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Ship Time Concerns for the Global Ocean Observing

System:Issues and Scenarios

David Goodrich/Diane Stanitski7th Annual Ocean Climate

Observation Program or Program Report

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Ship Issues for the Ocean Observing System

Overarching: Ship support essential for the OOS

Do Fleet priorities match NOAA priorities?Near Term (1-2 years):

• Declining base funded days• TAO transition to NCS• Securing climate component of OAR Charter

FundMedium Term (3-4 years):• Availability of large research vessels

o Competition from NSF Ocean Observatories Init.o Retirement of Knorr, Melville; rehab of Brown

2014Long Term (8-10 years):• NOAA Fleet as fisheries fleet

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Climate Ship time Requirements - Summary

Sustained Ocean Climate Observing System Days at SeaEquivalent

Funds ($K)

FY10 NOAA Fleet and Charter Current Spt. 5717,036

FY10 International Partnerships 353 12,555

Additional Planning Requirements (FY11) 25510,881

TOTAL days required 1179 $30,472

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NWS TAO Transfer to NCS: Budget Implications

Annual Analysis• Operations, Maintenance and Refresh: $6.7M• Shiptime: (278 Days required, assumes minimum 150 Days from OMAO on KA) $2.5M• Existing TAO Budget Lines: ($3.7M)• Shortfall: $5.5M

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Ship Time Concerns

Issues• Decline of NOAA fleet

assets are a key concern• TAO transition to NCS• Ronald H Brown offline in

FY14• Availability of large

research vessels in near future

• Chartering /Acquisitions• Required ship time funds

increase

• FY11, 12 – Reduced DAS on NOAA fleet (Anticipated 130 DAS per ship)

• FY12, 13 – KA mid-life repair; TAO ship support

• FY14 RHB mid-life repair; 2 global class UNOLS vessels retiring

• Securing climate component of OAR charter funds for NCS

Needs

Ship support essential to the OOS

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Fleet Working Group Prioritization Process

Criteria

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The Cross-Goal Prioritization Team uses the following Criteria:

• Mission Goals and Programs - Projects that score high are addressing program’s highest priorities

• Legislative Mandates, Executive Orders & Intn’l Treaties – considers projects authorized by Congress and the President

• Impact to Society - takes into account the link between the proposed project and the benefits to society (i.e., safety of life, public health and public welfare)

• Vessel Capability - takes into account a NOAA vessel that has a unique physical characteristic, or a combination of capabilities, that’s not available on a charter vessel

• Long-Term Data Series - recognizes data acquisition at a set frequency to achieve accuracy and continuity required to detect environmental trends

• Promote One NOAA Projects - encourages cooperation and integration to gain better efficiencies for at-sea days by combining projects or through collaboration

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Prioritization & Fleet Allocation Process Overview

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Data Call(Jan-Apr)

FWG Prioritizations(May-Sept)

TPIO Sensitivity Analysis

(Oct)

Results of Prioritization to

FC (Oct)

FWG Develops Draft FAP @ MAX Ship Capacity (Nov-Dec)

FC Reviews 1st Draft FAP

(Dec)

MOC Begins Drafting FAP to Reflect President’s Budget (Jan-Mar)

~2 Years Before Execution

10 Months Before ExecutionFC Reviews 1st

Draft FAP(Mar)

FWG Adjusts Draft FAP to Ongoing Changes (e.g. PFDs, Detailed Schedules) (Apr-Aug)

FC Reviews & Approves 3rd & Final

Draft FAP (Sept)

FAP Executed(Oct)

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Session 5: An Example of Approaching the System as a System:

The Tropical Pacific Ocean Observing Network

Challenge: What impact would a 30% reduction in ship time on the Ka’imimoana and a 10% reduction in budget have on the tropical Pacific ocean observing system, and what approach should be taken to continue monitoring and delivery of observing system data necessary for essential analysis and forecasting?

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Session 5: An Example of Approaching the System as a System:

The Tropical Pacific Ocean Observing Network

System Component: Discussants:

Moored TAO arrays Shannon McArthur

Argo floats Greg Johnson

Drifters Rick Lumpkin

Carbon Richard Feely

Satellites (altimetry, winds, SST) Eric Lindstrom

Operational Analysis Yan Xue

S/I Forecasting Arun Kumar

TRITON array Kentaro Ando

Challenge: What impact would a 30% reduction in ship time on the Ka’imimoana and a 10% reduction in budget have on the tropical Pacific ocean observing system, and what approach should be taken to continue monitoring and delivery of observing system data necessary for essential analysis and forecasting?