1q 2019 earnings presentation · this presentation contains statements concerning the company’s...
TRANSCRIPT
CRZO
1Q 2019 Earnings PresentationMay 8, 2019
CRZO22
Forward Looking Statements / Note Regarding Reserves
This presentation contains statements concerning the Company’s intentions, expectations, projections, assessments of risks, estimations, beliefs, plans or predictions for the future, objectives, goals, strategies, future events or performance and underlying assumptions and other statements that are not historical facts. These statements are “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. The forward-looking statements in this presentation include, but are not limited to, statements relating to the Company’s business and financial outlook, cost and risk profile of oil and gas exploration and development activities, quality and risk profile of the Company’s assets, liquidity and the ability to finance exploration and development activities, including accessibility of borrowings under the Company’s revolving credit facility, commodity price risk management activities and the impact of our average realized prices, growth strategies, ability to explore for and develop oil and gas resources successfully and economically, estimates and forecasts of the timing, number, profitability and other results of wells we expect to drill and other exploration activities, drilling inventory, downspacing, infill drilling and completion optimization results, estimates regarding timing and levels of production or reserves, estimated ultimate recovery, the Company’s capital expenditure plan and allocation by area, cost reductions and savings, efficiency of capital, the price of oil and gas at which projects break-even, future market conditions in the oil and gas industry, ability to make, integrate and develop acquisitions and realize any expected benefits or effects of completed acquisitions, midstream arrangements and agreements, gas marketing strategy, lease terms, expected working or net revenue interests, the ability to adhere to our drilling schedule, acquisition of acreage, including number, timing and size of projects, planned evaluation of prospects, probability of prospects having oil and gas, working capital requirements, liquids weighting, rates of return, net present value, 2019 exploration and development plans, any other statements regarding future operations, financial results, business plans and cash needs and all other statements that are not historical facts. Statements in this presentation regarding availability under our revolving credit facility are based solely on the current borrowing base commitment amount and amounts outstanding on such date. The amounts we are able to borrow under the revolving credit facility are subject to, and may be less due to, compliance with financial covenants and other provisions of the credit agreement governing our revolving credit facility.
You generally can identify forward-looking statements by the words “anticipate,” “believe,” budgeted,” “continue,” “could,” “estimate,” “expect,” “forecast,” “goal,” “intend,” “may,” “objective,” “plan,” “potential,” “predict,” “projection,” “possible,” “scheduled,” “guidance,” “should,” or other similar words. Such statements rely on assumptions and involve risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond our control, including, but not limited to, those relating to a worldwide economic downturn, availability of financing, the Company’s dependence on its exploratory drilling activities, the volatility of and changes in oil and gas prices, the need to replace reserves depleted by production, operating risks of oil and gas operations, the Company’s dependence on key personnel, factors that affect the Company’s ability to manage its growth and achieve its business strategy, results, delays and uncertainties that may be encountered in drilling, development or production, interpretations and impact of oil and gas reserve estimation and disclosure requirements, activities and approvals of our partners and parties with whom we have alliances, technological changes, capital requirements, the timing and amount of borrowing base determinations (including determinations by lenders) and availability under our revolving credit facility, evaluations of us by lenders under our revolving credit facility, other actions by lenders, the potential impact of government regulations, including current and proposed legislation and regulations related to hydraulic fracturing, oil and natural gas drilling, air emissions and climate change, regulatory determinations, litigation, competition, the uncertainty of reserve information and future net revenue estimates, acquisition risks, availability of equipment and crews, actions by midstream and other industry participants, weather, our ability to obtain permits and licenses, the results of audits and assessments, the failure to obtain certain bank and lease consents, the existence and resolution of title defects, new taxes and impact fees, delays, costs and difficulties relating to our joint ventures, actions by joint venture parties, results of exploration activities, the availability and completion of land acquisitions, cost of oilfield services and equipment, completion and connection of wells, and other factors detailed in the “Risk Factors” and other sections of the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2018 and other filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”). Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, actual outcomes may vary materially from those indicated.
Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of the particular statement or, if not stated, the date printed on the cover of the presentation. When used in this presentation, the word “current” and similar expressions refer to the date printed on the cover of the presentation. Each forward-looking statement is expressly qualified by this cautionary statement and the Company undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. All subsequent written and oral forward-looking statements attributable to us or persons acting on our behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by reference to these risks and uncertainties. You should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. The information contained in this presentation does not purport to be all-inclusive or to contain all information that potential investors may require.
We may use certain terms such as “Resource Potential” that the SEC’s guidelines strictly prohibit us from including in filings with the SEC. Our Probable (2P) and Possible (3P) reserves do not meet SEC rules and guidelines (including those relating to pricing) for such reserves. These terms include reserves with substantially less certainty, and no discount or other adjustment is included in the presentation of such reserve numbers. U.S. investors are urged to consider closely the disclosure in the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2018, File No. 000-29187-87, and in our other filings with the SEC, available from the SEC on its website at www.sec.gov.
CRZO33
1Q Overview
$0.47Above consensus expectations
$153MM
Above consensus expectations
$27/Boe
Driven by high-return Eagle Ford
62.0MBoe/d
Near high end of guidance
$14/Boe
At low end of guidance
Adjusted EPS Adjusted EBITDA Adjusted EBITDA Margin
Total Production Oil Production Total Operating Expense
40.7MBbls/d
Above high end of guidance
CRZO4
1Q D&C Spend 1Q Infrastructure Spend
Infrastructure Eagle Ford
Delaware Basin
2019 Development PlanOn Track to Hit Full-year Budget
$525-$575 MM Budget
Note: 2019 updated guidance provided May 7, 2019. Values represent midpoint of ranges.
~60%DC&I
Remaining
1Q Net Activity vs. Capex
51%
46%
41%
33%
46%
36%
44%
46%
39%
Drilling Activity
Completion Activity
DC&I Capex
Drilling Activity
Completion Activity
DC&I Capex
Drilling Activity
Completion Activity
DC&I Capex
1Q Activity Remaining
Eagl
e F
ord
De
law
are
Bas
inTo
tal C
om
pan
y1Q D&C Spend 1Q Infrastructure SpendEagle Ford InfrastructureDelaware Basin
CRZO5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19
No
. of
Wel
ls
Net Wells Drilled Net Wells Completed
Eagle Ford ShaleOperations Summary
0
10
20
30
40
50
2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19
MB
oe
/d
Oil NGL Gas
1Q Highlights
Operated D&C Activity
Historical Production
Operating Margin
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
$-
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19
WTI O
il Price
Mar
gin
($
/Bo
e)
Operating Margin Production/Ad Val Tax
Total LOE Average WTI Oil
Completed two large-scale multipad projects
Production currently ~17,000 Bbls/d gross
Continued to generate operational efficiencies
Achieved 10%-15% reduction in drilling and completion costs vs. 4Q18
Average well cost lowered to $3.9-$4.1 MM
CRZO6
Eagle Ford ShaleStrong Performance from Pena and RPG Multipads
33 total wells from Pena and RPG multipad projects
Production began on schedule, with first sales recorded in February
Wells performing in line with expectations
Recent gross crude oil production of ~17,000 Bbls/d
Summary
Total Oil Production
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
02,0004,0006,0008,000
10,00012,00014,00016,00018,00020,000
No
. of W
ells On
line
Bb
ls/d
Gross Oil Production
No. Wells Online
Pena
RPG
CRZO7
Eagle Ford ShaleProgram Focused on Multipad Projects
Irvin
Brown Trust
Arnold
AreaWell
CountTotal Frac
StagesAverage Lateral
Brown Trust 13 413 ~6,400 ft.
Irvin 14 481 ~6,900 ft.
Arnold 9 420 ~9,300 ft.
Upcoming Multipad Projects
CRZO8
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
$-
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19
WTI O
il Price
Mar
gin
($
/Bo
e)
Operating Margin Production/Ad Val Tax
Total LOE Average WTI Oil
0
2
4
6
8
10
2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19
No
. of
wel
ls
Net Wells Drilled Net Wells Completed
Delaware BasinOperations Summary
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19
MB
oe
/d
Oil NGL Gas
1Q Highlights
Operated D&C Activity
Historical Production
Operating Margin
Completed initial multi-layer cube test with encouraging early results
Production impacted by a significant increase in planned downtime
Achieved additional efficiency gains
>35% reduction in drilling cost per effective lateral foot compared to 4Q18 in Ford West
~25% reduction in average frac cost per stage compared to 3Q18
Average well cost lowered to $7.8-$8.2 MM
CRZO9 CRZO9
Delaware BasinConducting Cube Tests to Optimize Development
St. Clair Pad Crowley Pad
11H
10H
12H
11H
10H
12H
Note: Image not drawn to scale.
330’ 330’
150’
150’
250’
Frac Sequencing Design
Early Microseismic Takeaways
Microseismic data quality is excellent
Data supportive of co-development concepts
Constructive interference between wells indicates potential for:
Increased stimulated rock volume (SRV)
Stress shadowing and frac sequencing to strongly influence frac geometry
Carbonates are effective frac barriers and will impact:
Well placement
Development planning
12H
WCABounded
WCABounded
11H
10H
11H
10H
12H
WCA
WCBUpper
WCB Lower
WCC
WCAUnbounded
WCBUUnbounded
WCBUBounded
WCBLUnbounded
WCBLBounded
WCBLBounded
WCCBounded
WCCUnbounded
Additional Completion Tests
CRZO10
Delaware BasinEncouraging Early Results from Initial Cube Test
0
10
20
30
40
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
MB
oe
Days on Production
WCA
WCB
WCC
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
Bo
e/d
Summary Highlights
Early peak rate of ~10,600 Boe/d
60% oil, 78% liquids
Strong performance seen from Wolfcamp A wells
Wolfcamp B wells performing in line with expectations
Early performance from Wolfcamp C well exceeding expectations
Total Production1
Cumulative Production by Wolfcamp Layer2
13-stream production22-stream production
Upcoming Cube Test
Dorothy-Sansom
7-well, 5-layer co-development test
3rd BS, WCA, WCBU, WCBL, WCC
Drilling operations have commenced
CRZO11
Exposure to premium-priced seaborne markets continued to drive strong crude oil netbacks
Sequential production decline associated with limited TILs while multipads were being developed; significant increase in production expected during 2Q
Total production near the high end of guidance range while crude oil production exceeded the high end of guidance range
Financial Summary
$0
$5
$10
2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19
$/B
oe
LOE Breakdown
$7.54
Revenue Drivers
$7.34$6.77
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19
$/B
oe
Adjusted EBITDA Margin Cash G&A
Production/Ad Val Tax LOE
Adjusted EBITDA Margin
1Q Highlights
$30
$35
$40
$45
$50
$55
5052545658606264666870
2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19
$/B
oe
MB
oe
/d
Production Unhedged Realized Price
$27.15 $27.41
SWDWorkover ExpenseRepairs/MaintenanceRental Equipment
ChemicalsTransport and Processing All Other Categories
$34.45 $35.14
$6.90
CRZO1212
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
$1,400
2019 2020 2021 2022May
2023April
2024 2025July
$M
M
0.0x
0.5x
1.0x
1.5x
2.0x
2.5x
3.0x
3.5x
2016 2017 2018 Target
Ne
t D
eb
t /
Ad
just
ed
EB
ITD
A
Historical Leverage Metrics1
Revolving Credit Facility$1.25 billion borrowing base commitment
6.25% Senior Unsecured Notes$650 million outstandingCurrently callable
8.25% Senior Unsecured Notes$250 million outstandingCallable on July 15, 2020
Corporate Credit RatingB1 (Positive) / B+
6.25% Notes
Revolver
8.25% Notes
Debt Maturity Profile
2
1As calculated by bank covenant.2Balance as of 3/31/19.
Targeting Leverage
Below 2.0x
Balance Sheet Improvement Remains a FocusFree Cash Flow Targeted for Debt Reduction
CRZO13
Protect cash flows
Hedging ProgramDisciplined Strategy Protects Cash Flows
Note: Hedge prices based on NYMEX oil reference price. 2019 percentage hedged based on midpoint of guidance.
Hedge 50%-75% of crude oil production
Target floor price >$50/Bbl
Maintain upside exposure
Hedge 50% of crude oil production
Target floor price >$55/Bbl
Protect cash flows
Maintain upside exposure
2019 Program 2020+ Program Goals
Swaps
Collars
CRZO14
Guidance Summary
Highlights
Efficiency gains and cost savings
contribute to a ~35% year-over-year
reduction in CAPEX
Production from multipads in both plays
expected to drive strong production
growth in 2Q
Cost reduction efforts putting downward
pressure on unit LOE during the year
Expect to deliver free cash flow in the
second half of 2019
Expect to deliver year-over-year
production growth from 4Q18 to 4Q19
Actual Guidance
1Q 2019 2Q 2019 FY 2019
Production Volumes:
Total (Boe/d) 61,960 66,500 - 67,500 66,800 - 67,800
Crude Oil % 66% 64% 63%
NGLs % 16% 17% 17%
Natural Gas % 18% 19% 20%
Unhedged Price Realizations:
Crude Oil (% of NYMEX oil) 100.9% 99.0% - 101.0% N/A
NGLs (% of NYMEX oil) 34.5% 27.0% - 29.0% N/A
Natural Gas (% of NYMEX gas) 76.7% 33.0% - 35.0% N/A
Cash Paid for Derivative Settlements, net ($MM)
$2.6 $6.0 - $10.0 N/A
Costs and Expenses:
Lease Operating ($/Boe) $7.54 $7.00 - $7.50 $6.75 - $7.50
Production & Ad Valorem Taxes (% of Total Rev.)
6.39% 6.25% - 6.75% 6.00% - 6.75%
Cash G&A ($MM) $20.6 $10.0 - $10.5 $50.5 - $52.0
DD&A ($/Boe) $13.51 $13.00 - $14.00 $13.00 - $14.00
Interest Expense, net ($MM) $16.5 $17.5 - $18.5 N/A
Capital Expenditures:
Drilling and Completions ($MM) $214.7 N/A $525.0 - $575.0
Capitalized Interest ($MM) $9.0 $8.3 - $8.8 N/A
CRZO15 CRZO1515 CRZO15
1Q 2019
In thousands Per dilutedShare
Net Income Attributable to Common Shareholders (GAAP) $146,202 $1.58
Income tax benefit (179,395) (1.94)
Loss on derivatives, net 83,284 0.90
Cash paid for derivative settlements, net (2,638) (0.03)
Non-cash general and administrative, net 4,115 0.05
Non-recurring and other expense, net 4,358 0.05
Adjusted income before income taxes 55,926 0.61
Adjusted income tax expense1 (12,303) (0.14)
Adjusted Net Income Attributable to Common Shareholders (Non-GAAP) $43,623 $0.47
Non-GAAP Reconciliation
Reconciliation of Net Income Attributable to Common Shareholders (GAAP) to Adjusted Net Income Attributable to Common Shareholders (Non-GAAP)
1For the three months ended March 31, 2019, adjusted income tax expense was calculated using a rate of 22.0%, which approximates the Company’s statutory tax rate adjusted for ordinary permanent differences.
CRZO16 CRZO1616 CRZO16
2Q 2018 3Q 2018 4Q 2018 1Q 2019
(In thousands, except per Boe amounts)
Net Income Attributable to Common Shareholders (GAAP) $30,095 $76,118 $255,120 $146,202
Dividends on preferred stock 4,474 4,457 4,367 4,360
Accretion on preferred stock 740 771 793 801
Income tax expense (benefit) 483 880 3,491 (179,395)
Depreciation, depletion and amortization 72,430 80,108 82,525 75,322
Interest expense, net 15,599 15,406 15,891 16,451
(Gain) loss on derivatives, net 67,714 55,388 (159,407) 83,284
Cash paid for derivative settlements, net (24,083) (26,262) (31,597) (2,638)
Non-cash general and administrative, net 7,206 3,183 (262) 4,115
Loss on extinguishment of debt -- -- 910 --
Non-recurring and other (income) expense, net 4,264 (1,091) (1,163) 4,358
Adjusted EBITDA (Non-GAAP) $178,922 $208,958 $170,668 $152,860
Cash interest expense, net (14,998) (14,791) (15,202) (15,848)
Dividends on preferred stock (4,474) (4,457) (4,367) (4,360)
Changes in components of working capital and other (22,302) (290) 37,164 (7,549)
Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities (GAAP) $137,148 $189,420 $188,263 $125,103
Adjusted EBITDA (Non-GAAP) $178,922 $208,958 $170,668 $152,860
Total barrels of oil equivalent 5,193 5,946 6,286 5,576
Adjusted EBITDA Margin ($ per Boe) (Non-GAAP) $34.45 $35.14 $27.15 $27.41
Non-GAAP Reconciliation
Reconciliation of Net Income Attributable to Common Shareholders (GAAP) to Adjusted EBITDA (Non-GAAP) to Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities (GAAP)