20190214 presentation to lloyd'sintelligence+presentation+-+mis+intel.… · and associated...
TRANSCRIPT
www.MIS-Intel.com
Forbes McKenzie
www.mckenzieintelligence.co.uk
McKenzie Intelligence
Scope
McKenzie Intelligence
● What is the MIS-Intel portal?
● What does it do?
● Overview of Reports & Data
● Using MIS-Intel
● Live Demo
● Good to know!
● Analyst’s Damage Assessment (extra)
McKenzie Intelligence
Using MIS-Intel
McKenzie Intelligence
Home Page
Reports Page Example Report – Hurricane Michael
Login & Password change
What does it do?McKenzie Intelligence
● Situational Awareness.● Pre/Post Imagery.● Search facility● Aids decision making.
Exposure Report (24hrs)
McKenzie Intelligence
● ZIP Code or Grid level
● Damage Assessment
● No imagery - OSINT
● All types of NATCAT events
Exposure Report (24hrs) – OSINT = IoTMcKenzie Intelligence
Exposure Report (24hrs)McKenzie Intelligence
Exposure Report (24hrs)McKenzie Intelligence
Claims Report (48hrs)McKenzie Intelligence
● Before/After imagery slider
Timeline ReportMcKenzie Intelligence
Hurricane HARVEY: Houston - Flooding Event
Background:
After making landfall on 25 August 2017, as a Category 4 storm, Hurricane HARVEY, quickly decreased in both intensity and momentum.
HARVEY in effect stalled over the low lying Texan coastline and the warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico for 6 days. As such the whole of south-eastern Texas and south Louisiana suffered persistent and intense rainfall as the huge weather front slowly progressed inland towards Tennessee.
Extensive, flash flooding occurred within the major conurbation of Houston; purportedly permanently ‘sinking’ the city area by 0.05 m.
© MIS Ltd. (2017) Imagery & Mapping © Digitalglobe Inc (2017) Weather Radar © NHC/NWS/NOAA (2017)
Hurricane HARVEY: Houston - Flooding Event
Landfall 0 - 24 Hours: Houston
As soon as Hurricane HARVEYs’ US landfall was classified as a NATCAT by the Lloyd’s Market, MIS Imagery Analysts aided by the All-Source Research team conducted first line 24 Hour reporting.
Despite a lack of coherent information; a fluid large scale event; a lack of ground truth and a realisation the FEMA modelled data was inaccurate the 24 Hour report provided at 10 kmsq resolution:
• The level of Market Exposure for Senior Decision Makers at scale.
• Accurate, reliable, geospatial data; fused information and textual reporting.
Key Recommendations pertaining to risk and asset loss.
© MIS Ltd. (2017) Imagery © Digitalglobe Inc (2017) FEMA Probability Model at 1.5 NM scale © FEMA (2017) Analytics Data © MIS Ltd (2017)
Hurricane HARVEY: Houston - Flooding Event
FEMA & State Modelled Data:
The slow nature of HARVEYs’ momentum prevented MIS fully utilising satellite imagery collection, due to extensive thick cloud cover.
MIS geospatial analysts quickly recognised that the unique event would render Federal Emergency (FEMA) flood and flow models inaccurate.
Despite this, MIS were able to provide large scale, by zip code analysis of flooding in Houston using:
• Social media and images from CCTV
• State River gauge monitors
• Synthetic Aperture Radar
© MIS Ltd. (2017) Imagery & Mapping © Digitalglobe Inc (2017). FEMA Model © FEMA (2017) Analytics Data © MIS Ltd (2017)
Hurricane HARVEY: Houston - Flooding Event
6 - 48 Hours: Social Media &
Video Data
MIS provided the market at the up until the
48 hour point with an overview of Houston
flooding at zip code level. This was based
upon non- traditional analysis of social, city
and associated press video imagery feeds.
Analysts used the inaccurate FEMA data and
the video feeds to attempt to assign
probability of damage or flooding based
upon all the available information. This
information provided some early insight, but
a lack of full coverage precluded full city with
analysis using these data sources.
© MIS Ltd. (2017) Imagery & Mapping © Digitalglobe Inc (2017). Analytics Data © MIS Ltd (2017)
© MIS Ltd. (2017) Generic Houston CCTV system.
Hurricane HARVEY: Houston - Flooding Event
24 -72 Hours: River Gauges
MIS provided more veracity and clarity to the single sourced video data through the monitoring of State / National NOAA / NWS river flow and high water gauges.
The gauges provided near real time ground truth geospatial data. This data enabled MIS analysts to plot and correlate the river flow and flood status data. Furthermore, analysts were able to plot down to the minute when rivers peaked and overtopped their banks.
MIS analysts were then able to confirm or deny uncorroborated often single direction facing video information streams. Armed with this dual sourced data in conjunction with FEMA modelled data MIS provided early flood damage insight and levels of exposure at zip code level to the Lloyd’s Market.
© MIS Ltd. (2017) Imagery & Mapping © Digitalglobe Inc (2017) NOAA Data © NWS/NOAA (2017) Analytics Data © MIS Ltd (2017)
Hurricane HARVEY: Houston - Flooding Event
72+ Hours: SAR (Radar Data)
MIS utilised the properties of low resolution
(20m) Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) to
map at scale areas of standing flood water.
SAR utilities the differences in radio wave
returns to provide and build a low resolution
ground picture. MIS analysed and
contrasted pre event SAR with post event
SAR. The differences in the SAR returns
were separated into a single vector layer.
This layer represented the flood waters;
albeit as a series of 20m x 20m pixels.
© MIS Ltd. (2017) Imagery © Digitalglobe Inc (2017) & Copernicus Sentinel Data © ESA (2017)
Analytics Data © MIS Ltd (2017)
© MIS Ltd. (2017) © Digitalglobe Inc (2017) Copernicus Sentinel Data © ESA (2017)
Hurricane HARVEY: Houston - Flooding Event
7 - 10 Days: Aircraft Imagery
As Hurricane HARVEY dissipated US Federal
authorities began overflights of areas of
flood within the wider Houston environs.
Very high resolution (less than 0.5m)
imagery swathes were imaged from low
altitude. This imagery further added
credence to MIS all-source and non-
traditional imagery information
© MIS Ltd. (2017) NOAA Imagery© NOAA (2017)
Imagery & Mapping © Digitalglobe Inc (2017) Analytics Data © MIS Ltd (2017)
McKenzie Intelligence
Geoeye 1
Geoeye 2
Quickbird
Worldview 1
Worldview 2
Worldview 3
HiRes Satellite Imagery
Bespoke TaskingMcKenzie Intelligence
Bespoke TaskingMcKenzie Intelligence
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Demo
How do I get access?McKenzie Intelligence
● Send email to [email protected]
● A password will be sent to your email address
MIS-Intel – Forward vision – Increased automation in order to
decrease property assessments at scale
McKenzie Intelligence
● Exploitation of increased availability of data (IoT)
● Increase in automation (machine learning)
● Ingestion of client data (Blockchain)
● Creation of Authoritative damage layer
● Application Programming Interface (API)
Ingesting Risk DataMcKenzie Intelligence
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API Development
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Visualisation of Damage
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Any Questions