you choose to doLadvertise or notAThere *ill ;e up to K rounds""each time each team chooses

    simultaneouslyThen results *ill ;e ta;ulatedCumulative pro)it is the criterion )or *inningThere "ill e one chance to negotiate "ith yor competitor

    ?hat *ill you chooseA

    Pepsi

  • 8/9/2019 63cdce1b0dd2b4d696630b508a8cbb97_Intermediate Market Structures f 13.pptx

    18/21

    ?hy did *e do *hat *e did: (ayo))

    5ssume that i) you advertise. it costs you N77 +;uilt into the num;ers;elo*, and that the payo))s are as in the ta;le:

    Pepsi

    5dvertise 1ont 5dvertise

    5dvertise E 7 E 7 EE 7 E -7 E

    E""""""""""""""""""""""""""E"""""""""""""""""""""""""""E

    1ont 5dvertise E -7 E 77 E

    E 7 E 77 E

    !otice that this is a prisoners dilemma situation0

    Bo* did your team respondA

    Bo* much pro)it did you makeA

    !

    Coca Cola

  • 8/9/2019 63cdce1b0dd2b4d696630b508a8cbb97_Intermediate Market Structures f 13.pptx

    19/21

    Profits !s Pricing'The Incentive )or !o change

    (ay"o))s a;ove diagonal to $''on

    (ay"o))s ;elo* diagonal to Cro*n

    Exxon

    Cro"n

    N0

    N0H

    N0-

    N0-H

    N07

    N0-7

    H7

    K77

    H77

    J7

    H

    H7

    J7

    7K7

    7-7

    K7

    7

    H

    Incorporating kno"ledge of competitor5s response rles ot certain options7

    !

    Only stale choice is88888888888887

    $ntries in Ta;leare (ro)its

    no change

    37 Tale assmesindependent action0

    ?ith this assumption.;oth lo*ering price isthe only !ash

    $@uili;rium097 Beha!ioral

    ,ssmption:a0 #aising price *illnot ;e responded to.;0 1ropping price *ill0

    5rro* indicatespre)erred choice

    Initial

    situation

    Chooses ro"

    Chooses colmn

    .ash E6ilirim'

    !o incentive toautonomouslychange strategy

  • 8/9/2019 63cdce1b0dd2b4d696630b508a8cbb97_Intermediate Market Structures f 13.pptx

    20/21

    Game Theory over Time

    More than one decision earning possi;le

    Tit")or"tat

    1ecision tree

    Options and payo))s in se@uential decisions $': Take a Po; at N77. or *ait )or possi;le Po; QN-77

    Take Po;A

    Y

    !

    !e*

    O))er

    Y

    Y

    !

    !

    Outcome

    N77

    N7

    N-77

    N77

    The key to success is

    0 5ssess pro;a;ility o) Po;

    -0 1ecide *illingness to risk0

    0 1ecide a;out )irst Po;0

  • 8/9/2019 63cdce1b0dd2b4d696630b508a8cbb97_Intermediate Market Structures f 13.pptx

    21/21

    The argaining (rocess

    %ltimatum 5ll"or"nothing

    Take"it"or"leave"it

    Credi;le threat One that is in threateners ;est interest

    Credi;le promise One that is in promisers ;est interest

    Commitment (ro;lem"not tied to promise

    Commitment device"ties one to threat orpromise