2013.05.08.cpp.sess4.3.poverty.reduction.philippines
DESCRIPTION
Poverty Reduction PhilippinesTRANSCRIPT
-
Official Poverty Statistics
and Poverty Reduction Programs
of the Philippines
Ms. Bernadette B. Balamban
Chief, Social Sectors Division, National Statistical Coordination Board (NSCB)
Ms. Mildred B. Addawe Statistical Coordination Officer V, Social Sectors Division, NSCB
Ms. Mary Grace G. Darunday Budget and Management Specialist II, Department of Budget and Management (DBM)
International Conference Workshop on Poverty and Inequality in Asia 7-9 May 2013, Bali, Indonesia
The views expressed in this presentation are the views of the author and do not
necessarily reflect the views or policies of the Asian Development Bank Institute
(ADBI), the Asian Development Bank (ADB), its Board of Directors, or the
governments they represent. ADBI does not guarantee the accuracy of the data
included in this paper and accepts no responsibility for any consequences of their use.
Terminology used may not necessarily be consistent with ADB official terms.
-
Outline of Presentation
I. Overview of the Philippines Official Poverty
Statistics
II. Official Poverty Estimation Methodology
III. Latest Poverty and Inequality Statistics
IV. Efforts on Improving Relevance of Official
Poverty Statistics
V. Challenges to the Philippine Statistical System
VI. Poverty Reduction Programs
-
I. Overview of the Philippines Official Poverty Statistics
Executive Order 352
Designation of Statistical Activities that will Generate
Critical Data for Decision-making of the Government and the
Private Sector
Issued on July 1, 1996
National Statistics Office (NSO)
- Conduct of Family Income and Expenditure Survey
Technical Committee on Poverty Statistics (TC PovStat)
- in charge of the formulation/development of the official
poverty estimation methodology
National Statistical Coordination Board (NSCB)
- Mandated to generate and release the countrys official
poverty statistics
Legal Basis
3 Philippines Official Poverty Statistics
-
4
Who are the sources of data inputs?
Data needed Agency responsible
Provincial food bundles Food and Nutrition Research
Institute (FNRI)
Price data (e.g., actual
provincial prices of food items
and 2006-based regional CPI
for food)
Bureau of Agricultural Statistics
(BAS)
National Statistics Office (NSO)
Income (of families/per capita)
from the Family Income and
Expenditure Survey (FIES)
NSO
II. Overview of the Philippines Official Poverty Statistics
-
FIES is being conducted every three years
NSO collects data in two visits:
Visit Reference Period Conduct of Survey
First First Semester
income/expenditure
(January-June)
July
Second Second Semester
(July-December)
January of the
succeeding year
How and when is the FIES collected?
II. Overview of the Philippines Official Poverty Statistics
-
Target sample households: nearly 51,000
Total number of pages of the questionnaire: 70 pages, 24 of which are devoted to income
Processing, extensive data quality checks
Prior to April 23, 2013, latest FIES results are for 2009 made available in January 2011; hence, latest official
provincial poverty statistics (i.e., subsistence/poverty
incidences and other measures of poverty) are also for
2009, which was released in February 2011.
Some information on the FIES
II. Overview of the Philippines Official Poverty Statistics
-
(Poor) Food Threshold (in pesos)
(Subsistence Poor, Food Poor, Extremely
Poor)
(Non Poor) Poverty Threshold (in pesos)
income
income income
Poverty
Incidence
Subsistence
Incidence
How does the NSCB generate official poverty statistics?
II. Official Poverty Estimation Methodology
-
Actual Prices
100% RENI for energy
100% RENI for protein
80% RENI for vitamins
and minerals
PROVINCIAL food bundle
Farmgate Price
Food eaten
in the area
Retail Price
LEAST cost
Visualizable
FOOD THRESHOLD
National food bundle
II. Official Poverty Estimation Methodology
-
Meal Time Viands
Breakfast Scrambled egg
Boiled rice
Coffee with milk
Lunch Boiled monggo with
malunggay and dried
dilis
Banana, latundan
Boiled rice
Dinner Fried tulingan
Boiled kangkong
Boiled rice
Snacks Pandesal
National reference food bundle from
the Test of Revealed
Preference
Meal Time Viands
Breakfast Scrambled egg
Coffee with milk
Boiled rice/rice-corn mix
Lunch Boiled/ginataang monggo
with malunggay and dried
dilis
Banana
Boiled rice/corn mix
Dinner Fried fish/boiled pork
Vegetable dish
Boiled rice/rice-corn mix
Snacks Bread or boiled rootcrop
Sample translation:
National Capital Region
9
II. Official Poverty Estimation Methodology
-
Non-food threshold Food threshold
Constant FE/TBE ratio
POVERTY THRESHOLD
ACTUAL Non-Food Basic Needs
Education
Clothing & footwear
Medical care
Transportation & communication
Fuel, light & water
Housing
10 Philippines Official Poverty Statistics
II. Official Poverty Estimation Methodology
Housing maintenance & other minor repairs Non-durable furnishings Household operations Personal care & effects Rental of occupied dwelling unit
-
Monthly Food and Poverty Threshold for a Family of Five,
1st semesters of 2006, 2009, and 2012 (in PhP)
During the 1st semester of 2012, a Filipino family of five needed
PhP5,458 monthly income to buy their minimum basic food needs;
andPhp7,821 monthly to include other minimum basic nonfood needs
1st Semester
5,458
7,821
7,040
5,586 4,903
3,894
III. Latest Poverty and Inequality Statistics
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Subsistence and Poverty Incidence among Families (%),
1st semesters of 2006, 2009, and 2012
Poverty practically unchanged between
1st semester of 2006 and 1st semester of 2012
1st Semester
22.3
10.0
III. Latest Poverty and Inequality Statistics
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Subsistence and Poverty Incidence among Population
(%),
1st semesters of 2006, 2009, and 2012
1st Semester
On the average, 28 out of 100 Filipinos are living in
poverty between the 1st semester of 2006 and 1st semester
of 2012
27.9
13.4
III. Latest Poverty and Inequality Statistics
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During the 1st semester of 2012, on the average, a poor family
of five members needed a monthly additional income of
to move out of poverty or approximately .3% of the
poverty threshold.92.
Income gap 1st semester
2006 2009 2012
TOTAL COST OF ERADICATING POVERTY (in pesos)
29.3%
PhP 2,292
29.3 Income gap
79.7 B Among all poor families
for the entire 1st semester
2,292 For a poor family of five,
per month
50.7 B 63.1 B
1,681 2,042
30.1 29.0
III. Latest Poverty and Inequality Statistics
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Across the bottom 30% of families, incomes rose by an
average of 11.7 percent, which is practically the same as
inflation, between the 1st semesters of 2009 and 2012 .
Indicator 1st sem
2009
1st sem
2012 % Change
Inflation (all items) 116.1 130.1 12.06
Mean/average per capita income (APCI)
First decile class
4,356
4,840 11.1
Second decile class 6,883 7,685 11.7
Third decile class 8,902 9,984 12.2
11.7
Poverty Incidence (among families) 22.86 22.32 (0.54)
Annual Per Capita Poverty Threshold 8,448 9,385 11.09
All income groups 21,565 24,326 12.8
Fourth decile class 11,114 12,549 12.9
Fifth decile class 13,693 15,589 13.8
Sixth decile class 17,060 19,453 14.0
Seventh decile class 21,678 24,786 14.3
Eight decile class 28,736 32,741 13.9
Ninth decile class 41,660 47,551 14.1
Tenth decile class 98,123 107,612 9.7
First decile class
4,356 4,840
11.1
Second decile class 6,883 7,685 11.7
Third decile class 8,902 9,984 12.2
Consumer Price Index (CPI) (all
items) 116.1 130.1
11.7%
12.1%
III. Latest Poverty and Inequality Statistics
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During the 1st semesters of 2006, 2009, and 2012, the
bottom 20 percent of families have a share of about 6
percent of the total income in the country; whereas the
upper 20% have a share of nearly 50% of total income.
INCOME DECILE 1st sem
2006
1st sem
2009
1st sem
2012
PERCENTAGE POINT
CHANGE
1st sem 06-09 1st sem 09-12
FIRST
SECOND
NINTH
TENTH
FIRST TO THIRD 10.3 11.1 10.9 0.8 -0.2
0.2 0.0
0.3 -0.1 THIRD 4.3 4.6 4.5 0.3 -0.1
FOURTH TO
SEVENTH 28.5
28.8 28.9 0.3
0.1 FOURTH 5.2 5.4 5.4 0.2 0.0 FIFTH 6.2 6.3 6.4 0.1 0.1 SIXTH 7.6 7.7 7.7 0.1 0.0 SEVENTH 9.5 9.4 9.4 -0.1 0.0
EIGHTH TO TENTH 61.4 60.4 60.0 -1.0 -0.3 EIGHTH 12.1 11.9 12.0 -0.2 0.2
-0.4 -0.1
-0.3 -0.4
FIRST 2.5 2.7 2.7
SECOND 3.5 3.8 3.8
NINTH 16.6 16.1 16.0
TENTH 32.7 32.4 32.0
6%
50%
III. Latest Poverty and Inequality Statistics
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The total income of the top 20% of families is
approximately 8 times of the total income of the
bottom 20% of families in the first semesters of 2006,
2009, and 2012.
INCOME DECILE 1st sem
2006
1st sem
2009
1st sem
2012
PERCENTAGE POINT
CHANGE
1st sem 06-09 1st sem 09-12
Ratio of Top
20% over
Bottom 20%
8.21 7.44 7.50 -0.77 0.06
8 times
INCOME DECILE 1st sem
2006
1st sem
2009
1st sem
2012
PERCENTAGE POINT
CHANGE
1st sem 06-09 1st sem 09-12
Ratio of Top 30%
over Bottom 30%
5.97 5.45 5.50 -0.52 0.05
Ratio of Top 10%
over Bottom 10%
13.12 12.06 12.07 -1.05 0.01
Ratio of Top
20% over
Bottom 20%
8.21 7.44 7.50 -0.77 0.06
8 times
III. Latest Poverty and Inequality Statistics
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18 Philippines Official Poverty Statistics
III. Latest Poverty and Inequality Statistics
Year Gini coefficient
2003 0.4605
2006 0.4580
2009 0.4484
Gini coefficient based on the full year FIES
barely changed since 2003
Source: National Statistics Office
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1. Small Area Estimates of Poverty
In response to the need for poverty statistics at lower levels of disaggregation, the NSCB, with funding
assistance from the World Bank implemented three
projects on small area estimation (SAE) to generate
poverty incidences at the city/municipal levels.
NSCB-WB Project Reference year of city/municipal level poverty estimates
Year Released
1. Poverty Mapping in the
Philippines
2000 2005
2. Intercensal Updating of Small
Area Poverty Estimates
2003 2008
3. Generation of the 2006 and 2009
Small Area Estimate of Poverty
2009 2012
2006 To be released in
June 2013
19 Philippines Official Poverty Statistics
IV. Efforts on Improving Relevance of Poverty Statistics
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1. Small Area Estimates of Poverty (cont.)
The Elbers, Lanjouw and Lanjouw (ELL) Methodology was
modified to generate intercensal City and Municipal level
Poverty Statistics
2007 Census of
Population and Housing
2009 Family Income and
Expenditure Survey
2009 Labor Force Survey
poverty estimates for 1,622 cities and municipalities of the country for 2009 were released in July 2012 by the NSCB.
2009 City and
Municipal Level
Poverty Statistics
based on SAE
20 Philippines Official Poverty Statistics
IV. Efforts on Improving Relevance of Poverty Statistics
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1. Small Area Estimates of Poverty (cont.)
21 Philippines Official Poverty Statistics
IV. Efforts on Improving Relevance of Poverty Statistics
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2. GIS-based Poverty Mapping based on available
Administrative Records
useful to local government units specially in locating priority areas and describing their conditions
initially produced poverty maps for the provinces of Laguna and Albay
started at producing poverty maps for the poorest provinces for the year 2003 (dependent on the availability of financial resources and on the data support from the local government units)
33 provincial poverty maps are currently covered by the NSCB Regional Divisions (present only in 9 of the 17 regions of the country)
IV. Efforts on Improving Relevance of Poverty Statistics
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Sample Map for Zamboanga del Norte
Provincial index
=100
Poverty Index (Malnutrition)
Zamboanga del Norte
IV. Efforts on Improving Relevance of Poverty Statistics
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Need to have more frequent poverty statistics to have
more timely interventions
With National Economic Development Authority
(NEDA), leading the inititative the DBM will fund the
2013 Annual Poverty Indicator Survey (APIS), that will
include an income module of the FIES
2013 APIS to be implemented in July 2013
The NSCB, in turn, shall generate corresponding poverty
estimates (at the national level), within one month after
the provision of the 2013 APIS data file.
3. Annual Estimates of Poverty
IV. Efforts on Improving Relevance of Poverty Statistics
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4. Communicating Philippine Poverty Statistics
4.1 One of the major areas of concern of the:
- Philippine Statistical Development Program 2011-
2017 (i.e., the Philippines 8th series of the NSDS) - Technical Committee on Poverty Statistics - NSCB Executive Board
4.2 Philippine Poverty Statistics Portal
- http://www.nscb.gov.ph/poverty/portal_/
- to serve as a one-stop web portal on information
and statistics on poverty
- to communicate official poverty statistics and other
related poverty indicators to a wider audience
4.3 Users/Producers Forums - Press Conferences
- National Convention on Statistics
- National Statistics Month
25 Philippines Official Poverty Statistics
IV. Efforts on Improving Relevance of Poverty Statistics
-
Communicating Poverty Statistics (cont.)
4.4 Web articles
- Beyond the Numbers by Dr. Jose Ramon G. Albert (http://www.nscb.gov.ph/beyondthenumbers/2012/10082012_jrg
a_ofw.asp)
- Statistically Speaking by Dr. Romulo A. Virola (http://www.nscb.gov.ph/headlines/StatsSpeak/default.asp_)
Presents viewpoints and perspectives of the members of the NSCB Technical Staff on statistical concerns
Seeks to assist the users by informing, enlightening, and guiding
- Sexy Statistics (http://www.nscb.gov.ph/sexystats/default.asp)
One of the efforts of the NSCBTechnical Staff (TS) to make our statistics sexy
Presents special tabulations and computations done by the NSCB TS not only in response to various data
requests of our stakeholders but also to present
statistics on current issues
26 Philippines Official Poverty Statistics
IV. Efforts on Improving Relevance of Poverty Statistics
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Ensure independence and freedom from political affairs
Regular generation of small area estimates of poverty
a. Geographical (i.e., at the city, municipal,
congressional district levels)
b. Sectoral (PWDs, indigenous peoples)
Harmonization/standardization of existing statistical frameworks on poverty reduction statistics (e.g.,
official poverty statistics, National Household
Targeting System for Poverty Reduction (NHTS-PR),
community-based monitoring systems (CBMS),
among others) ;
V. Challenges to the Philippine Statistical System
27 Philippines Official Poverty Statistics
-
Non-income indicators of poverty
Communicating official poverty statistics towards more actual policy uses;
Well-being/Happiness of the poor;
AND THE LIST GOES ON AND ON BUT (next
slide)
V. Challenges to the Philippine Statistical System
28 Philippines Official Poverty Statistics
-
1. There is a need for statistical capacity building, specially of
the line agencies and local government units (LGUs)
Many LGUs do not have a statistical unit or statistical personnel; Low compensation scheme for statistical personnel; Non-statisticians doing statistical work.
2. Statistics must be demand-driven; policy makers must
translate statistics into actual/working programs and
policies
3. Statistical agencies must be relevant to stakeholders
4. There is a great need for more resources for statistics,
specially manpower.
TO AID THE PHILIPPINE STATISTICAL SYSTEM IN RESPONDING
TO THESE MANY DEMANDS/CHALLENGES:
29 Philippines Official Poverty Statistics
V. Challenges to the Philippine Statistical System
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Quality Education: Reduce classroom gap to zero in 2013 to support the K+12 Program
Major Program/Projects OutputsAmount (In
Million Pesos)
Basic Educational Facilities 25,268
a. Schoolbuilding Program for Areas
w/ Acute Classrooms Shortage 17,638 classrooms 14,110
b. Repair/Rehab of Classrooms 3,850 classrooms 1,155
c. Construction of Water &
/Sanitation Facilities 90,461 facilities 5,428
d. School Furniture Program 639,185 seats 575
e. PPP Amortization
9,301 classrooms
446,448 seats 4,000
Regular Schoolbuilding Program 1,000 classrooms 1,000
VI. Poverty Reduction Programs
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Quality Education: Close teacher and textbook gap by 2013 to support K+12 and install support mechanisms for basic education system
Major Program/Projects Outputs Amount (In Million Php)
Creation of Teaching Positions 61,510 teaching
positions 14,538
Creation of Non-Teaching Positions 3,500 non-teaching
positions
730
Procurement of Textbooks & Teachers' Manual
31.1M textbooks & teachers manual 1,493
GASTPE 1.0 million students 6,974 Universalization of Kindergarten Education 1,386,683 students 1,680 Provision for school operations 45,971 schools 196,948
VI. Poverty Reduction Programs
-
Social Protection: Cover all indigent households in 4Ps b 2016; provide meaningful social protection packages
Major Program/Projects OutputsAmount (In
Million Pesos)
Pantawid Pamilyang Pilipino Program 3.8M Households 44,256
Supplemental Feeding
1.7M daycare
children 2,961
Social Protection for Indigent Senior
Filipino Citizens 232,868 SC 1,533
Self-Employment Assistance-
Kaunlaran (SEA-K) 128,355 Families 1,797
Kapit Bisig Laban sa Kahirapan -
Comprehensive and Integrated
Delivery of Social Services
3,404 barangays to
be assisted 650
Emergency Housing Assistance
Program for Calamity Victims
3,450
beneficiaries 621
Quick Response Fund 3,865
Calamity Fund 7,500
VI. Poverty Reduction Programs
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Universal Health Care : Covers all Q1 and Q2 households under universal health care by 2016; attain health related MDGs
Major Program/Projects OutputsAmount (In
Million Pesos)
National Health Insurance Program (NHIP) 5.2M Households 12,612
Health Facilities Enhancement Program (HFEP)
2,722 Facilities (Infrastructure
& Equipment) 13,558
Attaining the Health-Related MDGs
of which:
a. Doctors to the Barrios Program 270101 Medical Professionals 2,799
b. Expanded Program on Immunization (EPI) 2,683,380 children 1,950
c. TB Control 46,694 cases treated 1,021
d. National Pharmaceutical Policy Development 1,377 LGUs & 160 Hospitals 1,038
e. Elimination of Disease 570
f. Other Infectious Disease
w/ provision of ARV treatment
to 6,056 HIV infected people 321
g. Family Health and Responsible Parenting 2,539
VI. Poverty Reduction Programs
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Housing Program: Provide decent affordable housing to
informal settlers
Major Program/Projects OutputsAmount (In
Million Pesos)Regular Housing Programs 5,010
Resettlement Program 35,652 HHs 4,882
Settlements (Slum) Upgrading
Program 2,975 HHs 128 Special Housing Programs 15,742
Housing Resettlement for ISFs
Living in Danger Areas in Metro
Manila 20,000 HHs 10,120
AFP/PNP/BFP/BJMP/BuCor Housing 20,000 HHs 5,622
Community Mortgage Program 30,000 HHs 1,000
VI. Poverty Reduction Programs
-
NSCB http://www.ncsb.gov.ph/
DBM http://www.dbm.gov.ph/
35
Maraming Salamat po!
-
Indicators
Official Statistics Difference
2003 2006 2009 03-06 06-09
Annual Per Capita Food Threshold
(Php)
7,577 9,257 11,686 21.6%
26.2%
Annual Per Capita Poverty Threshold
(Php)
10,976 13,348 16,841
Among families
Subsistence Incidence (%) 8.2 8.7 7.9 0.50 (0.80)
Magnitude of Food Poor (in million) 1.4 1.5 1.5
0.10 0.00
Poverty Incidence (%) 20.0 21.1 20.9 1.10 (0.20)
Magnitude of Poor (in million) 3.3 3.7 3.9 0.40 0.20
Among individuals
Subsistence Incidence (%) 11.1 11.7 10.8 0.60 (0.90)
Magnitude of Food Poor (in million) 8.8 9.9 9.4
1.10 (0.50)
Poverty Incidence (%) 24.9 26.4 26.5 1.50 0.10
Magnitude of Poor (in million) 19.8 22.2 23.1 2.40 0.90 36 Philippines Official Poverty Statistics
III. Latest Poverty Statistics
-
. Poverty and the MDGs
As of 2009, the Philippines was eight years behind target on poverty
reduction!
Only 4 of the countrys 17 regions are ahead of their targets!
-8.4
5.0
0.5
-2.3
0.5
-3.8
3.2
-8.3-9.6
-5.6
-10.2
-14.1-12.0
-8.3
-4.0
-20.0
-15.0
-10.0
-5.0
0.0
5.0
10.0
Philip
pine
sNCR
CAR
Region
I
Region
II
Region
III
Region
IV-A
Region
IV-B
Region
V
Region
VI
Region
VII
Region
VIII
Region
X
Region
XI
Region
XII
Notes: Time-distance (years): positive (+) time lead (progress is ahead the path to target)
Negative ( - ) time lag (Progress is behind the path to target)
The time distance is a new generic statistical measure for analysis and visualization of time series data. This was first
developed by Prof. Pavle Sicherl of the University of Ljubljana, Slovenia.
Region IX, Caraga, and ARMM are 27, 21, and 81 years behind the target in 2009.
37 Philippines Official Poverty Statistics
III. Latest Poverty Statistics
-
Indicators
1st Semester Official
Poverty Statistics
Difference
2006 2009 2012 06-09 09-12
Per Capita Food Threshold (Php) 4,673 5,883 6,549 26.0 11.1
Per Capita Poverty Threshold (Php) 6,703 8,448 9,385
Among families
Subsistence Incidence (%) 10.8 10.0 10.0 -0.8 -0.0
Poverty Incidence (%) 23.4 22.9 22.3 -0.5 -0.5
Among individuals
Subsistence Incidence (%) 14.2 13.3 13.4 -0.9 0.1
Poverty Incidence (%) 28.8 28.6 27.9 -0.2 -0.7
38 Philippines Official Poverty Statistics
III. Latest Poverty Statistics
-
I. Overview of the Philippines Official Poverty Statistics
Executive Order 352
Designation of Statistical Activities that will Generate
Critical Data for Decision-making of the Government and the
Private Sector
Issued on July 1, 1996
Technical Committee on Poverty Statistics (TC PovStat)
- in charge of the formulation/development of the official
poverty estimation methodology
National Statistical Coordination Board (NSCB)
- Mandated to generate and release the countrys official
poverty statistics
Legal Basis
39 Philippines Official Poverty Statistics
-
I. Overview of the Philippines Official Poverty Statistics
Institutional Arrangements in the Computation of
Poverty Statistics
Food and Nutrition Research Institute (FNRI) of the
Ministry of Science and Technology
- low-cost and nutritionally adequate provincial food
bundles
Bureau of Agricultural Statistics (BAS) of the Ministry of
Agriculture
- prices of agricultural commodities
National Statistics Office (NSO)
- prices of agricultural and non-agricultural
commodities
- income and expenditures data (FIES)
40 Philippines Official Poverty Statistics
-
Food thresholds and subsistence incidence (families/population)
Poverty thresholds and incidence (families/population)
Magnitude of poor and subsistence poor
Income and poverty gap, severity of poverty
OFFICIAL POVERTY STATISTICS/INDICATORS
Level of disaggregation
National, regional and provincial
Frequency
Thresholds: Annual FGT measures of poverty: Every three years (due to the
triennial conduct of the FIES)
I. Overview of the Philippines Official Poverty Statistics
41 Philippines Official Poverty Statistics
-
Year Refinements Considerations
1987
1992 1st Refinements were made so as not to
overestimate poverty
2003 2nd Refinements were made to generate
provincial poverty statistics by using
regional menus priced using
provincial prices.
2010/2011 3rd Refinenements were undertaken to
enhance comparability of estimates
across space and over time.
History of the official poverty estimation methodology
The 1st official poverty estimation methodology was adopted
in 1987.
Between 1987-2011 (24 years), there were three refinements
on the methodology since its adoption.
II. Philippines Official Poverty Estimation
Methodology
42 Philippines Official Poverty Statistics
-
Actual Prices
100% RENI for energy
100% RENI for protein
80% RENI for vitamins
and minerals
PROVINCIAL food bundle
Farmgate Price
Food eaten
in the area
Retail Price
LEAST cost Visualizable
FOOD THRESHOLD
If income/expenditure of family/individual
is less than food threshold
Provincial SUBSISTENCE INCIDENCE
and MAGNITUDE OF SUBSISTENCE POOR
National food bundle
II. Philippines Official Poverty Estimation
Methodology
43 Philippines Official Poverty Statistics
-
Meal Time Viands
Breakfast Scrambled egg
Boiled rice
Coffee with milk
Lunch Boiled monggo with
malunggay and dried dilis
Banana, latundan
Boiled rice
Dinner Fried tulingan
Boiled kangkong
Boiled rice
Snacks Pandesal
National reference food bundle from
the Test of Revealed
Preference Meal Time Viands
Breakfast Scrambled egg
Coffee with milk
Boiled rice/rice-corn mix
Lunch Boiled/ginataang monggo with
malunggay and dried dilis
Banana
Boiled rice/corn mix
Dinner Fried fish/boiled pork
Vegetable dish
Boiled rice/rice-corn mix
Snacks Bread or boiled rootcrop
Sample translation:
National Capital Region
II. Philippines Official Poverty Estimation
Methodology
44 Philippines Official Poverty Statistics
-
Non-food threshold Food threshold
Constant FE/TBE ratio
POVERTY THRESHOLD
If income/expenditure of family/individual
is less than poverty threshold
Provincial POVERTY INCIDENCE
and MAGNITUDE OF POOR
ACTUAL Non-Food Basic
Needs
Education
Clothing & footwear
Medical care
Transportation &
communication
Fuel, light & water
Housing
Housing maintenance &
other minor repairs
Non-durable furnishings
Household operations
Personal care & effects
Rental of occupied
dwelling unit
II. Philippines Official Poverty Estimation
Methodology
45 Philippines Official Poverty Statistics
-
II. Philippines Official Poverty Estimation
Methodology
Family size Required income (in PhP)
Daily Monthly Annual
1 32 974 11,688
2 64 1,948 23,376
3 96 2,922 35,064
4 128 3,896 46,752
5 160 4,870 58,440
6 192 5,844 70,128
7 224 6,818 81,816
8 256 7,792 93,504
Food threshold:
In 2009, a family of five needed PhP 160 daily income to stay
out of food poverty! (or approximately 3.36USD)
46 Philippines Official Poverty Statistics
-
II. Philippines Official Poverty Estimation
Methodology
Family size Required income (in PhP)
Daily Monthly Annual
1 46 1,403 16,841
2 92 2,807 33,682
3 138 4,210 50,523
4 185 5,614 67,364
5 231 7,017 84,205
6 277 8,421 101,046
7 323 9,824 117,887
8 369 11,227 134,729
NATIONAL:
In 2009, a family of five needed PhP 231 daily income to stay
out of poverty! (or approximately 4.85USD)
47 Philippines Official Poverty Statistics
-
II. Philippines Official Poverty Estimation
Methodology
Indicators
Official Statistics Difference
2003 2006 2009 03-06 06-09
Among families
Subsistence Incidence (%) 8.2 8.7 7.9 0.50 (0.80)
Magnitude of Food Poor (in
million)
1.4 1.5 1.5
0.10 0.00
Poverty Incidence (%) 20.0 21.1 20.9 1.10 (0.20)
Magnitude of Poor (in million) 3.3 3.7 3.9 0.40 0.20
Among individuals
Subsistence Incidence (%) 11.1 11.7 10.8 0.60 (0.90)
Magnitude of Food Poor (in
million)
8.8 9.9 9.4
1.10 (0.50)
Poverty Incidence (%) 24.9 26.4 26.5 1.50 0.10
Magnitude of Poor (in million) 19.8 22.2 23.1 2.40 0.90
NATIONAL: Summary While food poverty and poverty deteriorated between 2003 and 2006, these improved between 2006 and 2009 except for the increases in the poverty incidence among population, magnitude
of poor families and magnitude of poor population.
The increases, however, were not as much as between 2003 and 2006!
48 Philippines Official Poverty Statistics
-
II. Philippines Official Poverty Estimation
Methodology
. Poverty and the MDGs
As of 2009, the Philippines was eight years behind target on poverty
reduction!
Only 4 of the countrys 17 regions are ahead of their targets!
-8.4
5.0
0.5
-2.3
0.5
-3.8
3.2
-8.3-9.6
-5.6
-10.2
-14.1-12.0
-8.3
-4.0
-20.0
-15.0
-10.0
-5.0
0.0
5.0
10.0
Philip
pine
sNCR
CAR
Region
I
Region
II
Region
III
Region
IV-A
Region
IV-B
Region
V
Region
VI
Region
VII
Region
VIII
Region
X
Region
XI
Region
XII
Notes: Time-distance (years): positive (+) time lead (progress is ahead the path to target)
Negative ( - ) time lag (Progress is behind the path to target)
The time distance is a new generic statistical measure for analysis and visualization of time series data. This was first
developed by Prof. Pavle Sicherl of the University of Ljubljana, Slovenia.
Region IX, Caraga, and ARMM are 27, 21, and 81 years behind the target in 2009.
49 Philippines Official Poverty Statistics
-
1. Official Poverty Statistics for the Basic Sectors
NSCB Resolution No. 11, Series of 2007 provides for the official methodology for the estimation of poverty statistics
for the basic sectors.
The NSCB computes official poverty statistics for 9 of the 14 disadvantaged sectors of the Philippine Society:
1. Women;
2. Youth;
3. Children;
4. Senior citizens;
5. Individuals residing in urban areas;
6. Migrant and formal sector workers;
7. Self-employed and unpaid family workers;
8. Farmers; and
9. Fishermen.
Statistics available for 2003, 2006, and 2009.
III. Efforts on Improving Relevance of Philippine Poverty
Statistics
50 Philippines Official Poverty Statistics
-
1. Official Poverty Statistics for the Basic Sectors (cont.)
III. Efforts on Improving Relevance of Philippine Poverty
Statistics
Variable Data source
1. Income Family Income and Expenditure Survey (FIES)
was used for classifying households as poor
or non-poor
2. Sectoral
characteristic of
the population
Labor Force Survey (LFS) was used to assign
household members into sectors
3. Total
population
Estimated total population of the sector
based on the FIES and LFS.
However, for years when the conduct of the
CPH and FIES coincide, data from the CPH will
be used (e.g., 2000) to estimate the total
population for four sectors, namely, women,
youth, children, and senior citizen.
Otherwise, data from LFS will be used.
51 Philippines Official Poverty Statistics
-
1. Official Poverty Statistics for the Basic Sectors (cont.)
III. Efforts on Improving Relevance of Philippine Poverty
Statistics
Fishermen, farmers, and children comprise the poorest
three sectors in 2009 with poverty incidences of 41.4%,
36.7%, and 35.1%, respectively.
41.4
36.7 35.1
25.1
21.8
16.7 15.8 12.8
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Fishermen Farmers Children Women Youth Migrant and Formal Sector
Senior Citizens Individuals residing in
urban areas
Poverty Incidence by Basic Sector: 2003, 2006, and 2009
2003
2006
2009
52 Philippines Official Poverty Statistics
-
1. Official Poverty Statistics for the Basic Sectors (cont.)
III. Efforts on Improving Relevance of Philippine Poverty
Statistics
Children, women, and individuals residing in urban areas
accounted for the largest number of poor population at 12.4,
11.2, and 5.7 million, respectively in 2009.
Magnitude of poor population for all sectors increased between
the period 2006 and 2009 except for farmers and fishermen
sectors, which had a decrease.
12,400,000
11,200,000
5,709,170 5,367,308
3,118,701
1,685,148 1,181,121
346,345
0
2,000,000
4,000,000
6,000,000
8,000,000
10,000,000
12,000,000
14,000,000
Children Women Urban Youth Migrant and Formal Sector
Farmers Senior Citizens
Fishermen
Magnitude of Poor Among the Basic Sectors: 2003, 2006, and 2009
2003
2006
2009
53 Philippines Official Poverty Statistics
-
Annual poverty incidences and other measures of poverty;
More timely official poverty statistics (i.e., regular generation of advance thresholds);
Regular generation of small area estimates of poverty
Geographical (i.e., at the city, municipal, congressional district levels)
Sectoral (PWDs, indigenous peoples)
Harmonization/standardization of existing statistical frameworks on poverty reduction statistics (e.g., official poverty statistics,
National Household Targeting System for Poverty Reduction
(NHTS-PR), community-based monitoring systems (CBMS), among
others) ;
Non-income indicators of poverty
Communicating official poverty statistics towards more actual policy uses;
Well-being/Happiness of the poor;
AND THE LIST GOES ON AND ON BUT (next slide)
IV. Challenges to the Philippine Statistical System
54 Philippines Official Poverty Statistics
-
1. There is a need for statistical capacity building, specially of
the line agencies and local government units (LGUs)
Many LGUs do not have a statistical unit or statistical personnel; Low compensation scheme for statistical personnel; Non-statisticians doing statistical work.
2. Statistics must be demand-driven; policy makers must
translate statistics into actual/working programs and
policies
3. Statistical agencies must be relevant to stakeholders
4. There is a great need for more resources for statistics,
specially manpower.
TO AID THE PHILIPPINE STATISTICAL SYSTEM IN RESPONDING
TO THESE MANY DEMANDS/CHALLENGES:
IV. Challenges to the Philippine Statistical System
55 Philippines Official Poverty Statistics