1 lecture 6: economics & geopolitical dimensions zaini ujang @ lund univ., sweden, 25-29 feb....

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1 Lecture 6: Economics & Geopolitical dimensi ZAINI UJANG @ Lund Univ., Sweden, 25-29 Feb. 2 Lecture 6: Economic and geo-political dimensions Prof. Ir. Dr. Zaini Ujang [email protected] http://www.fkkksa.utm.my/staff/zaini

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Page 1: 1 Lecture 6: Economics & Geopolitical dimensions ZAINI UJANG @ Lund Univ., Sweden, 25-29 Feb. 2008 Lecture 6: Economic and geo-political dimensions Prof

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Lecture 6: Economics & Geopolitical dimensions ZAINI UJANG @ Lund Univ., Sweden, 25-29 Feb. 2008

Lecture 6: Economic and geo-political dimensions

Prof. Ir. Dr. Zaini [email protected] http://www.fkkksa.utm.my/staff/zaini

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Lecture 6: Economics & Geopolitical dimensions ZAINI UJANG @ Lund Univ., Sweden, 25-29 Feb. 2008

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Presentation outline

• Recent challenges• Can you explain the basic principles?• Paradigm shift• What will people pay? Willing to pay?• Triple bottom-line• Innovation for what?

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Lecture 6: Economics & Geopolitical dimensions ZAINI UJANG @ Lund Univ., Sweden, 25-29 Feb. 2008

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Question 1

• At what level (percentage of incomes) rich economy are willing to pay for environmental sustainability?

• Water bills?

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Question 2

• Priorities the following issues in developing nations:– Education– Road– Food supply– Piped water– Proper sanitation– Job opportunities– Security– Public order

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Lecture 6: Economics & Geopolitical dimensions ZAINI UJANG @ Lund Univ., Sweden, 25-29 Feb. 2008

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Lesson from my life!

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Millennium Development Goals for Water & SanitationAdopted at the World Summit on Sustainable Development (2002)

By 2015 to reduce by half the proportion of people who are unable to reach, or to afford, safe drinking water.

By 2015 to reduce by half the proportion of people who do not have access to safe sanitation facilities.

CHALLENGES?

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Target water pollutants, chronologically…

Era Pollutants Solutions

1800s Pathogenic bacteria Sewer system

1900s BOD, COD Biological wastewater plants

1950s Heavy metals, biodegradable substances

Treatment at source

1970s Eutrophication N and P control

1980s Trace substances, carcinogens, flavor, taste

Activated carbon,

membrane technology

1990s CO2, NH4, N2O, CFCs, NOx, SOx Energy saving, photosyntetic bacteria, biotechnology, MBR

2000s Endocrine disrupting chemicals (EDCs), eco-hazard

Membrane technology

Ujang Z. & Henze M. (2006) Municipal Wastewater Management in Developing Countries, IWA Publishing, London

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Lecture 6: Economics & Geopolitical dimensions ZAINI UJANG @ Lund Univ., Sweden, 25-29 Feb. 2008

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Potential water resourcesWater Survival Strategy

If you need more water, import or

make it yourself Use less water – conservation, tariff,

efficient, technology Less consumption and demand Steal water from others!

Water technology

Marq de Villers (2000) Water: The Fate of Our Most Precious Resource, Mariner Book, NY

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Lecture 6: Economics & Geopolitical dimensions ZAINI UJANG @ Lund Univ., Sweden, 25-29 Feb. 2008

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Back to basics• We need water

– Domestic / household– Industrial – Agricultural

• We produce wastewater– Public health?– Environmental protection?– Wealth creation? Domestic economy?

• We need money to pay for the services– Full subsidy – Partial subsidy– Full recovery

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Monitoring: From on-site to on-line; From in-situ to remote sensing

Purification: From sieving to bio-transformation; From big to small plants

Treatment: From pollution reduction to pollution prevention

Pollution control: From end-of-pipe to cleaner production

Raw water intake: From clean upstream to polluted downstream

Resource management: From free to precious commodity

Public perception: From quantity to quality

Paradigm shift in water management

& technologies

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Management approach: From sectoral to integrated

River: From natural to concrete; From concrete back to natural channels

Water delivery: From long pipes to bottled water

Sewer network: From long, centralized to decentralized and small system

Sludge management: From disposal to high value reuse; Co-disposal with gabbage

Automation and control: On-line metering and billing

Service: From public utilities to private companies & consumer products

Paradigm shift in water management

& technologies

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Baltimore Charter 2007Sustainable small & decentralized system

• Organized by Water Environment Research Foundation• Supported by US EPA• 50 participants (35 USA, 15 others)

– Subject matters– Representative of sectors– Representative of continents, grouping etc

• To outline research agenda to meet the needs in 2025• To review the existing philosophy, framework,

concepts, approaches and engineering practice• Propose a framework for WATER SUSTAINABILITY

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Baltimore Charter 2007Sustainable small and decentralized system

G. Tchobanoglous, UC Davis

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Eg: Pollution control: From end-of-pipe to cleaner production

Water technologies

End-of-pipe approach

Production process

Waste energy/materials

Pollution capture

Product consumption

Waste

Disposal

Waste

Disposal Waste

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Eg: Pollution control: From end-of-pipe to cleaner production

Water technologies

Design for life-cycle

Reuse of wasteenergy and by-products

Minimal waste disposal

Production

ReuseRecycleRepair

Disposal(minimal waste)

Minimal waste

Productconsumption

Cleaner Production

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Sewer network: From long, centralized to decentralized system

Water resources:Stream, groundwater etc

Water treatment plant

Water users, industriesWater users, industries

Sludge treatment, reuse

Effluent discharge, reuse

Distribution system

SewerCentralized wastewater

treatment plant

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Decentralized sanitation and reuse (DESAR)

Distribution system

Water users, industriesWater users, industriesCentralized wastewater treatment plant

Sludge treatment, reuse

Effluent discharge, reuse

Water treatment plant-Bottled water-Rainwater

Reuse of sludge,Treated wastewater

Individual on-site WW & SW treatment

e.g. sewerbioreactor

Water resources:Dam, stream, groundwater etc

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Why an ideal system does not work in most developing countries?

• The regulatory requirement is too good and perfect (e.g. BOD 10 mg/l for discharge standards)

• The system has no local inputs (e.g. trained engineers and research facilities)

• The system has no capable implementers (e.g. able politicians, trained engineers and skilful operators)

• The system has no legal back up (e.g. acts, legislation)• The system has a poor financial framework (CAPEX, OPEX)• The system is efficiently corrupted (political influence, etc.)

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Expenditure in the Eighth Malaysian Plan (RMK8, 2000-2005))Allocation in the Ninth Malaysia Plan (RMK9 2006-2010)

Utilities Expenditure RMK8 Allocation RMK9

Water supply RM3,882.9 RM8,203.6

Sewerage RM1,347.9 RM3,132.8

Rural water supply RM733.9 RM1,206.5

Flood mitigation RM1,788 RM3,997.6

TOTAL RM7,752.7 b RM16,504.5 b

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What will people pay?My monthly water charges and other bills

Services Monthly, RM Percentage

Water supply 50 <5

Sewerage services 8 <1

Cell phones (4) 300 + 100 + 50 + 50 50

Fixed-line phone 150 15

Internet 88 9

ASTRO bill 49 <5

Solid waste 10 (?) <1

Electricity 150 <15

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Why I am willing to pay, generously, for the cell phones?

• Service I need• Improve my communication, in real time• My children call me, 4 to 5 times a day!

• BASIC NEED, NOT LUXURY ITEMS!

• Note: I change my cell phone every year with the latest model, slimmer but more applications

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Consumers’ perspective

LEVEL 1• Basic services• Reasonable cost• Public health protection

LEVEL 2• Quality services• Competitive cost• Environmental

protection

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Consumers in 1970 Do we really need tab water?

Do we require a wastewater treatment plant?

Do we need landfill for solid and hazardous waste disposal?

Do you prefer water from well, or river?

Consumers in 2007 Do we really need bottled water?

How best we can achieve nutrient removal in wastewater treatment plant?

How best we can operate sanitary landfill for solid and hazardous waste disposal?

Do you prefer mineral or reverse osmosis water?

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Producers’ / service providers’ perspective

LEVEL 1• Quality services• Competitive or reasonable cost• Reliable services• Customer-driven

LEVEL 2• Expending market segment• Share holders’ expectation• Innovation• Reputation

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Triple bottom lineProducers’ or service providers’ perspective

Producers / service providers

Con

sum

ers

Consumer basic needs

Full cost recoveryplus environmental tax

Fixed-watertariff structure

Full cost recovery

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Triple bottom line principle• Financial costing• Social costing• Environmental costing

MODEL FOR SUSTAINABLE TARIFF STRUCTURE

Basic needs Cross subsidy

Over consumption Full cost recovery

Wastage consumption Full cost recovery + Environmental tax

>> Wastage Full cost recovery + Environmental tax +

Wastage tax

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Issues lead to innovations

• Operating and maintenance cost• Upgrading old modular plants• Upgrading without subsidy?• Options for upgrading schemes• Higher compliance, higher quality

• IT IS MOSTLY INNOVATION IN MANAGEMENT SYSTEM, AND PARTLY TECHNOLOGY

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Management issuesCost for small and decentralized systems

To

tal c

api

tal c

ost

/ P

E

Design Population / PE / Flowrate

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Cost of high techNEWater project in Singapore

Projects Production capacity CAPEX Status

Bedok NEWater 32,000 m3/d S$15.53 m Completed

Kranji NEWater 40,000 m3/d S$21.05 m Completed

Seletar NEWater 24,000 m3/d S$25.90 m Completed

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Upgrading modular plants to centralized and combined plants

Main sewer line Connecting decentralized WWTP WWTP site????

Existing MWWTP

Centralized WWTP

Existing IWWTP

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New innovation using granular sludge

Influent

Pre-treatment Selector

Anaerobic tank

Denitrification

Aerobic tank

Effluent

SludgeDigester

CH4

SludgeDewatering

Sludge

SBR

Effluent

Aerobic Granular Sludge

Reactor

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Straightforward (no return sludge, less sludge handling) Small area requirement Simultaneous N,P and COD removal in one reactor High-speed unit process More efficient treatment system

Why aerobic granular sludge reactor?

Nitrification(NH4 + O2 NOx )

Phosphate removal and anoxic growth(stored COD + NOx + PO4

2-

N2 + CO2 + H2O + poly-

P)

C, N and P removal

(as well as settling

and thus biomass effluent

separation) in one reactor

Heterotrophic growth(COD + O2 CO2 + H2O)

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Latest innovation

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Latest innovation

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Case study in Jakarta

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Thank You!Terima kasih!Tak!