1 i future of tourism/ m. nydegger/ 31.5

1 I Future of Tourism/ M. Nydegger/ 31.5.07


Future of Tourism.Climate Change from the perspective of an involved industry.


Outline.- Climate Change in the Alps

- Tactical / practical approach

- Strategic / theoretical approach


Climate Change in the Alps.


Influence on the Alps.- Safety Issues

- Permafrost, flooding

- Touristic Attractions

- Glaciers melting, water sports

- Snow Sports

- Snow safety endangered


OECD Survey. - Survey on 666 ski resorts in

- A, CH, F, I, G

- Assumption

- 2020 + 1 ºC

- 2050 + 2 ºC

- 2100 + 4 ºC


Practical (tactical) approach.- Technical

- Smoothing surface, moving higher up, snow making, cover glaciers

- Non-technical

- Diversification of offering

- Expansion/change of seasons

- Financial compensation

- Radical

- Snow hal

- Retreat from tourism


Theoretic (strategic) approach.- 2004 - Scenario analysis

- Not solely climate or snow: Secondos on Snow, Ski camp responsibility, new family offerings, destination leader, barrier removal, winter sport idols

- 2007 - Evaluation of topics

- Gap detection in the expert jungle

- Best use of existing knowledge

- Set up expert group 2030


Outlook.- Summer

☺Warmer and dryer, alpine summer freshness, Swiss cities

+3 ºC = 80% of glacier surface suffers

- Winter

☺ Advantage of larger & snow-realiable skiresort, +2 ºC = 80% remain snow-reliable

Smaller ski resorts in lower altitude enter the viscous circle

1 i future of tourism/ m. nydegger/ 31.5

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