12.103 the science and policy of the science and policy of ...€¦ · glossary definition: a...
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12.10312.103The Science and Policy ofThe Science and Policy of
Natural HazardsNatural Hazards
Module 3:Module 3:TornadoesTornadoes
Images from journals published by the American Meteorological Society are copyright © AMS and used with permission.
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What is a Tornado?What is a Tornado?
Glossary DefinitionGlossary Definition: A violently: A violentlyrotating column of air, in contact withrotating column of air, in contact withthe ground, either pendant from athe ground, either pendant from acumuliformcumuliform cloud or underneath acloud or underneath a cumuliform cloud, and often (but notcumuliform cloud, and often (but notalways) visible as aalways) visible as a funnel cloudfunnel cloud..
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Tornadoes need not have funnelTornadoes need not have funnel cloudsclouds
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TORNADOTORNADO
• WORD DERIVED FROM SPANISH WORD ‘TORNADA’ – THUNDERSTORM
• TORNADOS ARISE FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
• MOST TORNADOS OCCUR IN THE CENTRAL US
• ON AVERAGE ABOUT 770 TORNADOS ARE REPORTED ANNUALLY IN THE US
• OCCUR ALL YEAR ROUND, BUT MAINLY FROMAPRIL TO JUNE
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TORNADOTORNADO
• LESS THAN 1.6 KM WIDE, AND SHORT LIVED – A FEW SECONDS TO MORE THAN AN HOUR...MOST ~10 MINUTES
• TRAVELS AT ABOUT 45 KM PER HOUR AND AVERAGE PATH IS ABOUT 8 KM LONG
• PRESSURE AT CENTER OF VORTEX AS MUCH AS 10% LOWER THAN SURROUNDINGS.
• WIND SPEEDS AS LARGE AS 140 M/S (300 MPH) HAVE BEENMEASURED
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TORNADO MORPHOLOGYTORNADO MORPHOLOGY
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Formative StageFormative Stage
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Mature StageMature Stage
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Rope StageRope Stage
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Orienta, Oklahoma, 2 May 1979Orienta, Oklahoma, 2 May 1979
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Tornado DamageTornado Damage
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Ranking Tornado Strength:Ranking Tornado Strength: The Fujita ScaleThe Fujita Scale
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CategoryDamage Wind speed range
F0
F1
F2
F3
F4
F5
Light
Moderate
Considerable
Severe
Devastating
Incredible
Tree branches broken; heavy damage to crops;chimneys damaged.
Trees uprooted, some snapped; mobile homes overturned; moving cars pushed off road.
Large trees uprooted and snapped; mobile homes destroyed; roofs torn off houses; railroad boxcars pushed off track.
Most trees in a forest uprooted or snapped; walls torn off well-constructed farm houses; trains overturned; autos lifted off ground and moved.
Trees debarked by flying debris; well-constructed frame houses leveled; autos thrown some distance.
Trees completely debarked; strong frame houses lifted off foundations and demolished over some distance; steel-reinforced concrete structures badlydamaged; autos becomes missiles and fly distancesof 100 meters.
km/hr
64-118
119-181
182-253
254-332
333-419
420-513
mph
40-73
74-112
158-206
207-206
261-318
113-157
The Fujita Scale for Tornadoes
Figure by MIT OpenCourseWare.
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Enhanced Fujita ScaleEnhanced Fujita Scale
FUJITA SCALE DERIVED EF SCALE OPERATIONAL EF SCALE
F Number Fastest 1/4-mile (mph)
3 Second Gust (mph) EF Number 3 Second Gust
(mph) EF Number 3 Second Gust (mph)
0 40-72 45-78 0 65-85 0 65-85
1 73-112 79-117 1 86-109 1 86-110
2 113-157 118-161 2 110-137 2 111-135
3 158-207 162-209 3 138-167 3 136-165
4 208-260 210-261 4 168-199 4 166-200
5 261-318 262-317 5 200-234 5 Over 200
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F0F0Here are broken tree branches and onlyHere are broken tree branches and onl superficial house damage;y superficial house damage; so thisso this
scene was rated F0. Elsewhere in the tornado path through Columbscene was rated F0. Elsewhere in the tornado path through Columbus GA, onus GA, on 13 March 1997, there was isolated F1 damage13 March 1997, there was isolated F1 damage
Image courtesy of NOAA.
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F1F1This woodThis wood--frame house was pushed bodily off its concrete block foundationframe house was pushed bodily off its concrete block foundation byby the Spencer SD tornado of 30 May 1998 (a tornado which later didthe Spencer SD tornado of 30 May 1998 (a tornado which later did marginal F4marginal F4 damage in the town of Spencer). Here, the house had no bottom andamage in the town of Spencer). Here, the house had no bottom anchoring atchoring at all. It was simply resting on its foundation by gravity alone; sall. It was simply resting on its foundation by gravity alone; so it was easy foro it was easy for
relatively weak winds near the edge of the tornado to slide therelatively weak winds near the edge of the tornado to slide the house aside withhouse aside with minor structural damage. It experienced partial roof removal, onminor structural damage. It experienced partial roof removal, only on thely on the
windward (near) side; therefore, this damage site was rated F1.windward (near) side; therefore, this damage site was rated F1.
Image courtesy of NOAA.
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F2F2On 3 January 2000, a tornado struck this woodOn 3 January 2000, a tornado struck this wood--frame home near Paris, MS.frame home near Paris, MS.
The roof and one large outer wallThe roof and one la segment came off; while the rerge outer wall segment came off; while the remainingmaining inner and outer walls were left (barely) standing. Quality of coinner and outer walls were left (barely) standing. Quality of construction mustnstruction must be considered when rating damage; since the F scale is best applbe considered when rating damage; since the F scale is best applied toied to wellwell--builtbuilt homes. Here, the wallhomes. Here, the wall--toto--roof and wallroof and wall--toto--wall attachments were verywall attachments were very
weak or nonexistent; so this is only marginalweak or nonexistent; so this is only margi F2 damage.nal F2 damage.
Image courtesy of NOAA.
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F3F3All but a few parts of the outer and inner walls were toppled orAll but a few parts of the outer and inner walls were toppled or removed fromremoved from
this house in Moore, OK, on 3 May 1999. For a wellthis house in Moore, OK, on 3 May 1999. For a well--built home, any removal ofbuilt home, any removal of inner walls constitutes F3 damage; so this site was rated highinner walls constitutes F3 damage; so this site was rated high--end F3. Theend F3. The same tornado caused F5 damage in several locations elsewhere insame tornado caused F5 damage in several locations elsewhere in its path.its path.
Image courtesy of NOAA.
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F4F4A tornado in Moore, OK on 3 MaA tornado in Moore, OK y 1999 demolished this house (foreon 3 Ma y 1999 demolished this house (foreground) down to aground) down to a
short pile of debris on and around the foundation, with no wallsshort pile of debris on and around the foundation, with no walls standing. In order for thisstanding. In order for this scene to be rated F5, the debris mustscene to be rated F5, the debris have been swept away, leavmust have been swept away, leaving behind evidenceing behind evidence
that the house was wellthat the house was well--attached to its slab. [The brattached to its slab. ick house in the left background[The brick house in the left background suffered F3 damage, with a mixture of inner and outer walls remosuffered F3 damage, with a mixture of inner and outer walls removed.] This tornadoved.] This tornado
caused an immense amount of F4 damage on its path through the socaused an immense amount of F4 damage on its path through the southern portion of theuthern portion of the Oklahoma City metropolitan area, and several locales of F5 damagOklahoma City metropolitan area, and several locales of F5 damage.e.
Image courtesy of NOAA.
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F5F5This is classic F5 damage. The Bridge Creek/Moore, Oklahoma, torThis is classic F5 damage. The Bridge Creek/Moore, Oklahoma, tornado of 3nado of 3 May 1999 leveled this house, swept the foundation almost completMay 1999 leveled this house, swept the foundation almost completely clean,ely clean,
shredded the house remains into small pieces and scattered the dshredded the house remains into small pieces and scattered the debrisebris downwind to the northeast (rear). The house was relatively welldownwind to the northeast (rear). The house was relatively well--contructed withcontructed with
slabslab--toto--wall anchor bolts evenly spaced around the bottom plate. Some ofwall anchor bolts evenly spaced around the bottom plate. Some ofthose bolts can be seen in this photo, protruding upward from juthose bolts can be seen in this photo, protruding upward from just inside thest inside the
edges of the concrete slab.edges of the concrete slab.
Image courtesy of NOAA.
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Greensburg, Kansas, 2007Greensburg, Kansas, 2007
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Tornado ClimatologyTornado Climatology
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Global DistributionGlobal Distribution
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Number of days per year with tornadoes reported
Image courtesy of NOAA.
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Number of Significant (>= F2)Number of Significant (>= F2) Tornadoes per CenturyTornadoes per Century
Image courtesy of NOAA.
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A
Number of Violent (>= F4)Number of Violent (>= F4) Tornadoes per MilleniumTornadoes per Millenium
Image courtesy of NOA
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Image courtesy of NOAA.
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U.S.Tornado TracksU.S.Tornado Tracks
Image courtesy of NOAA.
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SeasonalitySeasonality
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Diurnal VariationDiurnal Variation
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Trends in U.S. TornadoesTrends in U.S. Tornadoes
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Tornado PhysicsTornado Physics
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Fundamentals of ConvectionFundamentals of Convection• BuoyancyBuoyancy
•• Moist thermodynamicsMoist thermodynamics
•• StabilityStability
•• MetaMeta--stabilitystability
•• Effects of precipitationEffects of precipitation
•• NonNon--equilibrium convectionequilibrium convection
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When is a fluid unstable toWhen is a fluid unstable to convection?convection?
• Pressure and hydrostatic equilibrium • Buoyancy • Stability
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Buoyancy
ρ − ρ B g e p=
ρ p
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Hydrostatic equilibrium:Hydrostatic equilibrium:
Weight : − gρ x y zδ δ δ
Pressure : δ δx y − ( p +δ ) x yp p δ δ
F MA= : ρ x y z dw = −gρ x y z − p x yδ δ δ δ δ δ δ δ δ
dt dw ∂p 1 dt
= −g −α∂z , α = ρ = specific volume
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Pressure distribution inPressure distribution in atmosphere at rest:atmosphere at rest:
RT R * Ideal gas : α = , R ≡ p m
Hydrostatic : 1 ∂p = −
g p z RT∂
Isothermal case : p = p e −zH , H ≡
RT = "scale height " 0 g
Earth: H~ 8 Km
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Buoyancy:Buoyancy:
δ δ δ
Pressure : p x y − ( p + p) Weight : − gρb x y z
δ δ δ δ δx y dwF =MA : bδ δ δ = −gρb x y z −δ δ δx yρ x y z δ δ δ pdt
dw g b ∂p but ∂p
= −= − − αdt ∂z ∂z
→ dw
= g αb −αe ≡ Bdt αe
e
gα
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1ρ
Buoyancy and EntropyBuoyancy and Entropy
Specific Volume: α =
Specific Entropy: s
α =α ( ,p s
(δα ) = ⎛ ∂α ⎞ δ s = ⎜⎜⎛ ∂T
⎟⎟⎞ δ s⎜ ⎟p ⎝ ∂s ⎠ p ⎝ ∂p ⎠s
(δα ) p g T∂ ⎛ ∂T ⎞B = g α =α ⎜⎜
⎛
⎝ ∂p⎟⎟⎞
⎠s δ s = −
⎝⎜ ∂z ⎠
⎟ s δ s ≡Γ δ s
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Note: For ideal gas: Γ = g cp
Earth’s atmosphere: Γ =1 K 100 m
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Model Aircraft MeasurementsModel Aircraft Measurements(Renno and Williams, 1995)(Renno and Williams, 1995)
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MIT OpenCourseWarehttp://ocw.mit.edu
12.103 Science and Policy of Natural Hazards Spring 2010
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