2013 request for proposals (rfp) connecting for success - hawaii
TRANSCRIPT
Lecture 2: Market Structure Part I (Perfect Competitionand Monopoly)
EC 105. Industrial Organization
Matt ShumHSS, California Institute of Technology
EC 105. Industrial Organization ( Matt Shum HSS, California Institute of Technology)Lecture 2: Market Structure Part I (Perfect Competition and Monopoly) 1 / 23
Perfect competition
Market structure 1: Perfect Competition
Consider market for a single good.
The perfectly competitive firm is a price taker: it cannot influencethe price that is paid for its product.
This arises due to consumers’ indifference between the products ofcompeting firms =⇒ for example, buy from store with lowest price.Consumers’ indifference arises from:
Product homogeneityConsumers have perfect informationNo transactions costMany firms
PC firm faces horizontal demand curve at market price p
EC 105. Industrial Organization ( Matt Shum HSS, California Institute of Technology)Lecture 2: Market Structure Part I (Perfect Competition and Monopoly) 2 / 23
Perfect competition
PC firm’s profit maximization problem
maxq π(p) = pq − C (q)
First-order condition: p = C ′(q) = MC (q)
Second-order condition: C ′′(q) > 0, satisfied if MC (q) is anincreasing function
If p ↑, production rises along MC (q) curve: MC (q) is the “supplycurve” of the firm.
EC 105. Industrial Organization ( Matt Shum HSS, California Institute of Technology)Lecture 2: Market Structure Part I (Perfect Competition and Monopoly) 3 / 23
Perfect competition
PC firm’s shutdown decisions
A firm produces only when its profits from producing exceed the costsit would avoid by not producing
In short-run: avoidable costs do not include sunk costs. Shut downwhen revenues fall short of avoidable costs⇐⇒ pq < Avoidable costs(q).Consider two cases:
1 All fixed costs are sunk. Avoidable costs = VC (q): shut down oncep < AVC (q) (< AC (q)).
2 Proportion α of fixed costs not sunk. Avoidable costs = VC (q) + αF :shut down once p < AVC (q) + αF
q
In long-run: avoidable costs include sunk cost. Shut down whenpq < C (q) =⇒ p < AC (q)
Short-run supply curve? Long-run supply curve? Graph.
EC 105. Industrial Organization ( Matt Shum HSS, California Institute of Technology)Lecture 2: Market Structure Part I (Perfect Competition and Monopoly) 4 / 23
Perfect competition
The perfectly-competitive industry: Short run
In the short run:
Number of firms fixed
Industry supply curve: sum of individual firms’ short-run supplycurves. Zero supply at prices below shutdown point. Graph.
Industry demand curve: downward sloping. Graph.
Price determined by intersection of industry demand and supplycurves. Graph.
In short-run equilibrium: positive profits for each firm as long asp > AC (q).
EC 105. Industrial Organization ( Matt Shum HSS, California Institute of Technology)Lecture 2: Market Structure Part I (Perfect Competition and Monopoly) 5 / 23
Perfect competition
The perfectly competitive industry: Long-run
Number of firms can vary
Free entry and exit:Any short-run profits soaked up by new firms in long-run =⇒ Price isdriven down to the minimum of the AC curve
Long-run industry supply curve: horizontal at minimum of theaverage cost curveLR supply curve may be upward-sloping if min AC is rising in marketdemand Q (due, for example, to resource scarcity)
EC 105. Industrial Organization ( Matt Shum HSS, California Institute of Technology)Lecture 2: Market Structure Part I (Perfect Competition and Monopoly) 6 / 23
Perfect competition
Toughness of competition
In PC market, inelastic industry demand (low |ε|) consistent with elastic residualdemand curve (high |εi |): competition too “tough”
(Caviar, pearls, petroleum ...)
Price elasticity of demand:
ε ≡ ∆q(p)
∆p
p
q=∂ log q(p)
∂ log p=∂q(p)
∂p
p
q(p)
Steep demand curves are inelastic; flat are elastic
Residual demand: Dr (p) = D(p)− So(p).
At competitive equilibrium, firm i ’s residual demand elasticity is:εi = εn − ηo(n − 1) where η0 is the “residual supply” elasticity:
η0 =∂S0(p)
∂p
p
S0(p)
Example
market demand Q = 100− p50 firms, each with supply curve q = pEquilibrium: p = 100/51;Q = 5000/51Market demand elasticity ε = −1
50 ; firm εi = −50; η0 = 1EC 105. Industrial Organization ( Matt Shum HSS, California Institute of Technology)Lecture 2: Market Structure Part I (Perfect Competition and Monopoly) 7 / 23
Perfect competition
Desirability of PC outcome
p = MC(q) = minqAC(q)
Production at p = MC (q): firm produces an additional unit only if itcan cover the production costs. Producer surplus is maximized.
Value placed on marginal unit of the good p exactly equals the costof producing that marginal unit (consumption efficiency).Consumer surplus is maximized.
Production at minimum average cost: no better alternative use ofresources is possible (production efficiency). In other words, eachfirm operating at minimum efficient scale.
EC 105. Industrial Organization ( Matt Shum HSS, California Institute of Technology)Lecture 2: Market Structure Part I (Perfect Competition and Monopoly) 8 / 23
Perfect competition
General equilibrium
Consider the general case with multiple goods, and heterogeneousfirms and agents.
All agents are price takers.
Given prices, consumers choose how much of each good to buy inorder to maximize their welfare, given that their expenditures mustnot exceed their income. This gives rise to demand functions.
Given prices, producers choose production plans to maximize profitsgiven their technological possibilities, giving rise to supply functions.
A competitive equilibrium is a set of prices, with associated demandsand supplies, such that all the markets clear
EC 105. Industrial Organization ( Matt Shum HSS, California Institute of Technology)Lecture 2: Market Structure Part I (Perfect Competition and Monopoly) 9 / 23
Perfect competition
Welfare Theorems
Weak assumptions about preferences and technological possibilitiesyield general results on competitive equilibrium.
1st Welfare Theorem: A competitive equilibrium is Pareto Optimal. Abenevolent social planner can’t improve on the competitive allocation.
2nd Welfare Theorem: Any Pareto-optimal allocation can bedescentralized by a choice of the right prices and an appropriateredistribution of income among consumers.
Requires convexity assumptions that rule out increasing returns to scale.
Key property of competitive equilibrium: each good is sold atmarginal cost. Prices induce consumers to internalize the (social) costof producing an additional unit of the good.
EC 105. Industrial Organization ( Matt Shum HSS, California Institute of Technology)Lecture 2: Market Structure Part I (Perfect Competition and Monopoly) 10 / 23
Perfect competition
Barriers to Entry
Nice outcome in perfect competitive world depends crucially on free-entryassumption. Fixed costs of entry are present in many markets: are they abarrier to entry??
Fixed costs borne equally by all firms: accommodated by free entryassumptionExample: salt factory, advertising?
Fixed costs which affect entrant firms disproportionately: barriers toentry“First mover advantage”: incumbent muddies waters to makesubsequent entry difficult.Ex: C1(q) = F + VC (q),C2(q) = 2F + VC (q)Microsoft: computer operating systems?Apple: iPad?
Next focus on extreme case where entry ruled out: monopoly
EC 105. Industrial Organization ( Matt Shum HSS, California Institute of Technology)Lecture 2: Market Structure Part I (Perfect Competition and Monopoly) 11 / 23
Perfect competition
Market structure 2: Monopoly
Industry has one firm, who faces downward-sloping industry demandcurve
Market power: ability of a firm to dictate market prices in anindustry. Depends on the slope of the residual demand curve.
Market power is “opposite” of price-taking behavior
EC 105. Industrial Organization ( Matt Shum HSS, California Institute of Technology)Lecture 2: Market Structure Part I (Perfect Competition and Monopoly) 12 / 23
Perfect competition
Monopoly and profit maximization
Two equivalent formulations:First, monopolist chooses quantity to maximize profits
maxq p(q)q − C (q) = Revenue(q)− C (q)
Graph. Quantity can be increased only if price is lower. Tradeoffbetween increased demand versus revenue lost on consumers whowould have bought even under the higher price
FOC: R ′(q)) = p(q) + p′(q)q = C ′(q)↔ MR(q) = MC (q). Graph.
EC 105. Industrial Organization ( Matt Shum HSS, California Institute of Technology)Lecture 2: Market Structure Part I (Perfect Competition and Monopoly) 13 / 23
Perfect competition
Monopoly and profit maximization
Alternatively, monopolist chooses price to maximize profits
maxp pq(p)− C (q(p)), where q(p) is demand curve.
FOC: q(p) + pq′(p) = C ′(q(p))q′(p)
At optimal price p∗, Inverse Elasticity Property holds:(p∗ −MC (q(p∗))) = − q(p∗)
q′(p∗) or p∗−mc(q(p∗))p∗ = − 1
ε(p∗) , where ε(p∗)
is q′(p∗) p∗
q(p∗) .
Across monopolistic markets, should observe negative relationshipbetween price and demand elasticity
If ε → +∞: p = MC (q)
EC 105. Industrial Organization ( Matt Shum HSS, California Institute of Technology)Lecture 2: Market Structure Part I (Perfect Competition and Monopoly) 14 / 23
Perfect competition
Inverse elasticity property
Firm’s market power is inversely related to the elasticity of demand
with inelastic demand, firm sets prices higherwith elastic demand, firm sets prices lower
Interpretation:
elasticity: primarily related to availability of close substituteswhen few substitutes available, a firm can set high prices without losingcustomerswhen many substitutes available, a firm which sets prices too high willlose many customers
Examples:
Ride-sharing (Uber’s surge pricing): weekends vs. weekdaysPrices of iPhone 6 once iPhone 8 released.Movies: daytime vs. evening
EC 105. Industrial Organization ( Matt Shum HSS, California Institute of Technology)Lecture 2: Market Structure Part I (Perfect Competition and Monopoly) 15 / 23
Perfect competition
A puzzle, or cautionary tale
p∗ −mc(q(p∗))
p∗= − 1
ε(p∗)
Reasonable interpretation: “low elasticities are good for monopolist”
What if −1 < ε(p∗) < 0? Implies p∗ < mc , which is nonsensical.Unpack marginal revenue expression:
MR(q) =∂R(q)
∂q= p′(q)q + p(q)
=q(p)
q′(p)+ p =
p
p
q(p)
q′(p)+ p = p
(1
q′(p)
q(p)
p+ 1
)= p(
1
ε(p)+ 1)
which is negative for prices where −1 < ε(p) < 0. (p′(q) = 1q′(p)).
More intuitive: monopolist never chooses a p (or equivalently q(p))where its marginal revenue would be negative.
Lesson: demand elasticity not free variable independent of price. Itdepends on price.
EC 105. Industrial Organization ( Matt Shum HSS, California Institute of Technology)Lecture 2: Market Structure Part I (Perfect Competition and Monopoly) 16 / 23
Perfect competition
Dead-Weight Loss
Markup provides a quantification of price distortion, and is useful forpolicy purposes (later). This is not, however, an appropriate measureof distortion from a normative viewpoint. Instead, the appropriatemeasure is the loss of social welfare.
To measure the later we compare the total surplus (consumer andproducer surplus, or profit) at the monopoly price with that at thecompetitive (marginal cost) price.
EC 105. Industrial Organization ( Matt Shum HSS, California Institute of Technology)Lecture 2: Market Structure Part I (Perfect Competition and Monopoly) 17 / 23
Perfect competition
Dead-Weight Loss
EC 105. Industrial Organization ( Matt Shum HSS, California Institute of Technology)Lecture 2: Market Structure Part I (Perfect Competition and Monopoly) 18 / 23
Perfect competition
Dead-Weight Loss
The welfare loss does not necessarily decrease with the elasticity ofdemand, even though the relative markup does.
Strong price distortions correspond to low demand elasticities
consumers decrease their quantity demanded only slightly in responseto a unit price increase.
In precisely these situations, price changes do not affect quantityconsumed very much; rather, they elicit a large transfer fromconsumers to the firm.
EC 105. Industrial Organization ( Matt Shum HSS, California Institute of Technology)Lecture 2: Market Structure Part I (Perfect Competition and Monopoly) 19 / 23
Perfect competition
How monopolies arise
Crucial aspect of monopoly: price-setting ability (relatively inelasticdemand curve)
Product differentiation: Apple vs. Samsung vs. RIM
Government-granted monopolies (patents): reward for firm’sinnovation efforts
Superior production technology (Demsetz critique). Monopoly“deserves” its dominant position
Natural monopoly: industry characterized by increasing returns toscale. MES is +∞, efficient to have just 1 firm.
Energy utilities (water, electricity, gas) typically natural monopoly.Governments may need to regulate to keep prices low.
Checks on a monopolist’s market power: threat of entry keeps pricearound average cost
EC 105. Industrial Organization ( Matt Shum HSS, California Institute of Technology)Lecture 2: Market Structure Part I (Perfect Competition and Monopoly) 20 / 23
Perfect competition
How monopolies disappear
A firm with market power makes profits, which encourages other firmsto enter
Additional entry reduces market power of firms: if price at one firm istoo high, consumers will buy at other firms.
Demand for each firm becomes more and more elastic
As more firms enter market, price is driven down to costs. Firmsmake zero profit.
Industry life cycle: firms must keep innovating to survive.
Schumpeter: monopoly profits provide an incentive for innovation andtechnological change (“process of creative destruction”)Pharmaceuticals, gaming, apps.
EC 105. Industrial Organization ( Matt Shum HSS, California Institute of Technology)Lecture 2: Market Structure Part I (Perfect Competition and Monopoly) 21 / 23
Perfect competition
Measuring Market Power
Recall definition of market power: ability to profitably charge a price aboveperfectly competitive levels. How to measure?
Market share. Small firms can’t have any market power. Not true:makers of “niche products” (ie. Apple Mac) may have a lot of marketpower!
Availability of substitutes to monopolist’s product: but perhaps(possibly cost-inefficient) substitutes only available when monopolistcharges p > MC . Cellophane fallacy −→ availability of substitutesis sign of market power!
“monopoly umbrella”
Direct measure of market power is given by estimates of demandelasticities, which are inversely related to profit-maximizing price-costmargin.
Estimate demand elasticities from market data: importance ofeconometrics, statistics, machine learning
EC 105. Industrial Organization ( Matt Shum HSS, California Institute of Technology)Lecture 2: Market Structure Part I (Perfect Competition and Monopoly) 22 / 23
Perfect competition
Summary
1 Perfect competition
Individual firm takes prices as given in making output decisionsShutdown decisions: long run vs. short runIndustry equilibrium: in long-run p = MC (q) = minqAC (q)
2 Monopoly
Firm has power to set both quantity and priceTradeoff between higher demand but lower per-unit pricesMR(q∗) = MC (q∗); inverse-elasticity pricing property
EC 105. Industrial Organization ( Matt Shum HSS, California Institute of Technology)Lecture 2: Market Structure Part I (Perfect Competition and Monopoly) 23 / 23