1 south africa tourism satellite account parliament portfolio committee on tourism 12 october 2010

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South AfricaTourism Satellite Account

Parliament Portfolio Committee on Tourism12 October 2010

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Content

• Important concepts and definitions

• The TSA process in South Africa

• Draft TSA for South Africa, 2005

• Tourism Statistics at Statistics South Africa

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Concepts & Definitions

Country of Residence

Lived in RSA for at least one year

Intend to live in RSA for at least one year

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Concepts &Definitions

Forms of Tourism

Inbound

Domestic

Outbound

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The Usual Environment

Once a week or more

40 kilometres

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Tourist

““person traveling outside the usual environment for more person traveling outside the usual environment for more than one day but not more than a year and the person is than one day but not more than a year and the person is

not remunerated at the destination”not remunerated at the destination”

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TSA process

TSA process in SA

De

ve

lop

ex

pe

rtise

thro

ug

h th

e U

NW

TO

(on

go

ing

)

1998 - 1999

2002

March 2002

May 2002

2003 - 2004

Oct 2004

April 2005

July 2005

2006 - 2008

WTTC developed simulated TSA for SA

WTTC update for SA

Inter-institutional committee (working team) formed

Visit by French expert to provide advice for development of TSA

Development of new data sources for the TSA

Visit by TSA expert to assess the status of the TSA

Discussion document on the status of the TSA

Development of TSA model based on supply and use tables

Addressing data gaps – further development of the TSA model and discussion documents on the status of the TSA

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TSA process

TSA process in SA

De

ve

lop

ex

pe

rtise

thro

ug

h th

e U

NW

TO

(on

go

ing

)

May 2009

Nov 2009

Nov 2010

First draft TSA for SA, 2005 Indaba

National Accounts rebased and benchmarked

Final TSA for SA 2005 and pre limenary TSA for SA for 2006 to 2008

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TSA process

Only TSA from 2002 to 2007?

NONO•Domestic tourism module in the General Household Survey – Domestic tourism module in the General Household Survey – became the Domestic Tourism Surveybecame the Domestic Tourism Survey

•SAT departure survey – SASQAF (NSS) – acceptable statisticsSAT departure survey – SASQAF (NSS) – acceptable statistics

•Re – engineering of the Tourism and Migration releaseRe – engineering of the Tourism and Migration release

•Standardisation of concepts and definitions within Stats SA and Standardisation of concepts and definitions within Stats SA and between organisations between organisations

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Draft TSA, 2005

Launch of the draft TSA

Joint Launch

Two phased approach

Stats SA SAT DEAT SARB

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Draft TSA, 2005The 10 tables of the TSA

Table 1: Inbound tourism expenditure

Table 9: Tourism collective consumption by CPC (Central

Product Classification) products and levels of government

Table 10: Non-monetary indicators

Table 7: Employment in the tourism industries

Table 8: Gross fixed capital formation of tourism industries and

other industries

Table 6: Domestic supply and internal tourism

Table 5: Production accountsTable 4: Internal tourism

Table 3: Outbound tourism expenditure

Table 2: Domestic tourism expenditure

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Draft TSA, 2005

Key concepts used in the TSA

Gross direct value added of the tourism industries

Tourism industries

Visitors Non-visitors

Tourism direct gross value added

Non-tourism industries

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Draft TSA, 2005

Flows of tourism expenditure through the South African economy, 2005

Tourism direct gross value addedR42 355 million

Employment in tourism industries527 630 employees

Domestic tourism expenditureR54 499 million

Inbound tourism expenditureR51 090 million

Internal tourism expenditureR105 588 million

Gross direct value added of the tourism industries R65 221 million

Outbound tourism expenditureR30 631 million

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Draft TSA, 2005

The Key Results of the draft TSA for SA, 2005

Gross value added of the tourism industries R 65 221 million

(4,7%)

Tourism direct gross value added R 42 355 million

(3,1%)

Tourism direct gross domestic product R 45 649 million

(3,0%)

Direct employment in the tourism industries 527 630

(4,3%)

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Draft TSA, 2005

Results of the TSA (UNWTO) versus WTTC (previously quoted by industry)

Draft TSA, 2005 WTTC, 2005

Direct contribution to GDP 3,0% 3,29%

Direct and indirect contribution to GDP

- (The TSA ONLY measures DIRECT contribution to the

GDP)

8,15%

Direct employment 527 630

(4,3%)

478 630

(3,9%)

•TSA (UNWTO) – Internationally recommended methodological framework for calculating the contribution of tourism to the economy (GDP)

•WTTC – Simulated model

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Draft TSA, 2005

Comparison – Tourism vs traditional industries

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Electricity, gasand water

Agriculture,forestry and

fishing

Construction Tourism Mining andquarrying

Transport,storage and

communication

Wholesale andretail

Manufacturing Community,social andpersonalservices

Finance, realestate andbusinessservices

industry

perc

enta

ge

VA Employment

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Draft TSA, 2005

Distribution of value added and employment within the tourism industry

0,0

5,0

10,0

15,0

20,0

25,0

30,0

35,0

40,0

Cultural and sportand recreational

services

Food and beverages Travel agencies andsimilar

Retail trade oftourism connected

goods

Transport equipmentrental

Accommodation Passenger transport Other non-tourismindustries

industry

perc

enta

ge

VA Employment

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Draft TSA, 2005

International comparison

0,0 1,0 2,0 3,0 4,0 5,0 6,0 7,0

Canada (2005)

Hong Kong (2003)

India (2006)

Poland (2005)

South Africa (2005)

Australia (2005/06)

Bulgaria (2005)

New Zealand (2005)

Austria (2005)

Cou

ntry

% contribution to GDP (direct)

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Tourism Stats

Tourism Statistics in Statistics South Africa (short term indicators)

•Survey of tourist accommodation (P6420) – total income generated by the accommodation industry (accommodation, restaurants and bar sales, other income), stay units available, stay unit nights sold, occupancy rates

0,0 500,0 1 000,0 1 500,0 2 000,0 2 500,0

Jun-09

Jul-09

Aug-09

Sep-09

Oct-09

Nov-09

Dec-09

Jan-10

Feb-10

Mar-10

Apr-10

May-10

Jun-10

Jul-10

Mo

nth

R million

Total income Of which is income from accommodation

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Tourism Stats


•Survey of food and beverages (P6410) – total income generated by the food and beverages serving industry (food sales, bar sales, other income)

0,0 500,0 1 000,0 1 500,0 2 000,0 2 500,0 3 000,0 3 500,0

Jun-09

Jul-09

Aug-09

Sep-09

Oct-09

Nov-09

Dec-09

Jan-10

Feb-10

Mar-10

Apr-10

May-10

Jun-10

Jul-10

Mo

nth

R million

Total income Of which is income from food sales

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Tourism Stats


•Tourism and migration (P0351) – arrivals and departures

0 200 000 400 000 600 000 800 000 1 000 000 1 200 000

Jun-09

Jul-09

Aug-09

Sep-09

Oct-09

Nov-09

Dec-09

Jan-10

Feb-10

Mar-10

Apr-10

May-10

Jun-10

Jul-10

Mo

nth

Arrivals

Foreign Arrivals Of which are visitors

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Thank YouThank You

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Draft TSA, 2005

•SOURCE DATA

•International Recommendations on Tourism Statistics (IRTS)

•TOURISM SATELLITE ACCOUNT

•Tourism Satellite Account – Recommended Methodological Framework (TSA: RMF)

Demand•Departure Survey

•Domestic Survey

•Arrivals and Departures

•GHS

•IES

•Balance of Payments

•Supply and Use tables

Supply•Survey of tourist accommodation

•Survey of food and beverages

•Large sample surveys (accommodation, personal services, transport industry, real estate and business services, wholesale and retail trade)

•EAS

•Supply and Use tables

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Draft TSA, 2005

Methodology used for the compilation: TSA:RMF, Dec 2008

Basis – 2005 Supply and Use tables (not benchmarked)

95 industries and 27 goods and

services

Step 2Step 1 Step 3

Extraction of detailed data (products and industries)

Tourism single purpose consumer durables

Valuation of reservation services

Gross margin – purchased separately

Dual classification – tourism exp

Cost of production and component of tourism

consumption

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Draft TSA, 2005

Tourists Same - day Total visitorsvisitors

(1,1) (1,2) (1,3) = (1,1) + (1,2)

A. Specific products A.1 Characteristic products 1 - Accommodation services 1.1 - Hotels and other accommodation services for visitors other than 1.2 x 1.2 - Accommodation services associated with all forms of vacation home ownership x 2 - Restaurant and similar x 3 - Passenger transport services 3.1 - Railway passenger transportation services

3.2 - Road passenger transportation services

3.3 - Water passenger transportation services

3.4 - Air passenger transportation services

3.5 - Transport equipment rental

4 - Travel agencies and similar 4.1 - Reservation services provided by travel agencies (1)

4.2 - Reservation services provided by tour operators (2)

4.3 - Other reservation services

5 - Cultural services 6 - Sports and recreational services 7 - Tourism-characteristic goods (3) 8 - Other country-specific tourism-characteristic services A.2 Connected products Services

B. Non-specific products Services

Goods

Totalnumber of trips

number of overnights

Total inbound tourism expenditure

Products

No data currently

collected by SAT

SAT departure survey certified by

NSSD as acceptable stats –

May 2007

BoP (adj)

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Draft TSA, 2005

Tourists Same-day Total visitors Tourists Same-day Total visitors Tourists Same-day Total visitorsvisitors visitors visitors

Products (2.1) (2.2) (2.3) = (2.1) + (2.2) (2.4) (2.5) (2.6) = (2.4) + (2.5) (2.7) = (2.1) + (2.4) (2.8) = (2.2) + (2.5) (2.9) = (2.3) + (2.6)

A. Specific products A.1 Characteristic products 1 - Accommodation services x x x 1.1 - Hotels and other accommodation services for visitors other than 1.2 x x x 1.2 - Accommodation services associated with all forms of vacation home ownership x x x 2 - Restaurant and similar 3 - Passenger transport services 3.1 - Railway passenger transportation services

3.2 - Road passenger transportation services

3.3 - Water passenger transportation services

3.4 - Air passenger transportation services

3.5 - Transport equipment rental

4 - Travel agencies and similar 4.1 - Reservation services provided by travel agencies (1)

4.2 - Reservation services provided by tour operators (2)

4.3 - Other reservation services

5 - Cultural services 6 - Sports and recreational services 7 - Tourism-characteristic goods (3) 8 - Other country-specific tourism-characteristic services A.2 Connected products Services

B. Non-specific products Services

Goods

Total

number of tripsnumber of overnights

Total domestic tourism expenditureResident visitorson a domestic trip on an international trip (expenditure prior to

leaving the country of reference)

Domestic Tourism Survey

GHS tourism module

SAT domestic survey

Domestic Tourism Survey

IC, PCE

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TSA: what has been published

Draft TSA for SA, 2005Draft TSA for SA, 2005 Tourism Tourism Indaba, May Indaba, May

20092009

Based on the 2005 SU-tables – detail for 94 industries and 27 Based on the 2005 SU-tables – detail for 94 industries and 27 productsproducts

All stakeholders had until March All stakeholders had until March 2010 to send any comments on 2010 to send any comments on

data or methodologydata or methodology

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Developments in National Acc

•Benchmarking of National Accounts - new base year 2005 - Benchmarking of National Accounts - new base year 2005 - published in November 2009published in November 2009

Previous SU-tables:Previous SU-tables:•94 industries94 industries•27 products27 products•Industry classification: Industry classification: SICSIC•Product classification: Product classification: linked to SIClinked to SIC

‘‘New’ SU-tables:New’ SU-tables:•292 industries292 industries•105 products105 products•Industry classification: Industry classification: SICSIC•Product classification: Product classification: CPCCPC

Benchmarked 2005 SU-tables will be published in September Benchmarked 2005 SU-tables will be published in September 20102010

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Improvements

AccommodationAccommodation

Previous SU-tables:Previous SU-tables:

• Industry:Industry:

1.1. HotelsHotels

• Product:Product:

1.1. Hotels, RestaurantsHotels, Restaurants

New SU-tables:New SU-tables:


1.1. Hotels,motels,botels Hotels,motels,botels and innsand inns

2.2. Caravan parks and Caravan parks and camping sitescamping sites

3.3. Guest-houses and Guest-houses and guest-farmsguest-farms

4.4. Other accommodationOther accommodation


1.1. Accommodation Accommodation servicesservices



1.1. Hotels,motels,botels Hotels,motels,botels and innsand inns


3.3. Guest-houses and Guest-houses and guest-farmsguest-farms



1.1. Accommodation Accommodation servicesservices



1.1. Hotels,motels,botels and Hotels,motels,botels and innsinns


3.3. Guest-houses and guest-Guest-houses and guest-farmsfarms



1.1. Accommodation servicesAccommodation services

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Improvements

TransportTransport

Previous SU-tables:Previous SU-tables:• IndustryIndustry1.1. Railway transportRailway transport2.2. Other scheduled passenger land Other scheduled passenger land

transport and other non-transport and other non-scheduled passenger land scheduled passenger land transporttransport

3.3. Freight transport by roadFreight transport by road4.4. Transport via pipelinesTransport via pipelines5.5. Water transportWater transport6.6. Air transportAir transport7.7. Cargo handlingCargo handling8.8. Other supporting transport Other supporting transport

activitiesactivities9.9. Travel agency and related Travel agency and related

activitiesactivities

• ProductProduct1.1. TransportTransport

New SU-tables:New SU-tables:• IndustryIndustry1.1. Railway transportRailway transport2.2. Other scheduled passenger land Other scheduled passenger land

transporttransport3.3. Other non-scheduled passenger Other non-scheduled passenger

land transportland transport4.4. Freight transport by roadFreight transport by road5.5. Transport via pipelinesTransport via pipelines6.6. Water transportWater transport7.7. Air transportAir transport8.8. Cargo handlingCargo handling9.9. Storage and warehousingStorage and warehousing10.10. Other supporting transport activitiesOther supporting transport activities11.11. Travel agency and related activitiesTravel agency and related activities12.12. Activities of other transport agenciesActivities of other transport agencies

• ProductProduct1.1. Passenger transport servicesPassenger transport services

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SU-table and the TSA

SU table for 2005 will be published in September 2010SU table for 2005 will be published in September 2010

Access to and permission to use unpublished pre-limenary SU Access to and permission to use unpublished pre-limenary SU –Tables for 2006, 2007 and 2008–Tables for 2006, 2007 and 2008

Still open to revision (new data, etc). Still open to revision (new data, etc).

Final TSA for SA for 2005, and pre-lim for 2006, 2007 and 2008 Final TSA for SA for 2005, and pre-lim for 2006, 2007 and 2008 by 30 November 2010by 30 November 2010

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Way forward

Future development/improvement

Separate same-day visitors and tourists (Table 1, 2 and 4)

Investigate the possibility of compiling Table 3 (Outbound tourism) (no alternative data source)

Use the DTS for the compilation of Table 2 (Domestic Tourism)

Research the treatment of housing services provided by second homes on own account or for free – (no alternative data source)

Research the treatment of the service charges paid to travel agents, tour operators and other reservation services – (no alternative data source)

Improve industry ratios applied to employment and measure the full-time employees - (no alternative data source)

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Tourism and Migration

Travellers versus Tourists (2009) (Tourism 2009, Report 03-51-02 (2009))

Foreign travellersForeign travellers

18 778 55618 778 556

ArrivalsArrivals

10 098 30610 098 306

DeparturesDepartures

8 680 2508 680 250

VisitorsVisitors

9 531 6159 531 615

Non VisitorsNon Visitors

566 691566 691

TouristsTourists

7 011 8657 011 865

Same daySame day

2 519 7502 519 750

1 south africa tourism satellite account parliament portfolio committee on tourism 12 october 2010

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