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2013 Market Outlook to Support Crop Insurance Purchase Decisions March 4, 2013 Roger Betz Senior District Extension Farm Management Agent

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Page 1: 2012 Crop Insurance Decisions - College of Agriculture ... · Todays Topics . Dec ‘13 Corn Futures Probabilities. ... 2011/12 75.0 73.8 41.9 215 3 094 3,325 1 ,703 1,362 3,155 2012/13

2013 Market Outlook to Support Crop Insurance Purchase Decisions

March 4, 2013

Roger Betz

Senior District Extension Farm Management Agent

Page 2: 2012 Crop Insurance Decisions - College of Agriculture ... · Todays Topics . Dec ‘13 Corn Futures Probabilities. ... 2011/12 75.0 73.8 41.9 215 3 094 3,325 1 ,703 1,362 3,155 2012/13

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Corn & Soybean Price Outlook

Integrate information from several sources including Dan O’Brien @ Kansas State Univerity, Pete Riley @ USDA, and Projections Implied by Current Futures Market

Includes thoughtful scenario development to price prospects, particularly by O’Brien, based on potential crop size.

Captures differences in trend yield projections across analysts

Todays Topics

Page 3: 2012 Crop Insurance Decisions - College of Agriculture ... · Todays Topics . Dec ‘13 Corn Futures Probabilities. ... 2011/12 75.0 73.8 41.9 215 3 094 3,325 1 ,703 1,362 3,155 2012/13

Page 4: 2012 Crop Insurance Decisions - College of Agriculture ... · Todays Topics . Dec ‘13 Corn Futures Probabilities. ... 2011/12 75.0 73.8 41.9 215 3 094 3,325 1 ,703 1,362 3,155 2012/13

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Page 10: 2012 Crop Insurance Decisions - College of Agriculture ... · Todays Topics . Dec ‘13 Corn Futures Probabilities. ... 2011/12 75.0 73.8 41.9 215 3 094 3,325 1 ,703 1,362 3,155 2012/13

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Dec ‘13 Corn Futures Probabilities

Page 41: 2012 Crop Insurance Decisions - College of Agriculture ... · Todays Topics . Dec ‘13 Corn Futures Probabilities. ... 2011/12 75.0 73.8 41.9 215 3 094 3,325 1 ,703 1,362 3,155 2012/13

Page 42: 2012 Crop Insurance Decisions - College of Agriculture ... · Todays Topics . Dec ‘13 Corn Futures Probabilities. ... 2011/12 75.0 73.8 41.9 215 3 094 3,325 1 ,703 1,362 3,155 2012/13

Nov 13 Soybean Futures

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What Questions Do You Have?

Email: [email protected]

Roger Betz

Sr. Dist. Extension Farm Management

315 West Green Street

Marshall MI 49068

Fax 269 781 0768

Program Support: Janice Wright (269) 781-0780

MSU Farm Management and Outlook WWW site

(new) http://firm.msue.msu.edu

mailto:[email protected]

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