2014-navigate-essentials foundations of market entry strategies
TRANSCRIPT
Economics, Planning &Development
Community Research& Strategy
Building a Strategic Foundation for New Market Entry
August, 6th – 7th, 2014
University of Western Australia
Executive MBA – Winter Workshop Series
Two Day SeminarInformation & Knowledge
ManagementBusiness Strategy &
Finance
Design, Marketing & Advertising
John GreggPrincipal
Navigate Consulting ina Changing A leadingAustralian consulting grouprecognised through thesuccess of our clients
Table of Contents
• Agenda and Introduction Pages 3-4
• Overview of the Strategic Pillars underpinning market analysis Pages 6-9
• Pillar 1 – Understanding the Industry Structure Pages 12 – 54
• Pillar 2 – Understanding Customer Value and Who to Target Pages 55 – 110
• Pillar 3 – Identifying and Understanding Your Competitors Pages 111 – 128
• Pillar 4 – Understanding you Own Business Capabilities Pages 129 – 150
• A Brief Introduction to the Basics of a Market Entry Strategy Pages 151 - 158
2
Agenda for This Weekend’s Workshop
• Introduction to the course
• Quick brief on the importance of developing a strategic foundation to prepare for entering a new market
• Overview of the four strategic foundation components
• Deep dive into each of the steps
1. Industry Structure Analysis
2. Customer Identification and Value
3. Competitor Identification
4. Our Business Capabilities
• Brief introduction to the market entry strategy
3
Why does it matter?
• In a globalised and internationally competitive world, entering new markets is often critical to thecontinued growth of firms.
• But before developing a market entry plan a comprehensive strategic knowledge base of allrelevant aspects of the market must be gathered.
• This knowledge base becomes the foundation which should guide and help shape the market entrystrategy.
• The foundation comprises four key pillars;
1. The industry structure
2. The customer target and their value
3. A full audit of the existing market competitors
4. A fearless examination of your business capabilities and fit with the dynamics of themarket.
• Our objective today and tomorrow is to learn about these steps in an interactive ways, we’ll bedoing group exercises, problems solving tasks and running analysis on real case studies to help usassimilate the ideas
3
OverviewOf the Four Pillars
5
6
The Four Pillars of a Solid Strategic foundation to Guide Market Entry Strategies
• To capture basic snapshot of industry
• To identify paradigm shifts and external trends
• To identify a company’s core competencies and gaps
• To understand a company’s competitive advantage and sustainability
1. Strategic foundation
Industry structure Customer valueCompetitor
Identification Business capabilities
• To identify customer needs and company role in their fulfillment
• To prioritize customer requirements and competitive markets
• To understand differentiating qualities of competitor portfolios
• To predict competitor moves and market positions
Developing a comprehensive understanding of the structure of and industry in a new market is often determine whether market entry strategies succeed or rail.
The four pillars
7
Strategic questions answeredRelated tools
1. Industry structure key concepts and tools
Industrystructure
Customervalue
Businesscapabilities
Competitor Identification
1. Market overview• What is the forecasted size and growth of the market?
• How attractive are the major market segments?
• What returns should I expect?
2. Value chain analysis • What are the components of the full product value chain?
• What segments of the value chain drive competitive advantage?
• Which segments provide opportunities for performance improvement and competitive advantage?
3. Profit pools • What are the main drivers of profitability in the industry?
• How is this shifting?
4. Technology overview and evolution
• How is new technology changing industry dynamics?
• Are there emerging applications of technology from other industries/markets
6. Regulatory, geo-political and globalization trends
• Are there any emerging regulatory, geo-political or globalization trends that could significantly change the “rules of the game”?
5. New threat assessment • Are there any emerging macro-trends that could significantly change the “rules of the game”?
6
8
Industrystructure
Customervalue
Businesscapabilities
Competitor Identification
2. Customer value key concepts and tools
Strategic questions answeredRelated tools
2. Assessment of customer segment attractiveness
• What are the most attractive customer segments for the business?
• Which segments fit most clearly with business core competencies?
• Which segments are most profitable to serve?
5. Channel segmentation and attractiveness
• What are the most attractive channels for the business?
• Which channels fit most clearly with business core competencies?
• Which channels are most profitable to use?
4. Share of wallet • What is the full portfolio of customer needs?
• How does the business fit within a customer segment’s spending habits?
1. Customer segmentation • What customers constitute the market, and what are their differentiating needs?
• How do customers segment according to their needs and behaviors?
• How do customers segment according to observable characteristics (e.g. demographic)?
3. Customer needs and attitudes • What needs drive customer requirements and satisfaction?
• How well does the business (and its competitors) fulfill these needs?
6. Customer loyalty • How “loyal” are the business’ customer segments?
• What advantages/disadvantages does customer loyalty have on the business?
7
9
3. Competitive position toolsIndustrystructure
Customervalue
Businesscapabilities
Competitor Identification
Strategic questions answeredRelated tools
1. Competitor portfolio overview
• What do competitors offer?
• How does this compare to your business’ portfolio/offerings?
3. Return/relative market share (RMS)
• What is the industry relationship between return and market share?
• How do competitors perform according to this relationship?
4. Competitor investment strategy and technology assessment
• On what market segments or products are competitors focusing investments and where do they expect future growth?
• What new technologies are competitors developing, and how will this be leveraged across product lines and their portfolios?
• How do likely competitor actions interact with your business’ strategy?
2. Competitor profitability assessment
• How profitable are competitors, and what are their main profit drivers?
• Competitor strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats
8
10
4. Business capabilities tools
Industrystructure
Customervalue
Competitor Identification
Businesscapabilities
Strategic questions answeredRelated tools
3. Capabilities assessment • What are the business’ capabilities, strengths and key gaps, especially across technology, personnel and financial strength?
• How does the business perform in meeting the industries’ required competencies across the value chain?
2. Core capabilitiesdefinitions
• What are the key elements of your industry’s value chain?
• What special skills or technologies could the business use to drive or create differential customer value?
1. Relative cost position (RCP) • How does business cost align with the industry/market?
• Does the business’ profitability/cost position fall within the industry’s norms?
• What is the full potential cost position?
9
11
After completing the industry analysis, Strategic decisions on growth must be made
1. Strategic foundation
Industrystructure
Customervalue
Competitiveposition
2. Strategic decisions
Insights for business decisions Where should
I compete?
How do I win?
- What businesses, segments, geographies?
- What is my core(s)?
- What drives profit?
- How and where do I differentially invest/divest?
Businesscapabilities
10
1. Industry structure
12
13
1. Industry structure
Strategic foundation
Industry structure Customer value Business capabilitiesCompetitive position
• To capture basic snapshot of industry
• To identify paradigm shifts and external trends
• To identify a company’s core competencies and gaps
• To understand a company’s competitive advantage and sustainability
• understand differentiating qualities of competitor portfolios
• To predict competitor moves and market positions
14
Strategic questions answeredRelated tools
Industry structure toolsIndustrystructure
Customervalue
Businesscapabilities
Competitor Identification
1. Market overview• What is the forecasted size and growth of the market?
• How attractive are the major market segments?
• What returns should I expect?
2. Value chain analysis • What are the components of the full product value chain?
• What segments of the value chain drive competitive advantage?
• Which segments provide opportunities for performance improvement?
3. Profit pools • What are the main drivers of profitability in the industry?
• How is this shifting?
4. Technology overview and evolution
• How is new technology changing industry dynamics?
• Are there emerging applications of technology from other industries/markets?
6. Regulatory, geo-political and globalization trends
• Are there any emerging regulatory, geo-political or globalization trends that could significantly change the “rules of the game”?
5. New threat assessment • Are there any emerging trends that could significantly change the “rules of the game”?
15
A market can be segmented many ways
Customer
ProductTechnology
ChannelGeography
What is the most important way to segment your business?
To what level should you segment?
16 Source: Medical and Healthcare Marketplace Guide; Analyst Reports
Australian Medical Device Market
Market maps show the size of market segments, market share and level of fragmentationIt is important to first cut your market at a high level. If you are the #1 or #2 player in your market, how can you more largely cut the boundaries of your market so you only have 5-10% market share?
By starting at a high level, you are able to see where some potential adjacent or lateral opportunities could exist.
17
Mapping regional market segments can also uncover distinct differencesRegional subtleties can help determine where you should prioritize potential expansion and/or where to potentially divest. Many times the differences may result from different regional “tastes.” other times regulatory and/or other government issues can drive the differences.
Source: Jaako Pöyry; ABC estimates
2011
18
Market sizing procedures may vary based on how well an industry is documentedMarket sizing objectives:Identify growth and size of defined market to establish target company/business growth potential and market shareIllustrate company/business position relative to competitors within and across segmentsIdentify key events which influence market size
Poorly Documented
• Market size information is usually publicly available
• Examples:- Government purchases- Consumer products- Housewares- Automobile industry
• Market size information needs to be constructed
• Examples:- Unique goods (e.g., weather
forecasting software)- Handicrafts
• Get to the central data source quickly
• Look at the “source’s source”
- Talk to industry associations
• Be willing to make educated assumptions• Look for proxies to represent missing data• Develop creative approaches and calculations to
obtain market size
Well Documented
19
Strategic questions answeredRelated tools
Industry structure tools
Industrystructure
Customervalue
Businesscapabilities
Competitor Identification
1. Market overview• What is the forecasted size and growth of the market?
• How attractive are the major market segments?
• What returns should I expect?
2. Value chain analysis • What are the components of the full product value chain?
• What segments of the value chain drive competitive advantage?
• Which segments provide opportunities for performance improvement?
3. Profit pools • What are the main drivers of profitability in the industry?
• How is this shifting?
4. Technology overview and evolution
• How is new technology changing industry dynamics?
• Are there emerging applications of technology from other industries/markets?
6. Regulatory, geo-political and globalization trends
• Are there any emerging regulatory, geo-political or globalization trends that could significantly change the “rules of the game”?
5. New threat assessment • Are there any emerging trends that could significantly change the “rules of the game”?
20
Value chain analysis provides a systematic method for disaggregating a firm or industry into its major discrete activities to understand sources of competitive advantage
• Value chain analysis can help identify opportunities and clarify business boundaries
- Opportunities for cost advantage/improve performance
- Where to increase competitive differentiation
- Distinct boundaries across business (or industry) processes
- Clear framework to evaluate and prioritize activities on which to focus
Value Chain analysis
Equipment Design Install Operate Service Monitor
Successively finer disaggregations of activities can expose differences important to competitive advantage
21
Distribution/OutboundLogistics
Service
Value chain scope depends largely on the purpose for which it is being used
Firm value chain:
Major activity value chain:
Tech., R&D
Purchasing/InboundLogistics
Manu-facturing/Operations
Marketing&
Sales
ConversionFinal
AssemblyQuality
AssurancePackaging
Cost analysis
Process re-engineering
Cost analysis
System or industry value chain:
Inputs(Supplier)
Conversion(Manufacturer)
Distribution(Distributor/
Retailer)
Consumption(End-User)
Potential supplier identification
Sample Use
MaterialPreparation
22
When to use value chain analysis at different levels
Cost analysis
Process re-engineering
Business definition
Industry collaboration/Identifying potential suppliers
Competitive positioning
Map Major Activities
MapSub-Activities
Always
Sometimes
Unlikely
23
Disaggregating the chain helps you decide where you should or need to play
Description:
Importance of local market share:
Revenuestream:
Compe-tencies:
Influence on buying decision:
Spec systems for larger projects ($100K+)
Medium
One time
Engineering and design
High
Install and commission equipment
High
One time
Technician
Low
Merge databases of disparate systems
Low
One time
Computerprogramming
Low
Maintenance
On going
Medium
Monitor system
On going
Manufacture and sell hardware and software
Manuf: lowDealer: high (except nat’l accounts)
One time + upgrades and service
R&D, manufacturing, distribution
Low
InstallProduct
(Equipment and software)
Databaseintegration
Service Monitor
Software onlyEquip –ongoing
Consulting/Engineering
AssessAssess Plan Specify
Support, upgrade
Low
High Low High Low
On-site Central station
Tech. Computer programming
Guard Operator
SecuritySystems
Several chain sections (Consulting/Engineering, Service and Monitor) have been further sub-dividedTo build long-term relationships and revenue streams, the business may want to consider participating in the servicing and monitoring components of the chain
24
Strategic questions answeredRelated tools
Industry structure tools
Industrystructure
Customervalue
Businesscapabilities
CompetitorIdentification
1. Market overview• What is the forecasted size and growth of the market?
• How attractive are the major market segments?
• What returns should I expect?
2. Value chain analysis • What are the components of the full product value chain?
• What segments of the value chain drive competitive advantage?
• Which segments provide opportunities for performance improvement?
3. Profit pools • What are the main drivers of profitability in the industry?
• How is this shifting?
4. Technology overview and evolution
• How is new technology changing industry dynamics?
• Are there emerging applications of technology from other industries/markets?
6. Regulatory, geo-political and globalization trends
• Are there any emerging regulatory, geo-political or globalization trends that could significantly change the “rules of the game”?
5. New threat assessment • Are there any emerging trends that could significantly change the “rules of the game”?
25
Profit pools learning objectives
• Learn the profit pool concept and how you can use profit pools to better understand your industry and where to compete
• Learn the basic steps on how to create a profit pool
26
Accounting profit - business earnings as formally reported
- Most commonly used as the basic profit measure
- Examples include Net Income or Earnings per Share calculations
Return on investment - business earnings after taking the cost of capital into account. Commonly used measures include:
- Return on Capital (book value)
- Return on Invested Capital (book value)
- Return on Assets
• Cash-flow contribution - business earnings before taking fixed-asset and capital costs into account (e.g. Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization – EBITDA)
- Used as a basis for decision-making in mature, high fixed cost and cyclical industries
“Profit” can be defined in several ways
Be aware of differences in accounting standards when evaluating companies with profits spanning different industries
27
Mapping a profit pool involves four steps
1. Define the pool2. Determine the size
of the pool
3. Estimate the distribution of
profits
4. Reconcile the estimates
Tasks: • Identify which value chain activities influence the industry’s ability to generate current and future profits
• Develop a baseline estimate of the profits generated by all profit pool activities within the value chain
• Determine the profits generated by each activity within the value chain
• Compare the results previous two steps and reconcile numbers
• List of value chain activities in profit pool (in sequential order)
• Estimate of total profit pools (may be a range)
• Point estimates of profit for each value chain activity
• Final estimates of activity and total pool profits
Output:
28
Profit pool “choke points” control profit flow
Examples:
Computer industry example
Impact:
•Intel’s dominance of microprocessors
•Establishment of an industry-wide standard that all companies must now follow
•Microsoft’s dominance of Windows
•Consolidation of control over the customer interface
Micro-processors
Other Components
Personal Computers
Software Peripherals Services
Control of a choke point can influence the distribution of profits among competitors and more distant value-chain participants
29
Three ways to use profit pools
•“Take a Truck”: identified a large untapped source of profit in the low margin truck rental business
- Seized first mover advantage
- Entered accessory business at a low cost
- Reduced prices (and profits) in core truck rental business to attract customers for higher margin accessory business
Identify new sources of profit
•Dell: evaluates which customers to pursue and which channels to use
- With direct sales, Dell splits what would be dealer’s profits with itself and customers through lower prices
- Regular customer re-segmentation identifies most profitable customers, allowing Dell to react quickly to new profit sources
Develop distribution strategy
Guide pricing,product and
operating decisions
•Lion Nathan in Australia: recognized industry’s profit pool driven by premium beer
- Increased marketing of premium brands
- Vertically integrated into can production, thereby raising competitive barriers around the pool by cutting manufacturing and distribution cost
Seeing what others do not will best prepare you to capturea disproportionate share of industry profits
30
Tips for success
Take a broad view of the value chain
Examine the industry from different views, building estimates from multiple perspectives
Prioritize focus to look at the largest and easiest components first
Look at relevant internal and external comparables
Think creatively
Creating profit pools can be a difficult exercise, but generates highly valuable insights
Key Activities in doing profit pools:
•Lay out the key supplier and buyer elements of the value chain
•Find overall revenue (i.e. market size) for each of the supplier and buyer side elements
•Find an average industry profit margin for each of the supplier and buyer side elements
31
Strategic questions answeredRelated tools
Industry structure tools
Industrystructure
Customervalue
Businesscapabilities
CompetitorIdentification
1. Market overview• What is the forecasted size and growth of the market?
• How attractive are the major market segments?
• What returns should I expect?
2. Value chain analysis • What are the components of the full product value chain?
• What segments of the value chain drive competitive advantage?
• Which segments provide opportunities for performance improvement?
3. Profit pools • What are the main drivers of profitability in the industry?
• How is this shifting?
4. Technology overview and evolution
• How is new technology changing industry dynamics?
• Are there emerging applications of technology from other industries/markets?
6. Regulatory, geo-political and globalization trends
• Are there any emerging regulatory, geo-political or globalization trends that could significantly change the “rules of the game”?
5. New threat assessment • Are there any emerging trends that could significantly change the “rules of the game”?
32
Technology overview and evolution learning objectives
• View potential frameworks and tools you can use to assess technology evolution and convergence
• Gain a better understanding as to why some technologies failed to live up to their hype
• See how studying analogies and talking to customers can help provide insights into and better predict technological evolution
33
Assessing technology’s evolution and its’ potential impact is a multi-step process
Competitors’ capabilities
My capabilities
Current and
future customer
needs
34
Printers and related
As product life cycles (PLCs) continue to shorten, assessing new threats is more important than ever
35
Diagnose Intervene Monitor/Manage
In
vitro
In vivo
internal
Non-
invasive
Min.
invasive
Inva-
sive
Rehab/
Recovery
Moni-
toring
Disease
Mgmt
IT
R&D
Research Dvpt.In vivo
external
Targeted Rx delivery
GEMS Core GEMS Core
Radiation Implants
Smart Implants
Endoscopy-enabled Procedures
Image-enabled Procedures
Imaging for Soft Tissue Characterization
Molecular Imaging, Radiopharmaceuticals
Pharmacogenomics
Treatment Efficacy Monitoring
PoC Dx Monitoring, Remote Monitoring
Convergence has created new combinations in health care
36
There are four requirements for technology convergence to be successful
UnmetneedsAttractive economics
(Consumer vs Supplier)
Manageable adoptionbarriers
Existingtriggers
--------------------- Convergence requirements ---------------------
Media & digital technology (TV + PC) eg: AOL Time Warner
Internet telephony eg: various start-ups
•Always up-to-date, customized information
•No unmet need (regular tel lines satisfactory)
•Cons: Weak willingness to pay for internet content
•Suppl: No critical mass for sufficient revenue
•Cons: Cheaper than traditional
•Supplnot attractive; start-ups unable to reach critical mass
•Customer behavior (passive communi-cation with TV, inte-ractive with PC)
•Cumbersome dialing required
•Lack of sufficient, widespread broadband
• Immature technology (=> inferior connec-tion quality)
Failu
re
Unfavorable
Favorable
Neutral
Financial services(banking + brokerage + insurance) eg: Citigroup, USAA
Electric & gas utilities eg: Reliant
•One-stop shopping
• None
•Cons: Lower aggregate fees
•Suppl: Significant cross-selling opportunities
•Cons: Some price benefit
•Suppl: Strong customer and cost synergies
•Time-consuming account consolidation
•No customer behavior change required
•Deregulation
• IT enabling sharing of info across platforms
•Deregulation (and pri-vatization overseas)
Succ
ess
40
37
Customer interviews can help assess trends and their impact on current/future boundaries
• For each key product or service (and related business extension currently being discussed), who at the customer makes the buying decision? Who are the influencers?
• Which products or services are bought at the same time? Different?
• What else does each decision maker buy? Each influencer?
• How valuable would a fully integrated system be? Why?
• How will the buying process change in the near to medium term? (Convergence?)
38
Strategic questions answeredRelated tools
Industry structure tools
Industrystructure
Customervalue
Businesscapabilities
CompetitorIdentification
1. Market overview• What is the forecasted size and growth of the market?
• How attractive are the major market segments?
• What returns should I expect?
2. Value chain analysis • What are the components of the full product value chain?
• What segments of the value chain drive competitive advantage?
• Which segments provide opportunities for performance improvement?
3. Profit pools • What are the main drivers of profitability in the industry?
• How is this shifting?
4. Technology overview and evolution
• How is new technology changing industry dynamics?
• Are there emerging applications of technology from other industries/markets?
6. Regulatory, geo-political and globalization trends
• Are there any emerging regulatory, geo-political or globalization trends that could significantly change the “rules of the game”?
5. New threat assessment • Are there any emerging trends that could significantly change the “rules of the game”?
39
New threat assessment learning objectives
• Understand how to apply Porter’s Five Forces market analysis tool, with special focus on assessing new threats
40
Porter's Five Forces offers a framework to assess new threats (1 of 6)
Rivalry among existing firms
Suppliers
Bargaining power of suppliers
Potential entrants
Substitutes
Buyers
Threat of new entrants
Bargaining power of buyers
Threat of substitute products or services
Industry competitors
41
• Economies of scale
• Proprietary product differences
• Brand identity
• Switching costs
• Capital requirements
• Access to distribution
• Absolute cost advantages
- Proprietary learning curve access to necessary inputs proprietary low-cost product design
• Government policy
• Expected retaliation
Entry barriers
Porter’s Five Forces (2 of 6)
Suppliers
Potentialentrants
Substitutes
BuyersIndustry
competitors
42
• Industry growth
• Fixed (or storage) costs/value added
• Intermittent overcapacity
• Product differences
• Brand identity
• Switching costs
• Concentration and balance
• Informational complexity
• Diversity of competitors
• Corporate stakes
• Exit barriers
Porter’s Five Forces (3 of 6)
Determinants of rivalry among existing firms
Suppliers
Potentialentrants
Substitutes
BuyersIndustry
competitors
43
• Differentiation of inputs
• Switching costs of suppliers and firms in the industry
• Presence of substitute inputs
• Supplier concentration
• Importance of volume to supplier
• Cost relative to total purchases in the industry
• Impact of inputs on cost or differentiation
• Threat of forward integration relative to threat of backward integration by firms in the industry
Porter’s Five Forces (4 of 6)
Determinants of supplier power
Suppliers
Potentialentrants
Substitutes
BuyersIndustry
competitors
44
• Relative price performance of substitutes
• Switching costs
• Buyer propensity to substitute
Porter’s Five Forces (5 of 6)
Determinants of substitution threat
Suppliers
Potentialentrants
Substitutes
BuyersIndustry
competitors
Substitution example: Pricing and sales trends uncover insights and potential threats
The convergence of granite and solid surface pricing has led to solid surface share loss
45
46
• Buyer concentration versus firm concentration
• Buyer volume
• Buyer switching costs relative to firm switching costs
• Buyer information
• Ability to backward integrate
• Substitute products
• Pull-through
• Price/total purchases
• Product differences
• Brand identity
• Impact on quality/performance
• Buyer profits
• Decision makers’ incentives
Porter’s Five Forces (6 of 6)
Determinants of buyer power
BargainingLeverage
Price Sensitivity
Suppliers
Potentialentrants
Substitutes
BuyersIndustry
competitors
47
Qantas11%
Baker’s Delight10%
Samsung13%
Continental-10%
Virgin Air(5%)
Low
High
High
Low Airlines Bread Smartphones
Relative competitive advantage
Relative Industry Attractiveness
Narrow application of Five Forces can miss possibility of earning good returns in bad businesses
Iphone67%
Key takeaway: Using Porter’s Five forces to assess threats can be very helpful, but the Five Forces framework should not be solely relied upon in any look at strategy.
• Firms in lousy businesses that fail to develop a competitive advantage destroy shareholder wealth (Qantas), but firms in lousy businesses can provide excess returns to shareholders (Virgin)
• Competitive advantage in an attractive business leads to excess returns (Iphone), but being in an attractive business does not guarantee excess returns (Samsung)
48
Strategic questions answeredRelated tools
Industry structure tools
Industrystructure
Customervalue
Businesscapabilities
Competitor Identification
1. Market overview• What is the forecasted size and growth of the market?
• How attractive are the major market segments?
• What returns should I expect?
2. Value chain analysis • What are the components of the full product value chain?
• What segments of the value chain drive competitive advantage?
• Which segments provide opportunities for performance improvement?
3. Profit pools • What are the main drivers of profitability in the industry?
• How is this shifting?
4. Technology overview and evolution
• How is new technology changing industry dynamics?
• Are there emerging applications of technology from other industries/markets?
6. Regulatory, geo-political and globalization trends
• Are there any emerging regulatory, geo-political or globalization trends that could significantly change the “rules of the game”?
5. New threat assessment • Are there any emerging trends that could significantly change the “rules of the game”?
49
Regulatory, geo-political and globalization trends learning objectives
• View some potential tools and frameworks to help you better assess opportunities and challenges provided by regulatory, geo-political and globalization trends
50
Regulations are one of the a of inter-related forces that can change industries
Telecom Regulation
1992 Australian Productivity Commission report recommended the break of Teltra’s Australian telecommunication monopoly
Telecom and Media Act 1996
- 50% of Telstra privatized
- Market competition opened for both services and hardware (exchanges, fiber optic routes)
- Broadcast ownership rules opened
• 2014 – Over 40 carriers and hardware suppliers vying for market share
Rule changes have opened markets and resulted in intensified competition (E.G Current privatization of many UK NHS service areas)
51
Regulatory structure and government involvement can significantly impact profitability
Examples
Government intervention
Repossession/ senior debt laws
Pricing environment
Low
• Germany
• Banks often used to further public policy goals
• Supplier has claim on goods until they are paid for
• Banks not return driven
• France/Italy
• France: Lenders potentially subject to usury laws at high yield levels
• Supplier has claim on inventory until sold
• France: Can exploit niches with attractive pricing
• Italy: Captives not return driven
High
• UK
• Low; favorable lending environment
• No claim on inventory
• Attractive
Structural attractiveness
52
• Government stability• China/Taiwan/Hong Kong• World currencies• Levels and locations of Foreign Direct
Investment (FDI)• Middle income trap (Mexico, Thailand,)• Western world stagnation posy 2007• Sudden unexpected military action
Geo-political and globalization trends must be examined
Geo-Political Key Issues
Globalization Key Trends
• Global capital markets• Trade liberalization
- WTO, GATT, NAFTA, EU
• Technology innovation & electronic distribution
• Deregulation
Potential data sources
• Analyst reports
• Industry trade groups
• Industry lobby groups
• Literature searches
• Expert interviews
53
Example: The Chinese express delivery market is structurally very different from Australia
• Paper-based articles that fit into a standard-sized express envelop
• Weight <500g
DefinitionDomestic regulation
International regulation
• Non-Express Mail Service (EMS) companies not allowed to deliver documents with informational content
• Heavily restricted market
• All non-EMS companies are allowed to participate, BUT…
• …Grey area due to definition of personal mail, business mail and parcels
• Packages that weigh up to 25kg (international) and up to ~30kg (domestic) per shipment
• Heavy weight parcels, greater than 25kg (international) and ~30kg (domestic) per shipment
• All companies are allowed to participate
• Non-EMS companies are allowed to participate, BUT…
• …can not deliver documents with informational content
• All companies are allowed to participate
• All non-EMS companies are allowed to participate, BUT…
• …EMS and China Post are trying to close up this segment
Documents:
Express Freight:
Parcels:
Source: Literature Search; Interviews. 2009 data.
54
Using a “heat map” can help identify global opportunities
United States
Germany
Japan
Italy
UK
Korea
Peru
Credit cards
Mort-gages
Mutual funds
De-posits
Life insur-ance
P&C insur-ance M&A
Under-writing
Deriva-tives
Corp. lending
Foreign ex-
change
Hot
Cold
Each cell represents a geographic product market and is shaded according to its likely profitability and growth
Opportunity assessment
2. Customer Targeting and Value
55
2. Customer Value
Strategic foundation
Industry structure Customer valueCompetitor
Identification Business capabilities
• To capture basic snapshot of industry
• To identify paradigm shifts and external trends
• To identify customer needs and their implications for the business
• To prioritize customer requirements and competitive markets
• To identify a business’ core competencies and gaps
• To understand a business’ competitive advantage and sustainability
• To understand differentiating qualities of competitor portfolios
• To predict competitor moves and market positions
61
57
Industrystructure
Customervalue
Businesscapabilities
Competitor Identification
Customer value tools
Strategic questions answeredRelated tools
2. Assessment of customer segment attractiveness
• What are the most attractive customer segments for the business?
• Which segments fit most clearly with the business’s core competencies?
• Which segments are most profitable to serve?
5. Channel segmentation and attractiveness
• What are the most attractive channels for the business?
• Which channels fit most clearly with the business’s core competencies?
• Which channels are most profitable to use?
4. Share of wallet • What is the full portfolio of customer needs?
• How does the business fit within a customer segment’s spending habits?
1. Customer segmentation • What customers constitute the market and what are their differentiating needs?
• How do customers segment according to their needs and behaviors?
• How do customers segment according to observable characteristics (e.g., demographic)?
3. Customer needs and attitudes
• What needs drive customer requirements and satisfaction?
• How well does the business (and its competitors) fulfill these needs?
6. Customer loyalty • How “loyal” are the business’ customer segments?
• What advantages/disadvantages does customer loyalty have on the business?
62
• Each customer segment has a unique set of needs and requires its own value proposition
• Profit potential varies dramatically by customer segment
Customer segmentation helps companies efficiently focus scarce resources
Resources should be allocated differentially across customer segments
All customers are not created equal
58
59
The "right" customers tend to look quite different from others
0 6 12 18 24 30 36
-120
26
43 43 41 44 46
-150
-100
-50
0
$50
Profit per customer
Months
0 6 12 18 24 30 36
-70
11 11
-0
12
-2
12
-4
13
-4
14
-3
-150
-100
-50
0
$50
Profit per customer
Months
NPV
$190
NPV
$6
Example: Financial services industry
Spending Growth
Referrals
Base
Acquisition Cost
“Right” customers “Other” customers
There are three segmentation approaches, each of which answers different questions
• Who are the most profitable customers in our customer base?
• How many more customers like these are there in the market?
• Customer value
• Customer attitudes/behavior
• Customer profile
Segmentation approach Questions answered
• What value proposition will increase our most profitable customers’ loyalty to us and attract more like them?
• What demographic/product usage characteristics, if any, can we use to find high potential customers?
60
1. Divide customers into profitability buckets
2. Collect data3. Combine variables to
determine segments
• Determine appropriate profitability metric
• Bucket according to intuitive divisions
• Iterate depending on distribution between categories
• Create a list of key profit-driving behaviors
• Develop segmentation hypotheses
• Group into segments based on their responses to key variables
• “Reality check” based on distribution between categories
Example:
• Top 10%, bottom 10% of customers in terms of yearly profitability
Example:
• Frequency of use
• Duration of use
Example:
• High frequency but short duration of use
• Low frequency but long duration of use
Identification of customer groupings and their relative profitability
The Customer value approach is based on profitability
61
62
• Make a complete list of likely customer and non-customer attitudes and behaviors
• Select attitudes that
- Drive purchase behavior
- Are actionable
- Differ across customers
• Select behaviors that
- Drive usage and cost-to-serve differences
- Are easily measured
- Differ across customers
• Develop segmentation hypotheses
1. Create a list of key profit-driving behaviors and
attitudes2. Collect data
3. Conduct factor/cluster analysis to determine
segments
• Conduct a quantitative survey of a representative sample of customers and non-customers to gauge their key attitudes and behavior
• Gather additional data in the survey to make segmentation actionable
- Profitability data
- Demographic profile
- Competitor perceptions
- Defection drivers
• Customers and non-customers are statistically placed in segments based on their responses to key variables
- Attitudes/behaviors
- Demographic profile
Customer attitudes/behavior and Customer profile take a slightly different approach
Identification of profitability impact of various customer needs and groupings
• Identify gaps or redundancies in the product portfolio
• Screen out unacceptable new products
• Choose product features
• Determine product pricing
• Establish appropriate service options
• Determine optimal distribution strategy
• Advise on advertising strategy
Customer segmentation can be used to drive to a number of important insights
63
High profit customers were segmented based on their behavioral and demographic characteristics
A target segment was chosen based on its attractiveness and Highland’s ability to serve it
Customers were divided into groups based on their profitability
The behavioral and demographic drivers of profitability were determined
A value proposition was created for the target segment
Customer segmentation
Assessment of segment attractiveness
(Covered in next section)
Example: Customer segmentation for 4 Seasons Hotels is a multi-step process
64
Low profit
Medium profit
High profit
Customers Profit0
20
40
60
80
100%
Percent of Total
Example: One third of 4 Seasons customers account for more than 60% of its total profits
65
Business/leisure Leisure only Business only
$250
$75
$50
0
100
200
$300
Average Annual Profitper Customer Type
1-2 3-5 6-8 9-10 11
$50
$85
$140$150
$260
0
100
200
$300
Average Annual Profitper Customer Type
Days per Year
Less than 2 days 2-4 days 4+ days
$40
$70
$130
0
50
100
$150
Average Annual Profitper Customer Type
Occasion
Visit Frequency Length of Visit
Example: The primary profit drivers for4 Seasons are visit frequency, duration and occasion
66
67
“Hotel-aholics” Very frequent
(9.2x)
Medium
(3.9 days)
Business/leisure
“Honeymooners” Infrequent
(1.5x)
Long
(10.0 days)
Leisure
“Hello again” Frequent
(6.2x)
Short
(1.8 days)
Business
“One-timers” Infrequent
(1.3x)
Long
(5.4 days)
Business
4 Seasons identified four types of high value customers based on these drivers
High profitsegments
Annualfrequency
Length of stay Occasion
68
Industrystructure
Customervalue
Businesscapabilities
Competitor Identification
Customer value tools
Strategic questions answeredRelated tools
2. Assessment of customer segment attractiveness
• What are the most attractive customer segments for the business?
• Which segments fit most clearly with the business’s core competencies?
• Which segments are most profitable to serve?
5. Channel segmentation and attractiveness
• What are the most attractive channels for the business?
• Which channels fit most clearly with the business’s core competencies?
• Which channels are most profitable to use?
4. Share of wallet • What is the full portfolio of customer needs?
• How does the business fit within a customer segment’s spending habits?
1. Customer segmentation • What customers constitute the market and what are their differentiating needs?
• How do customers segment according to their needs and behaviors?
• How do customers segment according to observable characteristics (e.g., demographic)?
3. Customer needs and attitudes
• What needs drive customer requirements and satisfaction?
• How well does the business (and its competitors) fulfill these needs?
6. Customer loyalty • How “loyal” are the business’ customer segments?
• What advantages/disadvantages does customer loyalty have on the business?
Assessment of segment attractiveness has two components: “fit” and economics
Fit: Ability to serve in a differentiated
way
Business’ overall strategy and capabilities
Business’ competitive
position
• Strategic objectives
• Ability to leverage:
- Technology
- Costs
- Skills
- Existing resources
• Existing base in segment
• Existing market perceptions of strengths and weaknesses
• Competitive performance
Economicattractiveness: Profit potential
Revenue potential Cost to serve
• Size
• Growth potential
• Buyer power
• Product requirements
• Price sensitivity
• Advertising requirements
• Channel preference
• Service requirements
69
Fit is a fairly qualitative assessment that accounts for both internal capabilities…
1. Does segment leverage key strengths of the business?
Example:
Should Stanley Tools enter the rotary saw market?
2. Does segment conflict with existing positions?
Example:
Should Mercedes introduce a medium-priced ($20-$30K) line of family sedans?
Does segment fit with the business’ overall strategy and capabilities?
70
…and competitive positioning
Does the business have a strong competitive position within the segment
1. What are segment perceptions of the business’ strengths and weaknesses?
Example:
Should McDonald’s offer vegetarian burgers in the US?
2. What are segment perceptions of the business’ relative position vs. competitors?
Example:
Should Volvo design a sports car?
71
Calculate economicattractiveness: Profit potential
Calculate revenue potential
Calculate cost to serve
Current customers
New customers
Current customers
New customers
Determining economic attractiveness is more straightforwardly quantitative
• Number of potential customers
• Penetration
• Lifetime
• Margin
• Investment required in headcount, technology, new product development, etc.
72
Develop capabilities to serve this
segment
Target this segment
Avoid this segmentAdjust value proposition to improve attractiveness of
this segment
Low
Low
High
High
Fit: Ability to serve segment in a differentiated Way
Once segment attractiveness is assessed, “target segments” can be chosen
73
High profit customers were segmented based on their behavioral and demographic characteristics
A target segment was chosen based on its attractiveness and Highland’s ability to serve it
Customers were divided into groups based on their profitability
The behavioral and demographic drivers of profitability were determined
A value proposition was created for the target segment
Example: Four Seasons reassessed customer segment attractiveness
Customer segmentation
Assessment of segment
attractiveness
(Covered in previous section)
74
Low profit
Mediumprofit
High profit
One-timers
Hello again
Honeymooners
Hotel-
aholics
Customers High profit customers High profit customers'profitability
0
20
40
60
80
100%
Percent of Total Ability to serve in a differentiated way
“Hotel-aholics” were the most attractive and a good fit with HH capabilities
75
Priority service Special services
• Favorite room ready
• “Permanent” electronic key
• Complimentary dry cleaning
• Two phone lines
• Fax machine in room
• One 20 minute complimentary call to home
Rewards
• Frequent flier miles
• “Kids Stay Free” days
Four Seasons created a tailored value proposition for this target segment
Differentiation from competitors
76
Tips for success
“Fit” assessment:
• Iterate as necessary as “Fit” relies heavily on correct business definition (see “Where do I compete?”)
• Be open-minded: put everything “on the table”
Economic attractiveness assessment:
• Ensure that the costs and revenues from the full customer lifecycle are captured
• Take into consideration “hidden” costs
- Include differential costs to serve (e.g., FTEs)
- Include rework/returns
77
78
Industrystructure
Customervalue
Businesscapabilities
Competitor Identification
Customer value tools
Strategic questions answeredRelated tools
2. Assessment of customer segment attractiveness
• What are the most attractive customer segments for the business?
• Which segments fit most clearly with the business’s core competencies?
• Which segments are most profitable to serve?
5. Channel segmentation and attractiveness
• What are the most attractive channels for the business?
• Which channels fit most clearly with the business’s core competencies?
• Which channels are most profitable to use?
4. Share of wallet • What is the full portfolio of customer needs?
• How does the business fit within a customer segment’s spending habits?
1. Customer segmentation • What customers constitute the market and what are their differentiating needs?
• How do customers segment according to their needs and behaviors?
• How do customers segment according to observable characteristics (e.g., demographic)?
3. Customer needs and attitudes
• What needs drive customer requirements and satisfaction?
• How well does the business (and its competitors) fulfill these needs?
6. Customer loyalty • How “loyal” are the business’ customer segments?
• What advantages/disadvantages does customer loyalty have on the business?
85
Customer needs and attitudes learning objectives
• Understand how to identify customer needs and assess customer satisfaction
• Understand how customer needs and attitudes fit into the Customer value analytical process
• View potential slide formats to fully utilize the information gleaned from this analysis
79
Product quality
• Usability/features
• Superior technology
• Prestige
• Serviceability
• Failure recovery
Service quality
• Speed
• Recognition
• Customer knowledge
• Treatment and interaction
• Tangibles
• Failure recovery
Cost
• Low original price
• Value ratio
• Discounts/sales
• Reliability
• Frequent buyer plans
• Terms, tax
• Durability
• Convenience
ExampleCategory
Customer satisfaction is driven by three main categories of customer needs and attitudes
80
Comprehensive research captures four levels of customer needs and attitudes
Unknown – “I never thought of that.”
Withheld – “I did not know I could get that.”
Assumed – “I thought you knew I needed that.”
Stated – “This is what I want or need.”
81
Customer needs and attitudes can be described both qualitatively and quantitatively
Quantitative Qualitative
• “Service is very important to me because I don’t have time to deal with it myself.”
• “The product had problems with durability and that was simply unacceptable.”
Example: Customer perception of relative importance in product purchasing criteria
• “Service” importance rating of 5 (“very important”) vs. “Price” importance rating of 3 (“moderately important”)
• “Design” importance rating of 5 vs. “durability” importance rating of 1 (“not at all important”)
82
Are you good at the things that matter most to customers?
Price
Speed
Reliability
Rela
tionship
s
Fle
xib
ility
Rela
tive im
port
ance/p
erf
orm
ance
Price
Speed
Rela
tionship
s
Reliability
Par/
serv
icin
g
LTV
Fle
xib
ility
Rela
tive im
port
ance/p
erf
orm
ance
GECRE
Heller
Traditional on-book
GECRE
Nomura
High
Low
High
Low
Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities
83
Tips for success
• Select customer sample that is representative of overall sales. Key criteria may include:
- Geography
- Industry focus
- Product mix
- Discount levels
- Use of customer service hot-line
- Satisfaction levels from existing research
- Sales team tenure
• Use alternative metrics to determine sample representation if applicable. For example, sample can be representative of customer counts
84
85
Industrystructure
Customervalue
Businesscapabilities
Competitor Identification
Customer value tools
Strategic questions answeredRelated tools
2. Assessment of customer segment attractiveness
• What are the most attractive customer segments for the business?
• Which segments fit most clearly with the business’s core competencies?
• Which segments are most profitable to serve?
5. Channel segmentation and attractiveness
• What are the most attractive channels for the business?
• Which channels fit most clearly with the business’s core competencies?
• Which channels are most profitable to use?
4. Share of wallet • What is the full portfolio of customer needs?
• How does the business fit within a customer segment’s spending habits?
1. Customer segmentation • What customers constitute the market and what are their differentiating needs?
• How do customers segment according to their needs and behaviors?
• How do customers segment according to observable characteristics (e.g., demographic)?
3. Customer needs and attitudes
• What needs drive customer requirements and satisfaction?
• How well does the business (and its competitors) fulfill these needs?
6. Customer loyalty • How “loyal” are the business’ customer segments?
• What advantages/disadvantages does customer loyalty have on the business?
Share of wallet learning objectives
• Understand share of wallet concept and potential applications to customer value analysis
• Learn how to interpret data to determine share of wallet
86
The share of wallet (SOW) tool quantifies potential customer value
What portion of a customer’s spend is captured by the business?
What portion of a customer’s spend can be captured by the business?
Identification of untapped customer potential
87
SOW has multiple applications
• Strategic tool to identify full potential and to prioritize regions, verticals, customers and products
• Operational tool to increase sales effectiveness- Prioritization of installed base and prospects
- Identification of potential for growth
• Financial controlling tool to measure operational performance on account/segment level
88
Metric Definition Example
• Share of wallet • Share of spend of a single customer
• Customer buys $10M of softwear per year. Revenue with this customer is$2M
• -> SOW = 2/10 = 20%
• Share of visits/trades
• Share of use by a single customer
• Customer buys/has ___ number of visits/trades. Portion served by business is 50%
• -> SOW = 50%
SOW is the share of spend for a single customer
Variation
89
SOW analysis is a multi-step process
Activities
Output
Determinebottom-up wallet
• Build-up wallet beginning with single customer spend
• Quantify to limits of Business Definition
• Bottom-up wallet sizing and appropriate segmentation
Matchtop-down
wallet
• Assess wallet size beginning with highest macro-impact
• Quantify to limits of Business Definition
• Top-down market sizing that ties to Bottom-up version
- Wallet by business
- Wallet by vertical
- Wallet by region
- Wallet by product
Determine share of wallet
• Determine applicable share definition
• Calculate across all segments
• Quantitative assessment of share of wallet vis-à-vis competitors in key segments
Assess customer full
potential
• Prioritize and assess segments according to potential
• Create action plan to reach full potential
• List of “target” segments and recommended actions
• Action plan to reach full potential
Database build up Database analysis
90
Trade-
Online
ACo BCo CCo
16%
23%
39%42%
0
10
20
30
40
50%
Household assets
under management
Overall
average: 67%
Frequent
trader
Most
frequent
64%
57%
0
20
40
60
80%
Percent of trades
conducted with TradeOnline
Active traders
Share of wallet
Active traders
Share of trades
Example: CommSec has room to improve SOW among frequent traders
91
Industrystructure
Customervalue
Businesscapabilities
Competitor Identification
Customer value tools
Strategic questions answeredRelated tools
2. Assessment of customer segment attractiveness
• What are the most attractive customer segments for the business?
• Which segments fit most clearly with the business’s core competencies?
• Which segments are most profitable to serve?
5. Channel segmentation and attractiveness
• What are the most attractive channels for the business?
• Which channels fit most clearly with the business’s core competencies?
• Which channels are most profitable to use?
4. Share of wallet • What is the full portfolio of customer needs?
• How does the business fit within a customer segment’s spending habits?
1. Customer segmentation • What customers constitute the market and what are their differentiating needs?
• How do customers segment according to their needs and behaviors?
• How do customers segment according to observable characteristics (e.g., demographic)?
3. Customer needs and attitudes • What needs drive customer requirements and satisfaction?
• How well does the business (and its competitors) fulfill these needs?
6. Customer loyalty • How “loyal” are the business’ customer segments?
• What advantages/disadvantages does customer loyalty have on the business?
92
93
Demand Creation
Access(Reach)
Profitable Revenue
+ + = Productsuccess
Key Aspects:
• Create product awareness
• Articulate value proposition
• Educate customer
• Market towards target customer
• Provide easy access to all target consumers
• Allow for “touch & feel” of product
• Provide rich information at POS
• Access target customers
• Generate large base of profitable revenue
Channels can be prioritized according to three general attributes
No single channel must provide all of these necessary components, but overall channel mix should deliver all
three
Example: Harvey Norman has four distribution choices if it chooses to prioritize reach
Big Box A
Big Box B
RegionalCo
DeptStoreCo
MallRetailCo
E-tail
Company website
Demand creation
Med
Med
Med
Low
High
High
Low
Reach
High
High
Low
High
High
High
Low
Revenue opportunity
High
High
Low
Low
Low
Med
Low
Classification
Reach
Reach
Reach
Reach
Demand creation
Mixed
Mixed
94
Example: Further analysis identifies channel potential and drivers of success
Revenue through Big Box A channel
Units: 3,000 33,100 92,400
Placement
• Will need to fund premium placement so it will not be mistaken as “just another box”
Knowledge
• Business would have to train sales force, quality control should not be a huge problem
Fulfillment
• Low volumes should make fulfillment easy
Main challenges
• Confusion with other “boxes”
• Getting on the shelves with such low prediction volumes could be problem
• Big Box A carries the whole range of competing products
95
Industrystructure
Customervalue
Businesscapabilities
Competitiveposition
2. Customer value
Strategic questions answeredRelated tools
2. Assessment of customer segment attractiveness
• What are the most attractive customer segments for the business?
• Which segments fit most clearly with the business’s core competencies?
• Which segments are most profitable to serve?
5. Channel segmentation and attractiveness
• What are the most attractive channels for the business?
• Which channels fit most clearly with the business’s core competencies?
• Which channels are most profitable to use?
4. Share of wallet • What is the full portfolio of customer needs?
• How does the business fit within a customer segment’s spending habits?
1. Customer segmentation • What customers constitute the market and what are their differentiating needs?
• How do customers segment according to their needs and behaviors?
• How do customers segment according to observable characteristics (e.g., demographic)?
3. Customer needs and attitudes
• What needs drive customer requirements and satisfaction?
• How well does the business (and its competitors) fulfill these needs?
6. Customer loyalty • How “loyal” are the business’ customer segments?
• What advantages/disadvantages does customer loyalty have on the business?
96
Customer loyalty is a requirement for maximizing customer value
Success is built on getting the right customers and keeping them
97
"Satisfaction" sets too low a standard for measuring customers loyalty
Most defectors are generally satisfied
98
Loyalty includes multiple customer needs and attitudes beyond simple satisfaction
Referral
Repurchase
Satisfaction
Pride
Trust
DeservesLoyalty
99
“Loyalty Leaders” achieve better costs and growth
Average Loyalty
Leader
100%85%
0
50
100
150
200
250%
Indexed
average costs
Costs
Average Loyalty
Leader
100%
220%
0
50
100
150
200
250%
Indexed
average growth
Growth
100
Extending the customer lifecycle maximizes profit potential from the target segment
67656260585549444230
(51)(80)
(40)
0
40
80
120
5549444230
(51)(80)
(40)
0
40
80
120
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Annual Pro
fits
Year
Example: Credit card company
101
Root cause analysis can uncover important issues for at-risk customers
Uncontrollableissues
102
Strategy
Marketing
Sales/Service Channels
Redesign Customer Experience
Teams/Compensation/Rewards
Process Statistics
•On time, first time fix• Line increase requests
Behavior
•Retention•Share of wallet
Feedback
•Employees•Customer Loyalty/Sat.•Complaints
Customer Experience Metrics
Customer loyalty Feedback/Results should be addressed through an ongoing process
103
3. Competitor Identification
111
Overview
Competitor analysis enables an organization:
– To gain an understanding of the future strategies and decisions of key competitors
– To predict competitor reactions to an organization's strategic initiatives and environmental changes
– To understand how to influence the behavior of competitors to gain competitive advantage
•It permits an organization to address the following questions:
– What can it learn from its competitors?
– What are they key differences between the company and its competitors? Do these differences explain the differences in performance (financial, operational) between all players?
– What are the likely changes in the competitive landscape it will need to respond to?
•It is important to understand that competitive analysis is not a strategy but merely one of the components feeding in to the identification of opportunities and the development of a strategy.
105
Framework for Competitive AnalysisA
cti
vit
ies
To
ols
/T
ech
niq
ues
Competitor Identification & Segmentation
CompetitorPerformance
Analysis
Competitor Objectives &
Strategy Analysis
Improvement Opportunities &
Competitive Response
Competitor identification (traditional, new entrants, substitutes, …)
Competitor segmentation/competitive advantages (size, segment, customers, pricing, products/services, relative threat)
Analysis of value proposition (price, service, product offering, quality)
Competitor positioning in value
Porter's 5 Forces
Competitorpositioning map
Value Chain
Mekko
Market share analysis
Analysis of competitive strengths & weaknesses (profitability, performance, competencies, capabilities)
Benchmark of competitor performance
Assessment of performance/value drivers
Activity mapping
Capability assessment
Share gain line
Identification of competitive position improvement opportunities
Assessment of competitor response to changes in environment and new strategic initiatives
Analysis of company goals and current strategy (strategic, financial, operational)
Assessment of future trends/movementsin positioning
Game theory
Scenario modeling
SWOT Analysis
Industry, market, company predictionsand forecasts
106
Competitor Identification & Segmentation
Competitor Identification & Segmentation
CompetitorPerformance
Analysis
Competitor Objectives &
Strategy Analysis
114
Identifying Your Competitors
Issues
Boundaries are not always clear
Direct vs. indirect can be on the basis of:
─ Product type (e.g. soft drinks vs alcohol)
─ Activity type/position within the industry value chain(e.g. a manufacturing company may compete with distributors if it also distributes its products)
Typical focus of effort can be:
─ Segments targeted within the industry
─ Competitive advantages characterized by each segment (e.g. price, quality, etc.)
Company X Competitive Landscape
Typical focusof effort
Regional
National Direct
Indirect
Small
Large
Size ofcompetitor
Type of competitor
Geographicfocus ofcompetitor
108
Identifying Their Competitive Advantages (1/3)
(1)Source: M. Porter, Competitive Advantage
Common behavior types;
Generalists: These companies compete on most market segments
Specialists: They usually compete in oneparticular segment
Multi-specialists: They compete on several market segments
Firms behaviors towards industry segments
• Market image
• Price policy/price positioning
• Services offered
• Product quality
• Degree of technological leadership (innovation vs. imitation)
• Sales and distribution channels
• Customer Intimacy
Types of competitive advantages(1)
Industries where innovationplays a key role
Complex products (requiring exploitation of very different competencies)
High fixed costs
Leveraging success factors
Being present in all positions of the value chain
Occupying several spots within the value chain and by outsourcing others etc.
Positioning in the value chain
Some competitors may belong to larger groups/conglomerates
Origin of equity funds plays a key role (external shareholders, managers, suppliers, etc.)
Other characteristics
109
Competitor Performance Analysis
Competitor Identification & Segmentation
CompetitorPerformance
Analysis
Competitor Objectives &
Strategy Analysis
117
Competitor Market Share Examples (1/4)
Top 5 players (2012) Market share evolution (1992-2012)
18%
11%10%
5%
22%
Comp #4
Top 5 players represent XX % of market
% MarketShare
10%
20%
0%
Comp #3Comp #2Comp #1Company 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
35
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
%
1
2
3
4
56
7/8
111
Competitor Market Share Examples (2/4)
Market Size (2012,
$m)
Co.X (2012, $m)
Market Share (%)
Books 2,100 225 10.7%
Stationery 1,500 130 8.7%
News 4,000 120 3.0%
Video 550 90 16.4%
Cards 1,000 75 7.5%
Music 1,200 60 5.0%
112
Competitor Market Share Examples (3/4)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Others
Woolworths
Books etc
John Menzies
Dillons
Multitail
Waterstones
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Others
BootsPaperchaseDisney Store
John Menzies
Ryman's
Multitail
Woolworths
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Books Stationery News
Others
WoolworthsJohn Menzies
Multitail
$ 2.1 bn $ 1.5 bn $ 4.0 bn
Competitorshare bysector (%)
113
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
-10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Company X Share Movements – By Sector
Total Market Growth
Company Xgaining share
Company Xlosing share
Video
News
Music
Cards
Stationery
Books
CompanyX Growth(% over4 years)
Competitor Market Share Share Gain Line By Sector
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Competitor Market Share - Growth Vs. Market Share
Competitors sales growth vs. relative market share (1999 – 2009)
Relative marketshare (units), 2000
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
00.5 1.0 1.5
G
H
X
F
B
E
A
D
C
CAGR (units) 1999-2009
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Competitor ProfitabilityExamples (1/2)
Profitability by Competitor in Industry "A"
Sales Profit ROS
Comp 1 400,000 44,000 11.0%
Comp 2 180,000 28,800 16.0%
Comp 3 120,000 8,400 7.0%
Comp 4 110,000 9,900 9.0%
Comp 5 60,000 4,800 8.0%
Comp 6 40,000 2,800 7.0%
Comp 7 30,000 -1,500 -5.0%
Comp 8 30,000 1,800 6.0%
Comp 9 20,000 800 4.0%
Comp 10 10,000 300 3.0%
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Benchmarking Competitor Performance
• There are many other dimensions against which to measure competitor performance, each being associated with a set of Key Performance Indicators (KPIs).
• Outlined below is an example of the performance dimensions that can be studied, with corresponding KPIs.
Supply chain efficiency
Customer retention level
Manufacturing service level
Staff utilisation level
etc
Performance Dimension
Logistics as % of sale
% of lapsed customers/year
Average manufacturing lead time
Store staff cost as % of sale
etc
Illustrative KPIs
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Benchmarking Competitor PerformanceMeasuring KPIs
For example, world-class retailers use a combination of external and internal KPIs to align their
supply chain towards the optimum level of performance
What do retailers measure in their supply chain? Why do retailers measure their supply chain?
Financialindicators
Operationalindicators
Costs Accuracy Speed
Mix, balance and trade-offs vary with
Nature ofbusiness
Maturity ofsupply chain
Absolutelevels
Relativetrends
Externallycomparable
Internallyconsistent
Driveimprovement
targets
Monitorprogress and
realise benefits
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Benchmarking Competitor PerformanceCompetitor Benchmark Outcome Display
KPI
Comp. 1 Comp. 2 Comp. 3 Comp. 4 Etc.
Supply chain efficiency
Customer retention level
Staff utilisation level
etc
etc
Competitors
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Assessment of Performance DriversInsights on Specific Issues
Conclusion Insight Strategic Direction Indicated?
Example 1 Lower gross margin High operator costs
Skewed installed base
Reduce costs
Avoid price aggression
Upsell existing tone customers
Example 2 Higher operator costs
Lower productivity Reduce operator costs
─ OAS cost reduction
─ Subcontract
─ Explore voice recognition opportunities, push canned alpha message
Example 3 Fixed costs lower Higher transmission costs more than offset by other costs
Reduce transmission costs
─ Reduce leased times per transmitter (to 0 on outposts, to 1 on others)
─ Use satellites or dial-ups
─ Drop marginal locations
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Competitor Strategy Analysis: SWOT AnalysisOnce the competitors have been identified and their performance analyzed, their particular characteristics can be more specifically assessed.
Fill in a SWOT analysis for each competitor you are assessing. Outlined below is an example of a SWOT analysis for a football club.
Strength Weaknesses
Experienced players
Key real estate location
"Cultured" football common methods shared across the squad
Midfield play
Attract further key international names
Umbrella branding (internationally recognized names)
Little development opportunities for the youth teams
Old players more accident prone
Low scoring
Inexperienced manager
Still backed by private investors cash?
Other clubs keepgetting bigger
Other teams back in contention for N° 3 spot
Opportunities Threats
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4. Business Capabilities
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Strategic foundation roles
Strategic foundation
Industry structure Customer value Business capabilitiesCompetitor
Identification
• To capture basic snapshot of industry
• To identify paradigm shifts and external trends
• To identify customer needs and company role in their fulfillment
• To prioritize customer requirements and competitive markets
• To understand differentiating qualities of competitor portfolios
• To predict competitor moves and market positions
• To understand a business’ competitive advantage and sustainability
• To identify a business’ core competencies and gaps
Business capabilities toolsIndustrystructure
Customervalue
Competitiveposition
Businesscapabilities
Strategic questions answeredRelated tools
3. Capabilities assessment • What are the business’ capabilities, strengths and key gaps, especially across technology, personnel and financial strength?
• How does the business perform in meeting the industries’ required competencies across the value chain?
2. Core capabilitiesdefinitions
• What are the key elements of your industry’s value chain?
• What special skills or technologies could the business use to drive or create differential customer value?
1. Relative cost position (RCP) • How does business cost align with the industry/market?
• Does the business’ profitability/cost position fall within the industry’s norms?
• What is the full potential cost position?
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Lower cost position is a major difference between leaders and followers
Higher Value
Lower Cost
Total difference in profitablity (#1 vs. #5)
0
20
40
60
80
100%
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132
Theoreticalfull potential
$1.10
RCP determines full potential cost position by comparing unit costs to those of competitors
RCP = Relative Cost Position
Quantifies cost differences between your business and competitors
Insight into processes, practices, technologies resulting in cost differentials
Reveals necessary actions to close cost gaps and gain competitive advantage
Practical
$1.27
Over-head
Labor
Materials
Client-current CompetitorA
CompetitorB
CompetitorC
$1.75
$1.45$1.35 $1.30
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
$2.00
Unit Cost
Lowest cost
Practical cost
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RCP analysis helps answer both strategic and tactical questions
Strategic questions Tactical questions
• In what areas do our competitors have the biggest cost advantage?
• What is driving competitors’ profitability?
• How much flexibility would our competitors have in a price war?
• Where should we focus our cost reduction efforts? (e.g., wage rates, amounts of raw material inputs)
• Which cost elements would decrease significantly with an increase in scale?
• Which cost elements might benefit from different business practices?
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RCP can be approached from the bottom-up or top-down
Detailed bottom-up analysis Top-down analysis
• Build up each major cost element for key competitors based on primary data
• Triangulate using cost data from multiple sources
Less accurate;less time intensive
• Compare competitors’ cost structures to client’s cost structure at macro level
- Define key process/business practice differences for major cost elements
- Make assumptions about the cost impact of differences
• Test assumptions vs. overall financial data
More accurate;more time intensive
Oftentimes use a combination of these approaches
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RCP – The Key Steps
Map the business value chain
Identify cost elements and drivers
Scour information sources for cost data on clients and competitors
Build, compare, and reality check cost bars
Calculate practical full potential cost position and savings
Draw strategic implications
Process Steps
Key Success Factors
• Map value chain from end to end (e.g., raw materials to finished product or delivery)
• Tie costs to operations not accounting categories
• Build up cost bars category by category
• Reality check results against similar companies
• Focus on areas with greatest cost savings potential• Adjust for situation (e.g., different strategy [high vs. low
quality], different equipment, different plant locations)
• Determine how to take advantage of the improved cost position
• Be persistent and creative, but ethical
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Mapping the value chain can facilitate an understanding of cost elements
% of total cost:
Tech., R&DPurchasing/
Inbound Logistics
Manufact-uring/
Operations
Marketing&
Sales
Distribution/OutboundLogistics
Service
Major costelements:
Drivers of cost:
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Costs are detailed and drivers are noted
• Quality of ingredients
• Mix of ingredients
• Volume of ingredients
• Amount of waste
• Cost of ingredients
• Reverse engineering
• Suppliers
• Purchasing managers
• Industry reports
Cost drivers Data sources
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Cost data can be found in many places
Cost information
Former employees
Utility companies
Financial analysis
Client sales and marketing
Industry experts
Market research reports
Plant/site tours
Industry conventions Reverse
engineering reports
Product brochures
Government filings and
patent filings
Supplier interviews
Literature searches
Local newspapers
Equipment vendors
Customer interviews
Current employees
Labor unions
Multiple data sources should be used whenever possible
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RCP can highlight strategic decisions
Situation
• Chewing gum manufacturer
• Diaper manufacturer with scale-driven cost advantage, but too high prices
• Bakery products manufacturer contemplating an acquisition
Action
• RCP analysis in materials usage and purchasing, process improvements, and inventory management
• RCP identified price business could charge and still be profitable, but competitors would not
• RCP of competition
Result
• Identified $29M in annual savings
• Business increased market share by 10%
• Substantial positive impact on the client’s sales and profits
• Competitor had 30% cost advantage. Acquired company would not be able to close the gap
• Prevented business from making poor acquisition decision
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Example: RCP details all cost drivers
Cost Drivers Sure Coat First PaintsSure Coat Advantage First Paint Differences
Raw materials
Packaging materials
Labor
Taxes, insurance, depreciation
Recharge
Maintenance
Other
Utilities
Operating supplies
Total
$11.30
$13.80
$7.90
$3.60
$3.40
$2.80
$1.20
$0.60
$0.30
$44.90
$17.50
$12.80
$3.70
$2.30
$3.10
$2.00
$0.90
$0.50
$0.30
$43.10
$6.20
($1.00)
($4.20)
($1.30)
($0.30)
($0.80)
($0.30)
($0.10)
($1.80)
3.5 pounds per case; $0.50 per pound (market)
Lighter container ~5% lower cost
Lower wage rate; less overhead
Same cost per line
10% less than Sure Coat; shared with other products, smaller site
Labor - 4.5 maintenance workers vs. 7 for Sure Coat, lower wage rateExpenses - Sure Coat dollars per line
20% less than Sure Coat (Department of Energy)10% less than Sure Coat; shared with other products (travel, purchased services)10% less than Sure Coat; shared with other products; scale
Dollars per 100 Gallons
1
Standard Weatherproof
• Modified manufacturing layout to reduce labor
• Shifted salesforce focus to larger sizes (higher margins)
• Outsourced “back-end” processes
• Test marketing new weatherproof product with new raw material
Example: RCP analysis led to direct action implications and results
Increased margins by 15%
17% margin increase potential
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Business capabilities toolsIndustrystructure
Customervalue
Competitiveposition
Businesscapabilities
Strategic questions answeredRelated tools
3. Capabilities assessment • What are the business’ capabilities, strengths and key gaps, especially across technology, personnel and financial strength?
• How does the business perform in meeting the industries’ required competencies across the value chain?
2. Core capabilitiesdefinitions
• What are the key elements of your industry’s value chain?
• What special skills or technologies could the business use to drive or create differential customer value?
1. Relative cost position (RCP) • How does business cost align with the industry/market?
• Does the business’ profitability/cost position fall within the industry’s norms?
• What is the full potential cost position?
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Core capability and core competency definition
Core capabilities are attributes of a business or industry(e.g.,shared knowledge, expertise or skill) which increase the likelihood of creating sustained competitive advantage
Core competencies are the skills and knowledge of the people in the business that help create core capabilities
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Types of core capabilities
Core capabilities Partial list Example
DistinctiveCapabilities
• 3M with new adhesive/abrasive products• Canon with fine graphics, precision mechanics
• WalMart - assistants to approach customers
• Hanson in the 1980s in acquiring manufacturing businesses
• J&J with branding of consumer health products
• Number 2 players in former monopolies with special access privileges
• Microsoft
• Newmont Mining
• Duty Free Shoppers Ltd airport arrangements
• Coca Cola
• Avon door-to-door sales network
• Nutrasweet
• Continuously innovate
• Control processes/behaviors
• Management/acquisition skills
• Manage information
• Control point
• Physical asset
• Location/space
• Brand/reputation
• Distribution/sales network
• Patent
• Access-conveying relationships
PrivilegedAssets
SpecialRelationships
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Companies differentiate by innovating around their strengths
ProductDevelopment
Manufacturing
Distribution &Logistics
Marketing
Sales
Service
Manufacturing
Distribution &Logistics
Marketing
Sales
Service
Manufacturing
Distribution &Logistics
Traditional “innovation”(invention)
Big box home improvement retailer with innovative format that’s user-friendly for females and “weekend do-it-yourselfers”
Innovative low-cost manufacturing and distribution model to commoditize markets and compete on price
Innovative Bundling of critical services to address pet owners’ total cost of pet ownership
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Example: 3M has created competitive advantage by combining knowledge sharing with technology
R&
D p
ractices
• Intranet- Best practices database
- Tech expertise database
• Other collaboration tools
• Cross functional meetings
- Tech fairs
- Cross-divisional meetings by sales personnel
• Incentives - Awards and career benefits
for sharing and utilizing knowledge
• 14 Technology centers- Supplement to R&D labs
- Leverage technologies across businesses units
• Tech audits- Evaluation of R&D projects by peers
(business & technical) from other business units
Knowledge sharing
Business capabilities toolsIndustrystructure
Customervalue
Competitiveposition
Businesscapabilities
Strategic questions answeredRelated tools
3. Capabilities assessment • What are the business’ capabilities, strengths and key gaps, especially across technology, personnel and financial strength?
• How does the business perform in meeting the industries’ required competencies across the value chain?
2. Core capabilitiesdefinitions
• What are the key elements of your industry’s value chain?
• What special skills or technologies could the business use to drive or create differential customer value?
1. Relative cost position (RCP) • How does business cost align with the industry/market?
• Does the business’ profitability/cost position fall within the industry’s norms?
• What is the full potential cost position?
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Assessment requires asking key questions around existing and required capabilities
Where are our capability gaps?
What capabilities do we have and which are necessary to succeed?
- Technology
- Personnel
- Financial
How can we leverage our capabilities?
How do we fill the gaps?
Should we divest or prune low capability areas?
Key questions
1. Capability
baseline
2. Gap assessment
3. Capability execution
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Different analysis can help answer these questions
Comparison of required capabilities against internal competencies
- Management evaluation
Capability reviews
- Identification of required capabilities
- Literature searches/competitor interviews
- Management evaluation
SWOT analysis of our key capabilities vs. competitors
Capability acquisition analysis
- Internal benchmarking to estimate acquisition cost
- Comp analysis to determine market price to obtain capability through an acquisition
Approaches
1. Capability
baseline
2. Gap assessment
3. Capability execution
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Core capability gaps can emanate from different places, including competency gaps
People
• Wrong person
• Right person, overworked
• No person responsible today
• Does somebody perform the capability at the moment?
• Who is responsible for the capability performance ?
• If so, then…
- Work load?
- Years of experience?
- Type of experience?
- Performance?
- Fit?
Incentives/culture
• Inadequate incentives scheme
• Incomplete measurement/ reporting
• Lack of accountability
• Is the capability correctly measured/ reported?
• Have incentives been established/ implemented?
• If so, then…
- Are they the right incentives?
- Is the magnitude of the incentive adequate?
- Is the right person incented?
Information/ Technology
• Lack of technology to take advantage of blurring business boundaries
• Inappropriate technology/wrong bets
• Do we clearly understand convergence opportunities?
• Do business units communicate with each other about possible cross-applications of existing technology?
• Is the technology functional and easy to use?
• Is appropriate capex allocated to technology?
Process/structure
• Inadequate process
• Misaligned organisational structure
• Is the process clearly defined?
• Are all parties involved clear about the process?
• What are the bottlenecks or choke points?
• Does the process reside within appropriate BU?
• Has there been sufficient investment in improving process, tools and structure?
Institutional lack of knowledge
• No experience, expertise or knowledge about this capability
• Does the capability exist today?
• Is this a new area of business?
Root cause:
Critical questions:
PeopleIncentives/
cultureInformation/ Technology
Process/structure
Institutional lack of
knowledge
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Example: Health Food Co.
Broad scale R&D experience
Clinical trial/regulatory experience
Significant service offering
Broad scale clinician & expert marketing
Experience building channel creation
Non-F&B industry knowledge
Unique “molecule” access
Clinical trials to obtain claims
Regulatory process
Science integration into products
Solution services
Brand building
Multi-constituent access end support
Value-added alliances
“Own” management skills
Cross-functional coordination
Long-term view/learning integration
Multi-industry knowledge
New wellness paradigm:
Health Food Co.’s assets and capabilities:
Health Food Co. critical gaps:
Science
Product and
Service Offering
Sales and Marketing
Channel
Integration
Target Consumer
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Example: De Beers
Situation
Complication
Actions
• Worldwide leader in mining and distributing raw diamonds
• De Beers wanted to assess potential retail growth opportunities
Results
• De Beers has no retail experience, making development of new retail venture difficult
• Developed business case for a joint venture to feature DeBeers products in retail outlets
• Identified several internal core capability deficiencies that would introduce execution risk
- Partnership with retailer was a key success factor
- Identified optimal partners and supported JV negotiations
• Formed De Beers LV (separate operating company) through a joint venture with LVMH
• Launched “flagship” stores in London and New York
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Example: De Beers capability assessment
• Identified De Beers’ core capabilities/assets
- Strong brand (De Beers)
- Product knowledge
- Understanding of consumer needs
• Determined capability requirements for success
• Identified capability gaps
- Retail operations experience
- Jewelry manufacturing
- Quality control of luxury goods
- Management of luxury retail brand
• Determined from capability gaps that a retail partnership was required for success
• Developed “short-list” of most attractive partnership candidates
- Strong retailer filling core capability gaps
- Good fit with De Beers
• Prepared negotiation strategy for finalizing the agreement with potential partners
• Joint Venture formed with LVMH
1. Capability
baseline
2. Gap assessment
3. Capability execution
4. A Quick Look At Market Entry Strategies
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The Strategic Foundation Underpins, Market Entry Planning
1. Industry structure
Summary and conclusions
Market opportunity description
Market entry strategy
Strategic directions
PricingBrand and communication
Sales and distribution
Products and servicesCustomer serviceLaunch phasing
The Strategic Foundation
Vision and MissionObjectives
Overall StrategyPositioning
Value propositionBrand
Target segments
Tactical launch plan Contingency plan
Internal and external factors
Products & services Pricing
Brand and communication
Sales & distribution channels
Customer service149
2. CustomerIdentification& Targeting
3. Competitor Identification &
Analysis
4. Frankly Assessing Your Own Business
Capabilities
Market Entry Strategy – The Essential Ingredients
A description of the company’s vision and mission statements as well as financial objectives form the starting point for the market entry strategy as they set the framework in which a new entrant will function
Short-term objectives, sales targets, market share and brand awareness, will be set against the market opportunity and supplied as input to the business planning team
The positioning statement visibly describes the company’s strategy in relation to competition and the value proposition captures the company’s differentiating advantages and their benefits to potential customer
The brand strategy explains which values are important to communicate in order to enhance the company’s relationship with its customers
Targeted customer segments that need be addressed in order to deliver desired objectives will be specified and prioritised
Strategic directions in all functional areas; products & services, pricing, brand & communication, sales & distribution and customer service further detail the overall entry strategy. Finally, the launch phasing section explores the various viable market entry options, their pro’s, con’s and pre-conditions
Detailed tactical launch plans enable efficient and ansmanageable lmplementation
A tactical launch plan covers all functional areas and provides the
launch team and vendors with necessary details for implementation
Pricing products and services can be helped by price modelling and
conjoint research to assist in the choice of, from customer
perspective, the most valuable pricing option
Brand and communication plan for market entry should include
development of brand wheel (attributes, benefits, values) and full
launch campaign planning
The sales and distribution channel plan involves creation of a tailor
made sales and commission model, detailing of the company’s sales
and distribution channel structure and analysis and recommendation
on commission structure and levels
The customer service plan includes high level customer service
processes and customer centre dimensioning
Clear contingency planning enables the company to pre-empt the
occurrence of situations that affect the planned activities and prepare
plans to remedy those, resulting in shortened reaction time. Both
internal and external factors will be analysed
– Internal – e.g. technical and organisational issues
– External – e.g. competitive market activities and regulatory actions
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