1 let’s keep this simple! here’s the basic formula that describes the current contribution of...
TRANSCRIPT
1
Let’s keep this simple!
• Here’s the basic formula that describes the current contribution of RISA’s members to the oligopolistic and highly lucrative radio advertising revenue pie that the SABC and other members of the National Association of Broadcasters control.
2
RiSA Member’s output of
sound recordings
=30 billion hours of
radio entertainment for consumers
=3,6 trillion units of 30 seconds of saleable timefor broadcasters
=R2 billion radio
advertising revenue for broadcasters
(2006)
= ZERO revenue for record companies and performers
=HOW MUCH Revenue for record companies and performers in future?
Copyright Tribunalreferral
3
Commercial Music Radio
• Commercial music radio has been growing its advertising revenues at a significantly faster rate than the national economic growth.
• All radio stations that are essentially music stations – commercial or PBS – show the same basic revenue growth trends.
4
Watch the curve !
• Have a look at the increase in advertising revenue of commercial music radio stations over the past eight years – going back to the time at which the music industry was united in its call for needletime – and when the SABC and the NAB declined to participate in the DAC’s Music Industry Task Team.
• Lets start with some independent commercial music stations.
5
94.7
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
94.7
94.7 9 12 18 33 44 52 54 66 80 102 112 0 135 162 195 219 233 286
1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
*Note the growth between 1999 and 2006 – from R112m to R286m.
Advertising revenue in Rm
6
Jacaranda
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Jacaranda
Jacaranda 7.9 9.3 10.8 14.6 20.6 24.5 28.8 38.4 47.3 68.9 95.3 112 110 135 182 201 238 274
1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
*Note: R112m in 2000 – and R274m in 2006
Advertising revenue in Rm
7
East Coast
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
East Coast
East Coast 6.6 7.0 7.4 11 14 17 19 28 39 51 70 90 114 139 182 206 218 243
1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
*Note: from R90m in 2000 to R243m in 2006.
Advertising revenue in Rm
8
Now let’s look at SABC’s commercial stations…
9
Metro
0
50
100
150
200
250
Metro
Metro 6 8 10 19 32 53 65 83 88 82 89 0 117 146 147 168 204 234
1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
*Note: from R89m in 1999 to R234m in 2006.
Advertising revenue in Rm
10
5FM
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
5FM
5FM 29 37 41 46 50 61 66 83 85 76 81 114 107 112 119 119 157 165
1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
*Note: from R81m in 1999 to R165m in 2006.
Advertising revenue in Rm
11
SABC’s PBS stations have reflected the same growth
patterns.
12
Umhlobo Wenene
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
Umhlobo
Umhlobo 4.0 6.2 9.5 13.9 18.3 23.4 27.1 31.0 36.2 32.4 34.2 61.6 46.9 62.6 78 81 101 112
1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
*Note: from R34,2m in 1999 to R112m in 2006.
Advertising revenue in Rm
13
Ukhozi
0
50
100
150
200
250
Ukhozi
Ukhozi 15.75 23.5 33.0 41.0 43.6 59.4 62.6 77.9 63.7 76.6 84.1 114 87.3 109.1 128 132 183 191
1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
*Note: from R84,1m in 1999 to R191m in 2006.
Advertising revenue in Rm
14
Thobela
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Thobela
Thobela 6.6 7.8 10.3 13.0 14.8 16.6 17.8 19.6 23.2 20.0 20.8 31.2 25.5 36.5 43 44 56 62
1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
*Note: from R20,8m in 1999 to R62m in 2006.
Advertising revenue in Rm
15
Motsweding
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Motsweding
Motsweding 3.9 5.4 7.1 9.9 11.5 14.0 16.8 20.5 25.3 21.6 21.6 29.8 24 35.3 42 45 56 62
1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
*Note: from R21,6m in 1999 to R62m in 2006.
Advertising revenue in Rm
16
Lesedi
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Lesedi
Lesedi 4.1 6.4 9.8 13.7 16.7 21.1 23.1 24.5 31.0 30.4 32.1 52.8 44.3 59.8 70 77 97 103
1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
*Note: from R32,1m in 1999 to R103m in 2006.
Advertising revenue in Rm
17
What about radio stations that are not music stations?
• The same trends do not characterise the growth of non-music stations.
18
SAfm
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
SAfm
SAfm 10 11 13 14 16 17 13 10 10 12 16 0 18 24 26 29 32 29
1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
*Note: from R16m in 1999 to R29m in 2006.
Advertising revenue in Rm
19
And compare an all-talk station – which had exactly
the same advertising revenue in 2006 as it had in 1997.
20
702
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
702
702 23 26 31 33 41 48 55 46 57 47 42 0 31 34 34 43 50 57
1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
*Note: R57m in 1997… and R57m in 2006
Advertising revenue in Rm
21
Let’s look at some other non-SABC commercial music radio
stations.
The trends is exactly the same.
22
YFM
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
YFM
YFM 14 25 33 29 59 2 43 120 126
1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Advertising revenue in Rm
*Note: from R33m in 2000 to R126m in 2006
23
KFM
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
KFM
KFM 2 4 9 18 27 37 47 48 63 68 43 130 159 119 144
1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Advertising revenue in Rm
*Note: from R48m in 1999 to R144m in 2006
24
Algoa
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Algoa
Algoa 3.9 4.2 4.1 6.5 8.5 9.6 10 13.5 15.7 14.5 23.2 12.4 7 13 17 23 46 53
1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Advertising revenue in Rm
*Note: from R23,2m in 1999 to R53m in 2006
25
OFM
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
OFM
OFM 5 6 7 10 12 13 13.0 15 17 15.0 25 35 9 12 17 24 44 50
1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Advertising revenue in Rm
*Note: from R25m in 1999 to R50m in 2006
26
RiSA Member’s output of
sound recordings
=30 billion hours of
radio entertainment for consumers
=3,6 trillion units of 30 seconds of saleable timefor broadcasters
=R2 billion radio
advertising revenue for broadcasters
(2006)
= ZERO revenue for record companies and performers
=HOW MUCH Revenue for record companies and performers in future?
Copyright Tribunalreferral
27
Radio Station’s revenue ___________________
10
SAMPRA FORMULA
X
Music __________________
All Editorial Content
Needletime:
Plus 2,5% for mechanical transfer license(optional at instance of station).
28
SAMPRA FORMULA – Example
Station’s advertising revenue = R200m
______ 8
= R25m x
Music owned / controlled by SAMPRA members
__________
All Editorial Content
=60___100
= R15m
Needletime and mechanicaltransfer license
royalty per annum.
29
Copyright Tribunal
• Based on a string of previous statements by SABC and NAB, SAMPRA does not believe that there is a sensible or realistic prospect of negotiating an agreed tariff with broadcasters.
• SAMPRA therefore intends to refer the tariff to the Copyright Tribunal as soon as possible.
30
Arrear Claims
SAMPRA intends to institute a High Court action on behalf of owners against commercial broadcasters for needletime royalties retrospective to the introduction of legislation in June 2002.
31
Arrear Claims
SAMPRA intends to lobby for South African performers only to be compensated for the period 1965 – May 2002 in order to create a statutorily controlled social security fund for performers.
What amount would be appropriate for 37 years of free music usage by SABC of the totality of South African musicians recorded output?
32
Arrear Claims for performers only
SAMPRA will lobby for an injection of R200m by SABC and government, jointly, to create a viable fund that will kick-start social security for artists, based on their contributions to airplay, giving them a monthly allowance, some measure of medical cover and a funeral scheme as fair compensation for nearly four decades of free usage of their music by SABC.
© Keith Lister 2007