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brief analysis of banking industry in India and its future prospects of declining or surviving

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Industry Analysis

On

Banking Industry

Submitted by

Name - Pulkit Jain

Roll No. 141336

Section C

BANKING INDUSTRYModern banking in India could be traced back to the establishment of Bank of Bengal (Jan 2, 1809), the first joint-stock bank sponsored by Government of Bengal and governed by the royal charter of the British India Government. It was followed by establishment of Bank of Bombay (Apr 15, 1840) and Bank of Madras (Jul 1, 1843). These three banks, known as the presidency banks, marked the beginning of the limited liability and joint stock banking in India and were also vested with the right of note issue. In 1921, these three presidency banks were merged to form the Imperial Bank of India, which had multiple roles and responsibilities and that functioned as a commercial bank, a banker to the government and a bankers bank. Following the establishment of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) in 1935, the central banking responsibilities that the Imperial Bank of India was carrying out came to an end, leading it to become more of a commercial bank. At the time of independence of India, the capital and reserves of the Imperial Bank stood at Rs 118 mn, deposits at Rs 2751 mn and advances at Rs 723 mn and a network of 172 branches and 200 sub offices spread all over the country. In 1951, in the backdrop of central planning and the need to extend bank credit to the rural areas, the Government constituted All India Rural Credit Survey Committee, which recommended the creation of a state sponsored institution that will extend banking services to the rural areas. Following this, by an act of parliament passed in May 1955, State Bank of India was established in Jul, 1955. In 1959, State Bank of India took over the eight former state-associated banks as its subsidiaries.

For the Indian banking industry, Jul 19, 1969, was a landmark day, on which nationalization of 14 major banks was announced that each had a minimum of Rs 500 mn and above of aggregate deposits. In 1980, eight more banks were nationalized. In 1976, the Regional Rural Banks Act came into being, that allowed the opening of specialized regional rural banks to exclusively cater to the credit requirements in the rural areas. These banks were set up jointly by the central government, commercial banks and the respective local governments of the states in which these are located. The period following nationalization was characterized by rapid rise in banks business and helped in increasing national savings. Savings rate in the country leapfrogged from 10-12% in the two decades of 1950-70 to about 25 % post nationalization period.

Indian banking, which experienced rapid growth following the nationalization, began to face pressures on asset quality by the 1980s. Simultaneously, the banking world everywhere was gearing up towards new prudential norms and operational standards pertaining to capital adequacy, accounting and risk management, transparency and disclosure etc. In the early 1990s, India embarked on an ambitious economic reform programmed in which the banking sector reforms formed a major part. The Committee on Financial System (1991) more popularly known as the Narasimham Committee prepared the blue print of the reforms. A few of the major aspects of reform included (a) moving towards international norms in income recognition and provisioning and other related aspects of accounting (b) liberalization of entry and exit norms leading to the establishment of several New Private Sector Banks and entry of a number of new Foreign Banks (c) freeing of deposit and lending rates (except the saving deposit rate), (d) allowing Public Sector Banks access to public equity markets for raising capital and diluting the government stake,(e) greater transparency and disclosure standards in financial reporting (f) suitable adoption of Basel Accord on capital adequacy (g) introduction of technology in banking operations etc. The reforms led to major changes in the approach of the banks towards aspects such as competition, profitability and productivity and the need and scope for harmonization of global operational standards and adoption of best practices. Greater focus was given to deriving efficiencies by improvement in performance and rationalization of resources and greater reliance on technology including promoting in a big way computerization of banking operations and introduction of electronic banking.INDIAN BANKING AND INTERNATIONAL TRENDS

When compared to other emerging markets, the growth of Indian banking has been impressive and compares favorably on several counts. A recent study by Bank for International Settlements on the progress and the prospects of banking systems in emerging countries highlights the following features of the performance of Indian banks:

Average growth rate of real aggregate credit in India rose from 6.1% during the period 1995- 99 to 14.6 % in 2000-04.

The average growth rate of real aggregate credit in India during 2000-04 in India is higher as compared to major countries and regions in the emerging markets, such as China (13.3%), Other Asia (4.7%), Latin America (4.5%), and Central Europe (9.6%).

Commercial banks in India account for a major share of the bank credit (97%) as compared to Latin America (68%), Other Asia (74%) and Central Europe (83%).

Real bank credit to the private sector has shown sustained growth in India, and has moved from 3.9% a year in 1990-94 to 6.9% a year in 1995-99 to 13.5 % a year in 2000-04. In 2005, real bank credit to the private sector in India showed a growth of 30% year-on-year as against 9.4% in China and 15.8% in emerging markets.

In India, during the period 1999 and 2004, non-performing loans as a percentage of total commercial bank assets came down from 6.1% to 3.3%, capital asset ratios moved up from 11.3% to 12.9% and operating costs as a percentage of total assets reduced from 2.4% to 2.3%. NPAs in China in 2004 stood at 6%.

In India, return on assets of banks during the period 1999-2004 moved up from 0.4% to 1.1%, and return on equity from 8.5% to 20.9% where as in China the former rose from 0.1% to 0.3%.Distribution of Network

The expansion in the distribution network of the banks is increasingly evident from the growth of the automated teller machines. There is a surge in the growth of off-site ATMs with their share in the total ATMs rising to 32% in respect of Public Sector Banks, 67% in State Bank group, 32% in Old Private Sector Banks, 63% in New Private Sector Banks and 73% in Foreign Banks. Computerization of public sector bank branches is also moving at rapid pace. In 2007 the pace of computerization progressed much further. Public Sector Banks have 93 branches operating abroad in 26 countries. All scheduled commercial banks together have 106 branches abroad.

Top Banks in India1. State Bank Of India

2. HDFC Bank

3. Axis Bank

4. Bank of India

5. Punjab National Bank

6. Bank Of Baroda

7. ICICI Bank

8. Union Bank Of India

9. Citi Bank

10. Canara Bank

Future AspectsWith the potential to become the fifth largest banking industry in the world by 2020 and third largest by 2025 according to KPMG-CII report, Indias banking and financial sector is expanding rapidly. The Indian Banking industry is currently worth Rs. 81 trillion (US $ 1.31 trillion) and banks are now utilizing the latest technologies like internet and mobile devices to carry out transactions and communicate with the masses.Factors promoting growth of banking sector in IndiaThe Banking Laws (Amendment) Bill that was passed by the Parliament in 2012 allowed the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to make final guidelines on issuing new bank licenses. Moreover, the role of the Indian Government in expanding the banking sector is noteworthy. It is expected that the new guidelines issued by RBI will curb practices of impish borrowers and streamline the loan system in the country. In the coming time, India could see a rise in the number of banks in the country, a shift in the style of operation, which could also evolve by incorporating modern technology in the industry.

Another emerging trend witnessed by the banking sector is the use of social media platform like Facebook to attract customers. In September 2013 ICICI bank launched a Facebook bill payment and fund transfer service called Pockets for customer convenience.Recruitment trends in Banking IndustryThe Banking and Industry is expected to recruit about 8.4 million people as per the growth rate each year. Workforce requirement between 2008 and 2022 is expected to be about 4.2 million and sector may create up to 20 lakh new jobs in the next 5-10 years.Advantaged by issuance of new licences and efforts being made by the RBI and the Government to expand financial services into rural areas, the hiring trend may further get a boost from the public sector banks. Since most banking workforce is scheduled to retire in the times to come, they would be in dire need of fresh talent. According Handstand India, global HR service provider in India, the banking sector will generate 7-10 lakh jobs in the coming decade and the sector would be the among top job creators in 2014.