20120507 rec bankability adb - mdaly - 05jun12

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  • 7/31/2019 20120507 REC Bankability ADB - Mdaly - 05Jun12

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    RENEWABLE ENERGY CORPORATION

    Selecting RECfor Financial Return

    Matt Daly, General Manager

    May 2012

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    3 2011 REC All rights reserved. Confidential

    About REC

    Founded in Norway in 1996, REC is a leading

    vertically integrated solar energy companyand employs more than 3,200 peopleworldwide

    REC produces polysilicon, wafers, cells andmodules for the solar industry, and siliconmaterials for the semiconductor andelectronics industry

    REC is also engaged in project developmentactivities in selected PV segments

    2011 revenues close to USD $2.4 billion

    REC is listed on the Oslo Stock Exchangeunder the ticker: REC

    Over 200 patents pending or granted

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    4 2011 REC All rights reserved. Confidential

    Agenda

    Maximizing The Income Stream

    Reducing Capital Expenditure

    Risk Mitigation

    Export Credit Financing

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    5 2011 REC All rights reserved. Confidential

    Major contributing factors to PV project returns

    IRR

    COST OF FINANCE

    - Interest rate- Term of loan

    - Loan guarantor

    - Timing of repayments

    MAXIMISE REVENUE STREAM

    - High yielding equipment

    - Optimised design

    - Ongoing maintenance

    - Minimising degradation rates

    REDUCE COSTS

    - Reduce capital expenditureof equipment

    - Maximise performance ratiovia equipment and design

    - Efficient systems to limitoperating expenditure

    - Incentives and subsidies

    MITIGATION OF RISK

    - Securing PPA

    - Technology selection

    - System durability

    - Service & support

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    6 2011 REC All rights reserved. Confidential

    Major contributing factors to PV project returns

    IRR

    COST OF FINANCE

    - Interest rate- Term of loan

    - Loan guarantor

    - Timing of repayments

    MAXIMISE REVENUE STREAM

    - High yielding equipment

    - Optimised design

    - Ongoing maintenance

    - Minimising degradation rates

    REDUCE COSTS

    - Reduce capital expenditureof equipment

    - Maximise performance ratiovia equipment and design

    - Efficient systems to limitoperating expenditure

    - Incentives and subsidies

    MITIGATION OF RISK

    - Securing PPA

    - Technology selection

    - System durability

    - Service & support

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    REC panels installed in a power plant in Alicante, Spain.System size of 8 MW, powering 4 896 households

    RIGHT HERE IN ALICANTE

    Maximizing The

    Income Stream

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    Average irradiance levels in APAC 300-600W/m2

    The majority of Asia has average irradiance levels under 600W/m2 between

    sunrise and sunset

    If you are not sure of the low-light efficiency levels of a module, ask themanufacturer

    A performance simulation used to underpin project finance should take thisfactor into account

    Al-BSF + Al Sydney 408 W/m2

    Dehli 500 W/m2Tokyo 320 W/m2

    Manila 346 W/m2

    Beijing 320 W/m2

    Bangkok 403 W/m2

    Jakarta 370 W/m2

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    2011: REC ranks as #1 in YEILD, kWh/kWp

    Photon test 2011: most recognized test comparing module brands under reallife conditions, over several years

    Generated more electricity than all its 45 competitors,6% more than test average

    Average irradiance in this region is approx 230W/m2

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    Module part load efficiency is extremely important

    Al-BSF + Al

    Every module will have a different efficiency curve

    REC maintains high performance through all levels of irradiance

    Source: REC efficiencies generated from TUV Rheinland test reports, Tier-1 and Poor-Si irradiation numbers havebeen recreated form electrical data using the one-diode model

    80%

    82%

    84%

    86%

    88%

    90%

    92%

    94%

    96%

    98%

    100%

    102%

    0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000

    RelativeEfficiency (%)

    Irradiance (W/m2)

    REC Tier 1 -Si Poor Si

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    Average irradiance levels highlight the STC deficiency

    Al-BSF + Al

    The STC nominal power rating is not the best indicator of expected performance

    To make an appropriate assessment of a product special attention must be given to theefficiency level at the prevailing irradiance levels. Bangkok irradiance distribution showsthe importance of the curve

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    How yield impacts project return

    Al-BSF + Al

    Assumptions: Site location in Perth, Australia with a Base yield of 1650kWh/m2/yr, Debt:Equity ratio of 70/30,

    WACC of 11%, FiT of US$0.11/kWh and a CAPEX of US$2.70/W

    Increases in yield can accelerate the project IRR in a non-linear fashion

    Not all PV modules are made the same! They are NOT a commodity!

    Project developers pay premium prices for higher yielding higher quality modules frombankable companies that have a proven strong warranty.

    There are inherent technical features of REC modules that enable higher yieldgeneration throughout the modules life

    -10%

    -7%

    -3%

    0%

    5%

    8%

    11%

    -15%

    -10%

    -5%

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    -10% -5% 0% 5% 10%

    IRR

    Yield

    Change In Yield

    Linear Reference

    8%

    6%

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    REC is reducing module cost AND improving performance

    2012 cost reductions;

    Increased cell & module efficiency

    Improved sourcing of materials

    Improved operational performance, debottleneckingand higher equipment availability

    Reduced fixed costs and economies of scale insupport functions

    2012 Product Improvements;

    -0.43%/C to -0.40%/C;

    NOCT reduced from 47.9C to 45.7C;

    PTC:STC ratio > 91.3%;

    STC values have 3% tolerance reducingmismatch losses between modules;

    RPS/RSS: CLAIMS: < 30PPM

    -15%

    Q412Q112

    -39%

    Q310

    Module Cash Cost Reductions

    target

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    REC Silicon

    Volume Increase ~30kMT Best Cost Position Globally

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    15 2011 REC All rights reserved. Confidential

    Residential home with 61 REC solar panels installed in Monterey, California.Annual capacity: 19 435 kWh 13.1 tons of CO2 saved annuallyRIGHT HERE IN CALIFORNIA

    Reducing CapitalExpenditure

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    16 2011 REC All rights reserved. Confidential

    How a module can reduce capital expenditure

    Reducing system cost is more involved than simply

    reducing the cost price of the module ($/W)

    Modules can influence the developed cost in thefollowing ways:

    Increasing efficiency reduces land and mounting structurecosts

    Increased reverse current rating reduces the amount offusing

    A high maximum system voltage that minimises the amountof strings and protection devices

    Cable length that minimises additional string cables

    Innovative frame design that allows for rapid installation rates

    Equipment accessories that streamline the installationprocess

    Packaging that reduces waste or simplifies transportation

    By-pass diodes used to minimise yield loss from shading

    Antireflection coatings to maximise sunlight transmission

    Availability to finance via ECA

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    17 2011 REC All rights reserved. Confidential

    REC production plant, Tuas, SingaporeRIGHT HERE AT REC

    Risk Mitigation for the

    Revenue Stream

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    18 2011 REC All rights reserved. Confidential

    Durability tests to gain comfort in long-term performance

    Most PV modules are warranted for a period of 25

    years but few have been in the field for that time. Thosethat have are a vastly constitution than they were

    How REC guarantees the lifetime of their product:

    Highly automated production facility

    Complete quality control (machine, man, method & material)

    ISO 9001, ISO14001 & OHSAS18001 Certified in Singapore Optional loading up to 5400Pa under IEC61215 (551kg/m2)

    TUV Salt Mist Corrosion - Severity 6

    TUV Ammonia Corrosion

    Extended qualification beyond IEC (DHT, TC, HF)

    Combined cycle testing

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    19 2011 REC All rights reserved. Confidential

    Industry leading linear warranty for REC modules

    Module bankability is key criteria for solar

    REC holds a strong reputation with banksin our active markets

    25 year linear performance warranty

    10 year product warranty

    Maximum degradation rate of 0.7%

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    20 2011 REC All rights reserved. Confidential

    EXPORT CREDIT: Who is GIEK?

    31 March 2012: Norways Sovereign Wealth Funds total value is

    USD$613 bn, holding 1% of global equity markets.

    GIEK is the Norwegian ECA (Export Credit Agency);

    Guarantees for Norwegian exporters on behalf of the NorwegianGovernment

    Buyer credit (export credit)

    Supplier credit guarantees

    Bond guarantees

    Investment guarantees

    GIEKs general guarantee framework EUR 15.5 bnGIEK manages a portfolio of around EUR 10 bn (80% in the offshore

    and maritime sectors)

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    21 2011 REC All rights reserved. Confidential

    What are Commercial and Political Risks

    Commercial risk:

    Loss due to debtor becoming insolvent / going bankrupt

    GIEK covers up to 70 90%

    Political risk:

    Loss due to conditions in the importing country:Confiscation, expropriation, nationalization, war or other

    agitation

    GIEK covers up to 95 100 %

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    RENEWABLE ENERGY CORPORATION

    THANK YOU

    The content of this presentation is strictly confidential. REC is the exclusive owner or licensee of the content, material, and information in this presentation. Any reproduction, publication or reprint, in whole or in part,is strictly prohibited. The information in this presentation may not be accurate, complete or up to date, and is provided without warranties or representations of any kind, either express or implied. REC, as well as its

    directors, officers and employees, shall not be responsible for and disclaims any liability for any loss or damages, including without limitation, direct, indirect, incidental, consequential and special damages, alleged tohave been caused by or in connection with using and/or relying on the information contained in this presentation.

    REC is the exclusive owner or licensee of the content, material, and information in this presentation. Any reproduction, publication or reprint, in whole or in part, is strictly prohibited. The information in thispresentation may not be accurate, complete or up to date, and is provided without warranties or representations of any k ind, either express or implied. REC, as well as its directors, officers and employees, shall not

    be responsible for and disclaims any liability for any loss or damages, including without limitation, direct, indirect, incidental, consequential and special damages, alleged to have been caused by or in connection withusing and/or relying on the information contained in this presentation.

    THANK YOU!Matt DalyGeneral [email protected]

    More Energy per M

    Robust andDurable Design

    Easy to Install

    Energy PaybackTime of One Year

    Optimized for allSunlight Conditions

    The 5 Unique Selling Points of REC Modules

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    23 2011 REC All rights reserved. Confidential

    REC has a strong track record of proven performance

    Pandit Deendayal Petroleum University in Gujarat, India

    (7.61% Above Expectations)

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    REC has a strong track record of proven performance

    81.980.5

    85.791.8

    83.784.0

    Freiburg582kW

    Italy5.7MW

    France5MW

    Yield report

    Actual

    Actual Performance Ratio* Examples (%)

    * The performance ratio (PR) describes the relationship between the actual and theoretical energy outputs of the PV plant. Low

    conversion losses (glass reflection, temperature losses, transformer losses ...) are leading to a high PR.