2013 rental market study anne ray july 31, 2013. 2013 rental market study affordable housing needs...
TRANSCRIPT
2013 Rental Market Study
Affordable Housing Needs
Homeless Families & Individuals
Special Needs* Preservation, Public
Housing & Tenant Characteristics*
Farmworkers Fishing Workers
* New in 2013
Affordable housing needs are increasing
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census and 2005 and 2011 American Community Survey
Low Income (<60% AMI), Cost Burdened (>40%) Renters, 2005-2011
411,008
553,035
710,790
-
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
800,000
2000 2005 2011
More households are renting
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 and 2011 American Community Survey
Changes in Florida Households, 2005-2011
1%
-3%
10%
29%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
All Households Owners Renters Low-Income CostBurdened Renters
Rents are up, incomes are down
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census and 2005 and 2011 American Community Survey
Real Median Gross Rent and Median Renter Income (2011 $), Florida, 2000-2011
$25,000
$26,000
$27,000
$28,000
$29,000
$30,000
$31,000
$32,000
$33,000
$34,000
$35,000
$700
$750
$800
$850
$900
$950
$1,000
2000 2005 2011
Median Gross Rent
Median Renter Income
ELI hardest hit; cost burden more common for others too
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census and 2005 and 2011 American Community Survey
Number of Households Paying More than 40 Percent of Income for Rent, Florida, 2000-2011
County, demographic analysis
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2009-2011 American Community Survey; University of Florida Bureau of Economic and Business Research, 2012 Population Projections
Low-Income (≤60% AMI), Cost Burdened (>40%) Renter Households by County in Florida, 2013 59% of cost
burdened households in large counties, 37% medium, 4% small
Most (61%) 1-2 person households
212,797 age 55+ (30%), including 63,257 age 75+ (9%)
Affordable/AvailableNumber of Affordable Units, Affordable/Available Units, and Renter Households by Income, Florida, 2009-2011
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2009-2011 American Community Survey
Affordable/AvailableAffordable/Available Housing Units per 100 Renter Households at 0-30% AMI, Modified MSA and Non-Metropolitan Areas, 2009-2011
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2009-2011 American Community Survey
Affordable/AvailableAffordable/Available Housing Units per 100 Renter Households at 0-40% AMI, Modified MSA and Non-Metropolitan Areas, 2009-2011
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2009-2011 American Community Survey
Affordable/AvailableAffordable/Available Housing Units per 100 Renter Households at 0-50% AMI, Modified MSA and Non-Metropolitan Areas, 2009-2011
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2009-2011 American Community Survey
Affordable/AvailableAffordable/Available Housing Units per 100 Renter Households at 0-60% AMI, Modified MSA and Non-Metropolitan Areas, 2009-2011
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2009-2011 American Community Survey
Homelessness: Results Summary
Demand Individuals: 42,476
36,771 from PIT 5,705 from DOE
Families: 31,148 6,333 from PIT 24,815 from DOE
Supply (HIC + AHI) Individuals:15,503 beds Families: 4,124 units
Homelessness: Estimating Demand & Supply
Demand
Point in Time: Shelters,
Unsheltered
Individuals: Single Adults, Married Adults, Unaccompanied Youth, Child
Siblings, Teen Parents w/children
Family Households: Adults w/children
Dept. of Education: Hotels/Motels, Doubled Up
Supply
Housing Inventory
Count
Transitional Housing
Permanent Supportive
Housing
Assisted Housing Inventory
Individual Beds Family Units
Florida Department of Education data
Select only doubled up (B), hotels/motels (E)
Divide into children with family (86%) and unaccompanied (11%) based on statewide counts
Convert children with family into households using 1.86 children/family (natl. statistic)
Aggregate counties to Continuum of Care regions
Level of Effort
LOE = Number of permanent supportive housing units/beds divided by number of individuals or families
Individuals Statewide LOE = 0.19 (i.e., 19 permanent supportive
housing beds for every 100 homeless individuals)
CoC regions range from 0.01 to 0.35
Families Statewide LOE = 0.07 (7 permanent supportive housing
units for every 100 families
CoC regions range from 0 to 0.43
Special Needs Definition An adult person requiring
independent living services in order to maintain housing or develop independent living skills and who has a disabling condition;
A young adult formerly in foster care who is eligible for services under s. 409.1451(5);
A survivor of domestic violence as defined in s. 741.28;
Or a person receiving benefits under the Social Security Disability Insurance (SSDI) program or the Supplemental Security Income (SSI) program or from veterans’ disability benefits.
Section 420.0004 (13), Florida Statutes
Special Needs: Defining for Rental Market Study
Disability/benefits definition:
Age 18-64, with a disability, receiving Social Security (proxy for SSDI);
Age 18+, with a disability, receiving SSI; Age 18+, with a VA service-related disability rating
of 10 percent or more. 93,438 low-income, cost burdened renter
households meeting this definition (ACS)
Special Needs: Recipients of State Services
Survivors of domestic violence
8,419 households using emergency shelter (DCF) Youth aging out of foster care
5,052 eligible for RTI (DCF)
Special Needs
Core estimate
93,438 + 8,419 + 5,052 = 101,857 14% of statewide total of 737,435 low-income,
cost burdened renter households
Special Needs
Other estimates 24,073 persons in group quarters with same disability/benefits
definition 7,750 persons with severe mental illness, 7,929 with chronic
substance abuse in homeless PIT count 42,186 low income, cost burdened renters with severe
disabilities but no benefits 36,709 low income, cost burdened, owner occupied households
with adult child with severe disabilities State service recipients
51,116 adults with developmental disabilities 23,657 persons age 65+ in Long Term Care Community Diversion
Pilot 30,936 persons receiving Aging and Disabled Adult Medicaid waivers 165,078 adults receiving services for severe and persistent mental
illness
Thinking about 2016
Can Department of Education data identify younger children, family groupings?
Continued outreach re: HUD definition and PIT methods
County-level counts and inventories
Improving count of unaccompanied youth: The Youth Count! Study (http://www.urban.org/UploadedPDF/412872-youth-count-process-study.pdf)
Rental Market Study links
Homelessness report: http://www.shimberg.ufl.edu/publications/Homeless_RMS.pdf
All reports available at http://www.shimberg.ufl.edu/publications3.html
Contact Anne Ray, 352-273-1195, [email protected]