20160621 t deora presentation for ftc
TRANSCRIPT
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Facts on the GroundFTC Distributed Solar Generation Workshop
Tanuj Deora, Chief Strategy OfficerJune 21, 2016
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Solar Growth, Utility Response
Mainstream Utility Solar Strategies:
• Large Scale Solar PV in IRPs
• Exploring Community Solar
• Redesigning Rate Structures
• Investing in Grid Edge Visibility
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Thinking Beyond the Meter
Responses to the new solar DER Paradigm:
• Integrating Customer Insight
• Enhanced Distribution System Analysis & Planning,
• Rewiring the Utility Standard Operating Practices
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Fundamental Challenges
• Obligations under the regulatory compact• Dynamic societal expectations• Requirements to add generation• Flat demand • Pace of regulatory processes• Concerns about portfolio diversity &
stranded assets
• Trade between equity and efficiency• Uncertainties on definitions of fairness• Inadequate valuation tools (incl markets)• Rapid technological advances• Limited consensus about the nature and
role of the regulated monopoly• Lack of clarity on conflicting expectations
Grid Perspective:
System = ValueDGPV = Cost
Measured Expectation of Change
Consumer Perspective:
System = CostDGPV = Value
Rapid Expectation for Change
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Starting with a Blank Slate for the Future
Crowdsourced visions for the future, starting
from a blank slate
Crowdsourced roadmaps that
articulate how we get from “here” to “there”
CHOOSING THE DESTINATION
Phase I Hypothetical electricity
marketplace
THE DESIGNING THE ROADMAPS
Phase IIJourney from current state to future state
STARTING THE JOURNEY
Phase IIICreation of customized
roadmaps & implementation of “no-regrets moves”
Stakeholder-guided development of
bespoke plans for electric power sector
transformation
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51st State Phase II:Developing a Roadmap
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Finding the Potential “No Regrets” Moves
Distribution System Investments
• Advanced metering and communications functionality
• System analysis tools (ex: hosting capacity)
• Interconnection protocols (both information & energy)
Customer Insight & Engagement
• Improving education and communications interfaces
• Advanced load profile segmentation
• Increasing availability of customer options
Evolving Rates & Regulation
• Exploration of time varying rate designs
• Evaluating opportunities to cross-leverage DER incentive programs
• Implementing decoupling and performance trackers
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Thank You
Tanuj DeoraChief Strategy OfficerSmart Electric Power [email protected](202) 552-4411
www.sepa51.orgwww.solarelectricpower.org
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Back Up / Additional Reference Slides
• Utility DER Strategies
• 51st State Additional Details
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Utility Approaches to Combined DER Customer Offerings
Source: Accenture, Utility Dive
Customers Crave More Options…
…And Utilities Want to Provide Them.
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Utility Approaches to Combined DER Customer Offerings
What’s the Value of a Tesla Powerwall? $50 per Month, Bets Green Mountain Power
Greentech Media
National Grid demand response pilot nets participants 20% energy savings
Utility dive
Minnesota co-op bundles community solar, demand response programs
Utility dive
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Thinking Beyond the Meter
Responses to the new solar DER Paradigm:
• Integrating Customer Insight on Load Profiles, Propensity to Adopt, and Messages that Resonate
• Enhanced Distribution System Analysis, Planning, and Operations, with DER as “Non-Wires” Assets
• Rewiring the Utility Standard Operating Practices
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Moving Beyond Combined Programs into a Truly Holistic DER Strategy
IntegratorPrimary utility investment is technical; i.e. planning and operations
But...is this sufficient for grid effective operations?
EducatorUtility establishes itself as the trusted energy advisor
But…is there a sustainable revenue model for this role?
Solution ProviderUtilities provide sales and/or financing for deployment
But...are utilities equipped to provide this service?
VPP Owner / OperatorUtilities reasserts traditional holistic role in provision of electricity
But...are regulators comfortable with this model?
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The Rise of Distributed Resource Planning• Increasing regulator and customer
demand for DER choices
• Utility policies and procedures designed to react to out-of-date paradigms
• Improved economics of key technologies:– Sensors– Data management– Software– Communications– Power electronics
Source: Planning the Distributed Energy Future, SEPA and Black & Veatch
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The Rise of Distributed Resource Planning
Perceived Challenges to Integrating High Levels of DER
System stability or protection
Inability to model DER in planning load flows
Lack of control over DER
Lack of visibility (status & forecast)
Other
Don’t see a challenge
Don’t know
Source: Black & Veatch
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What makes 51st State unique?
1. Phased approach2. Collaborative process3. Wide-spread engagement4. Replicability
Visions
Theoretical Roadmaps
Actual Roadmaps
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Utility of the Future Sample Paradigms
LEVEL OF UTILITY CONTROLHIGH LOW
Integrated Energy Services Company
Distributed Resource Enabler
Transactive Distribution Grid
Utility-directed deployment of behind-the-meter resources for system benefit
Leverages existing models to allow for increased access for Distributed Energy Resources
Applies market rules from wholesale restructuring to distribution level
Util
ity
Reve
nue
Mod
el
Pace
of
Chan
ge
TRANSFORMATIONAL TRANSFORMATIONALINCREMENTAL
Performance-Based RatesCost of Servicesupplemented by Performance Bonuses
Wires: Cost of Service Platform: Taxes or Fees
NRECA
APPAWellhutonRabago
NaturalCapitalism
Sources: SEPA Analysis, 51st State Concept Papers
MaBell Regan
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Capstone Report Outline & Feedback (cont.) Customer Journey Map Example
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Initiative Timeline
Launch
Concept Papers
Released
Summit
Education &
Outreach
Launch
Roadmaps Released
Summit
Education &
Outreach
Launch
Phase I Phase II Phase III
Sept ‘14 Sept ‘15 Fall ‘16
Capstone Report
Released