371 13 capacity planning

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    IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOSTBENIFICIEN THE MOST MERCIFUL

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    Group Members Shahid Iqbal

    ME2-2002 Farhan Shahzad

    ME2-2012 Gulraiz Khan

    ME2-2017 Muhammad Asadullah

    ME2-2025

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    Ca pacity pla nning o rAg gregate Pl annin g

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    Aggregate Production Planning (APP)

    Determines resource capacity to meet

    demand

    For intermediate time horizon, 6-12 months

    Not feasible to build new facility

    May be feasible to hire/lay off workers,

    overtime, or subcontract Adjusting capacity OR managing demand

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    How should an aggregate plan fit with other plans?

    Businessor annualplan

    MPS orworkforceschedule

    Productionor staffing

    Plan (Aggregate Plan)

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    Aggregate Plan Managerial Inputs

    Supplier capabilities

    Storage capacity

    Materials availability

    Materials

    Current machine capacities

    Plans for future capacities

    Workforce capacities

    Current staffing level

    Operations

    New products

    Product design changes

    Machine standards

    Engineering

    Labor-market conditions

    Training capacity

    Human resources

    Cost data

    Financial condition

    of firm

    Accounting and finance

    Aggregate

    plan

    Customer needs

    Demand forecasts

    Competition behavior

    Distribution and marketing

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    Aggregate Plan Outputs

    Units ordollars

    subcontracted

    Size ofWorkforce and

    Workforce Adjustment

    Productionper month

    (in units or $)

    InventoryLevels

    Aggregate

    plan

    Units or dollarsOf Backlogs,

    backorders , orstockout

    Reactive Alternatives

    ComplementaryProducts

    CompetitivePricing

    Aggressive Alternatives

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    Aggregate Planning Objectives Minimize Costs/Maximize Profits

    Maximize Customer Service

    Minimize Inventory Investment

    Minimize Changes in Production Rates

    Minimize Changes in Workforce Levels Maximize Utilization of Plant and Equipment

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    Examples of CapacityAdjustment to Meet

    Demand

    1. Producing at a constant rate and using inventory to absorbfluctuations in demand

    2. Hiring and firing workers to match demand

    3. Maintaining resources for high demand levels

    4. Increase or decrease working hours (overtime and undertime)

    5. Subcontracting work to other firms

    6. Using part-time workers

    7. Providing the service or product at a later time period(backordering)

    Demand

    Units

    Time

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    Planning Strategies Chase Strategies

    Match demand during the planning horizon byeither

    Vary workforce or vary output rate

    Level Strategies Maintain a constant workforce level or

    constant output rate during the planning

    horizon Constant workforce or constant output rate

    Mixed Strategies Combined several strategies

    PURE

    STRATEGIES

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    Pure Strategy

    Level Production

    Production

    Demand

    Units

    Time

    Chase Demand

    Production

    Demand

    Units

    Time

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    PLANNING STRATEGIES FOR AGGREGATE PLANS

    Possible Alternatives Possible Alternatives

    Strategy during Slack Season during Peak Season

    4. Level #2: constant Layoffs, building antici- Hiring, depleting antici-

    outputrate pation inventory, pation inventory, over-

    undertime, vacations time, subcontracting,

    backorders, stockouts

    1. Chase #1: vary workforce Layoffs Hiring

    level to match demand2. Chase #2: vary output Layoffs, undertime, Hiring, overtime,

    rateto match demand vacations subcontracting

    3. Level #1: constant No layoffs, building No hiring, depleting

    workforcelevel anticipation inventory, anticipation inventory,

    undertime, vacations overtime, subcontracting,

    backorders, stockouts

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    Aggregate Planning Costs Regular-Time Costs

    Overtime Costs

    Hiring and

    Layoff Costs Inventory

    Holding Costs

    Backorder and Stockout Costs

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    Ex 1 Candy CompanyGiven the following costs and quarterly sales forecasts of a candy

    company, compare the two strategies:

    Strategy 1: Level production with constant workforce level

    Strategy 2: Chase production by varying workforce level

    80,000

    50,000

    120,000

    150,000

    Spring

    Summer

    Fall

    Winter

    Sale Forecast(LB)

    Quarter $100 per worker

    $500 per worker

    $0.50 per pound per

    quarter1000 pounds perquarter

    100 workers

    Hiring cost

    Firing cost

    Inventory carrying cost

    Production rate peremployee

    Beginning workforce

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    TransportationMethod

    A method of LP

    Gather all cost info into onematrix

    Try to obtain the lowest costalternative

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    Tableau Method

    Step 1: Put all capacities from the total capacity columninto the unused capacity column. Next, put unit costs ineach of the small boxes

    Step 2: In column 1 (period 1), allocate as muchproduction as you can to the cell with the lowest cost butdo not exceed the unused capacity in that row or thedemand in that column.

    Step 3: Subtract your allocation from the unused capacityfor the row. This quantity must never be negative.

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    Step 4: If there is still some demand left, repeat step 2,allocating as much production as possible to the cell with thenext-to-lowest cost. Repeat until the demand is satisfied.

    Step 5: Repeat steps 2 through 4 for periods 2 and beyond. Takeeach column separately before proceeding to the next. Be sure tocheck all cells with unused capacity for the cell with the lowestcost in a column.

    Tableau Method (Contd)

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    Farnsworth's Production, Demand,Capacity, and Cost Data

    100 tiresBeginning

    inventory

    130150150Subcontracting

    505050Overtime

    700700700Regular

    7501000800DemandCapacity:

    MayApr.Mar.

    Sales Period

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    Cost

    Regular time = $40 per tire

    Overtime = $50 per tire

    Subcontracting = $70 per tire

    Carrying Cost = $2 per tire per month

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    27802307501000800Total Demand

    130 0

    130

    70Subcontra

    50 0 50

    50

    Overtime

    700 0 49

    700

    Regular3

    150 0

    100

    72 70

    50

    Subcontra

    50 0 52 50

    50

    Overtime

    7000 42 40

    700

    Regular2

    150 0 74 72

    150

    70Subcontra

    50 0 54 52

    50

    50Overtime

    700 044 42 40

    700

    Regular1

    100 0 4 20

    100

    Beginning inventory

    Unused

    Capacity

    Period 3

    (May)

    Period 2

    (Apr.)

    Period 1

    (Mar.)

    Total Capacity

    Available

    (supply)

    Demand ForSupply Form

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    Aggregate Planning in Services

    Aggregate planning may be easier than inmanufacturing for services like

    Restaurants

    Hospitals

    National chains of small service firms

    Airline industries etc

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    Controlling the cost of Labor inservices is critical

    As it is the primary planning vehicle involving :

    Close scheduling of labor hours (quick response)

    On Call labor resources (unexpected demand)

    Flexibility of individual worker skills Individual worker flexibility in rate of out put

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    END THANK U