1. rear admiral r.p. girrier deputy commander, u.s. pacific fleet

Rear Admiral R.P. GirrierDeputy Commander, U.S. Pacific Fleet

3UNCLASSIFIEDLeading America’s Rebalance to the PacificLeading America’s Rebalance to the Pacific

There are more people living inside this circle than outside of it

- Over 50% of the Earth's surface- Over 50% of the world's population- World’s most populous country and its

smallest nations- 7 of 10 largest armies- 15 of 20 busiest ports- 8 of 10 busiest air travel routes- World's largest democracy- Ring of Fire

Globalization Fuels Prosperity

Strait of Malacca•1/3 of world trade•1/2 of oil shipping•70,000 ships/year

15 of world’s 20 busiest container ports

- 10 in China

4UNCLASSIFIEDLeading America’s Rebalance to the Pacific

Tokyo 1945The Han River 1953

Singapore 1950s

Tokyo Today

Singapore Today

The Han River Today

Prosperity Requires Unfettered Access

Maritime security today……And the assurance of security tomorrow


Maritime security underpins free movement of trade

& access to resources

Imperatives and Daily challenges

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Freedom of the seas Natural disastersGlobal commerce

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Leading America’s Rebalance to the Pacific

Most Volatile Challenge: North Korea

Assessment: Kim has established his own regime, separate from his father; however expect Kim to use a range of provocation options in a similar manner to ensure his regime’s hold on power. Presents a volatile challenge to regional stability.

ROKS CHEONAN Bow Section Recovered, Apr 2010

Chang Song Taek Arrested, Dec 2013

Shelling of Y-P Do, Nov 2010

Kim Jong-Un Consolidates Military Authority & Party

Loyalty

Directly Responsible for Provacative Actions

Kim at Military Parade, Jul 2013

Troops Wearing Backpacks with Radiation Symbol, Jul 2013

following Feb 2013 Nuke Test

Satellite Launch,Dec 2012

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2C H I N AC H I N A

J A P A NJ A P A N

VIETNAMVIETNAM

MALAYSIAMALAYSIA

ROKROK

DPRKDPRK

RUSSIARUSSIA

TAIWANTAIWAN

PHILIPPINESPHILIPPINES

200 nm Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) Disputed Areas

Japan-Russia Dispute:Northern Territories/Southern Kurile Islands

Japan-Korea Dispute:Takeshima/Dokdo


Potential for MiscalculationConflict Fueled by History


Which China Is It?

“China will depend on the ocean to prosper and will steadily promote the building of its maritime power…” – PRC President Xi, Jul 2013

PEACE ARK

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JIANGKAI II

YUZHAO

“The United States welcomes the rise of a peaceful, prosperous, and stable China….” SECSTATE Kerry, August 14, 2014

RIMPAC

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:HS_Peace_Ark-1.jpg

https://intellipedia.intelink.sgov.gov/w/images/a/a7/Tsicorponi92515.jpg


“We love peace…but that doesn’t mean giving up our rights, especially those involving the nation’s

Core interests” – PRC President Xi, Aug 2013

PRC actions indicate desire to challenge status quo, achieve sovereignty inside First Island Chain, increase influence abroad

Reveal Nuclear Subs

JIDONG-5

CV-16 LIAONING

New Platforms

Challenging Japan in ECS

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Which China Is It?

MISSION ACTION 2013

HYSY 981

The pace and scale of China’s land reclamation are unprecedented

30 Jan 201530 Mar 2014

PRC South China Sea Land Reclamation

Source: IHS Jane’s via Wall Street Journal, 18 Feb 2015Leading America’s Rebalance to the Pacific UNCLASSIFED 11

Jul 2014 Nov 2014

2004

Jan 2015

Feb 2006

Jan 2015

Leading America’s Rebalance to the Pacific 12

How We Operate: Our Maritime Strategy In The Pacific

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Sea ControlDeterrenceMaritime Security

Humanitarian Assistance/ Disaster Relief Power Projection

All Domain Access (Cyber)

150+ Exercises & 350+ Port Visits Each Year

Leading America’s Rebalance to the PacificDTG: 13

1. rear admiral r.p. girrier deputy commander, u.s. pacific fleet

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