2008 ams summer community meeting art degaetano director noaa northeast regional climate center...

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2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting Art DeGaetano Director NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center Dept. of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences Cornell University, Ithaca, NY 2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting What are Climate What are Climate Services and What Will Services and What Will They Look Like? They Look Like?

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Page 1: 2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting Art DeGaetano Director NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center Dept. of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences Cornell University,

2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting

Art DeGaetanoDirector NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center

Dept. of Earth and Atmospheric SciencesCornell University, Ithaca, NY

2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting

What are Climate Services and What are Climate Services and What Will They Look Like?What Will They Look Like?

Page 2: 2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting Art DeGaetano Director NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center Dept. of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences Cornell University,

2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting

CLIMATE SERVICES MUSTBE ROOTED IN USERS

DATA ARE AT THE CORE OF CLIMATE SERVICES

CLIMATE SERVICES BRANCH TO REGIONAL AND LOCAL LEVELS

PRODUCTS AND TOOLS ARE THE FRUITS OF CLIMATE SERVICES

Page 3: 2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting Art DeGaetano Director NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center Dept. of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences Cornell University,

2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting

Growing the Climate Services tree requires a team ….

Particularly if it is to bear high-quality fruit

Page 4: 2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting Art DeGaetano Director NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center Dept. of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences Cornell University,

2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting

The way a team plays as a whole determines its success.  You may have the greatest bunch of individual stars in the world, but if they don't play together, the club won't be worth a dime. 

~Babe Ruth

Page 5: 2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting Art DeGaetano Director NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center Dept. of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences Cornell University,

2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting

Users…The RootsUsers…The Roots

• “Big Industry”• Agribusiness, Investment Banking, Insurance, etc.

• Consultants• Agricultural, Meteorological, Engineering, etc.

• Media• The Weather Channel, local stations, press, etc

• “User groups”• NY Grape Foundation, ASHRAE, NE Nordic Ski Assoc, etc.

• Government• Federal, State, Local, International

• Others

Page 6: 2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting Art DeGaetano Director NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center Dept. of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences Cornell University,

2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting

It’s 10:00.

Do you know

where your

users are?

Page 7: 2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting Art DeGaetano Director NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center Dept. of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences Cornell University,

2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting

Data … The TrunkData … The Trunk

• Data are at the Core of Climate Service• Encompass all temporal scales

• Historical, real time, “weather” forecast, seasonal forecast, projection

• Variety of spatial scales• Section 3 of vineyard 2 through global

• Quality,Quality, Quality• Consistency

• Must speak with one voice• Federal versus state/private

Page 8: 2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting Art DeGaetano Director NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center Dept. of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences Cornell University,

2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting

Collecting and providing timely, high-quality data should one of the roles of the federal government

Page 9: 2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting Art DeGaetano Director NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center Dept. of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences Cornell University,

2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting

Bringing Climate Services to the Bringing Climate Services to the Local level….The BranchesLocal level….The Branches

• Numerous players• Federal: RCCs, RISAs, NCDC, NWS, CPC,etc.• State: AASC, Cooperative Extension, Sea Grant• Private Industry

• TRUST• Data to Products and Tools

• These are the fruit and leaves that the branches bear

Page 10: 2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting Art DeGaetano Director NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center Dept. of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences Cornell University,

2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting

Among NOAA’s team roles at the regional and local level is to be the coach.

The other players fill unique roles

Page 11: 2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting Art DeGaetano Director NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center Dept. of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences Cornell University,

2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting

NOAA Regional Climate NOAA Regional Climate CentersCenters

Regional HUBSHUBS for user-centric climate services; provision of synchronized and integrated data resources;development of climate tools; applications research; and education that provide a regional focus to addressing societal needs.

Page 12: 2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting Art DeGaetano Director NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center Dept. of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences Cornell University,

2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting

• Contractual obligations

data systems, user service and monitoring

• Near-real time relational database system,

web-based information resources.

• Infrastructure capabilities grow from user and partner

interests and needs.

• Efficiency and robustness, yet able to be nimble• Program versus individual centers

• Leverage infrastructure to support applied research

RCC FunctionsRCC Functions

Page 13: 2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting Art DeGaetano Director NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center Dept. of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences Cornell University,

2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting

ARSCOARSCO

To satisfy the current and growng needs for climate services, climatological expertise must be readily available at the LOCAL LOCAL LEVELLEVEL. ARSCOs have the best understanding of the climate of their state, and the ability and knowledge to provide climate information to users.

Page 14: 2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting Art DeGaetano Director NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center Dept. of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences Cornell University,

2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting

ARSCOsARSCOs• Infrastructure

– connect to data archives at NCDC, RCCs. – Multiple dissemination pathways,websites

• Services– provide data and information to users, both printed and on-line

• Research– relationships between climate and human activities that impact their state

• Outreach– evaluate the needs of users as required. Educate state citizens people of their states

on current and emerging climate issues • Awareness

– promote its program as well as regional and national programs • Media Contacts

– cultivate print and broadcast media contacts

• Monitoring and Impact Assessments– monitor current climate conditions, evaluate potential future impacts and place events in historical perspective

Page 15: 2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting Art DeGaetano Director NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center Dept. of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences Cornell University,

2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting

Regional Integrated Sciences and Regional Integrated Sciences and AssessmentsAssessments

RISAs support RESEARCHRESEARCH that addresses complex climate sensitive issues of concern to decision-makers and policy planners at regional levels.

Page 16: 2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting Art DeGaetano Director NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center Dept. of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences Cornell University,

2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting

RISA ExpertiseRISA Expertise

Page 17: 2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting Art DeGaetano Director NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center Dept. of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences Cornell University,

2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting

Government PartnersGovernment Partners• NOAA

– Local/Regional Forecast Offices– NEDIS, NWS OAR, CPC, GFDL etc.

• Other Federal Agencies– USDA, BLM, NPS, etc.

• NASA, NSF– Data, research dollars, models etc.

• National Drought Mitigation Center• State Government

Page 18: 2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting Art DeGaetano Director NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center Dept. of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences Cornell University,

2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting

Gettin' good players is easy. Gettin' 'em to play together is the hard part. ~Casey Stengel

Page 19: 2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting Art DeGaetano Director NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center Dept. of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences Cornell University,

2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting

Our collective vision for National Climate Services should build on

existing partnerships. Our goal should be to excel in our positions, but to play as a part of the team.

Page 20: 2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting Art DeGaetano Director NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center Dept. of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences Cornell University,

2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting

Fire Season Stations in AZ from the Western RCC

Regional Data Network from the High Plains RCC

Partnering in DataPartnering in Data

Page 21: 2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting Art DeGaetano Director NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center Dept. of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences Cornell University,

2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting

Partnering with SCsPartnering with SCs

Hybrid Coop/CoCoRaHS PrecipMaps

Page 22: 2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting Art DeGaetano Director NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center Dept. of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences Cornell University,

2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting

• xmACIS (NWS Field Office Use)

• Applied Climate Information System• Data query tool for NWS local climate research/local product development, and to answer customer climate record inquiries• Complete historical climate database with near real-time update

Partnering with NWSPartnering with NWS

•NOWData (Public Use)

• Self-service tool• Subset of xmACIS• Free, limited access• Current year and Normals• Portal for ACIS and NCDC information

http://www.weather.gov/climate/xmacis.php?wfo=btv

Page 23: 2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting Art DeGaetano Director NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center Dept. of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences Cornell University,

2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting

• ThreadEx (Open Use)• Consistent daily temperature and

precipitation extremes

Partnering with Partnering with NWS/NCDC/Private IndustryNWS/NCDC/Private Industry

http://threadex.rcc-acis.org/

Likely to be a several different sites

Page 24: 2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting Art DeGaetano Director NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center Dept. of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences Cornell University,

2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting

• Datzilla (Partner Use)• Data discrepancy reporting• 400 registered NOAA users

Partnering with NWS/NCDCPartnering with NWS/NCDC

Page 25: 2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting Art DeGaetano Director NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center Dept. of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences Cornell University,

2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting

• WxCoder III (COOP Use) • Internet observation entry system

Partnering with NWS/NCDCPartnering with NWS/NCDC

Page 26: 2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting Art DeGaetano Director NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center Dept. of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences Cornell University,

2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting

Partnering with Federal AgenciesPartnering with Federal Agencies• AgACIS (Custom NRCS data and

products)

Page 27: 2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting Art DeGaetano Director NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center Dept. of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences Cornell University,

2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting

MapNavigationTools

GIS ToolsMetadata

Partners with RISAsPartners with RISAs

Page 28: 2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting Art DeGaetano Director NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center Dept. of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences Cornell University,

2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting

Partnering in Applied ResearchPartnering in Applied Research

Trend Identification in Twentieth-Century U.S. Snowfall: The Challenges Kenneth E. Kunkel, Michael A. Palecki, Kenneth G. Hubbard, David A. Robinson, Kelly T. Redmond, and David R. Easterling Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology

SERVICES: A Modern Applied Climate Information SystemKenneth G. Hubbard, Arthur T. DeGaetano, and Kevin D. Robbins Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

Winter Orographic Precipitation Ratios in the Sierra Nevada—Large-Scale Atmospheric Circulations and Hydrologic Consequences Michael Dettinger, Kelly Redmond, and Daniel Cayan Journal of Hydrometeorology

RISA - RCC

RCC – ARCSO - NCDC

RCC - RCC

Page 29: 2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting Art DeGaetano Director NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center Dept. of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences Cornell University,

2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting

Some thoughts for continued growth and improvement that may capture and nourish the ideas, energy, talent and commitment of the AMS ……

Page 30: 2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting Art DeGaetano Director NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center Dept. of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences Cornell University,

2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting

• Historical climate data essential but not sufficient• Past to present to future• Expand thinking beyond climate …. ecological, social and

economic data• Data encompass more than observations

• Quality, quantity, scale, uncertainty

• Climate to weather and back again• Decisions do not obey arbitrary time bounds

• Decision Support instead of raw values

Data will remain at the core Data will remain at the core of climate servicesof climate services

Page 31: 2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting Art DeGaetano Director NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center Dept. of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences Cornell University,

2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting

2007 01 01 53 36 44.5 0.082007 01 02 39 31 35 0.002007 01 03 49 35 42 0.002007 01 04 57 44 50.5 0.022007 01 05 57 50 53.5 0.952007 01 06 56 41 48.5 0.292007 01 07 43 32 37.5 0.132007 01 08 44 30 37 0.152007 01 09 34 28 31 0.052007 01 10 29 22 25.5 T

CLIMOD : Daily Data Month: Jan 2007

Day Max Min Avg Prec 15336 45 0.08

2 39 31 350.003 49 35 420.004 57 44 510.035 57 50 540.956 56 41 490.287 43 32 380.138 44 30 370.159 34 28 310.0510 29 21 250.02

Non-NOAA Web

DY MAX MIN AVG PPT ===================1 53 36 45 0.08 2 39 31 35 0.003 49 35 42 0.004 57 44 51 0.035 57 50 54 0.956 56 41 49 0.287 43 32 38 0.138 44 30 37 0.159 34 28 31 0.0510 29 21 25 0.02

NWS LCD

Enhanced integration and Enhanced integration and consistency among datasetsconsistency among datasets

Page 32: 2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting Art DeGaetano Director NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center Dept. of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences Cornell University,

2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting

ASOS

Enhanced integration of networksEnhanced integration of networks

Page 33: 2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting Art DeGaetano Director NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center Dept. of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences Cornell University,

2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting

add Coop

Enhanced integration of networksEnhanced integration of networks

Page 34: 2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting Art DeGaetano Director NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center Dept. of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences Cornell University,

2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting

Add MADIS

Enhanced integration of networksEnhanced integration of networks

Page 35: 2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting Art DeGaetano Director NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center Dept. of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences Cornell University,

2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting

• Build upon acquired stakeholder trust• Trust the team not a particular player

• Shared information, tools and solutions• Funding will continue to be at a premium

• Proactive, evolutionary approach• Grounded in tried and true methods

• Understand changing hazards, consequences, adaptations and assets

• challenges and opportunities

On the forefront of climate to On the forefront of climate to decision makingdecision making

Page 36: 2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting Art DeGaetano Director NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center Dept. of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences Cornell University,

2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting

Potential for expansion to go from climate to weather and back again!

Potential utility for climate change impact assessment on ground and estuary water quality

Page 37: 2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting Art DeGaetano Director NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center Dept. of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences Cornell University,

2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting

What are Climate Services and What are Climate Services and What Will They Look Like?What Will They Look Like?

• The Vail Principals• Promote variety of societal benefits /range of users• Address full range of time and space scales• Climate system information

– Integrate climate with societal challenges (climate lens)

• Problem based assessments for better decisions• Ensure accessibility of data/information• Active use engagement and interaction• Cascade of roles … National, agency, university, private

Page 38: 2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting Art DeGaetano Director NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center Dept. of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences Cornell University,

2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting

What are Climate Services and What are Climate Services and What Will They Look Like?What Will They Look Like?

QUESTIONS??