1 ship time concerns for the global ocean observing system: issues and scenarios david...
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Ship Time Concerns for the Global Ocean Observing
System:Issues and Scenarios
David Goodrich/Diane Stanitski7th Annual Ocean Climate
Observation Program or Program Report
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Ship Issues for the Ocean Observing System
Overarching: Ship support essential for the OOS
Do Fleet priorities match NOAA priorities?Near Term (1-2 years):
• Declining base funded days• TAO transition to NCS• Securing climate component of OAR Charter
FundMedium Term (3-4 years):• Availability of large research vessels
o Competition from NSF Ocean Observatories Init.o Retirement of Knorr, Melville; rehab of Brown
2014Long Term (8-10 years):• NOAA Fleet as fisheries fleet
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Climate Ship time Requirements - Summary
Sustained Ocean Climate Observing System Days at SeaEquivalent
Funds ($K)
FY10 NOAA Fleet and Charter Current Spt. 5717,036
FY10 International Partnerships 353 12,555
Additional Planning Requirements (FY11) 25510,881
TOTAL days required 1179 $30,472
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NWS TAO Transfer to NCS: Budget Implications
Annual Analysis• Operations, Maintenance and Refresh: $6.7M• Shiptime: (278 Days required, assumes minimum 150 Days from OMAO on KA) $2.5M• Existing TAO Budget Lines: ($3.7M)• Shortfall: $5.5M
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Ship Time Concerns
Issues• Decline of NOAA fleet
assets are a key concern• TAO transition to NCS• Ronald H Brown offline in
FY14• Availability of large
research vessels in near future
• Chartering /Acquisitions• Required ship time funds
increase
• FY11, 12 – Reduced DAS on NOAA fleet (Anticipated 130 DAS per ship)
• FY12, 13 – KA mid-life repair; TAO ship support
• FY14 RHB mid-life repair; 2 global class UNOLS vessels retiring
• Securing climate component of OAR charter funds for NCS
Needs
Ship support essential to the OOS
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Fleet Working Group Prioritization Process
Criteria
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The Cross-Goal Prioritization Team uses the following Criteria:
• Mission Goals and Programs - Projects that score high are addressing program’s highest priorities
• Legislative Mandates, Executive Orders & Intn’l Treaties – considers projects authorized by Congress and the President
• Impact to Society - takes into account the link between the proposed project and the benefits to society (i.e., safety of life, public health and public welfare)
• Vessel Capability - takes into account a NOAA vessel that has a unique physical characteristic, or a combination of capabilities, that’s not available on a charter vessel
• Long-Term Data Series - recognizes data acquisition at a set frequency to achieve accuracy and continuity required to detect environmental trends
• Promote One NOAA Projects - encourages cooperation and integration to gain better efficiencies for at-sea days by combining projects or through collaboration
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Prioritization & Fleet Allocation Process Overview
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Data Call(Jan-Apr)
FWG Prioritizations(May-Sept)
TPIO Sensitivity Analysis
(Oct)
Results of Prioritization to
FC (Oct)
FWG Develops Draft FAP @ MAX Ship Capacity (Nov-Dec)
FC Reviews 1st Draft FAP
(Dec)
MOC Begins Drafting FAP to Reflect President’s Budget (Jan-Mar)
~2 Years Before Execution
10 Months Before ExecutionFC Reviews 1st
Draft FAP(Mar)
FWG Adjusts Draft FAP to Ongoing Changes (e.g. PFDs, Detailed Schedules) (Apr-Aug)
FC Reviews & Approves 3rd & Final
Draft FAP (Sept)
FAP Executed(Oct)
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Session 5: An Example of Approaching the System as a System:
The Tropical Pacific Ocean Observing Network
Challenge: What impact would a 30% reduction in ship time on the Ka’imimoana and a 10% reduction in budget have on the tropical Pacific ocean observing system, and what approach should be taken to continue monitoring and delivery of observing system data necessary for essential analysis and forecasting?
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Session 5: An Example of Approaching the System as a System:
The Tropical Pacific Ocean Observing Network
System Component: Discussants:
Moored TAO arrays Shannon McArthur
Argo floats Greg Johnson
Drifters Rick Lumpkin
Carbon Richard Feely
Satellites (altimetry, winds, SST) Eric Lindstrom
Operational Analysis Yan Xue
S/I Forecasting Arun Kumar
TRITON array Kentaro Ando
Challenge: What impact would a 30% reduction in ship time on the Ka’imimoana and a 10% reduction in budget have on the tropical Pacific ocean observing system, and what approach should be taken to continue monitoring and delivery of observing system data necessary for essential analysis and forecasting?