2008 emissions inventory for the municipality of juárez, chihuahua, mexico january 23, 2014...
TRANSCRIPT
2008 Emissions Inventory for the Municipality of Juárez,
Chihuahua, Mexico
January 23, 2014Presented by Marty Wolf, ERG
Meeting of the Joint Advisory Committee for the Improvement of Air Quality – Paso Del Norte
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Inventory Objective & Scope
Objective – Develop 2008 base year emissions inventory for ozone modeling
Scope– Pollutants – NOx, SO2, VOC, CO, PM10, and PM2.5
– Source types – point, area, on-road motor vehicle, nonroad mobile, biogenic
– Inventory domain – municipality of Juárez– Annual resolution – annual (tpy)– Spatial resolution – municipality-level
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Source Types
Point sources – federal and state jurisdiction sources
Area sources – fuel combustion, evaporative, fires, miscellaneous
On-road motor vehicles Nonroad mobile sources – aircraft,
locomotives, and construction and agricultural equipment
Biogenic sources – vegetation VOC and soil NOx
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Inventory Objective - Contractors
Objective – Work with Mexico-based contractors– ERG – lead technical contractor– UT – project prime contractor– Juárez-based subcontractors (TransEngineering,
ITCJ, Arturo Woocay Consulting, Mares Vazquez Consulting)
Accurate “on the ground” data collection and verification
Develops skills and capacity for future emission inventories
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Inventory Development
Phase I – completed August 2011– Area sources– On-road motor vehicles– Nonroad mobile sources– Biogenic sources
Phase II – completed June 2013– Point sources
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Point Sources
Based upon 2008 Mexico NEI Focus on QA of reported emissions Emissions provided for 182 sources – 89
federal, 87 state, 6 duplicate Emissions primarily from federal
jurisdiction sources, except for VOC Largest sectors – electricity and
cement/lime Secondary sectors – petroleum,
petrochemical, automotive, chemical
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Point Source – Spatial QA
Emphasis on ozone modeling – spatial location is important
Identified 45 facilities for field spatial check– 26 facilities with coordinates outside
municipality– 8 facilities with coordinates in residential areas– 11 facilities with significant emissions (i.e.,
“high emitters”) Field survey check conducted by Arturo
Woocay Consulting and Mares Vazquez Consulting
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Field Check Results – Before and After QA
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Point Source – Emissions QA
Fuel consumption – should have combustion pollutants
Solvent usage – should have VOC Total PM ≥ PM10 ≥ PM2.5
Industry type should match reported emissions– Gasoline terminals – VOC– Cement and concrete plants – PM10 and PM2.5
Facilities with similar fuel consumption should have similar emissions
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Area Sources
Local Data– Industry – natural gas and LPG suppliers,
PEMEX– Government – General Directorate of Public
Works, Fire Department, SAGARPA, U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, Junta Municipal de Agua y Saneamiento (JMAS)
Studies – San Luis Río Colorado, Sonora consumer
products survey study– Brick kiln study
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Area Sources – Results –NOx (tpy)
636
112
71
61
48
3429
90Industrial ResidualIndustrial LPGResidential LPGOpen Waste BurningIndustrial Distil-lateTransportation LPGBrick KilnsAll Other
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On-Road Motor Vehicles
General Methodology– Based on methodology initially developed for
1999 Mexico NEI– Road link/segment VKT developed using traffic
and congestion modeling– MOBILE6-Mexico emission factors developed
for each link/segment (by season, speed, ambient temperature)
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On-Road Motor Vehicles
Traffic and Congestion Modeling– Urban area of Juárez– Federal Highway 2 (towards state of Sonora)– Federal Highway 45 (towards city of
Chihuahua)– Road network, trip generation rates, and
demographic and socio-economic information
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On-Road Motor Vehicles – Road Network
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On-Road Motor Vehicles – Traffic Volumes
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On-Road Motor Vehicles – Results – NOx (tpy)
4,960
1,381
983
267 27 6 2
HDDVLDGTLDGVHDGVMCLDDTLDDV
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On-Road Motor Vehicles – Results – VOC (tpy)
3,794
2,875
560288 98 4
2
LDGVLDGTHDDVHDGVMCLDDTLDDV
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Nonroad Mobile Sources
Aircraft LTOs by airframe make and model – González International Airport
Locomotive fuel use – Ferromex Agricultural and construction equipment –
NONROAD-Mexico model
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Biogenic Sources
Biogenic sources – vegetation VOC and soil NOx
Estimated using GloBEIS model (Version 3.1) and Mexico-specific land use data set
Land use data from INEGI and IMIP Meteorological data from NCDC
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Overall Results – NOx
(tpy)
6,223
1,080
7,627
4,937
1,720
PointAreaOn-RoadNonroadBiogenics
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Overall Results – VOC (tpy)
2,574
24,895
7,621
5303,039
PointAreaOn-RoadNonroadBiogenics
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Summary of Results (tpy)
NA = not applicable; NE = not estimated
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Areas of Potential Improvement
Review of point source COAs Addition of PM10/PM2.5 sources – on-road
motor vehicles, paved/unpaved roads, windblown dust, construction dust
Migration from MOBILE6 to MOVES More frequent inventory updates
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Acknowledgements
TCEQ – Stephen Niemeyer, Ross Pumfrey, Victor Valenzuela, Gina Posada
UT – David Sullivan SEMARNAT – David Alejandro Parra
Romero, Hugo Landa Fonseca, Gerardo Tarin
Subcontractors – TransEngineering, ITCJ, Arturo Woocay, Jose Maria Mares
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Gracias por su atención
Questions or comments?
Marty WolfEastern Research Group, Inc. (ERG)Sacramento, [email protected]