1 existing homes alliance scotland - green deal seminar making the green deal work for scotland dan...
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Existing Homes Alliance Scotland - Green Deal Seminar
Making the Green Deal work for Scotland
Dan Barlow
WWF Scotland
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Existing Homes Alliance Scotland - Green Deal Seminar
Key Points
•Imperative
•Upgrade challenge
•Finance
•Realising the Green Deal potential
•Supporting measures
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Existing Homes Alliance Scotland - Green Deal Seminar
Scotland’s Climate Emissions
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Existing Homes Alliance Scotland - Green Deal Seminar
Scotland’s Climate/Energy Targets
•Climate Change (Scotland) Act:
- 42% 2020
- 80% 2050
- RPP 36% homes 2020
•Energy Efficiency Action Plan:
- 12% cut by 2020
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Existing Homes Alliance Scotland - Green Deal Seminar
Scale of challenge
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Existing Homes Alliance Scotland - Green Deal Seminar
Scotland’s stock (EPC)
2009 A B C D E F G
Private Sector
0% 17% 45% 28% 8% 2%
Social Sector
1% 36% 50% 11% 2% 0%
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Existing Homes Alliance Scotland - Green Deal Seminar
Cumulative installations – cavity wall
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Existing Homes Alliance Scotland - Green Deal Seminar
Cumulative installations – solid wall
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Existing Homes Alliance Scotland - Green Deal Seminar
Scale of measures required (indicative) - Scotland
Measure Potential 42%(%)
Cavity Wall Insulation 0.6m 100Loft Insulation/top up 1.5m 100Solid wall insulation 0.5m 44 (internal or external)Boiler upgrade 1.5m 100Solar water heating 1.8m 62Air source heat pump 0.3m 15
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Existing Homes Alliance Scotland - Green Deal Seminar
Investment: mind the gap…
Cost: 2020 paConserve & Save (42%) £16bn £1.6bnRPP (36%)BAU/current policies £6.2bn £9.1bn? £800m+ post-CERT estimated £2.9bn (to 2022)WWF (EST) all E, F & G to D (70% of RPP) £2.45 bn £275m
Funding mechanisms:ECO £120mGovernment (e.g EAP/UHIS) £65mGreen Deal…loans…RHI??? ???
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Existing Homes Alliance Scotland - Green Deal Seminar
Cost/benefit
Avg £270 – 40% F&G to E
Avg £3,000 – 75% E, F%G to D
Payback – less than 5 years
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Existing Homes Alliance Scotland - Green Deal Seminar
Realising the Green Deal potential (I)
-Finance- Interest rates vs take up
- Level of ECO funding/harder to treat
- Government financial incentives to support take up
-Loft & cavity take up - Green Deal ambition rates low
- ECO exclusion – transition phase?
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Existing Homes Alliance Scotland - Green Deal Seminar
Realising the Green Deal potential (II)
-Integration/effective models- Area based approach
- Integrating ECO/FIT/GD e.g. Birmingham/Newcastle
- Tenements/mixed stock
-Making it work for local installers/rural- Certification
- Golden Rule
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Existing Homes Alliance Scotland - Green Deal Seminar
Wider context
- National Retrofit Programme
- Additional incentives to support take up (e.g council tax rebates)
- Minimum standards of energy performance
- Government funding (e.g EAP/UHIS)
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Existing Homes Alliance Scotland - Green Deal Seminar
Conclusion
Lets get this right…- Climate- Health/fuel poverty - Jobs/economy
Vision of green, warm, fuel-poverty proof housing by 2020