2017 state of the community report
TRANSCRIPT
Special Thanks To…
• Town of Chapel Hill
• Carolina Population Center
• Carolina Demography
• Chapel Hill-Orange County Visitors Bureau
• Orange Water & Sewer Authority (OWASA)
• Mark Zimmerman, Re/Max Winning Edge
• University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
• Durham Tech
• GoTriangle
• Chapel Hill Transit
Orange County Land Distribution
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Chapel Hill5%
Carrboro2%
Hillsborough1%
Rest of Orange
94%
Source 2011-15 ACS
Location of Orange County Housing Units
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Chapel Hill20,62437%
Carrboro9,22516%
Hillsborough2,4554%
Rest of Orange23,99343%
Source 2011-15 ACS
Southern Orange County Planning JurisdictionsTown of Chapel Hill
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Population Growth 2016
Jurisdiction 2010 2016Pop
GrowthGrowth Rate
Orange
County133,801 141,796 +7,995 6.0% (0.9% PY)
Hillsborough 6,087 6,568 +481 7.9% (1.2% PY)
Carrboro 19,582 21,265 +1,683 8.6% (1.3% PY)
Chapel Hill 57,233 59,246 +2,013 3.5% (0.6% PY)
North
Carolina9,535,483 10,146,788 +611,305 6.4% (1.0% PY)
Source U.S. Census Bureau
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Orange County Population Growth Slowest Since 1960sNumeric Growth By Decade, 1930-2010
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
1,901
11,363
8,535
14,737
19,348
16,796
24,376
15,574
1930s 1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s
Source U.S. Census Bureau
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
9.0%
49.3%
24.8%
34.3% 33.5%
21.8% 26.0%
13.2%
1930s 1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s
Source U.S. Census Bureau
Orange County Population Percentage Growth Slowest Since 1930sPercent Population Increase By Decade, 1930-2010
Chatham County added 14,176 in the 2000sNumeric Growth By Decade, 1930-2010
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
549 6661,393
2,769
3,861
5,344
10,570
14,176
1930s 1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s
Source U.S. Census Bureau
2.3% 2.7%5.5%
10.3%13.1%
16.0%
27.3%28.7%
1930s 1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s
2000s Fastest Growth Decade for Chatham CountyPercent Population Increase By Decade, 1930-2010
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Population Gains Since 2010 Smallest in OrangeNumeric Population Growth, April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
8,169
8,544
8,739
36,157
145,754
Orange County
Alamance County
Chatham County
Durham County
Wake County
Source U.S. Census Bureau
Orange, Alamance Grew Slower than State AveragePopulation Growth Rate, April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
5.7%
6.1%
6.4%
13.4%
13.8%
16.2%
Alamance County
Orange County
North Carolina
Durham County
Chatham County
Wake County
Source U.S. Census Bureau
International Migration, Births, Drove County Pop GrowthComponents of Orange County’s estimated 1,100 person growth, July 1, 2015 – July 1, 2016
1,1001,205
-777
-69
808
Total PopulationChange Births Deaths
DomesticMigration
InternationalMigration
Note: Not shown is the estimated loss of -67 individuals that cannot be attributed to births, deaths or migration (residual).
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source U.S. Census Bureau
Orange 2015-16 Net Migration Rate Lower than NeighborsRate of net migration & natural increase (births-deaths) per 1,000 residents, July 1, 2015 to July 1, 2016
0.9
-1.4
7.8
3.0
7.2
10.4
19.9
10.5
5.2
16.5
Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake
Natural Increase Rate Net Migration Rate
Source U.S. Census Bureau
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Share 65+ increased statewide, locallyPopulation proportion 65+, April 1, 2010 vs July 1, 2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
18%
15%13%
10% 10%8%
25%
17%15%
12% 12%11%
Chatham Alamance North Carolina Orange Durham Wake
2010 2016
Source U.S. Census Bureau
Increases in 65+ drove majority of NC, county growthShare of 2010-16 population growth due to 65+ growth
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
72%
56%
55%
52%
28%
24%
Chatham
Orange
North Carolina
Alamance
Durham
Wake
Source U.S. Census Bureau
Orange County Population by Race Changes By Decade
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: US Census Bureau
80% 78%71% 69%
20% 22%29% 31%
1990 2000 2010 2016
White African American Latino/Hispanic Asian Two or More RacesOther Racial/Ethnic Groups
Orange County Population by Race Changes By Decade
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: US Census Bureau; Orange County Planning
80% 78%71% 69%
16%14%
12% 12%
1%5%
8% 8%
3% 4%
7% 8%
3% 3%
1990 2000 2010 2016
Two or More Races
Asian
Latino/Hispanic
African American
White
Orange Minority Population by Race
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Orange County Planning
14,847 16,625
1,279
11,870
2,352
11,460
-
3,171
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
1990 2000 2010 2016
Black
Hispanic (any Race)
Asian or Pacific Islander
Multiracial
Chatham Minority Population by Race
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
8,794 8,775
564
8,626
1,347
-
1,047
0
4,000
8,000
12,000
16,000
20,000
1990 2000 2010 2016
Black Hispanic (any Race) Asian or Pacific Islander Multiracial
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Orange County Planning
Chapel Hill Minority Population by Race
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
4,840 5,460
607
3,638 1,678
6,786
-
1,282
0
3,000
6,000
9,000
12,000
15,000
18,000
1990 2000 2010
Black Hispanic (any Race) Asian or Pacific Islander Multiracial
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Orange County Planning
Carrboro Minority Population by Race
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
1,916 1,933
199
2,706 427
1,592
-
430
0
1,750
3,500
5,250
7,000
1990 2000 2010
Black Hispanic (any Race) Asian or Pacific Islander Multiracial
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Orange County Planning
How many people in 2050? Orange County3 Population Projection Models
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: Carolina Demography, Orange County Planning
271,957
214,200
133,801
186,408
0
75,000
150,000
225,000
300,000
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Nu
mb
er
of
Peo
ple
Exponential (90-10) Linear (90-10) Linear (10-16)
How many people in 2050? Chapel Hill3 Population Projection Models
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: Carolina Demography, Orange County Planning
125,104
94,509
57,23370,190
0
75,000
150,000
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Nu
mb
er
of
Peo
ple
Exponential (90-10) Linear (90-10) Linear (10-16)
How many people in 2050? Carrboro3 Population Projection Models
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: Carolina Demography, Orange County Planning
51,073
36,012
19,582
30,381
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Nu
mb
er
of
Peo
ple
Exponential (90-10) Linear (80-10) Linear (10-16)
How many people in 2050? Hillsborough3 Population Projection Models
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: Carolina Demography, Orange County Planning
12,421
10,204
6,087
8,832
0
7,000
14,000
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Nu
mb
er
of
Peo
ple
Exponential (90-10) Linear (80-10) Linear (10-16)
How many people in 2050? Chatham County3 Population Projection Models
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: Carolina Demography, Orange County Planning
170,482
113,306
63,505
119,783
0
75,000
150,000
225,000
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Nu
mb
er
of
Peo
ple
Exponential (90-10) Linear (90-10) Linear (10-16)
Carrboro Remains One of the Most Densely Populated Communities in NCPeople per square mile by census and projections
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Orange County Planning
2,970
3,4373,754
3,108
3,586
4,158
1980 Census 1990 Census 2000 Census 2010 Census 2020 Projected 2030 Projected
Chapel Hill Population Density IncreasesPeople per square mile by census and projections
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Orange County Planning
2,5902,353
2,5482,785
3,140
3,560
1980 Census 1990 Census 2000 Census 2010 Census 2020 Projected 2030 Projected
Chapel Hill in 2030 is Less Dense than Most College Towns TodayPeople Per Square Mile
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Orange County Planning
4,246
4,116
4,094
3,948
3,472
3,108
3,037
2,785
3,560
Charlottesville (VA)
Burlington (VT)
Ann Arbor (MI)
Boulder (CO)
Bloomington (IN)
Carrboro (NC)
Madison (WI)
Chapel Hill (NC)
Chapel Hill 2030
Homes Sold in 2016 Exceeded Pre-Recession SalesNumber of single and multifamily home sales in Orange County, 2007-16
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
1,751
1,2751,143 1,143 1,128
1,277
1,630
1,433
1,650
1,815
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016Source: Triangle MLS
Chatham Home Sales Rebounded in 2012Number of single and multifamily home sales, 2007-2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
1,751
1,815
1,008 1,037
1,412
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Ho
me
Sa
les
Orange
Chatham
Source: Triangle MLS
New construction activity concentrated in WakeNumber of single and multi-family homes built and sold, 2010-2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
1,152
2,043
4,520
23,744
Orange
Chatham
Durham
Wake
Source: Triangle MLS
Chatham had largest growth of housing stock since 2010New construction (2010-2016) as share of 2010 housing stock
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
2.1%
3.8%
6.4%
7.1%
Orange
Durham
Wake
Chatham
Source: Triangle MLS
Chatham New Construction Sales Outpace OrangeNumber of single and multi-family homes built and sold, 2007-2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
253 202
313
429
0
100
200
300
400
500
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Orange Chatham
Orange
Chatham
Source: Triangle MLS
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
1984median year house built in Orange County
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
2004median year Orange County
homeowner moved into unit
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
vs. 2013 for renters
Orange Median Home Prices Rise3.5% in 2016 and 13.2% since 2012
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
$260,000$255,000 $258,000
$275,000
$262,250 $265,000
$274,450 $267,000
$290,000
$300,000
$200,000
$240,000
$280,000
$320,000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Source: Triangle MLS
Chatham Median Home Prices Rise5.1% in 2016 and 26.8% since 2012
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
$282,500
$270,000
$250,703
$263,930
$274,990 $277,700
$303,350
$317,373
$335,000
$352,140
$200,000
$240,000
$280,000
$320,000
$360,000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Source: Triangle MLS
Steady growth in regional home pricesMedian residential closing price, 2007-2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
$277,700
$352,140
$265,000
$300,000
$200,000
$240,000
$280,000
$320,000
$360,000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Orange
Chatham
Chatham
Orange
Source: Triangle MLS
Price in Chatham Exceeds All Others2016 Median Residential Closing Price
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
$211,000
$264,900
$352,140
$300,000
$347,000
Durham Wake Chatham Orange CHCCS DistSource: Triangle MLS
Price Per Square FootMedian Price Per Square Foot, 2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
$114 $124
$142 $146 $160
Durham Wake Chatham Orange CHCCS DistSource: Triangle MLS
Home prices have risen across the regionChange in median residential sales price, 2012 vs 2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
25.7%
29.8%
31.4%
13.2%
Durham
Wake
Chatham
Orange
Source: Triangle MLS
40% of Homes in CHCCS District and 50% of All Orange County Homes Sold for <$300K2016 Orange County home sales by price
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
27%
20%
43%
23%
20%
29%
17%
24%
2%
22%
24%
19%
11%
13%
8%
Orange County (All)(1,829 Sales)
CHCCS District(1,245 Sales)
Not CHCCS(584 Sales)
<$200,000 $200,000-$299,999 $300,000-$399,999 $400,000-$600,000 $600,000 or More
Source: Triangle MLS
2016 City and Town Property Tax Rates
.3500.3900
.4183
.5240
.5607
.5894
.6720
0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75
Huntersville
Cary
Apex
Raleigh
Asheville
Charlotte
Concord
Wilmington
Fayetteville
Greenville
Chapel Hill
Gastonia
Wilson
Durham
Hickory
Burlington
Winston-Salem
Monroe
Carrboro
Rocky Mount
Kannapolis
Greensboro
Jacksonville
High Point
Goldsboro
Salisbury
Source: NC Department of Revenue
2016 All Jurisdictions Property Tax Rates
.9505.9905
1.0188
1.3011
1.4020
1.4674
0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50
Cary
Apex
Raleigh
Asheville
Wilmington
Huntersville
Hickory
Burlington
Concord
Greenville
Fayetteville
Rocky Mount
Wilson
Charlotte
Durham
Goldsboro
Winston-Salem
Jacksonville
Kannapolis
Salisbury
Monroe
Greensboro
Chapel Hill
High Point
Carrboro
Source: NC Department of Revenue
2016 Tax Rates Assessed on Median Home Value
$1,211
$2,271
$2,481
$3,158$3,226
$3,669$5,060
$500 $1,250 $2,000 $2,750 $3,500 $4,250 $5,000
Rocky Mount
Burlington
Fayetteville
Hickory
Goldsboro
High Point
Wilson
Winston-Salem
Jacksonville
Kannapolis
Gastonia
Greensboro
Greenville
Salisbury
Concord
Monroe
Wilmington
Raleigh
Charlotte
Durham
Asheville
Huntersville
Apex
Cary
Carrboro
Chapel Hill
Source: NC Department of Revenue, Zillow (ZHVI, 7/31/2017)
Most people are renting
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
40
60
53
40
23
39
64
52
43
21
Orange County Carrboro Chapel Hill Hillsborough Chatham County
2011-15 ACS 2006-2010 ACS
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
2016 UNC Student Enrollment by Housing Type
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Resident Student Housing
8,03327%
Married Student Housing
4652%
Off-Campus18,92764%
Fraternity & Sorority
8413%
Other University Affiliated Housing (Granville Towers)
1,2034%
Source: UNC Fact Book, OIRA
What people are paying for rentOrange County Gross Rent Paid in 2015
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
3.7%
51.3%
31.4%
13.7%
Less than $500
$500 to $999
$1,000 to $1,499
$1500 or more
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
45%of county renters spent $1,000 or more on rent in 2015
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Households Paying More Than 30% of Gross Income on Rent DeclinesGross Rent as a Percentage of Household Income
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
20.2%
23.9%
55.9%
24.3%
25.3%
50.4%
< 19.9percent
20 to 29.9percent
> 30 percent
2011-15 2006-10
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Households Paying More Than 30% of Gross Income on Rent DeclinesPercent Change 2006-2010 to 2011-2015
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
20.3%
5.9%
-9.8%
< 19.9 percent
20 to 29.9 percent
> 30 percent
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
2017 Fair Market Rent
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
North
Carolina
Durham-
Chapel Hill
HMFA
Alamance
County
Raleigh
MSA
Zero Bedroom $629 $710 $652 $695
One Bedroom $683 $834 $668 $861
Two Bedroom $821 $978 $838 $993
Three Bedroom $1,108 $1,332 $1,143 $1,294
Four Bedroom $1,336 $1,481 $1,238 $1,592
Source: National Low Income Housing Coalition
Local Housing Wage is $16.04 for a 1 Bedroom AptHousing Wage = Hourly Wages Needed to Afford Fair Market Rate Rent, 2017
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
North
Carolina
Durham-
Chapel Hill
HMFA
Alamance
County
Raleigh
MSA
Zero Bedroom $12.09 $13.65 $12.54 $13.37
One Bedroom $13.13 $16.04 $12.85 $16.56
Two Bedroom $15.79 $18.81 $16.12 $19.10
Three Bedroom $21.30 $25.62 $21.98 $24.88
Four Bedroom $25.69 $28.48 $23.81 $30.62 Source: National Low Income Housing Coalition
$39,120 Needed for 2 Bedroom Fair Market RentAnnual Salary Needed to Afford Fair Market Rate Rent, 2017
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
North
Carolina
Durham-
Chapel Hill
HMFA
Alamance
County
Raleigh
MSA
Zero Bedroom $25,147 $28,400 $26,080 $27,800
One Bedroom $27,319 $33,360 $26,720 $34,440
Two Bedroom $32,843 $39,120 $33,520 $39,720
Three Bedroom $44,305 $53,280 $45,720 $51,760
Four Bedroom $53,437 $59,240 $49,520 $63,680 Source: National Low Income Housing Coalition
104 Hours of Work Needed for Minimum Wage Worker to Afford Local 2 Bedroom RentalWeekly Hours of Minimum Wage Work Needed to Afford Fair Market Rate Rent, 2017
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
North
Carolina
Durham-
Chapel Hill
HMFA
Alamance
County
Raleigh
MSA
Zero Bedroom 67 75 69 74
One Bedroom 72 88 71 91
Two Bedroom 87 104 89 105
Three Bedroom 118 141 121 137
Four Bedroom 142 157 131 169Source: National Low Income Housing Coalition
ELI = Extremely Low Income
30% or Less of Area Median Income
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Affordable Units Per 100 ELI HouseholdExtremely Low Income (ELI) Households earn 0-30% Area Median Income
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
26
39 4036
49
2834
68
27
62
Orange Durham Chatham Wake Alamance
2005-09 2010-14
Source: Urban Institute
Orange County Gap between ELI Households and Available Units Decreased by More than 1,000 UnitsGap between ELI households (<30% area median income) and available units
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
5,891
7,504
5,821
2,251
1,927
1,616
2000
2005-2009
2010-2014
Units ELI householdsSource: Urban Institute
Chatham County Gap between ELI Households and Available Units Decreases by Nearly 50%Gap between ELI households (<30% area median income) and available units
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
764
1,443
1,773
453
576
1,197
2000
2005-2009
2010-2014
Units ELI householdsSource: Urban Institute
Orange Chronically Homeless at Lowest Recorded LevelNumber of Chronically Homeless Individuals (annual point-in-time count), 2011-2017
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
50
29
28
23
25
15
14
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Source: Orange County Partnership to End Homelessness
18 Homeless Children in Families in OrangeNumber of Homeless Children in Families (annual point-in-time count), 2011-2017
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
17
15
16
17
19
6
18
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Source: Orange County Partnership to End Homelessness
Chapel Hill Second Highest % with BA+Percent of Residents 25+ with Bachelors degree or higher (2011-15)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Cambridge (MA), 75.1Chapel Hill (NC), 74
Carrboro (NC), 68
Orange County (NC), 56.6
Chatham County (NC), 36.8
0 20 40 60 80
Cambridge (MA)
Chapel Hill (NC)
Boulder (CO)
Ann Arbor (MI)
Berkeley (CA)
Amherst (MA)
Carrboro (NC)
Evanston (IL)
Sunnyvale (CA)
Corvallis (OR)
Bloomington (IN)
Orange County (NC)
Santa Clara (CA)
Fort Collins (CO)
Burlington (VT)
Charlottesville (VA)
Tallahassee (FL)
Austin (TX)
Boston (MA)
Gainesville (FL)
Athens-Clarke County (GA)
San Jose (CA)
Chatham County (NC)
Columbus (OH)
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Orange Per Capita Income Growth Outpaces All OthersInflation Adjusted Per Capita Income, 1969-2015
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
$55,338
$0
$10,000
$20,000
$30,000
$40,000
$50,000
$60,000
1969 1974 1979 1984 1989 1994 1999 2004 2009 2014
Alamance Chatham Durham Wake Orange
Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
Orange Highest Per Capita Income in State
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Orange, NC$55,338
Chatham, NC$51,839
North Carolina$40,759
Robeson, NC$27,487
$0
$10,000
$20,000
$30,000
$40,000
$50,000
$60,000
Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
Per Capita Personal IncomeBy County, 2015
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
$55,338 $52,129 $51,839 $51,776
$48,602 $44,507 $44,442 $44,199 $43,952 $43,859
Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
2016 ACCRA Cost of Living Housing Index
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Chapel Hill/Orange County102.4
Burlington71.5
Charlotte85.1
Durham72.1 Raleigh
69.3
Winston-Salem68.2
60
80
100
120
Source: ACCRA Cost of living Index, select annual averages
2016 ACCRA Cost of Living Grocery Index
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Chapel Hill/Orange County
92.0
Burlington97.6
Charlotte94.0
Durham96.9
Raleigh113.4
Winston-Salem98.9
85
100
115
Source: ACCRA Cost of living Index, select annual averages
2016 ACCRA Cost of Living Composite Index
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Chapel Hill/Orange County
96.0
Burlington89.9
Charlotte94.8
Durham88.5
Raleigh94.4
Winston-Salem91.5
85
100
115
Source: ACCRA Cost of living Index, select annual averages
Orange has #1 Adjusted Gross Income, Chatham #18
CountyAverage AGI on
Itemized ReturnsRank
(of 100 Counties)
Orange County $175,600 1
Mecklenburg County $134,897 2
Wake County $128,756 3
Guilford County $110,738 11
Durham County $106,478 15
Chatham County $101,900 18
Alamance County $92,312 36
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: National Center for Charitable Statistics
Orange #4 in Value of Itemized Deductions, Chatham #85
County Average Itemized
Contributions Reported
Rank (of 100 Counties)
Orange County $5,665 4
Mecklenburg County $5,230 19
Guilford County $5,080 32
Durham County $4,678 55
Wake County $4,519 62
Alamance County $4,425 68
Chatham County $4,166 85
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: National Center for Charitable Statistics
Orange Ranks 98th in Percent of Income Donated, Chatham 90th
County Percent of AGI
Contributed
Rank (of 100
Counties)
Alamance County 4.8% 72
Guilford County 4.6% 79
Durham County 4.4% 82
Chatham County 4.1% 90
Mecklenburg County 3.9% 91
Wake County 3.5% 96
Orange County 3.2% 98
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: National Center for Charitable Statistics
Yancey and Macon Counties Lead NC in Contributions
County Average Itemized
Contribution
Rank (of 100
Counties) Percent
of AGI Contributed
Yancey $7,919 (9.2%) 1
Macon County $8,007 (8.5%) 2
Washington County $5,579 (7.3%) 3
Anson County $5,086 (7.2%) 4
Warren County $4,169 (7.1%) 5
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: National Center for Charitable Statistics
Unemployment Declines in North CarolinaUnemployment Rate, 2005-May 2017
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
6.5 6.5
10.9
4.3
-
4.0
8.0
12.0
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 May '17
Un
em
plo
yme
nt
Ra
te
Chapel Hill Orange County North Carolina
Source: NC Department of Commerce
Orange County Employment Patterns
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: National Association of Counties
Orange County Major Employers 2017 Q1
1. UNC Chapel Hill
2. UNC Health Care System
3. Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools
4. Orange County Schools
5. Local government
6. UNC Physicians Network
7. Town of Chapel Hill
8. Eurosport
9. General Electric
10. Wal-Mart
11. Aramark Food and Support Services
12. Harris Teeter
13. Food Lion
14. AKG of America
15. The Chapel Hill Residential
16. PHE Inc
17. Weaver St Market
18. Strata Solar
19. Performance Chevrolet
20. Residential Services
21. Wellspring Grocery
22. Carolina Inn
23. Summit Consulting-Engineering
24. The Arc of the Triangle
25. US Postal ServiceSource: NC Department of Commerce
Orange County Number of Enterprises by Industry By North American Industry Classification System (NAICS)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: NC Commerce (ESRI Business Numbers) - 2016
735
647
588
571
467
376
348
346
338
333
Other Srv excl Public Admin NAICS81
Retail Trade NAICS44-45
Prof/Scientific/Tech Srv NAICS54
Health Care/Social Assist NAICS62
Construction NAICS23
Accommodation/Food Services NAICS72
Finance & Insurance NAICS52
Unclassified Establishments NAICS99
Real Estate/Rental/Leasing NAICS53
Food Srv & Drinking Places NAICS722
Retail, Wholesale & Health Care Lead Sales in Orange2016 Sales by NAICS Industry Code (Millions)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: NC Commerce (ESRI Business Numbers) - 2016
$2,168
$2,040
$1,334
$806
$685
$675
$550
$407
$399
$384
Retail Trade NAICS44-45
Wholesale Trade NAICS42
Health Care/Social Assist NAICS62
Manufacturing NAICS31-33
Construction NAICS23
Finance & Insurance NAICS52
Prof/Scientific/Tech Srv NAICS54
Food & Beverage Stores NAICS445
Real Estate/Rental/Leasing NAICS53
Secur/Commodity Contracts NAICS523
Chatham County Employment Patterns
Source: National Association of Counties
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Chatham County Major Employers 2017 Q1
1. Chatham County Schools
2. County Of Chatham
3. Carolina Meadows
4. Galloway Ridge
5. Mountaire Farms of NC
6. Wal-Mart
7. Arauco Panels
8. Chatham Hospital
9. Fitch Creations
10. Boise Cascade Company
11. Palletone of North Carolina
12. The Laurels of Chatham
13. Lowes Home Centers
14. Sunrise Home Care
15. Piedmont Health Services
16. Harris Teeter
17. Acme McCrary
18. Food Lion
19. Brookwood Farms
20. Genesis Administrative Services
21. Central Carolina Community College
22. Town & Country Hardware Stores
23. Governors Club
24. Triangle Electrical Services
25. NC Department of Public SafetySource: NC Department of Commerce
357
312
251
176
173
153
128
124
112
106
Other Srv excl Public Admin NAICS81
Retail Trade NAICS44-45
Construction NAICS23
Prof/Scientific/Tech Srv NAICS54
Health Care/Social Assist NAICS62
Finance & Insurance NAICS52
Public Administration NAICS92
Real Estate/Rental/Leasing NAICS53
Accommodation/Food Services NAICS72
Admin/Waste Mgmt&Remediatn NAICS56
Chatham County Number of Enterprises by IndustryBy North American Industry Classification System (NAICS)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: NC Commerce (ESRI Business Numbers) - 2016
Wholesale & Manufacturing Lead Chatham County SalesSales By NAICS Industry Code (Thousands)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: NC Commerce (ESRI Business Numbers) - 2016
$1,212,210
$802,465
$650,280
$277,142
$259,409
$250,212
$246,350
$152,503
$125,647
$124,823
Wholesale Trade NAICS42
Manufacturing NAICS31-33
Retail Trade NAICS44-45
Construction NAICS23
Health Care/Social Assist NAICS62
Utilities NAICS22
Finance & Insurance NAICS52
Food & Beverage Stores NAICS445
Real Estate/Rental/Leasing NAICS53
Information NAICS51
Orange County & Municipality Minority Business Ownership Rates Fall Below U.S. And Statewide Averages
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
10.3%
11.8%
13.5%
13.7%
14.0%
14.9%
15.2%
20.5%
20.8%
21.1%
22.8%
26.3%
28.8%
36.7%
Bloomington (IN)
Chatham County (NC)
Madison (WI)
Chapel Hill (NC)
Orange County (NC)
Ann Arbor (MI)
Carrboro (NC)
Johnston County (NC)
Alamance County (NC)
Hillsborough (NC)
North Carolina
Wake County (NC)
United States
Durham County (NC)
Source: U.S Census Bureau
Female Business Ownership Rate in Orange County Exceeds State and US Average
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
30.2%
31.2%
32.2%
32.4%
34.2%
34.6%
35.4%
35.5%
35.6%
35.6%
35.8%
35.9%
36.3%
41.7%
Bloomington (IN)
Hillsborough (NC)
Johnston County (NC)
Ann Arbor (MI)
Chapel Hill (NC)
Alamance County (NC)
Madison (WI)
Chatham County (NC)
North Carolina
Wake County (NC)
United States
Carrboro (NC)
Orange County (NC)
Durham County (NC)
Source: U.S Census Bureau
Orange County Nonprofits
Orange County Registered Nonprofits 975
Orange County 501(c)3 Orgs Filing 990s 437
Annual Revenue of Orange County 501(c)3s $870 million
Assets of Orange county 501(c)3s $3.3 billion
Source Center for Nonprofits
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Chatham County Nonprofits
Chatham County Registered Nonprofits 254
Chatham County 501(c)3 Orgs Filing 990s 98
Annual Revenue of Chatham County 501(c)3s $105 million
Assets of Chatham county 501(c)3s $245 million
Source Center for Nonprofits
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Orange, Chatham and Durham Boast 871 CharitiesTotal Registered 501c3 Non Profits by County (2015)
303
83
485
Orange Chatham Durham
Source Center for Nonprofits
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Total Non-Profit EmploymentNonprofit Employee County by County (2015)
29,808
1,681
42,373
Orange Chatham Durham
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source Center for Nonprofits
47% of Orange County workers employed in NonprofitNonprofit employment as percent of total employment, 2015
47%
12%
23%
Orange Chatham Durham
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source Center for Nonprofits
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
46%of UNC’s employees
are from Orange County
Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research
Distribution of UNC-CH’s 12,411 Employees (2016)By county of home address
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
5,757
2,424
1,617
1,129
608
597
68
69
82
25
35
Orange
Durham
Wake
Alamance
Chatham
Other
Person
Lee
Guilford
Randolph
Granville
Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research
Growing number of UNC employees live in WakeChange in number of UNC employees by county of residence, 2013-2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
108
102
293
42
-42
-117
-7
-1
23
0
27
Orange
Durham
Wake
Alamance
Chatham
Other
Person
Lee
Guilford
Randolph
Granville
Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research
Orange Worker Inflows/Outflows, 201442,696 drive in, 35,545 drive out and 19,611 live and work in Orange
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Chapel Hill/Carrboro Worker Inflows/Outflows, 201438,942 drive in, 17,922 drive out and 10,572 live and work in Orange
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
More jobs but fewer workers living in OrangeNumber of jobs in Orange vs. workers in Orange, 2002-2014
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
52,608
57,822
62,307
48,618
52,754
57,54955,156
40,000
45,000
50,000
55,000
60,000
65,000
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Nu
mb
er
of
Pe
op
le
Jobs in Orange Workers in Orange
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Most Orange County residents work elsewhereShare of Orange County resident workers who work outside of Orange County, 2002-2014
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
55%
64%
50%
55%
60%
65%
70%
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
58% of Orange County Households Have 2+ CarsShare of Households by Number of Vehicles Available, 2011-15
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
22.5%
36.5%
36.8%
4.1%
3 or MoreVehicles
2 Vehicles
1 Vehicle
No Vehicles
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Fewer Orange, Chatham Workers Drive Alone to WorkPercent of commuters who drive alone to work, 2011-15
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
[CELLRANGE] [CELLRANG
E]
[CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE]
North Carolina Orange Chatham Alamance Durham Wake
46% of Chatham Workers Driving Alone Travel 30+ MinutesPercent of those who drive alone to work commuting 30+ minutes, 2011-15
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
[CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE]
North Carolina Orange Chatham Alamance Durham Wake
Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
Local Transit Ridership Down 1.05MTotal Chapel Hill Transit Ridership (in millions), FY2004-FY2017
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
5.27
7.23
6.18
4.0
6.0
8.0
FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17
Source: Chapel Hill Transit
GoTriangle Ridership Down 3.2% Off PeakTotal Triangle Transit Ridership, FY2004-FY2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: Triangle Transit
711,117
1,843,735 1,784,700
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17
More Orange County jobs filled by in-commutersShare of county jobs filled by individuals who live outside of Orange County, 2002-2014
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
58%
69%
50%
55%
60%
65%
70%
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Few differences in earnings by place of work/residenceCommuters into/out of Orange County by income, 2014
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
16% 17% 16%
34% 29% 32%
50% 53% 52%
Driving into Orange for Work Driving Out of Orange forWork
Live and Work in Orange
<$15,000 $15,000-$39,999 >$40,000
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Fewer young workers live and work in OrangeGrowth in number of young workers (<30) in Orange County by place of work, 2010 vs. 2014
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
2.0%0.8%
-13.8%
Driving Into Orange for WorkDriving Out of Orange for
Work Live and Work in Orange
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Fewer workers under 55 live and work in OrangeNumber living and working in Orange County by Age, 2002-2014
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
5,079
3,390
13,299
10,883
3,544
5,338
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Nu
mb
er
of
Pe
op
le
Workers Aged 29 or younger Workers Aged 30 to 54 Workers Aged 55 or older
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Chapel Hill Worker Inflows/Outflows, 201438,917 Drive In, 13,228 Drive Out and 6,490 Live and Work in Chapel Hill
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Where People Commute From to Fill Chapel Hill JobsPlace of Residence of Individuals Whose Primary Job was in Chapel Hill in 2014
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
8,584
6,490
3,103
2,435
2,044
598
578
481
412
401
20,281
Durham city, NC
Chapel Hill town, NC
Carrboro town, NC
Raleigh city, NC
Cary town, NC
Apex town, NC
Burlington city, NC
Mebane city, NC
Greensboro city, NC
Charlotte city, NC
All Other Locations
Where Do Chapel Hill Residents Work?Location of Primary Job, 2014
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
6,490
4,116
1,629
619
559
470
429
181
171
166
4,888
Chapel Hill town, NC
Durham city, NC
Raleigh city, NC
Cary town, NC
Charlotte city, NC
Greensboro city, NC
Carrboro town, NC
Burlington city, NC
Hillsborough town, NC
Morrisville town, NC
All Other Locations
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Carrboro Worker Inflows/Outflows, 20143,557 Drive In, 8,226 Drive Out, and 550 Live and Work in Carrboro
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Where People Commute From to Fill Carrboro JobsPlace of Residence of Individuals Whose Primary Job was in Carrboro in 2014
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
550
515
429
163
96
71
63
60
41
36
2,083
Carrboro town, NC
Durham city, NC
Chapel Hill town, NC
Raleigh city, NC
Cary town, NC
Charlotte city, NC
Mebane city, NC
Burlington city, NC
Greensboro city, NC
Apex town, NC
All Other Locations
Where Do Carrboro Residents Work?Location of Primary Job, 2014
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
3,103
1,427
696
550
239
210
185
142
95
82
2,047
Chapel Hill town, NC
Durham city, NC
Raleigh city, NC
Carrboro town, NC
Cary town, NC
Charlotte city, NC
Greensboro city, NC
Hillsborough town, NC
Burlington city, NC
Morrisville town, NC
All Other Locations
Chatham Worker Inflows/Outflows, 20148,923 drive in, 20,985 drive out and 5,016 Live and Work in Chatham
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Majority of Chatham Residents Work ElsewhereShare of Chatham County resident workers who work outside of Chatham, 2002-2014
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
80.7%
65.3%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
2014201320122011201020092008200720062005200420032002
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Where Do Chatham County Workers Work?2014 vs. 2005
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
3,717
2,826
2,365
1,298
1,219
1,190
746
714
673
418
10,835
0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000
Chapel Hill town, NC
Raleigh city, NC
Durham city, NC
Pittsboro town, NC
Cary town, NC
Siler City town, NC
Greensboro city, NC
Sanford city, NC
Charlotte city, NC
Asheboro city, NC
All Other Locations
2005
2014
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Where People Drive From to Fill Chatham County Jobs2014 vs. 2005 (Top 10)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
777
719
463
386
362
351
300
195
182
161
0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600
Siler City town, NC
Durham city, NC
Raleigh city, NC
Cary town, NC
Sanford city, NC
Pittsboro town, NC
Chapel Hill town, NC
Carrboro town, NC
Apex town, NC
Greensboro city, NC
2005
2014
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Taxable Sales Grows to $1.7 BillionOrange County Taxable Sales (millions)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: NC Department of Revenue
$908 $948 $972 $927 $946$1,017 $1,058
$1,176
$1,422 $1,477$1,568
$1,726
Annual Growth of Orange County Taxable SalesChange (in millions) in Taxable Sales from Prior Year FY05-FY16
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: NC Department of Revenue
$41$23
-$45
$20
$71
$41
$117
$246
$55
$91
$158
Annual Growth of Orange County Taxable SalesPercent Change in Taxable Sales of Prior Year FY05-FY16
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: NC Department of Revenue
2%-1% -1%
23%
17%
-12%
9%
21%
4%6%
10%
Sales Tax Collections Grow to $82 MillionOrange County Gross Sales Tax Collections (millions)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: NC Department of Revenue
$40.82 $41.77 $41.54 $41.05
$50.44
$58.80
$51.54$56.14
$67.84 $70.47$74.76
$82.26
Orange County Hotel Occupancy Slightly Off PeakAverage Daily Hotel Occupancy, 2009-2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: Chapel Hill/Orange County Visitors Bureau
58.9% 59.6%
64.1%65.1% 65.1%
69.9% 69.7% 69.4%
50%
58%
66%
74%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Hotel Average Daily Rate Continues to IncreaseOrange County Average Daily Rate, 2009-2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
$107.35
$102.12 $101.61 $104.38
$106.49
$113.65
$118.94 $120.73
$85
$95
$105
$115
$125
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Source: Chapel Hill/Orange County Visitors Bureau
Revenue per Room Continues to GrowOrange County Average Revenue Per Room, 2009-2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
$63.34 $60.87$65.15
$68.00 $69.60
$79.45$82.95 $83.16
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Source: Chapel Hill/Orange County Visitors Bureau
Orange Tourism Tax Revenue Tops $14.6 MillionState and Local Visitor Spending Tax Revenue (millions)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
$9.98 $10.48
$3.97 $4.16
2015 2016State Tax Revenue (millions) Local Tax Revenue (millions)
$13.95 $14.64
Source: Prepared for VisitNC by the US Travel Association
Domestic Visitor Spending Increases 4.4%Orange County Domestic Visitor Spending (millions)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
$184.45$192.63
2015 2016
Source: Prepared for VisitNC by the US Travel Association
60%
9%
26%
0%3% 1%
OrangeCounty
Carrboro Chapel Hill Durham Hillsborough Mebane
Chapel Hill & Carrboro Receive 36% of Orange County Sales Tax DistributionsMunicipality share of Orange County Local Option Sales Tax (LOST) Revenue Distributions, FY 2016-17
Source: NC Department of Revenue
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Sales Tax Per Capita FY2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
$171.97 $175.27
$157.33
$250.56
$153.88
Orange Alamance Chatham Durham Wake
Source: NC Department of Revenue
Sales Tax Per Capita RankingsRanking of 100 NC Counties (1=highest), 2010-2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
81st
41st
56th
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Co
un
ty R
an
kin
g (
1 to
10
0)
Orange Alamance Chatham Durham WakeSource: NC Department of Revenue
Total Household Income (billions)2016 Total Household Income
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
$4.7
$3.9
$2.7
$9.6
$39.0
Orange County
Alamance County
Chatham County
Durham County
Wake County
Source: ESRI via NC Department of Commerce
Average Household Retail Demand2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
$51,358
$32,097
$44,329
$38,192
$48,176
Orange County
Alamance County
Chatham County
Durham County
Wake County
Source: ESRI via NC Department of Commerce
Orange Had Largest Retail Gap in 2016Retail Potential vs. Retail Sales (in billions), 2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: ESRI via NC Department of Commerce
$2.6 $2.1$1.3
$4.7
$18.7
$1.8$2.7
$0.6
$4.6
$18.1
Orange Alamance Chatham Durham Wake
Retail Potential (Demand)
Retail Sales (Supply)Values shown in billions
Orange Had Largest Retail Gap in 2016Retail Gap– Demand Minus Supply (in Millions), 2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: ESRI via NC Department of Commerce
$796
($660)
$648
$81
$623
Orange Alamance Chatham Durham Wake
Orange County Draws Outside Dollars in 4 Categories2016 Retail Leakage (in Millions)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: ESRI via NC Department of Commerce
-$45.4
-$52.7
-$50.9
-$87.8
-$30.7
-$28.3
$13.9
-$321.9
-$47.1
$.2
-$280.8
$85.7
$49.5
Bldg/Garden Equip/Supply Stores
Clothing/Accessories Stores
Electronics & Appliance Stores
Food and Beverage Stores
Food Services & Drinking Places
Furniture/Home Furnishing Stores
Gasoline Stations
General Merchandise Stores
Health and Personal Care Stores
Miscellaneous Store Retailers
Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers
Nonstore Retailers
Sports/Hobby/Book/Music Stores
Chatham County Draws Outside Dollars in 1 Category2016 Retail Leakage (in Millions)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: ESRI via NC Department of Commerce
-$23.0
-$40.8
-$41.0
-$73.3
-$41.3
-$20.3
-$9.9
-$99.1
-$29.5
-$41.8
-$217.4
-$21.6
$10.7
Bldg/Garden Equip/Supply Stores
Clothing/Accessories Stores
Electronics & Appliance Stores
Food and Beverage Stores
Food Services & Drinking Places
Furniture/Home Furnishing Stores
Gasoline Stations
General Merchandise Stores
Health and Personal Care Stores
Miscellaneous Store Retailers
Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers
Nonstore Retailers
Sports/Hobby/Book/Music Stores
Alamance County Huge Draw for Outside Dollars2016 Retail Leakage (in Millions)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: ESRI via NC Department of Commerce
$21.7
$44.3
-$32.0
-$33.0
$61.7
$36.0
$89.5
$238.1
$22.6
$142.8
$29.9
$9.5
$29.0
Bldg/Garden Equip/Supply Stores
Clothing/Accessories Stores
Electronics & Appliance Stores
Food and Beverage Stores
Food Services & Drinking Places
Furniture/Home Furnishing Stores
Gasoline Stations
General Merchandise Stores
Health and Personal Care Stores
Miscellaneous Store Retailers
Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers
Nonstore Retailers
Sports/Hobby/Book/Music Stores
Orange County Retail Businesses Detail2016 Retail Businesses in Orange County by Category
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: ESRI via NC Department of Commerce
55
78
41
78
330
27
40
20
49
102
37
24
53
Bldg/Garden Equip/Supply Stores
Clothing/Accessories Stores
Electronics & Appliance Stores
Food and Beverage Stores
Food Services & Drinking Places
Furniture/Home Furnishing Stores
Gasoline Stations
General Merchandise Stores
Health and Personal Care Stores
Miscellaneous Store Retailers
Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers
Nonstore Retailers
Sports/Hobby/Book/Music Stores
Chatham County Retail Businesses Detail2016 Retail Businesses in Chatham County by Category
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: ESRI via NC Department of Commerce
37
14
15
45
100
20
28
21
15
52
28
5
17
Bldg/Garden Equip/Supply Stores
Clothing/Accessories Stores
Electronics & Appliance Stores
Food and Beverage Stores
Food Services & Drinking Places
Furniture/Home Furnishing Stores
Gasoline Stations
General Merchandise Stores
Health and Personal Care Stores
Miscellaneous Store Retailers
Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers
Nonstore Retailers
Sports/Hobby/Book/Music Stores
Number of Alamance County Businesses by Sector2016 Businesses in Alamance County by NAICS Codes
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: ESRI via NC Department of Commerce
54
126
43
98
362
54
80
66
75
178
120
11
51
Bldg/Garden Equip/Supply Stores
Clothing/Accessories Stores
Electronics & Appliance Stores
Food and Beverage Stores
Food Services & Drinking Places
Furniture/Home Furnishing Stores
Gasoline Stations
General Merchandise Stores
Health and Personal Care Stores
Miscellaneous Store Retailers
Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers
Nonstore Retailers
Sports/Hobby/Book/Music Stores
Percent of People in Poverty
2000 2006 2011 2015
Orange County 10% 14% 17% 14%Chatham County 9% 12% 11% 12%Durham County 11% 16% 20% 17%Wake County 7% 9% 12% 11%North Carolina 12% 15% 18% 16%United States 11% 13% 16% 15%
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates (SAIPE)
Food and Nutrition Services Cases at 7-Year Low Food and Nutrition Services (Formerly Food Stamps) Average Cases by Month, Orange County, 2007-2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
2,903 3,037
3,526
4,600
5,4666,129
6,459
5,298
2,000
4,500
7,000
Apr-
07
Aug-0
7
Dec-0
7
Apr-
08
Aug-0
8
Dec-0
8
Apr-
09
Aug-0
9
Dec-0
9
Apr-
10
Aug-1
0
Dec-1
0
Apr-
11
Aug-1
1
Dec-1
1
Apr-
12
Aug-1
2
De
c-1
2
Apr-
13
Aug-1
3
Dec-1
3
Apr-
14
Aug-1
4
Dec-1
4
Apr-
15
Aug-1
5
Dec-1
5
Apr-
16
Aug-1
6
Dec-1
6
Source: Orange County Department of Health and Human Services
SNAP Households Decline, Orange CountyMonthly Household Recipients Over Time
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
11,814
5,822
0
3,500
7,000
10,500
14,000
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Average Monthly Recipients Average Monthly Household Recipients
Source: NC Department of Health and Human Services
Food Insecurity Rate by County (2015)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
16.5%14.3%
15.4%
11.5%
17.9%
13.5%
North Carolina Orange Alamance Chatham Durham Wake
Source: Feeding America
Food Insecure People by County (2015)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
19,790
23,900
7,730
Orange Alamance ChathamSource: Feeding America
Change in Food Insecure People, 2013-2015
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
(1,110)
(1,550)
(20)
1,330
Orange Alamance Chatham Durham
Source: Feeding America
Percent of Students Enrolled in Free and Reduced Lunch2015-2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
54.3% 53.1%
62.2%
44.2%
29.8%36.1%
Alamance Chatham Durham Orange: OCS Orange:CHCCS
Wake
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
Growth of Students Enrolled in Free and Reduced Lunch from 2009-2010 to 2015-2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
3.8%
7.5%
-2.1%
8.7%
15.9%
19.4%
-3.2%Alamance Chatham Durham Johnston Orange: OCS Orange:
CHCCSWake
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
Percent of Children in Poverty
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates (SAIPE)
0.0%
7.5%
15.0%
22.5%
30.0%
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Orange County Alamance County Chatham County Durham County North Carolina
Number of Children in Poverty
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates (SAIPE)
3,711
4,822
2,897
2,506 2,952
2,234
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
20152014201320122011201020092008
Orange County Chatham County
2016 Health Indicators
Health IndicatorOrange
County
Chatham
CountyWho is #1
Length of Life #1 #8 Orange
Quality of Life #5 #14 Currituck
Health Behaviors #4 #9 Polk
Clinical Care #1 #11 Orange
Social & Economic
Factors#2 #9 Union
Physical Environment #8 #53 Hyde
Source: 2016 County Health Rankings - Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
Adult Smoking RatesCompared to Adjacent and Peer Communities
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
19%16%
19%16% 16%
14% 13%
20%
14%
19%16%
Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
Adult ObesityCompared to Adjacent and Peer Communities
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
30%
23%
35%
27%29%
25%
13%
25% 24%22%
24%
Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
Disconnected YouthCompared to Adjacent and Peer Communities
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
15%
4%
13%
16%
12%
9%
5%6%
5%4%
5%
Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
Residential Segregation - Black/WhiteCompared to Adjacent and Peer Communities
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
50
26
4235
4043
53
34
4942
57
Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
14
7
12
8 8 8
15
9
16 16 17
Drug Overdose Deaths per 100,000
Compared to Adjacent and Peer Communities
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
15%17%
15% 15%18% 18%
20%18%
26%
20% 21%
Excessive DrinkingCompared to Adjacent and Peer Communities
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
Access to Exercise OpportunitiesCompared to Adjacent and Peer Communities
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
75%85% 84%
64%
91% 91%98%
85%95%
88% 92%
Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
Orange County Children in Poverty Lowest Among NC Peers
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
23%
13%
26%
18%
26%
15%11%
42%
10%
18%
13%
Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
Orange County Children Faring Better
Source: NC Child
2011 2015
Low Birthweight 8.2% 7.0%
3 and 4 year-olds enrolled in school 57.6% 64.9%
Children living in poor or low income homes 33.0% 31.7%
Teen births age 15-17 (per 1000 girls) 9.2Too small to
measure
Children in foster care (per 1000) 6.7 5.4
Uninsured Children 9% 4.9%
Children assessed for abuse or neglect (per 1000) 38.4 41.5
Health Care CostsCompared to Adjacent and Peer Communities
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
$9,069
$7,183
$8,893 $7,874 $8,157
$8,671 $8,344 $8,694
$7,353 $7,795
$9,156
Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
Leading Causes of Death in 2015Chatham County, NC Orange County, NC
1. Cancer (21.4%) 1. Cancer (23.2%)
2. Heart Disease (19.1%) 2. Heart Disease (20.6%)
3. Cerebrovascular Disease (6.7%) 3. Cerebrovascular Disease (5.7%)
4. Alzheimer's Disease (5.2%) 4. Alzheimer's Disease (3.9%)
5. Chronic lower respiratory diseases (4.3%) 5. All Other Unintentional Injuries (3.7%)
6. Pneumonia and Influenza (3.3%) 6. Chronic lower respiratory diseases (2.9%)
7. All Other Unintentional Injuries (3.2%) 7. Diabetes mellitus (2.5%)
8. Diabetes mellitus (2.9%) 8. Chronic Liver Disease and Cirrhosis (1.8%)
9. Motor Vehicle Injuries (1.8%) 8. Septicemia (1.8%)
10. Nephritis, Nephrotic Syndrome & Nephrosis (1.7%) 10. Nephritis, Nephrotic Syndrome & Nephrosis (1.5%)
Source: NC Center for Health Statistics
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
All Cancers Rate per 100,0002011-2015
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
467
487
442
452
451
464
410 420 430 440 450 460 470 480 490 500
North Carolina
Alamance
Chatham
Durham
Orange
Wake
Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics
All Cancers Rate per 100,0002006-2010 vs. 2011-2015
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
498
523
495490
483 486
467
487
442
452 451
464
400
420
440
460
480
500
520
540
North Carolina Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake
2006-2010 2011-2015
Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics
37
35
33
32
33
32
North Carolina
Alamance
Chatham
Durham
Orange
Wake
Colon/Rectum Cancer Rate per 100,0002011-2015
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics
Colon/Rectum Cancer Rate per 100,0002006-2010 vs. 2011-2015
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics
4341 41
39
353837
3533 32 33 32
North Carolina Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake
2006-2010 2011-2015
Prostate Cancer Rate per 100,0002011-2015
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
116
116
101
109
96
122
North Carolina
Alamance
Chatham
Durham
Orange
Wake
Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics
Prostate Cancer Rate per 100,0002006-2010 vs. 2011-2015
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
154
169
142
167
142
179
116 116
101109
96
122
North Carolina Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake
2006-2010 2011-2015
Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics
Lung/Bronchus Cancer Rate per 100,0002011-2015
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
67
68
50
56
55
54
North Carolina
Alamance
Chatham
Durham
Orange
Wake
Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics
Lung/Bronchus Cancer Rate per 100,0002006-2010 vs. 2011-2015
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
75 77
6369
61 60
67 68
5056 55 54
North Carolina Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake
2006-2010 2011-2015
Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics
Female Breast Cancer Rate per 100,0002011-2015
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
157
172
163
180
180
170
145 150 155 160 165 170 175 180 185
North Carolina
Alamance
Chatham
Durham
Orange
Wake
Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics
Female Breast Cancer Rate per 100,0002006-2010 vs. 2011-2015
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
156 160169
162172
164157
172163
180 180170
North Carolina Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake
2006-2010 2011-2015
Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics
Orange County Rape Crisis Center Clients Served
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
479
375
617
548
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
Source: Orange County Rape Crisis Center
Orange County Teen Pregnancy Rates DecreasePer 1000 Girls, Age 15-17
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
26 cases
9 cases
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014Source: NC Health and Human Services
Orange County Infant Mortality RatePer 1,000 live births
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
12.0
5
8.87.3
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Orange County State
Source: NC Health and Human Services
Asthma in Hospital Discharges per 100,000
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
4850.9 50
72.7
57.3
50.355.2
62.8
55.251.5
45.6 47.7
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Source: North Carolina Hospital Discharge Data
Asthma in Hospital Discharges per 100,000
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
135.7
115.1
0
40
80
120
160
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
All Ages Ages (0-14)
Source: North Carolina Hospital Discharge Data
% of NC Adults Who Answered Yes to:“Has a doctor, nurse or other health professional ever told you that you had asthma?
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: 2015 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS)
NC 2014 Emergency Department Visit with Primary Diagnosis of Asthma by County
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: North Carolina Hospital Discharge Data
NC 2014 Emergency Department Visits with the Primary Diagnosis of Asthma, Ages 0 -14, By County
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: North Carolina Hospital Discharge Data
Violent Crime per 100,000
Compared to Adjacent and Peer Communities
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
342
150
396
174
613
245210
372
231277 299
Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
Violent Crime Rate Per 100,000By County
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
0
300
600
900
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake
Source: North Carolina Department of Public Safety -> View Crime Statistics -> Annual Summary Report (most recent year)
Property Crime Rate Per 100,000By County
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: North Carolina Department of Public Safety -> View Crime Statistics -> Annual Summary Report (most recent year)
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Durham Alamance Orange Wake Chatham
NC Legislative Appropriations to UNC Chapel Hill
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
$543,291,852
$493,923,004
$0
$100,000,000
$200,000,000
$300,000,000
$400,000,000
$500,000,000
$600,000,000
1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016
Source: OIRA
UNC Chapel Hill Revenues Rise, State Appropriations Flat
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
$2,859,984,099
$493,923,004
$0
$500,000,000
$1,000,000,000
$1,500,000,000
$2,000,000,000
$2,500,000,000
$3,000,000,000
$3,500,000,000
1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016
TotalRevenues
StateAppropriations
Source: OIRA
Value of UNC Chapel Hill Endowment
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
$2.66 billion
$0
$500,000,000
$1,000,000,000
$1,500,000,000
$2,000,000,000
$2,500,000,000
$3,000,000,000
$3,500,000,000
1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016
Source: OIRA
UNC Chapel Hill Campus Grows Past 19,500 sqftGross Square Feet of UNC Chapel Hill Campus
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
7,847
9,639
12,312
18,394
19,536
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016
Source: OIRA
UNC Chapel Hill Student Population Exceeds 29,135Number of Students Enrolled at UNC, 1980-2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
21,465
23,85224,872
29,135
16,000
20,000
24,000
28,000
32,000
1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016
More than 12,000 Work for UNC Chapel HillUNC Employees by State Classification, 1980-2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
0
3,500
7,000
10,500
14,000
SPAEmployees
EPAFaculty/Non-Faculty
Source: OIRA
UNC Annual Research Funding passes $847 million
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
$275
$847
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
$700
$800
$900
1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 2016
Millio
ns
Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research
UNC Start-up Companies by Year
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
5
11
3 3 3
1
6
1
7
1
5
7
9
14
109
8
FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16
Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
103UNC start-up companies since 2000
Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research
A partnership between the town, county and
university to accelerate the development
of high potential, high impact ventures in
Chapel Hill and Orange County.
64 companies served since 2012
13 in 2016
1,000 jobs created by graduates
25% in Orange County
$20M in funding raised by graduates
$7.3M annual sales revenues of graduates
Capacity Growing at Durham Tech Orange County Campus
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
3,207
3,466 3,374 3,373 3,412
2,5522,731
2,420 2,360 2,368
2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-2016 2016-2017
Total Seats Offered Total Seats Filled
Source: Durham Tech
# of Sections Offered and Unduplicated Enrollment Durham Tech Orange County Campus
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
150 153 138 140 141
1,131 1,1551,089 1,113 1,066
2012-2013 2013-2104 2014-2015 2015-2016 2016-2017
Total Sections Unduplicated Headcount
Source: Durham Tech
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
46%of CHCCS or OCS graduates
received financial aid from
Durham Tech (2012-2017)
Source: Durham Tech
Durham Tech Students Score High on License TestsDurham Tech Licensure Pass Rates and Transfer Performance 2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
86.3%
100%
75%
100% 100%
89%
TransferPerformance
(AY14-15)
Practical Nursing RegisteredNursing
EMT EMT-P Esthetician
Source: Durham Tech
Total Per Pupil Expenditure (2015-2016)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
$11,355
$10,742
$9,963
$10,056
$9,342
$8,245
$7,996
Chapel-Hill/Carrboro City Schools
Asheville City Schools
Orange County Schools
Durham County Schools
Chatham County Schools
Wake County Schools
Alamance-Burlington Schools
Local Per Pupil Expenditure (2015-2016)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
$5,748
$4,429
$3,921
$3,542
$3,112
$2,430
$1,719
Chapel-Hill/Carrboro City Schools
Asheville City Schools
Orange County Schools
Durham County Schools
Chatham County Schools
Wake County Schools
Alamance-Burlington Schools
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools Per Pupil ExpenditureTrends in CHCCS Per Pupil Expenditure (PPE) by Source, 2004-2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
$3,972
$3,907
$3,965
$4,301
$4,659
$4,983
$4,767
$4,617
$4,916
$5,197
$5,375
$5,475
$5,748
[CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE]
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
StatePPE FederalPPE LocalPPE Total PPE
Average SAT Writing Score 2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
475
445
475
446
576
496
504
300 350 400 450 500 550 600
North Carolina (All Students)
Alamance-Burlington Schools
Chatham County Schools
Durham Public Schools
Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools
Orange County Schools
Wake County Schools
01
01
90
32
06
81
68
09
20
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
Average SAT CR1 Score 2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
502
473
499
474
598
522
526
350 400 450 500 550 600 650
North Carolina (All Students)
Alamance-Burlington Schools
Chatham County Schools
Durham Public Schools
Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools
Orange County Schools
Wake County Schools
01
01
90
32
06
81
68
09
20
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
Average SAT Combined Math, Writing & CR1 Scores 2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
1485
1406
1476
1387
1781
1539
1570
800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000
North Carolina (All Students)
Alamance-Burlington Schools
Chatham County Schools
Durham Public Schools
Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools
Orange County Schools
Wake County Schools
01
01
90
32
06
81
68
09
20
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
EOG Science Grade 3, 2015-16College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5) and Proficient (Level 3+)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
7464
77
89
6554
70
85
State of NorthCarolina
Chatham CountySchools
Orange CountySchools
Chapel Hill-Carrboro Schools
Grade Level Proficient College/Career Ready
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
EOG Math Grade 3, 2015-16College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5) and Proficient (Level 3+)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
65 6671
78
52 53 55
71
State of NorthCarolina
Chatham CountySchools
Orange CountySchools
Chapel Hill-Carrboro Schools
Grade Level Proficient College/Career Ready
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
EOG Reading Grade 3, 2015-16College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5) and Proficient (Level 3+)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
58 56 58
76
48 46 48
68
State of NorthCarolina
Chatham CountySchools
Orange CountySchools
Chapel Hill-Carrboro Schools
Grade Level Proficient College/Career Ready
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
EOG Math Grade 8, 2015-16 College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5) and Proficient (Level 3+)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
45 4653
71
39 4046
67
State of NorthCarolina
Chatham CountySchools
Orange CountySchools
Chapel Hill-Carrboro Schools
Grade Level Proficient College/Career Ready
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
EOG Reading Grade 8, 2015-16 College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5) and Proficient (Level 3+)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
53 55 57
71
42 41 44
63
State of NorthCarolina
Chatham CountySchools
Orange CountySchools
Chapel Hill-Carrboro Schools
Grade Level Proficient College/Career Ready
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
Local School Dropout Rate Declines2000 through 2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
5.20%Orange County
Schools2.21%
1.92%
Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools0.84%
5.71%
North Carolina2.29%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
Source: NC DPI
Share of 9th Graders Graduated in 4 Years by 9th Grade Entry Year, 2002-03 to 2012-13 9th Graders
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
90.2%
90.1%
89.3%
67%
87%
50%
75%
100%
2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13
Year began 9th grade
CHCCS
Orange County
Chatham
NC
Rising Graduation Rates in Neighboring Districts, NC
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
Rising Graduation Rates in Neighboring Districts, NCShare of 9th Graders Graduated in 4 Years by 9th Grade Entry Year, 2002-03 to 2012-13 9th Graders
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Durham
Wake
Alamance-Burlington
50%
75%
100%
2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13
Year began 9th grade
CHCCS
Orange County
Chatham
NC
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
Graduation Rates IncreasingPercent Change in District Graduation Rates between 2006 and 2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
21%
0%
29%
20%
34%
5%
26%
Alamance-Burlington
Chapel Hill-Carrboro
Chatham Durham Orange Wake NC
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
Black Student Graduation Rate ImprovementPercent Change in District Graduation Rates between 2006 and 2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
38%
11% 11%
28%
63%
16%
37%
Alamance-Burlington
Chapel Hill-Carrboro
Chatham Durham Orange Wake NC
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
Hispanic Student Graduation Rate ImprovementPercent Change in District Graduation Rates between 2006 and 2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
70%
26%
109%
93%
131%
28%
53%
Alamance-Burlington
Chapel Hill-Carrboro
Chatham Durham Orange Wake NC
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
Economically Disadvantaged Student Graduation Rate ImprovementPercent Change in District Graduation Rates between 2006 and 2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
63%
41%
62%52%
132%
27%
45%
Alamance-Burlington
Chapel Hill-Carrboro
Chatham Durham Orange Wake NC
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
Students with Disabilities Graduation Rate Improvement
Percent Change in District Graduation Rates between 2006 and 2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
31%
-19%
21%
0%
64%
13%
38%
Alamance-Burlington
Chapel Hill-Carrboro
Chatham Durham Orange Wake NC
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
CHCCS EOG Reading Grade 3 Proficient2015-2016 Grade 3 Proficient (Level 3+)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
80
4739
92
AsianBlackHispanic White
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
Orange County Schools EOG Reading Grade 3 Proficient2015-16 Grade 3 Proficient (Level 3+)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
4434
71
BlackHispanic White
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
Chatham County Schools EOG Reading Grade 3 ProficientGrade 3 Proficient (Level 3+)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
3936
72
BlackHispanic White
Grade 5 and 8 Science EOG "College and Career Ready"2015-16 Science EOG Grade 5 and 8 (Level 4 and 5)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
44
3138
47
75 71 76
92
State of NorthCarolina
Chatham CountySchools
Orange CountySchools
Chapel Hill-Carrboro Schools
Black White
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
Grades 3-8 Math EOG “College and Career Ready”2015-16 Math EOG Grades 3-8 (Levels 4 and 5)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
47 4854
68
State of NorthCarolina
Chatham CountySchools
Orange CountySchools
Chapel Hill-Carrboro Schools
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
Grades 3-8 Math EOG “College and Career Ready”2015-16 EOG Math Grades 3-8 (Level 4 and 5)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
47 4854
68
32 3035
28
State of NorthCarolina
Chatham CountySchools
Orange CountySchools
Chapel Hill-CarrboroSchools
All Students EDS
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
Grades 3-8 Math EOG “College and Career Ready” 2015-16 EOG Math Grade 3-8 (Level 4 and 5)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
2721
28 25
59 62 65
82
State of NorthCarolina
Chatham CountySchools
Orange CountySchools
Chapel Hill-Carrboro Schools
Black White
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
More OCS 8th Graders “College and Career Ready”8th Grade Science EOG Test Achieving Level 4 or 5
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
4246
41
26
4452 49
26
Black Hispanic EDS SWD
13-14 Orange County Schools 15-16 Orange County Schools
CHCCS 3rd Grade Reading Proficiency InconsistentPercent of Students Proficient (Level3, 4 or 5) on Reading Grade 3 End of Grade Test
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
79
34
44
92
3630
80
4739
92
40
29
Asian Black Hispanic White EDS SWD
13-14 Chapel Hill-Carrboro Schools 15-16 Chapel Hill-Carrboro Schools
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
Totally Protected Lands
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
1,2294,088
7,78410,804
12,72214,473
3,151
5,230
8,613
9,609
10,18510,174
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
Pre-1981 1981-90 1991-2000 2001-04 2005-08 2009-13
Totally Protected Lands Partially Protected Lands
Source: Orange County State of the Environment Report
Water Sales and Accounts
6.03
21,385
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20,000
22,000
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
Custo
mer A
ccounts
Wate
r Sale
s (M
illion G
allons P
er
Day A
vera
ge)
Actual Water Sales Customer Accounts
Reclaimed Water to UNC begins 2009
Source: OWASA
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Monthly Water & Sewer Bills
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
$0
$25
$50
$75
$100
Rate
Incre
ase
Avera
ge M
onth
ly B
ill Based o
n
4,0
00
gallons p
er
month
Average Bill Amount (actual) Average Bill Amount (projected)
Rate Increases (actual) Rate Increases (projected)
Source: OWASA
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT