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Analyst meeting February 15 th , 2008 Y 2007 Consolidated results inancial impact new regulation

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Page 1: 3045C1EEAE9240259A5DE866C793F971

Analyst meeting February 15th, 2008

FY 2007 Consolidated resultsFinancial impact new regulation

Page 2: 3045C1EEAE9240259A5DE866C793F971

Disclaimer

• This presentation is only provided for general information purpose about Elia and its activities. The included statements are neither reported results nor other historical information. They are not provided to serve as the basis for any evaluation of Elia, and cannot be binding and/or enforceable upon Elia.

• As forward-looking statements, they are subject to assumptions, risk and uncertainties, actual future results may differ from those expressed in or implied by such statements.

• Although Elia uses reasonable cares to present information which is up-to-date to the best of Elia's knowledge, Elia makes no representation or warranty whatsoever as to the adequacy, accuracy, completeness or correctness of such information. • Elia will not be liable for any consequences arising from or related to the use or interpretation of the information contained or absent in this presentation.

Page 3: 3045C1EEAE9240259A5DE866C793F971

Summary

Highlights 2007

Financials 2007

Outlook 2008

Agenda

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Summary

• Highlights 2007- Energy Consumption influenced by mild weather, increased

penetration of cogeneration and renewables - Approved 4 year tariffs (2008-2011 included)- Full realisation of investment plan- Successful management of controllable costs- Growing success of Belpex- Update on Elia’s shareholdership and participations

• Financials 2007- Improved profit margin with respect to forecast- Increase in dividend to € 1,30 a share

• Outlook 2008- New regulation with 4-year tariffs- Capex 2008-2011

Page 5: 3045C1EEAE9240259A5DE866C793F971

Summary

Highlights 2007

Financials 2007

Outlook 2008

Agenda

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1. Energy Consumption in Elia’s balancing zone

Total Energy consumption in Elia’s balancing zone decreased slightly to 88,8 TWh in 2006 from 89,4 TWh in 2006

This is mainly due to :

• Mild temperatures throughout the year

• Increasing local production at industrial clients

• Energy from renewables (wind & biomass) directly injected in distribution network

Injected energy Elia’s balancing zone per month

0100020003000400050006000700080009000

Jan Feb Maart

April

Mei Juni Juli Aug Se

pt Okt Nov Dec

GWh/ month

Real 2005 - GWh Real 2006 - GWh Real 2007 - GWh

Montly deviation from normal average temperature (KMI based)

-2,0 -1,0 0,01,02,03,04,05,06,07,0

J an Feb Maart April Mei J uni J uli Aug Sep Okt Nov Dec

° C

2005 2006 2007

Page 7: 3045C1EEAE9240259A5DE866C793F971

2. Evolution of tariffs since 2001First increase in tariffs since 2001 due to new capex, higher financing First increase in tariffs since 2001 due to new capex, higher financing costs, flat tariffs (incl. inflation 09-11) & less surpluses from the past to costs, flat tariffs (incl. inflation 09-11) & less surpluses from the past to reversereverse

Tariffs for use of the grid and tariffs for ancillary services:comparison 2001 - 2008

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

2001 2002 (Q4)

2003 (Q2 toQ4)

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2001 2002 (Q4)

2003 (Q2 toQ4)

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2001 2002 (Q4)

2003 (Q2 toQ4)

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2001 2002 (Q4)

2003 (Q2 toQ4)

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

On the 380/220/150 kV network At transformer output to the 70/36/30 kV network On the 70/36/30 kV network At transformer output to medium voltage

Annual power System management Ancillary services Loss compensation

Page 8: 3045C1EEAE9240259A5DE866C793F971

ETSO European comparison 2006 tariffs

0

5

10

15

20

25A

ustri

a

Bel

gium

Cze

ch R

epub

lic

Den

mar

k E

ast

Den

mar

k W

est

Est

onia

Finl

and

Fran

ce

Ger

man

y

Gre

at B

ritai

n

Gre

ece

Hun

gary

Irela

nd Italy

Lith

uani

a

Net

herla

nds

Nor

way

Pol

and

Por

tuga

l

Rom

ania

Slo

vak

Rep

Slo

veni

a

Spa

in

Sw

eden

( €

/ MW

h )

Infrastructure Losses System Services Other regulatory charges

Page 9: 3045C1EEAE9240259A5DE866C793F971

Breakdown CAPEX Breakdown CAPEX

Replacements

Driven by internal consumption

Driven by interconnections with neighbours

Driven by import levels & generation localisation

CAPEX 2007€ 142,6 m

44% 48%

3. Investments 2007

• Full realisation of capex plan 2007

• Focus on reliability and internal demand

as well as for

• supporting local production at site of industrial clients

• increased co-generation and renewables

• managing international flows

17%3%

29%

51%

Page 10: 3045C1EEAE9240259A5DE866C793F971

Investments 2007• 150 kV underground cable between

Monceau & Thy-le-Château

• Strengthen electricity supply in South-west part of Belgium

• Includes new 150 KV transformer in Thy-le-Château

• Completed in May 2007• Investment of about € 15m

• Completion of replacement of 70kV line Beerse-Turnhout-Mol

• Replacement of overhead line • 117 pylons • To be completed in Q1 2008• Investment of about € 12m

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• Extensions and developments at the port of Antwerp

• New 150 kV Petrol high-voltage station

• Extension of high-voltage station “Scheldelaan” to connect new production unit of Exxon (WKK)

• Started in Q1 2007 and to be completed in December 2008

• Investments of about € 20m

Investments 2007

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• Purchase of 3 phase shifters

• Van Eyck & Zandvliet high -voltage station

• The biggest of their type in the world (each 1400 MVA)

• Enable to better spread the energy flows on the Elia grid

• Optimise interconnection flow with the Netherlands and increase border capacity, mainly in the summer

• Started in Q3 2006;

• In service planned 1H 2008 due to technical issue with equipment as delivered by manufacturer

• Investment of about € 54 m

Investments 2007

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4. Successful management of controllable costs

Average interruption per client per year on Elia-net

0:00:00

0:07:00

0:14:01

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Tim

e (h

:mm

:ss)

AIT (min) AI T 5-year (min)

• Highly resilient network• Meshed network• Improved installation of

safety and control equipment

• Average interruption time per client and per year: 3min. 32sec.

Good operational results : very reliable network > 99,999%Good operational results : very reliable network > 99,999%

• Total net controllable costs decreased with 2,7% since 2004 despite inflation of 2% a year thanks to :

• Increased efficiency• Operational excellence• Replacement of retired

personnel

In € m (IFRS) 2004 2005 2006 2007

Personnel costs 122,9 117,2 116,5 114,0G&A expenses 147,8 144,0 146,2 150,9Telecom & third party serv. -11,2 -9,4 -9,7 -12,3

Total net controllable costs 259,5 251,8 253,0 252,6

Page 14: 3045C1EEAE9240259A5DE866C793F971

5. Belgian Power Exchange (Belpex)

• 2007 was 1st full year of operation

• 24 diversified participants (suppliers, traders, producers) from 6 countries (NL,CH,UK,FR,BE,DE,CZ) at Dec 31st, 2007

• In 2007 average daily volume was 20.788 MWh with the following average electricity prices :

- Belix €41,85/MWh- Belix peak (8am-20pm) €53,56/MWh- Belix off-peak (20pm-8am) €30,13/MWh

• Record volume of 53.306 MWh on December 20th, which equals 21,3% of average Belgian electricity demand

• Market coupling induced an average export volume of 2.438 MWh and an average import volume of 2.896MWh

Page 15: 3045C1EEAE9240259A5DE866C793F971

Belpex volume growth in 2007

Monthly baseload volume & average prices

608 424

436 012

516 800502 009

654 124

365 175

659 608

733 335

684 643

795 093 785 118

846 546

34.830.4

26.8 28.7

40.6

28.7 30.3 28.135.9

61.6

87.4

67.3

0

100 000

200 000

300 000

400 000

500 000

600 000

700 000

800 000

900 000

Jan-07 Feb-07 Mar-07 Apr-07 May-07 Jun-07 Jul-07 Aug-07 Sep-07 Oct-07 Nov-07 Dec-07

MWh

0.0

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0

100.0

120.0

140.0

160.0

180.0

200.0

€/MWhBase load volume Powernext price APX price Belpex price

Page 16: 3045C1EEAE9240259A5DE866C793F971

FR-BE-NE TLC 2007 Usage of transmission capacities

Border Belgian-French border

 

Belgian-

Dutch

border

Constrained Unconstrained

Constrained F ≠ B ≠ NL   F = B ≠ NL

Unconstrained

  F ≠ B = NL   F = B = NL

1,6 %

9,4 %

26,4 %

62,7 %

Page 17: 3045C1EEAE9240259A5DE866C793F971

Elia System Operator

Elia Asset(1)

99.99%

Elia Re 05/02/2002

HGRT 12/2001

BEL Engineering 26/12/2003

100% 100%

Licensed System Operator

Network Owner

(1) 1 share Publi-T, 1 share Electrabel (2) Includes 0,54% Employee shareholdership (estimate)

• Engineering consultancy firm mainly involved in the design and project management of electricity network-related infrastructure

• Captive reinsurance company

• 17% Shareholder of French-based electricity power exchange Powernext

• Foreseen to increase participation to 51%

Elia: A Single Economic Unit

24.5%

Suez/ Electrabel Publi-T Publipart

24,36% 2.54%33.03%

Freefloat

40,07% (2)

6. Update Shareholdership& participations

• Belgian power exchange

Belpex 07/07/2005

60%

Page 18: 3045C1EEAE9240259A5DE866C793F971

Summary

Highlights 2007

Financials 2007

Outlook 2008

Agenda

Page 19: 3045C1EEAE9240259A5DE866C793F971

Overview of Key IFRS Figures

ChangeIncome statement (€ million) 2007 2006 In %Consolidated turnover 731,7 711,5 2,8%EBITDA (1) 308,5 292,6 5,5%Operating result (EBIT) 214,7 204,0 5,2%Financial result (104,0) (98,3) 5,8%Taxes (32,9) (29,8) 10,4%Consolidated net profit 77,6 75,9 2,2%Net profit per share (€) 1,62 1,58 2,5%Dividend per share (€) 1,30 1,28 1,6%Balance sheet (€ million) 31/12/2007 31/12/2006Total assets 3.977,9 3.898,1 2,0%Equity 1.339,9 1.308,6 2,4%Net debt 2.140,0 2.074,9 3,1%Equity per share (€) 27,88 27,32 2,0%

Total number of shares (end of period) 48.061.695 47.898.052 0,3%(1) EBITDA = EBIT + depreciation + changes in provisions

IFRS

Page 20: 3045C1EEAE9240259A5DE866C793F971

Average RAB 2007 3.512Reference equity (33%) 1.159Cost of equity 6,05%Equity reference remuneration (A) 70,08

Av. equity / Av. assets 33,91%Deviation on ref. equity 0,91%Equity deviation remuneration 2,72%D-factor (B) 0,87

Over-depreciation (C) -8,18

Fair remuneration (A+B+C) 62,77

Appeal BM 05 & Settlement BM 06 5,02

Net profit Belgian GAAP (tariffs) 67,79

Consolidatie Belpex / HGRT 0,26

I FRS reconciliation 9,56

Net profit I FRS 77,61

Bottom-up Approach of Elia’s P&L in 2007 (EUR m)Bottom-up Approach of Elia’s P&L in 2007 (EUR m)Determination of net profitDetermination of net profit

2007 Profit and Loss

653,6

68,1

77,6

654,0

9,9

Charges Revenues

Tariff

Non tariff

Costs

Net profit

(1)

(1) OLO of 3,423%; Beta of 1,033 and a risk premium of 2,54%(2) Av. Equity =1.303,1 and Av. Assets = 3.842,8

(2)

(3)

(3) OLO of 3,423%; deviation rate of 70bp and tax rate of 33.99%

Shortfall

Page 21: 3045C1EEAE9240259A5DE866C793F971

1.338,71.340,8 16,112,2

(135,2)

78,1 13,0 13,7

2007 BelgianGAAP

Employee benefits

Regulatory assets

Deferredtaxes

Capitalisationsoftware

Elia Re Others 2007 IFRS

IFRS Impact on Equity and Net Profit IFRS Impact on Equity and Net Profit for year ending 31 December 2007for year ending 31 December 2007

Net

Pro

fitEq

uity

Reconciliation Be GAAP - IFRS

77,668,0

4,82,3

2,31317,8

2007 BelgianGAAP

EmployeeBenefits

RegulatoryAssets

Elia Re Deferred taxes CapitalisationSoftware

2007 IFRS

(1)

(1) Mainly relates to Inventory valuation (€3,7m), goodwill Bel engineering (€ 5,6m) and IAS 32/39 on the interest rate swaps (€7,1m)

Page 22: 3045C1EEAE9240259A5DE866C793F971

Evolution 2007 RABEvolution 2007 RAB

Regulated Asset Base 2007

Average RAB 3.442 3.512

3.583

3.443

(90) (9) 142

98

2006 Depreciation Divestments Capex Change inWCR

2007

(1)

(1) Includes € 6 million goodwill decommissioning

Page 23: 3045C1EEAE9240259A5DE866C793F971

31,4

21,0

81,9

9,9

(46,5)

97,7

2007

Inventory & trade

debtors <1 year

Deferred charges

and accrued

income

Total Change in

WCR

Trade creditors & others

Accrued charges

& deferred income

Shortfall 2007

Working Capital Requirements 2007

Changes in Working Capital Requirements (EUR m) Changes in Working Capital Requirements (EUR m) (1)(1)

(1)(1) Based on Belgian GAAP accountsBased on Belgian GAAP accounts

Page 24: 3045C1EEAE9240259A5DE866C793F971

Evolution of Costs between 2007 and 2006 (EUR m)Evolution of Costs between 2007 and 2006 (EUR m)

29,832,9

98,3104,0

88,593,818,519,6

114,0 116,5

146,2150,9

137,8138,8

2007 2006

Personnel Expenses

Ancillary services(reserve energy)

DepreciationOthers

Financial charges

Taxes

Raw materials, Services & Other goods

Breakdown Costs

654,0 635,6

-2,1%

+6,0%

+5,8%

+0,7%

+3,2%

+10,4%

(1) Tax authorities claimed € 93,6m (without notice of fraud) which was booked as debt. This was compensated by a receivable of the same amount as agreed with external experts. Elia, in conjunction with the CREG, decided to appeal against this decision.

(1)

Page 25: 3045C1EEAE9240259A5DE866C793F971

10,4

9,712,3

11,615,8

43,1

62,6

2007 2006

Breakdown of Non – Tariff Revenues in 2007 and 2006 (EUR m)Breakdown of Non – Tariff Revenues in 2007 and 2006 (EUR m)

Non - Tariff Revenues

Others

Telecom & third party services

Fixed assets own construction capitalised

International revenues (due to TLC efficiency)

94,3

68,1

+26,8%

-31,2%

+36,2%

(1) In 2007 « Others » includes € -13m reversal of the regulatory asset as a result of a new collective agreement (one-off payment)

(1)

-3,1

Page 26: 3045C1EEAE9240259A5DE866C793F971

463,2406,7

85,649,8

134,8129,0

29,432,3

2007 2006

Breakdown of Tariff Revenues in 2007 and 2006 (EUR m)Breakdown of Tariff Revenues in 2007 and 2006 (EUR m)

Tariff Revenues

Connection tariffs

Tariffs for ancillary services

Tariffs decrease for grid use (due to weather conditions and increased co-generation and renewable energy services directly injected on DSO grid)

653,6 677,2

-4,3%

13,3 Shortfall on costs 46,7 Surplus revenues (tariff & non-tariff)

Tariffs due to previous surpluses

60,0

-12,2%

71,9%

9,9%

9,9

0,5 Operational 4,9 Appeal BM 2005 4,5 Settlement BM 2006

Page 27: 3045C1EEAE9240259A5DE866C793F971

Surpluses/I n millions of EUR (Shortages) 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Total

Surplus 2003 134,6 25,4 36,4 36,4 36,4 134,6Bonus 2003 3,2 3,2 3,2Used -25,4 -39,6 -36,4 -36,4 -137,8Total 2003 137,8 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0Surplus 2004 118,9 28,0 9,8 9,8 23,8 23,8 23,7 118,9Bonus 2004 3,5 3,5 3,5Used -28,0 -13,3 -9,8 -51,1Total 2004 122,4 0,0 0,0 0,0 23,8 23,8 23,7 71,3Surplus 2005 35,1 7,4 27,7 35,1Bonus 2005 2,3 2,3 2,3Surplus 2006 3,8 3,8 3,8Used -7,4 -33,8 -41,2Totaal 2005 41,2 0,0 0,0 0,0Surplus 2006 56,2 5,6 50,6 56,2Malus 2006 1,8 1,8 1,8Used -5,6 -5,6Totaal 2006 58,0 0,0 52,4 52,4

Reversal decided by regulator for period 2008-2011 20,9 22,8 34,0 46,0 123,7

Shortage 2007 -0,5 -0,5 -0,5Appeal B/M 2005 -4,9 -4,9 -4,9Bonus 2006 -4,5 -4,5 -4,5Totaal 2007 -9,9 -9,9 -9,9Total Surplus 349,5 113,8

Overview treatment of surpluses

Overview of allocation and use of total surplusesOverview of allocation and use of total surpluses

(1) To be allocated by CREG in the next regulatory period

(1)

Page 28: 3045C1EEAE9240259A5DE866C793F971

883,5 883,5

996,8 996,3

200250,0

0

500

1.000

1.500

2.000

31/ 12/ 2007 31/ 12/ 2006

Shareholders' loans Eurobonds Banks LT European Investment Bank

€ millions 2007 2006 Net debt 2.140,0 2.074,8Leverage (D/D+E) 62,1% 61,9%EBITDA / Gross interest 3,0 3,0Net debt / EBITDA 6,9 7,1Average cost of debt 5,0% 4,8%% Fixed of gross debt 73,2% 74,7%

Standard & Poor’s rating:Long Term: A- Outlook:

Stable

Elia benefits from a strong credit ratingElia benefits from a strong credit rating

Financial Debt Position

2.190,3 2.119,8

Unused Amount Interest rateCredit lines (€ m)

European Investment Bank 65 Euribor + 5 bpCommercial Banks : Short term 570 To be negotiated

60,0 40,0

(1) In 2009, a shareholders’ loan of € 387,7m has to be repaid. Refinancing is currently investigated and will depend on the market conditions at that time

(1)

Page 29: 3045C1EEAE9240259A5DE866C793F971

1,17 1,27 1,27 1,28

2,05

1,30

80,91%

89,60%

77,59% 79,26%

89,90% 91,80%

- 0,4

0,1

0,6

1,1

1,6

2,1

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

In E

UR

70%

75%

80%

85%

90%

Dividend Pay- out ratio

Elia’s dividend policy ensures a steady dividendElia’s dividend policy ensures a steady dividend

Dividend Policy

• Increase in dividend to € 1,30 per share• Pay-out ratio over 2007 Belgian Gaap result is 91,8% (80,5% under IFRS)

(1)

(1) Contains exceptional dividend of EUR 0,88

Page 30: 3045C1EEAE9240259A5DE866C793F971

Summary

Highlights 2007

Financials 2007

Outlook 2008

Agenda

Page 31: 3045C1EEAE9240259A5DE866C793F971

• 4-year tariff mechanism• Concept of return on RAB and incentivisation• Embedded financial debt• Corporate governance principles

• 4-year tariff starts on January 1, 2008• Return based on European benchmark• Indexing formulae for controllable costs• Reform of federal regulator July 20th, 2006

June 8th, 2007

Update on legal & regulatory aspects

New Royal

Decrees

Law29/4/99

CREG

• Determination of total revenues/fair remuneration• Determination of RAB & its evolution• Tariff structure (numbers & composition)• Clarification e.g. controllable / non-controllable costs• Allocation of balances between real & budgeted revenues/costs

• Parameters of incentivisation

• Admission first tariff proposal by Elia June 29th, 2007

• Admission adjusted tariff proposal by Elia November 26th, 2007

• Approval of 4-year tariffsApproval of 4-year tariffs December 14December 14thth, 2007, 2007

June 1st, 2005

December 18th, 2007

Page 32: 3045C1EEAE9240259A5DE866C793F971

Most important changes 1. 4-year tariffs from 01/01/2008

2. Split between controllable & non-controllable costs & revenues

3. Clarification on definitions : Working capital requirements D-factor : Equity / RAB

4. Reporting to regulator : semestrial

5. Balance between real and budgeted non-controllable costs to be allocated by council of ministers

Page 33: 3045C1EEAE9240259A5DE866C793F971

Implementation of concept “controllable – non controllable” costs & Implementation of concept “controllable – non controllable” costs & revenuesrevenues

4-year tariff system…

Charges Revenues

Tariff

Non Tariff

Non Controllable(NC) Costs

Net profit

Controllable(C) Costs

CNC

Charges Revenues

Net profit

Costs

Tariff

Non Tariff

(1)

(2)

(1) Mainly consist of purchases of materials, services and other goods & remuneration except the ancillary services & pension costs for retired employees

(2) Mainly consist of Telecom services, Third party services, surplus value on sale fixed assets and insurance claims

PAST FUTURE

Page 34: 3045C1EEAE9240259A5DE866C793F971

Reclassify costs, revenues => controllable & non-controllableReclassify costs, revenues => controllable & non-controllable

Charges Revenues

Tariff

Non Tariff

Non Controllable(NC) Costs

Net profit

Controllable(C) Costs

CNC

NC

C

Net profitTariff

…with netting of costs & revenues

(1) Mainly consist of purchases of materials, services and other goods & remuneration except the ancillary services & pension costs for retired employees

(2) Mainly consist of Telecom services, Third party services, surplus value on sale fixed assets and insurance claims

(1)

(2)

Page 35: 3045C1EEAE9240259A5DE866C793F971

Composition of future net profit

1. Fair remuneration Equity remuneration based on formula Deduction over-depreciation of the past (€ 8,2m net)

till Q3 2012

2. Decommissioning Goodwill from decommissioning passed into tariffs Extra profit reserved for financing investments

3. Incentivisation on controllable costs Ceiling set at same amount as efficiency gain (X-factor)

Page 36: 3045C1EEAE9240259A5DE866C793F971

1. Fair remuneration

The FORMULA : (art.8 §2 R.D. June 8th, 2007)

33% * RAB * [ OLO(2) + (risk premium * Beta) ]

+ (Equity/RAB(1) - 33%) * RAB * (OLO(2) + 70 bp)

(1) In case (Equity / RAB) < 33% than fair remuneration equals33% * RAB * [ OLO + (risk premium * Beta) ]

(2) OLO = Belgian 10 year bund

Page 37: 3045C1EEAE9240259A5DE866C793F971

Fair remuneration(Equity remuneration)

• Equity divided in two parts:

part #1 : till 33% of RABpart #2 : from 33% of RAB till real Equity Value

• Fair remuneration on Equity:

part #1 : Belgian 10year bund + (eta risk premium)with risk premium = 3,5 % & eta = minimum 0,3

part #2 : Belgian 10year bund + 70 bp

Note : Real Belgian 10year bund (daily average) is computed every year and ex-post

Page 38: 3045C1EEAE9240259A5DE866C793F971

Fair remuneration(Determination of eta)

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

eta 2008 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

eta 2009 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

eta 2010 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

eta 2011 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

ELECTRABEL ELIA

• Beta is computed for a period of 7 years

• Elia Beta OR minimum of 0.3 is applicable from 2012 onwards

• Transitory period for Beta calculation for period 2008 till 2011 Weight of Electrabel beta becomes less important over time Weight of Elia beta becomes more important over time

Page 39: 3045C1EEAE9240259A5DE866C793F971

2. Decommissioning (goodwill remuneration)

• € 1,7 billion goodwill is allocated to fixed assets

• In case of decommissioning, relating goodwill is remunerated through the tariffs

• No amortization in profit and loss accounts (generates extra EBIT & net profit)

• Taxes due to extra EBIT covered by tariffs

• Net profit from decommissioning to be reserved for financing investments and equity value

Page 40: 3045C1EEAE9240259A5DE866C793F971

Decommissioning(Explanatory Example)

• Fixed assets of € 2m net book value is decommissioned• Allocated goodwill to this fixed asset is € 3m

Impact on tariffs (Additional costs to be remunerated)1. Exceptional depreciation € 2m2. Goodwill decommissioning € 3m3. Additional taxes € 1,5 m (€3m/(1-33%))Total € 6,5m

Impact on revenues• € 6,5m as depreciation, taxes and goodwill are all remunerated

Impact on costs• € 2m exceptional depreciation• € 1,5m additional taxes

Impact on net profit• € 3m from goodwill decommissioning• This profit has to be reserved in equity as to finance investments

Page 41: 3045C1EEAE9240259A5DE866C793F971

X factor (controllable costs)

€ m

2008 2009 2010 2011

255,3

-4m–6m

-7m -8m = -25m in total

CC approved by regulator includes –X

• Regulator approved € 251,3m net controllable costs for 2008 (255,3m net CC minus X = € 4m cost savings)• Net controllable costs will evolve in 2009-2011 with CPI-X • Fixed cost savings in € (X) determined by R.D. (Dec 18th, 2007)• Total outperformance (Y) agreed with regulator as max X

(1) Controllable non-tariff revenues

(1)

270,3

255,3260,6

265,3

251,3254,6

258,3262,3 CPI-X

Budget including CPI -X

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EX-ANTE€ m

NCC (non-controllable costs)

CC (1)

CC real

EX-POST

IncentiveY = max (X)

Recompute for inflation(non controllable)

Incentivisation (controllable costs)

(1) After deduction of X savings by regulator for the period 2008-2011 on controllable costs

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Summary of changes

New system Old system1) Fair remuneration

Belgian 10-year bund Year X Year X-2Risk premium 3,50% 2,54%

Beta Elia share with min. 0.3 ELB share (recalculated)Remun. Equity > 33% 10year bund + 70bp (10year bund + 70bp) * (1-t)

2) DefinitionsD-factor Equity / RAB Equity / Balance sheet

Working capital Req. Excluding Fin. Debt Including short term Fin. Debt

Deducted from RAB Deducted from RABIncluded in tariffs Not included in tariffs

4) Incentivisation on controllable costs

3) Decommissioning

5) Balance of non- controllable costs

Allocated by Council of Ministers Allocated by CREG

Max. €25m period 08-11 Bonus Malus

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3.568

(90) (17) 161

31

2007 Depreciation Divestm. &Decomm.

Capex Change inWCR

2008

Evolution 2008 RAB as approved by CREGEvolution 2008 RAB as approved by CREG

Outlook 2008: RAB

Average RAB 3.501 3.611

(1)

(1) Contains € 14,2m of goodwill reduction due to decommissioning

3.653

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CREGAverage RAB 2008 3.611Reference equity (33%) 1.192Cost of equity 5,17%Equity reference remuneration (A) 61,6

Av. equity / Av. RAB 36,45%Deviation on reference equity 3,45%Equity deviation remuneration 4,63%D-factor (B) 5,8

Over-depreciation (C) -8,2

Fair remuneration (A+B+C) 59,2

Goodwill decommissioning 14,2

Controllable cost incentive 0,0

Net profit as set by regulator 73,4

Determination of net profit 2008 by the regulator (Belgian GAAP)Determination of net profit 2008 by the regulator (Belgian GAAP)

Outlook 2008: Fair remuneration

(1)

(1) OLO of 3,9278%; Beta of 0,3542 and a risk premium of 3,5%(2) OLO of 3,9278% and deviation rate of 70bp(3) To be recomputed ex-post based on real OLO, real beta, real RAB & Equity,

real decommissioning and real controllable cost savings

(2)

Not available for profit distribution;€14,2 is the estimatedyearly amount for theperiod 2008-2011

=(1)

(2)

(3) = Y

(=1+2+3)

(3)

(3)

(3)

(3)

(3)

(3)

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Breakdown CAPEX Breakdown CAPEX

Outlook 2008-2011: CAPEX

Replacements

Driven by internal consumption

Driven by interconnections with neighbours

Driven by import levels & generation localisation

CAPEX 2008-2011 € 615 m

CAPEX 2008€ 161m

44% 48%

13%

5%

33%

49% 46%

35%

7%

12%

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New Projects, Services, Activities

• Major projects in study phase• Enforcement of Antwerp port & region• 380 kV line towards Belgian coast (off-shore wind energy)• Interconnections with UK and Germany

• Services

• to be launched in 2008- Intraday allocation mechanism at border with NL- Belpex : Continuous DAM & Intraday market- Increased participation in Powernext through HGRT

• Contemplated for 2009 and beyond- Regional market between Benelux – Germany – France

• Activities• pursuing « operational excellence »• first activities (consulting) abroad

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Questions &

AnswersInvestors Relations – Contact details Bert Maes

Tel: + 32 (0)2/546.72.39Mail: [email protected]: http://www.elia.be

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Analyst meeting February 15th, 2008

FY 2007 Consolidated resultsFinancial impact new regulation