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27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura&Hector Ureta Wrap-up + conclusions Wrap-up + conclusions

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Page 1: 27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura ... · 27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura&Hector Ureta Wrap-up + conclusions. Results and conclusions:

27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura&Hector Ureta

Wrap-up + conclusionsWrap-up + conclusions

Page 2: 27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura ... · 27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura&Hector Ureta Wrap-up + conclusions. Results and conclusions:

Results and conclusions:

DATASET2050 Irst initiative measuring current Door-to-doorDoor-to-door metrics

- Depicting and quantifying current/future mobility demandmobility demand

- Depicting and quantifying current/future mobility supplymobility supply

- Structuring datasetsdatasets

- Building, tuning, validating modelmodel

Page 3: 27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura ... · 27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura&Hector Ureta Wrap-up + conclusions. Results and conclusions:

Door to door time (2016): mean 6 hours; 6 hours; 90 percentile; 7,5+hours7,5+hours

- - vs 90percentile by 2050: 4 hours4 hours

Page 4: 27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura ... · 27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura&Hector Ureta Wrap-up + conclusions. Results and conclusions:

Reachable for 2050? Estimation evolution per D2D segment:

novel D2D concepts + future passenger proIles

3 implementation scenarios: weak/intermediate/futuristic

Page 5: 27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura ... · 27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura&Hector Ureta Wrap-up + conclusions. Results and conclusions:

INTERMEDIATE implementation scenario:- Door to kerb:- Door to kerb: - 10/15 minutes

- Kerb to door:- Kerb to door: - 10/15 minutes

- Kerb to gate:- Kerb to gate: - 35/40 minutes

Predictability (surface transport+airport queues): less buffer time

Improved airport processes (ID token, checked-in luggage..)

- Gate to kerb:Gate to kerb: -5/10 minutes

- Gate to gate: - Gate to gate: -10/15 minutes

ATM/airport, otherwise incompressible (supersonic)

all EU composed of direct _ights: additional -20 minutes

Page 6: 27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura ... · 27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura&Hector Ureta Wrap-up + conclusions. Results and conclusions:

INTERMEDIATE implementation scenario:- Door to kerb:- Door to kerb: - 10/15 minutes

- Kerb to door:- Kerb to door: - 10/15 minutes

- Kerb to gate:- Kerb to gate: - 35/40 minutes

Predictability (surface transport+airport queues): less buffer time

Improved airport processes (ID token, checked-in luggage..)

- Gate to kerb:Gate to kerb: -5/10 minutes

- Gate to gate: - Gate to gate: -10/15 minutes

ATM/airport, otherwise incompressible (supersonic)

all EU composed of direct _ights: additional -20 minutes

90 percentile: 7h 30 min - 10 - 15 -40 -10 -10 -20 = = 5 h5 h (vs 4h objective!)(vs 4h objective!)

mean: 6 hours -> 4 h

Page 7: 27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura ... · 27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura&Hector Ureta Wrap-up + conclusions. Results and conclusions:

FURTHER Door2Door RESEARCH?

"Coordination and support Action Mobility in Europe, Research & Assessment"

H2020 supporting ACARE WG1 + European Commission: D2D & mobility

2017-2021, 1.4M€

Similar consortium + PO + additional multimodal Advisory Board

Page 8: 27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura ... · 27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura&Hector Ureta Wrap-up + conclusions. Results and conclusions:

questions?thank YOU!

www.dataset2050.com

[email protected]

Page 9: 27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura ... · 27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura&Hector Ureta Wrap-up + conclusions. Results and conclusions:

BACKUPSLIDES

Page 10: 27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura ... · 27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura&Hector Ureta Wrap-up + conclusions. Results and conclusions:

Datasets within DATASET

http://visual.innaxis.org/mobilityDataSETs/

Page 11: 27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura ... · 27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura&Hector Ureta Wrap-up + conclusions. Results and conclusions:

http://visual.innaxis.org/mobilityDataSETs/

300+ data sources, surveys, APIs, projects

Page 12: 27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura ... · 27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura&Hector Ureta Wrap-up + conclusions. Results and conclusions:
Page 13: 27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura ... · 27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura&Hector Ureta Wrap-up + conclusions. Results and conclusions:

http://visual.innaxis.org/dataset2050_timehistogram/

Page 14: 27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura ... · 27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura&Hector Ureta Wrap-up + conclusions. Results and conclusions:

http://visual.innaxis.org/dataset2050_timehistogram/

Page 15: 27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura ... · 27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura&Hector Ureta Wrap-up + conclusions. Results and conclusions:

http://visual.innaxis.org/dataset2050_timehistogram/

Page 16: 27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura ... · 27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura&Hector Ureta Wrap-up + conclusions. Results and conclusions:

http://visual.innaxis.org/dataset2050_timehistogram/

Page 17: 27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura ... · 27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura&Hector Ureta Wrap-up + conclusions. Results and conclusions:

http://visual.innaxis.org/dataset2050_timemap/

Page 18: 27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura ... · 27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura&Hector Ureta Wrap-up + conclusions. Results and conclusions:

http://visual.innaxis.org/dataset2050_timemap/

Page 19: 27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura ... · 27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura&Hector Ureta Wrap-up + conclusions. Results and conclusions:

http://visual.innaxis.org/dataset2050_pricemap/

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SupplyDOOR - (surface) - KERB

KERB - (airport) - GATE

GATE - (including connections) - GATE

GATE - (airport) -KERB

KERB - (surface) - DOOR

- not symmetricsymmetric (D2K and K2D)

- differences in out-boundout-bound and in-boundin-bound trips (D2d vs d2D)

Page 25: 27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura ... · 27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura&Hector Ureta Wrap-up + conclusions. Results and conclusions:

SupplyDOOR- (surface) - KERB

KERB - (airport) - GATE

GATE - (including connections) - GATE

GATE - (airport) -KERB

KERB - (surface) - DOOR

-top 20 airports: individual approach-top 20 airports: individual approach

-(sub)archetypes(sub)archetypes for remaining ones

complexity, seasonal, size, multiairport..

Page 26: 27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura ... · 27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura&Hector Ureta Wrap-up + conclusions. Results and conclusions:

Door2Kerb

Page 27: 27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura ... · 27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura&Hector Ureta Wrap-up + conclusions. Results and conclusions:

Door2kerb multi-airport?

Page 28: 27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura ... · 27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura&Hector Ureta Wrap-up + conclusions. Results and conclusions:

Kerb2Door

Page 29: 27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura ... · 27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura&Hector Ureta Wrap-up + conclusions. Results and conclusions:

TraPc?

Page 30: 27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura ... · 27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura&Hector Ureta Wrap-up + conclusions. Results and conclusions:

The D2Dmetric

-Time/duration: key metric

-Mercury

90%

Pax

10%

Page 31: 27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura ... · 27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura&Hector Ureta Wrap-up + conclusions. Results and conclusions:

The D2Dshape

-Distribution shape?

-SpeciIc EU regions?

-SpeciIc pax. proIles?

90%

90%

Distribution

10%

10%

Page 32: 27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura ... · 27th Nov 2017 Belgrade, Final Diss Event, Seddik Belkoura&Hector Ureta Wrap-up + conclusions. Results and conclusions:

other KMPAs (mobility KPAs)

-Frequency

-Cost /Affordable

-Resilience

-Diversity destinations

-Pax experience: ease

-Seamless

-Safe&secure

-Punctuality