2017 life reinsurance survey presentation...2017 life reinsurance survey results nancy m. kenneally,...
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2017 Life Reinsurance Survey Results
Nancy M. Kenneally, FSA, MAAAVP Reinsurance Marketing
Image: used under license from shutterstock.com
Disclaimer
Munich Re prepared this survey on behalf of the Society of Actuaries Reinsurance Section as a service to section members. The contributing companies provide the data in response to the survey. The data is not audited and Munich Re, the Society of Actuaries and the Reinsurance Section take no responsibility for the accuracy of the figures.
2017 Life Reinsurance Survey 2© 2018 Munich American Reassurance Company. All Rights Reserved.
2017 Life Reinsurance Survey results
Who: top U.S. & Canadian reinsurers
What: individual and group new business (assumed) and in force
Definitions
Recurring: issued in same year as reinsured
Portfolio: issued prior to year reinsured
Retrocession: reinsurance not directly written by ceding company
Reinsurance figures for individual life based on amount (NAR) and group life based on premium
Note: some figures may not add due to rounding
2017 Life Reinsurance Survey 3© 2018 Munich American Reassurance Company. All Rights Reserved.
Reinsurance landscape
2017 Life Reinsurance Survey 4© 2018 Munich American Reassurance Company. All Rights Reserved.
$457
$729
$8
$498
$169
$7$0
$100$200$300$400$500$600$700$800
Recurring Portfolio Retrocession
U.S. IL New Business Volumes ($ Billions)
$160
$41
$6
$168
$0 $9$0
$20$40$60$80
$100$120$140$160$180
Recurring Portfolio Retrocession
Canada IL New Business Volumes ($CA Billions)
$798
$3,938
$777
$3,462
$0$500
$1,000$1,500$2,000$2,500$3,000$3,500$4,000$4,500
Recurring Portfolio
U.S. Group In Force Premium ($ Millions)
$104
$786
$104
$835
$0$100$200$300$400$500$600$700$800$900
Recurring Portfolio
Canada Group In Force Premium ($CA Millions)
2016 2017
+9% -77%
+5% -100% +54%
-3% -12%
0% +5%
-12.5%
U.S. individual life new business
Image: used under license from shutterstock.com
A brief history… U.S. individual life recurring new business
2017 Life Reinsurance Survey 6© 2018 Munich American Reassurance Company. All Rights Reserved.
# of Reinsurers 30 25 15 9
Recurring NB $156B $268B $844B $498B
Top Reinsurers
Transamerica Occidental ($28B)
Lincoln National Life ($17B)
General Re ($16B)
Transamerica Re ($41B)
Lincoln National Life ($34B)
RGA Re ($24B)
RGA Re ($183B)
Scottish Re ($131B)
Transamerica Re ($130B)
SCOR ($105B)
Swiss Re ($96B)
Munich Re ($92B)
2017200519951986
Annual Percentage Change in U.S. Recurring new Business
2017 Life Reinsurance Survey 7© 2018 Munich American Reassurance Company. All Rights Reserved.
U.S. individual life new business trend
-5.7%-3.7%
-9.4%
-15.3%
-8.7%
-3.4%-0.5%
-4.7% -3.5%
12.3%
9.0%
-20.0%
-10.0%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
U.S. Individual Life Insurance Sales (Face Amount)
2017 Life Reinsurance Survey 8© 2018 Munich American Reassurance Company. All Rights Reserved.
U.S. recurring cession rate
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017Amt Reinsured $658 $596 $505 $461 $445 $443 $422 $407 $457 $498Amt Retained $1,212 $1,149 $1,168 $1,211 $1,234 $1,197 $1,168 $1,240 $1,233 $1,225% Reinsured 35% 34% 30% 28% 27% 27% 27% 25% 27% 29%
35% 34%30% 28% 27% 27% 27%
25%27%
29%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
$-
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
$1,400
$1,600
$1,800
$2,000
$ B
illio
ns
U.S. recurring by company – top five companies
2017 Life Reinsurance Survey 9© 2018 Munich American Reassurance Company. All Rights Reserved.
56
84
80
84
101
66
89
92
96
105
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
Hannover Life Re
RGA
Munich Re
Swiss Re
SCOR Global Life
2017 2016
SCOR Global Life,
21%
Swiss Re19%
Munich Re19%
RGA, 18%
Hannover Life Re,
13%
All others10%
Recurring Business ($ billions) 2017 Market Share
U.S. recurring by company – next four companies
2017 Life Reinsurance Survey 10© 2018 Munich American Reassurance Company. All Rights Reserved.
9
9
17
17
9
10
12
19
0 5 10 15 20
Optimum Re
General Re Life
PartnerRe (Aurigen)
Canada Life
2017 2016
Top 5, 90%
Canada Life 4%
PartnerRe (Aurigen)
2%
General Re, 2%
Optimum Re, 2%
Recurring Business ($ billions) 2017 Market Share
Company2016 2017 Change
from2016 to 2017Assumed
Business Market Share Assumed Business Market Share
SCOR Global Life 101 22% 105 21% 4%
Swiss Re 84 18% 96 19% 13%
Munich Re 80 17% 92 19% 16%
RGA 84 18% 89 18% 6%
Hannover Life Re 56 12% 66 13% 18%
Canada Life Re 17 4% 19 4% 12%
PartnerRe (Aurigen) 17 4% 12 2% -33%
General Re Life 9 2% 10 2% 15%
Optimum Re 9 2% 9 2% 8%
Total 457 100% 498 100% 9%
U.S. recurring by company ($ billions)All companies
2017 Life Reinsurance Survey 11© 2018 Munich American Reassurance Company. All Rights Reserved.
Top five companies now represent 90% of market share
U.S. portfolio business
2017 Life Reinsurance Survey 12© 2018 Munich American Reassurance Company. All Rights Reserved.
U.S. portfolio business ($ billions)
$257
$777
$94
$1,042
$344
$628
$238
$130
$729
$169
-
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
U.S
. $ (b
illio
ns)
U.S. retrocession ($ billions)
15 7 8 7 9
203
5 8 7 -
50
100
150
200
250
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 20172017 Life Reinsurance Survey 13© 2018 Munich American Reassurance Company. All Rights Reserved.
Canada individual life new business
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A brief history …Canada individual life recurring new business ($CA)
2017 Life Reinsurance Survey 15© 2018 Munich American Reassurance Company. All Rights Reserved.
# of Reinsurers 14 14 7 7
Recurring NB $9B $17B $110B $168B
Top Reinsurers
Munich Re ($3B)
Canadian Re ($2B)
St. Lawrence Re ($1B)
Swiss Re ($4B)
Munich Re ($4B)
RGA Re ($3B)
Munich Re ($49B)
RGA Re ($31B)
Swiss Re ($26B)
RGA Re ($44B)
Munich Re ($42B)
Swiss Re ($28B)
2017200519951986
Canada Recurring Individual Life Volume ($CA Billions)
2017 Life Reinsurance Survey 16© 2018 Munich American Reassurance Company. All Rights Reserved.
Canada recurring cession rate
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017Amt Reinsured $150 $152 $153 $153 $149 $143 $142 $153 $160 $168Amt Retained $46 $52 $66 $67 $84 $90 $87 $98 $116 $94% Reinsured 77% 75% 70% 70% 64% 61% 62% 61% 58% 64%
77% 75%70% 70% 64% 61% 62% 61% 58%
64%
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
$CA
Bill
ions
Canada recurring by company
2017 Life Reinsurance Survey 17© 2018 Munich American Reassurance Company. All Rights Reserved.
0
9
15
21
29
41
44
2
10
19
23
28
42
44
Hannover Life Re
Optimum Re
PartnerRe (Aurigen)
SCOR Global Life
Swiss Re
Munich Re
RGA Re
2017 2016
RGA Re26%
Munich Re25%
Swiss Re 17%
SCOR14%
PartnerRe (Aurigen)
11%
Hannover Life Re
1%
Optimum Re6%
Recurring Business ($CA Billions) 2017 Market Share
Canada portfolio and retrocession
18
Berkshire Hathaway
$5.5
Pacific Life$2.9
AXA Equitable
$0.2
Retrocession ($CA Billions)
2017 Life Reinsurance Survey © 2018 Munich American Reassurance Company. All Rights Reserved.
Group business
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Group business – recurring business
20
476546
646691
728798 777
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
U.S. Inforce Premiums ($ millions USD) Canada Inforce Premiums ($ millions CA)
107102 103 105
101 104 104
0
50
100
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
2017 Life Reinsurance Survey © 2018 Munich American Reassurance Company. All Rights Reserved.
U.S. group life in force premiums
21
15
18
25
39
507
156
346
1,239
2,393
15
21
27
37
139
161
326
1,508
2,006
Other*
SCOR Global Life
General Re Life
Group Reinsurance Plus
Hannover Life Re
RGA Re
Swiss Re
Munich Re
Canada Life
2017 2016
Canada Life 47%
Munich Re
35%
Swiss Re 8%
RGA Re4%
Hannover Life Re3%
Group Reinsurance Plus1%
General Re Life
1%
Other*1%
Inforce Premiums ($ millions) 2017 Market Share
2017 Life Reinsurance Survey © 2018 Munich American Reassurance Company. All Rights Reserved.
Note: Other includes Scottish Re, Berkshire Hathaway Group, Optimum Re and Pacific Life
Canada group life in force premiums ($CA millions)
22
0
2
6
22
25
836
0
1
6
21
26
886
Berkshire HathawayGroup
SCOR Global Life
Optimum Re
RGA Re
Swiss Re
Munich Re
2017 2016
2017 Life Reinsurance Survey © 2018 Munich American Reassurance Company. All Rights Reserved.
Looking ahead
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Many factors will influence future life reinsurance volumes
Direct life sales, the economy and regulation, in addition to the reinsurance ceding practices
Direct writers’ appetite for financial reinsurance and reinsurance of in force blocks is not expected to wane in 2018
In the U.S., Principle-Based Reserving still presents some uncertainty in terms of how this reserve regulation will impact life reinsurance
Life insurers continue to look for ways to expand insurability to those that are uninsured or underinsured through the use of streamlined or accelerated underwriting programs and technology
Reinsurers with expertise in these areas are well-positioned to capitalize on the new life sales generated by these programs
2017 Life Reinsurance Survey 24© 2018 Munich American Reassurance Company. All Rights Reserved.