29.5.20002nd nordic ir-seminar/e. grannenfelt1 cross-border investment - wishful thinking? eeva...

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29.5.2000 2nd Nordic IR-Seminar/E. Grannenf elt 1 Cross-border investment - wishful thinking? Eeva Grannenfelt Vice President, Capital Markets Pension Fennia

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Page 1: 29.5.20002nd Nordic IR-Seminar/E. Grannenfelt1 Cross-border investment - wishful thinking? Eeva Grannenfelt Vice President, Capital Markets Pension Fennia

29.5.2000 2nd Nordic IR-Seminar/E. Grannenfelt 1

Cross-border investment

- wishful thinking?

Eeva GrannenfeltVice President, Capital MarketsPension Fennia

Page 2: 29.5.20002nd Nordic IR-Seminar/E. Grannenfelt1 Cross-border investment - wishful thinking? Eeva Grannenfelt Vice President, Capital Markets Pension Fennia

29.5.2000 2nd Nordic IR-Seminar/E. Grannenfelt 2

Cross-border investment - wishful thinking?

AGENDA

Pension Fennia

Investment strategy

* Allowed asset classes

* Efficient frontier

* Equity strategy

* Fixed income strategy

Expectations on IR-personal

Corporate Governance

Page 3: 29.5.20002nd Nordic IR-Seminar/E. Grannenfelt1 Cross-border investment - wishful thinking? Eeva Grannenfelt Vice President, Capital Markets Pension Fennia

29.5.2000 2nd Nordic IR-Seminar/E. Grannenfelt 3

PENSION FENNIA

* In Finland the employer is obliged to arrange pension benefits for his employees by taking out insurance in a private pension insurance company or by establishing 1 a pension fund.

* 6 pension insurance companies in Finland.

* The market share of Pension Fennia is approximately 10 %.

* The Finnish statutory earnings-related pension scheme is a partially fundedscheme.

* Roughly 3/4 of the premiums are used immediately to pay pensions while the rest is funded for the future.

* Pension Fennia is a part of The Fennia Group. Joint field organisation provides clients with all non-life, pension and life insurance services.

Cross-border investment - wishful thinking?

Page 4: 29.5.20002nd Nordic IR-Seminar/E. Grannenfelt1 Cross-border investment - wishful thinking? Eeva Grannenfelt Vice President, Capital Markets Pension Fennia

29.5.2000 2nd Nordic IR-Seminar/E. Grannenfelt 4

INVESTMENT ASSETS, EUR 3.6 million (market value)April 30, 2000

Bonds42 %

Equities30 %

Money Market10 %

Customer Loans3 %

Real Estate11 %

Premium Loans4 %

Cross-border investment - wishful thinking?

Page 5: 29.5.20002nd Nordic IR-Seminar/E. Grannenfelt1 Cross-border investment - wishful thinking? Eeva Grannenfelt Vice President, Capital Markets Pension Fennia

29.5.2000 2nd Nordic IR-Seminar/E. Grannenfelt 5

Allowed asset classes

* Equities (Pan-Europe, USA, Asia including Japan)

* Fixed Income (USA, EURO-land, Sweden, U.K.)

* Real estate

* Customer loans

Cross-border investment - wishful thinking?

Page 6: 29.5.20002nd Nordic IR-Seminar/E. Grannenfelt1 Cross-border investment - wishful thinking? Eeva Grannenfelt Vice President, Capital Markets Pension Fennia

29.5.2000 2nd Nordic IR-Seminar/E. Grannenfelt 6

INVESTMENT STRATEGY

* Increase the share of equities

* Increase the share of credit risk

* Increase private equity and other alternative assets classes

Cross-border investment - wishful thinking?

Page 7: 29.5.20002nd Nordic IR-Seminar/E. Grannenfelt1 Cross-border investment - wishful thinking? Eeva Grannenfelt Vice President, Capital Markets Pension Fennia

29.5.2000 2nd Nordic IR-Seminar/E. Grannenfelt 7

Efficient frontier

* Maximise return with accepted risk level

* Try to achieve optimal long term allocation of assets

Cross-border investment - wishful thinking?

Page 8: 29.5.20002nd Nordic IR-Seminar/E. Grannenfelt1 Cross-border investment - wishful thinking? Eeva Grannenfelt Vice President, Capital Markets Pension Fennia

29.5.2000 2nd Nordic IR-Seminar/E. Grannenfelt 8

6.20%

6.30%

6.40%

6.50%

6.60%

6.70%

6.80%

6.90%

7.00%

7.10%

4.00% 4.50% 5.00% 5.50% 6.00%

Volatility, %

Exp

ect

ed

re

turn

, %

12/98

5/99

6/98

7/99 10/99

21 % 19 %

EFFICIENT PORTFOLIO AND CHANGES OF PROTFOLIO

Cross-border investment - wishful thinking?

Page 9: 29.5.20002nd Nordic IR-Seminar/E. Grannenfelt1 Cross-border investment - wishful thinking? Eeva Grannenfelt Vice President, Capital Markets Pension Fennia

29.5.2000 2nd Nordic IR-Seminar/E. Grannenfelt 9

Finland 55 %

Pan-Europe25 %

USA12 %

Asia8 %

Small Caps

Global Pharma

Global Techno

Global Active

Emerging markets

Nokia +Sonera33 %

GlobalTelecom

(4 %)

(5 %)

(21 %)

(70 %)

EQUITY STRATEGY: CORE AND SATELITIES

Cross-border investment - wishful thinking?

Page 10: 29.5.20002nd Nordic IR-Seminar/E. Grannenfelt1 Cross-border investment - wishful thinking? Eeva Grannenfelt Vice President, Capital Markets Pension Fennia

29.5.2000 2nd Nordic IR-Seminar/E. Grannenfelt 10

15

20

25

30

35

Volatility %

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

International %

SHARE OF INTERNATIONAL DIVERSIFICATION AND EXPECTED RISK

Cross-border investment - wishful thinking?

Page 11: 29.5.20002nd Nordic IR-Seminar/E. Grannenfelt1 Cross-border investment - wishful thinking? Eeva Grannenfelt Vice President, Capital Markets Pension Fennia

29.5.2000 2nd Nordic IR-Seminar/E. Grannenfelt 11

0

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8

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Pow

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SECTORS

DJ STOXX

DJ EURO STOXX

%

Cross-border investment - wishful thinking?

Page 12: 29.5.20002nd Nordic IR-Seminar/E. Grannenfelt1 Cross-border investment - wishful thinking? Eeva Grannenfelt Vice President, Capital Markets Pension Fennia

29.5.2000 2nd Nordic IR-Seminar/E. Grannenfelt 12

0

5

10

15

20

25

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% DJ STOXX-50

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Cross-border investment - wishful thinking?

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29.5.2000 2nd Nordic IR-Seminar/E. Grannenfelt 13

0

10

20

30

40

50

SECTORS

DJ STOXX

DJ EURO STOXX

DJ STOXX NORDIC%

Cross-border investment - wishful thinking?

Page 14: 29.5.20002nd Nordic IR-Seminar/E. Grannenfelt1 Cross-border investment - wishful thinking? Eeva Grannenfelt Vice President, Capital Markets Pension Fennia

29.5.2000 2nd Nordic IR-Seminar/E. Grannenfelt 14

Fixed income strategy

* Corporate credit new, but growing asset class

* Only large and rated companies

* USA trend

Cross-border investment - wishful thinking?

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29.5.2000 2nd Nordic IR-Seminar/E. Grannenfelt 15

12/1999

Long term

80 % AAA-AAeuro/government

20 % AAA-BBB(ex. government)

minimum 30 % AAA-AAeuro/government max. 70 % AAA-BBB

(ex. government)max .10%

max .10 %

High Yield

International BenchmarkEFFAS, all euro governmet bonds

FIXED INCOME MORE CREDIT

Cross-border investment - wishful thinking?

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29.5.2000 2nd Nordic IR-Seminar/E. Grannenfelt 16

0,6

0,7

0,8

0,9

1,0

1,1

1,2

1,3

1,4

0,0 1,0 2,0 3,0 4,0 5,0 6,0

Volatility

To

tal m

on

thly

ret

urn

High

Yield

Investment Grade Government bond

Emerging

Markets

CREDIT RISK AND EFFICIENT FRONTIER

Cross-border investment - wishful thinking?

Page 17: 29.5.20002nd Nordic IR-Seminar/E. Grannenfelt1 Cross-border investment - wishful thinking? Eeva Grannenfelt Vice President, Capital Markets Pension Fennia

29.5.2000 2nd Nordic IR-Seminar/E. Grannenfelt 17

EXPECTATIONS ON IR-PERSONAL

1) As means of competition consistent shareholder value an important factor

2) Sufficient and essential information- company- division- sector

3) Annual and quarterly reports- history- expectations

4) Personal contacts

Cross-border investment - wishful thinking?

Page 18: 29.5.20002nd Nordic IR-Seminar/E. Grannenfelt1 Cross-border investment - wishful thinking? Eeva Grannenfelt Vice President, Capital Markets Pension Fennia

29.5.2000 2nd Nordic IR-Seminar/E. Grannenfelt 18

Cross-border investment - wishful thinking?

EXPECTATIONS ON IR-PERSONAL

5) Compensation systems- option schemes- other benefits

6) Public relations is part of our corporate government system

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29.5.2000 2nd Nordic IR-Seminar/E. Grannenfelt 19

Cross-border investment - wishful thinking?

CORPORATE GOVERNANCE

* The mission of Pension Fennia

* Ethical principles

* Return and risk expectations (diversification and used indices)

* Co-operation with company management

* Voting in annual meetings

* Board of directors

* Dividend policy

* Compensation systems

* Co-operation with other shareholders

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29.5.2000 2nd Nordic IR-Seminar/E. Grannenfelt 20

Cross-border investment - wishful thinking?

Monitoring systems

* Legislation and other authorities

* Other interest groups

* Company auditors

* Internal auditors and monitoring systems

* Company meetings (road shows)

* Analysts comments

* Using our voting right

* Going exit (sell your stocks)

Page 21: 29.5.20002nd Nordic IR-Seminar/E. Grannenfelt1 Cross-border investment - wishful thinking? Eeva Grannenfelt Vice President, Capital Markets Pension Fennia

29.5.2000 2nd Nordic IR-Seminar/E. Grannenfelt 21

Cross-border investment - wishful thinking?

How to monitor companies outside Finland

* Exit (sell your stocks)

* Proxy voting

* Voting through internet

* Using of corporate monitoring companies

* Co-operation with other owners

Page 22: 29.5.20002nd Nordic IR-Seminar/E. Grannenfelt1 Cross-border investment - wishful thinking? Eeva Grannenfelt Vice President, Capital Markets Pension Fennia

29.5.2000 2nd Nordic IR-Seminar/E. Grannenfelt 22

Cross-border investment - wishful thinking?

As a Nordic institutional investor we have to keep in mindafter 1.1.1999

* The group of potential investors has increased significantly

* Indexation; only big well known names

=> more demands are made on investment and management policies