1q2016 results analyst briefing - listed company...25 may 2016 this presentation is not and does not...
TRANSCRIPT
1Q2016 RESULTS
ANALYST BRIEFING
25 May 2016
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This presentation has been prepared solely for use at this presentation. By your continued attendance at this presentation, you are deemed to have
agreed and confirmed to Telekom Malaysia Berhad (the “Company”) that: (a) you agree not to trade in any securities of the Company or its
respective affiliates until the public disclosure of the information contained herein; and (b) you agree to maintain absolute confidentiality regarding
the information disclosed in this presentation until the public disclosure of such information, or unless you have been otherwise notified by the
Company.
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This presentation contains projections and “forward-looking statements” relating to the Company’s business and the sectors in which the Company
operates. These forward-looking statements include statements relating to the Company’s performance. These statements reflect the current views
of the Company with respect to future events and are subject to certain risks, uncertainties and assumptions. It is important to note that actual
results could differ materially from those anticipated in these forward looking statements. The Company does not undertake to inform you of any
matters or information which may come to light or be brought to the Company’s attention after the date hereof.
The forecasts and other forward-looking statements set out in this presentation are based on a number of estimates and assumptions that are
subject to business, economic and competitive uncertainties and contingencies, with respect to future business decisions, which are subject to
change and in many cases outside the control of the Company. The directors and officers of the Company believe that they have prepared the
forecasts with due care and attention and consider all best estimates and assumptions when taken as a whole to be reasonable at the time of
preparing the presentation. However, the Company’s forecasts presented in this presentation may vary from actual financial results, and these
variations may be material and, accordingly, neither the Company nor its directors or officers can give any assurance that the forecast performance
in the forecasts or any forward-looking statement contained in this presentation will be achieved. Details of the forecasts and the assumptions on
which they are based are set out in the presentation.
This presentation may not be copied or otherwise reproduced without the written consent of TM.
Disclaimer
2
Performance Overview
Financial Review
Operating Highlights
Concluding Remarks
3
1Q2016 Highlights (1Q2016 vs. 1Q2015)
4Note: Unless stated otherwise all figures shall be inclusive of Webe
Revenue RM2.86bn(+2.9%)
Reported EBIT
Normalised EBIT
Reported PATAMI
Normalised PATAMI
RM279.9mn(+15.0%)
RM312.0mn(+26.9%)
RM322.4mn(+>100.0%)
RM195.4mn(+9.6%)
Financial Performance
Operational Performance
Positive growth in Internet & Others revenue- Higher subscriber base, customer projects and ICT-BPO revenue
Total broadband take-up continues to grow - now at 2.36mn customers:Streamyx : 1.487mn customersUnifi : 877,000 customers
4
Performance Overview
Financial Review
Operating Highlights
Concluding Remarks
5
Group Results 1Q2016
RM mn
Reported
1Q16 4Q15 % Change QoQ 1Q15 % Change YoY
Revenue 2,855.4 3,184.4 -10.3% 2,774.1 +2.9%
Other Operating Income 41.4 32.7 +26.6% 32.4 +27.8%
EBITDA 923.0 879.7 +4.9% 847.6 +8.9%
Depn & Amort. 643.1 620.5 +3.6% 604.2 +6.4%
EBIT 279.9 259.2 +8.0% 243.4 +15.0%
Other Gains / (Loss) 50.5 (24.7) +>100.0% (0.6) +>100.0%
Net Finance Cost* 47.7 41.0 +16.3% 35.0 +36.3%
FX Gain /(Loss) 104.5 24.6 +>100.0% (41.2) +>100.0%
Profit Before Tax (PBT) 393.2 224.6 +75.1% 172.1 +>100.0%
PATAMI 322.4 192.5 +67.5% 128.9 +>100.0%
Normalised PATAMI 195.4 259.7 -24.8% 178.3 +9.6%
Note: • Unless stated otherwise all figures shall be inclusive of Webe• For Normalised EBIT and Normalised PBT refer Slides 7 and 8• *Excludes FX (Gain)/Loss
6
Higher profitability YoY due to higher revenue and cost efficiencies
Normalised EBIT
RM mn 1Q16 4Q15 1Q15
Reported EBIT 279.9 259.2 243.4
Non Operational
Unrealised FX (Gain)/Loss on International trade settlement
31.9 12.8 2.3
Loss on Sale of Assets 0.2 0.2 0.2
MESRA Programme - 77.4 -
Normalised EBIT 312.0 349.6 245.9
Normalised EBIT Margin 10.8% 10.9% 8.8%
Reported EBIT Margin 9.7% 8.1% 8.7%
EBIT is calculated as Total Revenue (Operating Revenue + Oth. Operating Income) less Operating CostEBIT Margin is calculated as percentage of EBIT against Total RevenueNormalised EBIT Margin is calculated as percentage of Normalised EBIT against Normalised Total Revenue (Operating Revenue + Oth. Operating Income – Loss on Sale of Assets)
Note: • MESRA Programme: a voluntary separation programme for employees aged 55• Unless stated otherwise all figures stated shall be inclusive of Webe
Normalised EBIT higher by 26.9% YoY
7
Normalised PBT
RM mn 1Q16 4Q15 1Q15
Reported PBT 393.2 224.6 172.1
Non Operational
Unrealised FX (Gain)/Loss on International trade settlement
31.9 12.8 2.3
Other (Gain)/Losses* (50.3) 24.9 0.8
Unrealised FX (Gain)/Loss on Long Term loans (104.5) (24.5) 41.2
MESRA Programme - 77.4 -
Normalised PBT 270.3 315.2 216.4
* Comprise of fair value (FV) changes of FVTPL (FV through P&L) investment gain/loss on disposal for AFS (available for sale) investments and gain/loss on Sale of Assets
Normalised PBT higher by 24.9% YoY
8
Note: • MESRA Programme: a voluntary separation programme for employees aged 55• Unless stated otherwise all figures stated shall be inclusive of Webe
Total Cost / Revenue ( %)
1 Revenue = Operating Revenue + Other Operating Income
Note: The classification of cost is as per financial reporting
(Please refer to Appendix for breakdown)
Note : Unless stated otherwise all figures shall be inclusive of Webe
Cost % of Revenue1 YoY: lower cost % across several categories
91.3% 91.9%
RM2,563.1 RM2,957.9 RM2,616.9
90.3%
RM mn
21.5% 19.3% 22.2%
17.9% 19.1%18.8%
22.6% 21.8%21.4%
10.9% 11.6%11.7%
7.2% 6.6% 5.9%
6.0% 9.4% 6.0%3.2%
4.1%3.3%
2.0% 0.0%1.0%
Bad debt
Marketing expenses
Supplies & material
Maintenance cost
Other operating cost
Manpower cost
Direct cost
Dep & amortisation
9
1Q15 4Q15 1Q16
Group Capital Expenditure
Note : Unless stated otherwise all figures shall be inclusive of Webe 10
Capex / Revenue ( %)
11.1%
RM mn
Higher Capex in line with expansion of HSBB and SUBB footprint
9.3%
139 160
81 59
38
99
1Q15 1Q16
Access Core Network Support System
258
318
Capex/Revenue ratio at 11.1%
50% Access19% Core Network31% Support Systems
11
Group Cash Flow
RM mn 1Q16 1Q15
Cash & cash equivalent at start 3,510.8 2,975.0
Cashflows from operating activities 528.3 145.7
Cashflows used-in investing activities (769.9) (502.8)
Capex 317.6 258.0
Cashflows from financing activities (77.8) 268.8
Effect of exchange rate changes (0.3) 0.1
Cash & cash equivalent at end 3,191.1 2,886.8
Free cash-flow (EBITDA – Capex) 605.4 589.6
31 Mar 16 31 Dec 15
Return on Invested Capital1 6.76% 6.69%
Return on Equity2 10.20% 11.66%
Return on Assets1 5.19% 5.90%
Current Ratio3 1.31 1.25
WACC 6.88% 7.36%
31 Mar 16 31 Dec 15
Gross Debt to EBITDA 2.08 1.90
Net Debt/EBITDA 1.17 1.02
Gross Debt/Equity 1.03 0.97
Net Debt/Equity 0.61 0.52
Net Assets/Share (sen) 200.7 209.2
Key Financial Ratios
Note : Unless stated otherwise all figures shall be inclusive of Webe
1 Based on Normalised EBIT2 Based on Normalised PATAMI
Stable Cashflows with Debt Headroom
Performance Overview
Financial Review
Operating Highlights
Concluding Remarks
1212
830
862
894
+7.7%
+3.7%
31% of Group Revenue
Higher by 7.7% YoY mainly from increase in UniFirevenue and higher cumulative UniFi customer base and higher revenue from IPTV Content
13
Group Total Revenue by Product
Voice
Internet
30% of total Group revenue
Lower by 0.6% YoY, mainly due to lower voice revenue at Mass Market and Managed Accounts which offset higher revenue at Global & Wholesale
Note : Unless stated otherwise all figures shall be inclusive of Webe*Total revenue is after inter-co elimination.
849 853
854
880
849
-3.5%
-0.6%
YoY
YoY
RM mn
RM mn
1Q15 4Q15 1Q16
1Q15 4Q15 1Q16
14
Group Total Revenue by Product
Data
Others*
22% of Group Revenue
Higher by 1.4% YoY, mainly contributed by GITN and Global & Wholesale
17% of Group Revenue
2.8% higher, mainly due to higher USP amortisation revenue
Increased revenue at Managed Accounts by VADS and Government
Note : Unless stated otherwise all figures shall be inclusive of Webe
*Others comprise other telco and non-telco services (i.e ICT-BPO, MMU tuition fees, customer projects)
627
741
636
+1.4%
-14.2%
463
701
476
-32.1%
+2.8%
YoY
YoY
RM mn
RM mn
1Q15 4Q15 1Q16
1Q15 4Q15 1Q16
Group Total Revenue by Line of Business
15
+3.5%
-1.4%
Higher revenue growth led by increase in UniFirevenue at TM Consumer
Positive revenue growth driven by major LOBs, mainly at VADS, in particular ICT-BPO products
Mass Market Managed Accounts
+0.9%
-12.3%
YoY YoY
Note: Unless stated otherwise all figures shall be inclusive of Webe
RM mn RM mn
1,167
1,2251,208
1Q15 4Q15 1Q16
1,027
1,182
1,037
1Q15 4Q15 1Q16
16Note: Unless stated otherwise all figures shall be inclusive of Webe
+9.3%
-23.4%
Higher YoY revenue by 9.3%, mainly contributed by higher bilateral revenue
Lower YoY by 3.0%, mainly due to lower revenue at Webe
Global & Wholesale Others*
Group Total Revenue by Line of Business
*Others include revenue from Property Development, TM R&D, TMIM, UTSB, MKL & Webe
-3.0%
-16.1%
YoY YoY
RM mn RM mn
393
561
429
1Q15 4Q15 1Q16
187
216
181
1Q15 4Q15 1Q16
Physical Highlights
Broadband
190
+1.0%
89
Cu
sto
me
rs (
In t
ho
usa
nd
)A
RP
U (
RM
)
UniFi ARPU (Blended) Streamyx Net ARPU
UniFi continues to drive growth, with 877,000 customers (38,000 net adds QoQ)
Total broadband customers at 2.36mn
Unifi ARPU at RM192 and Streamyx ARPU stable at RM89
17
86
190
87
192
2,266 2,288 2,294
+4.3%
2,340
89
190
Strong growth of Unifi customers YoY. ARPU levels are steady
2,364
89
192
Performance Overview
Financial Review
Operating Highlights
Concluding Remarks
1818
Key Takeaways
Note : Unless stated otherwise all figures shall be inclusive of Webe 19
Operating revenue grew by 2.9% YoY, driven by Internet & Others
Reported EBIT higher by 15% YoY to RM279.9mn Normalised EBIT higher by 26.9% YoY at RM312mn
Reported PATAMI higher by >100.0% YoY at RM322.4mn Normalised PATAMI higher by 9.6% YoY at RM195.4mn
Capex/revenue ratio at 11.1%
Leadership in broadband: Total broadband customers 2.36mn to date 59% customers on packages 4mbps and above Stable ARPU
Appendices
20
Normalised EBITDA
RM mn 1Q16 4Q15 1Q15
Reported EBITDA 923.0 879.7 847.6
Non Operational
Unrealised FX (Gain)/Loss on International trade Settlement
31.9 12.8 2.3
Loss on Sale of Assets 0.2 0.2 0.2
MESRA Programme - 77.4 -
Normalised EBITDA 955.1 970.1 850.1
Normalised EBITDA Margin 33.0% 30.2% 30.3%
Reported EBITDA Margin 31.9% 27.3% 30.2%
EBITDA is calculated as Total Revenue (Operating Revenue + Oth. Operating Income) less Operating Cost (Exc. Depreciation, Amortisation & impairment).EBITDA Margin is calculated as percentage of EBITDA against Total RevenueNormalised EBITDA Margin is calculated as percentage of Normalised EBITDA against Normalised Total Revenue (Operating Revenue + Oth. Operating Income – Loss on Sale of Assets)
21
Note: • MESRA Programme: a voluntary separation programme for employees aged 55• Unless stated otherwise all figures stated shall be inclusive of Webe
Normalised EBITDA higher by 12.4% YoY
Normalised PATAMI
RM mn 1Q16 4Q15 1Q15
Reported PATAMI 322.4 192.5 128.9
Non Operational
Unrealised FX (Gain)/Loss on International trade settlement
27.8 8.0 7.4
Other (Gain)/Losses* (50.3) 24.9 0.8
Unrealised FX (Gain)/Loss on Long Term loans (104.5) (24.5) 41.2
MESRA Programme (Net of tax) - 58.8 -
Normalised PATAMI 195.4 259.7 178.3
* Comprise of fair value (FV) changes of FVTPL (FV through P&L) investment gain/loss on disposal for AFS (available for sale) investments and gain/loss Sale of Assets
22
Note: • MESRA Programme: a voluntary separation programme for employees aged 55• Unless stated otherwise all figures stated shall be inclusive of Webe
Normalised PATAMI higher by 9.6% YoY
Cost % of Revenue
1Q16 4Q15 1Q15Comments
(1Q2016 vs. 1Q2015)
Operating Revenue (RM mil) 2,855.4 3,184.4 2,774.1 -
Other Operating Income(RM mil)
41.4 32.7 32.4 -
Direct Costs % 18.8 19.1 17.9Higher International Outpayment at TM Global
RM mil. 544.5 615.1 502.3
Manpower % 21.4 21.8 22.6 Lower due to reduction in certain allowances and employee leasing costRM mil. 620.4 700.7 633.1
Supplies & Materials % 6.0 9.4 6.0Increase mainly in COS Material at Managed Accounts
RM mil. 174.9 301.1 167.1
Bad & Doubtful Debts % 1.0 0.0 2.0Lower rate of expected losses from Mass Market due to better credit managementRM mil. 30.1 1.2 57.3
Marketing Expenses % 3.3 4.1 3.2Higher A&P at Mass Market for webe activities
RM mil. 95.9 133.1 89.1
Maintenance Cost % 5.9 6.6 7.2Reduction of OPEX maintenance in TM Government
RM mil. 169.9 213.5 202.9
Other Operating Costs % 11.7 11.6 10.9Increase in forex loss for trading settlement and deposits
RM mil. 338.1 372.7 307.1
Depreciation & Amortisation % 22.2 19.3 21.5 Higher assets write-off and accelerated depreciation in Webe, higher amortisation of content cost
RM mil. 643.1 620.5 604.2
Total (RM mil) 2,616.9 2,957.9 2,563.1
Total (%) 90.3 91.9 91.3
Note : Unless stated otherwise all figures shall be inclusive of Webe 23
Group Balance Sheet
Note : Unless stated otherwise all figures shall be inclusive of Webe24
RM millionAs at
31 Mar 2016As at
31 Dec 2015Shareholders’ Funds 7,541.5 7,780.6Non-Controlling Interests 311.5 258.1
Deferred & Long Term Liabilities 10,566.1 10,551.8Long Term Borrowings 7,179.2 7,175.4Deferred Tax 1,392.9 1,367.6Deferred Income 1,670.2 1,661.7
Derivative financial instruments 295.0 321.9
Trade and other payables 28.8 25.2
18,419.1 18,590.5
Current Assets 6,882.6 7,297.5Trade Receivables 2,142.8 2,353.1Other Receivables 654.2 594.0Cash & Bank Balances 3,191.9 3,511.6
Others 893.7 838.8Current Liabilities 5,247.7 5,822.6
Trade and Other Payables 3,601.3 4,367.0
Short Term Borrowings 587.7 408.3Others 1,058.7 1,047.3
Net Current Assets/(Liabilities) 1,634.9 1,474.9Property Plant & Equipment 14,903.0 15,186.9
Other Non-Current Assets 1,881.2 1,928.7
18,419.1 18,590.5
712 694 685
405 399 397
772 814 844
396 650 418
Others
Internet
Data
Voice
-6.8%
4Q15
2,194 2,407
+2.3%
Note: Total revenue is after inter-co elimination. Revenue by product is before inter-co elimination *Others comprise other telco and non-telco services (i.e: ICT-BPO, MMU tuition fees, customer projects)
Mass Market & Managed Accounts
Revenue by Product
1Q15 1Q16
2,245
RM mn
Note : Unless stated otherwise all figures shall be inclusive of Webe 25
141 190 168
277
405 299
31
35
31
Others
Data
Voice
561
-23.4%
4Q15
429393
+9.3%Revenue by Product
Global & Wholesale
1Q15 1Q15
RM mn
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