50th anniversary keynote for korean testing laboratory
TRANSCRIPT
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Global Vision, Future Technologies, and Collective Intelligence for
Global Collaboration
Testing and Certification Forum for the 50th Anniversary of the Korean Testing Laboratory (KTL)
Jerome C. Glenn, CEO The Millennium Project
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When this begins to happen, the speed of increasing AI’s intelligence will be far fasterand produce more change than Moore’s Law
by responding to feedback from sensor networks worldwide,
will accelerate AI’s intelligence worldwide… moment by moment
Artificial Intelligence … that can autonomously “write” and improve its code…
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Computational ScienceComputational biology
Computational Chemistry
Computational PhysicsAll accelerated with Moore’s Law ANDautonomous AI programing worldwide
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What is possible… will change
Moore’s Law + Artificial Intelligence acceleration + Computational science These three together will change what we think is possible.
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Old Way of Seeing Future Technologies
Artificial Intelligence Robotic
manufacturing
Computational Science3-D4-D Priting
Nanotechnology Quantum computing
Synthetic Biology
Drones
Artificial General Intelligence
Tele-Everything & Tele-Everybodythe Semantic Web
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Future Way of Seeing Future Technologies - Integration/Synergies
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Future Technology SynergiesRobotic manufacturing
Drones
Quantum computing
Robotic manufacturing
3D, 4D Printing
Augmented RealityTele-Presence, Holographics
Nanotechnology Artificial General Intelligence
Tele-EverythingTele-Everybodythe Semantic Web
Increasing individual and collective intelligence
Synthetic Biology
Nanotechnology
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Future Technology Synergies
Artificial Intelligence
Robotic manufacturing
Quantum computing
Drones
Future Technology
Robotic manufacturing
3D, 4D Printing
Augmented Reality,Tele-Presence, Holographics
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Future Tech Emerges from Synergies
Artificial Intelligence
Build Environment
Biology Technology
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If \ Then Nano-technology
Synthetic Biology
Artificial Intelligence
Robotics 3-D Printing Augmented Reality
Nano-technology xxx Synthetic Biology xxx Artificial Intelligence xxx Robotics xxx 3-D Printing xxx Augmented Reality xxx
Emerging Technologies Matrix
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Some near-term
Future Technological Changes
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2017 HP’s Multi Jet Fusion 3D printer…. has 30,000 nozzles spraying 350 million drops a second of thermoplastic or other powdered materials… Imagine a factory composed of 10,000 of these 3D Printers
A 4-ounce metal chain link was printed in half an hour and then tested to withstand 10,000 lbs
Since 3D will evolve so fast, then is it software that is tested before printing?
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Bio Printer:
Industrial testing and medical testing.
Prints body parts for medical experiments using compressed air to force biomaterial out layer by layer
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Synthetic Biology – mixing species DNA
Microprobes to eat the plaque in your brain? Produce hydrogen instead of CO2 in plants?
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Maker Movement – Do It YourselfHi-Tech Community Hubs
How to integrate quality control and testing?
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Plastic waste of one process can be input to carbon nanotube production
Industrial ecology
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Waste water --> Algae input to --> Pure Meat without Growing Animals
August 5, 2013 a London chef cooked and served hamburgers without growing/killing a cow.
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Leather without Growing Animals
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Cloud Manufacturing and Intelligent Networks … Across national boundaries
• Software integration in the cloud of all elements of value chain, testing, production, sales, feedback, and re-design
• Keeps management of supply chain at the innovation edge• Integrates with the Internet of Things (IoT) on a dynamic basis• Using common digital manufacturing standards
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Smart Contact Lens – always in Virtual Reality connected to the wordHands-free manufacturing
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Brain-to-cloud robotic manufacturing tomorrow?
Brain-to-Brain interface demonstrated
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How to prevent industrial spying and sabotage?
The Internet of Things also means that every-one and everything is vulnerable to hacking
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Will our artificial Brains out think us?
Artificial Intelligence1. Artificial Narrow Intelligence2. Artificial General Intelligence3. Artificial Super Intelligence
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Future of Work?
Humans Augmented by technology ….rather than replaced by it?
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If you can’t beat AI, why not join with it? …and evolve together?
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Without major socio-economic changes… unemployment will grow around the world
Future Work/Tech 2050
Millennium Project survey of 300 Futures from over 30 counties
We will change the nature of work, employment, and economics
(Since ILO numbers are low, these could double)
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One-Person Businesses
Find markets around the world for what you are interested in doing
….not non-existing jobs
What might this look like in …
2020
2030
2040
2050?
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Will we create our own Avatars in the Digital World to be our Cyber-selves? Cyber-Clones?
Finding unique exciting work for us while we sleep?
Could testing programs have such Avatars connected to IoT to improve every moment ?
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Where is all this change going?
What kind of future could emerge?
What’s the future vision?
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Humans becoming cyborgs
20202025
20302050
Conscious-Technology
Built environment becoming intelligent
When the distinction between these two mega trends becomes blurred, we will have reached the
Post-Information Age
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Consciousness
Technology
Technology Changes Consciousness and Consciousness Changes Technology
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Simplification/Generalization of Historyand an Alternative Future
Age /Element Product Power Wealth Place War Time
Agricultural Extraction
Food/Res Religion Land Earth/Res Location Cyclical
Industrial Machine Nation-State
Capital Factory Resources Linear
Information Info/serv Corporation
Access Office Perception Flexible
Conscious-Technology
Linkage Individual Being Motion Identity Invented
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How to keep all this information together?
…And anticipate future changes?
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Collective Intelligence Systems: Each Can Change the Other
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Menu Options for each Challenge
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Menu for each Challenge1. Situation Chart: Current Situation; Desired Situation; and
Policies2. Report (detailed text) 3. News items (automatic news feeds – aggregated and
searchable)4. Scanning (annotated, rated information)5. On-going Real-Time Delphi questionnaires to collect expert
judgments6. Comments7. Discussion groups8. Computer models (mathematical and rules-based), and
conceptual models9. Resources: websites, books, papers, videos10.Updates – all edits11.Digests – Recent scans, edits, discussions
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Collective Intelligence Systems for Korea Testing Laboratory KTL
• Support KTL to become a global institute• Help keep track and anticipate change• Unite functions, foresight, strategy, and programs• Provide a common platform for a “Whole-of-KTL”
response to future challenges• Identify new opportunities; strategic investments for KTL• Invite experts and creative people to participate in
building a “brain” for the future of KTL
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Additional future methodsand considerations
• Testing via computation engineering – simulations (e.g., atomic bomb tests) and VR displays for testing with computational engineering simulation testing
• AI replacing skilled human testers• Ultra sonic methods and imaging• Online real-time continuous testing (radiography, thermography, shearography)• Citizen science, intelligent urban environmental infrastructures. • Synergetic advantage may be the new Competitive Advantage (as integration
advances accelerate)• Since 3D will go so fast, then is it software that is tested before printing?• Citizen science and testing?• One set of international ethics standards seems evolving with ISO
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For further informationJerome C. Glenn
+1-202-686-5179 phone/[email protected]
www.StateoftheFuture.org
Global Futures Intelligence System: http://millennium-project.org/millennium/GFIS.html
2015-16 State of the Future: http://millennium-project.org/millennium/201516SOF.html
Futures Research Methodology 3.0: http://millennium-project.org/millennium/FRM-V3.html