2000 chp 3 political economy and development

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    Chapter 3

    Political Economy and

    Economic Development

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    3-2

    What Determines A Countrys Level

    Of Economic Development?

    Gross national income (GNI) per personmeasures the total annual incomereceived by residents of a nation

    Japan, Sweden, Switzerland, and the U.S.have high GNI

    China and India have low GNI

    GNI can be misleading because it does

    not consider differences in the cost ofliving need to adjust GNI figures using purchasing

    power parity (PPP)

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    3-3

    How Do Countries

    Compare On GNI?Economic Data for Select Countries

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    3-4

    What Determines A Countrys Level

    Of Economic Development?

    Official figures can also be misleadingbecause they do not account for black-market economy transactions

    In addition, GNI and PPP data are staticand do not consider economic growthrates So, while China and India are currently

    categorized as being poor they are growingmore rapidly than many developed nationsand are expected to become among thelargest economies in the world

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    3-5

    How Do Countries

    Compare On Growth Rates?Economic Data for Select Countries

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    3-6

    What Determines A Countrys Level

    Of Economic Development?

    Nobel-prize winner Amartya Sen argueseconomic development should be seen as aprocess of expanding the real freedoms thatpeople experience

    the removal of major impediments to freedom likepoverty, tyranny, and neglect of public facilities

    the presence of basic health care and basiceducation

    Amartya Sen also claims that economicprogress requires the democratization ofpolitical communities to give citizens a voice

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    What Determines A Countrys Level

    Of Economic Development?

    The United Nations used Sens ideas to

    develop the Human Development Index

    (HDI) which is based on

    life expectancy at birth

    educational attainment

    whether average incomes are sufficient to

    meet the basic needs of life in a country

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    How Do Countries Compare on

    Economic Development?Economic Data for Select Countries

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    How Does Political Economy

    Influence Economic Progress? Innovation and entrepreneurship are the engines

    of long-run economic growth innovation includes new products, new processes,

    new organizations, new management practices, and

    new strategiesentrepreneurs commercialize innovative new products

    and processes

    Innovation and entrepreneurship help increaseeconomic activity by creating new markets and

    products that did not previously exist innovation in production and business processes

    result in more productive labor and capital furtherboosting economic growth rates

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    How Does Political Economy

    Influence Economic Progress?

    Innovation and entrepreneurship require amarket economy there is little incentive to develop new innovations in

    planned economies because the state owns all

    means production and therefore, the gains

    There is a strong relationship between economicfreedom and economic growth the six countries with the highest ratings of economic

    freedom from 1975 to 1995 were also among thehighest for economic growthHong Kong, Switzerland, Singapore, the United States,

    Canada, and Germany

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    How Does Political Economy

    Influence Economic Progress?

    Innovation and entrepreneurship require

    strong property rights

    without strong property rights, individuals and

    businesses risk having their innovations and

    potential profits stolen

    Economist Hernando de Soto claims that

    inadequate property protection in manydeveloping nations limits economic growth

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    How Does Political Economy

    Influence Economic Progress?

    Democratic regimes are probably more

    conducive to long-term economic growth than

    dictatorships, even the benevolent kind

    property rights are only secure in well-functioning,mature democracies

    Subsequent economic growth leads to the

    establishment of democratic regimes

    South Korea

    Taiwan

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    How Does Geography Influence

    Economic Development?Countries with favorable geography are more

    likely to engage in trade, and so, be more opento market-based economic systems, and theeconomic growth they promote

    Jeffrey Sachs studied economic growth ratesbetween 1965 and 1990 and found that landlocked countries grew more slowly than coastal

    economies

    being totally landlocked reduced a countrys growthrate by 0.7% per year

    tropical countries grew more slowly than countries intemperate zones

    d fl

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    How Does Education Influence

    Economic Development?

    Countries that invest in education have

    higher growth rates because the workforce

    is more productive

    countries in Southeast Asia have offset their

    geographical disadvantages by investing in

    education

    Indonesia, Malaysia, and Singapore

    H I Th P li i l

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    How Is The Political

    Economy Changing?

    Since the late 1980s, two trends haveemerged

    1. Democratic revolution (late 1980s and early

    1990s) democratically elected governments replacedtotalitarian regimes

    more committed to free market capitalism

    2. A move away from centrally planned andmixed economies more countries have shifted toward the market-

    based model

    H I Th P li i l

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    How Is The Political

    Economy Changing?

    Trend 1: Democracy has spread over the last

    two decades

    many totalitarian regimes failed to deliver economic

    progress to the vast bulk of their populations new information and communication technologies

    have broken down the ability of the state to control

    access to uncensored information

    economic advances of the last 25 years have led toincreasingly prosperous middle and working classes

    who have pushed for democratic reforms

    H I Th P li i l

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    How Is The Political

    Economy Changing?

    Author Francis Fukuyama argues that the new

    world order will be characterized by democratic

    regimes and free market capitalism

    But, political scientist Samuel Huntingtonargues that while many societies are

    modernizing they are not becoming more

    Western

    predicts a world split into different civilizations

    these civilizations will be in conflict with each

    other

    H I Th P li i l

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    How Is The Political

    Economy Changing?

    Trend 2: The spread of market-based

    systems

    more countries have moved away from

    centrally planned and mixed economiestoward the market-based model

    Command and mixed economies failed

    to deliver the sustained economic growthachieved in market-based countries

    Wh I Th N Of

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    What Is The Nature Of

    Economic Transformation?The shift toward a market-based system

    involves

    deregulation removing legal restrictions to

    the free play of markets, the establishment ofprivate enterprises, and the manner in whichprivate enterprises operate

    privatization -transfers the ownership of state

    property into the hands of private investorsthe creation of a legal system to safeguard

    property rights

    Wh D Th Ch i

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    What Does The Changing

    Economy Mean For Managers?Markets that were formerly off-limits to Western

    business are now open firms need to explore opportunities in these markets

    Despite being underdeveloped and poor, somemarkets have huge potentialChina -1.2 billion people

    India 1.1 billion people

    Latin America 400 million potential consumers

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    What Are The Implications Of Political

    Economy Differences For Managers?

    Countries with democratic regimes, market

    based economic policies, and strong property

    rights protection are more likely to have higher

    sustained rates of economic growth these markets are more attractive to international

    businesses

    the benefits, costs, and risks of doing business in a

    country are a function of the countrys political,economic, and legal systems

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    What Are The Implications Of Political

    Economy Differences For Managers?

    The benefits of doing business in a country are afunction of the markets size

    the purchasing power of its consumers

    their likely future wealthBy identifying and investing early in potential

    future economic stars, firms may be able to gainfirst mover advantages (advantages that accrue

    to early entrants into a market) and establishloyalty and experience in a countryChina

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    What Are The Implications Of Political

    Economy Differences For Managers?

    The costs of doing business in a countryare a function of itspolitical systemis it necessary to pay bribes to get market access?

    economic levelare the necessary supporting business and

    infrastructure in place?

    legal system

    it can be more costly to do business in countrieswith dramatically different product, workplace, andpollution standards, or where there is poor legalprotection for property rights

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    What Are The Implications Of Political

    Economy Differences For Managers?

    The risks of doing business in a country are afunction of Political risk - the likelihood that political forces will

    cause drastic changes in a country's business

    environment that adversely affects the profit andother goals of a business enterprise

    Economic risk - the likelihood that economicmismanagement will cause drastic changes in acountry's business environment that adverselyaffects the profit and other goals of a businessenterprise

    Legal risk - the likelihood that a trading partner willopportunisticallybreak a contract or expropriateproperty rights

    H C M D t i A

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    How Can Managers Determine A

    Markets Overall Attractiveness?Country Attractiveness