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Page 1: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Forum Presentations!

Page 2: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Thursday, SEPTEMBER 24, 2015

12:25pm – 12:30pm: Chairs’ welcoming remarks Ø  John Andrews, Consultant Editor, The Economist

Ø  Martin Arnold, Banking Editor, Financial Times

Ø  Zoe Schneeweiss, Swiss Economy Editor, Bloomberg News

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12:30pm -12:55pm: Opening Keynote: Economic Development and International Relations, The Case of Iran  

Ø  Ambassador Livia Leu, Head of Bilateral Trade, SECO, EAER

Ø  Ambassador Giulio Haas, Swiss Ambassador to Iran, FDFA  

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12:55pm - 1:55pm: Iran as a “BRIC in Waiting“: Devising an Emerging Market Strategy Ø  Giovanni Castellaneta, Chairman, SACE

Ø  Pirouzan Parvine, Partner, Dentons Europe

Ø  Charles Hollis, Managing Director, FTI Consulting

Ø  Barthelémy Helg, Partner, ACL

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5 | Corporate Presentation

Amb. Giovanni Castellaneta, President of SACE Geneva, 24 September 2015

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6 | Corporate Presentation

We support Italian companies competitiveness wordwide

SACE | Italy export credit company

SACE offers so lut ions for the management of commercial and political risks by means of:

ü  Export credit and project finance ü  Protection of foreign investments ü  Financial guarantees ü  Credit insurance ü  Surety and construction risks ü  Factoring ü  Advisory and training services

SACE has € 5.3 billion shareholders’ equity and A- credit rating affirmed by Fitch

ü  Assisting over 25,000 SMEs and large corporations in 189 countries, with a total exposure of € 74.3 billion

ü  Middle East and North Africa is no. 2 area in SACE portfolio

ü  SACE recently created a desk for the Middle East and North Africa

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7 | Corporate Presentation

Iran-Italy | A long lasting peer-to-peer collaboration

ü  Refineries of Shiraz, Tabriz and Arak (Saipem)

ü  EsfahanSteel Plant (Danieli)

ü  Electric Plants (Ansaldo)

ü  Italian Embassy in Tehran has always remained open through the years

ü  Port of Bandar Abbas (Trevi)

ü  Gasduct IGAT II Khangan-Esfaham (Saipem)

Page 8: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

8 | Corporate Presentation

Export potential to catch

Italy-Iran | Not a gold rush #recovering lost time

How to get there ü  Italian exports to Iran could realize a € 3

billion increase by 2018

ü  In a market about to become highly c o m p e t i t i v e , r i s k s c a n n o t b e underestimated and finance/payment channel has to be restored

ü  Italian Ministry of Economic Development, SACE and Mediobanca signed a MoU with the Iranian Ministry of Economy and Finance and the Central Bank of Iran to support projects of mutual interest implying Italian export and investments

ü  28-30 November 2015, new mission promoted by the Italian Ministry of Economic Development for the Bilateral Economic Forum attended by the representatives of Iran and Italy’s main institutions

Page 9: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

9 | Corporate Presentation

Iran-Italy | Areas of opportunities #recovering lost time

Transports ü  Up to 2 million new

vehicles/year ü  14 million old vehicles to

be replaced ü  The same needs apply to

trains, railways and aircrafts

Human capital ü  77 million inhabitants,

100 million by 2050 ü  50% under 30 ü  Vibrant urban middle-

class, with a widespread number of professionals and skilled workers

Oil&gas ü  Ready to become a major

player? ü  Gas: 15% of world natural

gas reserves, make Iran a global leader after Russia

ü  Oil: 60% of Iranian wells are over 60 years old; existing fields have crude recovery rates of 20-30pc

Page 10: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Deal making in Iran: what is ahead of us ?

September, 2015

Pirouzan Parvine Iran Desk Leader, Dentons Europe LLP

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11

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Lessons from other markets in transition and recent deals in Iran •  We can draw on our experience in Central Europe, Russia and CIS to

understand and foresee the steps required to successfully resume deal making in Iran

•  Iran has many strengths Russia and Central Europe did not have back in the 90s and these strengths will help accelerate the transition of the Iranian market and its convergence with BRICS and G20 Countries

•  Deal making in a country in transition is a first encounter between business people with very different concepts and habits, and as such a challenge

•  Dentons Europe can draw on successful deal making in areas not under sanction to share experience and tips for all the deals ahead of us

12

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Opening the dialog

13

•  Foreign side of the negotiating table: •  Do not presume the other side is on the same page as regards the

way your business is run – why is that crucial ? •  Provide specifics of the business model •  Provide specifics of the organization and management tools used to

run the business

•  Iranian side of the negotiating table: •  Similarly, take the time to walk the foreign side through how that

business is run in Iran •  Explain the state of the given business in Iran: difficulties if any,

parties involved, etc. •  Clarify your expectations and ambitions upfront

•  Specific – usual - gaps worth spending time on: •  How do you count ? •  How do you account ? •  How do you (financially) report – exercise finance control •  How do you report taxes…

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Preparing a focused transaction

14

•  Letter of Intent or Term Sheet ? •  Term Sheet content:

•  Insist on details, but: •  mind to give “time to time” on power balance related subjects

•  Transactional documentation drafting •  Foreign side: learning curve time - the architecture of the documents

will likely be new •  Foreign side: suggest advisors on the other side to help navigate

deal specific provisions •  Both sides: as there is still very little benchmark, fear to make a

mistake and uncertainties over how the implementation of the agreement will work: use “reasonableness standards” and in a limited number of cases, written agreement exceptions to the provisions of the agreement

Page 15: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Thank you

Page 16: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Iran – Devising an Emerging Market Strategy

Charles Hollis, FTI Consulting

24 September 2015

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Gently does it…

!  Sanctions still in place pending a number of hurdles ■  “Implementation Day” allowing lifting of most sanctions likely to be

Q2 2016 ■  Some rump sanctions will continue to remain for eight years until

“Transition Day” !  US likely to maintain significant restrictions in place for US entities,

only rolling back “secondary sanctions” ■  Sanctions on terrorism will remain ■ OFAC likely to prohibit using US financial system for trading with

Iran ■ Major international banks likely to be highly cautious

17

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Managing the key risks

!  Sanctions have not gone. Understand what is legally possible !  Political uncertainty ■  Iran remains a highly volatile and fragmented polity ■  Some factions retain a deep suspicion of external influence !  Counterparty risk ■  Sanctions likely to remain on designated entities, especially linked

to the IRGC ■  Intermediaries may exaggerate their ability to deliver ■ Know who you are dealing with – do your due diligence !  Corruption ■  A priority for Rouhani – “a national security threat” ■ But still ranked 136/175 in Transparency International’s 2014

Corruption Perception Index

18

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Have a plan

!  Know the market ■ What sectors are attractive/feasible? ■ Outdated business infrastructure and culture !  Be realistic about what Iran needs ■  Come with financial solutions, absent the top tier banks ■  Partnerships, not transactional relationships !  Communications strategy ■  Towards potential Iranian partners ■  Towards existing stakeholders !  Despite remaining obstacles, clear opportunity for international

business.

19

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Critical Thinking at the Critical Time ™

Charles Hollis T: +44 20 3727 1252 M: +44 7545 300034 E: [email protected]

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IBRIC Unlocking the Money Flow A Key to Devising an EM Strategy

September 2015

21

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Unlocking the Money Flow Rule of engagement Nr. 1: no USD transactions – no U.S. persons

22

The United States will only waive (suspend) so-called secondary sanctions U.S. persons and U.S.-owned or -controlled foreign entities will continue to be generally prohibited from conducting transactions with Iran, unless licensed to do so by OFAC

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Unlocking the Money Flow More questions than answers?

23

Non-U.S. Entity

Non-U.S. Bank

Iranian Bank

Iranian Entity

Will banks accept

payment even if the trade is

not sanctioned?

Since no bank will be able to clear

Iranian transactions in

USD, how will that impact trade?

What level of due diligence will banks

expect on the contracting Iranian

entities and the underlying

transactions?

What clarity will non-U.S. banks

expect from the U.S. and other regulators before they facilitate

banking for Iran related business?

What are the prerequitites for

reconnecting Iran’s domestic and

overseas banking systems to the non-

U.S. financial services system?

Should there be agreed « green channels » or a « white list »?

US Regulators Other Regulators CBI

Source: JCPOA, PWC

Page 24: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Unlocking the Money Flow Banks as enforcers of global political objectives

24

Non-U.S. Bank

Will banks accept

payment even if the trade is

not sanctioned?

Since no bank will be able to clear

Iranian transactions in

USD, how will that impact trade?

What clarity will non-U.S. banks

expect from the U.S. and other regulators before they facilitate

banking for Iran related business?

Should there be agreed « green channels » or a « white list »?

US Regulators Other Regulators

•  Banking industry’s de-risking agenda

•  Post transaction heavy fine risk

•  Compliance with US sanctions

•  U-turn USD transactions will continue to be sanctioned – Increased scrutiny will be required on indirect flow from non-U.S. counterparts

•  Need to establish Iran-dedicated front, middle, and back offices to ensure full compliance

•  EUR may become currency of choice

•  Reactivation of SWIFT •  Clear practical advice on Iran

related transactions for non-US banks

•  Clarity on scope of any license for non-US subsidiaries of US banks

•  Clarity on « snap-back » provisions

•  Threshold based twin-track approach may be necessary

•  Without green channel or a white list, transactions will be tested at the time of settlement

•  Foreign-based subsidiaries of Iranian banks may assist

Page 25: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Unlocking the Money Flow A significant challenge

25

Iranian Bank

What are the prerequitites for

reconnecting Iran’s domestic and

overseas banking systems to the non-

U.S. financial services system?

Other Regulators CBI •  Move from a domestic, stand-alone and « managed » banking landscape to an open international market

•  Transform processes/controls/infrastructure to meet today’s banking standards

•  Heavy government involvement (state-owned banks, specialized government banks, privatebanks with heavy state influence)

•  Deficiencies in anti-money laundering and combating financing of terrorism (AML/CFT)

•  Lack of suspicious transaction reporting (STR)

•  Lack of proper recordkeeping

•  USD 32 Billion in reported NPLs, or approx. 15% •  USD 70 billions in NPLs if maturity extension included,

or approx. 30% •  Own sort of Iranian islamic banking, divergent from

AAOIFI standards, which may add complexity in dealing with Gulf banks

Source: IMF, Novin Investment Bank, Financial Action Task Force

•  Dual exchange rate conundrum

•  Control of exchange houses

Page 26: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Unlocking the Money Flow The FATF view…

26

High risk and non-cooperative jurisdictions

Source: Financial Action Task Force

Page 27: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Unlocking the Money Flow A significant challenge

27

Iranian Bank

What are the prerequitites for

reconnecting Iran’s domestic and

overseas banking systems to the non-

U.S. financial services system?

Other Regulators CBI •  Move from a domestic, stand-alone and « managed » banking landscape to an open international market

•  Transform processes/controls/infrastructure to meet today’s banking standards

•  Heavy government involvement (state-owned banks, specialized government banks, private banks with heavy state influence)

•  Deficiencies in anti-money laundering and combating financing of terrorism (AML/CFT)

•  Lack of suspicious transaction reporting (STR)

•  Lack of proper recordkeeping

•  USD 32 Billion in reported NPLs, or approx. 15% •  USD 70 billions in NPLs if maturity extension included,

or approx. 30% •  Own sort of Iranian islamic banking, divergent from

AAOIFI standards, which may add complexity in dealing with Gulf banks

Source: IMF, Novin Investment Bank, Financial Action Task Force

•  Dual exchange rate conundrum

•  Control of exchange houses

Page 28: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Unlocking the Money Flow Full transparency required

28

Non-U.S. Bank

Iranian Bank

Iranian Entity

What level of due diligence will banks

expect on the contracting Iranian

entities and the underlying

transactions?

Other Regulators CBI

•  Enhanced KYC standards

•  Stringent PEP policies

•  Lack of transparency of ownership structure of Iranian entities

•  High government involvement in the economy

•  Increased AML/CFT and corruption risks

•  Need to understand full economics of each transaction

•  Same principle apply to individuals •  Many Iranians carry multiple passports •  Many Iranians have one or more residencies of

convenience •  Many Iranians must be considered as PEPs

Page 29: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Knowledge. Access. Performance. ACL Asset Management. Iran.

29

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2:20pm- 2:40pm: Business Diplomacy and the Role of Enterprise in Multitrack Efforts Ø  Sandra Djuvara Melone, Executive VP, Search for Common Ground

Ø  Danny Whitehead, Country Director Iran, British Council

Page 31: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

2ND EUROPE-IRAN FORUM

 Business  Diplomacy  and  the  Role  of  Enterprise  in  Mul8-­‐track  Efforts  

   

Sandra  Djuvara  Melone  Execu've  Vice  President  

Search  for  Common  Ground    

Grand  Hotel  Kempinski,  Geneva,  Switzerland    September  23,  2015  

   

31  

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32  

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Our Mission is to…

Transform  the  way  the  world  deals  with  conflict,  

away  from  adversarial  approaches  

towards  coopera8ve  solu8ons.    

33  

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34  

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OUR  VALUES    

Ø  Impar8al  advocates  of  a  process  –  not  of  a  party.  Ø  We  tackle  issues  –  not  each  other.  Ø  We  engage  long-­‐term  to  help  transform  even  the  

most  seemingly  intractable  conflicts.    

35  

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36  

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HOW  WE  ENGAGE  Collabora8on  =  from  “me”  to  “we”  

v  Across  dividing  lines  v  Engage  mul8ple  stakeholders  

v  Top-­‐down  and  boUom-­‐up  

v  Inter-­‐personal  and  across  socie8es  

Conflict is an opportunity for CHANGE

37  

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THE  CHANGE  WE  SEEK    ü  Raising  Knowledge  ü  Building  skills  

ü  ShiWing  aXtudes  

ü  Transforming  rela8onships  

ü  Enabling  collabora8on  

ü  Keeping  hope  alive  

Rela8onships  

Structures  

Individual  Agency  

38  

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39  

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Lay  the  groundwork  for  Americans  and  Iranians  to  

establish  the  long  term  contacts  necessary  for  the  

two  countries  to  begin  improving  their  rela;ons  

based  on  their  commonali;es  and  

collabora;ons.  

v Since  1996  v Lack  of  Diploma8c  Rela8ons  

v Misunderstandings  v Commonali8es  &  Shared  Interests  

v Diverse  programming:  engage  with  foreign  policy  officials,  lawmakers,  clerics,  scien8sts,  ar8sts,  and  members  of  the  media…  

40  

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v  Discreet  Track  II  mee8ngs  v  Ci8zen-­‐to-­‐Ci8zen  Exchange  v Wrestling  Diplomacy  v  Film  Fes8vals  

41  

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42  

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Iranian and American religious leaders and scholars meet on a

regular basis

43  

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v Back-­‐channel  processed  on  key  security  issues,  including  nuclear  Issue:  Nuclear  Ini8a8ve  Group,  formed  in  2005  

v Proposal  on  conver8ng  Arak  Heavy  Water  Reactor  

44  

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45  

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Next big steps:  Joint  work  on…    

Narco8cs  issues  

46  

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47  

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In sum…  

For  business,  for  poli8cs,  for  security…    

It’s  all  about  human  beings,  and    

engaging  in  respeciul,  caring,  long-­‐term  rela8onships.  

48  

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www.sfcg.org  

To  learn  more  about    Search’s  Track  II  work,  

including  how  you  can  support  it  Contact:  Katherine  Boyce  

Program  Manager  [email protected]  

 49  

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50

… or why culture matters, and what the private sector can do

Culture and ‘business diplomacy’

In Europe – Iran relations

Danny Whitehead, Country Director Iran

Page 51: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

51

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52  

Cultural  rela8ons  build  trust  

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53

• Trust è trade • Participation in cultural activities è propensity to trade

• Levels of interest in international business are significantly higher in people with language skills

• Perceptions around opportunities for international business are closely related to perceptions about society and cultural assets

• Arts, education, languages

Page 55: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

2:40pm - 3:40pm: Iran and Banking Best Practices: A Status Report and Development Agenda Ø  Tim Fox, Head of Research and Chief Economist, Emirates NBD

Ø  Parviz Aghili, CEO, Middle East Bank

Ø  Mostafa Beheshti Rouy, Director of International Affairs, Pasargad Bank

Ø  Younes Mazlumi, CEO, Razi Insurance

Page 56: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

 2nd  Europe-­‐Iran  Forum  

   

Tim  Fox  Chief  Economist  

56  

September  2015  

Emirates NBD Research

Page 57: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

The  Regions  Banking  Environment  

57  Source:  Bloomberg,  Emirates  NBD  Research  

Page 58: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Iranian  Real  GDP  Growth  

58  Source:  Bloomberg,  Emirates  NBD  Research  

-12

-10

-8

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

Q107 Q108 Q109 Q110 Q111 Q112 Q113 Q114 Q115

% y

/y

Page 59: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Chinese  Imports  of  Iron  Ore  from  Iran  

59  Source:  Bloomberg,  Emirates  NBD  Research  

-80

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Mar-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Dec-12 Mar-13 Jun-13 Sep-13 Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15

% y

/y (3

mm

avg)

Page 60: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Iranian  GDP  by  Industry  

60  

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

Agr

icul

ture

+

Man

uf.

Min

ing

Ser

vice

s

T,S

,C

Oth

er

% o

f tot

al

Page 61: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Iranian  Rial  and  infla'on  

61  Source:  Bloomberg,  Emirates  NBD  Research  

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000

40000

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

Jan-10 May-10 Sep-10 Jan-11 May-11 Sep-11 Jan-12 May-12 Sep-12 Jan-13 May-13 Sep-13 Jan-14 May-14 Sep-14 Jan-15 May-15

Inflation, % y/y (LHS) Iranian Rial

Page 62: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Iranian  Real  Credit  Growth  (infla'on  adjusted)  

62  Source:  Bloomberg,  Emirates  NBD  Research  

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

Feb-11 Jun-11 Oct-11 Feb-12 Jun-12 Oct-12 Feb-13 Jun-13 Oct-13 Feb-14 Jun-14 Oct-14 Feb-15

Public Sector Private Sector

% y

/y

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Iranian  Financial  Soundness  Indicators  &  Asset  Quality  

63  Source:  Moody’s,  IMF,  Bloomberg,  Emirates  NBD  Research  

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

Capital Adequacy Ratio NPLs to Gross Loans Provisioning Coverage (% of NPLs) Return on Assets

2010/11 2011/12

2012/13 2013/14

Page 64: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Disclaimer  The  material  in  this  presenta'on  is  general  background  informa'on  about  Emirates  NBD's  ac'vi'es  current  at  the  date  of  the  presenta'on.  It  is  informa'on  given  in  summary  form  and  does  not  purport  to  be  complete.  It  is  not  intended  to  be  relied  upon  as  advice  to  investors  or  poten'al  investors  and  does  not  take  in  to  account  the  investment  objec'ves,  financial  situa'on  or  needs  of  any  par'cular  investor.  These  should  be  considered,  with  or  without  professional  advice  when  deciding  if  an  investment  is  appropriate.    The  informa'on  contained  here  in  has  been  prepared  by  Emirates  NBD.  Some  of  the  informa'on  relied  on  by  Emirates  NBD  is  obtained  from  sources  believed  to  be  reliable  but  does  not  guarantee  its  accuracy  or  completeness.    

Forward  Looking  Statements  It  is  possible  that  this  presenta'on  could  or  may  contain  forward-­‐looking  statements  that  are  based  on  current  expecta'ons  or  beliefs,  as  well  as  assump'ons  about  future  events.  These  forward-­‐looking  statements  can  be  iden'fied  by  the  fact  that  they  do  not  relate  only  to  historical  or  current  facts.  Forward-­‐looking  statements  oaen  use  words  such  as  an'cipate,  target,  expect,  es'mate,  intend,  plan,  goal,  believe,  will,  may,  should,  would,  could  or  other  words  of  similar  meaning.  Undue  reliance  should  not  be  placed  on  any  such  statements  because,  by  their  very  nature,  they  are  subject  to  known  and  unknown  risks  and  uncertain'es  and  can  be  affected  by  other  factors  that  could  cause  actual  results,  and  the  Group’s  plans  and  objec'ves,  to  differ  materially  from  those  expressed  or  implied  in  the  forward-­‐looking  statements.    There  are  several  factors  which  could  cause  actual  results  to  differ  materially  from  those  expressed  or  implied  in  forward  looking  statements.  Among  the  factors  that  could  cause  actual  results  to  differ  materially  from  those  described  in  the  forward-­‐looking  statements  are  changes  in  the  global,  poli'cal,  economic,  business,  compe''ve,  market  and  regulatory  forces,  future  exchange  and  interest  rates,  changes  in  tax  rates  and  future  business  combina'ons  or  disposi'ons.    Emirates  NBD  undertakes  no  obliga'on  to  revise  or  update  any  forward  looking  statement  contained  within  this  presenta'on,  regardless  of  whether  those  statements  are  affected  as  a  result  of  new  informa'on,  future  events  or  otherwise.  

Important  Informa8on  

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Parviz Aghili, Chief Executive Officer, Middle East Bank     1- FATF (Financial Action Task Force)

1.1) Anti-Money Laundering Lawis passed. 1.2) Section on Financing of Terrorism needs approval of the Council

of Guardians. 2- FATCA (Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act)

2.1) The Central Bank to issue a circular advising the banks to implement it. 3- Corporate Governance: Latest CBI Directives on Governance has greatly improved. Having Independent Directors on the boards of banks is compulsory now; Rights of small shareholders are protected; dealing with Related Persons are restricted, etc.

Page 66: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

4- Basel Accords: Most banks have implemented Basel I. We, at MEB, have taken as tab at Basel III for the first time in Iran. If you wish please check our site: www.middleeastbank.ir 5- Internal Audit, Risk Management, Compliance: In the order presented, are, one at-a-time, being implemented by most banks. MEB has established all three departments and is judiciously building three teams of experts to fully understand and appreciate what they are doing, and each function to become an integral part of the business of our bank. 6- Iran is a Bank-Based (or Bank-Dominated)Economy. The Main Source of Debt-Financing (in Iran)is the Banking System! So if the Central Bank Decides to adopt a disciplinary or tight monetary policy, liquidity dries up and we would be faced with the situation as we are in today; ie., recession. Under this situation, sooner or later, CBI under pressure, will loosen up, and we will end up with rising inflation rate again.

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7- We need to turn to the debt market as many countries around the world have turned to. There are many experts who wonder since the banking system is out of liquidity, where are we going to get the liquidity to purchase these bonds. So long as we allow the market-forces to determine the rate of interest, there will be funds available to purchase these instruments. Statistics support this hypothesis. M2 as a percentage of GDP in Iran vs. many Other countries around the world. In order for the Private Sector to have access to this market (avoiding crowding-out-effect), we have to limit government’s entry into this market! 8- As potential Iranian corporate borrowers in the private sector are spoiled with subsidized-low interest rates from banks, we have to consider some sort of tax-credit on interest expense of these bonds for two to three years until CBI’s controlled monetary policy brings down the rate of interest; hence, interest expense of these bonds. 9- Sharia Compliant Banking. Participatory Contracts vs. Transactional Contracts. We in “Shi’a Islam” have developed a set of contracts between the borrowers and lenders, based on the Statute of Transaction (called Bai); whereby we could do conventional banking totally Sharia Compliant. So Islamic banking in Iran is not something to be concerned about. 10- Related Matters: A Proper Bankruptcy Law which includes “Liquidation” as well as” Restructuring”.

Page 68: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Mostafa Beheshti Rouy

Banking Industry & Capital Markets

in Iran

Europe Iran Forum 2

 

Address: No. 430 Mirdamad Blvd., Tehran, Iran Website: www.bankpasargad.com

 

Bank Pasargad The Millennium Bank

September 24, 2015

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69 BANK  PASARGAD

The Millennium Bank

Country 2014 GDP

(USD Billion)

GDP Growth

Rate YoY

Interest Rate Inflation Rate Unemploy-

ment Rate

Debt/GDP Ratio Stock Exchange

2015 Market Cap (USD

Billion)

Market Cap/GDP Ratio

World 91,183 - - - - - - 66,589 73%

1 United States 17,419 2.70% 0.25% 0.20% 5.30% 102.98% NYSE 19,352 111%

2 China 10,360 7.00% 4.60% 1.60% 4.04% 41.06% Shanghai SE 4,839 47%

3 Japan 4,601 0.70% 0.00% 0.20% 3.30% 230.00% Japan Exchange Group - Tokyo 4,985 108%

4 Euronext

Netherlands

4,462

1.60% 0.05% 1.00% 6.80% 68.80%

Euronext 3,321 74% Belgium 1.30% 0.05% 0.91% 8.60% 106.50%

Portugal 1.50% 0.05% 0.80% 11.90% 130.20%

France 1.00% 0.05% 0.20% 10.30% 95.00%

5 Germany 3,853 1.60% 0.05% 0.20% 4.70% 74.70% Deutsche Börse 1,781 46%

6 United Kingdom 2,942 2.60% 0.50% 0.10% 5.60% 89.40% London Stock Exchange 6,187 210%

7 Brazil 2,346 -2.60% 14.25% 9.56% 7.50% 58.91% BM&FBOVESPA 685 29%

8 Italy 2,144 0.50% 0.05% 0.20% 12.70% 132.10% Borsa Italiana 686 32%

9 India 2,067 7.50% 7.25% 3.78% 4.90% 65.50% BSE India 1,640 79%

10 Russia 1,861 -4.60% 11.00% 15.60% 5.30% 17.92% Moscow Exchange 466 25%

11 Canada 1,787 2.06% 0.50% 1.30% 6.80% 86.51% TMX Group 1,856 104%

12 Australia 1,454 2.30% 2.00% 1.50% 6.30% 28.60% Australian SE 1,229 85%

13 South Korea 1,410 2.20% 1.50% 0.70% 3.70% 33.80% Korea Exchange 1,256 89%

14 Spain 1,404 3.10% 0.05% -0.40% 22.37% 97.70% BME Spanish Exchanges 950 68%

15 Mexico 1,283 2.20% 3.00% 2.74% 4.72% 30.70% Mexican Exchange 453 35%

17 Turkey 800 2.30% 7.50% 6.81% 9.30% 33.00% Borsa Istanbul 174 22%

18 Saudi Arabia 746 2.40% 2.00% 2.20% 5.70% 1.60% Saudi Stock Exchange - Tadawul 540 72%

19 Switzerland 685 1.20% -0.75% -1.30% 3.10% 34.20% SIX Swiss Exchange 1,625 237%

20 Sweden 571 3.00% -0.35% -0.10% 6.50% 43.90% NASDAQ OMX Nordic Exchange 1,266 222%

21 Nigeria 569 2.35% 13.00% 9.20% 7.50% 10.50% Nigerian Stock Exchange 52 9%

23 Argentina 540 1.10% 17.93% 14.80% 6.60% 43.00% Buenos Aires SE 66 12%

25 Norway 500 2.20% 1.00% 1.80% 4.50% 26.40% Oslo Børs 221 44%

26 Taiwan 489 0.52% 1.88% -0.66% 3.74% 36.50% Taiwan SE Corp. 812 166%

27 Austria 436 0.40% 0.05% 1.20% 8.10% 84.50% Wiener Börse 100 23%

28 Iran 415 0.60% 21.00% 16.20% 10.80% 10.63% Tehran Stock Exchange 109 26%

29 United Arab Emirates 402 4.30% 1.00% 4.40% 4.20% 16.70% Abu Dhabi SE 229 57%

30 Colombia 378 2.80% 4.50% 4.46% 8.20% 38.00% Bolsa de Valores de Colombia 109 29%

31 Thailand 374 2.80% 1.50% -1.05% 0.83% 45.70% The Stock Exchange of Thailand 396 106%

32 South Africa 350 1.20% 6.00% 5.00% 25.00% 39.00% Johannesburg SE 905 258%

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70 BANK  PASARGAD

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Banking Industry in Iran

q  Today, the Iranian banking industry consists of:

v  Central Bank of Iran v  Commercial Government Owned Banks (3) v  Specialized Government Banks (5) v Privatized National Banks (4) v  Originally Established Private Banks (16) v  Gharzolhasaneh Banks (2) v  Investment Banks (5) v  Credit Institutions v  Non-Banking Financial Institutions v  Foreign Banks v  Bi-National Banks

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71 BANK  PASARGAD

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Private Banks q  Presently, there are 20 private banks licensed by CBI (presented in chronological order): Originally Established as Private Banks National Privatized Banks

v  Eghtesad Novin (EN) Bank Bank Saderat Iran v  Parsian Bank Bank Mellat v  Karafarin Bank Bank Tejarat v  Saman Bank Bank Refah v  Bank Pasargad v  Sarmayeh Bank v  Sina Bank v  Shahr Bank v  Day Bank v  Ansar Bank v Ayandeh Bank v  Hekmat Iranian Bank v  Gardeshgari Bank v  Khavarmianeh (Middle East) Bank v  Ghavamin Bank v  Iran Zamin Bank

Page 72: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

72

Recent Achievements v  Bank Pasargad was established in September 2005 under License No. H/2849 granted by Central Bank of Iran. v  Bank Pasargad is a fully private bank with more than 1,5 million direct and indirect shareholders and is listed on the Tehran Stock Exchange.

v  Bank Pasargad is Iran’s largest private bank in terms of paid-up capital.

v  With 327 branches nationwide, Bank Pasargad provides more than 4,5 million clients with a wide-range of banking services in both local and foreign currencies in compliance with international laws and regulations.

v  Named as Best Bank in Iran “Bank of Excellence” for Year 2014 by Euromoney Magazine. v  Due to its elevated standards for customer service and commitment to innovation in all financial and banking sectors, Bank Pasargad was awarded by The Banker’s Magazine as Bank of the Year in Iran for years 2010, 2012, 2013 and 2014.

v  Bank Pasargad was awarded as Islamic Bank of the Year in Iran for three consecutive years 2013, 2014 and 2015 by The Banker.

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73 BANK  PASARGAD

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Recent Achievements v  With assets estimated above USD 24 billion, Bank Pasargad has been ranked as the 233rd top

bank in the world by this well known international publication.

v  Bank Pasargad has been ranked as the world’s 328th top brand amongst banks.

v  10th largest company on TSE based on Market Capitalization and second among banks (as at 1 June 2015).

v  Winner of European Foundation for Quality Management (EFQM) silver trophy in 12th organizational excellence forum in 2014

v  Winner of MAKE (Most Admired Knowledge Enterprise) Award in Iran for 3 consecutive years

v  Winner of Iran’s Green Bank Award in 2012

v  Member of the Asian Bankers Association's Board of Directors

v  Highest Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR) among 31 Iranian banks

v  Lowest NPL ratio among all Iranian banks

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74 BANK  PASARGAD

The Millennium Bank

Amounts in Billion IRR Banks Listed on the Tehran Stock Exchange

Name Pasargad Parsian Eghtesad Novin Kar Afarin Mellat Saderat Tejarat Middle East Post Bank Ansar Sina

Balance Sheet Date 20/3/15 20/3/15 20/3/15 20/3/15 20/3/15 20/3/15 20/3/15 20/3/15 20/3/15 20/3/15 20/3/15

Capital 42,000 15,840 11,312 8,500 40,000 57,800 45,700 4,000 3,233 8,000 10,000

Number of Branches 327 294 282 101 1,606 2,610 1,811 11 406 677 255

Total Deposit 348,674 413,600 292,355 82,593 933,431 814,078 707,271 23,346 36,353 168,342 126,491

Credit Facilities Granted 275,119 325,768 247,115 69,313 931,755 540,774 490,711 20,700 28,659 146,034 84,702

Avg. Deposit Per Branch 1,066 1,407 1,037 818 581 312 391 2,122 90 249 496

Avg. Credit Granted Per Branch 841 1,108 876 686 580 207 271 1,882 71 216 332

Credit Facility to Total Deposit 79% 79% 85% 84% 100% 66% 69% 89% 79% 87% 67%

Credit Facilities to Total Asset 61.9% 59% 72.6% 61.8% 64.3% 49.2% 51.9% 67.4% 63.0% 70.1% 56.8%

Total Share Holders Equity 67,528 27,789 18,937 14,886 76,124 95,099 61,405 5,081 2,169 12,745 13,964

Total Asset 444,244 552,224 340,410 112,073 1,449,984 1,098,471 945,893 30,691 45,483 208,451 149,000

Non Performing Loan (NPL) 9,468 128,941 29,457 6,913 52,840 77,340 61,576 332 4,400 4,785 5,362

NPL to Facilities Granted Ratio 3.4% 40% 11.9% 10.0% 5.7% 14.3% 12.5% 1.6% 15.4% 3.3% 6.3%

Provisions on NPL 10,742 21,205 10,353 2,608 65,142 50,256 31,858 347 1,213 3,708 2,793

Net Profit 12,643 975 3,677 3,702 18,303 7,361 5,270 849 -1,293 3,255 2,351

EPS March, 20, 2015 301 62 325 436 458 127 115 212 -400 407 235

Predicted Net Profit, March 20, 2016 14,369 4,852 4,553 4,346 18,989 8,372 8,867 1,210 6 3,908 2,490

Predicted EPS, March 20, 2016 342 306 402 511 475 145 194 302 2 488 249

Capital Adequacy Ratio 19.8% 7.1% 8.2% 17.1% 9.0% 10.3% 6.7% 21.0% 6.6% 8.9% 14.8%

Book Value Per Share 1,608 1,754 1,674 1,751 1,903 1,645 1,344 1,270 671 1,593 1,396

Latest Share Price, August 29 1,607 1,826 1,942 2,830 2,007 884 904 2,297 1,087 2,507 1,332

P/E 4.7 6.0 4.8 5.5 4.2 6.1 4.7 7.6 543.5 5.1 5.3

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75 BANK  PASARGAD

The Millennium Bank

Amounts in Billion IRR Banks Listed on the OTC (FaraBourse)

Name Mehr Eqtesad Saman Ayandeh Tourism Sarmayeh Iran Zamin Ghavamin Day Hekmat Iranian

Balance Sheet Date 20/3/15 20/3/15 20/3/15 20/12/14 20/3/15 20/3/15 20/3/15 20/3/15 20/3/15

Capital 12,000 8,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 5,000 4,000

Number of Branches 734 145 165 51 143 351 763 91 126

Total Deposit 404,392 179,595 216,454 67,524 71,033 51,462 423,357 85,935 14,597

Credit Facilities Granted 277,961 122,395 209,736 14,992 95,650 16,328 376,098 58,924 7,243

Deposit Per Branch 551 1,239 1,312 1,324 497 147 555 944 116

Credit Granted Per Branch 379 844 1,271 294 669 47 493 648 57

Credit Facilities to Total Deposit 69% 68% 97% 22% 135% 32% 89% 69% 50%

Credit Facilities to Total Asset 64.9% 53.7% 58.3% 20.2% 68.6% 21.2% 83.0% 50.3% 35.7%

Share Holders Total Equity 16,676 10,802 7,961 4,110 5,402 4,025 6,277 7,958 4,661

Total Asset 428,211 228,118 359,472 74,320 139,384 77,193 452,987 117,039 20,302

Bad, Overdue & Doubtful debts 6,867 33,270 7,571 674 45,137 1,090 3,486 5,343 327 Provision of Doubtful Debts to Facilities Granted Ratio 2.5% 27.2% 3.6% 4.5% 47.2% 6.7% 0.9% 9.1% 4.5%

Provision of Doubtful Debts 9,701 5,332 4,106 516 4,607 351 16,630 1,885 164

Net Profit 1,592 1,011 -1,119 151 57 -120 927 2,399 399

EPS March, 20, 2015 133 126 -140 25 14 -30 232 480 100

Predicted Net Profit, March 20, 2016 N/A N/A N/A 1,180 N/A 322 N/A 2,592 499

Predicted EPS, March 20, 2016 N/A N/A N/A 197 N/A 80 N/A 518 125

Capital Adequacy Ratio 5.6% 8.3% 3.2% 7.0% 5.3% 7.6% 2.3% 8.0% 29.0%

Book Value Per Share 1,390 1,350 995 685 1,351 1,006 1,569 1,592 1,165

Latest Share Price, August 29 1,155 1,400 1,200 1,519 1,452 2,130 1,000 1,762 1,136

P/E N/A N/A N/A 7.7 N/A 26.5 N/A 3.4 9.1

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76 BANK  PASARGAD

The Millennium Bank

Bank Pasargad Capital Changes and Profit (Amounts in Billion IRR)

2005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Capital 3,500 5,250 7,000 7,700

23,100

23,100 27,258 30,000 42,000 50,400

Capital Increase

Initial Capital

1,750

1,750

700

15,400

0

4,158

2,742

12,000

8,400

Raising Capital Sources

Cash Cash Cash Cash

Cash

Cash Cash Cash Cash Cash

Profit before Tax 857.4 1,679.7 2,446.1 3,548.2 6,309.4 10,159.8 14,189.1 16,870.3 15,278.2

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77

  BANK  PASARGAD

The Millennium Bank

History of Capital Increase

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  BANK  PASARGAD

The Millennium Bank

Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR) %

78

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Bank Pasargad is a fully private bank listed on the Tehran Stock Exchange

(TSE) with more than 1.5 million direct and indirect shareholders

                               

79

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80 BANK  PASARGAD

The Millennium Bank

Bank Pasargad

v             Deposits: 17.32%

v             Facilities Granted: 20.38%

Bank Pasargad is a full licensed bank in Iran providing a wide range of banking services in both local and foreign currencies in compliance with international and local laws and regulations. Attention to quality of service, dedication of both management and staff, high banking standards and observation of international principles are few reasons for which Bank Pasargad has achieved significant milestones in its brief history.

Bank Pasargad share of Iranian banking market amongst Originally Established Private Banks (as of 20 March 2015):

v  Letters of Credit: 55.52 %

v  Guarantees: 12%

Page 81: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Pasargad Bank Holding Co. (BHC)

Pars Aryan Company

Financial & Insurance

Sector Companies

ICT Holding Co.

(FANAP )

Pasargad Energy

Development Holding Co.

(PEDC)

Bank Pasargad

Hospital & Hotel Holding

Co. (NASSIM)

Mining & Industrial

Holding Co. (MIDHCO)

Pasargad Real Estate

Development & Construction

Sector Companies

v  Retail Banking v  Investment Banking v  Private Banking v  Corporate Banking v  Wealth & Asset Manage.

v  Insurance v  RE-Insurance v  Leasing Co. v  Brokerage House v  Exchange House

v  Iran’s largest Private ICT Co. v  1.800 Employees v  Networking v  Telecommunications v  Smart City v  Core Banking v  Core Insurance v  Smart Building v  EFT Payment Switch v  Credit/Debit Cards v  Payment Solutions v  ERP v  Modern Banking

v  Oil & Gas v  Power v  Power Plants v  Refineries v  Pipelines

v  7 Hospitals of 1.000 beds

v  Hotels for 7.000 beds

v  7 Universities v  7 Residential

Development Projects

v  4 Steel Plants v  Sirjan & Zarand

Iron Ore Plant v  Mining & Minerals v  Coal Mines v  Copper Pipes

Plant v  Magnesium Plant v  Coke Making Plants v  Ferro Silicon Alloy

Plants v  Trading of minerals v  Engineering Co.

v  Industrial Parks v  Office Buildings v  Residential

Buildings v  Leasing of

Residential Properties

81

Pasargad Financial Group consists of the bank, 4 specialized holding companies

and 68 subsidiaries, active in the fields of:

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82 BANK  PASARGAD

The Millennium Bank

Future Developments v  Iran is a founding member (among the original 27 countries) of the newly formed

Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB), China’s international development bank with primary capital of USD 100 billion.

v  Iran is eyeing full membership of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO). The

SCO is a Eurasian political, economic and military organization, founded in 2001 in Shanghai by leaders of China, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Russia, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan.

v  Iran’s economy is forecasted to grow by more than 3% annually during the next 3 years.

v  Political and economic stability

v  Comprehensive and advanced law for protection of foreign investment v  All foreign investors can find suitable investments in a diversified portfolio of projects

in different sectors of the economy from Small to Mega Projects.

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83 BANK  PASARGAD

The Millennium Bank

Future Developments v  There are tremendous opportunities for investment in the Iranian

market:

v  With more than USD 800 billion of projects already defined by the Iranian government for foreign investors;

v  USD 180 billion of projects in the Oil & Gas sector alone; v  In addition to the oil and gas, Iran has the largest and most diversified industries in

the Middle East and North African region; v  In the tourism industry, Iran is ranked as the 10th top country; v  In terms of diversity of Agricultural Products, Iran is ranked 4th globally; v  Iran could become a major supplier of natural gas to the European Union by the end

of the next decade - between 25 to 35 billion cubic meters of gas a year; v  There are also the potential of the SMEs and so much more.

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84 BANK  PASARGAD

The Millennium Bank

Contact Us

Thank You For Your Attention Mostafa Beheshti Rouy

Board Member

Tel: 00 98 21 8289 1011

E-mail: [email protected]

Amir H. Mehran

Advisor to the CEO & Board

Manager – Foreign Assets &

Investment Management Dept.

Tel: 00 98 21 8289 1036

E-mail: [email protected] www.bankpasargad.com

Page 85: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Insurance  Industry:  Historical  Perspec8ve

•  1910:  First  ac8vi8es  of  insurance  in  Iran    

•  1935  :  First  General  Insurance  Company  of  Iran  “Iran  Insurance  Company”  licensed  and  opened  

•  1950:  First  private  sector  insurance  company  "Shargh  Co."    

•  1971:  Establishment  of  “Bimeh  Markazi  Iran  (Central  Insurance  of  Iran)”  

•  2002:  Deregula8ons  for  Establishment  of  Insurance  Companies  

•  2003:  Star8ng  of  Private  Insurance  Companies  in  industry  

•  2015:  29  insurance  companies  and  2  reinsurance  companies  

Page 86: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Total  Premium  Volume* Share  of  world  market  

2014 Change  in  %  2014  nominal  (in  USD)

Premium  Volume  in  millions  of  USD  2013

Premium  Volume  in  millions  of  USD  2014

0.16 11.48 6689 7458

Life  Premium  Volume* Share  of  world  market  

2014 Change  in  %  2014  nominal  (in  USD)

Premium  Volume  in  millions  of  USD  2013

Premium  Volume  in  millions  of  USD  2014

0.03 11.50 646 721

 Non-­‐Life  Premium  Volume* Share  of  world  market  

2014 Change  in  %  2014  nominal  (in  USD)

Premium  Volume  in  millions  of  USD  2013

Premium  Volume  in  millions  of  USD  2014

0.32 11.50 6043 6737

*  Reference:  SIGMA  world  insurance  in  2014:Back  to  life,  Swiss  Re

Insurance  Industry  2014  Quick  View

Page 87: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Insurance  Industry

Insurance  Penetra8on:  Premiums  in  %  of  GDP  in  2014 Non-­‐life  Business Life  Business Total  Business

0.7 0.2 1.9

Macroeconomic  Indicators Exchange  Rate  

Change  (%)

Local  Currency  

Per  USD2013

Local  Currency  

Per  USD2014

Infla8on  Rate  

(%)2013

Infla8on  Rate  

(%)2014

GDP  real  change  (%)  2013

GDP  real  change  (%)  

2014

USD  bn  2014

Popula8on  (millions)  2014

8.02 24770 26756 34.7 15.2 -­‐1.9 2.0 387 78.5

 Insurance    Sales  Network  (No.) Employees

Branches Loss  

Adjusters  

Brokers Life  Agents

General  Agents

Reinsurance  Companies

Insurance  Companies

24770 1012 187 501 4126 32942 2 29

Page 88: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Razi  Insurance  Co.

Razi  Insurance  Co.  Sales  Network  (No.) Employees

Branches Brokers Life  Agents

General  Agents

612 47 411 481 964

•  Founded  in  2003  

•  First  private  insurance  company  in  Iran  aWer  Islamic  Revolu8on  

•  Latest    paid  up  capital  USD  66,766,817  

•  Ac8ve  role  in  all  fields  of  insurance  in  industry  

•  Achievements  in  EFQM  model,  ISO9001,  IUI  (Interna8onal  Union  of  Inven8ons  and  

Industrial  Innova8ons),  Customer  Observance,  …  

•  Total  Share  of  2.18%  of  insurance  industry  in  premiums  

Page 89: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Total  Premium  Volume Growth  Rate  %  in  no.  of  Issued  Policies  2014

No.  of  Issued  Policies  2013

No.  of  Issued  Policies  2014

Growth  Rate  %  of  Premium    in  

2014

Premium  Volume  in  USD  2013

Premium  Volume  in  USD  

2014 48.15 1,536,692 2,276,650 96.02 68,550,188 134,371,922

Razi  Insurance  Co.

Life  Premium  Volume Growth  Rate  %  in  no.  of  Issued  Policies  2014

No.  of  Issued  Policies  2013

No.  of  Issued  Policies  2014

Growth  Rate  %  of  Premium    in  

2014

Premium  Volume  in  USD  2013

Premium  Volume  in  USD  

2014 37.98 9,584 13,224 65.7 2,686,474 4,451,484

Non-­‐Life  Premium  Volume Growth  Rate  %  in  no.  of  Issued  Policies  2014

No.  of  Issued  Policies  2013

No.  of  Issued  Policies  2014

Growth  Rate  %  of  Premium    in  

2014

Premium  Volume  in  USD  2013

Premium  Volume  in  USD  

2014 48.22 1,527,108 2,263,426 97.26 65,863,713 129,920,438

Page 90: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Razi  Insurance  Co.

•  Major  Clients:  •  CNPC  (China  Na8onal  Petroleum  Corp.):  South  Azadegan  Iran  Project  

•  Municipality  of  Tehran:  Sadr  Bridge,Niayesh  Tunnel,Hemmat  Highway,Chitgar  Lake,  …  

•  Zar  Macaroni  

•  Pars  Oil  and  Gas  Co.  

•  Na8onal  Iraninan  Drilling  Co.  

•  Alborz  Taat  Mall  

•  Municipality  of  Isfahan  

•  Setareh  Tabnak  Hashtom  Toos:  Mashhad  Mall&  Hotels&  Parking  Lot  

•  Pasargad  Oil  Co.  

•  Tabriz  Urban  Railway  

Page 91: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

4:10pm - 5:10pm: The Tehran Stock Exchange: A Dynamic Marketplace

Ø  Hassan Ghalibaf Asl, President and CEO, Tehran Stock Exchange

Ø  Ramin Rabii, CEO, Turquoise Partners

Ø  Reza Soltanzadeh, CEO, Iran Industries Investment Company

Ø  Seyed Ahmad Araghchi, CEO, Tadbir Pardaz IT Group  

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Tehran Stock Exchange

Emerging Markets Exciting Opportunities

August  2015  

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Milestones  

ü  1967:  Inaugura8on  (Feb)  ü  1970s:  Evolu8on  -­‐  development  of  share  ownership  and  tax  incen8ves  regula8ons  

ü  1990s:  Interna8onaliza8on:  WFE,  FEAS,  …  membership  

ü  2005-­‐2006:  Market  re-­‐structuring:  Demutualiza8on  

ü  2007:  Priva8za8on  plan:  market  growth  and  diversifica8on  

ü  2010:  Launching  deriva8ves  (SSF),  on-­‐line  trading  

Tehran  Stock  Exchange                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      www.tse.ir  

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Iran’s  Capital  Market  Structure  

Tehran  Stock  Exchange                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      www.tse.ir  

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Financial  instruments,  Members  and  Intermediaries    

•  Shares  and  Rights  

•  Islamic  Par'cipa'on  Papers  

•  Financial  Deriva'ves  (Single-­‐Stock  Futures  Contracts)  

•  Sukuks  

•  ETFs  

Under  Process  and  Review:    •   Op'on  Contracts  •   Conver'ble  Par'cipa'on  Papers  

Tehran  Stock  Exchange                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      www.tse.ir  

318  Listed  Companies  37  industries      

8  Investment  Banks  

7  Registered  

104  Brokerage  Firms  54  Poreolio  management  93  Online  trading  licenses  

13  Registered  

140  Mutual  Funds  4  ETFs  

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TSE  is  a  highly  diversified  exchange  

25  

13  

9  8  

7  

6  

5  

3  3  3  

18  

Chemicals  Monetary  Base  Metals  Telecom  Holdings  Petroleum  Metal  Ores  Motor  Vehicles  Transport/Storage  Pharmaceu'cal  Others  

Tehran  Stock  Exchange                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      www.tse.ir  

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Tehran  Stock  Exchange                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      www.tse.ir  

18 23

20 24

41

25

10

20

30

40

50

10-ar

11-ar

12-ar

13-ar

14-ar

15-ar Trends  

Market  Capitaliza8on  to  GDP  (%)  

2874   5049  10872   10255   8727  

18855  24403  

37860  

87409  

68973  64226  

2000  

2001  

2002  

2003  

2004  

2005  

2006  

2007  

2008  

2009  

2010  

2011  

2012  

2013  

2014  

Aug.2015  

Broad  Index  

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Foreign  Investment  Foreign  Investors:    Strategic:    –  can  own  up  to  100%  of  company  shares.    –  capital  repatria8on  aWer  2  years.        Poriolio  (Non-­‐strategic):    –  can  own  listed  companies  10%  individually  and  20%  totally  –  capital  repatria8on  unbounded.    

Tehran  Stock  Exchange                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      www.tse.ir  

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Future  Outlook  

•  Diversified  Pool  of  Products    •  More  Efficient  Pre/Post-­‐Trade  System  

•  Closer  Linkages  with  Regional  Exchanges  

•  Improving  Corporate  Governance  Standards  

TSE  New  Building  (2016)  

Tehran  Stock  Exchange                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      www.tse.ir  

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Thank  you!  

t se.i r  

Page 101: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

TURQUOISE PARTNERS

2015

A Presentation to

2nd Europe-Iran Forum

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102

Post Sanctions Iran: Engine for Growth in the Region and Beyond

TURQUOISE PARTNERS – 2015

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103

Post Sanctions Iran: The Market of The Next Decade

TURQUOISE PARTNERS – 2015

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

Egypt Turkey Iran Algeria Morroco Iraq Saudi Arabia

billi

ons

dolla

rs

GDP Per Capita at PPP

2009 2013 2017

World bank revised GDP growth for Iran from ~1% to 5% p.a. post

sanctions

Source: The International Monetary Fund, World Bank and Turquoise analysis

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104

TSE: Low Multiples Compared to Frontier and Emerging Markets

TURQUOISE PARTNERS – 2015

Source: Tehran Stock Exchange, MSCI, * latest data available

MSCI Frontier Markets: P/E of 10.8*

TSE: P/E of 5.8*

MSCI Emerging Markets: P/E of 13.5*

Page 105: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

12%  

17%  18%  

15%  

12%  

13%  

17%  

11%  

0%  

2%  

4%  

6%  

8%  

10%  

12%  

14%  

16%  

18%  

20%  

2006   2007   2008   2009   2010   2011   2012   2013  

Divide

nd  Yield  (%

)  

Tehran Stock Exchange Dividend Yield

105

Getting Paid to Wait: Consistently High Dividend Yield

TURQUOISE PARTNERS – 2015

Source: Tehran Stock Exchange, MSCI * latest available data

MSCI Frontier Markets: Yield of 4%*

TSE: Average Yield of 15%

MSCI Emerging Markets: Yield of 3%*

Page 106: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

72%  

63%  

44%  39%  

27%  24%   22%  

0%  

10%  

20%  

30%  

40%  

50%  

60%  

70%  

80%  

Saudi  Arabia  

Emerging  Markets  

Next  11  ex.  Iran  

Turkey   Fron'er  Markets  

Iran   Egypt  

Market  C

ap/G

DP  

Market Capitalization/GDP Ratio

106

Market Cap to GDP, One of the Lowest Globally

TURQUOISE PARTNERS – 2015

Source: World Bank, Tehran Stock Exchange

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0.34

0.37

0.79

3.80

5.87

8.16

10.20

0 5 10 15

Emerging Markets (MSCI Index)

Saudi Arabia (MSCI Index)

Frontier Markets (MSCI Index)

Turkey (MSCI Index)

Egypt (MSCI Index)

Next 11 ex. Iran (MSCI Index)

Iran

%

Annualized 10yrs Index Performance in USD

107

Fantastic Return Even with Financial Crisis, Sanctions & Devaluation

TURQUOISE PARTNERS – 2015

Source: Tehran Stock Exchange, MSCI

One of the best performing markets in the world

Page 108: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

108

Emerging “BRIC” Economy: Welcome to IRAN

TURQUOISE PARTNERS – 2015

• The leading manager of foreign portfolio investment in Iran with a market share of ~90%

• The leading broker-dealer for foreign investors on the Tehran Stock Exchange

• Manages two listed investment companies focused on strategic investments

• The only source of comprehensive English language research on Iranian companies

Our Story: Since 2005 …. Based in Tehran and London with 110 Professional Staff

Page 109: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Turquoise: Leading international financial services company

109 TURQUOISE PARTNERS – 2015

2005: 2006: 2009: 2010: 2010: 2011:

2011: 2012: 2012:

2015: 2015: 2015:

Vision Enable the Global Community to Access the Best Growth Opportunities in Iran

Turquoise Partners founded Turquoise Iran Equities Fund launched (90% of foreign portfolio investment on the TSE) Acquisition of 40% of Iran's 2nd largest insurance company (advisory) Launch of domestic mutual fund Acquisition of Firouzeh Asia Brokerage

Acquisition of IDIC (a return of 135% to date)

Butane Industrial (First bond issue for a private sector company) Seeded Sarava Pars (Iran’s first tech VC fund) European fundraising for Sheypoor, the leading classified site in Iran

Launched first TSE Index-linked ETF Acquisition of Etebar Investment Company JV with Charlemagne Capital IPO of Lia manufacturing on Farabourse

2015:

Page 110: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

110 TURQUOISE PARTNERS – 2015

The Only EU-regulated Fund Dedicated to Iran Equities

•  Domicile Cyprus

•  Compliance Fully UN & EU Sanction Compliant

•  Investment Adviser Turquoise Partners & UK-based Charlemagne

Capital

•  Liquidity Monthly

•  Fees 2% Management Fee 20% Performance Fee Hurdle Rate of 8% p.a.

•  Currency Euro Dominated, Assets in IRR

•  Auditor Deloitte Cyprus

•  Administrator ATG Fund Services Limited

•  Minimum Investment 125,000 EURO

Page 111: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Contacts

Turquoise Partners (the “Company”) is making the information contained in the presentation (the “Information”) available to the recipient, to assist interested parties in making their own evaluation of a prospective transaction with or in respect of the Company.

In receiving the Information, the recipient is undertaking to treat the Information as confidential and only to use the Information for the purpose of evaluating a possible investment transaction involving the Company. The Information made available is not complete nor necessarily sufficient in order to properly evaluate a potential transaction. The Company makes no representations or warranties, express or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the Information.

The Company accepts no liability with respect to any use or reliance upon any of the Information.

www.turquoisepartners.com

111 TURQUOISE PARTNERS – 2015

Tehran Office No.10, 7th St. Vozara Ave. Tehran Iran

London Office 5th floor, 143 New Bond St. London, W1S 2TP United Kingdom

[email protected]

Page 112: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

What’s all the fuss about?

112

CEO Iran Industries Investment

Company

Founding Partner & CIO

ACL Asset Management

Reza Soltanzadeh

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113

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Opportunities •  Capital Market

–  Fixed Income •  Infrastructure Projects •  Upstream Projects •  Corporate and Trade Finance

–  Equity •  Portfolio Investments •  Joint Ventures •  Strategic Takeovers

•  Private Equity –  Green Field Projects –  Brown Field Projects –  Strategic Buyouts

114

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Where to begin?

115

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Alternatives

•  Direct Investment •  Dealing with an Asset Manager

116

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Getting an Investor ID

117

SEO  Regulated  Securi'es  Broker    

Client  Individual  

Ins'tu'on  

Central  Securi'es  Depository  of  Iran  

1.  Complete Application 2.  Proof of Address 3.  Attest Signature at Iranian

Consulate 4.  Notarized Passport Copy

1.  Verify Application 2.  Complete KYC forms 3.  Verify Address 4.  Verify Signature 5.  Submit al documents

to Central Securities Depository of Iran

1.  Verify Application 2.  Verify KYC Forms 3.  Verify Passport 4.  Issue Investor ID

Offshore Iran

Retail  Banks  

Retail  Banks  

Regulated  Exchange  Companies  

1.  After Investor ID Issued could open Saving Accounts

2.  Accounts in Rials, USD, EUR

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Regulated Financial Institutions

Type   No.  

Brokers   106  

Investment  Banks   9  

Asset  Managers   7  +  1  

Investment  Advisors   7  

Investment  Funds   159  

Investment  Companies   66  

118

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Securities Brokerages

•  SEO Regulated •  Board Members and Managing Director are SEO approved •  Fully licensed staff of Analysts and Securities Traders •  Approved IT Infrastructure •  Online Trading Tools •  Provide Industry and Company Reports •  Collect Dividend with a Power of Attorney •  Provide Portfolio Reports including daily NAV calculations •  Anti Money Laundering Protocols Exercised •  None of the Brokerages have ever been on any Sanction list

119

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Asset Management Companies

•  SEO Regulated •  Board Members and Managing Director are SEO approved •  Fully licensed staff of Analysts •  Work with a Prime Broker •  Licensed for Fund Management and Managed Accounts •  Approved IT Infrastructure •  Provide Industry and Company Reports •  Collect Dividend with a Power of Attorney •  Provide Portfolio Reports including daily NAV calculations •  Currently 7 local Asset Management Companies and 1 Foreign Asset

Management Company

120

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Before you Begin

•  Find your local partner

–  With a sound Investment Philosophy

–  Oriented both Locally and Internationally

–  Excellent Reputation in the Country

121

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122

Thank You

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IRAN SECURITIES MARKET FROM INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY PERSPECTIVE

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5:10pm - 5:30pm: Closing Keynote: Iran- Unparalleled Potential For Turning Threats into Opportunities Ø  Pedram Soltani, Vice President, Iran Chamber of Commerce, Industry,

Mines, and Agriculture

Page 137: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Friday, SEPTEMBER 25, 2015

9:00am - 9:05am: Chairs’ opening remarks Ø  John Andrews, Consultant Editor, The Economist

@EuropeIranForum  #EuropeIranForum  

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9:05am - 9:25am: Opening Keynote: History and Trajectory for Europe-Iran Relations  Dominique de Villepin Former Prime Minister, Former Minister of Foreign Affairs, France

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9:25am - 9:40am: Opening Keynote: JCPOA "Implementation Day" from the Iranian Perspective

Ø  Adbulrasoul Dorri Esfahani, Senior Advisor to the Governor, Central Bank

of The Islamic Republic of Iran

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Liaing  of  Iranian  Sanc'ons  

140  

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JCPOA  

•  On  14  July  2015  the  Joint  Comprehensive  Plan  of  Ac'on  (JCPOA)  was  signed  in  Vienna.  

•  By  endorsing  the  JCPOA,  Res  2231  terminates  all  provisions  of  previous  UN  SC  resolu'ons  on  the   Iranian  nuclear   issue   -­‐   1696   (2006),   1737  (2006),   1747   (2007),   1803   (2008),   1835  (2008),  1929  (2010)  and  2224  (2015)    

141  

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Timeline    •  JCPOA  will  take  effect  90  days  aaer  the  council's  endorsement  

(or  earlier  if  agreed  by  E3/EU+3  and  Iran)  (‘Adop'on  Day’).    

•  Adop'on   Day   is   expected   to   take   place   by   mid-­‐October  (approximately  18  October  2015).    

•  UNSC,  US  and  EU  sanc'ons  will  begin  to  be  LIFTED  once  there  is  an   IAEA-­‐verified   implementa'on  of  agreed  nuclear-­‐related  measures  outlined  under  the  JCPOA  ('Implementa'on  Day').    

•  'Implementa'on  Day'  is  not  a  set  date  –  it  is  expected  to  be  in  January  2016  

 

142  

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Liaing  of  EU  Sanc'ons  

•    With   the   Implementa'on   of   the   JCPOA   “all  nuclear-­‐related   economic   and  financial   sanc'ons”   are  liaed  

•  Provisions  of   EU   implemen'ng  Regula'on  267  will   be    terminated    

•  Council  Decision  2010/413  will  be  suspended;  •  US  nuclear  sanc'ons  provisions  will  cease  to  apply          

   

143  

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Banking  •  Financial   and   banking   transac'ons  with   Iranian   banks  and  financial  ins'tu'ons,  including  the  Central  Bank  of  Iran,  Government  of  Iran  and  specified  individuals  and  en''es   -­‐   including   the   opening   and   maintenance   of  correspondent   accounts   at   non-­‐U.S.   financial  ins'tu'ons,   investments,   foreign   exchange  transac'ons  and  lesers  of  credit  

 •  Transac'ons  in  Iranian  Rial  

•  Provision  of  U.S.  banknotes  to  the  Government  of  Iran  

144  

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Banking  Services    •  Transfers  of  funds  between:  

–   EU  persons  and  en''es,  including  financial  ins'tu'ons,  and  –   Iranian  persons  and  en''es,  including  financial  ins'tu'ons  

•  Banking  ac'vi'es  –    including   the   establishment   of   new   correspondent   banking  rela'onships  and  the  opening  of  new  branches  and  subsidiaries  of  Iranian  banks  in  the  territories  of  EU  Member  States  

•  Supply  of  specialised  financial  messaging  services,  including  SWIFT,   for  persons  and  en''es   including  the  Central  Bank  of  Iran  and  Iranian  financial  ins'tu'ons  

 

  145  

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Government  Grants  &  Bonds  

•  Commitments   for   grants,   financial   assistance   and  concessional  loans  to  the  Government  of  Iran  

•   Transac'ons  in  public  or  public-­‐guaranteed  bonds  

•  Purchase,   subscrip'on   to,   or   facilita'on   of   the  issuance   of   Iranian   sovereign   debt,   including  governmental  bonds  

146  

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Insurance  

•  Financial   support   for   trade  with   Iran   (export   credit,  guarantees  or  insurance)  

•  Provision   of   underwri'ng   services,   insurance   and  reinsurance  

147  

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Oil  &  Gas      •  Import   and   transport   of   Iranian   oil,  

petroleum   products,   gas   and   petrochemical  products  

•  Export   of   key   equipment   or   technology   for  the  oil,  gas  and  petrochemical  sectors  

 •  Export,   sale   or   provision   of   refined  petroleum   products   and   petrochemical  products  to  Iran  

148  

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Oil  &  Gas  (cont.)  

•  Investment,   including  par'cipa'on  in  joint  ventures,  provision  of  goods,  services,   informa'on  technology  and  technical  exper'se  suppor'ng    Iran’s  oil,  gas  and  petrochemical  sectors  

 •  Purchase,   acquisi'on,   sale,   transporta'on   or  marke'ng  of  petroleum,  petrochemical  products  and  natural  gas  from  Iran  

 •  Transac'ons  with  Iran's  energy  sector  

149  

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Naval  &  Cargo  •  Transac'ons  with  Iran’s  shipping  and  shipbuilding  sectors  

and  port  operators    •  Export  of  key  naval  equipment  and  technology  

•  Design  and  construc'on  of  cargo  vessels  and  oil  tankers  

•  Provision  of  flagging  and  classifica'on  services  

•  Access  to  EU  airports  of  Iranian  cargo  flights  

150  

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Gold,  Money,  Metals  

•  Export  and  trade  in  gold,  precious  metals  and  diamonds  

•  Provision  and  delivery  of  US  banknotes  

151  

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Sanc'on  Lists  &  Automobile  

Automobile  Sale,   supply   or   transfer   of   goods   and   services   used   in   connec'on  

with  Iran’s  automo've  sector    Sanc'on  lists    •  Designa'on  of  persons,  en''es  and  bodies  (asset  freeze  and  visa  

ban)  

•  Remove   individuals   and   en''es   from   the   SDN   List,   the   Foreign  Sanc'ons  Evaders  List,  and/or  the  Non-­‐SDN  Iran  Sanc'ons  Act  List  

 152  

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Associated  Services  

•  Associated  services  for  each  of  the  categories  above.  “Associated  services"  means  any  service  –  including:  technical   assistance,   training,   insurance,   re-­‐insurance,   brokering,   transporta'on   or   financial  service   that  are  necessary  and  ordinarily   incident  to  the  underlying  ac'vity  for  which  sanc'ons  have  been  liaed  pursuant  to  the  JCPOA.  

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Other  Furthermore,  under  JCPOA  Ar'cle  22  the  US  will  allow  for:  

•  the  sale  of  commercial  passenger  aircraa  and  related  parts  and  services  to  Iran;    

•  license  non-­‐U.S.  persons  that  are  owned  or  controlled  by  a  U.S.  person  to  engage  in  ac'vi'es  with  Iran  consistent  with  the  JCPOA;  and  

 •  license   the   importa'on   into   the   United   States   of   Iranian-­‐

origin  carpets  and  foodstuffs.  

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Addi'onal  Sanc'on  Relief  Addi8onal  Sanc8on  Relief  (Ar;cle  24)      Representa;on  by  US  and  EU  •  Annex   II   of   the   JCPOA   provides   the   full   and   complete   list   of   all  

nuclear-­‐related   sanc'ons   or   restric've   measures   –   they   will   be  liaed  in  accordance  with  Annex  V.    

•  Furthermore  if  at  any  'me  following  the  Implementa'on  Day,  Iran  believes   that   any   other   nuclear   related   sanc'on   or   restric've  measure   of   the   E3/EU+3   is   preven'ng   the   full   implementa'on   of  the   sanc'ons   liaing   under   the   JCPOA,   the   JCPOA   par8cipant   in  ques8on  will  consult  with  Iran  with  a  view  to  resolving  the   issue  and,   if   they   concur   that   liWing   of   this   sanc8on   or   restric8ve  measure   is   appropriate,   the   JCPOA   par8cipant   in   ques'on   will  take  appropriate  ac'on.    

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Engaging  in  sanc'on  liaed  ac'vi'es  

•  Under  Ar'cle  30  JCPOA  –  the  EU  and  US  will  not  apply  sanc8ons  or  restric8ve   measures   to   persons   or   en88es   for   engaging   in  ac8vi8es   covered   by   the   liWing   of   sanc8ons   provided   for   in   the  JCPOA.  

•  Furthermore  non-­‐U.S.,  non-­‐Iranian  financial  ins'tu'ons  engaging  in  transac'ons  with  Iranian  financial  ins'tu'ons  (including  the  Central  Bank  of  Iran)  not  appearing  on  the  SDN  List  will  not  be  exposed  to  sanc'ons  as  a  result  of  those  Iranian  financial  ins'tu'ons  engaging  in  transac'ons  or  banking  rela'onships  involving  Iranian  individuals  and  en''es,  including  financial  ins'tu'ons,  on  the  SDN  List.  This  is  provided   that   the   non-­‐U.S.,   non-­‐Iranian   financial   ins'tu'on   does  not   conduct   or   facilitate,   and   is   not   otherwise   involved   in,   those  specific   transac'ons   or   banking   rela'onships   with   the   Iranian  individuals  and  en''es,  including  financial  ins'tu'ons,  on  the  SDN  List,  directly.  

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Implementa'on  –  local  law      US  Implementa8on  (Ar;cle  25  JCPOA)         If   a   law   at   the   state   or   local   level   in   the   United   States   is  preven'ng   the   implementa'on   of   the   sanc'ons   liaing   as  specified  in  the  JCPOA,  the  United  States  will  take  appropriate  steps,   taking   into   account   all   available   authori8es,   with   a  view  to  achieving  such  implementa'on.    

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Re-­‐introduce/  Re-­‐impose  Sanc'ons    Re-­‐introduce/  Re-­‐impose  sanc8ons  (Ar;cle  26  JCPOA)      

•  The  EU  and  US  will   refrain   from   re-­‐introducing  or   re-­‐imposing  the   sanc8ons   that   they   have   terminated/   ceased   to   apply  under   the   JCPOA,  without  prejudice   to   the  dispute   resolu8on  process  provided  for  under  the  JCPOA.    

 •  There   will   be   no   new   nuclear   related   UN   Security   Council  

sanc8ons   or   EU   nuclear-­‐related   sanc8on   or   restric8ve  measures.    

 •  The  US  Administra8on  will  refrain  from  imposing  new  nuclear-­‐

related  sanc8ons.      

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Public  guidelines  on  sanc'on  liaing      Public  guidelines  on  sanc8on  liWing  (Ar;cle  27  JCPOA)  

 •  The   E3/EU+3   will   take   adequate   administra've   and  

regulatory   measures   to   ensure   clarity   and   effec'veness  with  respect  to  the  liaing  of  sanc'ons  under  the  JCPOA.    

•  The  EU,  its  Member  States  and  the  United  States  will  issue  relevant   guidelines   and   make   publicly   accessible  statements   on   the   details   of   sanc'ons   or   restric've  measures   which   have   been   liaed   under   the   JCPOA,  consul'ng   as   oaen   as   required   with   Iran   regarding   the  content  of  the  guidelines.    

 

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Successful  Implementa'on    Successful  Implementa8on  (Ar;cle  28  JCPOA)  

•  The   E3/EU+3   and   Iran   commit   to   implement   the   JCPOA   in  good   faith   and   in   a   construc've   atmosphere   to   enable   its  successful  implementa'on.    

 •  Senior   Government   officials   of   the   E3/EU+3   and   Iran   will  

make   every   effort   to   support   the   successful   implementa'on  of  the  JCPOA,  including  in  Public  Statements.    

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Trade    Trade  Normalisa8on  (Ar;cle  29  JCPOA)    The  EU,   its  Member  States  and  the  United  States  will  refrain  from  any  policy  specifically  intended  to  directly  and   adversely   affect   the   normalisa'on   of   trade   and  economic   rela'ons  with   Iran   -­‐   inconsistent  with   their  commitments  to  successfully  implement  the  JCPOA.  

  Trade,   Technology,   Finance   and   Energy   (Ar;cle   33  JCPOA)  

•  The   E3/EU+3   and   Iran   will   agree   on   steps   to   ensure  Iran’s  access  in  areas  of  trade,  technology,  finance  and  energy.    

161  

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9:40am - 10:40am: Holistic Compliance: Navigating International and Domestic Regulatory Frameworks in Tandem Ø  Sara Nordin, Senior Associate, White & Case

Ø  George Kleinfeld, Partner, Clifford Chance

Ø  Ramin Hariri, Partner, Dentons Europe

Ø  Homayoun Arfzadeh, Partner, Python & Peter

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EU  sanc8ons:  Iran  related  measures  and  

JCPOA  

Sara  Nordin  

September  25,  2015  

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When  do  EU  sanc'ons  apply?  

Where?  q  Within  EU  territory    q  On  board  aircraas/vessels  under  EU  Member  State  jurisdic'on  

Who/what?  q  Na'onals  of  Member  States  (even  if  outside  EU  territory)  q  En''es  incorporated/cons'tuted  under  Member  State  laws  q  Any  legal  person,  en'ty  or  body  in  respect  of  any  business  done  in  whole  

or  in  part  within  the  EU  

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“Nuclear  related”  sanc'ons  

•  Regula'on  267/2012:  

–  Asset   freeze   and   financial/insurance   sector   restric'ons   (incl.  no'fica'on/authoriza'on  requirements  for  fund  transfers)  

–  Oil,   gas,   petrochemical,   shipping,   shipbuilding   and   transport   sector  restric'ons  

–  Arms  embargo,  dual-­‐use  and  nuclear  related  product  restric'ons  

–  Other  product  restric'ons  (diamonds,  gold,  precious  metals,  graphite  and  raw  or  semi-­‐finished  

metals,  industrial  processing  soaware,  etc.)  

•  Par>al  suspension  in  place  un>l  January  14,  2016  

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“Human  rights  related”  sanc'ons  

•  Regula'on  359/2011:  – Asset  freeze  –  Internal  repression  equipment  ban  – Telecom  monitoring  equipment,  technology  and  soaware  ban  

•  Expected  to  remain  in  place,  as  not  liGed  under  JCPOA  

167  

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   JCPOA  Implementa'on  Plan  

168  

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White  &  Case  LLP  

Quai  du  Mont-­‐Blanc  5  1201  Geneva  Switzerland  T    +  41  22  906  9800  F    +  41  22  906  9810    

In  this  presenta'on,  White  &  Case  means  the  interna'onal  legal  prac'ce  comprising  White  &  Case  LLP,  a  New  York  State  registered  limited  liability  partnership,    White  &  Case  LLP,  a  limited  liability  partnership  incorporated  under  English  law  and  all  other  affiliated  partnerships,  companies  and  en''es.  

White  &  Case  LLP  

Wetstraat  62  rue  de  la  Loi  1040  Brussels      Belgium  T    +  32  2  239  26  20  F    +  32  2  239  26  26    

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 George Kleinfeld, Partner, Clifford Chance

US Sanctions Risks

     1.   What  Iran-­‐related  ac8vi8es  do  US  sanc8ons  authorize  prior  to  Implementa8on  

Day?  

2.   Implementa8on  Day:    Which  US  sanc8ons  go  away,  and  which  stay  in  place?  

3.   Impact  on  Non-­‐US  Persons  of  con8nuing  applicability  of  sanc8ons  to  US  persons,  US-­‐origin  goods  and  USD  payment  ac8vity  

4.   Snap-­‐back:  risks  and  implica8ons  

5.   January  2017  –  Can  President  Trump  tear  up  the  JCPOA?    

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   Inves8ng   in   Iran:   How   to   manage   risks   to   create  

opportuni8es  ?            

Geneva,  September,  2015  

Ramin  Hariri  Partner,  Dentons  Europe  LLP  

Page 172: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Managing  risks  of  doing  business  in  Iran  

•  As  ever  with  sanc'ons,  the  JCPOA  does  not  present  a  clear  "greenlight"  to  doing  business  with  Iran  

•  The  permissibility  of  a  par'cular  ac'vity  aaer  Implementa'on  Day  is  one  thing  but  does  not  address  the  full  scope  of  regulatory,  poli'cal,  transac'onal  and  opera'onal  risks  an  Iranian  business  strategy  can  entail.    

•  People  will  need  to  think  carefully  about  the  risks  of  a  snap-­‐back  of  sanc'ons,  the  impact  of  a  phased  relaxa'on  of  sanc'ons  and  the  risks  inherent  in  doing  business  in  Iran.  

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Managing  risks  of  doing  business  in  Iran  •  Understand  and  effec'vely  manage  the  public  

rela'ons  and  reputa'onal  risks  that  can  flow  from  doing  business  in  Iran,  par'cularly  as  regards  lobbying  government  to  ensure  your  ac'vi'es,  reputa'on  and  enforcement  posture  are  managed  effec'vely;  

•  Obtain  poli'cal  risk  repor'ng  and  monitoring  to  inform  you  of  the  current  government  and  business  dynamics  and  how  those  dynamics  can  effect  your  business  interests  at  any  given  'me  and  any  business  relevant  changes  to  those  dynamics;  

•  Carry  out  independent  due  diligence  of  counterpar'es  at  the  outset,  so  you  know  who  you  are  really  doing  business  with  and  determine  whether  you  want  them  as  business  partners;    

•  Manage  regulatory  risks  and  the  impact  that  an  Iranian  business  line  has  on  your  regulatory  compliance  programme,  including  programme  updates,  design  and  implementa'on  for  sanc'ons  compliance  and  an'-­‐bribery  compliance  and  associated  training  and  awareness  building  internally;  

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Managing  risks  of  doing  business  in  Iran  •  Understand  the  legal  framework  of  Foreign  direct  investment  (FDI)  in  

Iran:  -­‐  Bilateral  investment  trea'es  (BIT)  and  Double  Tax  trea'es  signed  

between  Iran  and  EU  members  -­‐  Poli'cal  and  commercial  risk  insurance  coverage  -­‐  FIPPA  :  Scope,  coverage  and  limita'ons  -­‐  Iranian  Model  Contracts  (Iranian  Petroleum  Contract,  BOT,  EPC  and  

EPCF,  ..)  -­‐  Procurement  laws  /  selec'on  of  contractors  -­‐  Foreign  poreolio  investment  in  Tehran  Stock  Exchange  -­‐  Foreign  exchange  rules  -­‐  Land  use  -­‐  Tax  and  labour  issues  (including  expatriates)  -­‐  Environmental  regula'on  -­‐  Intellectual  property  rights  -­‐  Dispute  resolu'on  

174  

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Thank  you  

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SECURING IRANIAN TRANSACTIONS:

THE LEGAL PERSPECTIVE    by

HOMAYOON ARFAZADEH Ph.D. Partner

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I.  INTRODUCTION :    

Converging and merging two perspectives:

•  Foreign counterpart or partner

•  Iranian counterpart or partner

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II. TYPICAL RISKS SURROUNDING IRANIAN

TRANSACTIONS AND INVESTMENTS  

 A.  Typical risks for foreign parties

•  Regulatory risks

•  Creeping expropriation

•  Monopolies and lack of transparency

•  Dispute with private and public partners or counterparties

•  Intermediaries and corruption

B.  Typical risks for Iranian parties

•  Over pricing

•  Default and defect

•  Project financing

•  Foreign bankruptcy

•  Sanctions and other adverse regulatory measures

•  Intermediaries and corruption

C.  Intermediaries: avoiding pitfalls through transparency

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III. THE FUNDAMENTAL ROLE OF CONTRACT  

 •  Knowing your partner

•  Negotiations and drafting

•  Export guarantee and insurance

•  Project finance

•  LC, bank guarantees, performance guarantees

•  Contractual penalties (delay in performance, defects in quality, … etc)

•  Applicable law

•  Dispute resolution clause

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IV. DISPUTE RESOLUTION      

A.  Negotiate without threatening

B.  Litigation: continuation of business by other means

•  Court or arbitration?

•  Courts in Iran

•  Courts in Europe

•  Parallel criminal proceedings in Iran in relation to business transactions

•  Interim and conservatory measures

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V. ARBITRATION      A.  Pro and cons of Arbitration

•  Neutrality

•  Choice of the institution

•  Appointment of arbitrators

•  Choice of the seat

•  Choice of procedural rules

•  Costs and financing

•  Length

•  Enforcement of awards in Iran

•  Enforcement of awards in Europe

B.  Arbitration in Switzerland

•  Arbitration institutions

•  Supporting court system

•  Tale of a banking dispute

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VI. CONCLUSION      One stop law firm and a comprehensive +”global” approach.

Homayoon Arfazadeh Partner Attorney-at-Law Geneva & New York Ph.D. International law LL.M. New York University 2, rue Charles-Bonnet, CH-1206 Genève Tel. +41 22 702 15 15 - Fax +41 22 702 14 44 [email protected] Geneva - Pully - Lausanne - Bern - Sion - Zug – Bruxelles - Tokyo www.pplex.ch

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11:10am - 12:10pm: Oil & Gas: Iran's Economic Cornerstone

Moderator: Elham Hassanzadeh, Managing Director, Energy Pioneers

Ø  Ali Kardor, Head of Investment, Deputy Managing Director, NIOC

Ø  Issa Mashayekhi, Managing Director, National Petrochemical Company

International

Ø  Alexandre Oliveira, Emerging Markets Oil & Gas Leader, EY

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Opportunities for

Investment & Financing

in Iranian Oil & Gas Industry

Ali Kardor

Vice President in Investment and Financing

NIOC

2nd Europe-Iran Forum

Geneva

Sep 2015

Page 186: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Global Energy Supply

Investment 2014-2035

OECD/IEA  2014  

Gas: 8.7 T$

Oil: 13.6 T$

55%

•  The world`s projected energy consumption will require more than 40$ Trillion investment in

energy supply from 2014-2035.

•  55% of total energy supply investment, belongs to oil and gas sectors.

•  61% of energy supply investment of Middle East will be in oil sector.

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Required Investment in Iran`s Oil & Gas Industry

(2016-2025)

Upstream 176

Downstream 77

Total 253

Billion $

Page 188: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Investment/Financing Methods

Exploration Development Production Downstream

•  EPCF & EPDF

•  Finance (Corporate, Project)

•  Usance based EPC

•  Bonds

•  ECA Mechanism

•  Credit Line or Loan

•  Iranian Petroleum Contract (IPC)

• Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)

• PPP, BOO, BOT, …

• Joint Venture

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Main Downstream Activities

• Gas gathering and utilization projects (GTL , LNG. FLNG, …)

• NGL projects

• Construction of power plants, storage facilities, …

• Refinery construction or development

To B

e P

riva

tize

d To B

e Privatized

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Bankability of Downstream Activities

Guaranteed feed supply for long term (e.g. feed gas)

Reasonable feed price linked to products price (e.g. 3.6 $/MMBtu for methane)

5% oil price discount for domestic refineries

Privatization up to 100% in downstream projects (NGL, GTL, refineries, …)

Attractive rate of return (minimum 15%)

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Upstream Sector

New Contractual Model

Iranian Petroleum Contract

(IPC)

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IPC details

& related projects

will be unveiled

in the international seminar in

Tehran in Mid. Nov. 2015

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Main Objectives

• Reasonable Government & Contractor Take

•  Integrated operation (E,D,P)

•  Long Term Contract (15-20 years)

•  Flexibility  

• Balancing the Risk-Reward for the investors

• Maximizing incentives for investors in high risk areas

• Technology transfer

• Partnership with Iranian companies (Establishing JOCs in Iran)  

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Dynamic Development Plan

Annual Work Program and Budget instead of fixed capex

Flexible for different fields (high/low risk, common fields, onshore/offshore, …)

Flexible Reward considering the return of investor, oil price & production level of the field

Integrated operations (E&P), EOR/IOR

Chance of further Exploration operations in neighboring blocks in case of failure

Flexibilities

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•  Operating Costs

• Indirect Costs

•  Direct Capital Costs

DCC IDC

Tax OPEX

Main Characteristics: Costs

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Main Characteristics: Cost Recovery

ü  Commencing from First Production Date

ü  DCC recovery 5-7 years

ü  Cost Petroleum Ceiling: 50% of Production

ü  COM= Libor + X%

ü  IDC & Opex shall be recovered on current basis.

Production Profile

0102030405060708090

100

1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25year

Prod

uctio

n (oo

o b/d)

Early Prod

Final Production (Plateu)

Natural Depletion

(Sample)

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Main Characteristics: Reward System

Fee for production

R-Factor based

RF  =  

Cumulative amounts received by contractor as per annual financial report  

Cumulative costs paid up to annual financial report

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Main Characteristics: Reward System

Fee based on RF (Sample Figures)

Production (Kb/d)

RI<1 1≤RI<2 2≤RI<3 3≤RI<4 RI≥4

< 50 A1 B1 C1 D1 E1

50-100 A2 B2 C2 D2 E2

100-200 A3 B3 C3 D3 E3

> 200 A4 B4 C4 D4 E4

Note: A1= Max. Fee E4 = Min. Fee

Production (Bcf/d)

RI<1 1≤RI<2 2≤RI<3 3≤RI<4 RI≥4

< 1 A1 B1 C1 D1 E1

1-2 A2 B2 C2 D2 E2

2-3 A3 B3 C3 D3 E3

> 3 A4 B4 C4 D4 E4

$/bbl

$/mcf

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AUrac8on  

Fee linkage to oil/gas price

Float on risk, field type and production

Higher Fee for IOR/EOR Activities

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conclusion  

Extending new Horizons to

Secure Energy Supply

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Thank You

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Presenta8on  on  EU-­‐Iran  Forum  Geneva,  Switzerland    (September  24  &  25,  2015  )  

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Content:  •  Iran  Petrochemical  Industry  •  Persian  Gulf  Petrochemical  Industries  Co.  

–  Poriolio  –  Development  Strategy  –  Investment  Projects  

•  Opportuni'es  for  Joint  Collabora'on  

•  Investment  Asrac'ons  •  NPC  Interna'onal  Ltd.  •  Concluding  Remarks  

–  Financing  and  Investment  Environment  –  Current  Circumstances  and  Post  Sanc8on  –  Restart  a  Business  

Page 204: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Silk  Road  Iran Stands on crossroad of trade from ancient time

Page 205: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

History  of  Petrochemical  Industry  of  Iran  

•  More  than  50  years old  •  1958  :  Shiraz  Chemical  Fer'lizer  Co.  as  the  First  Plant      •  1963  :  Establishment  of  Na'onal  Petrochemical  Company  (NPC)  

 

 -­‐        

 20.00    

 40.00    

 60.00    

 80.00    

 100.00    

1958   1977   1988   1994   1999   2014  

 0.10      2.70      0.90      7.50    

 15.10    

 42.50    

1  

21   16  

47  

70  

100  

Petrochemical Industry development trend

Actual  Produc8on  (million  ton)  

Products  Variety  Plan  

Page 206: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Iran  Petrochemical  Industry    Snapshot  

•  ICIS  Evalua'on  

•  World  Market  Share    

Year World Ranking 2004 82 2011 12

Year World Ranking 2004 1.1% 2011 4.2%

India  13%  

South  East  Asia  23%  

Chian  22%  

Far  East  countries  

18%  

Europe  5%  

Middle  East  19%  

•  Export Market

Page 207: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Risks  •  Economic  Risks:  

–  Infla'on  –  An  aggregate  of  economic  growth  –  Monetary  stability  –  Current  account  deficit/  surplus  –  Unemployment  &  structural  imbalances  

•  Legal  Risks:  –  Regulatory  ease  –  Strength  of  incen'ves  –  Administra've  aids  

•  Poli'cal  Risks:  –  Poll  results  of  poli'cal  risk  analysis  –  Risk  insurance  brokers  –  Bank  officers  reported  in  Euro  money’s  bi-­‐annual  country  risk  ranking  

•  Infrastructure  Risks:    –  incomplete  and  inferior  transporta'on  and  communica'on  networks  

Page 208: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Oil Industry Structure

PGPIC    (NPC  20%,  J.S.  40%,  P.F.  17%  ,  TPPIC  9%  &  Others  5%)  

Petroleum  Ministry    

NIOC   NPC   NIRODC   NIGC  

Private  Companies  

NPC is in charge for development policies of petrochemical industry in Iran.

Page 209: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Public  share  40%  

NPC  20%  

Pension  Fund  17%  

Taban  Farda  Petrochemical  

Group  Company  

9%  

Tamin  Petroleum  &  Petrochemical  

investment  company  9%  

Others  (IPO)  5%  

Shareholders

Page 210: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

PGPIC Board of Directors

Chief Executive Officer

& board member

Chairman of the board Vice Chairman of the

board

Board member

Board member

A.Sheri Moghaddam F.Saghafian

A.Nejadsalim M.Omidghaemi A.Imami

Page 211: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

PGPIC  Introduc'on  

•  Incorporated  on                            22nd  Sep.  2011    

•  Priva'zed  on  (Listed  in  TSE  )        16th  April  2013  

•  Registered  Capital:    about  885  M$  

•  Capital  Raising  Plan                              3.5  Billion  $  

•  Current  Market  Value:    9.1  Billion  $  

•  Current  Market  Value(including    Petrol  and  Mobin)  :  11.8  Billion  $  

 

Page 212: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Financial Highlights Based on Consolidated Audited Financial Statement for the Year Ended 20th June 2014

•  Consolidated Asset : 16.2 Billion $  

•  Sales : 10.8 Billion $

•  ROE : 55.6%

•  ROA : 17.5%

•  42%  of  Iran’s  total  Petrochemical  export  

•  10%  shares  of  Iran’s  stock  market  

 

Page 213: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Produc'ons  Companies  of  PGPIC  

Bandar Imam PC

Khozestan PC

Arvand PC

Bou Ali Sina PC

Tondguyan PC Nouri PC

Page 214: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Global and regional rankings Descrip8on     Racking    

Profitability index, Export index in Iran (IMI 100 ranking)  

Top    

Sales index in Iran (IMI 100 ranking)

3rd    

Chemical company in Middle East in 2014 (ICIS ranking)

2nd    

Chemical company in the world in 2014 (ICIS ranking)

44th    

Page 215: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

215  

24.6 Current Capacity (MM tons)

PGPIC Production Capacity

40% IRAN      

petrochemical         capacity

Fuel & Feed products

49%

Basic and chemical products

24%

Aromatics 14%

polymers 11%

others 2%

Page 216: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

PGPIC’s  Development  Strategies  

Development  Strategies

Investment  in  Stock  Market

New  Projects

Development  of  current  subsidiaries  

with  growth  poten8als

Projects  under  execu'on:  6.2  bn  €    

Projects  in  Engineering  Phase:  4  bn€  

Projects  under  Study:  5  bn  €  

Page 217: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Opportuni'es  for  joint  collabora'on  

•  Joint  Investment  in  Development  Projects  

•  Transfer  of  Technology  (new  technologies          and  licenses)  

•   Trading  (selling  products  and  opening          western  markets)    

•  Financing  Facili'es  – pre-­‐financing  

Page 218: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Abundant  Natural  Resources  Considerable  petroleum  reserves  Compe''ve  prices    

Developed  Infrastructure  

Communica'on    &  Transporta'on  Networks  Availability  of  required  U'li'es  

Experienced  workforce  

Reasonable IRR

Unique  Geographical  loca8on  

Foreign  Investment  Promo8on  &  Protec8on  Act  

Intensive  development  plans  

Free  Economic  Zones  

Export  Guarantee  

Investment Incentives

Page 219: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Development Hubs

New Hub of Petrochemical

Industry Chabahar

Page 220: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Investment  Projects  2 Urea – Ammonia Projects

Veniran-Apadana Methanol Project

2nd Olefin & Ethane Recovery Project

Ethylene Glycol / Ethylene Oxide Project

NGL 3200 Project

NGL-2300 Project

Bid Boland Refinery

PA

RS

EE

Z P

ETZ

ON

E

Oth

ers

Page 221: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

NPC International Ltd. (“NPCI”)

•  Established  in  1992  as  private  limited  Company  •  Registered  in  United  Kingdom  with  its  main  office  in  London  

•  100%  of  Shares  belongs  to  PGPIC  •  Main  Area  of  ac'vi'es:  

–  Financing  of  Petrochemical  projects  –  Joint  venture  development  

•  Acquiring  foreign  Investment  in  Iran  •  Investment  in  Foreign  countries  

221  

Page 222: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

NPCI Board of Directors

Chief Executive Officer

& board member

Chairman of the board

Vice Chairman of the board

Board member

A.Nejadsalim

R.Ashrafzadeh I.Mashayekhi S.A.Shah Cheraghi

Page 223: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

NPCI Historical View •  Finance  

–  Dealing  with  Major  Interna'onal  Creditors&  ECAs  –  Providing  almost  €6  billion  financial  facility  to  petrochemical  Projects    

223  

2,466 1,164

676

240

556 170 159

183

86 146

Deutsche Bank HSBC JBIC SG ING Calyon Standard Chartered Fortis Aresbank

ECAs  

UK  Export  Finance  (ECGD)   UK  

Hermes   Germany  

COFACE   France  

SACE   Italy  

NEXI   Japan  

KEXIM   Korea  

CESCE   Spain  

ONDD   Belgium  

EKN   Sweden  

Page 224: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

NPCI Historical View •  Joint    Ventures  

– Completed  In  Iran  

– Under    Development  

224  

Company   Foreign  Investor  

Arya-­‐SGS   Switzerland   Inspec'on  

Arya  Sasol   South  Africa   Olefin  

Laleh   Netherland   LDPE  

Hegmataneh   Italy   PVC  

Karun   Germany/Sweden   Isocyanate  

Mehr   Japan/Thailand   HDPE  

Project   Name   Capital  investment  

Ammonia-­‐Urea   Hormoz   €526  million    

Ammonia-­‐Urea   Hengam   €474  million  

Methanol   Veniran  Apadana   €500million  

Page 225: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Concluding  remarks  •  Considering  investment  and  financing  environment,  we  highly  respect  all  interna>onal  rules  and  

regula>ons  

•  Aggressive  development  plan  for  increasing  Iran  produc>on  capacity  to  180  million  ton  in  10  years  

•  In  today’s  world  Economic  and  technical  coopera>on/collabora>on  is  not  a  choice,  it  is  a  must  

•  Releasing  the  economic  ac>vi>es  from  poli>cal  issues  helps  to  realize  the  business  and  economics  of  the  

world,  make  reduce  the  crisis  in  the  world  

•  Europe  s>ll  suffering  from  supreme  crisis  and  credit  crunch  of  2008,  and  investment  in  Iran’s  offered  

opportuni>es  would  serve  mutual  interest  of  both  side    

•  As  it  is  the  restart  of  old  business  ,  all  required  means  and  structures  are  already  in  place  

Page 226: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Petrochemical  Industry  Development  Plan  

0  20  40  60  80  100  120  140  160  180  

Current     10  Years  Plan   20  years  vision  

44  

120  

180  

Produc8on  Capacity  (million  ton)  

0  10  20  30  40  50  60  70  80  90  100  

Current     10  Years  Plan   20  years  vision  

22  

66  

99  

Revenue  (Billion  US$)  

Over 70bUS$ has to be invested in developing plan during next 10 years The main emphasis is to acquire foreign investment and finance

Page 227: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Persian  Gulf  Petrochemical  Industries  Co.  Poreolio  (60  companies)  

Page 228: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Urea-­‐  Ammonia  Project  Summery  

Project   Urea-­‐Ammonia  Place   Pars  Economic  Zone  Phase  2  

Contract   EPC  

Construc'on  Period   44  months  

Opera'on  Period     15  Years  

Investment  Capital   ≈  380  M  €    

Produc'on  Capacity   Ammonia:  726,000  T/Y,  Urea:  1,072,000  T/Y  

Feedstock  Price   13  Cents  /  m3  

IRR   >  25  %  

Page 229: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Methanol  Project  Summery  

Project   Methanol  Place Pars Economic Zone Phase 2

Contract EP

Construction Period 41 months

Operation Period 15 Years

Investment Capital 462 M € 30% Equity 70% Loan

Production Capacity Methanol: 1.650.000 T/Y,

Feedstock Price 13 Cents / m3

IRR > 25 %

Page 230: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

2nd  Bidboland  Refinery  Project  

Project Gas Refinery

Place Behbahan (khozestan province)

Construction Period 47 months

The remaining construction period: 40 months Investment Capital 2,255.56 M €

30% Equity 70% Loan Contract EPC

Contractor: Kayson Jonoob and Jahan Pars Co Actual Progress 20 %

Actual cost (Early work) 400 MM €

Page 231: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Projects  under  study

Project 2nd Olefin & Ethane Recovery

Place Petrochemical Special Economic Zone

Construction Period 45 months

Investment Capital 562 M €

30% Equity 70% Loan

IRR 41%

Project Ethylene Oxide/ Ethylene Glycol

Place Petrochemical Special Economic Zone

Construction Period 47 months

Investment Capital 298 MM €

30% Equity 70% Loan

IRR 41%

Page 232: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Projects  under  study  (cont.)  Project NGL 3200 Place Petrochemical Special Economic Zone Construction Period 48 months Investment Capital 1,054.07 MM €

30% Equity 70% Loan Actual Progress 5.86 %

Project NGL 2300 Place Petrochemical Special Economic Zone Construction Period 44 months Investment Capital 669 M €

30% Equity 70% Loan

Page 233: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

6th Floor, N.I.O.C House, 4 Victoria Street, London SW1H ONE, United Kingdom Tel: +44 20 7222 0899 Fax: +44 20 7222 0897 Internet: [email protected] Registered in England & Wales No.2696754 VAT Registration No. 563217549

Official Office in Tehran: No.22, 5th Alley, Ahmad Ghasir Ave., Tehran Iran.

P.O.Box: 1513643911, Tel: +98 21 8855 4782 Fax: +98 21 8871 3346

Page 234: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations
Page 235: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

1:10pm - 2:10pm: Humanitarian Trade Finance: Fundamentals on the Fundamentals Ø  Charles de Boissezon, CEO, Hinduja Bank Switzerland

Ø  Amir Handjani, President, PG International Trading, Cargill International SA

Ø  Klaus Merz, CEO, Pillar Merchant

Page 236: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

The  Grain  Trade  in  Iran  

Amir  Handjani  September  25,  2015  

Page 237: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

The  Grain  Trade  in  Iran  

Source:  Interna'onal  Energy  Agency  

Page 238: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

 Projected    Grain    Imports  2015-­‐2016  

Page 239: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

 Projected  Cereal  Consump'on  2015-­‐2016  

Page 240: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

The  Grain  Trade  in  Iran  

Page 241: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

The  Grain  Trade  in  Iran  

Page 242: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

The  Grain  Trade  in  Iran  

Page 243: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

The  Grain  Trade  in  Iran  

Page 244: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Thurgauerstrasse 108 8152 Glattpark / Zurich, Switzerland

September 2015

   

Page 245: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Swiss Financial Institution - History        

■  Founded in 1963 by Brown Boveri Corporation (now ABB)

■  A bank with Swiss bank license between 1996 and 2012

■  From 2003 to 2014 owned by Swedish investors (Nordkap Bank AG)

■  Bought in March 2015 by a German investor, active in the petrochemical and polymer business in Europe and Middle-East

■  Changed Name from Nordkap AG (formerly Nordkap Bank AG) to Pillar Merchant AG in March 2015

■  Application for a new banking license in process

245

Page 246: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Swiss Financial Institution – Core Business         ■  Expert in corporate finance, project-, trade- and export financing

■  Track record of several hundred financed transactions all around the

world, with a focus on emerging markets

■  Well known arranger and lender in the international capital markets

■  Large network of clients and banks

■  Focus on infrastructure, oil & gas and commodity financing

■  Experienced trader of financial assets

246

Page 247: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Our Business Strategy (bank license pending)

247

Act as a classic merchant bank

Regional focus

Relationship banking

Investors

Credit & Debit Card

Specialised arranger and lender in corporate finance, project-, trade- and export finance; commodity finance in energy, infrastructure and commodities Advising trade finance funds with a future focus on Iran (subject to lifting of sanctions) Middle East including Iran, Europe

Provide specialised and tailor-made financial services to clients (Swiss trading companies; corporates; banks; investors)

Offer Credit/Debit Card business in less developed markets together with close partners

Offer correspondent banking solutions Advise trade finance funds in their investment strategy

Page 248: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

248

Pillar Group

Page 249: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Contact

249

Klaus Merz , CEO

Phone: +41 44 306 4920 Fax: +41 44 306 4911 Mobile: +41 79 755 4210

[email protected]

Kerstin Rotter Phone: +41 44 306 4921 Fax: +41 44 306 4911 Mobile: +41 79 307 3440

[email protected]

Samara Jaberzadeh, HR & Management Assistant/Office Manager Phone: +41 44 306 4919 Fax: +41 44 306 4911

[email protected]

Christa Waldmeier, CFO

Phone: +41 44 306 4923 Fax: +41 44 306 4911 Mobile: +41 79 7991342

[email protected]

Page 250: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations
Page 251: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

2:10pm - 3:10pm: PE and VC: Opportunity and Ownership in an Entrepreneurial Economy Ø  Said Rahmani, CEO, Sarava

Ø  Xanyar Kamangar, Founding Partner, Griffon Capital

Ø  Mohammad Nikjoo, Managing Director, Amin Investment Bank

Ø  Ali Amiri, Partner, ACL

Page 252: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

“Why Private Equity doesn’t work in Iran”

Debunking the myths

SEPTEMBER  2015  

ASSET  MANAGEMENT  AND  PRIVATE  EQUITY

Xanyar Kamangar Founding partner

Page 253: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

“Private Equity investment in Iran is still years off” July 2015 –

Wall Street Journal

Griffon  Capital  will  be  managing  the  first  private  equity  investments  for  Iran  focused  on  the    

 “rise  of  the  consumer  middle  class”  

253  

Some  of  the  public  views  

“The simple answer is No! It’ll be a while before we get enough conviction around Iran to open an office [and invest]”

May 2015 – President Blackstone Group

WHY  RELEVANT?  

“[…] growth in consumer goods, tech and pharma may offer returns for those with a sharp eye on cultural perspective. However, […] Iran may remain unattractive to all but the most robust risk takers”

August 2015 – Hogan Lovells

Page 254: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

254  

Key  arguments  

•  Limited  investor  protec'on  

•  Lack  of  deal  flow  

•  No  leverage,  low  return  

•  Impossible  to  turnaround  

•  No  exit  routes  

Page 255: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

255  

Key  arguments  

•  Limited  investor  protec8on  

•  Lack  of  deal  flow  

•  No  leverage,  low  return  

•  Impossible  to  turnaround  

•  No  exit  routes  

Context:  

Is  Iran  a  fron8er  market,    

an  emerging  market  or  a  

developed  one?    

Page 256: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

256  

Key  arguments  

•  Limited  investor  protec8on  

•  Lack  of  deal  flow  

•  No  leverage,  low  return  

•  Impossible  to  turnaround  

•  No  exit  routes  

World  Bank  

“Enforcement  of  contracts”    

65    Canada  

66    Iran  …  

69    Spain  

…  

…  

147    Italy  

Source:  World  Bank  –  Ease  of  doing  business  report  2015  

Page 257: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

257  

Key  arguments  

•  Limited  investor  protec'on  

•  Lack  of  deal  flow  •  No  leverage,  low  return  

•  Impossible  to  turnaround  

•  No  exit  routes  

“How  can  one  access  deals?”  

•  State  controlled  economy  

•  No  appe'te  to  sell  

•  No  formal  pipeline  

 

•  ````  

State  

25%    of  GDP  

63%    of  top  500  private  

-­‐  Capital  starved    -­‐  Significant  poten'al  

Full  team  on  the  ground  

Corporate  finance  

 

12  years  

Proprietary  deal  flow  

=  

Page 258: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

258  

Key  arguments  

•  Limited  investor  protec'on  

•  Lack  of  deal  flow  

•  No  leverage,  low  return  •  Impossible  to  turnaround  

•  No  exit  routes  

“How  can  one  get  25%  IRR  and  2.5x  money?”    

Focus  on  efficiency  and  growth  vs  

financial  engineering  

  10%  

Revenue  growth  

1.5x  

Mul'ple  expansion  

5%  

Margin  increase  

10%  

Dividend  yield  

4.0x  Note:  assuming  5yrs  holding,  annual  revenue  growth  rate,  total  margin  increase  and  PE  mul'ple  

Page 259: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

259  

Key  arguments  

•  Limited  investor  protec'on  

•  Lack  of  deal  flow  

•  No  leverage,  low  return  

•  Impossible  to  turnaround  •  No  exit  routes  

   

Not  about  turnaround  but    value  enhancers  and  governance  standards  by  ac8ve  partnership  

 

Return  in  minority  vs  majority  deals  in  emerging  markets

     

3x  

30%  

 Premium  paid  for  companies  with  

good  governance  in  EM      

Page 260: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

260  

Key  arguments  

•  Limited  investor  protec'on  

•  Lack  of  deal  flow  

•  No  leverage,  low  return  

•  Impossible  to  turnaround  

•  No  exit  routes  

 Trade  sale  

59  

 IPO  

 Secondary  

sale  

   

Interna8onal  players  returning  to  the  market  

IPOs  in  the  last  five  years  

S8ll  a  few  years  away  but  solid  source  in  EM  

Page 261: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

261  

Private  Equity  –  a  force  for  good  in  emerging  markets  

•  Private  sector  development  ‒  The  most  efficient  method  of  alloca'ng  capital  –  promo'ng  champions  

•  Job  crea8on  in  emerging  markets  

•  Promo8ng  ESG  values  –  doing  well  by  doing  good!  

0%  

20%  

40%  

Less  than  20  employees  

20  -­‐  100  employees   101  -­‐  300  employees   +300  employees  

14.7%growth  in  

jobs  

Source:  IFC  by  analysis  of  64  funds  between  2000  and  2010  

Page 262: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

262  

Griffon  Capital  Private  Equity  

1 Why  Iran?   2 Why  consumer?  

4 Why  Griffon?   3 Why  now?  

First  consumer  driven  Iran  

fund  

Page 263: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

263  

Griffon  Capital  Private  Equity  

1 Why  Iran?   2 Why  consumer?  

4 Why  Griffon?   3 Why  now?  

First  consumer  driven  Iran  

fund  

•  Large  middle  class  

•  Pent-­‐up  demand  

•  Under  invested  

•  Limited  representa'on  in  capital  markets  

45m  

$8bn  capital  goods  

Page 264: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

264  

Griffon  Capital  Private  Equity  

Consumer  Services  

Consumer  Packaged  Goods  

Distribu8on  Retailing  /  E-­‐commerce  

Pharmaceu8cals  

1 Why  Iran?   2 Why  consumer?  

4 Why  Griffon?   3 Why  now?  

First  consumer  driven  Iran  

fund  

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265  

Griffon  Capital  Private  Equity  

1 Why  Iran?   2 Why  consumer?  

4 Why  Griffon?   3 Why  now?  

First  consumer  driven  Iran  

fund  

•  JCPOA  

•  “Early  movers”  benefit  most  

•  Invest  in  winners  at  reasonable  valua'ons  

2x  

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266  

Griffon  Capital  Private  Equity  

1 Why  Iran?   2 Why  consumer?  

4 Why  Griffon?   3 Why  now?  

First  consumer  driven  Iran  

fund  

• World  class,  ins'tu'onal  plaeorm  

•  Unique  team  with  deep  local  knowledge  and  interna8onal  experience  

•  Access  to  proprietary  deals  

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Private Equity / Iran

25  September  2015  –  Geneva    

267

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268

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269

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270

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271

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272

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273

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The Base: Unparalleled potential

•  Already  in  the  N-­‐11  (Next  Eleven)  &  en  route  to  BRIC  •  $35trn  of  proven  hydrocarbon  reserves  +  Turkey  GDP  $800-­‐900bn  •  Poten'al  to  be  a  $1.5-­‐2trn  economy  •  Real  GDP  growth  of  5-­‐10%  per  annum  for  next  5-­‐10  years  

274

The BRIC in waiting

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Healthier than perceived

Total Public & Private Debt

(% GDP)

C/A Balance % GDP

Budget Balance % GDP

US 250-275 -2.5 -2.9

UK 350-375 -3.9 -4.5

BRAZIL 150-175 -3.7 -3.8

RUSSIA 50-75 3.3 0.0

TURKEY 100-150 -5.8 -2.6

IRAN 30-60 8 0.0

Sources: Economist,  CBI,  Bloomberg,  IMF,  World  Bank 275

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Power diffused, not central

276

ELECTED INSTITUTIONS APPOINTED BY ELECTED INSTITUTIONS

UNELECTED INSTITUTIONS

SUPREME LEADER

PARLIAMENT

PRESIDENT

ASSEMBLY OF EXPERTS

CABINET

GUARDIAN COUNCIL

EXPEDIENCY COUNCIL

ARMED FORCES

HEAD OF JUDICIARY

ELE

CT

OR

AT

E

Directly Elected Appointed or Approved Vets Candidates

Page 277: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Asributes  of  Iran    

– Large  wealth  ,  large  popula'on    •  (not  a  Gulf  state)  

– Power  is  more  diffused  than  perceived    •  (don’t  look  for  it,  don’t  be  scared)  

– Young  popula'on  wan'ng  to  spend    •  (get  demography  and  you  will  win)  

– Private  sector  wan'ng  to  grow    •  (look  for  them)  

– Government  wan'ng  to  shrink    •  (really  !  )  

– Capital  market  that  is  set  to  grow    •  (private  equity!)  

 

277  

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Clusters    

 – Clusters  /  strong:    

• Weaving  and  colour  and  arts    •  Petrochemicals  (mid  stream  &  downstream)    •   Component  manufacturing  /  supply  chains    •  FMCG  buyouts    

– Clusters  /  weak:    •  Technology  •  Soa-­‐infrastructure  •  Finance    

– Emerged  already:  consumer  non-­‐durables  (grey  markets)    

– Emerging:  consumer  durables  and  large  'ckets  ;  experiences    

– Fron'er:  Infra  ;  Avia'on  ;  Hospitality    

278  

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Consumer  electronics  

279  

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280

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281  

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“Silk-­‐Road”    (…Version  2515.AIR)  

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283

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Private  Equity  –  defining  it  

Any  investment  into  a  company  to  be  nurtured  outside  of  the  TSE  

284  

Venture  Capital  

Growth  capital    

Buyouts    

$$

Life cycle

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Venture  Capital  ...  of  the  tech  kind    

   Cluster  theory:    “Can you cut tulips best outside of Amsterdam?” “Can you train the best ski team in Saudi Arabia?”

“Can you weave the best Persian carpet in Osaka?” “Can you search for the best Tech start up outside of Silicon Valley?”

(possible  versus  probable)  

285  

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286

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Venture  Capital  ...  of  the  rollout  kind    

     New  Rollouts:  e.g  •  Hospitality    (Holiday  Inn  to  Marrio_  like)  •  Brands  in  B  to  C  –  Migra>on  to  malls  •  Entertainment  (Legoland    kind)  •  Large  >cket  items  where  grey  markets  fail  (Earth  to  Passenger  

movers  )  

287  

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288

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Economic  fabric    

289  

Iran’s  GDP  100%  500  

Public  (80%)  

Quasi  (40%)  ~  32%    

Direct  (60%)  ~  48%  

Private  (20%)  100  

Official  (80%)    ~  16%  

Underground  (20%)  ~  4%  

 

80

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More diversified than perceived

290

25.06%  

10.86%  

10.66%  

9.30%  

8.57%  

7.65%  

7.07%  

2.96%  

2.87%  

2.38%  

2.23%  2.02%  

1.65%   1.28%  

0.91%  

5.54%  

Petrochemicals  

Banking  and  financial  intermediaries  

Basic  metals  

Refineries,  oil  deriva'ves  &  services    

Holding  companies    

Telecommunica'ons  

Mining  

Vehicles  &  Auto  parts  

Pharmaceu'cals  

Cement  industry  

Investment  companies    

Engineering  companies  

Shipping  &  Logis'cs  

Computer  &  Electronics  

Food  industries  

Other    

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Buyouts  …    Exhibit  A  –  Petrochemical    

   

291  

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Buyouts  …    Exhibit  C  –  Auto  

292  

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PE  Partners  &  Targets  ?  …so  who  with  ?      

   

Your  IRR  will  THRIVE    

   

IRR?  

   

Your  IRR  risks  ge�ng  hurt    

   

whatever  

Cre

dibi

ty a

nd o

utsi

de o

f Ira

n

No

Platform and Credibity in Iran

Yes

No Yes

Page 294: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Thank  you  

294  

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DISCLAIMER

IRAN  SANCTIONS  There  are  currently  extensive  international  trade  and  :inancial  sanctions  in  place  against  Iran  as  a  result  of  foreign  policy  commitments  by  a  number  of  governments  and  in  particular  the  imposition  of  US,  UK,  EU  and  United  Nations  sanctions  and  embargoes.    These  include  notably  i)  prohibitions  on  investment  in  Iranian  entities  or  bodies  engaged  in  the  exploration  or  production  of  crude  oil  and  natural  gas,  the  re:ining  of  fuels  or  the  liquefaction  of  natural  gas  and  prohibitions  on  any  new  investment  in  the  petrochemical  sector  in  Iran  or  in  Iranian  or  Iranian-­‐owned  enterprises  engaged  in  that  industry  outside  Iran  and  ii)  prohibitions  on  dealing  with  designated  entities  and/or  designated  persons  and  iii)prohibitions  and/or  limitations  on  transfers  of  money  into  and/or  from  Iran.    In  particular,  the  sanctions  apply  to  acts  carried  out  within  the  US  and/or  within  the  EU  and  to  the  activities  of  US  entities  and  nationals  (so-­‐called   United   States   persons)   overseas   and/or   of   EU   entities   and   nationals   overseas   and   to   the   supply   of   goods   and   services   directly   or  indirectly  to  Iran  and  to  Iranian-­‐owned  or  controlled  entities  or  bodies  outside  Iran.        ANY  UNITED  STATES  PERSON  IS  BARRED  FROM  INVESTING  IN  OR  FACILITATING  BUSINESS  WITH  IRAN.    THIS  PRESENTATION  DOES  NOT  CONSTITUTE  AN  OFFER  TO  SELL  OR  A  SOLICITATION  OF  ANY  OFFER  TO  BUY,  NOR  SHALL  THERE  BE  ANY  SALE   OF   SHARES   IN   ANY   JURISDICTION   WHERE   SOLICITATION   OR   SALE   WOULD   BE   PROHIBITED   UNDER   THE   CURRENT   SANCTION  REGIME   OR   BY   LAW   PRIOR   TO   REGISTRATION,   QUALIFICATION   OR   EXEMPTION   UNDER   THE   SECURITIES   LAWS   OF   ANY   SUCH  JURISDICTION.  IN  REVIEWING  THIS  PRESENTATION,  RECIPIENTS  MUST  RELY  ON  THEIR  OWN  EXAMINATION  OF  THE  MERITS  AND  RISKS  INVOLVED.    RECIPIENTS  ARE  NOT  TO  CONSTRUE  THE  CONTENTS  OF  THIS  PRESENTATION  AS  LEGAL,  INVESTMENT,  OR  TAX  ADVICE.  EACH   RECIPIENT   SHOULD   CONSULT   THEIR   PERSONAL   COUNSEL,   ACCOUNTANTS   AND   OTHER   ADVISERS   AS   TO   THE   LEGAL,   TAX,  ECONOMIC  AND  RELATED  ASPECTS  OF  THE  OPPORTUNITY  DESCRIBED  HEREIN  AND  AS  TO  ITS  SUITABILITY  FOR  SUCH  RECIPIENT.    IF  A  RECIPIENT  INTENDS  TO  CARRY  OUT  BUSINESS  IN  OR  INVEST  IN  IRAN,  HE  OR  SHE  SHOULD  SEEK  INDEPENDENT  LEGAL  ADVICE  TO  CONFIRM   THE   CURRENT   STATUS   OF   THE   RELEVANT   SANCTIONS   REGIMES   AND   ENSURE   THAT   HIS   OR   HER   ACTIVITIES   DO   NOT  CONTRAVENE  ANY  APPLICABLE  RESTRICTIONS.  THIS   PRESENTATION   IS   INTENDED   SOLELY   FOR   THE   USE   OF   THE   PERSON   TO  WHOM   IT   HAS   BEEN   DELIVERED   FOR   THE   PURPOSE  OF   INFORMATION  ONLY   AND   IS   NOT   TO   BE   REPRODUCED  OR  DISTRIBUTED   TO   ANY  OTHER   PERSONS   (OTHER   THAN   PROFESSIONAL  ADVISERS  OF  THE  PERSON  RECEIVING  THIS  PRESENTATION).  

295

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3:25pm - 4:25pm: Investment Banking: Corporate Finance and M&A for New Growth Ø  Rouzbeh Pirouz, Executive Chairman, Turquoise Partners

Ø  Majid Zamani, CEO, Kardan Investment Bank

Ø  Amr Aboushaban, Chairman, Frontier Markets Business Development,

Renaissance Capital

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TURQUOISE  PARTNERS    

2015  A  presenta'on  to  

2nd  Europe-­‐Iran  Forum  

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Turquoise  Partners:  Key  Developments  

Turquoise Partners founded

Turquoise Iran Equities Fund launched (Managing 90% of foreign portfolio investment on the TSE)

Acquisition of 40% of Iran's 2nd largest insurance co (Advisory)

2005  

2006  

2009  

Launch of domestic mutual fund (Top performer in 2014)

2010  

Acquisition  of Iran Industrial Development Investment Company (Subsequently turned around with a return of 135% to date)

2011  

Startup of Sheypour, a leading general classifieds website (Advisory)

2011  

Butane Industrial Bond-1st Bond for a private sector company (Advisory)

2012  

Co-founded Sarava Pars (Iran's first Tech VC fund)

2012  

Iran's first Index-linked ETF (Turquoise TSE-30 ETF) launched

2015  

Acquisition of Etebar Investment Company

Acquisition of Firouzeh Asia Brokerage

2010  

2015  

Our  Vision:  Since  2006  ….    Enable  the  global  community  to  access  the  best  growth  opportuni'es  in  Iran  

Page 300: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

300 TURQUOISE PARTNERS – 2015

•  1st   Iranian   Investment   Firm  managed   foreign   investment   flow  in   Tehran   Stock   Exchange   during  tough   years   of   devalua'on,  financial  crisis  and  sanc'on.  

 

   •  2  Successful  “turn  around”  

priva'za'ons  through  managing  two  listed  investment  companies  focusing  on  strategic,  long-­‐term  value  inves'ng.  

 •  Sources   of   comprehensive   English  

language   research   and   in-­‐house  historic   fundamental   database   on  Iranian   companies   since     last   10  years.  

 

 

Our  Story:  since  2006  …. Based  in  Tehran  and  London    with  112  staff  

 

Page 301: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

•  We  are  the  only  Iranian  firm  with  a  track  record  in  mergers  and  acquisi'ons.    We  have  undertaken  advisory  assignments  and  principal  transac'ons  with  our  own  capital  and  through  our  listed  private  equity  investment  company,  IDIC.        

•  In  addi'on  to  the  skill  sets  that  would  be  expected  in  a  Western  M&A  adviser,  we  also  bring  the  ability  to  advise  on:      •  the  prac'cal  do-­‐ability  of  the  transac'on  in  a  'mely  manner  •  the  reliability  of  available  financials,  which  may  be  opaque  •  any  hidden  legal  and  regulatory  issues  that  impact  the  acquisi'on  

•  commercial  structures  that  might  facilitate  a  quicker  transac'on  •  alterna've  market  entry  alterna'ves  to  an  investment  •  interfacing  with  company  owners  in  Iran  and  managing  the  nego'a'on  process  

•  Due  to  our  market  leading  brokerage  and  fund  management  posi'ons,  we  have  access  to  detailed  informa'on  and  compara've  data  on  many  sectors  of  the  Iranian  economy.    

301 TURQUOISE PARTNERS – 2015

Turquoise  M&A  Advisory  Experience  

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Turquoise:    Leading  interna'onal  financial  services  company  

302 TURQUOISE PARTNERS – 2015

2005:  

2006:  

2009:  

2010:  2010:  

2011:  

2011:  

2012:  

2012:  

2015:  2015:  2015:  

Vision Enable  the  Global  Community  to  Access  the  Best  Growth  Opportuni'es  in  Iran  

Turquoise  Partners  founded  Turquoise  Iran  Equi'es  Fund  launched  (90%        of  foreign  poreolio  investment  on  the  TSE)  

Acquisi'on  of  40%  of  Iran's  2nd  largest  insurance  company  (advisory)    

Launch  of  domes'c  mutual  fund      Acquisi'on  of  Firouzeh  Asia  Brokerage    

Acquisi'on  of  IDIC  (a  return  of  135%  to  date)  

Butane  Industrial  (First  bond  issue  for  a  private  sector  company)    

Seeded  Sarava  Pars  (Iran’s  first  tech  VC  fund)    European  fundraising  for  Sheypoor,  the  leading  classified  site  in  Iran  

Launched  first  TSE  Index-­‐linked  ETF    Acquisi'on  of  Etebar  Investment  Company  

JV  with  Charlemagne  Capital  IPO  of  Lia  Manufacturing  on  Farabourse  

2015:  

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Renaissance                                                      capital  

 

THE EEMEA AND FRONTIER INVESTMENT BANK

Celebra;ng  20  years  in  Emerging  and  Fron;er  markets  

Page 304: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

RENAISSANCE  CAPITAL  AT  A  GLANCE  

The  EEMEA  and  Fron'er  investment  bank   304  

London  6  Sales  3  Sales  Traders  4  Traders  6  Research  Analysts  New  York  

2  Sales  1  Sales  Trader  

Moscow  4  Sales  1  Deriva;ves  Sales  2  Sales  Traders  4  Deriva;ves  Traders  3  Traders  11  Research  Analysts  

Lagos  3  Sales  1  Sales  Trader  1  Trader  4  Research  Analysts  

Nairobi  3  Traders  

Johannesburg  3  Sales    4  Sales  Traders    3  Traders  8  Research  Analysts  

Dubai  2  Sales  1  Sales  Trader  3  Research  Analysts  

Cape  Town  1  Sales  2  Sales  Trader  1  Research  Analyst  

Equi8es   Fixed  Income   Capital  Markets   Structured  Products   Mergers  &  Acquisi8ons  (M&A)  

•  Equity  sales  and  trading  •  Public  and  privately  placed  

securi'es  

•  Equity  research  

•  Debt  sales  and  trading  •  Local  and  interna'onal  

currency-­‐denominated  instruments  

•  Equity  and  debt  instruments  

•  Public  placements  

•  Private  placements  

•  Financial  restructuring  

•  Buybacks  

•  Corporate  deriva'ves  •  Hybrids  

•  Share  financing  

•  Structured  debt  

•  Advisory  •  Takeovers  

•  Mergers  

Our  capabili8es  

Our  loca8ons  

Page 305: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Jan  -­‐  2007  Media  

SALE  OF  A  30%  STAKE  IN  MAIL.RU  TO  NASPERS  

Exclusive  Financial  Advisor    

Sep  -­‐  2007  Pulp  and  Paper  

JOINT-­‐VENTURE    WITH  INTERNATIONAL  PAPER  

Exclusive  Financial  Advisor    

2006-­‐2007  Telecom  

TELENOR’S  ADVISOR  ON  RESOLUTION  OF  CONFLICT  WITH  ALFA  GROUP  

Financial  Advisor    

Mar  -­‐  2008  Alcohol  

SALE  OF  CONTROLLING  STAKE  TO  CENTRAL  EUROPEAN  DISTRIBUTION  CORPORATION  

Financial  Advisor  

Nov  -­‐  2009  Alcohol  

ACQUISITION  OF  RUSSIAN  ALCOHOL  BY  CEDC  AND  LION  CAPITAL  

Financial  Advisor    

Aug  -­‐  2008  Consumer  

ACQUISITION  OF  75.53%  SHARES  IN  LEBEDYANSKY  

Financial  Advisor  

Jun  -­‐  2007  Consumer  

SALE  OF  ROSINKA  TO  ORANGINA  

Exclusive  Financial  Advisor    

Nov  -­‐  2007  Food  Industry  

SALE  OF  100%  OF  RUZA  CONFECTIONARY  FACTORY  TO  NESTLE  

Exclusive  Financial  Advisor    

Nov  -­‐  1996  Telecom  

INITIAL  PUBLIC  OFFERING  US$  127  million  

Joint  Lead  Manager  

Jun  -­‐  2000  Telecom  

INITIAL  PUBLIC  OFFERING  US$  371  million  

Co-­‐Lead  Manager  

Jun  -­‐  2005  Metals  &  Mining  

INITIAL  PUBLIC  OFFERING  US$  422  million  

Bookrunner  

Jan  -­‐  2005  Telecom  

INITIAL  PUBLIC  OFFERING  US$  1  560  million  

Co-­‐Lead  Manager  

Jul  -­‐  2006  Oil  &  Gas  

INITIAL  PUBLIC  OFFERING  US$  10  656  million  

Co-­‐Manager  

Jan  -­‐  2006  Consumer  

INITIAL  PUBLIC  OFFERING  US$  251  million  

Sole  Bookrunner  

Feb  -­‐  2007  Telecom  

INITIAL  PUBLIC  OFFERING  US$  402  million  

Joint  Bookrunner  

Apr  -­‐  2007  Metals  &  Minining  

INITIAL  PUBLIC  OFFERING  US$  1  121  million  

Joint  Bookrunner  

May  -­‐  2007  Banking  

INITIAL  PUBLIC  OFFERING  US$  7  988  million  

Joint  Bookrunner  

May  -­‐  2007  Retail  

INITIAL  PUBLIC  OFFERING  US$    360  million  

Joint  Bookrunner  

Nov  -­‐  2007  Consumer  

INITIAL  PUBLIC  OFFERING  US$  365  million  

Joint  Bookrunner  

Oct  -­‐  2007  Chemicals  

INITIAL  PUBLIC  OFFERING  US$  1  069  million  

Joint  Bookrunner  

Nov  -­‐  2007  Banking  

INITIAL  PUBLIC  OFFERING  US$    274  million  

Joint  Bookrunner  

Jan  -­‐  2010  Metals  &  Mining  

INITIAL  PUBLIC  OFFERING  US$  2  240  million  

Joint  Bookrunner  

Apr  -­‐  2010  Consumer  

INITIAL  PUBLIC  OFFERING  US$  400  million  

Joint  Coordinator  and  Bookrunner  

Feb  -­‐  2011  Oil  &  Gas  

INITIAL  PUBLIC  OFFERING  US$  360  million  

Joint  Bookrunner  

Apr  -­‐  2011  Real  Estate  

INITIAL  PUBLIC  OFFERING  US$  575  million  

Joint  Global  Coordinator  

Feb  -­‐  2011  Metals  &  Mining  

INITIAL  PUBLIC  OFFERING  US$  575  million  

Joint  Global  Coordinator  

Jan  -­‐  2012  Oil  &  Gas  

INITIAL  PUBLIC  OFFERING  US$  259  million  

Joint  Bookrunner  

Dec  -­‐  2012  Telecom  

INITIAL  PUBLIC  OFFERING  US$  525  million  

Joint  Bookrunner  

Feb  -­‐  2013  Financials  

INITIAL  PUBLIC  OFFERING  US$  500  million  

Joint  Bookrunner  

May  -­‐  2012  Payments  

INITIAL  PUBLIC  OFFERING  US$  212  million  

Co-­‐Manager  

Oct  -­‐  2013  Financials  

INITIAL  PUBLIC  OFFERING  US$  1  086  million  

Joint  Bookrunner  

Oct  -­‐  2013  Metals  &  Mining  

INITIAL  PUBLIC  OFFERING  US$  1  300  million  

Joint  Bookrunner  

Total  value  of  public  equity  market  deals  

US$46,085  million    

Total  number  of  deals*  

73      

*Equity  Capital  Markets  and  Mergers  and  Acquisi'on  Renaissance  Capital  deals  in  Former  Soviet  Union  region  1996-­‐2015YTD  

LEADING  POSITIONS  IN  EMERGING  EUROPE  

305  

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 ADVISORY  TO    

AFRICAN  MINERALS        

SIERRA  LEONE  

Exclusive    Financial  Advisor    

Mining   Jun  2010  

BUY  SIDE  ADVISORY        

UGANDA  

Sole    Financial  Advisor    

Banking            May  2010  

SALE  BY  BSG  OF  75%  STAKE  IN  BIC  TO  FBN  

DRC  

Banking   Oct  2011  

Exclusive  Financial  Advisor  to  BSG  

Sole  Arranger  

Mining   Aug  2011  

EQUITY  OFFERING          

GUINEA  

US$  500  MM  INITIAL  PUBLIC  OFFERING    

NIGERIA  

Joint    Bookrunner  

Oil  &  Gas   Apr    2014  

   

RTO      

LIBERIA  

Oil  &  Gas   Jun  2010  

 Financial  Advisor    

Placing  Agent  

Banking   Jul    2010  

RIGHTS  ISSUE      

KENYA  

RTO  ACQUISITION  OF  UP  TO  87%      

SOUTH  AFRICA  

Exclusive    Financial  Advisor    

Mining   Apr  2011  

EQUITY  OFFERING      

REPUBLIC  OF  CONGO  

Aug  2011  Mining  

Sole  Bookrunner  

US$  39  MM  INITIAL  PUBLIC  OFFERING    

RWANDA  

Banking   Aug  2015  

Lead  transac'on  advisor  and  Sole  Bookrunner  

STRATEGIC  SALE  OF  THE  IINSURANCE  COMPANY  TO  THE  ABSA  GROUP  

 

MOZAMBIQUE  

Sole    Advisor  

Insurance   Sep  2011  

EQUITY  OFFERING      

CAMEROON  

Nov  2009  Mining  

Sole  Bookrunner  

 ADVISOR  TO  ESSAR  ON  PURCHASE  OF  ZISCO  

 ZIMBABWE  

Exclusive    Financial  Advisor    

Mining   Apr  2011  

ZAR  BOND  PLACEMENT      

BOTSWANA  

Banking   Dec  2012  

Arranger  

Exclusive  Financial  Advisor  

Banking   Mar  2009  

BUY  SIDE  ADVISORY      

TANZANIA  

Sole  Arranger  

Telecoms   Mar  2010  

 TREASURY  SHARE      PLACEMENT        

SENEGAL  

Financial  Advisor  

Jun  2013  

SALE  OF  MINORITY    STAKE  

 NIGERIA  

 

ACQUISTION  OF  OCEANIC  BANK      

TOGO  

Oct  2011  Banking  

Buy-­‐side    Advisor  

Exclusive  Financial  Advisor  

Telecoms   Sep  2011  

 

ADDITIONAL  SALE  OF  25%    OF  MTN  RWANDA  

 RWANDA  

Exclusive  Financial  Advisor  

Telecoms   Ongoing  

PRIVATISATION      

BURUNDI  

FOLLOW-­‐ON  OFFERING  

 ETHIOPIA  

 

Mining   Mar  2012  

Joint  Bookrunner  

Cement  

SELL-­‐SIDE  ADVISORY      

ANGOLA  

Banking   Nov  2013  

Sole  Financial  Advisor  to  GA  Angola  Seguros  

BUYOUT  OF  MINORITY  SHAREHOLDERS    

ZAMBIA  

Exclusive    Financial  Advisor    

Telecom   Mar  2011  

ACQUISITION  OF  ADC  BY  ATLAS  MARA  CO-­‐NVEST  FOR    $135  MM  

 BOSTWANA  /  NIGERIA  

Fairness  Opinion  to  ADC  

FIG   Mar  2014  

*Equity  Capital  Markets  and  Mergers  and  Acquisi'on  Renaissance  Capital  deals  in  Africa  2009-­‐2015YTD  

Total  value  of  public  equity  

 market  deals  US$2,894  million      

 Total    number  of  deals  

33    

AFRICA:  WE  ARE  DISCOVERING  NEW  COUNTRIES  FOR  INVESTORS  

306  

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Number  2  trader  on  London  Stock  Exchange  for  Global  Depository  Receipts  in  2015  YtD    with  9%  market  share  

Number  one  trader  on  Nairobi  Securi8es  Exchange  in  2015YtD  with  14%  market  share  

Number  2  trader  on  Nigeria  Stock  Exchange  in  2015YtD  with  13%  market  share  

Renaissance  Capital  won  the  Investment  Bank  of  the  Year  award  in  both  2010  and  2012  

Best  Investment  Bank  in  Africa,  2010-­‐2012  

Renaissance  Capital  African  research  team  placed  #1  for  Sub-­‐Saharan  Africa  and  #2  for  South  Africa  for  2014  

#5  ranking  in  2015  EEMEA  Ins'tu'onal  Investor  survey,  including  #1  ranking  in  Turkey.  

*Excluding  retail  brokers  

Number  3*  trader  on  Moscow  Stock  Exchange  in  2015YTD  with  10%  market  share  

NUMEROUS  ACHIEVEMENTS  ACROSS  ALL  CORE  GEOGRAPHIES  

307  

Market  Share   Awards  and  rankings  

Page 308: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

IRAN  IN  FRONTIER  

308  The emerging markets investment firm

Iran  could  poten>ally  be  the  second  largest  country  in  MSCI  Fron>er  

Source:  MSCI,  TSE,  Renaissance  Capital,    

Kuwait 18.3%

Iran 14.1%

Nigeria 12.1%

Argentina 9.4% Pakistan 8.2%

Morocco 6.1%

Oman 4.6%

Kuwait 18.3% Iran 14.1% Nigeria 12.1% Argentina 9.4% Pakistan 8.2% Morocco 6.1% Oman 4.6% Kenya 4.4% Vietnam 3.3% Romania 3.1% Lebanon 3.0% Bangladesh 2.3% Kazakhstan 2.0% Slovenia 1.9% Sri Lanka 1.8% Croatia 1.2% Mauritius 1.1% Bahrain 1.0% Jordan 0.7%

This  presenta;on  should  not  be  interpreted  that  Renaissance  Capital  is  encouraging  investment  dealings  prior  to  applicable  economic  sanc;ons  being  liVed,  i.e.,  buying  and  selling  securi;es  in  Iran.  Under  U.S.  law,  “criminal  penal;es  for  viola;ons  of  the  Iranian  Transac;ons  Regula;ons  may  result  in  a  fine  of  up  to  $1,000,000,  and  natural  persons  may  be  imprisoned  for  up  to  20  years.”  Under  UK  law,  criminal  penal;es  for  viola;ng  restric;ons  on  investment  in,  and  certain  financial  transac;ons  with,  Iran  may  carry  criminal  penal;es  including  up  to  2  years  in  prison  and/or  substan;al  fines.  

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IRAN:  INVESTMENT  CHALLENGES  AND  OPPORTUNITIES  POST-­‐SANCTIONS  

309  The emerging markets investment firm

Challenges  -­‐  Custody  -­‐  Liquidity  -­‐  Foreign  ownership  –  limited  float  available  

-­‐  Oncoming  supply  of  equity  

Opportuni8es  -­‐  Demographics  –  c.  80mn  popula'on  

-­‐  Under-­‐equi'zed  economy  -­‐  First  mover  advantage  -­‐  Diversified  export  base  

Renaissance  Capital  has  visited  Iran  10  ;mes  in  the  past  18  months,  educa;ng  25  major  interna;onal  financial  ins;tu;ons  on  the  region  represen;ng  a  total  of  approximately  $5tn  in  AuM  

This  presenta;on  should  not  be  interpreted  that  Renaissance  Capital  is  encouraging  investment  dealings  prior  to  applicable  economic  sanc;ons  being  liVed,  i.e.,  buying  and  selling  securi;es  in  Iran.  Under  U.S.  law,  “criminal  penal;es  for  viola;ons  of  the  Iranian  Transac;ons  Regula;ons  may  result  in  a  fine  of  up  to  $1,000,000,  and  natural  persons  may  be  imprisoned  for  up  to  20  years.”  Under  UK  law,  criminal  penal;es  for  viola;ng  restric;ons  on  investment  in,  and  certain  financial  transac;ons  with,  Iran  may  carry  criminal  penal;es  including  up  to  2  years  in  prison  and/or  substan;al  fines.  

Page 310: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

DISCLAIMER  

310  The emerging markets investment firm

This  presenta;on  should  not  be  interpreted  that  Renaissance  Capital  is  encouraging  investment  dealings  prior  to  applicable  economic  sanc;ons  being  liVed,  i.e.,  buying  and  selling  securi;es  in  Iran.  Under  U.S.  law,  “criminal  penal;es  for  viola;ons  of  the  Iranian  Transac;ons  Regula;ons  may  result  in  a  fine  of  up  to  $1,000,000,  and  natural  persons  may  be  imprisoned  for  up  to  20  years.”  Under  UK  law,  criminal  penal;es  for  viola;ng  restric;ons  on  investment  in,  and  certain  financial  transac;ons  with,  Iran  may  carry  criminal  penal;es  including  up  to  2  years  in  prison  and/or  substan;al  fines.  

Page 311: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

INVESTMENT  BANKING  INDUSTRY  THE  IRAN  STORY  

   

MAJID  ZAMANI  

Page 312: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

$250m  Assets  under  management  

$70m  Underwri'ng  of  debt  and  equity  

25  Private  Poreolios  2  Market  making  of  fixed  income  securi'es  

3  Top  performing  mutual  Funds  

4  Corporate  finance  ac've  advisory  mandates  

12  successful  venture  capital  deals  advised  

ABOUT  KARDAN  

Page 313: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

$500m  Capital  of  9  investment  banks  

$2b  Corporate  debt  on  Farabourse  

270  Financial  ins'tu'ons  regulated  by  SEO  

$88b  Market  capitaliza'on  

8-­‐10%  Trading  volume  as  %  of  GDP  

A  MARKET  IN  THE  MAKING  

Page 314: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

%  

ECONOMICS   MARKETS   COST  OF  DEBT   BALANCE  SHEETS  

PRIVATIZATION  &  RE-­‐PRIVATIZATION  

M&A  DRIVERS  

Page 315: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Oil  Refinery  

Oil  Upstream  

Gas  

Renewable  

Petrochemical  

Power  

Metal    &  Mine  

Road  

Rail  

Legend  

1  Proj.  

4  Proj.  

9  Proj.  $13Bn  

9  Proj  $6.5Bn  

1  Proj.  

1  Proj.  

1  Proj.  

1  Proj.  

8  NGL  Proj.  1  upst  Proj.  

1  Proj.  

2  Proj.  $2.3Bn  

1  Proj.  $0.9Bn  1  Proj.  

$1.9Bn  6  Proj.  $  11.6Bn  

1  Proj.  

2  Proj.  $.2Bn  

1  Proj.  2  Proj.  $.17Bn  

2  Proj.  $.9Bn  

1  Proj.  $.3Bn  

3  Proj.  $.1Bn  

2  Proj.  $.9Bn  

3  Proj.  $.1Bn  

1  Proj.  

2  Proj.  

2  Proj.  

4  Proj.  $.1Bn  

2  Proj.  

1  Proj.  

2  Proj.  $2.7Bn  

1  Proj.  

2  Proj.  $.1Bn  

3  Proj.  $.8Bn  

4  Proj.  $2.1Bn  

3  Proj.  $.1Bn  

2  Proj.  $.8Bn  

1  Proj.  $.3Bn  

2  Pj.  

1  Pj.  

2  Pj.  

1  Pj.  

1  Pj.  

2  Pj.  

2  Pj.  

1  Pj.  

1  Pj.  

2  Pj.  

1  Pj.  

2  Pj.  

2  Pj.  

1  Pj.  

3  Pj.  

1  Pj.  

1  Pj.  

1  Pj.  

1  Pj.  

1  Pj.  

1  Pj.  

1  Pj.  

1  Pj.  

1  Pj.  

1  Pj.  

2  Pj.  

1  Pj.  

2  Pj.  

1  Pj.  

Energy  

$160  Billion  

10  year  capex  poten'al  

1  proj.  $1.9  Bn  

2  proj.  $1  Bn  

1  proj.  $1.4  Bn  

1  proj.  $1.4  Bn  

3  proj.  $4  Bn  

1  proj.  $1.4  Bn  

1  proj.  $1  Bn  

1  proj.  $2.5  Bn  

4  proj.  $2.9  Bn  

5  proj.  $2.7  Bn  

1  proj.  $1.9  Bn  

9  proj.  $10.8  Bn  

1  Pj.  $  .4  Bn  

3  Pj.  $  .9  Bn  

2    Pj.  $  1.5  Bn  

1  Pj.  $  .9  Bn  

4    Pj.  $  1.2  Bn  

7    Proj.  $  3.7  Bn  

3    Pj.  $  1.1  Bn  

2  Pj.  $  1  Bn  

1  Pj.  $  .1  Bn  

1  Pj.  $  .4  Bn  

1  Pj.  $  .4  Bn  

2  Pj.  $  .6  Bn  

Commodi'es  

$58  Billion  

10  year  capex  poten'al  

645  Km  

540  Km  

399  Km  

264  Km  

635  Km  

369  Km  

339  Km  

200  Km  183  Km  

150  Km  

1330  Km  

440  Km  

345  Km  

103  Km  

175  Km  

399  Km  

260  Km  

183  Km  

470  Km   544  Km  

160  Km  

330  Km  

85  Km  

469  Km  

800  Km  

322  Km  

Transporta'on  

$25  Billion  

10  year  capex  poten'al  

Page 316: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

316  

RISK  RETURN  PROFILE  RISK  

RETURN  

5%  to  18%  

15%  to  20%  

18%  to  25%  

25%  to    X%  

INFRASTRUCTURE  

LARGE  CAP    

MID  CAP  

HIGH  GROWTH  VENTURE  

SYSTEMIC  RISK  

Page 317: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Corporate  culture  

Corporate  governance  

Research  Due  diligence  fine  details  

Talent  

Financing  

WHAT  TO  LOOK  OUT  FOR  

Page 318: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Kardan  Investment  Bank    4  Rahimi  Street,  Africa  Blvd,  Tehran  1967916973,  Iran  T:  +98(0)21  2620  2209  F:  +98(0)21  2620  2247  www.kardan.ir    

Page 319: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations
Page 320: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

4:40pm - 5:40pm: Project Finance: Working Capital, Industrial and Infrastructure Investment in Iran

Ø  Philippe Delleur, President, Alstom International

Ø  Paul van Son, MENAT Country Chairman, RWE

Ø  Nicholas M. Gilani, Senior Partner, Arjan Capital

Page 321: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

25th September, 2015

 

ALSTOM Philippe Delleur – SVP International Network

2nd Europe-Iran Forum – Geneva

“Working Capital: Project Finance, Industrial and Infrastructure Investment in Iran”

 

Page 322: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

1.  Alstom activities

2.  Alstom experience in Iranian infrastructure projects

3.  Huge needs in Rail & Urban infrastructure projects

4.  Constraints for financing Public Transport projects

5.  Regulatory & financial climate needs

Project Finance, Industrial and Infrastructure Investment  

Page 323: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

 Power generation infrastructure Alstom supplies major equipment for 25%

of the worldwide installed power generation

capacity

Power transmission infrastructure Alstom equips more than 90%

of power utilities worldwide Alstom holds 25% of

hydro electricity market

 Rail transport infrastructure A major player on all the

rail market segments

Alstom Group : three main activities, a global leader  

Page 324: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Alstom Transport: A global leader in the rail industry

Four activities TRAINS SYSTEMS*

SERVICES SIGNALLING

*Including  Infrastructure  

Page 325: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

1970  1950   2014  2000   2010  1990  1928  

Transport :100 years of technological breakthroughs…

§  2007 TGV 4402 sets new world record at 574.8 km/h

§  1955 CC7107 sets a new world record at 331 km/h

§  2003 First Citadis tramway with APS system delivered in Bordeaux

§  2008 AGV, the latest very high-speed train

§  1949 CC series with two locomotive prototypes, Alsthom Belfort consequently enters the age of high-speed rail

§  2013 Axonis, full in-house Integrated offering including civil work

Urbalis Fluence, the innovative signalling solution with direct train to train communication

§  2003 World’s first radio CBTC for northern line in Singapore

§  1978 First delivered TGV Atlantique to SNCF

§  1990 Setting a new world record at 515 km/h

§  1971 First TGV electric prototype, the Z7001.

From a focus on power and speed…

… to an emphasis on innovation, environment and passenger experience

§  2014 Citadis X05 launched – the latest tramway evolution HealthHub – the new predictive maintenance solution

§  2014 The 1st catenaryless tramway system in the world started commercial service in Dubai

Page 326: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

1.  Alstom activities

2.  Alstom experience in Iranian infrastructure projects

3.  Huge needs in Rail & Urban infrastructure projects

4.  Constraints for financing Public Transport projects

5.  Regulatory & financial climate needs

Project Finance, Industrial and Infrastructure Investment  

Page 327: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Project Finance, Industrial and Infrastructure Investment  

Alstom experience in Iranian infrastructure projects •  In Iran, Alstom’s electrical power generation, electrical transmission and rail

transport activities have served infrastructure projects for the civilian population for more than 40 years.

•  Alstom provides equipment and services for the power generation, electrical transmission and rail transport activities, fully respecting international rules regarding economic relations with Iran.

•  Alstom maintains an office in Teheran since 1971. •  References:

–  Hydro– Iran Water & Power Distribution Co: equipment for Karun IV, Upper Gotvand and Seymareh power plants

–  Grid - Teheran Regional Electric Company : High Voltage substation's, switchgear

–  Transport – Iranian Islamic Republic Railways -100 locomotives –  Thermal Power – Hormozgan Power Plant

Page 328: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

1.  Alstom activities

2.  Alstom experience in Iranian infrastructure projects

3.  Huge needs in Rail & Urban infrastructure projects

4.  Constraints for financing Public Transport projects

5.  Regulatory & financial climate needs

Project Finance, Industrial and Infrastructure Investment  

Page 329: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Project Finance, Industrial and Infrastructure Investment  

Huge needs in Rail & Urban infrastructure projects

•  In February 2014, Iranian Foreign Investment Office identified 12 projects in Infrastructure & Transportation for a total Investment of 6,6 Billion Euros

•  For rail & urban transportation several opportunities: –  Locomotives : Teheran / Mashad electrical line –  Very High Speed lines : Teheran / Isphahan –  Regional trains –  Tramway systems for medium sized cities –  Teheran metro expansion (systems, signaling & cars)

Page 330: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

1.  Alstom activities

2.  Alstom experience in Iranian infrastructure projects

3.  Huge needs in Rail & Urban infrastructure projects

4.  Constraints for financing Public Transport projects

5.  Regulatory & financial climate needs

Project Finance, Industrial and Infrastructure Investment  

Page 331: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

•  Public transport lowers the overall mobility costs in metropolises. •  But public transport is not profitable. •  Public transport in most of the cases will need public subsidies relying on

state budget. •  Considering these constraints the following financing instruments (without

recourse on Alstom) can be envisaged: •  Trade Payment Securities with or without deferred payments •  IFI’s financing including development agencies, such as Islamic

Development Bank, KFAED, AFESD... •  Buyer’s Credit with the support of Export Credit Agencies relying on

sovereign guarantees •  Private financing through PPP-schemes •  Other private financing involving commercial banks (leasing, islamic

financing,...) •  Depending on the project these sources may vary and be mixed. Financing is always tailored for the country, the project and the customer

Constraints for Financing Public Transport Projects

Page 332: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

2012  Dubai  LRT  675Musd  

 Buyer’s  Credit  /  Islamic  Financing    

Alstom references in export financing arrangement

2010  Morocco  -­‐  Casa  LRT  115  MEU  

Soa  loans  +  Coface  Buyer’s  Credit  

2010  Tunis  LRT  58  MEU  

Soa  loans  +  Coface  Buyer’s  Credit  

2010  Morocco  LGV  350  MEU  

Soa  loans  +  Coface  Buyer’s    Credit  

2013  Turkey  Metro  150  MEU  Coface  Buyer’s  Credit  

2011  Kazakhstan    Loco  768    MEU  

Coface  Buyer’s  Credit  

2012  Venezuela  -­‐  Los  Teques  Metro  325    MEU  

Coface  Buyer’s  Credit  +  pull  of  Banks  

2014  Chile  San'ago  Metro  550M  USD      

2  Buyers  credit    

2012  Panama  Metro  406M  USD      

CESCE  Buyer’s  Credit        

2000  Iran  100  Locos  190  MEU  

 Coface    Ducoire  Buyer’s  Credit  

Page 333: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

2006 Reims LRT

34 years PPP

1991 Rouen LRT Ph 1&2

30 years PPP

2000 Barcelona Trambaix

LRT 28 years PPP

2002 Barcelona Trambesos

LRT 28 years PPP

2012 Nîmes-Montpellier HSL 25 years PPP

2012 Alicante-Albacete

HSL 20 years PPP

1989 Manchester LRT Ph1

15 years PPP 1994

Arlanda airport link 45 years PPP

2005 Milano Metro L5

32 years PPP

2011 Milano Metro L5 ext

26 years PPP

2011 Nottingham LRT L2

25 years PPP

2005 Firenze LRT L2 & L3

30 years PPP

2014  Sydney  LRT  

30  years  PPP  

2013  Osawa  LRT  

30  years  PPP  

2006  Parla  LRT  

30  years  PPP  

2006  Murcia  LRT  

30  years  PPP  

2014  Manila  LRT  

30  years  PPP  

2013  Rio  LRT  

30  years  PPP  

Sub Contractor EPC Contractor SPC Investor

Alstom position:

Alstom references in PPP

Page 334: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

1.  Alstom activities

2.  Alstom experience in Iranian infrastructure projects

3.  Huge needs in Rail & Urban infrastructure projects

4.  Constraints for financing Public Transport projects

5.  Regulatory & financial climate needs

Project Finance, Industrial and Infrastructure Investment  

Page 335: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Project Finance, Industrial and Infrastructure Investment in Iran  

Regulatory & financial climate needs

•  Long term State budget planning and reliable public financial commitments (MOF/CBI)

•  Stable Investment & trade regulation framework •  Taxes: Tax treaties for financial instruments •  Clearance of international banking relationship for Iranian banks :

–  Keshavarzi, Saman, Parsian, Pasargad, Karafarin... –  Melli, Mellat, Saderat, Sepah, Tejarat..

•  Availability of international secured means of payments (L/C – SBLC) & Bank guarantees ( performance bonds, advance payment bonds)

•  Stable foreign exchange regulation & market depth •  Availability of Export Credit Insurance with large and long term

commitment's.

Page 336: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

www.alstom.com  

Page 337: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Alstom Power: present in all markets

NUCLEAR  (conven'onal  island)  

OIL  COAL  GAS  

SOLAR  

WIND  (offshore  and  onshore)  

GEOTHERMAL  

HYDRO  

BIOMASS  

TIDAL  

...for new plants or the installed base

Page 338: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Products  Solu'ons   Services  

Air Insulated Switchgears

Gas Insulated Switchgears

Power Transformers Field services

Asset management optimisation

Electrical substations, Turnkey solutions

& Services

Super Grid technologies

Smart Grid technologies

Network Management

Solutions

Substation Automation Solutions

Power Electronics

Power  Electronics  &  Automa'on  

Alstom Grid: comprehensive solutions and products

Page 339: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

RWE Information and Statements for the Iran-

Europe Forum, Sept. 24/25th, Geneva

www.rwe.com www.desertenergy.org

Page 340: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

RWE  is  a  high  quality,  leading  integrated  energy  company  in  Europe,  with  growth  ambi8ons  in  the  greater  MENA  region    

RWE  Core  Markets1  

1  Without  world-­‐wide  trading,  consul'ng  and  upstream  oil  &  gas  businesses  2  Market  posi'ons  of  the  RWE  Group  in  terms  of  sales    

Leading  Posi8ons  in  Core  Markets  

Product  Market2  

RWE  markets  with  established    market  posi'ons  

Addi'onal  established  markets  for  renewables  

MENA&Turkey  emerging    markets  

European  growth  markets  

Electricity   Gas  

Germany   No.  1   No.  3  

UK   No.  3   No.  4  

Netherlands   No.  1   No.  2  

Central  Eastern  and  South  Eastern  Europe  

>  No.  2  in  Hungary  

>  No.  3  in  Slovakia  

>  No.  5  in    Poland  

>  No.  5  in  the  Czech  Republic  

>  Presence  in  Croa'a  

>  No.  1  in  the  Czech  Republic  

>  No.  2  in  Slovakia    

>  Leading  posi'on  in  Hungary  

>  Presence  in  Croa'a  

MENA    etc    

>  Presence  in  Turkey  

>  Presence  in  the  Gulf  

>  Consul'ng  in  Iran  

Total  Europe   No.  3   No.  5  

Page 341: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

RWE  has  grown  in  the  last  117  years  from  a  local  power  producer  to  a  leading  European  energy  company  with  extensions  in  MENA  

Establishment  of  Rheinisch-­‐Weseälisches  Elektrizitätswerk  Ak'engesellschaa  (RWE)  in  Essen,  Germany  as  power  producer  (steam  turbines)  

 

1898  

1914  

Inaugura'on  of  RWE’s  power  sta'on  ‘Vorgebirgszentrale’,  with  190  MW  the  largest  lignite  power  plant  in  Europe    

1924  

Construc'on  of  the  first  trans-­‐German  transmission  grid  (220  kV)  

1962  

RWE  builds  Germany's  first  commercial  nuclear  reactor  

1964  

RWE's  Frimmersdorf  lignite  power  plant  is  the  world's  largest  thermal  power  plant  with  2,000  MW  capacity  

2002-­‐2010  

Regional  expansion  to  the  United  Kingdom,  the  Netherlands,  the  Czech  Republic  and  the  Slovak  Republic  by  acquisi'ons  

Establishment  of  RWE  Innogy  to  grow  renewables  ac'vi'es  

2008  

1999  

Establishment  of  RWE  Energy  Trading  Ltd  in  London  to  trade  electricity  as  well  as  with  power  sources  such  as  coal,  oil  and  gas  

2015  

Commissioning  of  one  of  the  first  offshore  wind  farms  in  the  German  Sea  with  an  installed  capacity  of  295  MW  

Page 342: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Power  Genera8on     Energy  Trading  /                          Gas  Midstream  

Electricity  and                              Gas  Networks  /  Sales  

Genera8on  Capacity  [GW]  

§  Renewables  4  

§  Lignite  11  

§  Hard  coal  10  

§  Nuclear              4    

§  Gas/Other  20  

§  Total  49  

Revenues   EBITDA   Workforce  

app.  59  bn  USD   app.  9  bn  USD     App.  60,000  

Trading  Volumes  

§  Power:      1,501  TWh    

§  Gas:    393  bcm  

§  Oil:    1598  MMbbl  

§  Coal:  735  MM  t  

§  CO2  :    685  million    cer'ficates  

 

 

Networks  

§  Power:    410,000  km  

§  Gas:    90,000  km  

§  Water:  9,000  km  

Retail  Customers    

§  Power:    16  million  

§  Gas:    7  million  

§  Water:  9  million  

2014  figures,  rounded  

RWE  successfully  operates  along  the  energy  value  chain  genera8ng  external  revenues  of  about  USD  59  billion  annually  

Page 343: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Mission:    

Invest  in  core  energy  businesses  in  MENA  thereby  leveraging  RWE’s  investment  experience,  opera'onal  exper'se  and  innova'on  capabili'es      

Ownership:  100%  RWE;  

Established:    End  2014  in  Dubai    

RWE  New  Energy  Ltd  

1  Dubai  Electricity  and  Water  Authority;  government-­‐owned  electricity  and  water  supplier  in  Dubai    

RWE  has  established  a  foothold  in  the  Middle  East,  North  Africa  and  Turkey      

Dubai  

Istanbul  

Mission:    

Leverage  RWE’s  and  DEWA’s1  unique  management,  commercial  and  technical  experience  in  consul'ng  projects  for  clients  in  MENA  

Ownership:  Joint  Venture;  51%  DEWA,  49%  RWE  

Established:    End  2012  in  Dubai    

RWE  Power  Interna8onal    Middle  East  

Mission:    

Downstream  sales  business    serving  the  needs  of  different  customer  groups  (e.g.  key  accounts,  mass  market)  

Ownership:  100%  RWE  

Established:    End  2011  in  Istanbul    

RWE  Turkey  Sales  

Denizli  

Mission:    

Construc'on  and  opera'on  of  775  MW  natural  gas  fired  CCGT  power  plant  in  Denizli  to  meet  the  increasing  Turkish  power  demand  

Ownership:  Joint  Venture;  70%  RWE,  30%  Turcas  

Commercial  Opera8on:    Aug  2013    

RWE  &  TURCAS  Güney  Elektrik  Üre8m  (RTG)  

Countries  with  RWE  offices  

RWE  is  a  Lead  Partner  in  Dii  /  Supporters  of  Desert  Energy,  Dubai  

Page 344: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

RWE  delivers  unique  prac8ce  based  consul8ng  services  

STRATEGY    CONSULTANCIES  

2nd  TIER  ADVISORY  AND  CONSULTING  

FIRMS  

ENGINEERING  CONSULTANCIES  

Low   High  

High  

OPERATIONAL  &  TECHNICAL  

               >  STRATEGY    >  INNOVATION    >  VENTURES  

STRATEGIC,    OPERATIONAL    &  TECHNICAL  EXPERTISE  

CONSULTING  SERVICES  FROM  A  GLOBAL  ENERGY  LEADER  

>  Leading  global  energy  trading  house  >  Europe’s  largest  trading  floor  

TRADING  

>  Own  &  operate  52  GW  of  power  genera'on    >  Leading  investor  in  Renewables  

GENERATION  

>  Germany’s  longest  distribu'on  grid  operator  >  Frontrunner  in  Smart  Grid  technologies  

GRID  

>  16  million  customer  base  >  Pioneer  in  e-­‐mobility  &  energy  efficiency  

DISTRIBUTION  

STRA

TEGICAL

 &  CONCE

PTUAL  

>  Leading  Partner  in  Dii  /  Supporters  od  Desert  Energy,  crea'ng  condi'ons  ffor  renewables  in  the  deserts  

>  E-­‐Mobility  pioneer  

Other  

Page 345: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

We  offer  consul8ng  services  along  the  en8re  energy  value  chain  combining  our  leading  exper8se  from  three  prac8ces  

RWE  Middle  East  Consul8ng  Prac8ces  

3  1   2  

Strategy    and  Transforma'on  

Innova8on    and  Technology  

Ventures  and  Corporate  Finance  

>  Strategy  Development  and  Implementa'on  

>  Regulatory  Framework    and  Market  Design    

>  Transforma'on  and  Reorganisa'on  

>  Change  Management  >  Business  Process    

(Re-­‐)Engineering  >  Performance  Improvement  >  Leadership  and  Management  

Training  

>  Innova'on  Management  >  Smart  Technologies  >  Renewables  >  Energy  Efficiency  and  Demand  

Side  Management  >  Project  Development  and    

Basic  Design  Studies  >  Supply  Chain  Management  >  Construc'on  &  Commissioning  >  Opera'ons  &  Maintenance  

Support  and  op'miza'on  >  Quality  Management  and  HS&E  >  Life'me  Extension  /  Retrofit  

>  Venture  Management  >  Due  Diligence  (strategic,  

technical,  financial)    >  Investment  Appraisal  

and  Decision  Support  >  IPP  and  Project  Finance  

management  >  Risk  Management  >  Poreolio  Op'misa'on  >  Business  Restructuring  and  

cost  cu�ng  

Upstream     Power    Genera8on    

Energy  Trading/  Wholesale  Market   Grid   Retail  +  E-­‐Mobility  

&  Smart  Home  

Page 346: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

RWE  Technology  Interna8onal  -­‐  The  Engineering  Division  of  RWE  

Recruitment  services  n  Role  specifica8on  n  Organisa8on  mapping  n  Recruitment  support  n  Career  management    n  Succession  planning  

Grid  Services  n  Strategy  and  planning  n  HV  systems  support  n  Networks  support    &  engineering  n  HV  protec8on  systems  n  Integra8on  of  renewable  energy    

End  of  life  strategies  n  Decommissioning  support  n  Mothballing  &  Preserva8on  n  Disposal  of  strategic  assets    n  Demoli8on  management  n  Remedia8on  studies  

Renewables  n  Onshore  &  Offshore  wind  n  Hydro  Genera8on  n  Biomass  combus8on  services  n  Plant  conversion  for  biomass  use  n  Solar  &  PV  Systems  

Mining  n  Con8nuous  mining  techniques  n  Feasibility  studies  n  Geotechnical  surveys  n  Opera8onal  advice  n  O&M  Services  via  JV  Co.  

Through  Life  Support  n  Refurbishment  &  life  extension  n  O&M  Support  Services  n  Engineering  strategy  n  Risk  management  services  n  Business  op8misa8on      

New  Build  n  Construc8on  management  n  Commissioning  support  n  O&M  Mobilisa8on  support  n  Asset  integrity  management  n  Documenta8on  services  

Plant  Engineering  n  Combus8on  engineering  n  Rota8ng  plant  services  n  HV  Electrical    &  Protec8on  n  Control  Engineering  n  Forensic  analysis  

Learning  &  Development  n  Training  needs  analysis  n  Classroom  training  n  Simulator  training  n  Opera8onal  site  based  training  n  Management  team  development  

Providing  a  full  spectrum  of  consultancy  services  to  the  energy  sector  

Opera8on  &  Maintenance  Services    

Full  lifecycle  support  for  Owners  and  Operators  

Mobilisa8on    n  Roles  &  responsibility  defini8on  n  Time  &  process  management  n  Op8mal  usage  of  construc8on  n  Planning  and  defini8on  n  Execu8on  support  

Contrac8ng  Strategies  n  Specifica8on  n  Procurement  strategy  n  Contract  op8misa8on  n  Warranty  management  n  Claims  processes    

Construc8on  Support  n  Feasibility  studies  for  new  build  n  Quality  management  n  Site  safety    n  Contractor  management  n  Commissioning  &  takeover  

Page 347: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

In the last 10 years, RWE has built and financed over 2 GW of renewable and over 12 GW of conventional power plants

1  Concentrated  Solar  Power  

Type Capa-city Examples 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Wind 2 GW

Gwynt y Môr (Offshore, 576 MW)

Novar Extension (Onshore, 37 MW)

Solar 0,1 GW

Andasol 3 (CSP1, 50 MW, 13%)

PV Power Plants (50MW)

Biomass 70 MW Markinch (Biomass CHP, 45 MWe, 88 MWth)

Coal / Lignite 5 GW

Hamm (Hard coal, 1,528 MW)

BoA 2&3, Neurath (Lignite, 2,100 MW)

CCGT 7 GW

Pembroke (Gas, 2,188 MW)

Claus C (Gas, 1,304 MW)

Upstream     Power  Genera8on     Energy  Trading  /                          Gas  Midstream   Networks    /  Sales  

Page 348: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Overview  of  RWE’s  Supply  and  Trading  Business  

RWE’s  Trading  Volumes  2014  

Power   1,501  terawas  hours  

Gas   393  billion  cubic  metres  

Coal   735  million  metric  tonnes  

Oil   1,598  million  barrels  

CO2  cer8ficates   685  million  

Solid  biofuels   13  million  tonnes  

RWE’s  trading  headquarters  in  Essen,  Germany,  hosts  Europe’s  largest  energy  trading  floor,  complemented  by  addi'onal  trading  floors  and  branch  offices  around  the  world  

RWE is one of the leading European energy traders with offices worldwide

Upstream     Power  Genera8on     Energy  Trading  /                          Gas  Midstream   Networks    /  Sales  

Page 349: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Statements  for  the  Forum  Discussion  •  RWE  is  open  for  coopera'on  for  Co-­‐opera8on  1)  with  partners  in  Iran,  delivering  high  quality  

energy  consul'ng  and  services  and  developing  (renewable)  energy  projects    •  Common  Objec8ves  of  Energy  Transi8on    Europe  –  Iran  is  a  strong  basis  for  co-­‐opera'on:  

–  Phased  decarboniza'on  –  Electrifica'on  based  on  renewable  energy  and  natural  gas  –  Capturing  synergies  through  interconnnected  grids,  decentraliza'on  and  pro-­‐ac've  role  

of  (smart)  demand  –   Digi'za'on  of  the  business  along  the  value  chain,  intensive  interac'on  with  customers    

•  Restructuring  the  energy  industry    –  Integra'on  of  renewables  i.e.  interac'on  with  gas    –  How  to  make  renewable  energy  investments  and  energy  efficiency  feasible?  –  How  to  create  an  asrac've  long  term  investment  climate?    

•  RWE  has  started  in  Iran  with  Aria  Jam  Energy  Ltd  in  Karaj  on  consul'ng  and  engineering  for  a  gas  unit.  RWE  is  open  for  further  projects  of  this  kind  which  may  end  in  long  term  partnerships  in  future!  

1)  under  the  precondi'on  that  it  meets  its  obliga'ons  from  the  agreement  reached  on  14  July  2015  in  Vienna  on  the  Iranian  nuclear  issue  

Page 350: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

INDUSTRIAL | FINANCIAL | LEGAL

The Waste-to-Energy Case Study: How to Identify & Mitigate Project Risks

2nd Europe-Iran Forum Geneva, September 2015

Page 351: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

351   351  

Iran – the World’s Last Remaining Major Emerging Economy

Page 352: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Project Risks

! Credit risk (the Public Sponsor)

! Technology risk (the Waste-to-Energy system)

! Construction & installation risk (construction in Switzerland, installation in Iran)

! Inflation risk

! Exchange risk (did not apply in the presented case, might however in a BOO/BOT alternative)

! Regulatory risk (Iranian Sovereign Guarantees can (yet) not be accepted by Western Banks, only local banks can)

! Environmental risk (Equator Principles)

352  352  

Page 353: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Case Study

! S-GE, Swiss Global Enterprise, the Swiss Government Export agency requested Arjan Capital to advise a leading mid-size Swiss manufacturer and solutions provider of clean energy (the “Contractor”) in executing a signed sale to Iran

! Transaction--The sale and installation of a turn-key waste-to-gas power generation

system to an Iranian provincial government ! Contract—was formally signed ! Payments--to be made in installments (transaction size: about Euros 65 million) ! The Swiss exporter had been informally advised by more a European “middle man” Misunderstandings ! The seller understood that the buyer has funds available and needed advice in

handling the sale ! The Iranian Province understood that financing is arranged by the Swiss seller (in

essence, 100% vendor and/or bank financing)

353  353  

Page 354: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Bringing Sanity Back

! Significant lack of communication between the exporter and the Iranian Provincial Authority

! Communication that should have been provided by the European middle man

! Fleshing out the deal parameters (drill to the ground the transaction on both sides, buyer and seller)

! The Iranian buyer had (wrongly) believed that the Swiss exporter had financing pre-arranged; (the middle man feigning ignorance throughout)Highlighting the Project’s risks to the seller

! Bringing about the involvement of Iranian Central Government and the OIETAI

! Ensuring that the Sovereign Guarantee of CBI could be available and be used legally

! Offering alternative private sector financing as an alternative to “international funding” not yet available

354  354  

Page 355: 2nd Europe-Iran Forum Presentations

Take Home Value

! Iran is a highly remunerative market ! Appreciate unique country-specific traits that elude foreign investors who enter it for the first time

! Ensure that “politeness” does not get in the way of structuring the right deal with risk parameters clearly defined and mitigated

! Ensure that in EVERY project, the sponsor/seller has “skin in the game”, meaning equity

participation (100% financing high hurdle..)

! When involved in project financing projects: ! Identify and highlight project risks to the international client on a timely basis before enthusiasm

overwhelms him

! Ensure that the foreign client gets unbiased and objective legal and implementation advice

! Ensure to mitigate risks by seeking out appropriate guarantees; ! Iranians are very familiar with “guarantees”; that is how they comport themselves in daily

business

! Avoid the middle man.. 355  355  

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[email protected] Finance, Industry & Trade •  Nicholas M. Gilani [email protected] +971 50 342 34 30 •  Andreas Schweitzer [email protected] +41 79 211 65 60 Legal

•  Dr Haleh Akhlaghi [email protected] +971 50 455 8033

•  Dr. Adib T. Tohme [email protected] +961 337 99 09

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Contact

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5:40pm - 6:00pm: Closing Keynote: Responsibilities and Strategies for Post-Sanctions Investment and Development, With a Look to Monetary Policy Ø  Gholamali   Kamyab,   Vice   Governor,   Central   Bank   of   The   Islamic  

Republic  of  Iran

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The  CBI's  Strategies    for  investment  and  development  

in  post-­‐sanc8ons  

G.  Kamyab  Vice  Governor  

September,  2015  

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•  Poten8als  of  Iran’s  Economy  •  General  Economic  Policies  •  Recent  Improvements  in  Economic  Condi8on  •  A  Prospec8ve  of  the  CBI  Policies  •  AUrac8ons  for  Foreign  Investors  

Outlook  

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•  Big  market  (18th    in  GDP  on  PPP  basis)  •  Abundant  factors  of  produc8on    

o Young  and  educated  popula8on;    o Well  established  infrastructures;    o Natural  resources  (1st  in  natural  gas,  4th  in  crude  oil  and  10th  in  non-­‐oil  mining  reserves);    

o Diversity  in  climate  and  ethnic;    •  High  interna8onal  reserves  posi8on  and  low  external  debt;  •  Geopoli8cal  and  regional  advantages;    

Poten'als  of  Iran’s  Economy  

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•  Improving  the  interna8onal  rela8ons;  •  Improvement  in  the  business  environment;    •  Fiscal  discipline;  •  General  review  of  monetary  policy  and  the  ensuing  

credibility  in  the  market;  •  Commitment  to  one-­‐digit  infla8on;    •  Stabiliza8on  of  foreign  exchange  market;    •  Targe8ng  8  percent  growth  rate;  

General  Economic  Policies    

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•  Reform  in  money  market  o  Improving  banks’  balance  sheet;  o Priority  for  working  capital  of  produc8ve  enterprises;    o Removal  of  credit  restric8ons  and  support  of  equilibrium  interest  rates  in  the  money  market;    

o AUempts  to  reduce  banks  NPLs;    o Widening  the  scope  of  the  CBI  supervision;    

•  Pave  way  towards  exchange  rate  unifica8on;    •  Trade  rela8ons  and  par8cipa8on  of  interna8onal  investors.    

The  CBI’s  Policies  

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•  Unu8lized  produc8on  capacity  due  to  shortage  of  financing  and  recessionary  drag;    

•  Readiness  to  issue  license  for  foreign  banks  to  improve  compe88on  in  money  market;    

•  New  approach  on  fiscal  and  monetary  discipline  and  beUer  macroeconomic  management;    

•  Targe8ng  8  percent  growth  during  the  course  of  the  6th  FYSP;  

Opportuni'es  

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Investment  in  Iran  AWer  Sanc8ons  

 Presenta8on  by  the  Vice  Governor    of  the  Central  Bank  of  the  Islamic  Republic  Of  Iran      

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Introduc'on  

•  With   the   successful   signing  of   the   Joint  Comprehensive  Plan  of  Ac'on  -­‐  Iran’s  aim  will  be  to:  –  modernize  its  exis'ng  industrial  sectors;    –  upgrade  its  infrastructure;  and  –  efficiently  u'lize  its  resources  and  capaci'es.  

•  To  accomplish  this  –  Iran  needs  huge  amounts  of  investment.  •  The  es'mate  for  FDI  and  other  investments  is  close  to    $600  

billion  for  the  next  10  years.    •  With   the   oil   and   gas   sector   alone   needing   an   es'mate   of  

$300bn  to  upgrade,  expand  and  produce.    

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Growth  area  

•  Iran   is   a   na'on   approaching   100   million   highly  educated  consumers  in  the  next  10  years.  

 •  This   is   a   massive   consumer   market   in   itself     and  more   importantly   investors   should   view   Iran   as   a  stable   and   affordable   technical   labour   market   for  manufacturing‎  and  EXPORT  to  its  regional  neighbors.    

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Overview  

Key  industrial  sectors  requiring  investment:  1.  Energy,  Petrochemical  &  Power  Sectors  2.  Mining,  Commodi'es  &  Industry    3.  Infrastructure    4.  Agriculture  5.  Fast  Moving  Consumer  Goods  6.  Free  Zone,  Finance  &  Capital  Markets  7.  Hospitality  and  service  industry      

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1.  The  Energy,  Petrochemical  and  Power  Sectors  

•  Major  investments  are  required  in  the  following  sectors:  

 • Oil  &  Gas  sector;  • Petrochemical  sector;    •  Expanding  the  export  sector;  and  • Power  sector.    

   

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Oil,  Gas  &  Petrochemical  

•  New  contractual  framework  created  to  asract  investors  (IPC  Integrated  Petroleum  Contract)  

 •  We   encourage   poten'al   economic   operators  in  this  sector  to  contact  our  relevant  agencies  to   obtain   a   priority   lis'ng   of   the   investment  required  under  this  sector    

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Power  

•  The  Power   genera'ng   sector   is   currently  one  of  the  most  successful  domes'c  industries  

•  However  it  is  energy  inefficient  •  Investment  will   increase   efficiency  within   the  domes'c  sector  

•  Huge  poten'al  for  electricity  exports  

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2.  Mining,  Commodi'es  &  Industry  

 This  includes  an  overview  of  the  following  sectors:    

• Mining  sector;  • Cement  industry;  •  Steel  industry;  and    • Car  industry.    

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Mining  sector  

•  Major   investment   is  needed   in   the  development  of  the  mining  industry  

 •  There  are  a  number  of    priority  projects  already  announced  by  relevant  authori'es.  

•  We   encourage   poten'al   economic   operators   in  this   sector   to   contact   our   relevant   agencies   to  obtain   a   priority   lis'ng   of   the   investment  required  under  this  sector    

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Cement  &  Steel  

•  There   are   huge   growth   opportuni'es   in   the  following   energy-­‐intensive   industries   -­‐   given  Iran’s  current  posi'on  

•  Cement:    Currently  the  world’s  15th            largest  cement  producer  

•  Steel:      Producing  15%  more  steel  than            the  United  Kingdom  

and  an  equal  amount  of  steel  as  France    

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 Automobile  sector  

 •  Currently  the  largest  producer  of  automobiles  in  the  Middle  East    – 1.13  million  cars  produced  in  2014  

•  However  has  to  modernize  and  respond  to  the  demands  of  the  domes'c  market  

•  Increase  exis'ng  capaci'es  

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3.  Infrastructure    

This  includes  an  overview  of  the  following    sectors:  

•  Telecommunica'ons;    •  Transport  –  Avia'on,  Train  &  Metro;  and  •   Ports.  

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 Telecommunica'ons  sector  

 •  Currently  a  mobile  phone  usage  of  about  130  million  subscribers  

•  Smartphone  users  have  jumped  to  40  million  people  in  the  last  year,  with  the  launch  of  3G  &  4G  

•  With  40%  of  the  popula'on  between  12  -­‐  32  years  old  –  there  is  room  for  greater  data  &  even  more  growth  

•  Great  need  for  both  IT  and  telecom  solu'ons  •  Great  digital  and  data  opportuni'es  

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Transport  Infrastructure    

•  Development   needed   in   Air   and   other   transport  sectors  

•  Air:  Domes'c  air  travel  has  been  held  back  due  to  the  lack  of  aircraas  –  400  more  airplanes  are  needed  in  the  next  10  years  

•  Metro:   investment  needed   to  expand   the  metro  and  inter-­‐city  transport  op'ons  

•  Train:  investment  needed  for  the  en're  countries  rail  networks  

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Ports  

•  Ports  require  moderniza'on    •  Port  require  expansion  in  the  capacity  they  can  handle  –  to  correspond  with  other  development/  investment  in  the  country.    

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4.  Agriculture  

•  Revitaliza'on  and  moderniza'on  of  Iran's  agricultural  industry  

•  Investment  and  development  are  needed  for  a  new  concept  for  food  security    

 •  This  is  a  huge  area  of  growth  that  will  asract  direct  foreign  investment  and  joint  ventures  

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5.  Consumer  Goods  

•  This  includes  an  overview  of  the  following  consumer  sectors:  

•  Fast  moving  consumer  goods;  and  • Pharmaceu'cals  industry.    

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Consumer  Goods  sector    

•  With  a  popula'on  of  over  78  million,  the  country  has  been  effec'vely  cut  off  from  global  trade  for  decades  

 •  In  spite  of  this  there  is  a  huge  amount  of  brand  loyalty  for  foreign  goods  

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Fast  moving  Consumer  Goods  

•  Investment  needed  in  the  following  sectors:    •  Food;    • Personal  electronics;  and  • Packaged  goods.    

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 Pharmaceu'cal  sector  

 •  Currently  a  large  domes'c  and  regional  market  

 •  Investment  needed:  

–  to  upgrade  exis'ng  capaci'es;  and    –  for  new  medicines  

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6.  Free  Zone  &  Finance  

This  includes  an  overview  of  the  following    sectors:  

•  Free  Zones;  and    •  Finance  and  Capital  Markets.    

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Free  Zones  

•  Free   Zones   are   one   of   the   first   places   that  investors  can    securely  invest  their  capital    

•  They   offer   investors   protec'on   and   legal  government  backing  

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Finance  &  Capital  Markets      

•  Finance   and   Capital   Markets   provide   a   great  growth  sector  

•  Capital  Markets  are  greatly  underdeveloped  •  Currently   the   stock  market   trades  over  $70m  per   day   with   a   market   cap   to   GDP   of   $80  billion    

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 7.  Hospitality  and  service  industry      

   •  Iran  is  one  of  the  world’s  most  culturally  rich  countries,  with  19  World  Heritage  Sites  

•  Great  investment  is  needed  in  the  public  rela'ons  aspect  of  tourism  and  in  the  hospitality  sector    

•  There  are  not  enough  hotel  beds  to  meet  the  current  demand,  let  alone  a  surge  in  tourists/  corporate  visitors    

•  Currently  no  “brand”  hotels  in  the  country  

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