2015 goals and targets for state accountability

2015 Goals and Targets for State Accountability

Date: 10/01/2014Presenter:Carla StevensAssistant Superintendent, Research and Accountability

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Performance Index Framework Overview

Accountability System

Student Achievement

Index I

Student Progress

Index 2

Closing Performance

Gaps

Index 3

Postsecondary Readiness

Index 4

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Phase-in Standards on STAAR The state revised the phase-in standards on the STAAR from 2

steps to 3. Phase-in 1 will remain in effect through the 2014-2015 school

year. Phase-in 2 will be the standard for 2015-2016 through 2017-

2018. Phase-in 3 (NEW) will be the standard for 2018-2019 through

2020-2021. The final recommended Satisfactory standards will go into

effect in 2021-2022. The new cut scores are posted on the State’s website.

CHANGES FOR 2014-2015 and BEYONDAccountability System

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Math Standards on STAAR The revised TEKS for K-8 math will be implemented in 2014-

2015. New performance standards for STAAR grades 3-8 will be set

in summer 2015. Raw scores will be available in the spring. New reports and

data files with standards will be available in August 2015. For accountability purposes, TEA will determine equivalent

performance standards on the 2015 assessments to the 2014 assessments. The 2015 state and federal accountability results will be based on student performance on the 2015 math assessments at the “equivalent passing standard.”


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Progress Measures for Index 2 Students will not receive a STAAR progress measure for

mathematics in grades 4-8. A STAAR progress measure will be reported for the first time

for grade 7 writing. A STAAR progress measure will be reported for eligible

STAAR A students who took STAAR or STAAR L in 2013-2014. Students will not receive a STAAR Alternate 2 progress

measure.


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What we don’t know

New Targets for each index for 2015.

Any additional changes that may come into effect this year!


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Goals and Projected Targets The Red is equal to the current score, or 95, if current score is

higher than 95, and is considered no growth.

The Green is the index goal score which is subtracting the current score from the max score (100) and then multiplied by the growth factor (.1) and finally added back to the current score. The minimum index goal score is equal to Projected Target, and the maximum is 100.

The Yellow range represents growth which is higher than the current score but less than the index goal score.

TARGET SETTING FOR 2014-2015Accountability System

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METRICS

• All Students Only

• Combined over All Subject Areas and all STAAR test versions

• Credit given for Level II Satisfactory Performance at the phase-in 1 standard

Student Achievement

Index I

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SCORING TABLE

Student Achievement

Index I

Minimum Size RequirementsIndicator All Students Student Groups

Index 1 STAAR Percent Met Level II None; Special Analysis (SA) < 10 students

N/A

2014 Accountability Target: 55; AEA 30

Reading Math Writing Science SocialStudies Total % Met

Level II

Students Met Level II

50 + 38 + 19 + 10 + 19 = 13645% 45

Students Tested 100 + 100 + 42 + 40 + 23 = 305

Index Score 45

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TARGET SETTING

ASSUMPTION that the State will increase target to 60.Example: Max score (100) – current score (41) = 59 x 0.1 = 5.9 + 41 = 47, but 47<60 therefore 60.

Student Achievement

Index I

ScoreProjected

Target Diff Goal Points

Needed41 60 -19 41 42 59 60 1955 60 -5 55 56 59 60 581 60 21 81 82 82 83 297 60 37 95 96 96 97 0

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• Ten Student Groups Evaluated:– All Students– Race/Ethnicity:

• African American, American Indian, Asian, Hispanic, Pacific Islander, White• Two or More Races

– Students with Disabilities– English Language Learners (ELLs)

• By Subject Area (Reading and Math Writing)

• Same assessments used in Index 1 where student progress measures are available

• Credit based on weighted performance: 1 point for each percent of students who meet growth expectations, 2 points for each percent of students who exceed growth expectations

METRICSStudent

Progress

Index 2

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SCORING TABLE

Student Progress

Index 2

STAAR Weighted Growth Rate for Reading

AllAfrican Amer.

Amer. Indian

Asian Hisp.Pacific Island.

WhiteTwo or More

ELLSpec.

Ed.Total

PointsMax.

Points

Number of Tests 100 50 40 30Met Expectation 60 20 10 15Exceeded Expectation 20 20 30 5Percent of Students: Met or Exceeded Expectation

80% 80% 100% 67%

Exceeded Expectation 20% 40% 75% 17%Reading Weighted Growth Rate

100 120 175 84 479 800

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SCORING TABLE

Student Progress

Index 2

2014 Accountability Target: District 16, ES 33, MS 28, HS/AEA N/A

Indicator AllAfrican Amer.

Amer. Indian

Asian Hisp.Pacific Island.

WhiteTwo or More

ELLSpec.

Ed.Total

PointsMax.

Points

STAAR ReadingWeighted Growth Rate

100 120 175 84 479 800

STAAR Mathematics Weighted Growth Rate

85 98 150 160 493 800

Total 972 1600Index Score (total points divided by maximum points) 61


Index 2 STAAR Percent Met Progress 2013>= 25 tests2014 = None, SA <10 tests

>= 25 tests

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TARGET SETTING

Student Progress

Index 2

ScoreProjected


Needed29 35 -6 29 30 35 36 737 35 2 37 38 42 43 651 35 16 51 52 55 56 561 35 26 61 62 64 65 4

ASSUMPTION of a 2 point increase to 35 for ES, 30 MS, 25 HS; actual still based on reading and mathExample: Max score (100) – current score (29) = 71 x 0.1 = 7.1 + 29 = 36 (>35)

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• All Economically Disadvantaged Students up to Two Lowest Performing Racial/Ethnic Groups based on the Index 1 student achievement indicator reported in the prior year

• By Subject Area (Reading/ELA, Mathematics, Writing, Science, and Social Studies) – Same Assessments Used in Index 1

• Credit based on weighted performance:– One point credit given for each percentage of students at

the phase-in 1 Level II Satisfactory standard– Two credits given for each percentage of students at the

Level III Advanced standard

METRICS

Closing Performance

Gaps

Index 3

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STAAR Weighted Performance Rate for

Reading

Econ. Disadv.

Lowest Performing Group - 1

Lowest Performing Group - 2

Total Points

Maximum Points

Number of Tests 80 40 25

Performance Results: Phase-in Level II and above Number Percent

80 100%

20 50%

25 100%

Level III Advanced (2014 and beyond) Number Percent

40 50%

0 0%

25 100%

Reading Weighted Performance

150 50 200 400 600


Index 3 STAAR Performance NA Econ. Dis.: None; Gap Groups: >= 25 tests in both reading and math in the prior year

Scoring Table

Closing Performance

Gaps

Index 3

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2014 Accountability Target: District 28; ES 28; MS 27; HS 31; AEA 11

STAAR Weighted

Performance Rate

Economically Disadvantaged

Lowest Performing Race/Ethnic Group - 1

Lowest Performing Race/Ethnic Group - 2

Total Points

Maximum Points

Reading 150 50 200 400 600 Math 125 100 90 315 600 Writing 80 90 125 295 600 Science 120 40 90 250 600 Social Studies

50 40 80 170 600

Total 1430 3000 Index Score (total points divided by maximum points) 48

SCORING TABLE

Closing Performance

Gaps

Index 3

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TARGET SETTING

Closing Performance

Gaps

Index 3

ScoreProjected


Needed28 30 -2 28 29 34 35 730 30 0 30 31 36 37 758 30 28 58 59 61 62 476 30 46 76 77 77 78 2

ASSUMPTION of a 2-4 point increase to 30 for ES, 30 MS, 35 HSExample: Max score (100) – current score (28) = 72 x 0.1 = 7.2 + 28 = 35 (>30)

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• STAAR Percent Met Level II Final Standard on at Least 2 Subjects

– Assessment results include all assessments evaluated in Index I

– Eight Student Groups Evaluated: • All Students• Each Race / Ethnicity

• Four-year Graduation Rate or Five-year Graduation Rate (or Annual Dropout Rate if no graduation rate)– Ten Student Groups Evaluated; All Students, each Race/Ethnicity,

Students with Disabilities, and ELLs• Percent Recommended or Advanced High School Program Plan

(RHSP/AHSP) Graduates– Eight Student Groups Evaluated: All Students and each Race/Ethnicity

• Percent of Graduates the met College Ready Criterion on Reading and Math– Eight Student Groups Evaluated: All Students and each Race/Ethnicity

METRICSPostsecondary

Readiness

Index 4

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Index 4

Graduation Rates (4-year and 5-year)

None, SA < 10 >= 25 students

RHSP/AHSP Rates (4-year) None, SA < 10 >= 25 students

STAAR Percent Met Level II None, SA < 10 >= 25 students

Accountability Target:Indicator All African

Amer.Amer. Indian Asian Hispanic Pacific

Island. White Two or More ELL Special

Ed.Total

PointsMax.

Points

4-yr. grad. rate 84.3% 78.8% 78.8% 91.6% 86.0% 44.2% 69.8% 533.5 700

5-yr. grad. rate 85.1% 78.8% 80.0% 92.1% 84.0% 48.9% 77.5% 546.4 700Highest Graduation Total 78RHSP/DAP 82.7% 76.4% 83.6% 83.0% 325.7 400RHSP/DAP Score (Total RHSP/DAP divided by maximum points) 81.4

STAAR % Met Level II Final on at least two tests

29% 16% 40% 23% 38% 36% 182 600

STAAR Score (STAAR total points divided by maximum points): 30College-Ready Graduates (ELA and Math)

82.0% 72.0% 78.0% 89.0% 321.0 400

College-Ready Score (Total points divided by maximum points) 80.2

High Schools with Graduation RatesPostsecondary

Readiness

Index 4With All Four Components

: 57 Without all four, use STAAR Component

: 21

Overall Index Score Weight Total STAAR Score 30.0 .25 7.5Graduation Score 78.0 .25 19.5RHSP/DAP Score 81.4 .25 20.4College-Readiness Score 80.2 .25 20.5Index Score 67.9

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Accountability Target: District 13; ES 12; MS 13; HS 21

Indicator All African Amer.

Amer. Indian Asian Hispanic Pacific

Island. White Two or More ELL Special

Ed.Total

PointsMax.

PointsSTAAR % Met Level II Final on at least two tests

29% 16% 40% 23% 38% 36% 182 600

STAAR Score (STAAR total points divided by maximum points): 30


Index 4 STAAR Percent Met Level II None; SA < 10 students

>= 25 students

SCORING TABLEPostsecondary

Readiness

Index 4

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TARGET SETTINGPostsecondary

Readiness

Index 4

ScoreProjected


Needed7 15 -8 7 9 15 16 9

14 15 -1 14 15 22 23 944 15 29 44 45 49 50 674 15 59 74 75 76 77 3

ASSUMPTION of a 2-4 point increase to 15 for ES, 15 MS, 25 HS; STAAR targets only, Example: Max score (100) – current score (7) = 93 x 0.1 = 9.3 + 7 = 16 (>15)

Accountability System

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Performance RatesYear 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19 19-20

Math 75% 79% 83% 87% 91% 95% 95% 100%

Reading/ELA 75% 79% 83% 87% 91% 95% 98% 100%

Participation RatesYear 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19 19-20

Math 95% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95%Reading/ELA 95% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95%

Federal Graduation Rates for previous year cohortsYear 2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015

4-year Rate 78.0% 80.0% 83.0%5-year Rate 85.0%

Federal Limits on Proficient Results on Alternative AssessmentsModified 2012-2013 and 2013-2014 2% for the All Students Group

Alternate 2013 through 2020 1% for the All Students Group

Safeguard Measures and Targets

Source: TEA waiver application

Thank you

Date: 10/01/2014Presenter:Carla StevensAssistant Superintendent, Research and Accountability

2015 goals and targets for state accountability

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