2014 Federal Political Outlook

Can Republicans take the Senate?6 seats needed

Can Democrats take the House?17 seats needed

8/25/14

US Senate Outlook

Can Republicans Take the Senate?

•7 Democrat Seats in States Won by Romney–AK, AR, LA, MT, NC, SD, WV–3 of these are open seats –MT, SD, WV–Rest are vulnerable – AK, AR, LA, NC

•2 Additional Democratic Open Seats in States Won by Obama–IA, MI

Can Republicans Take the Senate?

Competitive Seats:South Dakota (Tim Johnson retiring. Romney by 19)

GOP: Mike Rounds, former Governor

Dem: Rick Weiland, Daschle aide and FEMA reg. dir.

West Virginia (Jay Rockefeller retiring. Romney by 27)

GOP: Shelley Moore Capito, Congresswoman

Dem: Natalie Tennant, Secretary of State

Can Republicans Take the Senate?

Montana (Romney by 13)

GOP: Steve Daines, Congressman

Dem: Amanda Curtis, State Rep.

Alaska: (Romney by 14)

GOP: Dan Sullivan, fmr. DNR commissioner

Dem: Mark Begich, incumbent

Louisiana (Romney by 17)

GOP: Bill Cassidy, CongressmanRob Maness, Retired Air Force Col.

Dem: Mary Landrieu, incumbent

Iowa: (Obama by 5)GOP: Joni Ernst, State SenatorDem: Bruce Braley, Congressman

Arkansas (Romney by 24)GOP: Tom Cotton, Congressman

Dem: Mark Pryor, incumbent

North Carolina (Romney by 2)

GOP: Thom Tillis, State House Speaker

Dem: Kay Hagan, incumbent

Michigan (Obama by 9)

GOP: Terri Lynn Land, fmr. Sec. of State

Dem: Gary Peters, Congressman

Colorado (Obama by 5)GOP: Cory Gardner, Congressman

Dem: Mark Udall, incumbent

Virginia (Obama by 4)GOP: Ed Gillispie

Dem: Mark Warner, incumbent

New Hampshire (Obama by 6)GOP: Scott Brown, former MA Senator

Dem: Jeanne Shaheen, incumbent

Seats to Defend:Kentucky (Romney by 23)

GOP: Mitch McConnell, incumbent

Dem: Alison Lundergan Grimes, Sec. of State

Can Republicans Take the Senate?

Georgia (Romney by 7)

GOP: David Perdue, businessman

Dem: Michelle Nunn, non-profit director, daughter of fmr. Senator Sam Nunn

US House Outlook

Current Makeup: 233 GOP, 199 Dem 218 Needed for Majority

Democrats Need 17 Seats for Takeover

Currently approximately 46 competitive seats.