21 09 15h45 david vlahov - epi2008.com.brepi2008.com.br/apresentacoes/mesa_redonda_21_09... ·...
TRANSCRIPT
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Urban Health
David Vlahov, Ph.D., R.N.Center for Urban Epidemiologic Studies
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Public Health Challenges for the 21st Century
� Urbanization
� Aging
� Climate Change
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“In 2007, for the first time in world history, half of the world’s population is urban”
UN HABITAT, 2003
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1950
2007
2030
Urban
29%
Rural
71%
Rural
50%
Urban
50%
Urban
59.9%
Rural
Rural
40.1%
Total Population
2.5 BillionTotal Population Total Population
Global Population Growth Trends
6.6 Billion 8.2 Billion
(United Nations, 2005)
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Urbanization trends and projections
Source: World Urbanization Prospects: the 2001 Revision. New York, United Nations, 2002.
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
1950 1970 1990 2010 2030
Urb
an p
opulation, m
illions
More developed countries
Less developed countries
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Urban and rural populations in less developed countries
Source: World Urbanization Prospects: the 2001 Revision. New York, United Nations, 2002.
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
1950 1970 1990 2010 2030
Population, m
illions
Rural
Urban
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Public Health Challenges for the 21st Century
� Urbanization
� Aging
� Climate Change
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Global Age Friendly Cities
� "Today around 75% of all older people living in
the developed world are urban dwellers -
expected to increase to 80% in 2015.
� More spectacularly, in developing countries the
number of older people in cities will increase
from 56 million in 2000 to over 908 million in
2050."
Dr Alexandre Kalache, Former Director of the WHO Ageing
and Life Course Programme
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Public Health Challenges for the 21st Century
� Urbanization
� Aging
� Climate Change
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Unsustainable global change: Temperature rise
Annual average, 2020s, 2050s and 2080s vs. 2007
2080s
2050s
UK Hadley
Res Centre
2020s
The climate change challenge for cities
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Air pollutionlevels
Contaminationpathways
Transmissiondynamics
Natural ecosytems& Agriculture
HEALTH EFFECTS
Temperature-related
illness, death
Extreme weather-related health effects
Air pollution-relatedhealth effects
Water- and food bornediseases
Vector- and rodentborne diseases
Effects of food & watershortages
Effects of Populationdisplacement
Adaptationmeasures
Moderatinginfluences
GLOBALCLIMATE CHANGE
REGIONALWEATHERCHANGES:
- heatwaves
- extreme weather
- temperature
- precipitation
Climate and human health
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Urban heat-island
Heat Island Group. Available at: http://geography.about.com/library/weekly/aa121500a.htm Accessed on October 24, 2005.
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Heat wave mortality …. the heat island effectNew York City, 1966
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Global Climate Change Model: Impact on New York City – Storm Surge
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New York City: Storm Surge
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Public Health Challenges for the 21st Century
� Urbanization
� Aging
� Climate Change
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What do we mean by “urban health”?
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The Components of Urban Health
�Social Determinants
� Inequity
�Metrics
�Governance
Viewed through the Urban LensUrban Lens
First Forum on Urban Health, Mexico City, 2008
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The Urban Lens
� Size
� Density
� Diversity
� Complexity
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Definition of an Urban Area (UA) U.S. Census
� Size: a minimum of
50,000 persons.
� Density: at least 1,000
persons/sq. mile
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AIDS incidence rates by size of metropolitan
area1993-2000, U.S.
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
Year
Ave
rag
e i
nc
ide
nce
rate
pe
r 10
0,0
00
po
pu
lati
on
500,000 - 999,999
1,000,000 - 1,999,999
2,000,000 or more
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Definition of an Urban Area (UA) Brazil
� The legal definition of urban in Brazil included, until 1988, the area (and population) within a perimeter
around a municipal headquarter – cidades – and
municipal district headquarters – vilas.
� Therefore, NOT size and density, but rather defined as political administrative units.
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The Urban Lens
� Size
� Density
� Diversity
� Complexity
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Non-white population, by population size of urban area, England and Wales
Source: Denham C, White I. Differences in urban and rural Britain. Population Trends.
1998; Office for National Statistics.
0
3
6
9
12
15
<2,000 2,000-4,999 5,000-9,999 10,000-
19,999
20,000-
49,999
50,000-
99,999
100,000-
199,999
200,000-
499,999
500,000-
999,999
1,000,000+
Population size (residents) of urban area
% of resident population
in non-w
hite gro
ups
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Queens, New York City (n = 2,229,379) :
138 Languages Spoken, top 10:
� English (vast majority)
� Spanish
� Chinese
� Korean
� Italian
� Greek
� Russian
� Tagalog (Filipino)
� French
� French Creole
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The Urban Lens
� Size
� Density
� Diversity
� Complexity
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Organizational Chart , Saanich, British Columbia, Canada (n=108,000)
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Organization Chart: New York City
(n= 8,274,527)
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The Urban Lens
� Size
� Density
� Diversity
� Complexity
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Components of Urban Health
� Social Determinants
� Inequity
� Metrics
� Governance
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WHO Commission on the Social Determinants of Health, 2008
The main social causes of ill health include:
• Poverty
• Social exclusion
• Poor housing and
• Poor health systems.
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WHO Knowledge Network for Urban Settlementsfrom “Our Cities, Our Health, Our Future” - 2008
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Components of Urban Health
� Social Determinants
� Inequity
� Metrics
� Governance
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Urban Neighborhood Characteristics
that define
Areas of Concentrated Disadvantage
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Median household income, New York City
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Average educational attainment, NYC, 2000
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Unemployment, New York City
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Occupied housing units with mice or rats, NYC
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Urban Areas
of Concentrated Disadvantage:
Health Outcomes
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Births to teenagers, NYC, 2000
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Homicide rate, NYC, 2000
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Poor health and lifestyles by area deprivation, Amsterdam
Note: least deprivation as referent; models also adjusted for age and gender..Source: Reijnevald SA. The impact of individual and area characteristics on urban socioeconomic differences in health and smoking. Int J Epidemiol. 1998; 27: 33-40.
0 .5
1 .0
1 .5
2 .0
2 .5
Odds Ratio
I n te rm e d ia ted e p r iv a t io n
M o s td e p r iv a t io n
Poor self-ratedhealth
5 or more physical
complaints
1 or morelong-termphysicallimitations
Obesity(BMI > 27)
Cigarettesmoking
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Poverty Health
Where we are
Downstream approach
Upstream approach
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Components of Urban Health
� Social Determinants
� Inequity
� Metrics
� Governance
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Urban Health Observatories
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UN HABITAT: GLOBAL URBAN OBSERVATORY (n=164 cities)
MISSION:
� To improve the collection, management, analysis and use of information in formulating more effective urban policies;
� To improve information flows between all levels for better urban decision-
making;
� To stimulate broad-based consultative processes to help identify and
integrate urban information needs;
� To provide information and analyses to all stakeholders for more effective participation in urban decision-making;
� To share information, knowledge and expertise using modern information
and communication technology (ICT);
� To create a global network of local, national and regional platforms for
sharing information about the implementation of the Habitat Agenda and
Agenda 2.
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UN HABITATGUO: Indicators
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Sanitary District
Health Basic Unit Catchment area
Census Tract
Slums: Vilas/favelas
Green area
TERRITORIAL DIMENSIONS FOR PLANNING AND INTERVENTIONS ON HEALTH IN BELO HORIZONTE
Index of Health Vulnerability (IQVU)
• % household without water
• % household without sewage
• % household no garbage collected
• % of provisional household
• % household density
• % illiteracy and <4 y.o. school
• % household <2 minimum wage
• % head of the family 10-19 y.o.
• Cardiovasc death rates (30-59 y.o.)
• Proportional mortality < 70 y.o.
• Infant/child mortality
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Metrics
Human Development Index (1990)
� Life expectancy
� Knowledge (schooling)
� Income (GDPpc)
Gender Related Development Index
Human Poverty Index
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Human Development Index: New York City
Source: The Global North and South in New York City: In the Shadow of the UN. Forthcoming study by the Women of Color Policy Network, Wagner School of Public Service, New York University, 2008
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Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS)Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) for the combined Africa, Asia, and Latin America
� 86 for rural areas,
� 75 for the urban poor
� 56 for the urban non-poor.
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Metrics: Urban Advantage vs. Penalty
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Intra-urban analyses:
Multi-level modeling Community Level Factors for Low Birth Weight (LBW)
Individual Level Factors: Income, Race, Maternal Health Condition
Structural Factors: SES composition, Race,
Population Density, Residential Stability
Social Resources (Capital): Social Ties and Engagement
(Reciprocal exchange, Voluntary Associations)
Sources of Stress and Disorder : Violent crime
(Morenoff 2003)
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Results: Community Level Factors for Low Birth Weight (cont’d)
LBW = Individual poverty (income), race, maternal health condition,
Structural factors: neighborhood residential stability
Mediated by: Social Stress: violent crimeSocial Resources: combined reciprocal exchange and participation in voluntary associations.
Inference: Violent crime affects women with weak social ties;Without social capital, stress of violent crimes isolates pregnant women affecting nutrition, contributing to low birth weight children.
(Morenoff 2003)
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Ecometrics
Science of measurement of neighborhoodsshould capture unique features of urban landscape:
� Per capita ratio of public space (e.g., parks, playgrounds,
pedestrian zones, amenities and entertainment,
local services, public transportation).
� Size and conditions of buildings and streets.
� Neighborhood disorder (e.g. graffiti, vandalism, noise,
density of liquor stores, abandoned buildings).
We have validated scales of perception of disorder, but few measures of environmental disorder
(Raudenbush and Sampson, 1999)
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“Broken Windows”
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“Broken Windows” and Gonorrhea Rates
Cohen et al, 2000
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0.50
0.70
0.90
1.10
1.30
1.50
1.70
1.90
2.10
2.30
2.50
% buildings dilapidated % buildings
deteriorating
% external wall
problems
% window problems % stairway problems
Odds Ratio
External environment and depression, New York City neighborhoods
Note: model adjusted for neighborhood income, individual income and income squared, age, race, and sex
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0.50
0.70
0.90
1.10
1.30
1.50
1.70
1.90
2.10
2.30
2.50
% toilet
breakdown
% non-functioning
kitchen
% 4+ heat
breakdowns
% needed more
heating
% large area
peeling
plaster/paint
% water leakage
Odds Ratio
Internal environment and depression,New York City neighborhoods
Note: model adjusted for neighborhood income, individual income and income squared, age, race, and sex
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Components of Urban Health
� Social Determinants
� Inequity
� Metrics
� Governance
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Governance
Governance Government
“Steering” “Driving”
“Power to” “Power over”
Worldwide Governance Indicators: (World Bank)
• voice and accountability,
• political stability and lack of violence,
• government effectiveness,
• regulatory quality,
• rule of law,
• control of corruption.
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Approaches to Addressing Urban Health Problems: Examples
Conditional Cash Transfer(incentives to individuals)
Participatory Budgeting (building community)
Urban Design
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Belo Horizonte
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Challenge for Urban Health: Outreach into Favella
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BH Master Plan
BH Citizen
and Social
Inclusion
Program
Specific
Global Plan
for Vilas and
Favelas
Participatory
Budgeting
Sectorial Directions
Program of the Pampulha
Basin Recovery
The Master Drainage
Plan
Municipal Sanitation
Plan
PARTICIPATORY BUDGETING: INTERSECTORAL PROCESS
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Participatory Budgeting
� Municipal Intersectoral Council - coordinate the priorities
� Regions (9) –Assemblies collect & pre-select range of projects� Includes voted delegates for Planning Units
� Inspection of project demands identified by assemblies
� Caravan of Priorities (Delegates visit worksites)
� Final selection of projects in Regional Forum
� Election of Follow-up and Control Commission – COMFORÇA at
Regional Forum
� Municipal Meeting of Budget Priorities
� Planning units - 81 homogeneous areas sorted on IQVU. Citizens make
application for specific projects funds that fit the criteria of the region (weighted
toward the most disadvantaged) and elect Planning Unit delegates in the assemblies.
PARTICIPATORY BUDGETING: Step 1. Municipal & Regional
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Sanitary District
Health Basic Unit Catchment area
Census Tract
Slums: Vilas/favelas
Green area
TERRITORIAL DIMENSIONS FOR PLANNING AND INTERVENTIONS ON HEALTH IN BELO HORIZONTE
Index of Health Vulnerability (IQVU)
• % household without water
• % household without sewage
• % household no garbage collected
• % of provisional household
• % household density
• % illiteracy and <4 yo school
• % household <2 minimum wage
• Cardiovasc death rates (30-59 yo)
• Proportional mortality < 70 yo
• Infant/child mortality
• % head of the family 10-19 yo
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Participatory Budgeting
� Municipal Intersectoral Council - coordinate the priorities
� Regional PB (9 regions) – Includes voted Delegates from Planning Units
� Regional Assemblies collect and pre-select range of projects
� Inspection of project demands identified by assemblies
� Caravan of Priorities (Delegates visit worksites)
� Final selection of projects in Regional Forum
� Elections at Follow-up and Control Commission –
COMFORÇA at Regional Forum
� Municipal Meeting of Budget Priorities
� Planning units - 81 homogeneous areas based on IQVU.
� Citizens in Planning Units make application for specific projects funds that fit the criteria of the region (weighted toward the most disadvantaged) and elect Planning Unit delegates in the assemblies.
PARTICIPATORY BUDGETING: Step 2. Citizen Application
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Participatory Budgeting
� Municipal Intersectoral Council - coordinate the priorities
� Regional (9 regions) – Includes voted Delegates from Planning Units
� Regional Assemblies collect and pre-select range of projects
� Inspection of applications for projects
� Caravan of Priorities (Delegates visit worksites).
� Final selection of projects in Regional Forum
� Elections at Follow-up and Control Commission –
COMFORÇA at Regional Forum
� Municipal Meeting of Budget Priorities
� Planning units - 81 homogeneous areas based on IQVU. Citizens make application
for specific projects funds that fit the criteria of the region (weighted toward the most
disadvantaged) and elect Planning Unit delegates in the assemblies.
PARTICIPATORY BUDGETING: Step 3. Process and Vote
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PARTICIPATORY BUDGETING: RESULTS IN BELO HORIZONTE
Type of Project N %
Infrastructure 494 41.7
Development of vilas 308 26.0
Health Centers 123 10.4
HC 38
Education 118 10.0
Schools 33
Social 39 3.3
Sports 47 4.0
Housing 16 1.4
Culture 19 1.6
Environment 20 1.7
TOTAL 1,184 100.0
Progress of Projects
1,184 projects completed
6,068 housing units approved
2,183 housing units completed
Participation
372,785 participants 1994 - 2007
503,266 votes in Digital PB
Source: SMAPL- PBH
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Participatory Budgeting: from Strip Mine to Physical Academy
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PARTICIPATORY BUDGETING: EFFECTS ON URBAN HEALTH
Outcomes: ecological association with:
• Reduced infant mortality rates in Porto Alegre (Goldani et al,2002)
• Reduced Under 5 y.o. MR from 80 to 25 per 1,000 (BH)
• Higher standard of living
• Longer life expectancy (WHO, 2007; Menegat, 1998)
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PARTICIPATORY BUDGETING: EFFECTS ON URBAN HEALTH
Theoretical advantages at several levels:
Addressing of social determinants of health:
- provision of utilities and upgrades in housing.
- allocation of space for cultural and recreational pursuits.
- addressing health needs for the most disadvantage.
Demonstrate community capacity and feasibility to
International NGOs for scale up funds.
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� Governance innovations and development interventions are not always articulated in terms of effects on public-health outcomes.
� Lack of adequate data sources to monitor changes in specific health outcomes over time. Effects examined using publicly available “gross” indicators (e.g., Life Expectancy, IMR).
� Ecological Fallacy: For some cities, changes in life expectancy or infant mortality may be ascertained, but it is not always obvious how these relate to specific interventions or programs.
LIMITATIONS FROM MODELS OF URBAN HEALTH PROGRAMS
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� Lack of rigorous health specific quantitative data to evaluate he effectiveness of the models and applications of participatory budgeting. Data available are generally on distal (to health) outcomes, such as percent of budget allocated to certain sectors or projects as well as service provision or infrastructure generated (such as number of households with access to water and sanitation services, or number of health centers built).
� Few intra-urban comparisons available for program implementation and health indicators directly (morbidity and mortality) or indirectly (participation, satisfaction with participation, social capital).
� Qualitative Evaluations: Necessity of more cases reports that go beyond description of a single initiative; rather, efforts should be directed at comparing pre- versus post-implementation, between program and non program areas.
LIMITATIONS FROM MODELS OF URBAN HEALTH PROGRAMS
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Approaches to Addressing Urban Health Problems: Examples
Conditional Cash Transfer
Participatory Budgeting
Urban Design
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SUMMARYComponents of Urban Health
� Social Determinants
� Inequity
� Metrics
� Governance
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SUMMARYThe Urban Lens
� Size
� Density
� Diversity
� Complexity
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International Society for Urban Health
http://www.isuh.org
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The New Urbanism
� Public realm.
� Multifunctional urban places.
� Human scale architecture.
� Regional character.
� Mixed use shop/houses.
� Compact urban fabric.
� Cellular city structure.
� Balanced, integrated transportation.
� Controlled regional plan.
� Ecological & social sustainability.
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The Portland City Repair Project
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Overview of The City Repair Project
� The City Repair Project is an urban intervention to
revive an existing urban city layout with novel urban
features and amenities that help to create healthy
urban environments that foster healthy social
environments.
� Community organizing in urban neighborhoods has
the potential to reverse alienation and foster a sense
of responsibility that counteracts urban blight,
encouraging residents to take initiative against social
disorder and physical deterioration.
Semenza JC. Building healthy cities: a focus on interventions. In: Galea S, Vlahov D (Eds). Handbook of Urban Health: Populations, Methods, and Practice. Springer Science and Business Media, New York. 2005, 459-478.
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1
Community outreach
2
Interested people
contact City Repair
3
Information meetings
4
Receive and review
RFPs
5
RFP
supportable?6
Encourage
continuation
7
Design process
8
Need BDS
Permit?
9
PDOT
approve?
10
Joint PDOT/BDS
process
11
Construction plan
development
12
Village building
convergence
13
Project completion
14
Evaluation and
documentation
Yes
Yes
YesNo No
No No
Methods. Flow-diagram A health promoting neighborhood intervention
Flow-diagram. A health promoting neighborhood intervention
Semenza JC. Building healthy cities: a focus on interventions. In: Galea S, Vlahov D (Eds). Handbook of Urban Health: Populations, Methods, and Practice. Springer Science and Business Media, New York. 2005, 459-478.
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Intersection Repair
� Intersection Repair, one of many projects of The
City Repair Project, aims to retrofit the urban
orthogonal grid to create public gathering
places for human interactions
� Two underlying ideas:
� Taking public participation into account in
neighborhood design is critical
� The importance of urban amenities and art to
improving the qualities of urbanity
Semenza JC. Building healthy cities: a focus on interventions. In: Galea S, Vlahov D (Eds). Handbook of Urban Health: Populations, Methods, and Practice. Springer Science and Business Media, New York. 2005, 464-470.
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Case study: Sunnyside Piazza
� In 2000, Sunnyside neighborhood in Portland,
OR was greatly affected by a large transient
population, social disorder, street litter, noise,
and parking violations.
� The neighborhood responded to these social
disruptions using The City Repair Project to
create a pedestrian-friendly public square.
Semenza JC. Building healthy cities: a focus on interventions. In: Galea S, Vlahov D (Eds). Handbook of Urban Health: Populations, Methods, and Practice. Springer Science and Business Media, New York. 2005, 471-475.
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Social outcomes of Sunnyside Piazza
� The neighborhood collaboration in the creation of Sunny-
side Piazza had a number of positive social outcomes:
� Working together helped neighbors build social capital.
� A public square was created where neighbors and by-
passers can interact to get to know each other.
� New social relationships and mutual cooperation
around collective problem solving.
Semenza JC. Building healthy cities: a focus on interventions. In: Galea S, Vlahov D (Eds). Handbook of Urban Health: Populations, Methods, and Practice. Springer Science and Business Media, New York. 2005, 471-475.
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Neighborhood outcomes
of Sunnyside Piazza
With the creation of Sunnyside Piazza a number of social disruptions within Sunnyside neighborhood decreased:
� Burglary
� Assault
� Vehicle theft
� Robbery
� Drug abuse and trafficking
� Traffic speed
Semenza JC. Building healthy cities: a focus on interventions. In: Galea S, Vlahov D (Eds). Handbook of Urban Health: Populations, Methods, and Practice. Springer Science and Business Media, New York. 2005, 471-475.
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SUMMARYComponents of Urban Health
� Social Determinants
� Inequity
� Metrics
� Governance
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SUMMARYThe Urban Lens
� Size
� Density
� Diversity
� Complexity
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International Society for Urban Health
http://www.isuh.org
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Conceptual Framework for Urban Health
Building the Urban Health Advantage
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A conceptual framework for urban health
IV.
Outcomes
Enduring structures: e.g., economic systems, religion, government, culture
Immigration, suburbanization, changes in the
role of
government, globalization
Government: Policies and
practices of all
levels
I. Major national and international
trends
II. Municipal level
determinants
III. Urban
characteristics
Health and
social services: Formal and
informal
Health outcomes
Non-health
outcomes
Markets: Food, housing, other
goods
Civil society:
Community organization, community
capacity, social movements
Public health intervention
and
research: Intentional
public health activities
Population:
Demographics, socioeconomic
status, ethnicity, employment
status, attitudes, behaviors
Physical
environment: Housing,
climate, density
Social
environment: Social networks, social support,
social capital
Freudenberg, Galea and Vlahov, 2005
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Work ability (%) as a function of WBGT (degr.C) at
4 work intensities (Watts), acclimatized
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
20 25 30 35 40
Temperature C
Wo
rk A
bil
ity % 500 Watts
400 Watts
300 Watts
200 Watts
The “HOTBODS” effect (High Occupational Temperature
Burden Of Disability Study)
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The HOTBODS concept:High Occupational Temperature
Burden Of Disability Study
� Effects of high temperature and high humidity on daily life:
� If the temperature reaches 40 degrees and it is 80-90% humidity,
can these normal activities be sustained? :
� Work outdoors or indoors (poor countries generally do not have air conditioned factories or offices)
� Home handyman activities
� Home gardening
� Physical exercise, sports, commuting (walking, bicycling, etc)
� Children’s play
� Other normal activities at home or in the community
� More night time activities?
� Impact on Burden of Disability?