1 topic 27: investment returns arithmetic average: sum/n geometric mean: less than arithmetic…

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1 Topic 27: Investment Returns Arithmetic average: sum/n Geometric mean: Less than arithmetic as it factors in compounding As standard deviation increases, geometric becomes larger than arithmetic If no standard deviation, they are same Steps Multiply all returns +/-1, calculate PV of result Time weighted: evaluate portfolio manager Ignores cash flows in/out of portfolio by investors Includes capital gains, and dividends received by portfolio Same calculation as geometric mean

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3 Topic 27: Investment Returns  Real return= Nominal return – Inflation rate Nominal 13% Inflation 3%  I = ((1+Nominal)/(1+Inflation))-1  Also referred to as serial  Assumes nominal rate not compouded If it is, real return = nominal – inflation  Internal Rate of Return, NPV Present value of -0- If IRR>required return, present value positive Assumes cash flows reinvested at IRR Favors projects generating cash flows early

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Page 1: 1 Topic 27: Investment Returns  Arithmetic average: sum/n  Geometric mean: Less than arithmetic…

1

Topic 27: Investment Returns Arithmetic average: sum/n Geometric mean:

Less than arithmetic as it factors in compounding As standard deviation increases, geometric becomes larger

than arithmetic If no standard deviation, they are same Steps

Multiply all returns +/-1, calculate PV of result Time weighted: evaluate portfolio manager Ignores cash flows in/out of portfolio by investors Includes capital gains, and dividends received by portfolio Same calculation as geometric mean

Page 2: 1 Topic 27: Investment Returns  Arithmetic average: sum/n  Geometric mean: Less than arithmetic…

2

Topic 27: Investment Returns Dollar weighted: evaluate investor’s performance

Factors cash flows in/out of portfolio IRR calculation

Underperformance by mutual fund investors More frequent/pronounced in volatile funds

Holding period: (capital gain/loss)+dividend or interest/original investment Can also factor in taxes and transaction costs

Page 3: 1 Topic 27: Investment Returns  Arithmetic average: sum/n  Geometric mean: Less than arithmetic…

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Topic 27: Investment Returns Real return= Nominal return – Inflation rate

Nominal 13% Inflation 3% I = ((1+Nominal)/(1+Inflation))-1 Also referred to as serial Assumes nominal rate not compouded

If it is, real return = nominal – inflation

Internal Rate of Return, NPV Present value of -0- If IRR>required return, present value positive Assumes cash flows reinvested at IRR Favors projects generating cash flows early

Page 4: 1 Topic 27: Investment Returns  Arithmetic average: sum/n  Geometric mean: Less than arithmetic…

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Topic 27: Investment Returns Total return:(capital gain + dividend)/investment YTM: return on bonds

Compute using semi-annual periods for zero coupon bonds Yield to call: assumes bond is called in YTM calculation Current yield: annual income/current price

After-tax: dividends currently taxed at 15% Taxable equivalent yield (munis):

tax-free yield/(1- tax rate) After-tax rate of return:

Taxable return x (1 – tax rate)