1. intro cmd11 · obligation or undertaking to release any update or revisions to any...
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Ce document et les informations qu’il contient sont la propriété de Safran. Ils ne doivent pas être copiés ni communiqués à un tiers sans l’autorisation préalable et écrite de Safran.
0 / CMD’11 / DECEMBER 13, 2011 /Q3 REVENUE 2011 / OCTOBER 21, 2011 /
CMD’11/ Tuesday 13 December 2011 /
Ce document et les informations qu’il contient sont la propriété de Safran. Ils ne doivent pas être copiés ni communiqués à un tiers sans l’autorisation préalable et écrite de Safran.
1 / CMD’11 / DECEMBER 13, 2011 /Q3 REVENUE 2011 / OCTOBER 21, 2011 /
Welcome
/ December 13, 2011 /
Ce document et les informations qu’il contient sont la propriété de Safran. Ils ne doivent pas être copiés ni communiqués à un tiers sans l’autorisation préalable et écrite de Safran.
2 / CMD’11 / DECEMBER 13, 2011 /
Agenda
èWelcome
è CEO perspective
è CFM
è Break
è Innovation & continuous improvement
è Lunch with Safran executives
è Security
è Financial review
è Conclusion
8:35
8:45 - 9:15
9:15 - 11:05
11:05 - 11:25
11:25 - 1:00
1:00 - 2:30
2:30 - 4:10
4:10 - 5:00
5:00
Ce document et les informations qu’il contient sont la propriété de Safran. Ils ne doivent pas être copiés ni communiqués à un tiers sans l’autorisation préalable et écrite de Safran.
3 / CMD’11 / DECEMBER 13, 2011 /
Speakers
JP.Herteman Chairman & CEO
R.McInnes Deputy CEO, CFO
M.Ventre Deputy CEO, Operations
P.Fabre Chairman & CEO Snecma
C.Goubet EVP CFM
M.BrioudeVP MRO Operations Snecma
G.Meheust EVP Sales & Marketing Snecma
E.BacheletCorporate
Senior VP R&T
Ph. PetitcolinPresident Defence Security
D.GodartVP Safran Innovation
O.SavinEVP Green Taxiing System JV
D.VercherinSenior VP for Industry
Y.LeclèreEVP, Chief
Transformation Officer
J.Westerouen Van MeeterenManaging Director Morpho BV
S.ShriyaManaging Director Smart chips Ltd.
R.EckelCEO MorphoTrust USA Inc.
CFM
Security
Innovation & continuous improvement
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4 / CMD’11 / DECEMBER 13, 2011 /
Safe Harbor Statement
è These documents contain forward-looking statements. All statements other than statements of historical fact in this presentation, including, without limitation, those regarding our financial position, business strategy, management plans and objectives for future operations, are forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, which may cause our actual results, performance or achievements, or industry results, to be materially different from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are based on numerous assumptions regarding our present and future business strategies and the environment in which we expect to operate in the future. Important factors that could cause our actual results, performance or achievements to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include, among other factors:§ the cyclical nature of the aviation market;§ the effects of exceptional and unpredictable events;§ the impact of changes in competition;§ fluctuations in exchange rates;§ our ability to maintain high levels of technology.
è Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this presentation and we expressly disclaim any obligation or undertaking to release any update or revisions to any forward-looking statements in this presentation as a result of any change in our expectations or any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which these forward-looking statements are based.
Ce document et les informations qu’il contient sont la propriété de Safran. Ils ne doivent pas être copiés ni communiqués à un tiers sans l’autorisation préalable et écrite de Safran.
5 / CMD’11 / DECEMBER 13, 2011 /
Definitions
All figures in this presentation represent Adjusted data
Safran’s consolidated income statement has been adjusted for the impact of:
è purchase price allocations with respect to material business combinations. Since 2005, this restatement concerns the amortization charged against intangible assets relating to aeronautical programs that were revalued at the time of the Sagem-Snecma merger. With effect from the first-half 2010 interim financial statements, the Group has decided to restate the impact of purchase price allocations for all material business combinations (and not only those relating to the Sagem-Snecma merger). In particular, this concerns the amortization of intangible assets recognized at the time of the acquisition, and amortized over extended periods, justified by the length of the Group's business cycles;
è the mark-to-market of foreign currency derivatives, in order to better reflect the economic substance of the Group's overall foreign currency risk hedging strategy:§ revenue net of purchases denominated in foreign currencies is measured using the effective hedging rate, i.e., including the
costs of the hedging strategy,§ the recognition of all mark-to-market changes on non-settled hedging instruments at the closing date is neutralized, including the
“ineffective” portion, given that the Group's hedging strategy includes optional hedging instruments and optimization measures combined with highly volatile market inputs used to mark to market.
Recurring operating income
è It excludes income and expenses which are largely unpredictable because of their unusual, infrequent and/or material nature such as: impairment losses/reversals, capital gains/losses on disposals of operations and other unusual and/or material non operational items).
6 /
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7 /
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Video clipSafran highlights
8 /
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Q3 REVENUE 2011 / OCTOBER 21, 2011 /
Safran: growing and fast moving Jean-Paul Herteman - Chairman & CEO
/ December 13, 2011 /
9 /
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Strategic continuity
è Reposition the Group
èManage crisis
è Prepare CFM56 replacement
è Invest in Security
è Boost innovation
è Deliver LEAP
è Complete integrations
è Leverage & grow services
2007 2011 2015
Accelerate growth and deliver
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Countries with more than 1,000 employees
Globalising operational capability
2003 2010
Going global
6 9
FranceU.S.U.K.
MexicoBelgiumCanada
FranceU.S.
MexicoU.K.India
BelgiumMoroccoCanada
Germany
201311
FranceU.S.
MexicoU.K.India
BelgiumMoroccoCanada
GermanyChinaBrazil
11 /
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Selective M&A aiming at profitable growthè
Acq
uisi
tions
HLP
Invest for the future through specific strategic fits
èD
ives
tmen
ts
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
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è Revenue
Strategy delivering results
è Recurring EBIT
2007
Organic variation
Acquisitions
Divestmen
ts
Currency im
pact
2011 guidance2007
Organic
varia
tion
Acquisitions
Divestmen
ts
Currency im
pact
2011
guidance
$1.37($ hedge)
$1.20
€10.8Bn
~ €1,350M
~ €(475)M
~ €800M> €11.4Bn
€663M
~ €250M
~ €(430)M
~ €540M ≥ €1.1Bn
~ €(750)M ~ €100M
M&A
M&A
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Continuous improvement in each segment
Recurring operating margin by activity (in %)
(*) Excludes A400M loss at completion (**) Includes PPA amortization
Backlog (in €bn)
Cash from op. activities (in €M)
Propulsion Equipment
10.1% 11.1% 11.8%
0%2%4%6%8%
10%12%14%16%18%20%
2008 2009 2010 … 2015E
2.1% 2.6%4.5%
0%2%4%6%8%
10%12%14%16%18%20%
2008 2009 2010 … 2015E
Defence Security
4.0% 4.1% 4.4%
0%2%4%6%8%
10%12%14%16%18%20%
2008 2009* 2010 … 2015E
4.9%
9.5%12.3%
0%2%4%6%8%
10%12%14%16%18%20%
2008** 2009 2010 … 2015E
21.9
27.930.4
15
20
25
30
35
2008 2009 2010
936 1,042 1,142
0500
10001500200025003000
2008 2009 2010 … 2015E
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From CFM56 to LEAP
Renewing a unique leadership for 30 years
è Up to 2,000 C919 (single western source)
è 4,000+ A320neo (dual source)
è 4,000+ B737MAX (single source)
1973: Gerhard Neumann/GE & René Ravaud/Snecma
2008: Marc Ventre/Safran & David Joyce/GE
è 1,000 DC-8, KC-135, A340
è 3,000+ A320 (dual source)
è 6,000+ B737 (single source)
CFM56 (# aircraft) LEAP potential market (# aircraft)
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Short term volatility, short/medium term inevitable catch-up
Global spare parts revenue (in $ - 100 base in 2000)CFM engines
0
5 0 0 0
10 0 0 0
15 0 0 0
2 0 0 0 0
2 5 0 0 0
3 0 0 0 0
3 5 0 0 0
82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 1012 E
14 E
16 E18 E
20 E
0
10 0
2 0 0
3 0 0
4 0 0
5 0 0
6 0 0
2010 : 20,000 engines / 500 million flight hours
2020 : 30,000 engines / 1,000 million flight hours
CFM56 spare parts revenue potentially to double by 2020
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Short term volatility, short/medium term inevitable catch-up
CFM56: 2009-10 crisis deeper than 9/11
Global CFM56 spare parts revenueBasis 100 - 9/11/2001Basis 100 - Sept. 2008
2009 2010 2011
60
7080
90
100110
120
130140
2002 2003 2004
After Lehman
After 9/11
Retired CFM56 powered-aircraft (cumulated)
Inevitable catch-up in short/medium term
0
200
400
600
800
2009 2010 20112002 2003 2004
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Leverage & grow services
Aerospace Propulsion Aircraft Equipment Defence
50%31%
Service revenues = services, upgrades, maintenance, consumables (FY 2010 adjusted figures, w/o L-1 ID & SME)
Potential: 60% Potential: 45% Potential: 25% Potential: 40%
25%
Security
16%
è €4.2bn service revenue in FY2011§ 39% of total revenue§ Up 4.7% vs. FY 2009§ High service content in all businesses
2012-2015 should see significant OE growth Resulting from growing installed base in ID
and detection
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More diversified and international equity shareholding
As of Dec. 31, 2007
French State30.4%
Areva7.4%
Public*40.5%
Treasuryshares1.4% Employees
20.3%
As of Nov. 30, 2011
French State30.2%
1.3%
Public**50.6%
Treasury shares
1.8%Employees
16.1%
Increasing & globalising free float
* Public: 2/3rd France, 1/3rd International ** Public: 1/3rd US, 1/3rd UK, 1/3rd France
Areva
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-70%
-60%
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
2008
3 Sept.2007
Déc.2007
Déc.2008
Déc.2009
Déc.2010
9 Dec.2011
Creating value: share price evolution since Sept. 2007
Safran +31.9%(€22.83)
CAC -43.9%(3,172.35 pts)
Min €6.70
Max €30.03
(As of December 9, 2011)
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A long term consistent strategy
è Aerospace§ Growing faster than GDP provided carbon neutral by 2025+§ Winners will be technology innovators
ú A320neo/B737MAX: -35% fuel burn vs. B757/MD-80ú Green taxiing system: 134 tons fuel savings/yr on narrowbody
è Defence§ Find appropriate ways to position our teams on top of world
league
è Security§ Grow double digit through technology
ú Smart gateways for efficient high throughput airport check-pointú Services: follow installed base in ID and detection
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Growth strategic criteria
Key drivers§ Synergies and complementarities§ Globalisation§ Increased savings by leveraging scale§ Leveraging technology§ Skill and expertise
Targeted acquisitions, financial discipline
Key triggers§ In line with strategy§ Trust environment§ Friendly approach§ Share culture§ Ability to integrate§ Measurable success
Financial criteria§ ROI in the range of 10 to 12% § EPS accretion in year 1 ideally, if not in year 2§ Net debt/EBITDA around 2.0x (2.5x max)§ Interest cover ratio at 6x
è Among the top 5 Aerospace Defence Security Tier 1 world players
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Expanding the reach
è Among the top 5 Aerospace Defence Security Tier 1 world players
§ Long term annual revenue growth rate in the high single digits
§ IRR towards 10-12%
§ Globalisation/emerging markets: a real opportunity
§ Fully capable of differentiation through innovation
§ Business model genetics drive operating cash flows to substantiate profitable growth
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Outlook
è Three key aggregates should see healthy improvements comparableto 2011
è Revenue to increase in the mid to high single digits
è Recurring operating income progression to be comfortably in the upper twenties
è Free cash flow to represent about a third of the recurring operating income
2011
2012
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There’s more to come!
è Despite uncertainties of current macro economic environment, Safranhas great prospects building on solid achievements and keeps singularly high level of visibility on its short and long term perspectives
è Demand for air transport will continue to grow ahead of GDP
è Reaping the benefits of 30 years of investment (CFM)
è Investing for the next 30 years, locked into successful programs
è Security: satisfying growing demand through technology compatible with lean government
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Summary
è Investing for the future - talents, technologies
è Transforming capability and capacity
è Strong balance sheet: flexibility and options§ Well settled financial discipline
è Well-positioned for significant and sustained growth§ Relative resilience to European context§ Driven by innovation and emerging markets
è Continuing to improve financial performance
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27 /
Ce document et les informations qu’il contient sont la propriété de Safran. Ils ne doivent pas être copiés ni communiqués à un tiers sans l’autorisation préalable et écrite de Safran.