1995 water quality control plan periodic review topic 8: river flows: san joaquin river at

21
1995 Water Quality Control Plan Periodic Review Topic 8: River Flows: San Joaquin River at Airport Way Bridge, Vernalis Jeff McLain National Marine Fisheries Service Protected Resources Sacramento Area Office

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1995 Water Quality Control Plan Periodic Review Topic 8: River Flows: San Joaquin River at Airport Way Bridge, Vernalis Jeff McLain National Marine Fisheries Service Protected Resources Sacramento Area Office. Presentation Outline Salmonid population trends in the San Joaquin Basin - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: 1995 Water Quality Control Plan Periodic Review Topic 8: River Flows: San Joaquin River at

1995 Water Quality Control PlanPeriodic Review

Topic 8: River Flows: San Joaquin River at Airport Way Bridge, Vernalis

Jeff McLainNational Marine Fisheries Service

Protected ResourcesSacramento Area Office

Page 2: 1995 Water Quality Control Plan Periodic Review Topic 8: River Flows: San Joaquin River at

Presentation Outline

• Salmonid population trends in the San Joaquin Basin

• Temporal distribution

• Salmonid flow needs

• National Marine Fisheries Service recommendations

Page 3: 1995 Water Quality Control Plan Periodic Review Topic 8: River Flows: San Joaquin River at

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000Adult escapement

Estimated Yearly Escapement of Stanislaus River Adult Fall-run Chinook Salmon*

Es

cap

em

en

t o

f fa

ll-ru

n C

hin

oo

k

Year

* from CDFG Grand Tab (Feb 3, 2005). Note DOI Exhibit 17.

Page 4: 1995 Water Quality Control Plan Periodic Review Topic 8: River Flows: San Joaquin River at

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000 Adult escapement

Estimated Yearly Escapement of Tuolumne River Adult Fall-run Chinook Salmon*

Es

cap

em

en

t o

f fa

ll-ru

n C

hin

oo

k

Year

* from CDFG Grand Tab (Feb 3, 2005). Note DOI Exhibit 17.

Page 5: 1995 Water Quality Control Plan Periodic Review Topic 8: River Flows: San Joaquin River at

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000 Adult escapement

Estimated Yearly Escapement of Merced River Adult Fall-run Chinook Salmon*

Es

cap

em

en

t o

f fa

ll-ru

n C

hin

oo

k

Year

* from CDFG Grand Tab (Feb 3, 2005). Note DOI Exhibit 17.

Page 6: 1995 Water Quality Control Plan Periodic Review Topic 8: River Flows: San Joaquin River at

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

90,000

Adult escapement

Estimated Yearly Escapement of San Joaquin Basin Adult Fall-run Chinook Salmon*

Es

cap

em

en

t o

f fa

ll-ru

n C

hin

oo

k

Year

* from CDFG Grand Tab (Feb 3, 2005). Note DOI Exhibit 17.

Page 7: 1995 Water Quality Control Plan Periodic Review Topic 8: River Flows: San Joaquin River at

Escapement trends of San Joaquin Basin fall-run Chinook salmon appear to be variable and related to water year type. Despite the variability related to water year type, it appears overall returns are decreasing through time.

Increases in abundance due to Merced River Fish Facility, and unknown contributions of hatchery stocks on other San Joaquin Basin tributaries may be masking naturally produced Chinook trends.

Chinook Population Trends

Page 8: 1995 Water Quality Control Plan Periodic Review Topic 8: River Flows: San Joaquin River at

Presence of Juvenile Central Valley Steelhead in San Joaquin River

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

CDFG Mossdale trawl

Catch

Year

Page 9: 1995 Water Quality Control Plan Periodic Review Topic 8: River Flows: San Joaquin River at

Temporal Distribution of O. mykiss

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

Jan

Feb Mar Apr

May Ju

nJu

lAug

Sep Oct

NovDec

O. mykiss > 16 inches reported by anglers on the San Joaquin River downstream of the Merced River between 1993 and 2002 (DFG unpublished data).

Catch

Month

Page 10: 1995 Water Quality Control Plan Periodic Review Topic 8: River Flows: San Joaquin River at

NMFS remains highly concerned by the decline in total abundance of the O. mykiss ESU and that the decline appears to be continuing.

O. mykiss Population Trends• Catch of juvenile O. mykiss at Chipps Island ranged from October to July in 1997, 1998, and 1999 (Nobriga and Cadrett, 2001).

• CDFG steelhead report card data indicate adult O. mykiss presence in the San Joaquin River may be nearly year-round.

Page 11: 1995 Water Quality Control Plan Periodic Review Topic 8: River Flows: San Joaquin River at

Temporal Distribution of Chinook salmon

• Catch of Chinook salmon smolts commonly occur between April and June at Mossdale (DOI Exhibits 11-16).

• Fry Chinook salmon are commonly found to be present on the lower San Joaquin River (downstream of Merced River) in January, February, and March (DOI Exhibit 11-16).

Page 12: 1995 Water Quality Control Plan Periodic Review Topic 8: River Flows: San Joaquin River at

San Joaquin Flow at Vernalis

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

400,000

450,000

500,000

Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep

2004 FN

Fu

ll N

atu

ral F

low

(a

cre

-fe

et)

Attraction Flows

O. mykissHabitat

Rearingand Fry

MigrationJuvenile/Smolt

Migration

FN Flow = sum of Stan, Tuol, Mer, and San Joaquin FN flow (CDEC) converted from acre-ft to cfs.Vernalis Flow = Monthly flow (CDEC, VNS station)

Page 13: 1995 Water Quality Control Plan Periodic Review Topic 8: River Flows: San Joaquin River at

San Joaquin Flow at Vernalis

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

400,000

450,000

500,000

Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

45,000

50,0002004 FN

2004 Flow

Attraction Flows

O. mykissHabitat

Rearingand Fry

Migration

Ve

rnal

is F

low

(cf

s)

Juvenile/SmoltMigration

FN Flow = sum of Stan, Tuol, Mer, and San Joaquin FN flow (CDEC) converted from acre-ft to cfs.Vernalis Flow = Monthly flow (CDEC, VNS station)

Fu

ll N

atu

ral F

low

(a

cre

-fe

et)

Page 14: 1995 Water Quality Control Plan Periodic Review Topic 8: River Flows: San Joaquin River at

San Joaquin Flow at Vernalis

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

400,000

450,000

500,000

Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

45,000

50,000

2004 FNF

2004 Flow

Ve

rnal

is F

low

(cf

s)

FN Flow = sum of Stan, Tuol, Mer, and San Joaquin FN flow (CDEC) converted from acre-ft to cfs.Vernalis Flow = Monthly flow (CDEC, VNS station)

Fu

ll N

atu

ral F

low

(a

cre

-fe

et)

Page 15: 1995 Water Quality Control Plan Periodic Review Topic 8: River Flows: San Joaquin River at

San Joaquin Flow at Vernalis

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

45,000

50,000

2001 FNF

2001 Flow

Ve

rnal

is F

low

(cf

s)

FN Flow = sum of Stan, Tuol, Mer, and San Joaquin FN flow (CDEC) converted from acre-ft to cfs.Vernalis Flow = Monthly flow (CDEC, VNS station)

Fu

ll N

atu

ral F

low

(a

cre

-fe

et)

Page 16: 1995 Water Quality Control Plan Periodic Review Topic 8: River Flows: San Joaquin River at

San Joaquin Flow at Vernalis

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

45,000

50,000

2002 FNF

2002 Flow

Ve

rnal

is F

low

(cf

s)

FN Flow = sum of Stan, Tuol, Mer, and San Joaquin FN flow (CDEC) converted from acre-ft to cfs.Vernalis Flow = Monthly flow (CDEC, VNS station)

Fu

ll N

atu

ral F

low

(a

cre

-fe

et)

Page 17: 1995 Water Quality Control Plan Periodic Review Topic 8: River Flows: San Joaquin River at

Baker and Morhardt. 2001. Survival of Chinook salmon smolts in the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta and Pacific Ocean.

Page 18: 1995 Water Quality Control Plan Periodic Review Topic 8: River Flows: San Joaquin River at

Baker and Morhardt. 2001. Survival of Chinook salmon adults in the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta and Pacific Ocean.

Page 19: 1995 Water Quality Control Plan Periodic Review Topic 8: River Flows: San Joaquin River at

Summary

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

AttractionRearing/mig. Smolt mig.

Chinook

Smolt migration Smolt mig.

O. mykiss

Attraction Adult migration

VNS standard

Page 20: 1995 Water Quality Control Plan Periodic Review Topic 8: River Flows: San Joaquin River at

NMFS recommends the Vernalis flow standard remain unchanged at a minimum

NMFS does not recommend incorporating flexibility into the Vernalis standard

NMFS RecommendationsIt is clear Chinook salmon and O. mykiss populations in the San Joaquin Basin are not showing signs of improvement and continue to require the protection of the Vernalis flow standard to ensure protection of all life stages.

Page 21: 1995 Water Quality Control Plan Periodic Review Topic 8: River Flows: San Joaquin River at

NMFS is concerned that the existing Vernalis standard may be too low and recommends the Board consider increasing the current standard

NMFS recommends an independent scientific peer review panel be established to address potential changes to Vernalis standards

NMFS Recommendations