2012 international tourism results and prospects for...
TRANSCRIPT
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2012 International Tourism Results and Prospects for 2013
UNWTO News Conference HQ, Madrid, Spain29 January 2013
John G.C. KesterProgramme Manager, Tourism
Trends and Marketing Strategies
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2012: one billion international arrivals in one year for the first time
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2012: one billion international arrivals in one year for the first time
1,035,000,000international tourists(overnight visitors)
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Inbound tourism: World
International tourist arrivals, 1995-2012* (million)
530563 589 605 627
678 678 698 689
760805
851911 929
894
1,035 mn952
996
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012*
International tourist arrivals (million)
Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)
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International Tourist Arrivals, monthly evolution World (% change)
Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) ©
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012*
International tourism maintains strength
+2.1% -3.8% +6.5% +4.7% +3.8%
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International Tourist Arrivals, monthly evolution World (million)
Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) ©
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
20082009201020112012*
International tourism maintains strength
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International Tourist Arrivals (% change over same period of the previous year)
Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) ©
2
4
10
7
4
10
1
12
3 34
9
-9
4
-7
0
3
8
2
6
9
4 43
4
6
4
9
5
-5
4.73.8
-12
-10
-8
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
WorldNorth
ern Euro
peWest
ern Euro
pe
Central/
Eastern
Europe
Souther
n/Medi
ter. Eu.
North-East
AsiaSout
h-East
Asia
Oceania
South A
siaNorth
America
Caribbea
nCent
ral Americ
aSout
h Americ
aNorth
Africa
Subsaha
ran Afric
aMidd
le East
11/10 12*/11
2012: positive growth in all regions except ME
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World Inbound Tourism: International Tourist Arrivals, 2012 (million)
Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) ©
Europe, 535 mn, 51%
Africa, 52 mn, 5%
Middle East, 53 mn, 5%
Americas, 162 mn, 16%
Asia and the Pacific, 233 mn,
23%
Absolute numbers 2012 by region
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International Tourist Arrivals (absolute change 2012, million)
Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) ©
1715
63
-3-5
0
5
10
15
20
Europe Asia and thePacific
Americas Africa Middle East
Increase 2012 by region
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International Tourism Arrivals and Receipts, World
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
'90/89
'91/90
'92/91
'93/92
'94/93
'95/94
'96/95
'97/96
'98/97
'99/98
'00/99
'01/00
'02/01
'03/02
'04/03
'05/04
'06/05
'07/06
'08/07
'09/08
'10/09
'11/10
12*/1
1%
cha
nge
over
pre
viou
s ye
ar
International tourist arrivalsInternational tourism receipts (local currencies, constant prices)
growth in receipts follows growth in arrivals closelyAsian financial and economic crisis: receipts grew slower
11S, SARS, economic downturn:receipts more affected
‘Great recession’: receipts more affected and slower to recover
Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)
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International Tourism Receipts (% change of same period year before, local currencies current prices)
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
United S
tates
Spain
France
China
ItalyGerm
any
United K
ingdom
Australi
a
Hong Kong
(Chin
a)Thai
land
Turkey
Austria
Malaysi
aSing
apore
Switzerlan
dInd
iaCanadaGree
ceNeth
erlands
Sweden
Republic
of Kore
aMexi
coBelg
ium
Russian
Federati
on
2011 2012*
International tourism receipts in major destinations confirm trend in volume
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International Tourism Expenditure (% change over same period year before, local currencies current
prices)
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
Germany
United S
tatesChin
a
United K
ingdom
France
Canada
Russian F
ederati
on Italy
Japan
Australi
aBelg
iumBraz
ilSing
apore
Netherla
nds
Republic
of Kore
a
Hong Kong (C
hina)
Spain
Saudi Arab
iaNorw
aySwede
nSwitze
rland
India
Malaysia
2011 2012*
International tourism expenditurein major outbound markets
BR I
C
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Outlook
www.unwto.org/facts
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UNWTO Panel of Tourism Experts: World
Better
Equal
Worse
Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) ©
150 144 140 137 132
71
131 139122 124119
144 140 136 143
98
72
140127 121
25
50
75
100
125
150
175
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Prospects (before)Evaluation (after)
Confidence weakening but still positive
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Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)
International tourist arrivals
5.9 5.77.0
2.1
-3.8
6.5
4.73.8
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013*
Forecast 2013: 3% to 4%
Outlook: World ch
ange
(%)
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2012 Projection 2013
World +3.8% +3% to +4%
Europe +3.4% +2% to +3%
Asia and the Pacific +6.8% +5% to +6%
Americas +3.7% +3% to +4%
Africa +6.0% +4% to +6%
Middle East -4.9% +0% to +5%
International tourism: projection full year 2013
Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)
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Thank you very much for your attention!
John G.C. KesterProgramme Manager,
Tourism Trends and Marketing Strategies
World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)
www.unwto.org