2016 Isle of Man Census

Detailed Census Analysis

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90-94 95+

2011

2016

2016 vs 2011 Population Profile

Under 50 population has fallen by 8% since 2011

Over 50 population has increased by 9% since 2011

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90-94 95+

2011

2016

Births on the Isle of Man

700

750

800

850

900

950

1000

1050

1100

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Number of births 2005-2016

Birth are at their lowest since 1987

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90-94 95+

2011

2016

Unique Inward Migration

The 2016 5-9 cohort is the only group to show net inward migration since 2011, with an increase in the cohort population of 99 in the 2011 0-4 year olds.

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90-94 95+

2011

2016

Emigration of Young adults

The 2016 20-24 cohort shows that whilst there has been inward migration of 331, there has been outward migration of 1,017 individuals in the past 5 years. However the Island has more 20-21 year olds in full time education, at 34%, compared with the UK of 26%. There has been a significant downward trend of under 29s leaving home and living on their own. In 1996, 39% of 15-29 years olds lived away from home, compared with 29.9% in 2016.

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90-94 95+

2011

2016

Life cycle at prime working age

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54

Looks after home and family in four largest census districts

RAMSEY DOUGLAS ONCHAN PEEL

There has been limited net outward migration in the 30-49 cohort, so whilst the Island has attracted 2,105 individuals, 2,312 have left in the past 5 years.

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90-94 95+

2011

2016

Early exit from the work force

There is a significant proportion of individuals exiting the work force early within the 50 – 64 cohort: • 25% of men aged 60-64 have

retired from paid work

• 11% of women and 8.4% of men aged 55-59 have retired from paid work

• 6.3% of 50 – 64 year olds are unable to work due to long term sickness or disability

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90-94 95+

2011

2016

Retired and Elderly Population

• The over 65 population on the Island now makes up 21% of the Island’s resident population, compared with 18% in 2011.

• 20% of 65 – 69 year olds are still in employment, with 6.5% of those over 70 still in employment

• Deaths for 2016 were 852, which is the highest since 2003.

• Inward migration is the lowest for those 65 and over, however 581 persons have moved to the Island since 2011.

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90-94 95+

2011

2016

Over 95 Population

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

220

240

1996 2001 2006 2011 2016

Increase in 95+ Population

Since 1996, the over 95 population has increased by 188%

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

1951 1961 1971 1981 1991 2001 2011 2015

Scotland

England

Wales

Ireland

N Ireland

Jersey

Guernsey

Isle of Man

Dependency Ratios

Cohort Movement

-700

-500

-300

-100

100

300

500

2006 - 2011 2011 - 2016

Young Adult Migration

-200

-150

-100

-50

0

50

100

20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29

2006 - 2011

20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29

2011 - 2016

Movement in Core (25-54) Working Age Population

33,152

4,384 4,815

-2,611

-5,243

34,497 34,497

4,719

3,022

-3,689 -6,054

32,495

-10,000

-5,000

-

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

Core Working Age

Population

New Comers Migrants In Migrants Out Leavers New Core Working

Age Population

2011

2016

2006

Working population by Economic Sector

-

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

2011 2016

Changing nature of jobs undertaken

-2,000

-1,500

-1,000

-500

0

500

1,000

1,500

Managers,directors and

senior officials

Professionaloccupations

(e.g. Scientists,Engineers,Doctors &Teachers)

Associateprofessional

and technicaloccupations(e.g. PoliceConstables,Pilots, DataAnalysts &Trainers)

Administrativeand secretarial

occupations

Skilled tradesoccupations

Caring, leisureand other

serviceoccupations

Sales andcustomer

serviceoccupations

Process, plantand machine

operatives

Elementaryoccupations(unskilled)

2011 to 2016

Economic Sector by Place of Birth and Year of Residency

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2011 - 2016

2000 - 2010

Pre 2000

% IOM

Economic Sector by Age

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

55+

40-54

25-39

16-24

Migrant Working Population by Sector

Medical and health

services 25%

Other Financial and

Business Services

25%

Miscellaneous services

18%

Construction 16%

Retail distribution

16%

Largest 5 Sectors for Migrants – Pre 2011 Arrival

Medical and health

services 34%

ICT (includes Egaming)

18%

Miscellaneous services

17%

Entertainment and catering

16%

Other Financial and

Business Services

15%

Largest 5 Sectors for Migrants - Post 2011 Arrival

Employment by Age Group

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

15-24 25-39 40-54 55-64

Self-Employed - Not Employing Others

Self-Employed - Employing Others

Part Time - More than one employer

Part Time

Full Time

Internal Migration by Working Population

North: Lezayre, Jurby, Andreas, Bride and Maughold South: Malew, Arbory and Rushen East: Braddan, Lonan, Marown and Santon West: Michael, German and Patrick Parishes have been grouped based on their categorisation in the Area Plans.

Resident Pop Net Daily

Migration Day Time Population % Movement

Douglas 26,997 10,243 37,240 38%

Ramsey 7,845 -507 7,338 -6%

Peel 5,374 -1,257 4,117 -23%

Castletown 3,216 -122 3,094 -4%

Port Erin 3,484 -785 2,699 -23%

Port St Mary 1,916 -414 1,502 -22%

Laxey 1,676 -387 1,289 -23%

Onchan 9,128 -2,754 6,374 -30%

North 5,848 -1,610 4,238 -28%

South 6,251 -838 5,413 -13%

East 7,446 -748 6,698 -10%

West 4,133 -1,208 2,925 -29%

Off Island 387

Reason for Not being in Work (16-64)

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

Is at school orfull-time

education

Looks after homeor family (soley)

Is unable to workdue to long term

sickness

Is unable to workdue to

permanent, longterm disability

Unemployedlooking for work

Retirement Other

2011

2016

Reason for Not being in Work by Age

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

16-24 25-39 40-54 55-64

Other

Unemployed, looking for work

Is unable to work due to permanent long termsickness or disability

Looks after home or family (solely)

Is retired

Is at school or in full time education

• Significant emigration of 20-29 year olds

• Increasing numbers of over 95s

• Falling birth rate

• Changing nature of the jobs undertaken

• Growth employment areas are those with the highest levels of immigration.

Key Points