2014 election update. california 7 rep. ami bera v. doug ose polls: bera +4 (garin- hart-yang...

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2014 Election Update

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Page 1: 2014 Election Update. California 7 Rep. Ami Bera v. Doug Ose Polls: Bera +4 (Garin- Hart-Yang 9/17-18) AAHOA Supports: Bera Race Ratings: R +3 (PVI)

2014 Election Update

Page 2: 2014 Election Update. California 7 Rep. Ami Bera v. Doug Ose Polls: Bera +4 (Garin- Hart-Yang 9/17-18) AAHOA Supports: Bera Race Ratings: R +3 (PVI)

California 7Rep. Ami Bera v. Doug Ose

• Polls: Bera +4 (Garin-Hart-Yang 9/17-18)

• AAHOA Supports: Bera

• Race Ratings: R +3 (PVI)

Page 3: 2014 Election Update. California 7 Rep. Ami Bera v. Doug Ose Polls: Bera +4 (Garin- Hart-Yang 9/17-18) AAHOA Supports: Bera Race Ratings: R +3 (PVI)

Colorado 6Rep. Mike Coffman v. Andrew Romanoff

• Polls: Coffman +1 (Keating Research 10/10-12)

• AAHOA Supports: Coffman

• Race Ratings: R +1 (PVI)

Page 4: 2014 Election Update. California 7 Rep. Ami Bera v. Doug Ose Polls: Bera +4 (Garin- Hart-Yang 9/17-18) AAHOA Supports: Bera Race Ratings: R +3 (PVI)

California 52Rep. Scott Peters v. Carl DeMaio

• Polls: DeMaio+1 (SurveryUSA 10/17-20)

• AAHOA Supports: DeMaio

• Race Ratings: D+1(PVI)

Page 5: 2014 Election Update. California 7 Rep. Ami Bera v. Doug Ose Polls: Bera +4 (Garin- Hart-Yang 9/17-18) AAHOA Supports: Bera Race Ratings: R +3 (PVI)

Texas 23Rep. Pete Gallego v. Will Hurd

• Polls: None

• AAHOA Supports: Hurd

• Race Ratings: R+5 (PVI)

Page 6: 2014 Election Update. California 7 Rep. Ami Bera v. Doug Ose Polls: Bera +4 (Garin- Hart-Yang 9/17-18) AAHOA Supports: Bera Race Ratings: R +3 (PVI)

Florida 2Rep. Steve Southerland v. Gwen Graham

• Polls: Southerland+6 (National Research 10/1), Graham+3 (Anzalone Liszt Grove (9/24)

• AAHOA Supports: Southerland

• Race Ratings: R+3 (PVI)

Page 7: 2014 Election Update. California 7 Rep. Ami Bera v. Doug Ose Polls: Bera +4 (Garin- Hart-Yang 9/17-18) AAHOA Supports: Bera Race Ratings: R +3 (PVI)

California 17Rep. Mike Honda v. Ro Khanna

• Polls: Honda +2 (SurveyUSA 10/20)

• AAHOA Supports: Honda

• Race Ratings: D +18 (PVI)

Page 8: 2014 Election Update. California 7 Rep. Ami Bera v. Doug Ose Polls: Bera +4 (Garin- Hart-Yang 9/17-18) AAHOA Supports: Bera Race Ratings: R +3 (PVI)

Illinois 10Rep. Brad Schneider v. Bob Dold

• Polls: Dold +2 (WeAskAmerica 10/19)

• AAHOA Supports: Neither Candidate

• Race Ratings: D+8 (PVI)

Page 9: 2014 Election Update. California 7 Rep. Ami Bera v. Doug Ose Polls: Bera +4 (Garin- Hart-Yang 9/17-18) AAHOA Supports: Bera Race Ratings: R +3 (PVI)

New York 11Rep. Michael Grimm v. Domenic Recchia

• Polls: TIED (GBA Strategies 9/18)

• AAHOA Supports: Neither Candidate

• Race Ratings: R +4 (PVI)

Page 10: 2014 Election Update. California 7 Rep. Ami Bera v. Doug Ose Polls: Bera +4 (Garin- Hart-Yang 9/17-18) AAHOA Supports: Bera Race Ratings: R +3 (PVI)

Nevada 3Rep. Joe Heck v. Erin Bilbray

• Polls: None

• AAHOA Supports: Neither Candidate

• Race Ratings: Even (PVI)

Page 11: 2014 Election Update. California 7 Rep. Ami Bera v. Doug Ose Polls: Bera +4 (Garin- Hart-Yang 9/17-18) AAHOA Supports: Bera Race Ratings: R +3 (PVI)

Minnesota 8Stewart Mills v. Rep. Rick Nolan

• Polls: Mills +9 (SurveryUSA 10/12)

• AAHOA Supports: Neither Candidate

• Race Ratings: D +3 (PVI)

Page 12: 2014 Election Update. California 7 Rep. Ami Bera v. Doug Ose Polls: Bera +4 (Garin- Hart-Yang 9/17-18) AAHOA Supports: Bera Race Ratings: R +3 (PVI)

New Hampshire 2Rep. Carol Shea-Porter v. Frank Guinta

• Polls: Guinta +6 (New England College-10/24), Shea-Porter +4 (WMUR/UNH-10/22-26)

• AAHOA Supports: Neither Candidate

• Race Ratings: R +3 (PVI), Real Clear Politics – “toss-up”

Page 13: 2014 Election Update. California 7 Rep. Ami Bera v. Doug Ose Polls: Bera +4 (Garin- Hart-Yang 9/17-18) AAHOA Supports: Bera Race Ratings: R +3 (PVI)

Arizona 2Rep. Ron Barber v. Martha McSally

• Polls: Barber +2• AAHOA Supports:

Neither Candidate • Race Ratings: R +3

(PVI), Real Clear Politics – “toss-up”

Page 14: 2014 Election Update. California 7 Rep. Ami Bera v. Doug Ose Polls: Bera +4 (Garin- Hart-Yang 9/17-18) AAHOA Supports: Bera Race Ratings: R +3 (PVI)

2014 Senate

Page 15: 2014 Election Update. California 7 Rep. Ami Bera v. Doug Ose Polls: Bera +4 (Garin- Hart-Yang 9/17-18) AAHOA Supports: Bera Race Ratings: R +3 (PVI)

North CarolinaThom Tillis v. Sen. Kay Hagan

• Polls: High Point/Survey USA (10/21-25) and NBC News/Marist (10/19-23) polls: tied

• AAHOA Supports: Tillis • Race Ratings:

Rothenberg Political Report (“Toss-up/Tilt Democrat”

Page 16: 2014 Election Update. California 7 Rep. Ami Bera v. Doug Ose Polls: Bera +4 (Garin- Hart-Yang 9/17-18) AAHOA Supports: Bera Race Ratings: R +3 (PVI)

LouisianaBill Cassidy v. Sen. Mary Landrieu

• Polls: Landrieu +1 USA Today/ Suffolk (10/23-26), likely run-off

• AAHOA Previously Supported: Landrieu

• Race Ratings: Rothenberg Political Report (“Toss-up/Tilt Democrat”

Page 17: 2014 Election Update. California 7 Rep. Ami Bera v. Doug Ose Polls: Bera +4 (Garin- Hart-Yang 9/17-18) AAHOA Supports: Bera Race Ratings: R +3 (PVI)

KentuckySen. Mitch McConnell v. Alison Grimes

• Polls: McConnell +8 (Rasmussen Reports 10/15-10/16)

• AAHOA Supports: McConnell

• Race Ratings: Cook Political Report (“toss-up”), Rothenberg Political Report (“Lean Republican”)

Page 18: 2014 Election Update. California 7 Rep. Ami Bera v. Doug Ose Polls: Bera +4 (Garin- Hart-Yang 9/17-18) AAHOA Supports: Bera Race Ratings: R +3 (PVI)

GeorgiaDavid Perdue v. Michelle Nunn

• Polls: Perdue +3 (CBS News 10/26)

• AAHOA Supports: Neither Candidate

• Race Ratings: R+6 (PVI)

Page 19: 2014 Election Update. California 7 Rep. Ami Bera v. Doug Ose Polls: Bera +4 (Garin- Hart-Yang 9/17-18) AAHOA Supports: Bera Race Ratings: R +3 (PVI)

ColoradoRep. Cory Gardner v. Sen. Mark Udall

• Polls: Gardner +6 (Rasmussen 10/27), Gardner +1 (NBC 10/26), Udall +1 (CBS (10/23)

• AAHOA Supports: Gardner

• Race Ratings: D+1 (PVI)

Page 20: 2014 Election Update. California 7 Rep. Ami Bera v. Doug Ose Polls: Bera +4 (Garin- Hart-Yang 9/17-18) AAHOA Supports: Bera Race Ratings: R +3 (PVI)

KansasSen. Pat Roberts v. Greg Orman

• Polls: Orman +1 (NBC 10/26), Roberts +4 (CBS News)

• AAHOA Supports: Neither

• Race Ratings: R+12 (PVI)

Page 21: 2014 Election Update. California 7 Rep. Ami Bera v. Doug Ose Polls: Bera +4 (Garin- Hart-Yang 9/17-18) AAHOA Supports: Bera Race Ratings: R +3 (PVI)

ArkansasRep. Tom Cotton v. Sen. Mark Pryor

• Polls: Cotton +2 (NBC 10/26)

• AAHOA Supports: Pryor

• Race Ratings: R+14 (PVI)

Page 22: 2014 Election Update. California 7 Rep. Ami Bera v. Doug Ose Polls: Bera +4 (Garin- Hart-Yang 9/17-18) AAHOA Supports: Bera Race Ratings: R +3 (PVI)

IowaJoni Ernst v. Rep. Bruce Braley

• Polls: Ernst +3 (NBC 10/26), TIED (CBS 10/26), Braley +1 (Loras 10/28)

• AAHOA Supports: Neither

• Race Ratings: D+1 (PVI)

Page 23: 2014 Election Update. California 7 Rep. Ami Bera v. Doug Ose Polls: Bera +4 (Garin- Hart-Yang 9/17-18) AAHOA Supports: Bera Race Ratings: R +3 (PVI)

AlaskaDan Sullivan v. Sen. Mark Begich

• Polls: Sullivan +4 (CBS News 10/26), Begich +6 (Ivan Moore 10/28)

• AAHOA Supports: Neither

• Race Ratings: R+12 (PVI)