Eligible voters by race

118Solid Biden

Path to the White House President Donald Trump trails Democratic nominee Joe Biden in most of the swing states he won in 2016. But some races are very close, giving Mr Trump the room to pull off another surprise victory in the Electoral College and clinch four more years in the White House.

270 ELECTORAL VOTES NEEDED TO WIN

THE 2020 BATTLEGROUNDS

SWING STATES

THE 2020 ELECTORATE WOMEN VOTE MORE THAN MEN ACROSS RACE AND EDUCATION LEVELS

Women 67%Men 64%

White

59%

Clinton 232 Trump306

Biden 226 Trump1252020

2016

63Solid Trump

51Likely Biden

29Likely Trump

57LeansBiden

187Toss up

270electoral votes

to win

33LeansTrump

Washington12

Oregon7

Idaho4

Montana3

Missouri10

North Dakota3

South Dakota3

Nebraska4

Iowa6

Wisconsin10

Michigan16

Ohio18

Wyoming3

Pennsylvania20

NewYork29

Minnesota10

Nevada6

Utah6

Texas38

Oklahoma7

Kansas6

Arkansas6

Colorado9

New Mexico5

Illinois20

California55

Arizona11

Indiana11

SouthCarolina

9

North Carolina15

Kentucky8

Tennessee11

Mississippi6

Massachusetts11

Alabama9 Georgia

16Alaska

3

Maine2

Maine CD11

Maine CD21

Florida29

Hawaii4

Virginia13

WestVirginia

5

Connecticut7

Vermont3

NewHampshire

4

Maryland10

Washington DC3

Louisiana8

Arizona

Biden

+3.0%

Trump+3.5%

Trump+1.2%

Trump+5.1%

Trump+9.5%

Trump+0.3%

Clinton+1.5%

Trump+3.7%

Trump+8.1%

Trump+0.7%

Trump+9.0%

Trump+0.7%

Biden48.3%

Trump45.3%

Biden

+1.1%

Trump46.7%

Biden

+0.3%

Trump46.5%

Biden

+0.5%

Trump46%

Biden

+5.2%

Trump44%

Biden

+9.4%

Trump41%

Biden

+0.5%

Trump46.6%

Biden

+3.3%

Trump45.7%

Biden

+5.7%

Trump43.9%

Trump

+3.2%

Trump48.4%

Biden

+5.5%

Trump44.3%

11

Delaware3

Nebraska CD2

1

Biden47.8%

29

Florida

Biden46.8%

16

Georgia

Biden46.5%

6

Iowa

Biden49.2%

16

Michigan

Biden50.4%

10

Minnesota

Biden47.1%

15

NorthCarolina

Biden49%

18

Ohio

Biden49.6%

20

Pennsylvania

Biden45.2%

38

Texas

Biden49.8%

10

Wisconsin

SOURCES: REALCLEARPOLITICS, PEW RESEARCH CENTRE

PHOTOS: BLOOMBERG, REUTERS, THE NEW YORK TIMES

STRAITS TIMES GRAPHICS

Hispanic13%

Black13%Asian4%Others3%

White67%

Millennial (born 1981-1996)27%

Gen X (born 1965-1980)

25%

Gen Z (bornafter 1996)

10%

Silent (born before 1946)9%

Eligible voters by

generation

THE 2020 ELECTION ISSUES

TRUMP’S APPROVAL RATINGS

79%

68%

64%

62%

59%

57%

55%

52%

52%

49%

42%

40%

Economy

Healthcare

Supreme Court appointments

Coronavirus outbreak

Violent crime

Foreign policy

Gun policy

Race and ethnic inequality

Immigration

Economic inequality

Climate change

Abortion

Overall job approval

% of registered voters saying each is “very important” to their vote in the 2020 presidential election

45.5% 53%

DisapproveApprove

Economy 51.1% 47%

Foreign policy 46.3% 52%

Direction of the country 29.3% 64.1%

Women 64%Men 54%

Black

Women 50%Men 45%

Hispanic

Women 48%Men 49%

Asian

Women 36%Men 32%

Less than high school

Women 54%Men 49%

High school grad

Women 65%Men 61%

Some college education

Women 77%Men 76%

Bachelor’s degree or higher

63%

Boomer (born 1946-1964)28%

% of eligible voters who say they voted in 2016

Overall

Note: Eligible voters are US citizens aged 18 and older

Rhode Island4

New Jersey14

Note: Maine and Nebraska have a more proportional system of allocating their electoral votes.

Note: Based on registered voters

NOTE: State polling average as at end September

2016 winning margin