2014 state of the community report

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2014 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT

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The State of the Community Report is the only one of its kind in the community; it tracks the well-being of Chapel Hill-Carrboro along social, economic, and environmental indicators. On August 28, 2014, Aaron Nelson, president & CEO of the Chapel Hill-Carrboro Chamber of Commerce, presented the report and took questions from attendees. The State of the Community Report is a project of the Partnership for a Sustainable Community. For more information about the Partnership, visit, http://bit.ly/17PdnXf.

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Page 1: 2014 State of the Community Report

2014 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT

Page 2: 2014 State of the Community Report

Chris BarnesPNC Bank

Chair, Chapel Hill-Carrboro Chamber of Commerce

Page 3: 2014 State of the Community Report

Lori O’KeefeTriangle Community Foundation

President

Page 4: 2014 State of the Community Report

Aaron NelsonChapel Hill-Carrboro Chamber of Commerce

President & CEO

Page 5: 2014 State of the Community Report

Our Presenting Sponsor

Page 6: 2014 State of the Community Report

Our Breakfast Sponsor

Page 7: 2014 State of the Community Report

Our Gold Sponsor

Page 8: 2014 State of the Community Report

Our Bronze Sponsor

Page 9: 2014 State of the Community Report

University of North Carolina at Chapel HillChapel Hill/Orange County Visitor’s Bureau

UNC Health Care

A Thank You to Our Special Guests

Page 10: 2014 State of the Community Report

Background on this Report

• Our Seventh State of the Community Report

• Born out of graduate student research at UNC

• Social, Economic, and Health Indicators

• Objective: deliver relevant information to community and business leaders

• Chamber + The Partnership

Page 11: 2014 State of the Community Report

Special Thanks To

• Orange County Board of Health• Chapel Hill-Orange County Visitors Bureau• Orange Water & Sewer Authority• Orange County Department of Environment,

Agriculture, Parks and Recreation• Greater Chapel Hill Association of REALTORS• Orange County Tax Administration

Page 12: 2014 State of the Community Report
Page 13: 2014 State of the Community Report

Demography

Page 14: 2014 State of the Community Report

Last Decade of Population GrowthJurisdiction 2004 2013 Pop Growth Growth Rate

Orange County 117,781 140,352 +22,571 19.1% OR 1.9%/year

Hillsborough 5,355 6,381 +1,026 19.1% OR 1.9%/year

Carrboro 17,304 20,908 +3,604 20.8% OR 2.1%/year

Chapel Hill 49,438 59,635 +10,197 20.6% OR 2.1%/year

North Carolina 8,525,199 9,848,060 +1,322,861 15.5% OR 1.6%/year

U.S. Census Bureau

Page 15: 2014 State of the Community Report

U.S. Census Bureau

Population Growth

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 20130

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

140,352

20,908

59,635

6,381

Orange County Carrboro Chapel Hill Hillsborough

Page 16: 2014 State of the Community Report

Population ProjectionsCounty 2015 2020 2020 Growth

Rate (vs 2010) 20252025 Growth

Rate(vs 2015)

ALAMANCE 154,869 157,935 +6,467 (4.3%) 161,000 +6,131 (4.0%)

CHATHAM 69,901 75,566 +11,815 (18.5%) 81,277 +11,326 (16.2%)

DURHAM 296,679 322,930 +51,633 (19.0%) 349,050 +52,371 (17.7%)

JOHNSTON 182,756 196,216 +26,583 (15.7%) 209,677 +26,921 (14.7%)

ORANGE 143,105 151,517 +17,214 (12.8%) 159,930 +16,825 (11.8%)

WAKE 1,005,322 1,106,198 +199,289 (22.0%) 1,207,073 +201,751 (20.1%)

NC Office of State Budget and Management

5.3% of 315,325 in projected 6-county growth and

1.7% of projected state growth

Page 17: 2014 State of the Community Report

Minority Races by Municipality

Carrboro Chapel Hill Orange County North Carolina0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

10.1% 9.7%

12.2%

22.0%

8.2%

11.9%

7.3%

2.5%

13.8%

6.4%8.2% 8.7%

Black Asian Hispanic or Latino

U.S. Census Bureau

Page 18: 2014 State of the Community Report

Orange County Population by Race

U.S. Census Bureau

1990 2000 2010 20120.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

80.0%

90.0%

80.1%

70.3%

15.7%12.2%

0.3%

8.2%2.5%7.3%

White African American Latino/Hispanic Asian

Page 19: 2014 State of the Community Report

Educational Attainment

U.S. Census Bureau

0.00%

10.00%

20.00%

30.00%

40.00%

50.00%

60.00%

70.00%

80.00%

90.00%

100.00%94.1%

73.5%

90.5%

55.2%

84.5%

26.8%

85.7%

28.5%

Chapel Hill Orange County North Carolina USA

Page 20: 2014 State of the Community Report

Wages and Income

Page 21: 2014 State of the Community Report

Per Capita Income by County

U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis

Oran

geM

eckl

enbu

rgCu

mbe

rland

Curr

ituck

Durh

amM

oore

Guilf

ord

Polk

Crav

enNo

rth

Caro

lina

Hend

erso

nUn

ion

Bunc

ombe

John

ston

Nash

Brun

swick

Gast

onDa

vids

on Lee

Beau

fort

Wilk

esAl

aman

ceW

ayne

Clev

elan

dRo

ckin

gham

Mar

tinM

acon

Perq

uim

ans

Burk

eSu

rry

Row

anFr

ankl

inVa

nce

Sam

pson

Rand

olph

Berti

eBl

aden

Pasq

uota

nkM

adiso

nAs

heJa

ckso

nDu

plin

Clay

Mitc

hell

Edge

com

beGa

tes

Gree

neCh

erok

eeTy

rrel

lW

arre

nAn

son

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000#1 $51,702

Orange #2 $50,697 Chatham #6 $44,839

Wake #11 $40,963 Durham$37,910 NC

Page 22: 2014 State of the Community Report

Per Capita Income Change 2009-2012

North Carolina

Alamance

Chatham

Durham

Johnston

Mecklenburg

Orange

Person

Randolph

Wake

0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0%

8.5%7.0%

10.4%6.0%5.9%

10.1%10.5%

5.0%7.9%8.0%

U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis

Page 23: 2014 State of the Community Report

Per Capita Personal Income 1982-2012

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

$37,910

$51,702

$44,294

North Carolina Orange County Durham Chapel Hill MSA

Page 24: 2014 State of the Community Report

Change in Voter Registration Over Time

Meck

lenburgW

ake

Durham

Buncombe

Cumberland

Guilford

Orange

Forsy

th

New Hanove

r

Onslow

Union

Cabarr

us

Moore

Henderson

Brunsw

ick-20.00%

0.00%

20.00%

40.00%

60.00%

80.00%

100.00%

120.00%

140.00%

160.00%

% Increase in Dem Reg % Increase in Rep Reg % Increase in Una Reg

The Program on Public Life

Page 25: 2014 State of the Community Report

Where We Live

Page 26: 2014 State of the Community Report
Page 27: 2014 State of the Community Report

Location of Orange County Housing Units

9,258 (16%)

2,593 (5%)

22,254 (40%)

21,492 (39%)

Carrboro HillsboroughChapel Hill Rest of County

U.S. Census Bureau

Page 28: 2014 State of the Community Report

Percent Renter-Occupied

Carrboro

Hillsborough

Chapel Hill

Rest of Orange County

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

61.5%

35.9%

52.4%

18.1%

U.S. Census Bureau

Page 29: 2014 State of the Community Report

Number of Homes Sold in Orange County

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 20130

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000 1,886

1,1261,257

1,628

Triangle MLS

Page 30: 2014 State of the Community Report

Chapel Hill-Carrboro School District Median Sales Price per Sq Ft

Triangle Multiple Listing Service

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013135

140

145

150

155

160

165

170

$164$160

$157$154

$149$146

$153

Page 31: 2014 State of the Community Report

Percent Change in sq/ft Home Cost 2012-2013

Durham Wake Chatham Orange0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

6.5%

4.3%2.9%

10.7%

Triangle MLS

Page 32: 2014 State of the Community Report

Orange County Average Sales Price

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013$200,000

$220,000

$240,000

$260,000

$280,000

$300,000

$320,000

$340,000

$262,920

$342,740

$319,229

$327,758

Triangle MLS

Page 33: 2014 State of the Community Report

2013 Average Home Price by County

Triangle Multiple Listing Service* 2012

$0

$50,000

$100,000

$150,000

$200,000

$250,000

$300,000

$350,000

$400,000

$201,255

$255,000

$320,212 $327,758 $369,606

Page 34: 2014 State of the Community Report

2013 Average Home Price by County

Triangle Multiple Listing Service

Durham Wake* Chatham Orange CHCCS$0

$50,000

$100,000

$150,000

$200,000

$250,000

$300,000

$350,000

$400,000

$201,255

$255,000

$320,212 $327,758

$369,606

Page 35: 2014 State of the Community Report

Orange County Housing Gross Rent

U.S Census Bureau

Less than $200

$200 to $299

$300 to $499

$500 to $749

$750 to $999

$1,000 to $1,499

$1,500 or more

0.00% 5.00% 10.00% 15.00% 20.00% 25.00% 30.00% 35.00% 40.00% 45.00%

1.17%

0.77%

5.71%

29.62%

39.57%

15.15%

8.01%

0.80%

1.13%

4.94%

24.67%

36.94%

22.48%

9.03% 2010-2012

2007-2009

Page 36: 2014 State of the Community Report

Orange County Gross Rent as a Percent of Household Income

U.S Census Bureau

Less than 15 percent

15 to 19.9 percent

20 to 29.9 percent

30 to 39.9 percent

40.0 to 49.9 percent

50.0 percent or more

Not computed

0.00% 5.00% 10.00% 15.00% 20.00% 25.00% 30.00% 35.00% 40.00%

8.6%

10.9%

20.0%

11.3%

7.7%

34.4%

7.1%

8.7%

8.4%

22.8%

13.4%

8.7%

30.5%

7.5%

2010-20122007-2009

Page 37: 2014 State of the Community Report

Commuting

Page 38: 2014 State of the Community Report

43,298 Live outside Orange County and drive in for work39,603 Live in Orange County and drive out of the county for work21,454 Live in Orange County and work in Orange County

U.S. Census Bureau

39,540 33,85020,662

Page 39: 2014 State of the Community Report
Page 40: 2014 State of the Community Report

Orange County Residents’ Commuting

201120102009200820072006200520042003200225.00%

30.00%

35.00%

40.00%

45.00%

50.00%

55.00%

60.00%

65.00%

70.00%

35.2%

45.1%

64.8%

54.9%

Live and Work Here Live Here and Work Somewhere Else

U.S. Census Bureau

Page 41: 2014 State of the Community Report

Percent of Town of Chapel Hill Employees Living in Chapel Hill Zip Codes

1995 2004 2008 20100%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45% 41%

30% 27%22%

Chart Title

Chapel Hill Data Book

Page 42: 2014 State of the Community Report

Distribution of UNC Chapel Hill’s 11,900 employees by home address

Orange

Durham

Wake

Alamance

Chatham

Person

Lee

Guilford

Randolph

Granvil

le0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

5820

227612421158 593

85 72 60 31 13

UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment

Page 43: 2014 State of the Community Report

Commuting to Primary Jobs

Drive out for work Drive in for work Live and work here0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

45,000

6,909 6,7263,432

11,726 15,034

6,821

18,39818,756

9,857

> $40,000

$15,000-$40,000

<%15,000

U.S. Census Bureau

Page 44: 2014 State of the Community Report

Mean Travel Time to Work (Minutes)

U.S. Census Bureau

2012 Est2011 Est2010 Est2009 Est2008 Est2007 Est2006 Est17

18

19

20

21

22

23

24

25

26

22.122.5

25.425

23.523.4

19.419.3

21.721Orange County

United StatesNorth CarolinaChapel HillCarrboro

Page 45: 2014 State of the Community Report

Chapel Hill Transit Ridership (millions)

Chapel Hill Transit

FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY144.00

4.50

5.00

5.50

6.00

6.50

7.00

7.50

5.27

7.236.94

Page 46: 2014 State of the Community Report

Triangle Transit Ridership Millions

Chapel Hill Transit

FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY20140

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2

0.71

1.82

Page 47: 2014 State of the Community Report

Working

Page 48: 2014 State of the Community Report

Unemployment Over Time

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 41791 1.0

3.0

5.0

7.0

9.0

11.0

13.0

2.9

5.8 4.7

3.2

6.7

4.8

4.7

10.9

6.5

Chapel Hill Orange County North Carolina

NC Dept of Commerce

Page 49: 2014 State of the Community Report

Chapel Hill Residents Employed

NC Department of Commerce

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 41791 24,500

25,000

25,500

26,000

26,500

27,000

27,500

28,000

28,500

29,000

25,828

26,424

25,961

27,072

27,619 27,691

28,117 28,352

Page 50: 2014 State of the Community Report

Orange County Residents Employment

NC Department of Commerce2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 41791

63,000

64,000

65,000

66,000

67,000

68,000

69,000

70,000

71,000

65,473

66,931

65,81566,327

67,725

68,527

69,58270,163

Page 51: 2014 State of the Community Report

Unemployed Individuals

NC Department of Commerce

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 41791 -

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

5,000

776

1,638

1,403

2,213

4,728

3,538

Chapel HillOrange County

Page 52: 2014 State of the Community Report

Incubation and Start UpOpened Facility Size (sq/ft) Enterprises served in

2013 and 2014

Mid Way Business Center 2001 5,000 11

Piedmont Food & Ag Processing Center 2011 10,400 37

The Cube (UNC- Campus Y) 2012 1,500 15

LaUNCh Chapel Hill 2013 3,400 34

1789 2013 3,500 45

TOTALS 23,800 142 enterprises

Personal Interviews

Page 53: 2014 State of the Community Report

Taxes and Revenue

Page 54: 2014 State of the Community Report

City and Town Tax Rate

HuntersvilleCary

RaleighApex

AshevilleCharlotte

WilmingtonFayetteville

ConcordWinston-Salem

Chapel HillHickoryWilson

GreenvilleGastonia

JacksonvilleMonroe

KannapolisDurham

BurlingtonRocky Mount

GreensboroSalisbury

GoldsboroHigh Point

0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8

0.330.3826

0.494

0.5675

0.675

NC Dept of Revenue

Page 55: 2014 State of the Community Report

Total of All Jurisdictions Property Tax Rate

CaryRaleigh

ApexWilmington

HickoryHuntersville

AshevilleBurlington

JacksonvilleWinston-Salem

ConcordFayetteville

GreenvilleMonroe

CharlotteWilson

Rocky MountSalisbury

KannapolisDurham

GoldsboroGastonia

GreensboroHigh PointChapel Hill

0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6

0.8640.9166

1.3119

1.45541.5404

NC Dept of Revenue

Page 56: 2014 State of the Community Report

Property Taxes on Median House Prices

BurlingtonKannapolis

SalisburyRocky Mount

HickoryWinston-Salem

FayettevilleMonroe

GoldsboroWilson

GreenvilleGastonia

JacksonvilleRaleigh

WilmingtonGreensboro

High PointCharlotteAshevilleConcordDurham

ApexCary

HuntersvilleChapel Hill

$0.00 $500.00 $1,000.00 $1,500.00 $2,000.00 $2,500.00 $3,000.00 $3,500.00 $4,000.00 $4,500.00 $5,000.00

$1,100.00

$1,604.05

$1,819.25

$2,164.64

$2,224.80 $4,898.47

NC Dept of Revenue and RealEstate.com

Page 57: 2014 State of the Community Report

Orange County Taxable Sales (Millions)

NC Department of Revenue

2005-2006

2006-2007

2007-2008

2008-2009

2009-2010

2010-2011

2011-2012

2012-2013

2013-2014

$0.00

$200.00

$400.00

$600.00

$800.00

$1,000.00

$1,200.00

$1,400.00

$1,600.00

$908

$1,176

$1,422

Page 58: 2014 State of the Community Report

Orange Co. Gross Sales Tax Collection (Millions)

NC Department of Revenue

2005-2006

2006-2007

2007-2008

2008-2009

2009-2010

2010-2011

2011-2012

2012-2013

2013-2014

$0

$10

$20

$30

$40

$50

$60

$70

$80

$40.82

$58.80

$67.84

Page 59: 2014 State of the Community Report

Percent Share of Sales Tax Revenue Distribution

Orange County

Carrboro Chapel Hill Durham Hillsborough Mebane0.00%

10.00%

20.00%

30.00%

40.00%

50.00%

60.00%

70.00%

62%

9%

25%

0% 3% 1%

Chart Title

NC Dept of Revenue

Page 60: 2014 State of the Community Report

Sales Tax Per Capita

Orange Alamance Chatham Durham Wake$80.00

$100.00

$120.00

$140.00

$160.00

$180.00

$200.00

$106.65

$132.60 $126.88

$188.65

$123.81

NC Dept of Revenue

Page 61: 2014 State of the Community Report

Sales Tax Per Capita

John Locke Foundation20122011201020092008200720062005

$100.00

$120.00

$140.00

$160.00

$180.00

$200.00

$220.00

$240.00

$260.00

$106.65

$132.60

$170.72

$126.88

$188.65

ORANGE ALAMANCE CHATHAM DURHAM

Page 62: 2014 State of the Community Report

Sales Tax Per Capita Rankings

John Locke Foundation

20122011201020082007200620050

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

81st76th

56

7361

54

10

39

ORANGE ALAMANCE CHATHAM DURHAM

Page 63: 2014 State of the Community Report

Per Capital Income Rank vs Per Capita Retail Sales Rank

Durham

Orange

0102030405060708090

9th

1st

10th

81st

Percapital Retail Sales Rank

Per Capita Income Rank

John Locke Foundation

Page 64: 2014 State of the Community Report

Retail Demand vs Retail Sales (Billions)

Orange County Chatham Durham Alamance Johnston$0

$500,000,000

$1,000,000,000

$1,500,000,000

$2,000,000,000

$2,500,000,000

$3,000,000,000

$3,500,000,000

$1.68

$0.77

$3.0

$1.38$1.67

$0.95

$0.55

$2.6

$1.55 $1.56

2012 Total Retail Demand 2012 Total Retail Sales

NC Department of Commerce

Page 65: 2014 State of the Community Report

Retail Gap

Orange County Chatham Durham Alamance Johnston

($200,000,000)

($100,000,000)

$0

$100,000,000

$200,000,000

$300,000,000

$400,000,000

$500,000,000

$600,000,000

$700,000,000

$800,000,000

$728 Million

$236 Million

$376 Million

($154 Mil-lion)

$60 Million

NC Department of Commerce

Page 66: 2014 State of the Community Report

Retail Gap (Millions)

General Merchandise Stores

Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers

Food and Beverage Stores

Clothing/Accessories Stores

Gasoline Stations

Electronics & Appliance Stores

Sports/Hobby/Book/Music Stores

Health and Personal Care Stores

($250.0) ($200.0) ($150.0) ($100.0) ($50.0) $0.0 $50.0

($212.0)

NC Department of Commerce

Page 67: 2014 State of the Community Report

Commercial vs Residential Tax Base

Orange County Chapel Hill Carrboro Hillsborough0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

12.77% 18.47% 15.82%40.46%

2.89%4.27% 7.56%

1.21%

84.34% 77.26% 76.62%58.33%

Commerical Apartments Residential

Orange County Tax Assessor

Page 68: 2014 State of the Community Report
Page 69: 2014 State of the Community Report
Page 70: 2014 State of the Community Report

Assessed Value Per Acre

Page 71: 2014 State of the Community Report

Environment

Page 72: 2014 State of the Community Report

Water Sales and Accounts

19861988

19901992

19941996

19982000

20022004

20062008

20102012

20144.0

4.5

5.0

5.5

6.0

6.5

7.0

7.5

8.0

8.5

9.0

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

18,000

20,000

22,000

Actual Water Sales Customer Accounts

Wat

er S

ales

(Mill

ion

Gallo

ns P

er D

ay A

vera

ge)

Customer Accounts

UNC's use of Re-claimed Water begins

2009

Page 73: 2014 State of the Community Report

Monthly Water & Sewer Bills

2002 2003

2004 2005

2006 2007

2008 2009

2010 2011

2012 2013

2014 2015

2016 2017

$0

$10

$20

$30

$40

$50

$60

$70

$80

$90

$100

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

18%

Average Bill Rate IncreaseProjected Average Bill Projected Rate Increase

Aver

age

Mon

thly

Bill

Bas

ed o

n 4,

000

gallo

ns p

er

mon

th re

siden

tial c

usto

mer

Rate Increase

2%

0% 0% 0%

3% 3% 3%

Page 74: 2014 State of the Community Report

Air Pollution and Volatile Organic Compounds

Orange County State of the Environment

Page 75: 2014 State of the Community Report

Air Pollutants by Source Over Time

Orange County State of the Environment

Page 76: 2014 State of the Community Report

Annual Ozone Exceedances

Orange County State of the Environment

Page 77: 2014 State of the Community Report

Air Quality:Orange County Greenhouse Gas Emissions by Sector

Orange County State of the Environment Report

Transportation, 49%

Residential; 19%

Commercial/Institutional,

29%

Solid Waste; 1% Industrial ; 2%

Page 78: 2014 State of the Community Report

Solid Waste

Orange County State of the Environment

Page 79: 2014 State of the Community Report

Solid Waste

Orange County State of the Environment

Page 80: 2014 State of the Community Report

Orange County Recycling Rate

Orange County State of the Environement

Page 81: 2014 State of the Community Report

Poverty

Page 82: 2014 State of the Community Report

Percent of Persons Living Below Poverty Level

Carrboro Chapel Hill Orange County North Carolina USA0.00%

5.00%

10.00%

15.00%

20.00%

25.00%

16.8%

22.1%

16.9% 16.1%14.3%

U.S Census Bureau

Page 83: 2014 State of the Community Report

Percent of Children in Poverty

2008 2009 2010 2011 201210.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

35.0%

29.2%

20.3%

27.6%

24.9%

15.3%15.4%

AlamanceChathamDurhamJohnstonOrange Wake

NC Child

Page 84: 2014 State of the Community Report

Percent of K-12 Students Enrolled in Free and Reduced Lunch

2007-2008 2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-201220.0%

25.0%

30.0%

35.0%

40.0%

45.0%

50.0%

55.0%

60.0%

65.0%

70.0%

55.6%52.0%

63.6%

45.9%

32.2%

38.6%

AlamanceChathamDurhamJohnstonOrangeWake

NC Dept of Public Instruction

Page 85: 2014 State of the Community Report

Orange County Children in Poverty

2008 2009 2010 2011 20120

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

2897

3879

4822 46274258

NC Child

Page 86: 2014 State of the Community Report

Percent of CHCCS Elementary Students Receiving Free and Reduced Lunch 2012-13

N.C Dept of Public Instruction

Carrboro Elementary

Elizabeth Seawell Elem

Ephesus Road Elementary

Estes Hills Elementary

Frank P Graham Elementary

Glenwood Elementary

C and L McDougle Elem

Mary Scroggs Elementary

Morris Grove Elementary

Mel and Zora Rashkis Elem

10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 55%

43%

17%

46%

32%

50%

25%

39%

25%

26%

22%

Page 87: 2014 State of the Community Report

N.C Dept of Public Instruction

Percent of Orange County Schools Elem Students Receiving Free and Reduced Lunch 2012-13

Cameron Park Elementary

Central Elementary

Efland Cheeks Elementary

Grady Brown Elementary

Hillsborough Elementary

New Hope Elementary

Pathways Elementary

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%

36%

77%

67%

46%

14%

63%

48%

Page 88: 2014 State of the Community Report

Orange County Families Receiving Food and Nutrition Services (Formerly Food Stamps)

NC Division of Social Services

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

3088

6467

Page 89: 2014 State of the Community Report

Orange County Families Receiving Food and Nutrition Services (Formerly Food Stamps)

NC Division of Social Services

Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Jun-146,200

6,250

6,300

6,350

6,400

6,450

6,500

6,467

6,363

6,309

6,368 6,374

Page 90: 2014 State of the Community Report

Education

Page 91: 2014 State of the Community Report

91

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000Local Government (County and City School District) Federal Government State Government

NC Department of Public Instruction

Per Pupil Funding by School DistrictChapel Hill ranks second to Asheville in per pupil funding

Page 92: 2014 State of the Community Report

Percent of Students Who Passed BOTH the Reading and Math End of Grade Tests (2012-13)

NC Department of Public Instruction

North Carolina

CHCCS

OCS

Durham

Alamance-Burlington Schools

Chatham

10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0%

32.0%

59.2%

38.8%

22.2%

27.6%

32.0%

Page 93: 2014 State of the Community Report

Percent of Students Who Passed the End of Grade Science Test 2012-13

North Carolina

CHCCS

OCS

Durham

Alamance-Burlington Schools

Chatham

10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0%

52.2%

71.3%

55.5%

41.7%

44.6%

50.3%

NC Dept of Public Instruction

Page 94: 2014 State of the Community Report

Percent of Passing Scores on End of Course Tests

North Carolina

CHCCS

OCS

Durham

Alamance-Burlington Schools

Chatham

10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0%

44.1%

71.7%

47.6%

36.4%

40.7%

49.7%

NC Dept of Public Insturction

Page 95: 2014 State of the Community Report

CHCCS Percent of Students Passing BOTH End of Grade Reading and Math Tests

White

Black

Hispanic

Asian

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%

74.6%

15.2%

26.0%

70.5%

NC Dept of Public Instruction

Page 96: 2014 State of the Community Report

Percent of Black and Hispanic Students Who Pass Both Reading and Math

North Carolina

CHCCS

OCS

Durham

Alamance-Burlington Schools

Chatham

0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0%

14.2%

15.2%

15.8%

12.9%

13.3%

13.3%

19.3%

26.0%

20.1%

12.9%

16.6%

13.5%

Hispanic

Black

NC Dept of Public Instruction

Page 97: 2014 State of the Community Report

Percent of Black and Hispanic Students Who Pass End of Grade Science Tests

North Carolina

CHCCS

OCS

Durham

Alamance-Burlington Schools

Chatham

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%

32.6%

33.3%

29.5%

32.8%

27.8%

31.1%

39.5%

43.3%

45.9%

35.6%

29.8%

30.1%

Hispanic

Black

NC Dept of Public Instruction

Page 98: 2014 State of the Community Report

Percent of Passing Scores on NC End of Course Tests 2012-13

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

80.0%

90.0%

28.4% 31.0%25.1% 23.4% 26.5%

30.2%

58.8%

82.4%

56.8%53.3% 54.0%

64.6%

Economically Disadvantaged (E.D.)

Not Economically Disadvantaged (N.E.D.)

NC Dept of Public Instruction

Page 99: 2014 State of the Community Report

CHCCS Percent of Students Passing Both End of Grade Reading & Math Test

Economically Disadvantaged (E.D.)

Not Economically Disadvantaged (N.E.D.)

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%

16.1%

74.7%

NC Dept of Public Instruction

Page 100: 2014 State of the Community Report

Percent of Economically Disadvantaged Students Passing Both End of Grade Reading and Math Tests

North Carolina

CHCCS

OCS

Durham

Alamance-Burlington Schools

Chatham

0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20%

17.4%

16.1%

17.3%

11.1%

15.2%

15.0%

NC Dept of Public Instruction

Page 101: 2014 State of the Community Report

High School Graduation Rates

N.C. Dept of Public Instruction

2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-1060.0%

65.0%

70.0%

75.0%

80.0%

85.0%

90.0%

95.0%

100.0%

92.6%92.3% 93.5%

69.1%

87.4%

82.5%

70.3%

83.1%

CHCCS 4-year CHCCS 5-year OCS 4-yearOCS 5-year NC 4-year NC 5-year

Page 102: 2014 State of the Community Report

School District Dropout Rates

N.C. Dept of Public Instruction

2000-2001

2001-2002

2002-2003

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2006-2007

2007-2008

2008-2009

2009-2010

2010-2011

2011-2012

2012-2013

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

2.28%

0.60%

2.45%

OCS Rate CHCCS Rate NC Rate

Page 103: 2014 State of the Community Report

Higher Education

Page 104: 2014 State of the Community Report

UNC Chapel Hill’s 29,278 students

18,503

8,262

2,513

undergraduate

graduate

professional

UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment

Page 105: 2014 State of the Community Report

UNC’s 11,900 Employees

3,608

8,292

Faculty (Total)

Non-Faculty Staff (Total)

UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment

Page 106: 2014 State of the Community Report

UNC Chapel Hill Student Housing

UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment

8,614 (30%)

366 (1%)

18,091

(62%)

841 (3%) 1,215 (4%)

Resident Student Housing

Married Student Housing

Off-Campus

Fraternity & Sorority

Other University Affiliated Housing (Granville Towers)

Page 107: 2014 State of the Community Report

Percent of Undergrads Housed on Campus

Duke University

UNC- Chapel Hill

University of Virginia

Indiana University Bloomington

University of Michigan

University of California at Los Angeles

North Carolina State University

University Wisconsin at Madison

University of California at Berkeley

East Carolina University

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%

84%55%

52%40%39%

36%34%

30%25%24%

Association of College and University Housing Officers International

Page 108: 2014 State of the Community Report

State Appropriations (2013 UNC Chapel Hill)

UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment

$0

$100,000,000

$200,000,000

$300,000,000

$400,000,000

$500,000,000

$600,000,000

$515,120,948

Page 109: 2014 State of the Community Report

UNC Chapel Hill Annual Research Funding (2000-2013)

UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013$250,000,000

$350,000,000

$450,000,000

$550,000,000

$650,000,000

$750,000,000

$850,000,000

$777,838,266

Page 110: 2014 State of the Community Report

UNC Student Enrollment

15,000

17,000

19,000

21,000

23,000

25,000

27,000

29,000

31,000

21,465

23,852

24,872

29,127

UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment

Page 111: 2014 State of the Community Report

Percent of Annual Student Enrollment Growth (1.2% per year average)

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

-1.50 -1.00 -0.50 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00

1.02.5

2.21.3

2.01.5

1.61.51.5

1.21.6

-0.90.5

-0.5

UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment

Page 112: 2014 State of the Community Report

UNC Campus Gross SqFt (000s)

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

7,847

9,639

12,312

19,530

UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment

Page 113: 2014 State of the Community Report

UNC Chapel Hill’s 86 Start-Up Companies

UNC Office of Technology Development

FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY140

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

5

11

3 3 31

6

1

7

1

57

9

14

10

Page 114: 2014 State of the Community Report

UNC Chapel Hill Number of US Patents Issues

UNC Office of Technology Development

FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14*0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

2227

33 3125

34

Page 115: 2014 State of the Community Report

UNC Chapel Hill Licensed Rev (millions)

FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14*$0

$1

$2

$3

$4

$5

$6

$7

$8

$9

$3.0 $2.8

$1.5 $2.4

$3.8

$7.9

UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment

Page 116: 2014 State of the Community Report

Durham Tech Enrollment by Program

Fall 09 Fall 10 Fall 11 Fall 12 Fall 13300

500

700

900

1100

1300

1500

1700

1900

2100

2300

543

2052

1041

1621

Applied and Public Service Tech

Arts and Sciences

Business Education and Information

Health Technologies

Page 117: 2014 State of the Community Report

Durham Tech Licensure Pass Rates

Licensu

re Pass

Rate

Transfer P

erform

ance

Practica

l Nursi

ng

Registere

d Nursi

ngEM

T0.00%

10.00%

20.00%

30.00%

40.00%

50.00%

60.00%

70.00%

80.00%

90.00%

100.00%

91% 94%

100.00%

87.00% 94.00%

Page 118: 2014 State of the Community Report

Durham Tech Continuing Education Student Profile

4%

31%

26%

20%

19%Chart Title

19 and Under

20-29

30-39

40-49

50 and over

Page 119: 2014 State of the Community Report

Visitors

Page 120: 2014 State of the Community Report

Chapel Hill/Orange Co. Hotel Occupancy

Chapel Hill Orange County Visitors Bureau

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 YTD

50

55

60

65

70

75

69.967.1

65

58.9 59.6

64.165.4 65.4

70.7

Page 121: 2014 State of the Community Report

Chapel Hill/ Orange Co Average Daily Rate

Chapel Hill Orange County Visitors Bureau

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 201490

95

100

105

110

115

120

108

116.37114.77

107.35

102.12 101.61104.38

106.49

113.95

Page 122: 2014 State of the Community Report

Chapel Hill/Orange Co. Room Revenue (RevPAR, or revenue per available room, is a performance metric calculated by multiplying a hotel's average daily room rate (ADR) by its occupancy

rate. )

Chapel Hill Orange County Visitors Bureau

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 YTD$50.0

$55.0

$60.0

$65.0

$70.0

$75.0

$80.0

$85.0

$63.3$60.9

$65.2$68.0 $69.6

$80.5Chart Title

Page 123: 2014 State of the Community Report

Orange County Tourism Spending (millions)

NC Department of Commerce

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013$80

$90

$100

$110

$120

$130

$140

$150

$160

$170

$180

$137.61

$147.55 $152.22

$136.30 $144.07

$156.82 $161.60

$168.60

Page 124: 2014 State of the Community Report

State and Local Tax Revenue from Travel to Orange County (millions)

NC Department of Commerce

$3

$4

$5

$6

$7

$8

$9

$10

$11

$12

$13 $12.51

$9.28

$4.89

State & local tax revenues from travel to Orange County

Page 125: 2014 State of the Community Report

2013 Taxes Generated by Tourists (in Millions)

• In 2013, visitors to Orange County generated 12.51 million in State and Local Taxes (including sales, lodging, food & beverage, gas and other)

Chapel Hill Orange County Visitors Bureau

Local State$0.00

$1.00

$2.00

$3.00

$4.00

$5.00

$6.00

$7.00

$8.00

$9.00

$10.00

$3.57

$8.94

Page 126: 2014 State of the Community Report

County Health Rankings

Morbidity

WAKE #1ORANGE #2DURHAM #18ALAMANCE #41CHATHAM #46

Mortality

WAKE #1ORANGE #2DURHAM #10CHATHAM #13ALAMANCE #18

County Health Rankings, Robert Wood Johnson Foundation

Page 127: 2014 State of the Community Report

Health and Safety

Page 128: 2014 State of the Community Report

All Cancer Frequency (per 100,000)

NC State Center for Health Statistics

North Carolina

Alamance

Chatham

Durham

Orange

Wake

440 450 460 470 480 490 500 510 520 530

498.1

522.5

494.5

489.9

482.5

485.9

496.7

518.9

469.5

492.9

477.2

487.42007-2011 Rate2006-2010 Rate

Page 129: 2014 State of the Community Report

Lung/Bronchus Cancer Rate (per 100,000)

NC State Center for Health Statistics

North Carolina

Alamance

Chatham

Durham

Orange

Wake

40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85

74.8

76.5

63.3

69

61.4

59.5

73.4

75.1

57.9

68.8

59.7

58.2 2007-2011 Rate2006-2010 Rate

Page 130: 2014 State of the Community Report

Prostate Cancer Rate (per 100,000)

NC State Center for Health Statistics

North Carolina

Alamance

Chatham

Durham

Orange

Wake

90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 190

153.7

168.7

141.6

166.9

141.8

178.8

150.6

166.8

125.6

157.9

140.3

172.3

2007-2011 Rate2006-2010 Rate

Page 131: 2014 State of the Community Report

Female Breast Cancer Frequency (per 100,000)

NC State Center for Health Statistics

North Carolina

Alamance

Chatham

Durham

Orange

Wake

155 157 159 161 163 165 167 169 171 173 175

155.9

160.2

168.9

161.6

172.3

163.8

157.4

164.2

165.1

172.5

171.3

168.8

2007-2011 Rate2006-2010 Rate

Page 132: 2014 State of the Community Report

Orange County Pregnancy Rate Girls Age 15-17 (per 1000)

NC State Center for Health Statistics

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20125.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

26.1

10.6

Page 133: 2014 State of the Community Report

Orange County Infant Mortality Rate (per 1000 live births)

NC State Center for Health Statistics

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20120.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

Orange County State

Page 134: 2014 State of the Community Report

Property Crime Rate (per 100,000)

State Bureau of Investigation

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

9000

6,112

3,200

7,427

3,026

Chapel Hill Carrboro

Page 135: 2014 State of the Community Report

Violent Crime Rate (per 100,000)

State Bureau of Investigation

19911992

19931995

19961997

19992001

20022003

20042005

20062007

20082009

20102011

20120

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

186.5

315.3

Chapel Hill Carrboro

Page 136: 2014 State of the Community Report

County Property Crime Rates (Per 100,000)

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20120.0

1,000.0

2,000.0

3,000.0

4,000.0

5,000.0

6,000.0

7,000.0

8,000.0

3,481

2,007

4,428

2,5672,526

Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake

State Bureau of Investigation

Page 137: 2014 State of the Community Report

County Violent Crime Rates (Per 100,000)

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20120.0

100.0

200.0

300.0

400.0

500.0

600.0

700.0

800.0

900.0

1,000.0

453.0

163.7

665.6

151.3

261.1

Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake

State Bureau of Investigation

Page 138: 2014 State of the Community Report

http://vimeo.com/84246669

Page 139: 2014 State of the Community Report

How You Can Support

Performance Golf ClassicSept. 8 at Governors Club

Inter-City Visit & Leadership ConferenceSept. 21-23 in Athens, GA

Page 140: 2014 State of the Community Report

Be a SuperFan!

Golf Sponsor

Page 141: 2014 State of the Community Report

September 8 at Governors Clubwww.carolinachamber.org/golf

Page 142: 2014 State of the Community Report
Page 143: 2014 State of the Community Report

Orange CountyEconomic Development Briefing

October 23, 2014

www.carolinachamber.org/eventsFor sponsorship opportunities contact Aubrey Fox Williams

[email protected]

Save the date and register

Page 144: 2014 State of the Community Report

slideshare.net/carolinachamber

Check the Chamber’s SlideShare account for the entire presentation.

Page 145: 2014 State of the Community Report

Connect With Us• Facebook.com/ChapelHillCarrboroChamber

• Twitter: @CarolinaChamber• Flickr.com/photos/carolinachamber

• LinkedIn: Chapel Hill-Carrboro Chamber group• SlideShare: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber

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